Crude Oil

Oil prices dropped more than 5% Tuesday, continuing this week's losses, on hopes that a U.S. Iran deal will end the Middle East war and allow oil to flow through the Strait of Hormuz. Meanwhile, technology shares weighed on the S&P 500 & Nasdaq. The details of the U.S.-Iran interim agreement began to emerge. U.S. president Donald Trump said it would rule out Tehran acquiring a nuclear weapon, and an official from the U.S. stated that it allowed Iran to immediately sell oil after signing. Brent crude futures dropped $4.21 or 5.1% to settle at 78.96 per barrel. U.S. West...

Anna Szymanski is the Editor-in Charge of Open Interest. As markets awaited further details about the terms of the preliminary U.S. Iran deal, and looked for indications that it could?lead a meaningful increase of tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz, the global stock rally appeared to?moderate? on Tuesday. The Reserve Bank of Australia and Bank of Japan both kicked off the busy week for monetary policymakers on Tuesday. The BOJ announced a?quarter-point?rate?hike of 1%. This is a new high for 31 years. Below, I'll go into more detail. Listen to the Morning Bid podcast. Subscribe to the Morning Bid...

According to Department of 'Energy data released on Monday, crude oil stocks in the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve have fallen to 340.3m barrels. This is the lowest level since 1983. It signals a?shortage of supplies at a time when?the u.s. Iran and the United States agree to a deal that will end the war in the Middle East and open up the Strait of Hormuz. The government's emergency stock fell by 8.9m barrels. This is the third-largest draw in history. The U.S. agreed to "loan" 172 million barrels to the facility in order to lower fuel prices which have risen...

Anna Szymanski is the Editor-in Charge of Open Interest. On?Monday, oil prices fell and global stocks rose after the United States reached a preliminary agreement with Iran. After more than three months of disruption, the memorandum of agreement should allow the?Strait of Hormuz to reopen. Donald Trump, the U.S. president and Shehbaz Sharif, the Pakistani prime minister announced that a deal was struck late Sunday night. The agreement, which is scheduled to be signed in Switzerland on Friday, leaves many questions unanswered. This may mean that market celebrations are premature. Below, I will go into more detail. Listen to the...

Kommersant reported that the Russian government had authorized a few oil refineries to produce fuels at lower environmental standards for the domestic market. This is because the country has been experiencing fuel supply disruptions. According to data collected by, media reports and social media posts have indicated that there are supply disruptions in Russia in a dozen different regions. Only two regions of Siberia, besides the Russian-held Crimea have formally?confirmed these disruptions. Last week, Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak requested fuel market forecasts in order to avoid problems with fuel distribution and meet domestic demand. Ukraine has been targeting Russian...

Kommersant reported that the Russian government had authorized a few oil refineries to produce gasoline and diesel fuel with lower environmental specifications for the domestic market. According to data compiled by, fuel shortages have been reported in Russia by media and social media users?in about a dozen different regions. Only two regions in Siberia, besides the Russian-held Crimea have confirmed shortages. Last week, Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak called for fuel market forecasts to protect against difficulties in fuel distribution. Ukraine has been targeting Russian refineries, fuel depots, and pipelines for several months in order to limit Moscow's financial support...

In Asia, stocks and bonds rose and the dollar dropped after U.S.-Iran agreed on a peace agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The deal also included a lifting of the U.S.'s blockade against Iran. U.S. crude oil futures dropped more than 4%. S&P 500 Futures rose 0.8%. The dollar fell broadly. The yen increased to 159.7 dollars per yen and the euro increased to $1.1616. Here are the comments of market analysts on this deal: MRE?SPEIZER MARKET STRATEGIST WESTPAC, AUCKLAND "It is positive for risky assets, positive for currencies that are risky, and negative for the U.S. Dollar." There...

Two sources familiar with the matter said that Exxon Mobil is about to name Alex Volkov head of global trade. Sources told the media that Tracey Gunnlaugsson was retiring. She has been in charge of the Trading Division since 2023. Exxon declined to comment. Volkov could not be reached for a comment immediately. Volkov is a Texas-based executive who has spent more than three decades with Exxon. His LinkedIn profile states that he held a variety of roles in the U.S.A., Russia, and London. He was a vice-president in various parts of the company, including global LNG, strategy, business development...

Open Interest (ROI),?will give you a summary of the week's financial performance with five charts every Friday. We will highlight the major trends, but also some surprising and sometimes overlooked moves. This week we have said a lot, now let's rely on the data. (1) LOSS LEADER ANNA SZYMANSKI. ROI Editor-in Charge: IPOs by loss-making firms have accounted for an increasing share of the total IPO proceeds in the last two years - amid the AI boom – after equity issuance dropped in 2022 due to the increase in interest rates. The trend is set to continue with Elon Musk's...

The Asian stock market?extended its global rally on the hopes of a Middle East Peace Deal. Meanwhile, the dollar and bond yields fell and oil prices reached?two-month highs, easing inflation fears. European bourses will?open? sharply higher with pan-regional futures up by 1.8%. Wall Street futures are up about 0.2% on the back of a strong overnight rally. Elon Musk’s SpaceX has been the focus of attention as it makes history by launching the largest initial public offering ever. The IPO raised a new record of $75 billion. This valued the rocket and spacecraft maker at $1.77 trillion, making Musk the...

After U.S. President Donald Trump cancelled plans to strike Iran, fears of an escalation in 'hostilities' following tit-fortat attacks earlier this week were reduced. Brent futures increased $1.21, or 1.3%, to $89.17 per barrel at 0042 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI), however, rose $1.23 or 1.4% to $86.48. Brent crude was 4.2% less than WTI on a weekly basis. Trump, who threatened to hit Iran'very hard,' called off planned strikes Thursday, saying that discussions with Iran have progressed. Fars, Iran's semiofficial news agency, reported that Tehran has not approved the text of any agreement. Tony Sycamore, IG's market...

The dollar, bond yields and oil prices all fell, easing inflation fears. Elon Musk’s SpaceX has been making history by launching the largest-ever initial public offer. The IPO raised a new record of $75 billion. This valued the rocket and spacecraft maker at $1.77 trillion, making Musk the first trillionaire in the world. Donald Trump announced on Thursday, just hours after threatening to launch more attacks on Iran, that a deal could be reached as early as this weekend. He said that negotiations with Tehran have reached the highest levels of Iran’s leadership, and were approved by a broad coalition...

Asian stocks gained modestly on Tuesday, following a rally the previous day?on news of a U.S. peace deal with Iran?. Investors also assessed a widely anticipated Bank of Japan interest rate?increase to a high of 31 years. The Nikkei rose 0.9%, to a record high of 70,000. This was after the Japanese central banks voted to raise its benchmark rate to 1%. S&P 500 futures recovered from early losses and traded flat. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific index outside Japan rose 0.4%. Korean shares rose 2.3%. Stocks in Hong Kong weighed down the benchmark index after China's retail sales and fixed asset...

Official data on Thursday showed that oil product inventories in Asia's main trading hub Singapore fell to their lowest level?in almost 13 years. This was due to a'sharp' decline in residual fuel stocks as the Middle East conflict continued. Enterprise Singapore's data shows that the combined onshore oil products stocks fell to 34.41 millions barrels during the week ending June 10. This is the lowest level since July 2013. The oil inventories at global storage hubs are shrinking, as Middle Eastern shipments continue to be curtailed by the U.S. - Iran?war. In the week ending June 10, inventories of residual...

Saudi Arabian crude oil sales to China will likely remain at record lows this month as the high 'prices' in the wake of the U.S. and Israeli war on Iran continue to impact demand. Market participants closely monitor the allocations as a measure of Chinese demand. They indicate that refiners are reluctant to import barrels at high prices after run cuts, and because they have exhausted their domestic stocks. Saudi Aramco will ship 12 million barrels to China customers for July loading. This is about 387.096 barrels a day. Sources'requested anonymity because they weren't authorized to speak with the media....

Hengli Petrochemical in China, which was sanctioned by the U.S. because it allegedly purchased Iranian oil, bought at least 2 million barrels of West African crude and is seeking more mainstream supply. Six people have said that Hengli is seeking to buy oil from sources not sanctioned by Washington. The company was penalised in April for buying Iranian oil and denied doing so. Hengli, a privately owned refinery that operates in Dalian (northeast China) and produces 400,000 barrels per day, inquired recently about purchasing cargoes from West Africa and non-Iranian Middle Eastern oil?for deliveries starting June, according to multiple sources....

Asian stocks dropped on Wednesday, while oil prices surged as escalating Middle East tensions unsettled the markets. Dimming hope for an end to a months-long conflict that has driven commodities higher and stoked concerns about inflation. After President Donald Trump claimed that Tehran had shot down an American Apache helicopter in Strait of Hormuz investors were on edge about a fragile ceasefire. The broadest MSCI index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan fell 0.6%. The Nikkei of Japan fell by 0.9%, while the South Korean KOSPI, which is dominated by tech stocks, dropped 2%. In early trading, oil prices rose about...

The Asian stock markets tried to stabilize on Tuesday. Oil prices fell after Israel and Iran announced that they would halt their attacks against each other for the time being. Ever-hopeful investors, however, bought up the latest dip in semiconductor stocks. Analysts warned that the rebound was only a small one, with 60% of S&P 500 ending in the red over night even though the index as a whole edged upward. In early trading, share futures on Wall Street and Europe also fell. The Strait of Hormuz remains severely restricted, and higher bond yields continue to challenge equity valuations. Analysts...

What is important in the U.S. and international markets today by Mike Dolan Editor-at-Large of Finance and Markets On Wednesday, the?S&P 500 did not achieve its 10th consecutive daily gain and some clouds are forming in the markets. Broadcom, the sixth largest company in the world by market capitalization, has stumbled despite the frenzy surrounding the hot chip sector. Stocks of the chipmaker dropped by more than 13% overnight after a slight miscalculation in sales and revenue estimates. This?reaction is a sign of the high bar that companies have to meet in order to impress the markets during the AI...

China will reduce domestic retail prices on 'gasoline and Diesel' from Friday, its second cut since the start of the Iran War which has caused global oil prices to rise and constrained global energy supplies. The National Development and Reform Commission, a state planner, announced on Thursday that the retail gasoline and diesel prices would be reduced by 525 Yuan ($77.52), and 505 Yuan ($50.52), respectively. A 50-litre fuel tank filled with?92-octane gas can be filled for about 20.5 Yuan less. After factoring in Thursday's price reductions, Beijing has raised diesel retail prices by 1,530 yuan a ton since the...

Analysts and trade sources reported that South Korea's refiners increased jet fuel exports to pre-Iran War levels in May, helped by an increase in?crude oil imports, and encouraged by the robust margins of refining. The rebound of?one of Asia’s top fuel exporters as seen in a series of spot cargo sales has eased concerns about a tight supply, and helped to cool down prices in the area. In the last two weeks, spot premiums on aviation fuel fell by 50% to about $2 per barrel. This compares to a record-high of more than 20 dollars in March. Data from Kpler...

Analysts and industry officials say that China will continue to draw on its record crude oil inventories, as refiners reduce imports while maintaining production curbs in order to minimize losses due to weak fuel demand. The tepid demand from the world's largest crude importer is partly limiting global oil prices. They have fallen 19% since May, despite a strained truce between the U.S.A. and Iran. And the Strait of Hormuz remains largely closed a third time. Beijing has taken a number of measures to protect the country against the soaring Middle East crude oil prices. These include maximizing domestic drilling...

Iran's energy boom may mask a larger inflation concern. AI prices are rising, and this boom will outlast any Gulf hiatus. Not least the major central banks are watching the crude price fluctuations around the Iran conflict to see how it will affect the cost of living. The AI investment frenzy has also been fueling a flurry of factory activity, a rise in construction, and a possible increase in prices. The massive business investment expenditure is expected to reach trillions of dollars in the future. Already, it is affecting company earnings, stock prices and projections, as well the aggregate GDP....

Investors regained their footing on Tuesday in unsteady trades as they brushed aside doubts regarding the durability of a Middle East ceasefire and opted to return to AI-based plays. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan rose 0.4%, after trading began. The index fluctuated between gains and losses. Korean shares fell as much as 3,3%, despite an initial higher opening. Gains in China and Hong Kong helped stabilize the regional benchmark. S&P 500 futures fell 0.3% while the Nikkei225 in Japan dropped 0.7%. "This is not a revaluation of the AI market; it's a profit-taking following a blistering-fast run," said...