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MORNING BID EUROPE - Yen holds gains, but bond pressure increases

Gregor Stuart Hunter gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. Scott Bessent, the U.S. Treasury Secretary, may have hoped for some relief from his to-do lists. The 'Japanese currency' fell for the first time in five days on a tuesday as the dust settled after a rare coordinated intervention by officials from Washington and Tokyo in the foreign exchange market. The yen fell 0.3% against the U.S. Dollar at 157.715 and by the same amount against the euro at 181.45. The yen is still 4% higher against the dollar and euro than it...

Crude Oil

Oil prices drop, stocks rise amid Iran peace hopes and yen firm as investors wait for further intervention

The yen gained strength after the U.S. confirmed a joint intervention by Japan and the U.S. to support the currency. Investors watched for further signs of intervention. U.S. President?Donald Trump held off on a new attack against Iran over the weekend. Trump announced on Monday that talks were underway with Iran, warning that this was the "last chance" to get Tehran to agree to a deal that would end the five-month war. Iran, however, denied that negotiations were taking place or were planned. Brent futures for the front-month fell by $6.35 or 7.0% to settle at $83 a barrel. U.S....

Energy Markets

Data shows that US oil exports fell to the lowest level since eight months in July.

Ship?tracking data revealed that U.S. crude oil exports fell to 3,66 million barrels a day in July, the lowest in eight months. A short-lived?peace?deal' between the U.S. & Iran in June temporarily flooded the markets with?Middle Eastern crude and reduced demand for American oil abroad. After the Iran War, which cut Middle Eastern oil supplies and forced Asian and European nations to look to the U.S. for the rest of the year's supply, the U.S. surpassed Saudi Arabia as the top oil exporter. In May, U.S. oil exports reached a record monthly level of 5.7 million barrels per day. Since...

Crude Oil

Diamondback Energy beats quarterly profit estimates, raises production forecast

Diamondback Energy beat analysts' expectations on Monday for its second-quarter profits and raised its annual production forecast. The high global oil prices are due to supply disruptions caused by the Middle East conflict. The war in Iran that began in late February nearly stopped the flow of Middle East goods through the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude went from an average of $69.82 per barrel in January, to $126.41 by April, and WTI from $65.17, to $109.64. Diamondback expects to produce over 1 million barrels of oil-equivalent per day by 2026, up from its previous projection of 972,000 BOEPD. The...

Crude Oil

Stocks rise amid hopes for peace with Iran, oil falls; yen firms gain after intervention

On Monday, oil prices?dropped? and major stock indices gained?on signs that U.S. -Iran tensions are easing?again. Meanwhile, the yen?strengthened?against?the euro and dollar?after the?U.S. Japan and the United States confirmed their joint support. Oil prices fell sharply after U.S. president Donald Trump delayed a new attack on Iran, hoping to seal a deal quickly that would boost oil supply from the Gulf. U.S. crude oil was down by 6.07% to $79.53 per barrel at the end of yesterday, and Brent fell to $83.64 a barrel at the close. This is a 4.88% drop on a daily basis. Iran, however, said that...

Energy Markets

Oil prices fall after Trump cancels his attack on Iran and seeks deal

Oil prices dropped more than $5 per barrel on Monday as U.S. president Donald Trump held back a new attack against Iran in order to reach a quick agreement with Iran. Iran said no talks were scheduled. Brent crude futures dropped $5.04 or 5.73% to $82.89 at 1218 GMT. They had retraced a portion of their losses after hitting a session low earlier. ?U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude oil was trading at $78.90 per barrel, down by $5.77 or 6.8%. Both benchmarks saw their largest daily drops in absolute terms and percentages since last Monday. Two contracts increased by more...

Oil Refineries

Russell: The increase in oil production by OPEC+ is not relevant for the time being, but for the future.

The decision of the core members to increase crude?oil quotas in September is easy to dismiss as a meaningless act, given the disruptions caused by?Iran's conflict. As long as the Strait of Hormuz is largely closed, and as long as there are no solutions to the threats to the Bab el-Mandeb, the oil-exporting groups will have little chance of being able to deliver what they agreed to produce. Saudi Arabia, Russia and Kuwait are among the seven OPEC+ members who have agreed to voluntary cuts in output. Algeria, Kazakhstan, Kazakhstan, Algeria, Kuwait, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and Oman also agreed. The...

Crude Oil

Russell: The increase in oil production by OPEC+ is not relevant for the time being, but for the future.

The decision of the core members to?increase crude oil production quotas in September is easy to dismiss as a meaningless act, given the disruptions caused by the Iran conflict. As long as the Strait of Hormuz is largely closed, and as long as there are no solutions to the threats to the Bab el-Mandeb 'waterway, it will be difficult for the 'oil-exporting groups to deliver what they have committed to. Saudi Arabia, Russia and Kuwait are among the OPEC+ members who have agreed to voluntary cuts in output. Algeria, Kazakhstan, Kazakhstan, Algeria, Kuwait, Algeria and Oman also agreed. The United...

Fossil Fuels

EIA reports that US crude oil production fell in May while exports reached record levels.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration published data on Friday showing that U.S. crude output dropped about 2% from its record-breaking April level, but exports reached a new record for the second consecutive month. The data revealed that crude oil production averaged 13,71?million barrels a day in May, while exports increased to 5,73 million bpd compared to the previous record of 5.59 million. U.S. Oil companies have increased exports dramatically?since beginning of Iran war. They are taking advantage of global supply shortages caused by disruptions in vessel movements through the Strait of Hormuz. The higher price of oil has affected consumption....

Crude Oil

Fed hawks push yields higher, stocks give back gains

The stock market was mixed on Friday as it gave back much of its earlier gains. Meanwhile, longer-dated Treasury Yields reached new multi-year heights after Federal Reserve officials claimed that more interest rate increases are necessary to combat inflation. A?market source? said that currency markets were also on high alert for any further intervention a day after Japanese authorities intervened to support the yen. Three Fed policymakers, who dissented for a rate increase at the meeting this week, made their case public on Friday in support of higher rates. The Fed left rates unchanged, a result that was widely expected...

Oil & Gas

Imperial Oil exceeds profit forecasts as the crude rally boosts earnings

Imperial Oil, a Canadian oil company, more than doubled its second-quarter profits and beat Wall Street's estimates on Friday. A surge in crude oil prices helped offset lower oil sands production and the impact of planned refinery maintenance. Cenovus also reported a dramatic jump in its quarterly profit earlier this week and increased its production outlook. Higher crude prices boosted Canada's oil-sands industry despite output restrictions due to maintenance. Geopolitical tensions and uncertainty in the Middle East boosted oil prices, while global fuel supply disruptions improved refinery margins. The higher benchmark crude prices helped Imperial's realized prices. Synthetic crude realizations...

Crude Oil

Microsoft rally boosts stocks; 30-year Treasury yield reaches 19-year high

U.S. stock prices rose on Thursday, as Microsoft's results surpassed expectations, and eased investor concerns about AI spending. Meanwhile, 30-year Treasury yields reached a record high after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates at the same level on Wednesday, fueling fears about inflation in longer-term. Microsoft rose by 14% as the company beat Wall Street expectations for current-quarter cloud sales growth and issued a capital expenditure outlook that was below Wall Street expectations. It also said it expected to continue generating cash until fiscal 2027, which just began. Investors are concerned about the rising costs of AI at large technology...

Europe

Energy Markets

Russell: Imports of crude oil and fuel from Asia are recovering, but still below pre-Iran War levels.

Asia's crude imports rose to their highest level since the start of the Iran war in July, but they were still 15% lower than pre-conflict. According to Kpler, the commodity analysts who compiled these data, imports from the continent that consumes most energy were?22.82 millions barrels per day. The average bpd for the three months prior to the U.S.-Israeli attack on Iran in February 28 was 26.89 millions bpd. Kpler data shows that imports of refined fuels showed a slight recovery in July. Arrivals of light and medium distillates were 5.76 million barrels per day, which is 18.5% less than...

Crude Oil

Oil steady, but Asian stocks rise on Wall Street's lead

Asian markets opened with modest gains as investors followed a rally around the world. Oil prices remained near their lowest levels for weeks, as the U.S. - Iran conflict remained stalemated. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan was up 0.1%. South Korean shares rallied as much as 2.1 percent. Japan's Nikkei fell 0.3% while S&P500 e-minis futures grew 0.1%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at a record high overnight after data showed that U.S. Manufacturing Activity increased to its highest level in over four years in July. Chris Weston is the head of research for Pepperstone Group,...

Fossil Fuels

Sources say that OPEC+ will increase its quota in September, followed by a pause.

OPEC+ 'plans to approve a quota for production increase of around 188,000?"barrels a day" on Sunday. After that, it will halt further increases in output, according to sources, until the voluntary cuts are completed. Saudi Arabia, Russia and Kuwait are the core members of OPEC+. They have been increasing their monthly production quotas since most of this year. These increases are largely a paper exercise, due to the disruptions caused by the wars in Ukraine and Iran. One OPEC+ 'delegate' and an OPEC+'source, both of whom said that the group would pause production increases after September as it faces difficult...

Western Europe

East Asia

Crude Oil

Oil prices fall on hope of Iran agreement, but yen surges after intervention

On Monday, oil prices fell and stocks wobbled as hopes for peace in the Middle East increased. Meanwhile, the yen suddenly jumped after the U.S. confirmed a joint intervention by Japan and the U.S. to support the fragile currency. Brent crude futures fell more than 6%, to $82.41, after U.S. president Donald Trump announced that talks with Iran would take place on Monday. He had previously called off an imminent strike on Iran in order to reach a agreement to reopen Strait of Hormuz and resolve the impasse regarding Tehran's nuke capabilities. S&P futures increased by 0.4%, while Nasdaq's futures...

Oil & Gas Refining

ADNOC will switch the oil price benchmark from Murban to Platts-Dubai.

Abu Dhabi National Oil 'Co announced?on Friday that it will change its benchmark for monthly official sales prices for all of its crude grades from Murban crude to Platts Dubai pricing for the month-to-month from November 1. In a press release, ADNOC said that the change will align ADNOC’s OSPs with the month in which cargoes are loaded. This applies to Abu Dhabi crude grades onshore and off-shore, including Murban Das, Umm Lulu, and Upper Zakum. ADNOC will announce differentials for grades to Dubai prices in the month prior to cargo loading. ADNOC stated that the new pricing mechanism "reinforces...

Crude Oil

Is India the ultimate "anti-AI" trade? : Raychaudhuri

India is emerging as a haven for those who are escaping the wreckage of Asia's AI stock boom. Indian stocks' lack of direct AI exposure, whether to creators or large language models or semiconductors and chip manufacturers, dampened foreign investors enthusiasm for the country's shares for most of 2025 and 2026. Instead, money flooded into South Korea's and Taiwan's tech saturated markets. This summer, the trend has changed. Since mid-June equities have fallen in South Korea and Taiwan, reflecting growing concerns about the durability and profitability of massive AI capital investments. India's benchmark index is up 5%, as investors have...

Crude Oil

Document shows that Kuwait Petroleum is offering full-range of naphtha for delivery.

Kuwait Petroleum Corp. has bid 55,000 metric tonnes of full-range naphthalene?on a spot-tender basis. The company stated that the offer was made on a delivery basis based on a ship. The company 'tender for Asian markets' stated in its offer that the "product must be intended to East of Suez, and cannot be resold, or delivered elsewhere, without the seller’s written consent. This consent shall not be unreasonable. KPC offered?naphtha free-onboard?before the U.S. war with Iran started. The first time since February, it resumed offering cargo in June. The company stated that the cargo would be delivered by a tanker...

Crude Oil

US 30-year yield reaches 2007 high; stocks try to recover after earnings

On Thursday, the U.S. government’s?long term borrowing costs reached their highest level since 2007. Global shares also tried to recover after Microsoft’s?earnings reduced some AI concerns. The yield on 30-year Treasury bonds hit a high of 5,244% in New York trading the day before, after the Federal Reserve held interest rates at the same level as the previous day, even though Chair Kevin Warsh gave mixed messages about monetary policy and inflation expectations. The Fed's next moves were difficult to predict, and Warsh's decision not to provide any forward guidance made it even more difficult. Investors are frightened by the...

Energy Markets

Asian stocks falter after a deep crash, and the Fed leaves markets in the dark about interest rates

Asian stocks were volatile on Thursday, after a week filled with?market turmoil sparked by AI fears. A divided Federal Reserve remained steadfast on interest rates and left the bond markets unsure of their next move. Brent 'futures' fell below $90 a barrel after a day of turbulence sparked by AI jitters. The Federal Reserve, divided, remained steadfast on rates and left bond markets uncertain about the next move. Investors were confused by the Fed's split decision on whether it would raise rates to combat inflation. The yields on U.S. Treasuries with longer maturities rose to their highest level in 19...

Energy Markets

Profit growth for the Morning Bid AMERICAS - US

What's important in the U.S. and international markets today by Mike Dolan Editor-at-Large of?Finance and Markets As a stark example of how difficult it is for Big 'Tech to impress the markets, South Korean chip maker SK Hynix fell again on Wednesday morning after a six-fold increase in quarterly profits?missed expectations. This is a warning before the?release of U.S. megacaps earnings later today. The markets will first digest Kevin Warsh's comments and the Federal Reserve Chair's policy announcement as he speaks on the podium today. Below, I'll go into more detail. Check out my midweek column where I discuss hyperscalers'...

Oil & Gas Refining

Sources say that ADNOC, the UAE's oil company, sold crude to Asian refiners at a premium in its seventh tender.

Trade sources reported on Wednesday that Abu Dhabi National Oil Co had sold 12 million barrels of spot crude at a premium to Asian refiners, trading firms and other companies in its most recent tender. The renewed U.S. - Iran hostilities have disrupted the?supplies, and this has sparked an 'impulsive buying spree. Since the fighting between Iran and the United States intensified in the first half of this month, oil?flows have dropped sharply through the Strait of Hormuz. ADNOC uses a shuttle fleet to move crude oil out of the Gulf of Oman and onto other tankers, despite exports slowing...

Crude Oil

Asia markets sell off in a broad scale due to AI fears

Asian markets dropped on Tuesday, led by chipmakers, on concerns?about massive funding requirements of the AI boom. A slide in oil prices didn't do much to lift bonds, and traders were worried about U.S. interest rate hikes coming this week. South Korea's KOSPI plunged more than 8 percent to a low of three months, setting off a circuit breaker. Japan's Nikkei fell 4% after a drop of 2.2% for the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index. Nvidia's shares fell 5% overnight, after the Wall Street Journal reported that the company was in discussions to provide approximately $250 billion in financial guarantees for OpenAI...

Energy Markets

Copper prices increase as US-Iran lull calms concerns over oil and economic growth

Prices of copper rose Monday, as oil prices fell after the U.S. & Iran ended hostilities. This eased?concerns over price pressures and economic growth. Benchmark copper prices on the London Metal Exchange were up 0.6% at $13,733 per metric ton, 1606 GMT. The Pentagon has suspended its campaign against Iran after 13 nights of increasing airstrikes by the United States. Iran has been holding fire for the past two days after it had responded to each night's U.S. airstrikes with its own attacks on countries in close proximity that house U.S. military bases. As the fighting paused, oil prices fell...

Mining

Copper prices increase as US-Iran lull calms concerns over oil and economic growth

Prices of copper rose on Monday as oil prices dropped after the U.S. &?Iran ended hostilities. This eased concerns over price pressures and economic growth. Benchmark 'copper' on the London Metal Exchange rose 0.6% to $13,729 per metric ton as of 1427 GMT. The Pentagon suspended its campaign against Iran on Friday after 13 nights of increasing U.S. airstrikes. Iran has been holding fire for the past two days after it had responded to each night's U.S. airstrikes with its own attacks on countries in close proximity that house U.S. military bases. The oil prices fell as a result of...

Crude Oil

Copper prices increase as US-Iran lull calms concerns over oil and economic growth

Prices of copper rose on Monday as oil prices dropped after the U.S. & Iran ended hostilities. This eased 'concerns over price pressures and global economic growth. Benchmark copper on the London Metal Exchange was up 0.9% at $13,770 per metric ton of official rings. The Pentagon suspended its campaign against Iran on Friday after 13 nights of increasing airstrikes by the United States. Iran has been holding fire for the past two days after it had responded to each night's U.S. airstrikes with its own strikes on neighbouring countries which host U.S. base. The oil prices fell as the...