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Energy Markets

Goldman CEO: High oil prices could change consumer behavior in the second half of 2026

Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon believes that consumer behavior will change in 2026, as inflation rises due to higher oil prices. Solomon, speaking at the Economic Club of New York's?event, said that "you will see more changes in consumer behavior." The U.S. Inflation rate increased in April at the fastest rate in three years, largely due to higher energy prices resulting from the Iran War. This has led economists to believe that the Federal Reserve is likely to keep interest rates the same well into next. He said that he could see economic data over the next six-months that would...

Crude Oil

The world stock market rallies on AI optimism, but concerns about Iran continue

The global stock market rallied Tuesday on the back of AI optimism. Oil prices also rose amid growing uncertainty about a possible agreement to end the U.S. - Iran war. U.S. president?Donald??Trump stated that talks with Iran continue. Iran has been reviewing an agreement to end their war with the U.S. but hasn't communicated with Washington in a few days. Brent crude futures increased by nearly 1%, to about $96 per barrel. AI ENTHUSIASM Anthropic announced on Monday that it had filed a confidential application for a U.S. Initial Public Offering, edging out rival OpenAI in a closely-watched race to...

Energy Markets

Russell: Hormuz's losses can't be offset by the surge in US crude imports to Asia.

The record volume of U.S. crude oil arriving in Asia is not enough to compensate for the loss of cargoes due to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Asia's imports from the U.S. of crude oil were 63.56 millions barrels in May. This was the highest for a month, although at 2.05 million barrels daily (bpd), they were only slightly behind?the 2.07 million bpd that came out of June 2023. Kpler has tracked arrivals of 2,32 million bpd for June and 3,07 million bpd for July. The average import of U.S. Crude by Asia in the three-month period ending...

Energy Markets

Russell: Hormuz's losses can't be offset by the surge in US crude imports to Asia.

The record volume of U.S. Crude Oil is now arriving in Asia. However, it's not enough to compensate for the cargo losses caused by the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Asia's imports from the U.S. of crude oil were 63.56 millions barrels, which was the highest for a single month. However, at 2,05 million barrels per a day (bpd), they were only slightly behind the 2.07 million bpd in June 20223. Kpler has tracked arrivals of 2,32 million bpd for June and 3,07 million bpd for July. The average import of U.S. Crude by Asia in the three-month...

Energy Markets

Global stocks near record highs, as AI boom overshadows Middle East tensions

The AI boom drove demand on Monday, while news of new?attacks? in the Gulf tempered optimism for a reopening of Strait of Hormuz. This pushed up oil prices. Iran and the United States both claimed to have carried out military strikes, accusing each other of aggressive behavior as diplomatic efforts continue to try and end the three-month war. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, had been quiet about their progress before he posted that everyone should just "sit back and relax". On Saturday, Defense secretary Pete Hegseth stated that the U.S. would be ready to resume attacks against Iran if an...

Crude Oil

MORNING BID AMERICAS - AI and 1984

What's important in the U.S. market and globally today by Mike Dolan, Editor at Large, Finance and Markets The same obsessions with the market continue in a new month. Iran and AI are still competing for the attention of investors, but AI is currently winning. The momentum from last week looks to be continuing into Monday. Below, I'll explain more. Listen to the latest episode of the Morning Bid Daily Podcast. Subscribe to the Morning Bid daily podcast and hear 'journalists' discuss the latest news in finance and markets seven days a weeks. AI AND 1984 The U.S. and Iran...

Energy Markets

Oil prices rise on Gulf hostilities, as Asia stocks continue AI bull run

Asian share markets continued their bull run on Monday as the AI boom drove demand. This was offset by news of new attacks in the Gulf, which shook the optimism for a reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Oil prices rose. As?negotiators in Washington and Tehran work to reach a 'deal,' the U.S. Donald Trump was silent about their progress, until he posted that everyone should just "sit back and relax". On Saturday, Defense secretary Pete Hegseth stated that the U.S. would be ready to resume attacks against Iran if an agreement could not come about. In fact, it was...

Crude Oil

MORNING BID EUROPE - Who needs oil when you can buy AI?

Wayne Cole gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. Investors seem to be deciding that no news is better than bad news in regards to the Gulf peace negotiations. The President had stated that he would be meeting on Friday last week to decide whether to sign off an extension of the ceasefire. Since then, there has been no news, apart from Trump comparing himself to Elvis. Hegseth, the Defence Secretary, did say that if an agreement was not reached on a deal suitable for Iran then the U.S. might restart its attacks....

Energy Markets

Asia stocks rely on AI boom to offset Gulf risk

The Asian share market rose on Monday, as the 'boom in AI and all things AI' continued to drive demand. This offset a lack of progress made in Gulf peace talks that shook optimism about a reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Oil prices also rose. Although negotiators from Washington and Tehran appear to be working on a deal, Donald Trump has remained silent about their progress. Pete Hegseth, the Defense Secretary, said on Saturday that the U.S. is ready to resume attacks against Iran if no deal can be reached. Israeli advances into Lebanon to fight the Iranian-backed Hezbollah...

Crude Oil

Oil prices drop weekly on hopes of a Hormuz agreement; AI stocks reach record highs

Oil futures saw their biggest weekly drop in almost two months on Friday as traders awaited details about a possible deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and extend U.S. and Iran's ceasefire. U.S. sources claim that Iran and the U.S. have reached an agreement on lifting shipping restrictions and extending their ceasefire. However, President Donald Trump is yet to sign off and Iranian state media has not confirmed this. S&P 500 Futures were steady in the Asia session after the index closed at a record high overnight. Brent crude futures dropped about $1 per barrel to $92.69, a drop...

Energy Markets

Oil prices drop weekly on hopes of a Hormuz agreement; AI stocks reach record highs

Oil futures saw their steepest weekly drop in nearly two months on Friday as traders waited to hear more about a possible deal that would reopen the Strait?Hormuz, and extend the U.S.Iran ceasefire. Sources have told?that U.S.-Iran has reached an agreement to?extend the ceasefire and lift shipping restrictions, although U.S. president Donald Trump is yet to approve and Iranian state media stated that it was not finalised. S&P futures were unchanged in Asia's morning after the index closed at a record high overnight. Brent crude futures dropped about 50 cents per barrel to $93.17, a drop of over 10% for...

Crude Oil

Reports of a possible US-Iran ceasefire agreement cause oil to fall slightly

Prices of oil futures were slightly lower on the hope that a 'potential' deal would be reached to extend a U.S. - Iran?ceasefire. However, remarks by Vice President JDVance that they are "close" but "not quite there" yet kept prices at a minimum. Brent crude futures expiring on Friday were down 35 cents or 0.37% at $93.36 per barrel as of 0105 GMT. U.S. Oil Futures dropped 63 cents or 0.71% to $88.27 per barrel. Brent futures for August, the most actively traded, fell 46 cents or 0.50% to $92.24 Brent crude oil prices were down by more than 8%...

Europe

Energy Markets

Oil on Middle East conflict while AI bulls drive stocks higher

The dollar was 'on the verge of breaking through the 160 yen mark as new hostilities erupted in the Gulf following the failure of the U.S. - Iran peace?talks. Brent crude futures increased 1% to $94.74 per barrel. The dollar reached 160 yen and then paused as traders became cautious of possible Japanese intervention at that level. S&P futures were flat, and European futures fell 0.1%. However, the AI bull-run continued unabated in Asia where stock indexes reached record highs in Taiwan, Japan, and Korea. South Korean markets are closed. The U.S. Military said Iranian missile attacks against Bahrain, Kuwait,...

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Oil prices rise on Mideast missiles, while AI bulls drive stocks higher

The dollar was on the verge of breaking above 160 yen on Wednesday as new hostilities flared up in the Gulf following the failure of U.S.Iran peace negotiations. U.S. crude futures jumped about 2%, to $95.40 per barrel. The?dollar reached 160 yen and then stopped as traders became 'wary' of possible Japanese intervention at that level. S&P 500 futures fell, but the AI bull ran in Asia continued, with stock indexes reaching record highs in Taiwan, Japan, and other Asian countries. South Korean markets are closed. U.S. Central Command reported that Iran launched missiles against Kuwait and Bahrain. These were...

Crude Oil

Stocks rise on AI optimism, but jitters about Iran simmer

On Tuesday, global stocks rose, boosted by fresh AI optimism following Anthropic's move towards a U.S. Stock Market listing. Oil prices and bond yields also fell, on renewed hope of a U.S. Iran deal. Brent crude futures fell more than?1% under $94 per barrel on Tuesday, reversing the sharp gains of the previous session, after U.S. president Donald Trump stated that talks with Iran continue. The comments were made despite reports that Tehran had suspended indirect talks with Washington in order to end hostilities. This has kept investors on edge about the efforts to end the 3-month war, and highlighted...

Western Europe

East Asia

Oil & Gas Refining

China is reportedly increasing its oil imports despite a decade-low.

Analysts and industry officials say that China will continue to draw on its record crude oil inventories, as refiners reduce imports while maintaining production curbs in order to minimize losses due to weak fuel demand. The tepid demand from the world's largest crude importer is partly limiting global oil prices. They have fallen 19% since May, despite a strained truce between the U.S.A. and Iran. And the Strait of Hormuz remains largely closed a third time. Beijing has taken a number of measures to protect the country against the soaring Middle East crude oil prices. These include maximizing domestic drilling...

Crude Oil

Mike Dolan: ROI-AI frenzy also fuels inflation heat

Iran's energy boom may mask a larger inflation concern. AI prices are rising, and this boom will outlast any Gulf hiatus. Not least the major central banks are watching the crude price fluctuations around the Iran conflict to see how it will affect the cost of living. The AI investment frenzy has also been fueling a flurry of factory activity, a rise in construction, and a possible increase in prices. The massive business investment expenditure is expected to reach trillions of dollars in the future. Already, it is affecting company earnings, stock prices and projections, as well the aggregate GDP....

Energy Markets

Asia stocks rebound as AI optimism offsets Middle East anxieties

Investors regained their footing on Tuesday in unsteady trades as they brushed aside doubts regarding the durability of a Middle East ceasefire and opted to return to AI-based plays. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan rose 0.4%, after trading began. The index fluctuated between gains and losses. Korean shares fell as much as 3,3%, despite an initial higher opening. Gains in China and Hong Kong helped stabilize the regional benchmark. S&P 500 futures fell 0.3% while the Nikkei225 in Japan dropped 0.7%. "This is not a revaluation of the AI market; it's a profit-taking following a blistering-fast run," said...

Crude Oil

Copper to gain for the second consecutive month on US-Iran Peace Deal Hopes

Shanghai copper prices rose on Friday. They are on track to reach a'second consecutive monthly increase, as the hopes of a U.S. - Iran 'peace deal' pushed down oil prices and dollar, easing concerns of a higher inflation? and a global sluggishness that could crimp a lowering of demand for a metal. As of 0520 GMT, the most traded copper contract at the Shanghai Futures Exchange had risen 0.9% to 104,940 Yuan ($15 478.45). The contract is up 2.9% this month. The London Metal Exchange's three-month copper contract fell 0.2%, to $13,670.50 a metric ton. Both contracts rose for the...

Energy Markets

Oil gains after US-Iran ceasefire report

Oil lost gains on Thursday and traded lower briefly. A report by Axios claimed that U.S. officials and Iranians had reached an agreement to extend the ceasefire for 60 days and begin talks about Tehran's nuclear program. Brent crude futures rose 33 cents or 0.4% to $94.62 per barrel at 11:01 am EDT (1501 GMT). ?U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures rose 56 cents (0.6%), to $89.24. Both benchmarks fell a little after the report, before recovering some of their lost ground. Axios, citing U.S. official?and source involved in mediation, reported that the agreement between the U.S. The oil prices have...

Energy Markets

New peaks in shares as markets look at shaky US/Iran truce. Kiwi jumps

On Wednesday, Asian shares reached record highs and oil prices remained elevated as the markets awaited signs that a fragile truce between Iran and the United States would be extended. After Iran claimed that the U.S. violated the ceasefire, the dollar maintained gains from its previous session. The?dollar of New Zealand rose after its central bank maintained its policy rate but indicated that future increases will have to be made sooner. After the U.S. stock market reopened after a long holiday, Japanese and South Korean stocks reached new highs thanks to AI optimism. The mood remains fragile, though, as the...

Crude Oil

MORNING BID EUROPE: Markets cheer and central banks warn

Rocky Swift gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. Central bankers warn that inflationary damage has already been done, even though markets seem to have 'looked past the Middle East Crisis and the havoc this has caused on energy supplies. Share?markets have soared in Japan and South Korea, riding AI optimism that sent U.S. benchmarks soaring to new highs. This euphoria depends largely on the United States' and Iran's ability to reach a deal that will end their three-month conflict, and reopen Strait of Hormuz for oil shipping. These hopes were dashed by...

Crude Oil

BOJ's Ueda warns that temporary energy shocks could become persistent

Kazuo Ueda, the Governor of the Bank of Japan, said on Wednesday that central banks shouldn't merely rely on oil prices because a temporary energy spike can persist if it affects wages, expectations and pricing behavior. Ueda compared the various energy shocks Japan has experienced over the years. He said that the same increase in oil prices can have different effects on wages and expectations, on demand, on currency rates, and on other factors depending on how they are initially impacted. He said that if inflation expectations are high, and wages are increasing, there is a risk of a second-round...

Energy Markets

The wrong kind of 'boom to start the week'

What's important in U.S. and Global Markets Today By Mike Dolan, Editor at Large, Finance and Markets After a long holiday weekend in the United States, and other countries, markets were ready to celebrate signs that a peace plan with Iran was close to agreement. World crude prices fell nearly 7% on Monday, to below $100 a barrel. According to reports, the peace plan being discussed would include a 60-day extension of ceasefire and an eventual reopening of Strait of Hormuz. The news of the latest U.S. strikes against Iranian targets overnight exacerbated doubts about how quickly a final document...

Crude Oil

London copper stable as new US strikes on Iran weigh down on sentiment

London copper prices remained steady on Tuesday, as a weaker dollar was countered by higher oil costs after the latest U.S. strikes against?Iran shattered hopes of a resolution to the Middle East Conflict. This fueled concerns about the global economy outlook. By 0536 GMT, the London Metal Exchange's three-month copper was unchanged at $13,671 per metric ton. The most traded copper contract at the Shanghai Futures Exchange fell 0.4% to 104,990 Yuan ($15.451.64) per tonne. U.S. Secretary Marco Rubio stated on Tuesday that negotiating a deal with Iran would "take a few day," dispelling hopes of an imminent end to...

Energy Markets

MORNING BID EUROPE-Peace talks hit turbulence

Rae Wee gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. Oil prices climbed Tuesday after U.S. forces conducted what they called defensive'strikes' in southern Iran, just as investors were becoming more hopeful about a peace agreement?between the two nations. The strikes occurred as Iran's chief negotiator, its foreign minister and the Qatari prime minister met in Doha for talks on Monday about a possible deal with the U.S. that would end the war of three months. Washington and Tehran played down the hopes of an imminent breakthrough. This kept the optimism down, as the...

Energy Markets

Oil and dollar decline on Middle East Peace Hopes

U.S. Stock Futures climbed on Monday, while oil and the dollar fell. The prospect of an agreement to end the Iran War boosted risk appetite. However, a lack of clarity about when the 'Strait of Hormuz' would open kept enthusiasm in check. Energy prices have soared in response to the nearly three-month war in the Middle East. Worries about inflation and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, through which most world energy passes, has impacted global rates. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said that he told his representatives on Sunday not to rush any deal with Iran. His administration...