Fossil Fuels

Donald Trump's favourite word is "tariff", and his continued use of the term last year caused fear in the markets, as the U.S. administration unilaterally implemented the most protectionist trade policies since 1930s. The bark was worse than the bite. Just over a month has passed since Trump declared "Liberation Day" and the average U.S. Tariff rate is lower in April 2025 than many had feared. The daily effective pre-substitution rate, at just over 10%, is four times higher than it was at the end of 2024. Tariffs are barely a?record in today's financial markets. This is partly because investors...

Donald Trump's favourite word is "tariff". His administration's unilateral protectionist trade policies of the 1930s were a cause for concern in the markets. The bark was worse than the bite. Just over a month has passed since Trump declared "Liberation Day," but the average U.S. Tariff rate is now lower than what many had feared for April 2025. At just under 10%, however, the daily effective rate before substitution is still four-times its level at the end 2024. It's also the highest, barring last year, since the early 1940s. Tariffs barely register on the financial markets of today. This is...

The world's central bank forum and watchdog have?warned investors against being swept up in this frenzy. The Basel-based Bank for International Settlements, in its annual report on the?state of world finance? on Sunday did not doubt the AI buildout's scale -- but was concerned about the "hangover" when spending peaks. As the U.S. and Israel war against?Iran continued to rumble in the background U.S. chipset stocks rallied by 75% in the second quarter of 2026, driven by another wave in capital expenditure forecasts coming from hyperscalers who are racing to build AI infrastructure. This has caused supply bottlenecks, chip shortages,...

Wang Di, China's embassy to Canada, said that the Lotus electric cars from Geely Holding Group will be arriving in Canada by next month as a result of an agreement signed between Chinese President Xi Jinping and Prime Minister Xi Carney. The vehicles will be the 'first' Chinese-owned, manufactured and sold vehicles under an agreement that allows for up to 49,000 Chinese electric cars to enter Canada at a reduced rate of tariffs each year. Carney is trying to diversify Canada’s trade away form the United States. Wang stated that "Geely EVs are coming to Canada next month, and there...

Wang Di, China's ambassador in Canada, said that Geely Holding Group Lotus electric vehicles would arrive in Canada within the next month as a result of an agreement reached between Prime Minister Mark Carney and Chinese president Xi Jinping. The vehicles will be the first Chinese owned and manufactured cars to be sold under an agreement that allows for up to 49,000 Chinese electric vehicles to enter Canada at a reduced rate every year, as Carney attempts to diversify Canada’s trade away the United States. Wang stated that "Geely EVs are coming to Canada next month, and there will be...

Wang Di, China's Ambassador to Canada, told? Wang Di, China's ambassador to Canada, told? The first Chinese-owned,?manufactured? vehicles will be sold under an agreement that allows for up to 49,000 Chinese electric vehicles to enter Canada at a reduced rate every year. Carney is trying to diversify Canada’s trade away the United States. Wang stated that "Geely EVs are coming to Canada next month, and there will be a ceremony in Montreal when the cars arrive." Lotus Cars didn't immediately respond to an inquiry for comment. The Global Affairs Department of Canada could not comment immediately on the expected arrival...

IMF Chief Economist?Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas stated on Friday that strategic petroleum releases prevented a more rapid rise in oil prices due to the Middle East war. However, the global economy is at risk if the fragile ceasefire agreement between the U.S. Gourinchas said in an interview that the reserves of the countries were now depleted. This meant they would have less maneuvering room if the conflict flared up again. Gourinchas has warned for years that geopolitical tensions can lead to an even more fragmented global economy. He did not give any details on a new forecast the IMF will release on...

The markets are awash with red flags that warn of another turbulent second half in 2026. Don't mistake turbulence for a sign of a correction. Late bull markets are often characterized by wild volatility, eye-watering price fluctuations and a wide range of asset classes and benchmark indices. This is when exuberance becomes irrational, to paraphrase late Federal Reserve chair?Alan Greenspan. These dynamics are playing out in varying degrees on many markets. Silver has fallen 55% since its January peak and Bitcoin's value has dropped by more than half since November. The tech market has been a volatile ride -- the...

Analysts said that price data shows that a short-term glut pushed oil futures to levels seen before the war, as Middle East exports increased. But returning demand and slow normalisation of the market could tighten it next year. Brent futures for August traded at around $73 per barrel on Thursday. This was their lowest price since February 27. They were also 41 cents lower than September futures. Contango, or the price of a contract that is lower than another contract, indicates a large supply on the market. The reopening of Strait of Hormuz caused a'mini tsunami' that has changed the...

The United States announced that the Strait of Hormuz was?nearing normal' and their top diplomat had completed a Gulf Tour aimed at increasing support for an initial Iran deal. U.S. Energy Sec. Chris Wright stated on Wednesday that shipments through the Strait had reached levels before the U.S. and Israel launched their strikes against Iran on February 28. At least 20'million barrels' of oil left the strait within the last 24 hours. During the war, Iran effectively controlled the crucial chokepoint. This disrupted oil flows, shook the global energy markets, and affected the economy. Iran has signaled that it will...

Brent crude oil prices for second-month delivery traded higher than the price for immediate delivery on Wednesday for the first since the start of the Iran war in late February. This signals an 'increased supply near-term. Brent crude oil, the global benchmark traded 12 cents more for contracts with September delivery than those with August deliveries, suggesting the market has priced in a large supply of crude in the near-term. We have the 'prospect of a rush of physical supply coming out of the Arab Gulf. Neil Crosby is the head of Sparta Commodities' research. "We are currently in a...

U.S. Secretary Marco Rubio met with the leaders of the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Kuwait (Kuwait) on Wednesday. He pledged not to undermine the security of these Gulf allies, as he tried to reassure Gulf Allies sceptical about a 'proposed deal' to end the U.S. - Israeli war against Iran. The U.S. and Iran?accord signed last week is the first between American and Iranian Presidents since the?1979 Islamic Revolution. It includes a $300 billion fund proposal and the lifting of certain sanctions against Tehran. Rubio, who arrived in Abu Dhabi, the capital of the UAE late Tuesday night for...

?U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Tuesday urged gasoline retailers to lower their prices in honor of the?U.S. The United States celebrates its 250th birthday. President Donald?Trump reiterates his message that "we are watching." Bessent, in an interview with Fox News, said: "I'd encourage all gasoline retailers. Some of them are owned and operated by Big Oil. Others are independent. And some are international convenience stores." "I'd encourage them to act responsibly, particularly?during the 250th anniversary because we are watching." Bessent reiterated his boss's warning to gas stations Monday that they must lower their prices immediately, or else face "big...

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Tuesday urged gasoline'retailers' to lower prices in celebration of the U.S.'s 250th birthday, reinforcing 'Trump's message with a warning 'we're monitoring' Bessent, in an interview with Fox News, said: "I'd encourage all gasoline retailers. Some of them are owned and operated by Big Oil. Others are independent. And some are international convenience stores." "I'd encourage them to act responsibly, especially during the 250th anniversary of the?Oil Industry, because we are watching." Bessent repeated his boss's warning to gas stations Monday that they must lower their prices immediately, or else face "big issues." "If Retailers...

Venezuela is receiving cash, emergency aid and rescuers after two powerful earthquakes that shook the area around Caracas left thousands of people missing. Details of foreign aid are listed below: UNITED NATIONS U.N. humanitarian?body reported that 25 international teams with 1,000 personnel total had been mobilized. Tom Fletcher, the chief of aid at the United Nations, said that a collective effort would be needed in order to support a government-led response. UNITED STATES The U.S. State Department announced that it is?mobilizing? $150 million in assistance. The U.S. State Department said it is mobilizing $150 million in aid. Washington will also...

Venezuela is receiving cash, emergency aid and rescuers after two powerful quakes shook areas around the capital Caracas. Thousands of people are still missing. Here is the list of foreign aid: UNITED NATIONS According to U.N.'s humanitarian affairs agency, 25 international?teams with a total of 1,000 personnel have been mobilized. Tom Fletcher, the chief of aid at the United Nations, said that a collective effort will be needed in order to support government-led efforts and assist communities. UNITED STATES The U.S. State Department announced it would mobilize $150 million of aid. The U.S. State Department said it is mobilizing $150...

Trade sources reported on Friday that 'QatarEnergy' has released a tender to sell crude oil for loading in July and August. This is believed to be its first tender since the onset of 'the Iran -war. Producer offers Marine Land, Marine Qatar, and al-Shaheen crude. According to a tender document seen by, buyers can load or transfer via ship-to -ship transfer between Fujairah & Sohar. The bid will close on 29 June. The offer is a further boost to the rising supply of Middle Eastern producers. Iraq's SOMO, the state-owned oil marketer in Iraq, issued a tender?Thursday for Basra Heavy...

Iraq's state-owned oil marketer SOMO?issued an offer on Thursday to?sell Basra Heavy oil and Basra medium oil in July?, according to trade sources. SOMO has not specified the 'volumes' in a?tender, they added, adding that the tender will end on Saturday. The company asks buyers to take oil from the Basra Oil Terminal in the Strait of Hormuz. They said that bidders are asked to provide prices based on Dated Brent Crude for Europe, Argus Sour Crude Index (ASCI), for the United States and a price average for Oman-Dubai in Asia. SOMO failed to respond immediately to a comment request...

SK Hynix, a South Korean company, said it planned to?raise up to $29.4billion through a U.S. -stock market listing. This would be one of the largest?listings globally. If completed at the top end, the deal would be the second-biggest share sale after a record $85.7 billion initial public offering by SpaceX earlier this month, surpassing Saudi Aramco's $25.6 billion IPO in 2019and Alibaba'ssimilar-sized offering in 2014. The planned listing reflects a strong global appetite for AI linked equities even as volatility rises across U.S. technology and semiconductor markets. This comes after Elon Musk's SpaceX and other record-breaking equity offerings in...

SK Hynix, a South Korean company, said it plans to raise as much as 45.45 trillion won ($29.43billion) through a U.S. IPO. The company is aiming to increase its 'investor base' and 'production capacity for artificial intelligence chips. The listing of American depositary receipts, if completed to the top, would be one of the largest ever in history. It is comparable in size with Saudi Aramco’s IPO scheduled for?2019. Investor and analyst reactions to the latest news: CLSA SENIOR ANALYST SANJEEV RANA "If (SK Hynix can) get a valuation multiple that is similar to Micron for example, the local shares...

Under the interim agreement to end the war with Iran, the U.S. began lifting some sanctions. However, it will be difficult for any comprehensive agreement to unravel the tangled webs of restrictions that restrict the country's trade and activities. It is for this reason that any attempt to lift the sanctions against Iran may take many years, and foreign investment could be slow to return. WHEN WILL THE SANCTIONS AGAINST IRAN BE RELEASED? Since decades, the U.S. has imposed sanctions, trade 'embargos' and asset freezings on Iran over its nuclear program, human rights record, and support of groups in the...

Sources in the trade said that Abu Dhabi National Oil Company sold "at least 18,000,000 barrels" of crude oil from United Arab Emirates during its third spot tender this month. ADNOC has sold at least 48,000,000 barrels of crude oil in June, according to calculations. ADNOC is also offering more volumes in a 4th?tender due to close this week. Kpler data showed that the UAE exported 101.4 million barrels of oil in January, and 95.2 millions in February before the U.S. - Iran war blocked the Strait of Hormuz. Two trade sources reported that an Indian refiner bought 2 million...

On Sunday, the United States and Iran will begin peace talks in Switzerland. U.S. officials have disputed Iranian claims that the Strait of Hormuz is closed. Iran's state-run media reported that a high-level Iranian delegation had arrived in Switzerland to begin peace talks with the U.S. JD Vance, U.S. vice president, left Washington on Saturday for meetings Pakistan has said will start Sunday. The U.S. and Iran had agreed to a ceasefire for 60 days while negotiations are taking place. However, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps of Iran declared the Strait of Hormuz closed on Saturday, despite the U.S. Military...

Axios reported that the personal envoy of U.S. President Donald Trump and Iran's Foreign Minister were heading to Switzerland to hold talks. However, Axios also noted that Israel's deadly strikes in Lebanon on Sunday could be a test for a new ceasefire to end the Iran War. The talks led by Steve 'Witkoff' and Abbas Araqchi are an attempt to transform a 14-point interim pact that was signed this week into a regional agreement to end the war between Israel and the United States, which began on February 28. Lebanese media reported that Israeli drones and air strikes killed at...