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Sovecon increases its 2025 Russian wheat production forecast on the basis of improved prospects in Siberia, Urals and Ural

Sovecon increases its 2025 Russian wheat production forecast on the basis of improved prospects in Siberia, Urals and Ural

The grain consultancy Sovecon announced on Wednesday that it has raised its forecast of Russia's wheat crop for 2025 to 85.4 millions metric tons. This is up from the previous estimate, which was 85.2 million tons. It cited improved prospects in Siberia as well as the Urals.

Sovecon analysts stated in a report that the wheat forecast has been revised upwards as yields are expected to reach record levels in these regions due to favorable weather conditions.

Sovecon reported that the overall estimate of grain and pulse production remains unchanged, at 130.5 millions tons.

The Russian statistics agency has revised the data regarding the area sown. The weather conditions in the south made it less likely to grow corn. It reduced its forecast from 14.3 millions tons to 13.4 due to unfavorable conditions.

Andrey Sizov of SovEcon said that "yields continue to confirm our expectations".

"However, although good crops may offset the losses in the South, it will take some time to deliver this wheat to Azov or Black Sea ports. This complicates Russia's export programme over the next several months - which is often the most important period of the year."

The Russian IKAR consulting firm raised its forecast for 2025 wheat production to 85.5 millions metric tons, up from 84.5million tons.

The Ministry of Agriculture has forecast a grain harvest of 135, 000 tons in 2025, which includes 88-90 millions tons of wheat. (Reporting and writing by Olga Popova, Anastasia Teterevleva, Editing by Mark Trevelyan).

(source: Reuters)