Crude Oil

LONDON/DUBAI - On Monday, the spokesperson for Iran's Foreign Ministry said that many conclusions had been reached regarding a "potential 14-point Memorandum of Understanding", but that this did not mean an agreement to end the "Middle East War" was imminent. Esmaeil Baghaei, the spokesperson for the Iranian government, explained that the framework focuses on a ceasefire and a U.S. navy blockade, in exchange for Tehran taking measures to ensure safe transit in the Strait of Hormuz. What stage are the discussions? Both sides are at odds over difficult issues, including Iran's nuke ambitions, Israel’s war with Hezbollah in Lebanon and...

The Memorial Day federal holidays on May 25 and May 24 will impact the release schedule for some major economic, energy, and commodities reports in Washington. The schedule is below. Time in EDT/GMT. Certain Treasury announcements may be subject to change. Monday, May 25, Memorial Day. Federal government offices, Federal Reserve and International Monetary Fund closed. Tuesday, May 26, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago releases National Activity Index for the month of April, 830/1230 S&P Cotality Issues 20 Metro Area U.S. National Home Price Index for March, 09:00/1300 Federal Housing Finance Agency releases U.S. House Price Index, March 2009, 9am/1300...

Investors questioned the prospects of a breakthrough at the U.S.-Iran talks. The two sides are still at odds over Tehran's uranium stocks and the Strait of Hormuz. The market is still headed for a loss this week. According to a senior Iranian source, no agreement has been made with the United States. The gaps are narrowing, but Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated that there have been "some positive signs" in negotiations. However, any toll system on the Strait would be unacceptable. Brent crude futures rose by $2.38 or 2.3% to $104.96 a barge at 0034 GMT. U.S. West Texas...

Investors were hopeful about possible progress in the Middle East peace talks on Thursday, even though the U.S. remained opposed to Iran's uranium stockpiles and its control over the Strait of Hormuz. The gap between the U.S. and Iran has narrowed according to a senior Iranian source. Marco Rubio, the U.S. secretary of state, said that there have been "some positive signs" during the talks. However, any toll in the Strait would not be acceptable. U.S. president Donald Trump stated that the U.S. would eventually recover Iran's highly enriched stockpile. The oil prices were higher in the morning, but the...

Investors weighed the prospects of progress between the United States, Iran and their war to end the talks. Oil prices dropped and U.S. stock markets were mixed on Thursday. The oil prices were higher in the morning, and major U.S. stocks also rose. Stock indices fell after reports that Iran's supreme ruler had issued a directive not to export the country's near weapons-grade uranium. This was a hard-line stance against a main demand from the United States. The order by Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei could complicate the talks to end the Iran War, and make the conflict that began...

Oil prices dropped?on Friday, continuing losses from the previous day as investors watched peace talks between Iran and the United States, while economic activity in Europe?shrank dramatically. Brent crude futures fell 82 cents or?0.8%? to $104.20 a barge by 0949 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Futures were down $60 cents or 0.6%?to $97.66. The benchmarks fell around 5.6% to their lowest level in over a week on Wednesday after U.S. president Donald Trump announced that talks with Iran are in the final stages. Tehran is responding to the text sent by the U.S., Iran's ISNA reported on Thursday. The news...

Russia announced?on Thursday it would provide active support to Cuba, despite efforts by the United States to 'intimidate' and tighten "sanctions" around the Communist island nation. The United States announced a murder charge against former president Raul Castro, Wednesday. This is a major escalation of Washington's war against Cuba. Maria Zakharova, spokeswoman for the Russian Foreign Ministry, told reporters that "we will continue to provide the most active support to a fraternal Cuban population during this extremely challenging period." "We reaffirm that we are fully united with Cuba. We condemn any attempts to grossly interfere in the internal affairs a...

The oil prices recovered on Thursday, after two days of losses. This was due to supply concerns arising from the uncertainty surrounding the end of the Iran War and the U.S. inventory withdrawal which raised fears about the depletion of global stocks. Brent crude futures grew 81 cents or 0.77% to $105.83 a barrel by 0055 GMT. U.S. West Texas intermediate futures rose 97 cents or 0.99% at $99.23. Both benchmarks fell more than 5.6% after U.S. president Donald Trump announced that negotiations with Iran are in their final stages. He also threatened to launch further attacks against Iran if...

The rise in borrowing costs and the artificial intelligence investment frenzy are closely related. A long-term productivity boom is boosting estimates of neutral rates, even though workers' share of GDP is declining. Some of the bond market volatility this month can be attributed to the Iran-related oil crisis and its immediate inflation impact. Stock markets are at record highs, but it's harder to explain them during an energy crisis. Goldman Sachs estimates that AI?capex will be $7.6 trillion in the next five-year period. This is the biggest driver for both bonds and stocks. Some circles remain opposed to the idea....

The global stock index dropped on Tuesday as 30-year U.S. Treasury rates rose to their highest level since 2007. Oil prices also eased, as investors digested recent headlines about U.S. negotiations with?Iran in order to end the conflict. U.S. president Donald Trump said on Tuesday that it may be necessary to strike again at?Iran. He also stated that he was an hour from ordering an assault before postponing. Trump said on Monday that he had put off a planned resumption after a new Iranian proposal to end the U.S. - Israel war. U.S. Vice-President JD Vance stated that the United...

Citi said on Tuesday that it expects Brent crude prices to rise to $120 per barrel in the short-term. It stated that oil markets undervalue the risks of a "prolonged supply disruption" and other "tail risks". The bank stated that its 'bull-case scenario' is that Brent prices will reach $150/bbl if the Strait of Hormuz gradually reopens during the third quarter. The oil prices fell on Tuesday, after Vice President JDVance stated that the U.S. had made progress with Iran in their talks. Neither side wanted to see military action resumed. Brent futures for the month of July?settled at $111.28...

Oil prices fell on Tuesday as investors digested headlines about U.S.-Iran talks to end the war. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said on Tuesday that the United States might need to strike Iran again and that he was an hour from ordering an assault before postponing. Trump said on Monday that he had put off a planned resumption after a new Iranian proposal to end the U.S. - Israel war. U.S. Vice-President JD Vance stated that the United States has made significant progress in its talks with Iran and that neither side would like to see the military campaign resumed....

U.S. Stock Futures climbed on Monday, while oil and the dollar fell. The prospect of an agreement to end the Iran War boosted risk appetite. However, a lack of clarity about when the 'Strait of Hormuz' would open kept enthusiasm in check. Energy prices have soared in response to the nearly three-month war in the Middle East. Worries about inflation and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, through which most world energy passes, has impacted global rates. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said that he told his representatives on Sunday not to rush any deal with Iran. His administration...

Three trade sources familiar with the issue said that China will only see a small increase in refined fuel exports from May to June, because Beijing plans to maintain export restrictions for a fourth month in order to protect domestic supply. Two sources said that June exports were estimated to be around 550,000 metric tonnes or slightly more than expected, compared to about 500,000 tons in May. The two sources and another person said that state oil firms must now seek approval from the government on a regular basis for every shipment they export. This is because China, the world's...

Ankur Banerjee gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets The markets are once again hoping for an end to the Iran War, despite the fact that both Washington and Tehran have said they are still 'far apart' on critical issues such as nuclear enrichment and the control of the Strait of Hormuz. Stocks rose on Monday after U.S. State Secretary Marco Rubio stated that there were "some positive signs" in the talks to end a war lasting nearly three months. He also said that any deal?that included Iran imposing an toll system on...

The?U.S. dollar rose to six-week highs on Friday, while Asian stocks also gained. The dollar was near its six-week highs, and oil prices were swayed by investors who held on to hope of a breakthrough in U.S.Iran peace negotiations. Investors are worried about the possible closure of the Strait of Hormuz. This is a vital artery that supplies energy to the world. It has caused oil prices to soar and changed the outlook for global interest rates due inflationary fears. Marco Rubio, the U.S. Secretary for State, said that there were "some positive signs" in the talks to end the...

Stocks rose on Thursday as some vessels resumed their passage through the Strait of Hormuz. Meanwhile, forecast-beating Nvidia results and a suspended workers' strike by Samsung Electronics boosted?shares of the chipmakers. The MSCI broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan rose 1.2% to end a four-day losing streak. Meanwhile, the KOSPI soared over 4%. Brent crude futures rose 0.7% in Asia to $105.76 per barrel, retracing their declines following the passage of three supertankers through the Strait on Wednesday. Iran also consolidated control over the waterway. Wall Street saw the S&P500 rise 1.1% and the Nasdaq Composite rally 1.5%, after three...

The global share market fell on Monday, as new drone attacks in the Gulf pushed oil prices and bonds yields higher. This stoked inflation concerns in a week where the tech bull will be tested with?earnings by Nvidia. The United Arab Emirates reported that a drone attack caused a fire at a nuclear plant. Saudi Arabia also reported intercepting three drones. The Strait of Hormuz, which is vital to the oil and gas industry in the world, remains closed for all but a small amount of shipping. This is because Tehran wants to formalise control of this waterway. George Lagarias...

Wayne Cole gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. There's a limit on 'wishful thinking. The markets had assumed that the U.S. would?see sense and reach a deal with Iran at any time. Tehran still seems to favor?attack drones and President Trump tweets in ALL CAPS. Investors have realised that the Strait of?Hormuz won't be opening anytime soon. There are still some ships passing through but not as many as the average pre-war of 136 per day. Global inventories are also steadily shrinking. Analysts estimate that 1 billion barrels will be lost by...

Asia share markets fell on Monday, as new drone attacks in Gulf drove up oil prices and bond yields. Meanwhile, the AI boom will be tested this week by the earnings of tech-diva Nvidia. Saudi Arabia intercepted three drones as U.S. president Donald Trump warned that Iran must "act fast" to reach an agreement. The Strait of Hormuz, which used to transport 20% of world oil trade, is still closed to all but the smallest of ships as Tehran attempts to formalise control of this waterway. Capital Economics analysts warned that the closure was draining oil stocks worldwide fast. "Inventories...

As U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar rose, gold fell to its lowest level in more than a week. Meanwhile, inflation fears due to the Middle East conflict reinforced bets on higher interest rates. By 11:40 am EDT (1540 GMT), spot gold had fallen 2.3% to $4,541.91 an ounce. This was its lowest price since May 4. So far, prices are down 3.7% this week. U.S. gold futures for June delivery fell 3.2% to $4,535 "There were a few reasons for the selloff in (precious) metals. The dollar is strong today. Edward Meir is an analyst with Marex. The yields...

During a leadership'summit with Donald Trump, President Xi Jinping stated his interest in buying more U.S. crude oil to reduce China’s dependence on Strait of Hormuz. The readout said that both leaders agreed the Strait of Hormuz should remain open in order to allow for the free flow of oil and Xi was against any militarization of the strait or tolls. The Chinese summaries published by the state media did not mention oil purchases. China's Foreign Ministry did not immediately respond to a comment request. Trump and Xi spent several hours together on Thursday, the first day of a two-day...

Gold remained largely unchanged on 'Thursday as investors digested a rise in U.S. Inflation due to increased energy costs associated with the Iran War. As of 0931 GMT, spot gold was up 0.1% to $4,689.79 an ounce. U.S. Gold futures for June delivery dropped 0.2% to $4,696.20. China's Xi Jinping said that the trade talks are?making good progress on Thursday at the beginning of a two day summit. However, he warned that disagreements over Taiwan may?damage relationships and even lead conflict. Gold is still hovering at $4,700 while markets digest the latest U.S. inflation figures. Carlo Alberto De Casa, a...

The stock market started Wednesday's Asian session in a negative mood, as the U.S. inflation rate was higher than expected and underscored the growing economic impact of the Middle East conflict. MSCI's "broadest" index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan fell 0.6% for the second consecutive day, as Korean shares dropped as much as 3.2%. They then recovered. In recent weeks the Korean market has been on fire, breaking records on a rally led by artificial intelligence that some traders believe was due for a correction. Nikkei was down by 0.2% in Japan, while S&P e-mini futures were 0.1% lower. Tony...