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Heating Oil

Reporting shows that oil-price wagers before the Iran war news totaled $7 billion.

According to analysts, traders and market experts, there were a series of well-timed "market bets" on falling oil prices that totaled $7 billion between March and April, spread across different exchanges, types of fuel, and derivatives, just before Donald Trump's major announcements about Iran policy. The amount of the bets exceeds previous reported wagers totaling $2.6 billion. This has already led to the U.S. Administration to warn staff against using confidential information to their financial advantage. A 'person familiar with this matter' told a CFTC official in April that the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission is conducting an investigation. However,...

Energy Markets

INDIA RUPEE: Rupee is likely to be buoyed up by lower oil prices; US-Iran tensions may slow momentum

The Indian rupee will continue to rise at the?Thursday open, continuing a rally that began in the previous session, thanks?to a drop in oil prices. Bankers warned that 'crude oil has recovered 'from its lows and the uncertainty 'over if current U.S.Iran optimism will result in a breakthrough, is likely to limit the rupees upward movement. After closing 0.7% higher on Wednesday at 94.61, traders expect the rupee to open between 94.54 and 94.58. Brent crude was hovering around $101 per barrel after a nearly 8% drop on Wednesday, on reports that Iran and the United States were 'close to...

Energy Markets

Investors weigh Middle East peace prospects as they raise oil prices by $1

Early trade on Thursday saw oil prices rise by about $1, recovering from the sharp losses of the previous day as investors assessed the chances that a Middle East Peace Deal would be successful. Brent crude futures rose 88 cents or 0.9% to $102.15 per barrel at 0032 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate rose $1.12 or 1.2% to $96.20 per barrel. Both benchmarks fell more than 7% Wednesday, reaching two-week lows amid optimism about a possible ending to the Middle East conflict. They pared their losses however after U.S. president Donald Trump said that it was "too early" to have...

Crude Oil

US oil prices rise as investors evaluate prospects for a Middle East Peace Deal

U.S. Crude Futures rose by a little over $1 on Thursday morning, reversing the day before's losses, as investors assessed prospects for a Middle East Peace Deal. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude Futures rose 80 cents or 0.8% to $95.88 per barrel at 2223 GMT, after reaching as high as $96.33 during the previous session. The benchmark 'contract' fell about 7% Wednesday, on the back of optimism that a possible 'end to the Middle East war could be near. Sources from the mediator Pakistan and a second source who was briefed about the mediation both said that an agreement had...

Crude Oil

The end of MORNING BID AMERICA is in sight.

Mike Dolan, Editor at Large, Finance and Markets, explains what matters today in U.S. markets. After reports that the U.S., Iran and other countries were "close to a memorandum of one page" ending the Gulf War, oil prices plummeted and global stocks surged. This news was released just days after U.S. president Donald Trump announced that he would pause the operation to reopen Gulf shipping. The broader stock indexes did not need an excuse to rise, as newly upgraded AI expenditure estimates lifted Wall Street and global markets on Tuesday. Below, I will go into more detail. Check out my...

Energy Markets

Gold increases by over 2% amid hopes for Middle East peace as oil and dollar fall

Gold prices rose more than 2% on Wednesday after U.S. president Donald Trump suggested a possible deal could be made with Iran. The dollar and crude fell as inflation fears waned. As of 0632 GMT spot gold rose 2.4% to $4667.39 an ounce. This is the highest it has been since April 28. U.S. Gold Futures for June delivery increased 2.4% to $4678.20. U.S. president Donald Trump announced on Tuesday that he will temporarily pause a?operation to assist in escorting ships through the Strait of Hormuz. He cited progress towards a comprehensive deal with Iran. U.S. Secretary of State Marco...

Mining

Gold prices jump on dollar weakness and Middle East peace hopes

Gold prices increased by more than 1% on Tuesday, boosted by a weaker dollar. Meanwhile, lower oil prices eased concerns about inflation and interest rates that would continue to rise, in anticipation of an agreement between the U.S. and Iran. As of 0225 GMT, spot gold rose 1.7% to $4,633.31 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures for June Delivery rose 1.7% to $ 4,643.20. U.S. president Donald Trump announced on Tuesday that he will temporarily pause an operation in order to help escort vessels through the Strait of Hormuz. He cited?progress towards a comprehensive deal with Iran. According to Kelvin Wong...

Energy Markets

Oil prices drop by over $2 after Trump suspends Strait opening to possible deal

?U.S. Oil futures dropped on Wednesday morning by over $2 after U.S. President?Donald Trump announced that an operation to reopen Strait of Hormuz would be paused temporarily to determine if an agreement could?be finalised. As of 2326 GMT, U.S West Texas Intermediate fell $2.23 or 2.18% to $100.04 a barrel. Trump stated on Tuesday that while the operation to reopen?the Strait?of Hormuz would be paused,?the?blockade would?remain? in force. WTI fell 3.9% on Tuesday, after the ceasefire was maintained despite reports of exchanges. Brent dropped 4% and closed at $109.87. Market sources cited American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday, which showed...

Energy Markets

Gold recovers from a more than one-month-low; Middle East threats linger

The gold price rose on Tuesday, after it had fallen to a low of?more that one month in the previous session. Investors assessed the impact the Middle East conflict could have on inflation and interest rate expectations. Gold spot was up 1.2% at $4,574.17 an ounce by 11:42 am EDT (1542 GMT), having touched its lowest level on Monday since March 31. U.S. Gold Futures rose 1.2% to $4.585.50. Oil prices are also easing, which is providing some support. "The market will continue to watch the headlines but could shift its focus a bit to economic data," said Jim Wyckoff....

Fossil Fuels

US trade deficit increases on imports, while crude oil exports rise

The U.S. Trade Deficit widened in march as a boom in artificial intelligence investments pulled in imports. This more than offset an increase in exports which was partly boosted by crude?oil shipments?amid Middle East conflict. The Commerce Department's report on Tuesday confirmed the fact that the trade deficit was a drag in the economy during the first quarter. Imports of goods are expected to increase, due in part to the AI spending spree. The increase in imports can be offset by the rise in petroleum exports. This is because economists expect that the U.S. and Israeli war against Iran will...

Crude Oil

Oil dips as stocks rise on optimism from investors

The global stock market rose on Tuesday as a result of a string of strong earnings. Meanwhile, the oil price remained above $100 per barrel due to the'simmering hostilities' between the U.S.A. and Iran in the Strait of Hormuz. The yen was also on traders' minds after it briefly rose in the previous session, fueling speculation about another round of Tokyo intervention. The STOXX 600 index rose 0.5% in Europe. This was boosted by Anheuser-Busch shares, which surpassed expectations with their first-quarter results. Also, Unicredit, an Italian lender, reported record profits for the quarter. U.S. and Iran launched dueling maritime...

Crude Oil

Oil prices drop as investors are encouraged by positive earnings

The global stock market rose on Tuesday as investors took heart from a series of robust earnings. Meanwhile, simmering hostilities in the Strait of Hormuz between the U.S.A. and Iran kept oil prices well above $100 per barrel. The yen was also on traders' minds after it briefly jumped during the previous session. This fueled speculation about another round of Tokyo intervention. The STOXX 600 index rose 0.5% in Europe. This was boosted by Anheuser-Busch shares, which surpassed expectations with their first-quarter results. Also, Unicredit, an Italian lender, reported record quarterly profits. On Monday, the U.S. launched new attacks on...

Europe

Crude Oil

Oil prices fall on optimism for peace, but global stocks are mixed

Oil prices fell on the back of optimism about a U.S. Iran peace deal. The fate of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical waterway, remained unresolved. MSCI's All-Country World Index increased?0.17%, trading around record highs. Europe's STOXX 600 was down 0.25% after a 2.2% jump on Wednesday. Last up by 1.7%. After a long holiday weekend, trading on the Nikkei 225 index resumed. Samy Chaar, chief economist at Lombard Odier, said that while the Middle East situation is uncertain, "the market momentum is moving in a positive direction", and they have taken notice. He said, "The oil price has dropped...

Energy Markets

Mike Dolan: If the war in Iran ends, the ROI-Trapdoor will creak for dollars.

The U.S. Dollar has fallen to its pre-conflict levels due to renewed optimism about a possible ending to the Iran War. If it weren't for the U.S.-focussed artificial-intelligence boom, the greenback might be a clear casualty of ?any peace deal. The dollar exchange rate was one of few prices that rose on the onset of war, aside from the oil price itself. This happened primarily 'by default. Other major economies in Europe and Asia were considered more vulnerable to the energy crisis than America, which is oil-rich. At the margins, Gulf States and other countries seeking dollar liquid assets also...

Crude Oil

Markets focus on US-Iran Peace Deal as Gold prices remain steady

Gold prices remained largely stable?near an all-time high on Thursday as?investors were waiting for more details about a possible U.S. Iran peace deal. As of 0436 GMT spot gold was up by 0.1%, at $4,692.45 an ounce. It had risen about 3% Wednesday, to its highest level since April 27. U.S. Gold Futures for June Delivery rose by 0.2% to $4701. Donald Trump, the U.S. President, predicted that the war between Iran and the U.S. would end quickly as Tehran considered an?U.S. Sources said that the peace proposal would end the war, but leave unresolved the key U.S. demand?that Iran...

Western Europe

East Asia

Energy Markets

Stocks edge up, oil prices continue pullback on peace optimism

On Thursday, global stocks mostly maintained their gains - despite the fact that oil prices fell again due to optimism about a U.S. Iran peace deal. Meanwhile, it appeared as if there was no resolution for the Strait of Hormuz. The previous session's highs were maintained on?Wall Street. The?S&P500 was little changed and the Nasdaq composite rose 0.27%. Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 0.12%. The STOXX Europe 600 index was down 0.37% after a 2.2% jump on Wednesday. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan also hit a new all-time record. Last up 1.75 %. Japan's Nikkei surpassed 62,000...

Crude Oil

Oil falls amid peace optimism as oil trades at record highs

Oil prices sank as stocks rose Thursday amid optimism about a U.S. Iran peace deal. However, the fate of the Strait of Hormuz remained unclear. MSCI's "All-Country World Index" rose by 0.23%, approaching a record high. Europe's STOXX was little changed after a?2.2% jump on Wednesday. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific index outside Japan also rose to an all-time record high. After a long holiday weekend, trading on the Nikkei 225 index resumed. Samy Chaar, chief economist at Lombard Odier, said that while the Middle East situation is uncertain, "the market momentum is moving in a positive direction", and they have taken...

Energy Markets

Oil prices fall and global stocks rise after Iran peace deal report

Stocks rose and oil prices fell?on Wednesday? after a report stated that?the White House believed it was close to a memorandum ending the war with Iran. Meanwhile, momentum in AI driven trades increased. Axios reported that the U.S. was expecting Iranian responses to several key issues in the next 48-hours. On Wednesday, a Pakistani source who is involved in peace efforts confirmed that the report was true. Brent crude, a global benchmark, fell 7.5% to $101.70 a barrel. A peace agreement could ease some of the pain for the oil and gas market. The Iran war has closed the Strait...

Energy Markets

Asia markets reach record highs on AI euphoria and Iran peace hopes

In the morning of Wednesday, the Asian session, stocks soared, oil prices fell and the dollar dropped after U.S. president Donald Trump hailed "great progress" toward a "final deal" with Tehran, while momentum for AI-driven trading accelerated. Trump said he would temporarily pause an operation of escorting ships through the Strait of Hormuz. The Strait of Hormuz carries a fifth of all global oil, and Iran has blocked it since late February. This has triggered a global energy shortage. Brent crude fell 1.2% to $108.51 per barrel on the news, while S&P500 e-minis futures rose 0.3%. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific index...

Energy Markets

MORNING BID AMERICAS-Strait talk

Anna Szymanski is the Editor-in Charge of Open Interest. Prices of oil jumped by 5% after Iran claimed it had stopped a U.S. ship from entering the Strait of Hormuz. The U.S., however, denied Iranian claims that it was hit by missiles. This came after President Donald Trump announced that the U.S. was going to begin helping ships stuck in the Strait of Hormuz. The yen briefly rose?against?the dollar, as traders waited for more buying by Japan's Ministry of Finance following a suspected intervention last Thursday. Below, I'll go into more detail. Listen to the Morning Bid podcast. Subscribe to...

Crude Oil

Opening the Strait or not?

Wayne Cole gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. Strait?watching is back for a new week. Everyone is a shipping expert today and the Strait of Hormuz is where it's at. So President Trump surprised us this morning when he announced the launch of Project Freedom, which will help around 900'ships trapped in the Strait escape past the Iranians. The U.S. Central Command issued a short media release that said it would support merchant vessels in their quest to transit freely through this vital international trade corridor. CentCom has stated that this will...

Energy Markets

Oil prices rise to $1 without any sign of the Iran conflict ending

Oil prices rose on Friday as efforts to resolve Iran conflict have hit a deadlock, with Tehran blocking the 'Strait of Hormuz while the U.S. Navy is blocking 'exports of Iranian crude. Brent crude futures rose $1.19 or 1.08% to $111.59 per barrel at 0149 GMT. West Texas Intermediate futures gained 39 cents or 0.37% to $105.46. Brent's June contract which expired on Friday, hit $126.41 per barrel, its highest price since March 2022. Since the U.S. and Israel's attack on Iran at the end of February, oil prices have been rising. This was due to the closing of the...

Energy Markets

WHIRLWIND WEDNESDAY MORNING BID AMERICAS

What's important in the U.S. and international markets today by Mike Dolan, Editor at Large,?Finance and Markets Today is the culmination of an eventful week, which includes the announcement of the interest rate by the Federal Reserve and the earnings reports of four U.S. Mega-caps. Unsurprisingly, the'red-hot' stock markets have cooled down in anticipation, including in?the supercharged chip and tech space. This tech retreat was partly triggered by an article stating that OpenAI missed its internal growth targets, putting into question the apparent boundless optimism about AI demand. Below, I will go into more detail. Check out my most recent...

Oil & Gas

ADNOC advises its clients to avoid the Hormuz Strait by loading crude oil outside of the Gulf

Abu Dhabi National Oil Company notified customers that two crude grades could be 'loaded outside of the Gulf next month, as the Strait of Hormuz was closed. ADNOC is moving the crude grades Das and Upper Zakum from the terminals on Das Island (and Zirku Island) located in the Gulf, to outside locations for loading. The exports of these terminals are down dramatically as there have been fewer ships willing to cross the strait after the U.S. - Iran?war began in late February. ADNOC informed clients that it would make cargoes available to be loaded outside the Arabian Gulf on...

Crude Oil

Stocks rise on optimism about earnings as Fed meeting nears

The markets found their feet in Asian trading on Wednesday, as concerns about the Iran conflict, the health of the AI industry, and corporate earnings eased. Investors also focused more attention on the Federal Reserve decision due later. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside of Japan reversed earlier losses and rose 0.2% as gains in Hong Kong stocks stabilized the index. The Japanese markets were closed on a public holiday. S&P 500 futures rose by 0.2% while Brent crude climbed 0.2% to $111.51 a barrel, as efforts to resolve the Iran conflict reached a deadlock. Kate Moore, Chief Investment Officer...

Energy Markets

Oil prices rise on the back of stalled peace negotiations, resulting in higher global stocks

Oil futures rose Monday - as stalled U.S. - Iran peace talks indicated further disruption of Middle East energy exports. Global stocks also rose to'start a busy tech week with earnings reports and central banks decisions. Benchmark Brent crude futures are?up?just?a little more than 1% to $106.47 per barrel. They had traded at a session high of $108.50 earlier. MSCI's All-World Index rose by around 0.2% while Europe's STOXX 600 gained 0.53%. Markets in Asia rose to near record highs on a wave of AI-fueled optimism. Wall Street futures were largely steady. It's going to be a busy week. "It's...

Crude Oil

GRAINS-Chicago corn, wheat and soybeans all rise as crude oil gains continue to drive up prices

Chicago wheat reached a ten-month high on Monday, with corn and'soybeans rising as well following gains in crude oil. U.S. - Iran peace?talks stalled causing Gulf shipping to be blocked. Chicago Board of Trade?most-active?Wheat increased 0.8% to reach $6.22 per bushel at 0936 GMT. It reached its highest level since June 2025. Soybeans increased by 0.2%, to $11.81-3/4 bushels. Corn was up by 1.0%, at $4.68-1/4 bushels. Johnny Xiang of Beijing's AgRadar Consulting said that the main influence on prices is the rising crude oil price. The grain markets were supported by the rising?crude prices which rose nearly 3% on...