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Oil & Gas

First the Fed dot then the guidance, and finally a hike. Mike Dolan

Federal Reserve quarterly "dot-plot" rate forecasts could soon lose the last projected rate reduction, the so called easing dot. The plot itself may disappear altogether. Markets would then have to determine if Kevin Warsh was really the inflation-hawk he claimed to be. It might still be a surprise to some investors if he's right. Before his first policy meeting, the new Fed chairman is busy setting up his stall. He consults his staff and gets ready for his first policy session. The guidance he receives on policy direction is not going to be easy. The three-month-long war in Iran and...

Fossil Fuels

Advent, ADIA-backed gas engine maker Innio raises $2.43 billion in US IPO

Investors flock to companies that are driving the AI boom, including gas engine manufacturer Innio. Innio, based in Munich, Germany, has a principal?shareholder - AI Alpine. The company is co-owned by Advent International, and Abu Dhabi Investment Authority. 90 million shares were sold at $27 per share, the highest price of the range indicated by the company. The listing comes against a favorable ?backdrop for AI infrastructure-linked firms, with investors flocking to companies powering the technology's buildout, from electrification ?to supply chain for data centers. Innio will be one of several companies, ranging from software to insurance, that list in...

Oil & Gas

Trump confirms calling Netanyahu insane in phone call

?U.S. Donald Trump admitted to calling Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu crazy during an angry phone call over the fighting in Lebanon while the U.S. was trying to negotiate a ceasefire with Iran. In an interview aired Wednesday, Trump, paraphrasing Axios, was asked if he called the long-time Israeli leader, "effing insane" and accused him ingratitude. Trump said, "I did," in a podcast called "Pod Force One". "I wouldn’t say angry. "I was a bit upset at his constant fighting with Lebanon." Trump continued to say that he and Netanyahu get on very well. Axios reported, citing an unidentified U.S....

Fossil Fuels

Trump claims Iran has agreed not to have nuclear weapons

U.S. president Donald Trump stated that Iran had agreed to?not have a nuclear weapons?and he will probably meet Supreme Leader Mojtaba?Khamenei at a certain point if "things work?out". In an interview that aired on Wednesday, Trump said about Iran: "They have already?agreed to not have a nuclear weapons." When asked about Khamenei?s involvement in the talks with the U.S. on ending hostilities Trump replied, "He is absolutely involved." ... "I think they have great respect for him." Trump claimed that he heard the Iranian leader saying?not too well' but giving his approval to the negotiations. Trump said that he did...

Fossil Fuels

Mike Dolan: Wild stock is moving beneath a surface that appears to be calm.

Wild swings in stock prices could indicate a market that is in its final stages of a speculative frenzy. Wall Street's fear gauge is dozing. It may take some good news to get it moving again. The AI boom is accelerating and attracting more and more tech and chip names from around the world. Even companies with a market cap of more than $200 billion have seen a 20% to 30% one-day increase. Dell's stock soared by 32% after its disastrous results on Friday. Hewlett Packard Enterprise soared 28% Tuesday after its own earnings report. Marvell Technology gained 25 percent...

Oil & Gas

PMI: UAE non-oil businesses grow in May, but the war and Hormuz standoff are weighing on growth.

A business survey released on Wednesday showed that the UAE's private non-oil sector grew only modestly in May, as the war in the area weighed on the output and growth of new businesses. The S&P Global UAE Purchasing Managers' Index, adjusted for season, rose from 52.1 to 52.6 in the month of May. This index is still above 50 which separates growth from contraction. The continued disruption of maritime trade in the UAE had a cascading effect on the economy during May. Export orders fell in May due to both the shipping disruption and the uncertainty about how long the...

Oil & Gas

PMI data shows that Saudi Arabia's non-oil private industry activity reached a three-month peak in May.

A survey on Wednesday showed that the non-oil sector in Saudi Arabia expanded at its fastest pace in three month in May as domestic demand improved. Supply chains also stabilised. However, business optimism was still'subdued' due to conflict in the region. S&P Global's seasonally adjusted Riyad Bank Saudi Arabia Purchasing Managers' Index rose from 51.5 to 52.8 in the month of May. The 50-mark?distinguishes growth from contraction. The output accelerated the most in three months after the March downturn that followed the start of the Iran War.?Firms cited normalising work conditions, renewed contracts, and stronger local demand. The subindex of...

Oil & Gas

Cambodia uses obscure UN processes to resolve maritime dispute between Thailand and Cambodia

Cambodia has been relying on the little-used UN arbitration procedure known as "compulsory reconciliation" to settle a long-running maritime border dispute with Thailand. It is hoping that this will resolve the dispute and allow it to unlock potential oil and natural gas resources worth billions of dollars. What is the CAMBODIA - Thailand dispute about? Since more than 25 years, Cambodia and Thailand both claim about 26,000 square kilometers of?sea? in the Gulf of Thailand. It is estimated that the disputed maritime belt contains nearly 12 trillion cubic foot of natural gas, and large quantities oil worth about $300 billion....

Fossil Fuels

Talks at a standstill in the Iran war as hostilities flare up again

On Wednesday, the Gulf was roiled again by reports of missile attacks against Kuwait. Meanwhile, diplomatic talks between Iran & the United States made little progress. Kuwait's army claimed that its air defenses intercepted hostile missiles and drones, while Bahrain reported a warning siren and advised residents to "go to the closest safe space". The United States claimed it had fired at a tanker heading toward Iran. The?news agency of Iran reported that there were explosions heard near Qeshm Island which is near the disputed Strait of Hormuz. This was just the latest in a series of similar flare-ups. The...

Coal

Indonesian business groups demand clarity on new commodity export rules

In a 'joint statement' received on Tuesday, business groups in Indonesia asked the government to provide technical guidance to its plan to centralise exports. The Indonesian Employers Association (IAA), along with associations of coal miners and nickel smelters, palm oil producers and miners, supported the new regulations, but expressed the hope that the government would collaborate with the private sector to implement them. They said that the government should "issue transparent technical guidelines" to eliminate negative speculative and maintain confidence on international markets in Indonesia as a global supplier of commodities. On May 20, President Prabowo announced that resource-rich Indonesia...

Fossil Fuels

US crude exports reach record highs in May, as the war with Iran tightens up global oil supplies

Ship tracking estimates revealed on Monday that U.S. crude oil exports reached a record of?5.6m barrels per day during May, as the Middle East Crisis boosted demand from Asian and European refiners for U.S. oil. U.S. and Israel's war against Iran caused the biggest ever disruption in the global energy market, with refiners scrambling to find alternatives to Middle Eastern supplies. The Strait of Hormuz is the conduit for a fifth of all oil and gas in the world. A key waterway was effectively shut down when the war began at the end February. According to Kpler data and analytics,...

Oil & Gas

Indian automakers sales increase in May despite rising fuel costs

India's leading?carmakers have reported increased sales in May. Maruti Suzuki, the market leader, said that bookings for its compressed -natural -gas vehicles had risen by 40% as fuel prices rose because of the energy shock caused by the Iran War. India increased petrol and diesel prices four times in May to offset losses due to soaring crude oil costs related to the Iran conflict. This added to the automakers' woes, as they are also dealing with higher raw materials costs, supply chain disruptions, and labour issues. All automakers reported increased domestic sales on Monday. Mahindra &?Mahindra, a maker of SUVs,...

Crude Oil

Refined Products

Sources say that South Korea's jet fuel exports returned to pre-war levels in May.

Analysts and trade sources reported that South Korea's refiners increased jet fuel exports to pre-Iran War levels in May, helped by an increase in?crude oil imports, and encouraged by the robust margins of refining. The rebound of?one of Asia’s top fuel exporters as seen in a series of spot cargo sales has eased concerns about a tight supply, and helped to cool down prices in the area. In the last two weeks, spot premiums on aviation fuel fell by 50% to about $2 per barrel. This compares to a record-high of more than 20 dollars in March. Data from Kpler...

Crude Oil

A ceasefire that is too far for the markets

Gregor Stuart Hunter gives us a look at what the markets will be like tomorrow in Europe and globally. Traders are battling with contradicting 'headlines': the renewed fighting between Iran and the U.S. on the one hand and the ceasefire?between Israel & Lebanon?on teh other. This time, there's no sign of a relief rally. Brent crude futures are just 0.7% down at $97.12 per barrel, after Lebanon and Israel agreed on a ceasefire. The agreement is conditional upon a complete cessation in fire by the Iran-aligned Hezbollah and the evacuation of its operatives out of the South Litani Sector. The...

Crude Oil

MORNING BID EUROPE - Marvelll is a suitable name for the newest AI darling

Tom Westbrook gives us a look at what the markets will be like tomorrow in Europe and globally. AI shares drove Asian equity markets to new records on Wednesday, despite fresh hostilities across the Middle East. Jensen Huang, the CEO of Nvidia and AI kingmaker, has announced that Marvell Technology, a chipmaker with a superhero-sounding name is the next trillion dollar company. This announcement sent its stock price higher than 30%. Market cap of $254bn is far from $1trillion, but peers are closing the gap at a rapid pace. In the past year, SK Hynix and Micron had barely $100...

Mining

Mineral Resources

Mineral Resources

As markets weigh US-Iran optimism, gold rises as the dollar and oil weaken.

The gold price rose?on Thursday as a result of lower?oil prices and a 'weaker dollar. Investors reassessed renewed expectations regarding a U.S. - Israel war against Iran. As of 0408 GMT, spot gold rose 0.7% to $4,464.69 an ounce. U.S. gold for August delivery rose 0.6% to $4491.70. Dollar eased making greenback bullion prices more affordable for holders other currencies. Gold's gains are still heavily dependent on oil and the dollar. It only rises when they retreat, so it is highly dependent on the positive U.S. Iran headlines to sustain any momentum," said Tim Waterer, Chief Market Analyst at KCM...

Mineral Resources

Iron ore falls to six-week low due to China's demand concerns

Iron ore prices continued to fall on Thursday, reaching a 'lowest level in over six weeks.' This was due to rising concerns regarding demand from 'China, the worlds largest steel consumer. Iron ore, the most traded contract on China's Dalian Commodity Exchange(DCE), fell by 0.96% at 0327 GMT to 774.5 Yuan ($114.32) per metric ton. This was its lowest level since April 20, As of 0317 GMT the benchmark?July Iron Ore traded on the Singapore Exchange had fallen 0.93% to $102.7 per tonne, after having hit its lowest level since April 14, at $102.5. Analysts said that demand for iron...

Mineral Resources

As markets weigh US-Iran optimism, gold rises as dollar and oil weaken.

Gold prices rose on 'Thursday', supported by lower crude oil prices and a weakened?dollar as investors reassessed renewed expectations of a resolution to U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran. As of 0218 GMT, spot gold rose 0.7% to $4,461.09 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery gained 0.5%, to $4487.90. Dollar eased making greenback bullion prices more affordable for holders other currencies. Gold's gains remain largely at the mercy of the dollar and oil. It only rises when they pull back. This makes it dependent on positive U.S. - Iran headlines to sustain momentum, said Tim Waterer. The Trump administration announced...

Mineral Resources

Germany opens window for dialogue between Europe and Russia

At a Wednesday briefing, a German government official said that a window of 'dialogue' is opening slowly between Russia and Europe on Ukraine. However, it will likely be months before any talks can begin. The official who requested anonymity said that it was important to create a dialogue format that Europeans would perceive as legitimate. The official also said that it was unclear who would lead these talks. However, there were strong indications that the E3 Group (Germany, France, and Britain) will continue to play a significant role in this regard. The Russian advance has slowed down this year. Ukrainian...

Mineral Resources

The price of gold eases due to Middle East tensions, which lift oil prices and US economic data.

The price of gold fell on Wednesday as renewed hostilities erupted in the Middle East, pushing crude prices higher, and stalling U.S. Iran talks. Investors awaited upcoming U.S. Economic Data. Gold spot fell by 0.5%, to $4460.36 an ounce, at 0702 GMT. It had risen more than 1% the previous session. U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery fell 0.7% to $4488.90. Gulf?hostilities erupted again, as the U.S. Military said that Iranian missile attacks against Bahrain, Kuwait, and?other targets in the region were either foiled or failed. U.S. Secretary of state Marco Rubio stated on 'Tuesday' that the negotiating team of...

Mineral Resources

The price of gold eases due to Middle East tensions, which lift oil prices and US economic data.

As renewed hostilities?in?the Middle East pushed?oil?prices higher, and stalled U.S.Iran talks, investors awaited upcoming U.S.economic data. After a rise of more than 1% the previous session, spot gold dropped 0.3%, to $4,471.38 an ounce, by 0511 GMT. U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery fell 0.5% to $4499.30. The market is examining the possibility that Trump will not push for a resolution to the peace deal with Iran, said Kelvin Wong. "If we see further escalation that could dampen any recovery that gold may have had." Gulf 'hostilities' flared up again on Wednesday. The U.S. Military said that Iranian missile attacks...

Mineral Resources

Gold remains stable amid Middle East tensions and US economic data is in focus

As 'investors' watched for a?development?in the Middle East, amid increasing inflation fears, and awaited US economic data to be released on Thursday, gold prices held steady. Gold spot was unchanged at $4485.17 an ounce as of 0319 GMT after rising by over 1% the previous session. U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery fell 0.1% to $4,513.60. The market is now looking at the possibility that Trump will push for a resolution to a peace agreement, even though Trump wants to see a ceasefire with Iran. Kelvin Wong said. If we see a further increase in the price of gold, it...

Mineral Resources

Copper falls from two-week highs as investors pause following rally

Copper prices fell on Wednesday, as investors locked-in profits after the metal reached a two week high. However, uncertainty around a U.S. Tariff on the metal limited losses. As of 0245 GMT, the benchmark three-month price for copper at the London Metal Exchange fell?0.43%. It was $13,980.50 per metric ton. It?touched an over two-week-high and surged beyond the $14,000 mark on Tuesday. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most active copper contract gained 0.78%, to 106 820 yuan (15 785.90 dollars) per ton. This is lower than the evening trading high of 107.420 yuan, which was set three weeks ago. As the...

Mineral Resources

Iron ore prices fall due to a weak steel market and dwindling margins

Iron ore fell on Wednesday due to a thinning of steel margins and a seasonal decline in demand from the top consumer, China. As of 0309 GMT, the most-traded contract for iron ore on China's Dalian Commodity Exchange dropped 0.57%, to 780 yuan ($115.27), per metric ton. As of 0259 GMT, the benchmark July iron ore traded on Singapore Exchange fell 1.22% and was at its lowest level since April 15, $103.95 per ton. In a post on WeChat late Tuesday, the steel association, a state-backed organization, said that the steel market had entered its traditionally low demand season sooner...

Mineral Resources

Gold prices rise as oil prices fall, easing inflation and rate hike fears

Gold prices rose by 1% on Tuesday, boosted by lower U.S. Treasury yields. Meanwhile, oil prices fell, easing fears of rising inflation and interest rates. By 1136 GMT, spot gold had risen 1% to $4,526.7 per ounce. U.S. gold for August delivery rose 1.2% to $4,58.60. After U.S. president Donald Trump announced that talks with Iran are ongoing, oil prices dropped. Lower fuel prices reduce inflation fears and may also help to reduce bets on higher interest rates. Gold is traditionally viewed as a hedge to inflation. However, in an environment of high interest rates it loses its appeal as...

Mineral Resources

Copper reaches a two-week high amid US Tariff Uncertainty

The market was supported by tighter supply and tariff uncertainty outside the United States, as well as by a rise in copper. Aluminium also reached a four-year high. Benchmark three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange was up 1% to $13,966 per metric tonne at 0915 GMT, after touching $13,994 earlier. Investors will be waiting for a possible tariff recommendation by the U.S. Department of Commerce at the end of this month. Last year, the prospect of a similar duty helped to boost prices. However, it never materialised. Tom Price, an analyst at Panmure Liberum, said that investors with whom...

Mineral Resources

Gold prices rise as oil prices drop, easing inflation and rate hike fears

Gold prices rose by more than 1% on Tuesday as a result of lower U.S. Treasury yields. Meanwhile, oil prices fell, easing fears about higher interest rates and inflation. By 0900 GMT, spot gold had risen 1% to $4,525.72 per ounce. U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery rose 1.1% to $4,556. Oil prices dropped after U.S. president Donald Trump announced that talks with Iran are ongoing. Lower fuel prices reduce inflation fears and bets on higher interest rates. Gold is traditionally viewed as a "hedge" against inflation. However, in an environment of high interest rates it becomes less attractive as...