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Energy Markets

Wall Street drops as oil, yen gain amid Middle East turmoil

U.S. stocks fell Tuesday morning as the attacks on energy facilities in the Gulf drove oil prices to near $100 per barrel. After a long weekend of holidays, all three major U.S. indexes traded lower. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1.21% in its first hour. The S&P500 fell by 0.49%, and the Nasdaq Composite dropped by 0.52%. Brent crude oil jumped 1.32%, to $98.28 a barrel, the highest in six weeks. U.S. crude oil rose 2.11%, to $93.40 per barrel. The rise in oil prices came after Houthis, who are backed by Iran, attacked Saudi Arabian cities and energy...

Fossil Fuels

HSBC increases Brent crude price forecast for 2026 to $90/bbl

HSBC raised its Brent crude prices forecasts?for the rest of this year and the next. It cited a?prolonged interruption to shipping through the Strait of?Hormuz due to the collapse?of a U.S. - Iran?memorandum of agreement. Kim Fustier is a senior global oil &gas analyst at HSBC. In a?note, she said: "We?think that the market is adjusting towards a disrupted?new normal? in which the strait has not been fully closed or fully opened, but is persistently impaired." The bank increased its Brent forecasts for 2026 to $90/barrel, up from $80. This includes a $95/bbl estimation for the fourth quarter in 2026....

Energy Markets

Asia stocks drop as yen soars and Iran warns the US of retaliation

Asian stocks fell on Tuesday as a result of a surge in the yen, mixed economic data and fresh Iranian threats?in the Gulf. Meanwhile, commodity prices and Treasury bond yields rose due to the new Iranian threats?in the Gulf. The yen rose as much as 1% to 152.89 - its highest level since February 18 - as investors unwound $2.35 trillion of carry trades funded by yen. The yen is at its highest level since February. This was driven by the sharp unwinding of carry-trade and short-yen positions, as investors priced in a faster Bank of Japan tightening, said Joel...

Energy Markets

As fears of a prolonged Mideast conflict increase, oil prices rise

The oil prices continued to rise on Tuesday as the risks of a long-term conflict in the Middle East increased after Iran threatened retaliation against any new U.S. attack on its assets. This heightened concerns over disruptions to supply. Brent crude futures rose 49 cents or 0.5% to $97.49 per barrel at 0400 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude was $92.92 per barrel, up $1.44 or 1.6%. According to Suvro Sarkar, DBS Bank's head of energy analysis, WTI is playing catch up with Brent after the Labor Day holiday on Monday. Brent had absorbed the weekend's increase a day before....

Crude Oil

Imports of crude oil from China remained weak in August. Can this trend continue? Russell

China's crude oil imports by sea increased in August compared to July, but were still nearly 40% below levels prior to the Iran conflict. According to Kpler, China's largest oil importer saw seaborne arrivals increase from 6.93 million barrels a day in July to?7.14 million bpd in August. August's imports fell by 4.27 % below the average of 11,41 million bpd during the three months preceding the U.S.-Israeli attack on Iran, which took place on February 28. China is absorbing the majority of the Middle East's lower crude oil volumes, as its exports are falling due to the restricted flow...

Refined Products

Holiday schedule for US economic and other data

Labor Day, which falls on Monday, September 7, will impact the release of major economic, energy, and commodities reports in Washington for the week ending Sept. 6. The schedule is below. The times are in EDT/GMT. Treasury announcements are subject to change. Monday, September 7 Labor Day. Labor Day. Tuesday, September 8, National Federation of Independent Business releases Small Business Optimism Index, August 0600/1000 Conference Board releases Employment Trends for August 1000/1400 Treasury Dept. Treasury Dept. The U.S. Department of Agriculture releases weekly U.S. Export Inspections for Grains, Oilseeds at 1100/1500. Note: this week's inspections are delayed due to the...

Refined Products

Crude oil prices set to rise by the most since mid-July as US-Iran tensions fuel oil price gains

As tensions between the U.S. and Iran escalated, oil prices rose on Friday. They are now heading towards their steepest weekly gains since mid-July. Brent crude futures rose by 54 cents or 0.6% to $96.06 per barrel at 0100 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude crude futures gained 80 cents or 0.9% to $92.10. Brent and WTI both saw weekly gains of 7.6%, while WTI gained 10.4%, the biggest since the week ending July 20. The U.S. attacks on Iran this week, which killed and injured dozens of civilians including Iranians, were the most violent clashes that have occurred between...

Crude Oil

You are not looking for payroll data, but MORNING BID Europe.

Stella Qiu gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. Christopher Waller, the U.S. Federal Reserve governor, urged overnight markets to "give deflation a shot" while?global bonds yields flew. The markets have now reverted to pricing this month's interest rates decision as a coin flip, deciding whether the Fed will?stay?pat or raises rates for the first three years. You can consider the job done. Then he suggested that the non-farm payrolls for August, which is due in the afternoon, was not the data you were looking for. The August CPI report due next week...

Crude Oil

The steepest weekly increase in oil since mid-July due to intensifying US-Iran tensions

The price of oil rose on Friday, and is on track to be the highest weekly gain since mid July. Rising tensions and renewed U.S. - Iran hostilities have heightened concerns about Middle - East supply risks. Brent 'crude futures increased 15?cents or 0.2% to $95.67 a barge at 0100 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude Futures were up by 26 cents or 0.3% at $91.56. Brent was up 7.1% on a weekly basis and WTI 9.8%, the biggest gains since the week ending July 20. The U.S. attack this week, which killed and wounded dozens of people, including Iranians...

Crude Oil

Stocks rally after Waller's comments, which curb rate hike expectations

The stock markets rose on Thursday, while bond yields dropped as Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller indicated a willingness for patience in raising interest rates. The Japanese yen rose by 2% against U.S. dollars as traders increased their?bets that the Bank of Japan would raise interest rates. Waller said in'remarks at a NEXT Newsmaker Event that if upcoming statistics confirmed that?inflation -pressures are cooling, he would be inclined to advocate for keeping interest rates constant at the next meeting of the U.S. Central Bank. After the comments, the expectations for an increase in rates at the Fed’s mid-September meetings dropped....

Energy Markets

US yields drop from their highs following data as crude oil prices are eyed

U.S. Treasury Yields fell from a?multi-year peak on Wednesday. The benchmark 10-year yield is on track to end a five session streak of gains as investors assessed the 'latest round of data on the economy and crude prices fluctuated. Crude prices rose more than 1% after a?earlier 1% drop. Supply concerns from the Iran War overshadowed comments made by U.S. Energy Sec. Chris Wright who stated that 17 million barrels of crude oil passed through the Strait of Hormuz Monday. The ADP National Employment Report shows that private employment increased by 38,000 last month. This is below the 48,000 expected...

Crude Oil

Stocks rise after recent declines; Japanese yen jumps against US dollar

Investors awaited new developments in the U.S. - Iran conflict and the Japanese yen rose sharply against U.S. dollars. The yen's move was not immediately apparent. Over the past month, the currency has retraced approximately half of its gains made following a rare joint action by the U.S. On Wednesday, the yen rose by 0.92% to 158.72 dollars. Treasury yields in the United States have fallen from their multi-year highs. The increase in borrowing costs in major economies has heightened concerns over tighter monetary policies and worsening fiscal conditions. Investors remain focused on Iran a day after U.S. airstrikes on...

Europe

Energy Markets

Stocks drop as yen firms, Gulf attacks push oil to $100 per barrel

The yen was trading at seven-month highs on Tuesday, and stocks were down after an attack on oil facilities in the Gulf drove prices of crude to close to $100 per barrel. Copper prices also hit record highs. Brent crude futures reached their highest level in six weeks and were nearing $100 per barrel after Houthis, Yemen's Iranian-backed Houthis, attacked energy installations and cities in Saudi Arabia. This highlighted the danger of the conflict spreading across the region, and complicating fuel supply to the world markets. Diesel prices have risen to record levels and gasoline prices are also higher than...

Crude Oil

Asia stocks sway as the yen soars and Iran threatens retaliation

The yen surged Tuesday while Asian markets struggled to find direction due to a mix of regional economic data, and new 'Iranian' threats in the Persian Gulf. The Nikkei 225 index fluctuated between gains, losses and a slight gain of 0.2%. Meanwhile, the yen rose as high as 0.6% at 153.51, reaching its highest level since February 18. The KOSPI, MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan, was up 1.2%. S&P 500 futures fell 0.1% on Monday after the U.S. holiday. Westpac analysts stated that while U.S. Labor Day was a quieter week in terms of trading volume, the weekend...

Energy Markets

Stocks rattled as inflation risks from rising oil and geopolitical uncertainty rise

Investors were on edge Monday as rising oil prices, the conflict in the Middle East, and political unrest in Europe heightened their anxiety. Stocks fell in anticipation of important?U.S. data. The inflation data will be released later this week. Tehran announced that it would announce a restricted area outside the Strait of?Hormuz?in the coming days after U.S. Forces hit three Iranian tanks and Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps fired ballistic missiles on two U.S. Navy vessels. Brent crude futures have risen by nearly 1.5%, to $97.6 per barrel. This is the highest in seven weeks. Last week, the oil price...

Western Europe

East Asia

Crude Oil

Why isn't the price of oil higher than $100 despite disruptions in supply?

Brent crude, the global benchmark for oil prices, has risen this month. However it has remained below $100 per barrel despite the recent escalation of the U.S. - Iran conflict which has caused disruptions in Gulf exports via the Strait of Hormuz or the Red Sea. According to Argus, Crude Oil?shipments are now at 11 million barrels a day (bpd), down from 18 million bpd prior to the Iran War seven months ago. What are the factors that influence oil prices? SIGNIFICANT VOLUMES CAN FLOW?THROUGH HORMIZ Claudio Galimberti, Rystad's Chief Economical Officer, stated that in the week prior to fighting...

Energy Markets

Stocks hit by rising inflation, geopolitical uncertainty and oil prices

Investors were on edge Monday as rising?oil costs, the conflict in the Middle East, and political unrest in Europe kept them on edge. Stocks drifted lower ahead of important U.S. data on inflation later this week. Tehran announced that it would declare a restricted area outside the Strait of Hormuz within days after U.S. forces struck three Iranian tankers, and Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps fired ballistic missiles on two U.S. Navy vessels. Brent crude futures have risen 1.3%, to $97.5 per barrel, the highest in seven weeks. Oil prices rose almost 8% in the last week, and are now...

Energy Markets

Stocks mostly decline after a solid U.S. job report

Treasury yields, the dollar and S&P?500 all rose on Friday as U.S.?job creation?accelerated and unemployment rate remained steady. Investors are looking forward to the consumer inflation report next week as a key factor in this determination. The nonfarm payrolls increased by 162,000 positions last month, following a 21,000-job increase that was upwardly revised in July. Economists surveyed by predicted an increase of '56,000 following a previous reported decline of 23,000 jobs in July. Last week, the yield on 10-year benchmark U.S. notes increased by 1.21 basis points to 4.774%. Just after the report, it was 4.792%. The yields on two-year...

Crude Oil

Stocks rally after Fed Governor Waller's comments on bond yields

Bond yields fell on Thursday, as Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller's comments signaled a willingness for the Fed to be patient in raising interest rates. Waller said in remarks at a NEXT Newsmaker event that if upcoming data?confirmed?inflation pressures were cooling off, he was inclined to argue for keeping interest rates steady at the next policy meeting of the U.S. central bank. In remarks for a NEXT Newsmaker, Waller said that if upcoming data 'confirmed' a cooling of inflation pressures, he would be inclined to advocate keeping interest rates constant at the next meeting of the U.S. Central Bank. After...

Oil & Gas

US Energy Secretary says Venezuelan oil production will more than double within the next few years

Energy Secretary Chris Wright of the United States said that after arriving in Venezuela on Tuesday, the oil companies in the U.S. as well as?other countries will sign deals in Caracas tomorrow that will result in a more-than-doubling in crude production over the next few year. Wright is in Venezuela for a day-long visit, his second trip since U.S. troops seized Venezuelan leader Nicolas Maduro's office in January. Venezuelan oil production peaked at over 3 million barrels a day in the late 90s, but then plummeted due to a lack investment, poor management and U.S. sanction. In recent months, it...

Oil Refineries

Can the Middle East help with Asia's low refined fuel imports? Russell

In August, the crisis caused by the conflict in Iran in Asia's supply of refined fuels continued. The region that imports the most refined fuels dropped to its lowest level since the start of the war. According to data compiled by Kpler - a commodities analyst - Asia's imports for light and middle distillates in August were estimated at 5,10 million barrels a day (bpd), down from 5.61 millions bpd during July. Imports have dropped by about 2 million bpd from the 7.06 million bpd average in the three months prior to February 28, when Israel and the U.S. launched...

Crude Oil

As energy prices rise, inflation fears are stoked.

Investors worried about inflation and a new wave of interest rate increases were prompted by renewed fighting in the Middle East, which boosted oil prices. Japan's benchmark?10-year? has hit 3% for a first time in generations. The 10-year U.S. Treasury Yield, which is used as a benchmark to determine prices in all asset classes, broke resistance at 4.75% and now stands at 4.78%, its highest level since early 2025. The futures market for French and German bonds extended the selling, which drove yields up to 15-year highs. Australia's 10-year bond yield rose at the fastest rate in five months. Ryutaro...

Energy Markets

As oil crosses $91 per barrel, bond sales pressure stocks

As renewed fighting in the Middle East pushed oil prices above $90 per barrel, selling drove global bond yields to new highs. This put pressure on stock markets all over the world. The 10-year U.S. The 10-year?U.S. Treasury yield, which is used as a benchmark to set prices for all asset classes, increased 2.2 basis points, reaching a 20-month high of 4.78%. Japan's benchmark 10-year yield was close to 3%, the highest level in a generation. U.S. Futures stabilized after Wall Street Indexes recorded modest overnight drops, but the mood remained nervous as the U.S. Jobs data due on Friday...

Oil & Gas Refining

Japan's oil imports rose 17% in July, as US supplies jumped

Japan's crude oil imports increased by 17% from the previous year in July, as a result of a surge in U.S. Official data released on Monday showed that?shipments, a resurgence in Saudi Arabian purchases and lower supplies from Middle Eastern producers were offset by a rise in?supplies. The Ministry of Trade, Economy and Industry reported that imports increased to 2,38 million barrels a day (11.72 millions kilolitres) for the second consecutive month despite disruptions caused by the U.S./Israeli war against Iran. Imports to?the Middle East dropped 21.4% from July. The United Arab Emirates, Japan's two largest suppliers, and Saudi Arabia...

Oil & Gas Refining

Japan's oil imports in July rose 17.0% year-on-year - METI

The Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry announced on Monday that Japan's crude imports increased 17.0% from a year ago to 2.38 million barrels a day (11.72 millions kilolitres). The data revealed that Japan's domestic oil products?sales fell by?2.4% last month compared to the same period a year ago, falling to?2.16 million barrels per day. 1 kilolitre equals 6.2898 barrels The data revealed that gasoline sales fell 3.3%, to 791.233 bpd. Kerosene, however, was up 5.5%, to 54.238 bpd. Below is a table that shows Japan's July product sales, imports, and other statistics. Figures are converted from kl to bpd...

Refined Products

Russell: Crude oil imports from Asia remain soft in August, despite US claims about the Hormuz blockade

Asia's crude oil imports in August were still far below levels before the Iran conflict. This raises further questions about how much crude actually leaves the Middle East. According to Kpler's data, the top-importing continent will see an arrival of 23,12 million barrels per day (bpd) this August. This is a slight decrease from July, when 23.36 million bpd were expected. Imports have also fallen by almost?4 million bpd or 14% from the average of 26,91 million bpd for the three-month period ending in February. The United States and Israel launched an attack on Iran on 28 February, prompting Tehran...

Fossil Fuels

OPEC+ loses influence in Iran War as China gains influence

Six months after the 'Iran War,' the world’s most powerful oil coalition, OPEC+ finds itself in a new position. It is unable to influence a marketplace it?once shaped. The war has eroded OPEC's share of the market and its ability to influence prices. The group's policy decisions and statements barely affect oil markets any more. Analysts describe the worst ever supply disruption as a major factor in balancing oil markets. OPEC+, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (and its allies, including Russia), accounted for 40% of the global oil production in July. Calculations based on data from the International...