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Energy Markets

The Latvian government has lost its majority in the parliament due to its handling of Ukraine drone incidents

Evika Silina, the Latvian Prime Minister, was left without a majority in the 'parliament' on Wednesday after the 'left-wing Progressives Party' announced that it would withdraw its support. This decision comes after the Progressives' defence minister Andris Spruds was fired at the weekend for his handling of incidents with stray Ukrainian drones that flew into Latvia from Russia. Andris Suvajevs, the parliamentary leader of the Progressive Party, told the media that the current Prime Minister "doesn't have nine votes" from the Progressives after meeting Silina. He added: "Therefore, we?call President Edgars Rinkevics?to?begin the political consultations about the?formation a new government...

Oil & Gas

Oil & Gas

Two Ukrainians killed in Russian attacks; Kyiv drones attack central Russia

Local officials reported that two people had been?killed? and 19 others injured overnight in Russia's attacks on Ukraine, while Ukraine sent drones into industrial areas of central Russia. Local authorities in Ukraine reported that two people died and six were injured when Russia attacked the city of Dnipro, located on the south-east coast, with artillery and missiles. Authorities?added that another 13 injuries were reported in the northern Sumy Region and the southern region of Zaporizhzhia. Three children included. We could not independently verify these reports. Russia and Ukraine deny targeting civilians. DRONES TARGET INDUSTRIAL AREA?IN RUSSIA According to Russian officials...

Oil & Gas Refining

Energy Minister says that Serbia will submit its final proposal to Hungary on NIS.

Energy Minister said that Serbia will present its final offer to MOL, the Hungarian oil company, on Friday, in response to the Hungarian bid for NIS, the operator of the Balkan nation’s only refinery. Gazprom and Gazprom, two Russian companies, agreed in January to sell their 56% stake in NIS majority to MOL after the U.S. demanded that Russian shares be divested due to sanctions imposed by the U.S. over Moscow's involvement in the war in Ukraine. We had intensive discussions yesterday and the previous day with representatives of MOL. "We agreed on certain topics," Energy Minister Dubravka Handanovic, was...

Oil & Gas

Energy Minister says that Serbia will submit its final proposal to Hungary on NIS.

Serbia's energy minister said that it will present its final proposal to MOL on Friday regarding the Hungarian company's bid for NIS to be acquired by MOL, the operator of the Balkan nation’s only refinery. Gazprom and?Neft, two Russian companies, agreed in January to sell their 56% stake in NIS majority to MOL after the U.S. demanded that Russian shares be divested due to sanctions imposed by the U.S. over Moscow's involvement in the war in Ukraine. Washington has given MOL and the Russian companies until May 22 for the sale to be completed. This will require the Serbian government's...

Refined Products

Pentagon: US war on Iran has cost US $29 billion to date

A senior Pentagon official stated on Tuesday that the United States war in Iran has cost $29 billion so far, which is an increase of $4 million from an estimate given late last month. The Democrats have been able to gain a lot of ground in the public opinion polls, as they try to tie the war to cost of living issues. The Pentagon announced on April 29 that the war had already cost $25 billion. Jules Hurst who performs the duties of comptroller told lawmakers that the new costs included updated repair and replacing equipment?and operational expenses. Hurst stated...

Oil & Gas

Russia scales back its WW2 victory parade amid growing concerns over the war in Ukraine

The Russian Victory Day Parade will be the smallest in recent years due to the threat of an attack by Ukraine. Moscow's forces have been unable to win the war, which has been the deadliest European conflict for more than four years. The parade on Red Square, which takes place May 9, is Russia's most revered national holiday. It's an opportunity to commemorate the Soviet Union's triumph over Nazi Germany, and pay tribute to the 27,000,000 Soviet citizens who died, many of whom were Ukrainians. The parade, which was once used to display Russia's military might, including its intercontinental missiles...

Jet Fuel

Russia promises to assist Cuba in overcoming US 'blackmail' and threats

Russia stated on Friday that it stands in solidarity with Cuba, and will continue to provide humanitarian aid for the island-republic run by communists. It rejected what it called threats and blackmail from Washington. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, has stated that he hopes to "take Cuba", but Washington is also calling on Havana to allow greater political and economic freedoms. Maria Zakharova, spokeswoman for the Russian Foreign Ministry, told reporters that "against the background of the malicious and targeted escalation?against Cuba we reaffirm solidarity with the Cuban Government and the Cuban People." "We reject threats and blackmail in foreign...

Crude Oil

Russia maintains oil supplies, but says it has no new OPEC+ initiative

The Kremlin announced on Thursday that Russia maintains a?flow of its 'oil? to?world-wide markets, thereby helping limit the impact the crisis triggered from the Iran war. However, it does not have any specific initiatives to suggest within OPEC+. "At this time, we are?contributing to stabilizing the prices and minimizing any consequences of the global energy crisis. "Russia continues to supply oil," Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said in a daily conference call with journalists. "Demand increases, but the oil supply on the market does not increase, it actually decreases. He said that there are "no other initiatives" on the agenda. According...

Oil & Gas

Term sheet shows that a Sinopec unit sold CATL shares worth $770 million.

A term sheet showed that a unit of Sinopec had sold 8.5 millions Hong -Kong listed shares of CATL on Wednesday for $770 million. The company was able to cash in on the soaring stock performance of the Chinese electric vehicle -battery manufacturer. The term sheet examined by revealed that Sinopec (Hong Kong), in an accelerated stockbuild, sold shares at HK$708 (US$90.41), a discount of approximately 3.8% from the closing price on Tuesday for Contemporary Amperex Technology Co Ltd (CATL). According to the term sheet, Sinopec also agreed to a 90 day lock-up period on its remaining CATL stake. According...

Oil & Gas

Kremlin: Top officials offer Putin ideas to revive economy after recession

The Kremlin announced on Thursday that President Vladimir Putin had scolded the top Russian economic officials for a decline in the economy during the first two month of the year. Since 2023 the Russian war economy has been outperforming the G7 average, even though it slowed last year. Putin announced on Wednesday that Russia's economy contracted between January and February. Putin said the economic trajectory was below expectations at the beginning of a Kremlin meeting with Russia's top economic officials on Wednesday. He asked the officials to provide him with detailed options for how to rectify the situation. Dmitry Peskov,...

Oil & Gas

Putin criticizes Russia's top officials over economic contraction

On Wednesday, Russian President Vladimir Putin scolded top officials after the economy shrank by 1.8% during the first two months of the year. He asked them to 'come up with new measures that will boost the economic growth. The tight monetary policies of the central bank and Western sanctions that target the oil revenues of the country are the main reasons for the slowdown in Russian growth. The International Monetary Fund has raised its estimate of Russia's GDP growth in 2026 from 0.8% to 1.1% after the Middle East crisis spiked oil prices in March. The government has forecast growth...

Oil & Gas

Foreign Minister says that Russia is ready to assist China with energy before Putin's visit.

Russian news agencies reported that Sergei Lavrov, the Foreign Minister of Russia, said on Wednesday in Beijing at a press conference that Russia was'ready to increase its energy supply to China before an expected visit by President Vladimir 'Putin. Vedomosti cited sources who said that it would be during the week of May 18th. President Xi Jinping and Lavrov met on 'Wednesday', assuring Moscow that China is a friend of Russia and saying that China and 'Russia' must work together, trust each other and protect each other's interest. Lavrov said at the press conference that Russia is ready to provide...

Oil & Gas

US extends waiver to Lukoil fuel stations in Russia

The Trump administration has extended the waiver that allows Lukoil service stations to operate outside of Russia until late October. This is a small exception to sanctions imposed by the U.S. last year in order to reduce revenues supporting Moscow’s war in Ukraine. Treasury Department announced on its website on Tuesday that the waiver for 2,000 stations in Europe, Central Asia and the Middle East, as well as the Americas, has been extended to October 29. In October, President Donald Trump imposed sanctions on Lukoil and Rosneft - Russia's largest oil companies - causing interest among potential buyers for the...

Fossil Fuels

Fossil Fuels

Kremlin: Gas pipeline proposal is on agenda for Putin-Xi Summit

On a visit to 'China' this week, Russian President Vladimir Putin is expected to discuss all aspects of bilateral ties with Chinese President Xi Jinping, including the proposed Power of Siberia 2 pipeline. Yuri Ushakov told reporters that Putin would arrive in China Tuesday evening, and will meet Xi on Wednesday morning. The Russian delegation includes senior officials, as well as the heads of major companies such as Rosneft, Novatek, and Gazprom. The Power of Siberia 2 project, which has been long discussed, could deliver 50 billion cubic meters (bcms) more of gas annually from Russia's Arctic Gas Fields via...

Fossil Fuels

Kremlin claims that the Russian government has maintained economic stability, despite a downgrade in growth forecast

The Kremlin announced on Tuesday that the Russian government has taken all necessary steps to ensure economic stability, despite Moscow being forced to reduce its forecasted growth for 2026. The Russian Economy Ministry has revised its forecasts for the growth of GDP in 2026, reducing it from 2.8% to 1.4% and 2027 from 2.8% to 0.4%. Alexander Novak, Deputy prime minister, said on Tuesday that the growth rate was expected to be 2.4% by 2029. Dmitry Peskov, the Kremlin's spokesman, told reporters that Vladimir Putin is closely involved in economic issues and that Russia can "talk confidently about macroeconomic stability"...

Fossil Fuels

Russia and Ukraine accuse one another of violating the ceasefire

Russia and Ukraine both accused each other of a violation of a ceasefire that was announced by Moscow to cover the celebrations marking the Soviet Union's triumph over Nazi Germany. Sergei Sobyanin, the Moscow mayor, said that the city had been targeted. Officials also said that the Urals region of Perm was attacked by drones. Russia has announced a ceasefire from May 8 to 10, when they celebrate the Soviet Union's triumph over Nazi Germany. They will also hold a military parade in Moscow. Russia warned that any attempt to disrupt the celebrations by Ukraine would result in a massive'missile...

Mining

Oil Refineries

Oil Refineries

Kremlin: Lithuanian minister's remarks about attacking Russian exclave "verge on lunacy"

On Wednesday, the Kremlin called Lithuania's top diplomat's remarks "bordering on insanity", after he said that NATO must?show Moscow they are capable of penetrating Russia's exclave Kaliningrad. Kaliningrad is an exclave on the Baltic Sea coast that lies between NATO member Lithuania and Poland. It is home to around 1,000,000 people and is heavily military, as it serves as the headquarters for Russia's Baltic Fleet. Budrys' country, which is a staunchly allied ally of Ukraine in its fight against Russia, stated in an interview published by the Neue Zurcher Zeitung on Monday that "we?have to prove the Russians we are...

Oil Refineries

Russian seaborne oil product exports rose 10% m/m between May 1-15, according to industry data.

According to LSEG data and other market sources, Russia's seaborne exports of oil products rose 10% a month on average in the first fifteen days of May as key ports re-established fuel loadings. The release of fuel inventories accumulated during previous disruptions due to drone attacks was the main driver for fuel export growth, traders reported. However, May shipments were still limited by unplanned and seasonally-related refinery maintenance as well as rising domestic demand. Primorsk is the largest port in Russia for the export of ultra-low sulphur (ULSD) diesel. In the first half, it loaded 710,000 tons of ULSD, which...

Oil Refineries

Estonian spy chief: Putin is faced with'very hard choices' in Ukraine, as sanctions bite

Estonia's chief of foreign intelligence said that Russian President Vladimir Putin is limited in his options for a victory in Ukraine, as his military forces are unable to make significant progress on the battlefield and Western sanctions are eroding his resources. Kaupo Rosin is a leading'spy' on NATO’s eastern flank. He told us that Russia was losing more men in its?fifth full-scale year of war than they were recruiting. A general mobilisation, he said, would be unpopular and could undermine stability. "All these factors are creating a scenario where some people, including those at the highest levels in Russia, understand...

Oil Refineries

Authorities say that a suspected Ukrainian military drone crashed in Lithuania

The National Crisis Management Centre of the Lithuanian government said that a suspected Ukrainian military drone crashed in Lithuania on Sunday. Reporters were told that the drone had not been detected upon its entry into Lithuania and it was not armed. The centre reported that the drone was found in the village of Samane. This is about 40 kilometers from the Latvian border and 55 kilometers from Belarus. Kyiv is yet to comment on this issue. Separately the 'Latvian Army' said that a drone alert had been issued Sunday morning along the border with Russia. NATO fighters from a Baltic...

Oil Refineries

The Latvian President proposes an opposition politician as the next Prime Minister

Edgars Rinkevics, the Latvian president, proposed Andris Kubergs as the next prime minister after 'Evika Silina' resigned. Silina announced on Thursday that she would be stepping down. This caused the collapse of her entire coalition, just months ahead of an October election. Kulbergs will be able to take office as the leader of United List, the largest opposition bloc in Parliament if his cabinet and he are approved by lawmakers. "Given recent events, I believe the new 'prime minister' should come from the opposition parties," said?Rinkevics at a press conference. Silina fired Defence Minister Andris SPruds at the weekend, after...

Oil Refineries

Poland claims to have intercepted Russian aircraft in the Baltic Sea

?Poland's air force intercepted an?Russian reconnaissance aircraft in international waters of the?Baltic Sea. The Russian flight was deemed a provocative act and a potential threat. The machine flew in international airspace with its?transponders off and without a flight plan. The Polish army stated in a social media post that there was no violation to?Polish airspace. Defence Minister Wladyslaw KsiniakKamysz stated that flights without transponders could be a 'threat to other aircraft' and 'that its pilots would always respond immediately. "Our aircraft intercepted an Il-20 Russian reconnaissance aircraft in international waters of the Baltic Sea." "This is yet another aggressive act...

Oil Refineries

Hungary summons Russian Ambassador over drone attacks on Western Ukraine

Hungary summoned Russia’s embassy over a drone strike on western Ukraine, said Prime Minister Peter Magyar?on Wednesday. Russia launched a drone attack against Ukraine on Wednesday morning, killing three people and damaging critical infrastructure. Magyar stated during a press conference held following the first cabinet meeting of the new Hungarian Government that the Russian ambassador was summoned on Thursday morning to the Foreign Ministry to meet with Anita Orban. Orban, who will attend the meeting, will ask the ambassador to tell him when Russia intends to end its four-year war with Ukraine. Orban had earlier said on Wednesday in a...

Oil Refineries

Kremlin: Peace in Ukraine still far away

The Kremlin said on Saturday that the United States was in a hurry to clinch a peace agreement to end the Ukraine War, but that it would be a long time before they could reach any kind of agreement because the issues are so complex. Russia and Ukraine confirmed that they had agreed on a three-day ceasefire, which will run from May 9 through May 11. U.S. president Donald Trump said he hoped that it would be prolonged. Pavel Zarubin, a reporter for state television, was told by Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov that it is understandable why the Americans are...

Oil Refineries

Ukraine considers sending security experts in Baltic States amid drone incidents

The 'foreign minister' of Ukraine said on Friday that the country is considering sending a team to help improve air security in the Baltic States after two drones, allegedly from Ukraine, crashed into Latvia. NATO members Latvia and Lithuania, which border Russia have reported several incidents of this nature in the last few months, as Ukraine intensified its 'long-range attacks' against their enemy. Andrii Sybiha said that if it is confirmed that the drones were Ukrainian and were intentionally knocked from their course by Russia's electronic war, we will sincerely apologize to our Latvian Friends. He said that "we are...

Oil Refineries

Ukraine accuses Russia of violating ceasefire initiated by Kyiv

Ukraine has accused Russia of violating the ceasefire that was initiated by President Volodymyr Zelenskiy on Wednesday at midnight. Officials reported one death and three injuries in frontline areas of the north and east. Andrii Sybiha, Ukrainian Foreign Minister, said that Russia violated the ceasefire initiated between midnight on May 5th and 6, when it was announced by Ukraine. Sybiha reported that Russian attacks continued through the night and included morning strikes in Kharkiv, Zaporizhzhia. He said that "this shows that Russia rejects the peace and their fake calls for ceasefire on May 9th has nothing to do diplomacy." Sybiha...

Crude Oil

Data shows that the Russian oil price has exceeded budget by 46% in April.

Calculations showed that the Russian oil price, in roubles,?used to calculate taxes? exceeded the level assumed in federal budgets by?46% during the first half of April due to a rise in global oil prices. Due to the unprecedented disruption in supply caused by the U.S. and Israeli war against Iran, the global oil prices rose 50% in March. This was a record-breaking run. This month, they have fallen below $100 per barrel and further weakened this week due to the anticipation of a peace deal. Anton Siluanov, Minister of Finance in Russia, said that oil is the main export for...

Oil Refineries

US allows Rosneft German transactions despite Russia sanctions

The United States issued on Thursday a 'general licence' exempting transactions that involve the 'German unit of Russia’s Rosneft’ from?U.S. sanctions. The U.S. Treasury Department announced that sanctions would be imposed on the Russian company Rosneft. This will provide Berlin with much-needed clarity about the future of the business. The license, which has no expiration date, replaces the one that was set to expire April 29. The extension of the existing U.S. sanction waiver reduces the risks of disruptions to German refining operations, at a moment when the conflict in the Middle East escalates and is unsettling the global energy...