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Asian stocks mix as investors prepare for tariff deadline

Investors were cautious on Wednesday after the U.S.-China trade talks ended without a substantive agreement, and before the Federal Reserve policy announcement.

The gains made by MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific index outside Japan in the morning have waned, and the index is now trading flat as traders digest corporate earnings reports.

Early European trading saw pan-regional futures up 0.15%. German DAX Futures rose 0.31%. FTSE Futures were flat.

Australian shares ended up 0.7%. Japan's Nikkei index fell 0.1%, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index dropped 1.3%.

The euro rose from its one-month low to $1.1555 as the markets assessed the EU's deal with Trump.

The next few days will be filled with several key central bank decisions and economic reports, as well as corporate earnings. This culminates in the August 1 deadline for tariffs set by U.S. president Donald Trump.

Federal Reserve officials are expected to keep interest rates the same at their policy meeting on Wednesday. However, there could be some dissent from central bankers in favor of lower borrowing costs.

Tom Kenny is a senior international economist with ANZ, Sydney.

He said in a podcast that some officials were concerned about tariffs leading to higher inflation expectations and more persistent pressures on prices, rather than just a one-off shock. "Our expectation is the Fed will be able to reduce rates at its September meeting."

Treasury bonds in the United States advanced ahead of a Fed meeting. The yields fell to their lowest level in nearly four weeks after a successful auction of notes with ten-year maturities that allayed concerns over dwindling demand for government debt.

Last week, the yield on 10-year Treasury Notes was 4.328%. This is the lowest since July 3. The yield on two-year Treasury notes, which increases with traders' expectation of higher Fed Fund rates, was unchanged at 3.873%.

Tariffs, corporate earnings

Bank of Japan will likely keep its policy unchanged Thursday. The focus will be on the comments it makes to determine when the next rate rise will occur after a recent trade agreement between Japan and the U.S. opened the door for the bank's rate increases to resume.

Some countries were preparing to negotiate with the U.S. until the last minute before Trump's deadline for a deal that would avoid "Liberation Day tariffs".

On Tuesday, U.S. officials and Chinese officials agreed that they would seek to extend their 90-day truce in tariffs. However, no major breakthroughs had been announced.

Officials in the United States said that it was up Trump to decide if he would extend the trade truce, which expires August 12, or if he wanted to see tariffs rise to triple digits.

Two Indian government sources say that India will also face higher U.S. duties -- between 20 and 25 percent -- on certain exports, as it delays new trade concessions before the deadline of August 1.

Three South Korean Cabinet-level Officials met with U.S. Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick to try and finalize a deal.

Prices of oil rose after Trump set a short deadline for Moscow to end the war in Ukraine. Brent crude futures increased 14 cents or 0.2% to $72.40 per barrel.

The earnings were mixed on Wednesday. UBS Group's profits exceeded analyst expectations. HSBC, however, missed estimates due to the mounting losses in China. German sportswear manufacturer Adidas also warned about the impact of U.S. Tariffs on its earnings.

Microsoft and Meta, two of the biggest U.S. technology companies, are expected to release their earnings on Wednesday. This will set the tone and pace for the rest the week and earnings season.

Chris Weston is the head of research for Pepperstone. He said, "It has been a good reporting season in the U.S., but now that the bar has been raised, these megacaps need to go all out and make a splash."

(source: Reuters)