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Energy Markets

Trump Administration set to repeal US climate regulation

On Thursday, the administration of Donald Trump plans to announce "the repeal" of a scientific conclusion that greenhouse gas emissions endanger human sanity. This will remove the legal basis of federal climate regulations. This is the biggest climate change policy rollback the administration has ever made. It follows a series of regulatory reductions and other actions designed to reduce the restrictions on fossil fuel development, and to stymie clean energy deployment. Trump believes that climate change is a hoax and has pulled the United States out of the Paris Agreement. This leaves the United States, the largest contributor historically to...

Oil & Gas Refining

Izvestia: Russia will soon send crude oil to Cuba and fuel there

Izvestia, a Russian newspaper, reported on Thursday that Russia was preparing to ship crude oil and fuel to Cuba within the next few months. Cuba has been hit by fuel shortages since the U.S. cut off its oil supply. The communist-run Island has informed international airlines that there will be no jet fuel available. This is the latest sign of rapidly worsening conditions. Venezuela has been a major supplier of jet fuel to the United States for many years. However, since Washington's 'blocking of Venezuelan exports in mid-December, it hasn’t received any crude or refined products. A Russian diplomat said...

Energy Markets

Stocks rise slightly as yields increase after US jobs data.

Treasury yields increased and stock indices were mostly slightly higher Wednesday afternoon, after data showed that the U.S. created far more jobs than expected in the month of January. This could make it harder for the Federal Reserve to continue cutting rates. Labor Department data shows that 130,000 new workers were added to the nonfarm payrolls during January. This is well above the forecast of 70,000. November and December have been revised downwards. The unemployment rate fell to 4.3% in January from 4.4%, which was below the forecast of 4.4%. In an email, Eric Merlis said that the January employment...

Energy Markets

India's demand for oil has improved since tensions between the US and Iran.

The oil prices rose on Wednesday as a result of a heightened risk, despite the fact that U.S. Iran?talks remained tense. In addition, signs of easing surpluses, fueled by improved demand from India, also contributed to this increase. Brent crude oil futures rose 55 cents or 0.80% to $69.35 per barrel at 0356 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude oil rose 57 cents or 0.89% to $64.53. LSEG analysts stated in a recent report that "oil maintains a bullish bid for tail risk as US-Iran negotiations continue, but remain fragile. This keeps the Strait of Hormuz premium at a high...

Refined Products

Oil prices hold steady amid tensions between the US and Iran

The price of oil held steady on Tuesday, as the'market waited to see what direction it would take while U.S. - Iran talks?continued. Brent crude oil futures were up 23 cents or 0.3% at $69.03 per barrel as of 0100 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude rose by 23 cents or 0.4% to $64.19 Iran's spokesperson for the foreign ministry said that the nuclear talks between Iran and the U.S. had allowed Tehran to gauge Washington’s seriousness, as well as a sufficient level of?consensus' to continue diplomatic efforts. Diplomats from Iran, the U.S. and Oman held talks last week to...

Crude Oil

Oil prices stable as tensions between Iran and the US and US data are eyed

The oil prices were not much different on Tuesday, as the market awaited news about diplomatic relations between Iran and the U.S., the efforts to end Russia’s war in Ukraine, and data regarding the U.S. Economy and U.S. Oil inventories. Brent futures dropped?24 cents or 0.3% to settle at $68.80 per barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI), however, fell 40 cents or 0.6% to settle at $63.96. Analysts at the energy consulting firm Gelber & Associates wrote in a report that traders are "hesitant to push either direction" until they receive a more clear signal from diplomacy or see...

Energy Markets

Oil prices drop as US and Iran commit to continuing talks

The oil prices dropped on Monday, after the U.S. &?Iran committed to continuing talks about the Middle Eastern producer’s nuclear 'programme. This eased concerns over a potential conflict that could disrupt the supply from the area. Brent crude futures dropped 49 cents or 0.72% to $67.56 per barrel at 0134 GMT, after closing up 50 cents Friday. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude was $63.13 per barrel, down by 42 cents or 0.66% after a 26-cent increase at Friday's settlement. Tony Sycamore, IG's market analyst, said that crude oil prices have eased a bit in early trading this week. The market...

Fossil Fuels

Worries about a possible Iran-US conflict have caused oil prices to rise

The oil prices rose on Friday as traders feared that the talks this week between the U.S.A. and Iran failed to reduce the threat of a war between the two countries. Brent crude futures settled on $68.05 per barrel, up?50 cents or 0.74%. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude ended up 26 cents or 0.41% at $63.55 per barrel. Both benchmarks declined overnight, but both Brent and WTI gained more than $1 per barrel during the U.S. trading session before settling. Iran and the U.S. conducted negotiations through Omani mediation in order to resolve?sharp disagreements over Tehran's nuke program. John Kilduff...

Crude Oil

MORNING BID AMERICAS - Rise of the robot job-killers?

By Anna Szymanski Feb. 6 - What Mike Dolan, the ROI team and I are looking forward to reading, watching and listening to this weekend. From the Editor Hello Morning Bid readers! Investors have reevaluated what businesses are worth anything in an AI-driven world. The week started with a sale of some of the oldest forms of value in the world, such as gold and silver. The so-called "software-mageddon" is expected to wipe out roughly $1 trillion in market capitalization for the S&P 500 index of software and services this week. Anthropic's new tool, which could automate legal work, as...

Energy Markets

Stocks fall as AI concerns dominate the market

The global markets fell on Friday, as the stock market crash on Wall Street spread globally. Precious metals and cryptocurrency were impacted by volatility while AI concerns weighed heavily on stocks. The MSCI All-Country World Index recovered from intra-session lows, to?trade at a flat rate, but it was still on course for its worst performance in a week since mid-November with a 1.6%?decline?. The projected AI expenditure of $600-billion Amazon, Microsoft and Meta in this year have fueled fears about the costs of artificial intelligence, while concerns about Software and data services, among others, continued to be a major sector....

Crude Oil

Morning bid Europe-Fed is under pressure as layoffs increase

Gregor Stuart Hunter gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. There is no report on jobs for Friday. The markets are worried about the?non farm payrolls being delayed - yet again - by another U.S. shutdown and the global selloff on Wall Street. Following fresh signs of economic strain in the labor market, traders are increasing?betting? that the Federal Reserve will ease policy at its meeting. According to a survey by global outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas, the number of layoffs in the U.S. increased in January, reaching the highest monthly level...

Power Markets

Mexico is looking for a way to send fuel without US tariffs to Cuba, according to sources

Sources familiar with the situation said that Mexican officials are looking at ways to ship fuel to Cuba in order to meet the island's "basic needs" such as transportation and electricity, without provoking Washington. Washington has threatened to impose tariffs on countries that supply fuel to Cuba. Sources said that high-level Mexican officials had been in contact with their counterparts in the United States to clarify the extent of the tariff threat described by President Donald Trump through an executive order, and to see if there was a possible way to get the fuel they desperately needed. Mexico's ability to...

Europe

Oil & Gas

Russia's current-account surplus dropped 34% to $41.4 billion in 2025

The Russian central bank announced on Thursday that the country's 'current account surplus' had fallen by '34%' to $41.4 billion in '2025, from $62.6 billion last year. This was due to the Western sanctions as well as the lower oil price, which is the main source of income for the country. Exports fell while imports were relatively stable. The current account of a country is the difference between all money that comes in from trade, investments and transfers and what goes out. As a cause of the decline, the central?bank cited a growing deficit in services caused by an?increased importation...

Crude Oil

The dollar gained, but US stocks were little changed following the US jobs data.

Dollar and Treasury yields increased, but U.S. stock prices lost their early gains, trading nearly flat, on Wednesday, after data showed that the U.S. created "far more jobs" than expected in the month of January. This could make it harder for the Federal Reserve's to continue cutting rates. Labor Department data shows that 130,000 new workers were added to the nonfarm payrolls during January. This is well above the forecast of 70,000. November and December have been revised downwards. The unemployment rate fell to 4.3% in January from 4.4%, which was below the forecast of 4.4%. In an email, Eric...

Energy Markets

Stocks pause as AI concerns simmer; the yen surges higher

European stocks were little altered on Wednesday, as fears about disruptions caused by?artificial intelligent' persisted. S&P futures also edged up as investors awaited U.S. employment data to be released later that day. The?U.S. The dollar dropped for the fourth straight session, and the yen continued its rally. This could be a sign of a shift in investor sentiment following Sunday's election win by Japan's Prime Minster Sanae Takaichi. The benchmark STOXX 600 Index in Europe was roughly flat last week. The tech stocks were hurt by the fall of French software company Dassault Systemes, amid growing fears that artificial intelligence...

Western Europe

East Asia

Crude Oil

MORNING BID EUROPE - Jobs in the rearview and earnings next

Ankur Banerjee gives us a look at what the European and global markets will be like tomorrow. Investors will be focusing on a slate of European earnings after the U.S. jobs report surprised many with its strength. This has led to expectations that the Federal Reserve would likely keep rates steady at least until the second half. The future of policy is dependent on the labour market and consumer price trends. Investors are reducing their bets on a Fed move in the near future, and the focus is now shifted to Friday's inflation data. The U.S. employment data presented a...

Crude Oil

Petrobras exports record amounts of oil in Q4 due to expansion of clients

Petrobras, the state-owned oil company in Brazil, posted record exports Tuesday of 1.2 million barrels per day?of crude oil and derivatives for its 'fourth quarter. This is an increase of 79% over the same period last year. In a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission, the company said that the record was achieved as oil production in Brazil increased by about 20% during the same time period, to 2.5 million bpd. This allowed the state-run firm to send more oil overseas. The company had announced previously that it had exceeded its own production guidance for the year. Petrobras also...

Energy Markets

Asia stocks rise as Nikkei sets fresh record, dollar drops

Asian stocks rose?for the second day on early Tuesday trading, led by a rally in Tokyo’s?benchmark following Prime Minister Takaichi’s decisive victory in the Japanese election over weekend. The broadest index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan, MSCI, rose 0.4%. Nikkei's 225, however, jumped by 2.1%. It was the third day in a row that Nikkei has reached a new record high. After a two day rally, U.S. equity e-minis have cooled down, with S&P500 e-minis down by 0.1%. This partially reverses gains made on Wall Street over night. S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rose 0.5% on Monday as technology stocks...

Energy Markets

Stocks tumble as AI rout deepens, cryptos rebound

The global equities market extended its losses to a third consecutive day on Friday, as the selloff on Wall Street intensified. Precious metals and cryptocurrency were also gripped by a ferocious volatility. MSCI's broadest?Asia-Pacific?"shares outside Japan fell 1%, marking a second consecutive day of losses. South Korea's Kospi plunged 5% and prompted a short trading halt just after the opening. S&P 500 futures dropped 0.2%, while Nasdaq futures were down 0.4%. Tony Sycamore is a market analyst with IG Sydney. He said that investors are reevaluating their commitment to three pillars which have supported markets for the past six-months: AI,...

Oil Refineries

Nigeria's NNPC CEO: NNPC is in talks with Chinese company about refinery

Nigeria's NNPC, according to its chief executive on Wednesday, is in negotiations with a 'Chinese' company about one of the refineries owned by state-owned oil 'firm. Bayo Ojulari, NNPC's chief executive officer, said that the company is seeking experienced operators to become equity partners in order to revitalize its four refineries following years of underperformance and losses. A review of the refineries carried out soon after he assumed his role in April last year revealed that they were operating at a loss, with high operating costs and large expenditures on contractors. Meanwhile, processing volumes remained low. Ojulari stated that the...

Refined Products

China's Chambroad buys Canadian crude for May delivery, traders say

Four trade sources reported?on Tuesday that the independent Chinese refiner Chambroad Petrochemical had purchased one Canadian crude cargo for May delivery. This follows a decrease in Venezuelan crude supply to China. According to sources, the refiner is one of the biggest buyers of Venezuelan crude oil. It also imports Canadian oil from the Trans Mountain pipeline for its bitumen manufacturing. Chambroad bought Canadian Cold Lake Crude exported?from TMX for a discount of close to $5 per barril compared to the July ICE Brent contract, according to two people. The crude was to be delivered to the eastern Shandong Province in...

Energy Markets

Two things OPEC+ cannot control. Russell: Trump and China imports

Two factors are largely outside the control of OPEC+, and are likely to influence the price of crude in the next few weeks. First, we need to know if U.S. President Donald Trump decides to launch a shooting conflict with Iran. If he does, will both sides be able keep oil cargoes flowing and production infrastructure intact? Second, China, as the world's largest crude importer, will decide whether to reduce its recent strong imports, in light of January's 16% increase in Brent benchmark futures. It was only logical that the eight members with production quotas of OPEC+, given the uncertainty...

Oil Refineries

Sources say that China's teapots are buying Iranian oil to replace Venezuelan supplies.

Chinese independent refiners have purchased discounted Iranian heavy oil to replace Venezuelan shipments which were halted after the U.S. Two people familiar with the matter said that last month, the U.S. claimed control over the OPEC producer. They said that the withdrawal of Iranian crude oil from storage makes up for the fall in Venezuelan supplies to the world’s largest crude buyer. Venezuelan shipments into China have dropped sharply since the middle of December after U.S. president Donald Trump imposed an embargo on ships sanctioned, as part of a larger campaign against President Nicolas Maduro that culminated with his capture...

Crude Oil

Silver rout causes a massive sell-off of stocks

Global shares dropped on Monday as investors rushed to sell precious metals to offset any losses. This was just before a week filled with corporate earnings and central bank meetings, along with major economic data. Silver is on track to suffer its worst two-day loss since the 1980s. It fell another 7%, adding to Friday's 30 percent drop. Dealers say that pressure on several?silver?futures funds from China contributed to the crash late last week. The CME raised margins for a variety of futures contracts including silver and gold on Monday. The oil prices fell by more than 4% after President...

Energy Markets

Metals become less valuable as positions are squeezed.

Wayne Cole gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. Metals markets are like a packed theatre where someone is shouting "fire" at the audience. Everyone and their mother was piling in gold and silver, including retail investors, leveraged funds, CTAs, and algos. When silver drops?30% within a single session, everyone is running for the exits. CME responded by increasing margins by 2 to 4 percentage points on certain metals contracts, indicating that some investors have difficulty meeting margin requirements. Dealers say that Chinese investors had trouble in liquidating their positions. The selling spread...

Energy Markets

Starmer praises the progress made in Beijing as Trump warns Britain about China relations

U.S. president Donald Trump said that it was dangerous for Britain to get into Business with Beijing On Friday, Prime Minister Keir starmer visited China and lauded its economic benefits. Starmer, the latest Western leader to visit?China as they reel from Trump's unpredictable behavior, is the latest. In a three-hour 'talk' with President Xi Jinping, on Thursday, British Prime Minister David Cameron called for a'more sophisticated relationship, with better market access, lower taxes and investment deals, while also discussing Shakespeare and soccer. Trump responded to questions in Washington about the close ties by saying, "Well it's dangerous for them to...

Fossil Fuels

Russia searches for new markets to buy naphtha as major buyers pullback

Analyst and traders say that Russia's naphtha shipments to Asia will fall in January as U.S. sanctions force key buyers such as Taiwan, India, and Venezuela to find new markets. After Washington imposed sanctions against top Russian oil producers the buyers have become more cautious. Sellers are forced to store naphtha in foreign storage or on ships, where it can then be re-exported. Armaan Ashraf is the director of Asia oil and natural gas liquids at FGENexant. He added that this means that premiums for "legitimate barrels" of heavy full range naphtha or?discounts to Russian cargoes would widen. Russia exports...