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Energy Markets

The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve has its lowest oil stock since 1983

According to Department of 'Energy data released on Monday, crude oil stocks in the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve have fallen to 340.3m barrels. This is the lowest level since 1983. It signals a?shortage of supplies at a time when?the u.s. Iran and the United States agree to a deal that will end the war in the Middle East and open up the Strait of Hormuz. The government's emergency stock fell by 8.9m barrels. This is the third-largest draw in history. The U.S. agreed to "loan" 172 million barrels to the facility in order to lower fuel prices which have risen...

Crude Oil

Let the oil flow!

Anna Szymanski is the Editor-in Charge of Open Interest. On?Monday, oil prices fell and global stocks rose after the United States reached a preliminary agreement with Iran. After more than three months of disruption, the memorandum of agreement should allow the?Strait of Hormuz to reopen. Donald Trump, the U.S. president and Shehbaz Sharif, the Pakistani prime minister announced that a deal was struck late Sunday night. The agreement, which is scheduled to be signed in Switzerland on Friday, leaves many questions unanswered. This may mean that market celebrations are premature. Below, I will go into more detail. Listen to the...

Oil & Gas

Reports from Kommersant state that Russia has authorized refineries to reduce the environmental standards for gasoline to prevent fuel shortages.

Kommersant reported that the Russian government had authorized a few oil refineries to produce fuels at lower environmental standards for the domestic market. This is because the country has been experiencing fuel supply disruptions. According to data collected by, media reports and social media posts have indicated that there are supply disruptions in Russia in a dozen different regions. Only two regions of Siberia, besides the Russian-held Crimea have formally?confirmed these disruptions. Last week, Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak requested fuel market forecasts in order to avoid problems with fuel distribution and meet domestic demand. Ukraine has been targeting Russian...

Refined Products

Reports from Kommersant state that Russia has authorized refineries to reduce the environmental standards for gasoline to prevent fuel shortages.

Kommersant reported that the Russian government had authorized a few oil refineries to produce gasoline and diesel fuel with lower environmental specifications for the domestic market. According to data compiled by, fuel shortages have been reported in Russia by media and social media users?in about a dozen different regions. Only two regions in Siberia, besides the Russian-held Crimea have confirmed shortages. Last week, Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak called for fuel market forecasts to protect against difficulties in fuel distribution. Ukraine has been targeting Russian refineries, fuel depots, and pipelines for several months in order to limit Moscow's financial support...

Energy Markets

Markets applaud Iran deal but wait for oil to start flowing

In Asia, stocks and bonds rose and the dollar dropped after U.S.-Iran agreed on a peace agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The deal also included a lifting of the U.S.'s blockade against Iran. U.S. crude oil futures dropped more than 4%. S&P 500 Futures rose 0.8%. The dollar fell broadly. The yen increased to 159.7 dollars per yen and the euro increased to $1.1616. Here are the comments of market analysts on this deal: MRE?SPEIZER MARKET STRATEGIST WESTPAC, AUCKLAND "It is positive for risky assets, positive for currencies that are risky, and negative for the U.S. Dollar." There...

Fossil Fuels

Sources say that Exxon Mobil is set to hire Alex Volkov as its head of global trading.

Two sources familiar with the matter said that Exxon Mobil is about to name Alex Volkov head of global trade. Sources told the media that Tracey Gunnlaugsson was retiring. She has been in charge of the Trading Division since 2023. Exxon declined to comment. Volkov could not be reached for a comment immediately. Volkov is a Texas-based executive who has spent more than three decades with Exxon. His LinkedIn profile states that he held a variety of roles in the U.S.A., Russia, and London. He was a vice-president in various parts of the company, including global LNG, strategy, business development...

Energy Markets

What just happened? Five charts to summarize the financial week

Open Interest (ROI),?will give you a summary of the week's financial performance with five charts every Friday. We will highlight the major trends, but also some surprising and sometimes overlooked moves. This week we have said a lot, now let's rely on the data. (1) LOSS LEADER ANNA SZYMANSKI. ROI Editor-in Charge: IPOs by loss-making firms have accounted for an increasing share of the total IPO proceeds in the last two years - amid the AI boom – after equity issuance dropped in 2022 due to the increase in interest rates. The trend is set to continue with Elon Musk's...

Energy Markets

Oil hits two-month lows, stocks rally on Gulf breakthrough hope

The Asian stock market?extended its global rally on the hopes of a Middle East Peace Deal. Meanwhile, the dollar and bond yields fell and oil prices reached?two-month highs, easing inflation fears. European bourses will?open? sharply higher with pan-regional futures up by 1.8%. Wall Street futures are up about 0.2% on the back of a strong overnight rally. Elon Musk’s SpaceX has been the focus of attention as it makes history by launching the largest initial public offering ever. The IPO raised a new record of $75 billion. This valued the rocket and spacecraft maker at $1.77 trillion, making Musk the...

Energy Markets

Oil losses continue as Trump cancels planned strike on Iran

After U.S. President Donald Trump cancelled plans to strike Iran, fears of an escalation in 'hostilities' following tit-fortat attacks earlier this week were reduced. Brent futures increased $1.21, or 1.3%, to $89.17 per barrel at 0042 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI), however, rose $1.23 or 1.4% to $86.48. Brent crude was 4.2% less than WTI on a weekly basis. Trump, who threatened to hit Iran'very hard,' called off planned strikes Thursday, saying that discussions with Iran have progressed. Fars, Iran's semiofficial news agency, reported that Tehran has not approved the text of any agreement. Tony Sycamore, IG's market...

Energy Markets

Oil hits a two-month low as stocks extend their rally on Gulf breakthrough hope

The dollar, bond yields and oil prices all fell, easing inflation fears. Elon Musk’s SpaceX has been making history by launching the largest-ever initial public offer. The IPO raised a new record of $75 billion. This valued the rocket and spacecraft maker at $1.77 trillion, making Musk the first trillionaire in the world. Donald Trump announced on Thursday, just hours after threatening to launch more attacks on Iran, that a deal could be reached as early as this weekend. He said that negotiations with Tehran have reached the highest levels of Iran’s leadership, and were approved by a broad coalition...

Energy Markets

GLOBAL-MARKETS-Equities rally, dollar dips with oil as Trump cancels Iran attacks

MSCI's global equity index rose on?Thursday, while dollar and bond yields dropped, along with oil and futures. This was on renewed hope for peace in the Middle East, after U.S. President Donald Trump announced he canceled planned strikes against Iran, and that a peace deal could be signed soon. After threatening to?bomb more targets and stating that he wants to "take" the oil export hub Kharg Island in the past few hours, Trump announced on Thursday that "talks have been brought to Iran's highest level and approved." In a Truth Social post, he also said that the United States, Israel...

Crude Oil

Canada oil shortages and bad weather will tighten stocks at US storage hub

A power outage and wet weather at a major oil sands manufacturer have contributed to a tightening of crude export supplies?out?of Western Canada. This could affect the supply to U.S. Midwest refining facilities and the Cushing storage facility in Oklahoma. The supply disruptions in Western Canada will add to a tightening global market, as a fifth of global oil and gas shipments have been halted behind the Strait of Hormuz because of the U.S./Israeli war in Iran. U.S.?inventory, including strategic reserves, has fallen by 79 millions barrels since the Iran War began late February. Inventories at Cushing are nearing their...

Europe

Crude Oil

Weekend Reads: China’s oil shift, World Cup Economics

Are you looking for inspiration? Weekend 'Reads' will be published every Friday to provide an overview of what the Open Interest team have been watching, reading and listening to. This week the team is recommending a range of articles, from analyses of the 'World Cup to breakdowns of the 'energy shock. You're reading... MIKE Dolan, ROI Finance & Markets columnist: Gene Frieda, at the think tank Bruegel, considers if the latest energy crisis may require temporary fiscal-monetary cooperation in the U.S. and Europe - which could involve central banks purchasing debt or anchoring borrowing rates. RON BOUSSO is the ROI...

Energy Markets

Mike Dolan: 'Global euro' must have more joint debt in order to be accepted.

After Christine Lagarde, the head of the European Central Bank, made a clear call for a global euro to prevent fraying Transatlantic relations, Europe has failed to significantly bolster its financial autonomy and investment autonomy. Some believe that Europe must now focus on the easy fruit, namely issuing more European Union bonds. Lagarde is more concerned about immediate matters on Thursday, as the ECB will be raising interest rates in order to reduce the inflationary impact of the?Iran-related oil shock. The report card for the first year of global euro adoption is disappointing. Last week, the ECB stated that despite...

Crude Oil

MORNING BID EUROPE - Tech and war worries sap confidence

Gregor Stuart Hunter gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. Oil is back in the spotlight and equity markets are struggling to find a footing after the selloff this week triggered by new?blows against the ceasefire?in?the Middle East. U.S. has?launched a new strike against multiple targets within Iran. President Donald Trump has promised even more attacks in the event of no peace agreement. Brent crude rose by 1.7% to $94.64 on Friday after the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps of Iran announced that it had targeted U.S. bases in Kuwait and Bahrain and threatened?to...

Western Europe

East Asia

Oil Refineries

Singapore's oil products inventories fall to a near 13-year low

Official data on Thursday showed that oil product inventories in Asia's main trading hub Singapore fell to their lowest level?in almost 13 years. This was due to a'sharp' decline in residual fuel stocks as the Middle East conflict continued. Enterprise Singapore's data shows that the combined onshore oil products stocks fell to 34.41 millions barrels during the week ending June 10. This is the lowest level since July 2013. The oil inventories at global storage hubs are shrinking, as Middle Eastern shipments continue to be curtailed by the U.S. - Iran?war. In the week ending June 10, inventories of residual...

Oil & Gas Refining

Saudi crude oil supply to China remains at record low

Saudi Arabian crude oil sales to China will likely remain at record lows this month as the high 'prices' in the wake of the U.S. and Israeli war on Iran continue to impact demand. Market participants closely monitor the allocations as a measure of Chinese demand. They indicate that refiners are reluctant to import barrels at high prices after run cuts, and because they have exhausted their domestic stocks. Saudi Aramco will ship 12 million barrels to China customers for July loading. This is about 387.096 barrels a day. Sources'requested anonymity because they weren't authorized to speak with the media....

Oil & Gas Refining

Sources say that China's Hengli is looking for oil in the Middle East and West Africa after sanctions.

Hengli Petrochemical in China, which was sanctioned by the U.S. because it allegedly purchased Iranian oil, bought at least 2 million barrels of West African crude and is seeking more mainstream supply. Six people have said that Hengli is seeking to buy oil from sources not sanctioned by Washington. The company was penalised in April for buying Iranian oil and denied doing so. Hengli, a privately owned refinery that operates in Dalian (northeast China) and produces 400,000 barrels per day, inquired recently about purchasing cargoes from West Africa and non-Iranian Middle Eastern oil?for deliveries starting June, according to multiple sources....

Energy Markets

Oil prices rise as Middle East tensions increase, Asian stocks fall

Asian stocks dropped on Wednesday, while oil prices surged as escalating Middle East tensions unsettled the markets. Dimming hope for an end to a months-long conflict that has driven commodities higher and stoked concerns about inflation. After President Donald Trump claimed that Tehran had shot down an American Apache helicopter in Strait of Hormuz investors were on edge about a fragile ceasefire. The broadest MSCI index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan fell 0.6%. The Nikkei of Japan fell by 0.9%, while the South Korean KOSPI, which is dominated by tech stocks, dropped 2%. In early trading, oil prices rose about...

Energy Markets

Asia stocks show a tentative rebound, but bonds are under pressure

The Asian stock markets tried to stabilize on Tuesday. Oil prices fell after Israel and Iran announced that they would halt their attacks against each other for the time being. Ever-hopeful investors, however, bought up the latest dip in semiconductor stocks. Analysts warned that the rebound was only a small one, with 60% of S&P 500 ending in the red over night even though the index as a whole edged upward. In early trading, share futures on Wall Street and Europe also fell. The Strait of Hormuz remains severely restricted, and higher bond yields continue to challenge equity valuations. Analysts...

Crude Oil

MORNING BID AMERICAS - Summer clouds

What is important in the U.S. and international markets today by Mike Dolan Editor-at-Large of Finance and Markets On Wednesday, the?S&P 500 did not achieve its 10th consecutive daily gain and some clouds are forming in the markets. Broadcom, the sixth largest company in the world by market capitalization, has stumbled despite the frenzy surrounding the hot chip sector. Stocks of the chipmaker dropped by more than 13% overnight after a slight miscalculation in sales and revenue estimates. This?reaction is a sign of the high bar that companies have to meet in order to impress the markets during the AI...

Crude Oil

China will reduce domestic retail prices of gasoline and diesel from June 5,

China will reduce domestic retail prices on 'gasoline and Diesel' from Friday, its second cut since the start of the Iran War which has caused global oil prices to rise and constrained global energy supplies. The National Development and Reform Commission, a state planner, announced on Thursday that the retail gasoline and diesel prices would be reduced by 525 Yuan ($77.52), and 505 Yuan ($50.52), respectively. A 50-litre fuel tank filled with?92-octane gas can be filled for about 20.5 Yuan less. After factoring in Thursday's price reductions, Beijing has raised diesel retail prices by 1,530 yuan a ton since the...

Refined Products

Sources say that South Korea's jet fuel exports returned to pre-war levels in May.

Analysts and trade sources reported that South Korea's refiners increased jet fuel exports to pre-Iran War levels in May, helped by an increase in?crude oil imports, and encouraged by the robust margins of refining. The rebound of?one of Asia’s top fuel exporters as seen in a series of spot cargo sales has eased concerns about a tight supply, and helped to cool down prices in the area. In the last two weeks, spot premiums on aviation fuel fell by 50% to about $2 per barrel. This compares to a record-high of more than 20 dollars in March. Data from Kpler...

Oil & Gas Refining

China is reportedly increasing its oil imports despite a decade-low.

Analysts and industry officials say that China will continue to draw on its record crude oil inventories, as refiners reduce imports while maintaining production curbs in order to minimize losses due to weak fuel demand. The tepid demand from the world's largest crude importer is partly limiting global oil prices. They have fallen 19% since May, despite a strained truce between the U.S.A. and Iran. And the Strait of Hormuz remains largely closed a third time. Beijing has taken a number of measures to protect the country against the soaring Middle East crude oil prices. These include maximizing domestic drilling...

Crude Oil

Mike Dolan: ROI-AI frenzy also fuels inflation heat

Iran's energy boom may mask a larger inflation concern. AI prices are rising, and this boom will outlast any Gulf hiatus. Not least the major central banks are watching the crude price fluctuations around the Iran conflict to see how it will affect the cost of living. The AI investment frenzy has also been fueling a flurry of factory activity, a rise in construction, and a possible increase in prices. The massive business investment expenditure is expected to reach trillions of dollars in the future. Already, it is affecting company earnings, stock prices and projections, as well the aggregate GDP....

Energy Markets

Asia stocks rebound as AI optimism offsets Middle East anxieties

Investors regained their footing on Tuesday in unsteady trades as they brushed aside doubts regarding the durability of a Middle East ceasefire and opted to return to AI-based plays. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan rose 0.4%, after trading began. The index fluctuated between gains and losses. Korean shares fell as much as 3,3%, despite an initial higher opening. Gains in China and Hong Kong helped stabilize the regional benchmark. S&P 500 futures fell 0.3% while the Nikkei225 in Japan dropped 0.7%. "This is not a revaluation of the AI market; it's a profit-taking following a blistering-fast run," said...

Crude Oil

Copper to gain for the second consecutive month on US-Iran Peace Deal Hopes

Shanghai copper prices rose on Friday. They are on track to reach a'second consecutive monthly increase, as the hopes of a U.S. - Iran 'peace deal' pushed down oil prices and dollar, easing concerns of a higher inflation? and a global sluggishness that could crimp a lowering of demand for a metal. As of 0520 GMT, the most traded copper contract at the Shanghai Futures Exchange had risen 0.9% to 104,940 Yuan ($15 478.45). The contract is up 2.9% this month. The London Metal Exchange's three-month copper contract fell 0.2%, to $13,670.50 a metric ton. Both contracts rose for the...