Fossil Fuels

Marco Rubio, U.S. Secretary of State, said that the 'likelihood' of a peaceful, negotiated agreement between the United States, and Cuba, is not very high right now. Washington has been stepping up its pressure against Cuba's communist regime. Rubio stated that the United States prefer a negotiated solution. He told reporters, "That is still our preference." I'm being frank with you. The likelihood that this will happen, given who we are dealing with at the moment, is low. If they change their mind, we are here. In the meantime, we will continue to do what we have to." Donald Trump...

The majority of U.S. householders own stocks and are becoming richer, but the gains are not evenly distributed. U.S. workers’ share of national GDP has fallen to a record low, and there are growing fears about an AI-induced "jobpocalypse". This broad but concentrated ownership of equity is becoming more significant. Can the "wealth" effect - where people feel richer and spend more when asset prices increase - be offset by other economic forces that are more difficult to overcome for a 'Joe on average? Wall Street has never been more important to the financial fortunes and success of Americans. Over...

The rise in borrowing costs and the artificial intelligence investment frenzy are closely related. A long-term productivity boom is boosting estimates of neutral rates, even though workers' share of GDP is declining. Some of the bond market volatility this month can be attributed to the Iran-related oil crisis and its immediate inflation impact. Stock markets are at record highs, but it's harder to explain them during an energy crisis. Goldman Sachs estimates that AI?capex will be $7.6 trillion in the next five-year period. This is the biggest driver for both bonds and stocks. Some circles remain opposed to the idea....

Citi said on Tuesday that it expects Brent crude prices to rise to $120 per barrel in the short-term. It stated that oil markets undervalue the risks of a "prolonged supply disruption" and other "tail risks". The bank stated that its 'bull-case scenario' is that Brent prices will reach $150/bbl if the Strait of Hormuz gradually reopens during the third quarter. The oil prices fell on Tuesday, after Vice President JDVance stated that the U.S. had made progress with Iran in their talks. Neither side wanted to see military action resumed. Brent futures for the month of July?settled at $111.28...

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent called on allies on Tuesday to disrupt Iran's.financing network and said that the Treasury would clear its outdated sanctions list to.make it easier for the financial institutions to.root out the most sophisticated terrorist funding schemes. Bessent said that after the G7 finance leaders met at Paris, participants in an anti-terrorism funding conference should "stand in full measure with us" against Iran. Bessent stated that "this will require our European partners, for example to join the United States by taking action against Iran, including by designating its financiers and unmasking their shell and front company, closing its...

The American Association of Petroleum Geologists is holding an oil exploration conference outside Houston on Tuesday. Paula Henao and Jovanny Martnez, E&P vice president of PDVSA's state oil company, will be speaking. The speeches will be the first time that senior oil officials of the South American nation have visited the U.S. since President Nicolas Maduro was overthrown by American forces in January. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, has since then promoted an ambitious plan to restore Venezuela's oil industry with $100 billion of new investments. Meanwhile, authorities in Venezuela have rewritten?rules in order to facilitate this effort. Henao, the...

On Monday, protests against fuel price increases sparked by the Iran War erupted across several Kenyan cities. This included a nationwide strike on public transport that left commuters stranded and forced some people to walk into work. Transport Sector Alliance announced on Sunday that its member associations' vehicles would cease?operation at midnight to protest the latest price hike, and police would take action against any disruptions. Kenya's Energy and Petroleum Regulatory Authority raised retail fuel costs by up to 23.5% last week, after increasing them by 24.2% a month ago. The conflict in the Middle East is squeezing global oil...

On Monday, protests over fuel price increases triggered by the 'Iran War' erupted across several Kenyan cities. This included a nationwide strike in public transport that left commuters stranded and forced some people to walk into work. Transport Sector Alliance announced on Sunday that its member associations' vehicles would cease operation at midnight to protest the latest price hike, and police have said they will act against any disruptions. Kenya's Energy & Petroleum Regulatory Authority raised retail fuel costs by up to 23.5% last week, after increasing them by 24.2%?last month. The conflict in the Middle East is causing global...

Anglo American announced on Monday that it would sell its steelmaking mines in Australia for up to 3,88 billion pounds to UK-based Dhilmar. The move is part of Anglo American's strategy to exit the sector and reduce debt, as well as streamline assets, ahead of a planned merger between Teck Resources, Canada, and Anglo American. Anglo, listed in London, is selling the mines located in Queensland's Bowen Basin - the world's leading steel-making coal region - as part of its plan of divesting -or spinning off - non-core assets before completing the merger between Teck Resources and Anglo that will...

Santos, Australia’s No.2 oil &?gas producer said on Monday that it had?reached first oil in its Pikka project, located in Alaska, U.S.A. Shares of the Adelaide-headquartered company rose as much as 3.1% to A$8.12, their highest ?since April 13, while the broader S&P/ASX 200 benchmark index ?was down 1.4% by 0450 GMT. Stocks of the Adelaide-based company rose as much as 3.1% to A$8.12, their highest level?since April 13, while the broader S&P/ASX 200 benchmark index?was down 1.4% by 0450 GMT. Craig Sidney is a senior investment advisor at Shaw and Partners. He said, "This announcement is positive in light...

U.S. refiners have finally started to make money from renewable fuels. They had been squeezed for years by government mandates on biofuels. The U.S. and Israeli 'war on Iran' has also led to a rise in diesel prices. The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) mandated in late March that refiners mix record volumes of biofuels into gasoline and diesel for this year and the next. The plan calls for a 60% increase of the use of renewable diesel and biodiesel, as well as a requirement that gasoline be mixed with 15 billion gallons ethanol each year. These mandates have forced...

Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said on Friday that he will soon make a decision about lifting sanctions against Chinese companies who 'buy Iranian oil'. Hengli Petrochemical, one of China's largest private refiners, and a symbol for Beijing's efforts to modernize?and upgrade?the industry, was among the Chinese oil refiners that were sanctioned by the U.S. Trump said to reporters on Air 'Force One, shortly after departing Beijing following his two day?summit? with President Xi Jinping. The Chinese summary of the summit did not mention any deals, but U.S. officials such as Trump mentioned the possibility that China could buy more...

SpaceX released its IPO on Wednesday. It revealed to investors how much Elon Musk loses on?artificial Intelligence, while betting on the future of the company by transforming it into a rocket maker that is a powerhouse in AI. SpaceX's future depends on dominating markets and technologies that don't yet exist, from AI data centers to Mars missions. Musk's track record of turning Tesla into the world's most valuable automaker, developing the first reusable rocket and the largest satellite network and making it the most valuable company in the industry is enough for many to justify investing. Musk has tightened his...

The 'head of a 'industry association' said on Wednesday that Japanese oil re-finers would be able to obtain enough?substitute petroleum products and crude to replace Middle Eastern supply?throughout the summer. Shunichi Kito is the president of the Petroleum Association of Japan. He said that U.S. Crude has become the main replacement while efforts are made to obtain crude from Saudi Arabia, the UAE, via routes that bypass the Strait of Hormuz. Some Japanese companies source crude oil from Latin America including Mexico, Ecuador, Venezuela and Alaska, as well from Russia's Sakhalin-2 and Alaska. Kito explained that "we are responding by...

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent called on allies on Tuesday to'more forcefully disrupt Iran’s financing networks. He also said that the Treasury would scrubbing its outdated sanctions list to make it easier to root out sophisticated terrorist financing schemes. Bessent, in remarks prepared for a conference on anti-terrorism finance after the G7 finance leaders had met in Paris said that participants should "stand with us fully" against Iran. Bessent stated that "that will require our European partners, for example to join the United States by taking action against Iran, by designating its financials, unmasking their shell and front companies and?shuttering their...

According to LSEG data and other market sources, Russia's seaborne exports of oil products rose 10% a month on average in the first fifteen days of May as key ports re-established fuel loadings. The release of fuel inventories accumulated during previous disruptions due to drone attacks was the main driver for fuel export growth, traders reported. However, May shipments were still limited by unplanned and seasonally-related refinery maintenance as well as rising domestic demand. Primorsk is the largest port in Russia for the export of ultra-low sulphur (ULSD) diesel. In the first half, it loaded 710,000 tons of ULSD, which...

Their leaders said that?South?Korea? and Japan?have agreed to expand their cooperation in the areas of LNG and crude oil supplies, including stockpiling, and swapping petroleum products. After a meeting held in Lee Jae Myung's hometown, Andong, the President and Prime Minister said they would intensify coordination to stabilize?energy supply and expand their cooperation with other Asian countries as disruptions in supply due to war in the Gulf are straining their import-dependent economy. In a joint press statement, Lee stated that "recent instability in energy markets and supply chains stemming from Middle East situation has further highlighted the need for closer...

The U.S. Department of Energy reported on Monday that a'record 9.9 millions barrels of oil were shipped from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in the United States last week. This pushed the total volume of the U.S. Government's emergency stockpile to 374 million barils, the lowest level since July 2024. The Trump administration wants to?release 172 million barrels of oil from the reserve, as?part a global deal to calm down the oil markets after prices?spiked due to the U.S. and Israel's war with Iran which began almost three months ago. In April, the?Energy Department offered approximately?92.5 millions barrels of?sweet crudes and...

A source familiar with this decision confirmed on Monday that the U.S. Treasury would extend its waiver of sanctions on Russian'seaborne oil', which expired 'on Saturday. Several countries had asked for a longer period to purchase it. Source: The waiver, which will last for another 30 days, was requested by several poor countries that were cut off from Gulf Oil supplies due to the Iran War and the closing of the "Strait of Hormuz". Source declined to identify the countries that requested the extension. This is the second time that the Treasury has let the sanctions waiver lapse, and then...

London's High Court ruled Friday that South Sudan cannot enter into new?oil?prepayment contracts until it clears outstanding debts with commodity??trading???house BB Energy. A second hearing will be held on June 5th. BB Energy began a legal challenge last year through the London courts against South Sudan for allegedly failing to deliver oil purchased under prepayment agreements in 2024 or 2025. The court document read by states that a second hearing will be held on June 5 to discuss?the decision, since the first hearing was conducted?without the presence of defence lawyers. The penal notice states that South Sudan must not accept...

There is a cooking gas shortage in India. Californian motorists pay $6 per gallon for gasoline. Both are symptoms of the biggest ever disruption in energy supply. The two are directly related and show the impact of the U.S./Israeli war on Iran. The near-closure of 'Strait of Hormuz by Iran has caused global oil trade to be in chaos, and cut importers off from?around a fifth of global oil supplies that crossed the waterway prior to the war. Oil buyers have been forced to burn down their stockpiles to deal with the global fuel shortage. The pain is being spread...

U.S. trade representative Jamieson Greer said in a live interview with Bloomberg News on Friday that China wanted to see the Strait of Hormuz open again without any curbs or tolls. He added that the U.S. Beijing was confident that it would take action to 'limit' material support for Iran. He cited remarks made by Chinese officials during the Beijing summit of U.S.-China leaders. "It was very clear that the Strait of Hormuz should be open for China, with no tolling and no military control. We welcome this. Greer attended summit meetings between the?U.S. President Donald Trump met with Chinese...

Iraqi officials have approached the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to secure financial assistance due to?the Middle East conflict, said a source with the IMF as well as an Iraqi official on Thursday. Sources close to the IMF say that initial discussions took place at the spring meetings of IMF and World Bank last month in Washington. Discussions are continuing about the amount of funding Iraq will need and the structure of any loan. Iraqi officials who advise on financial policy have said that Iraq has begun preliminary talks with the IMF and World Bank about a loan for the country's...

The?U.S. has?dramatically reduced Iran's ability to threaten its neighboring countries and U.S. interest. A senior U.S. Admiral stated on Thursday that the bombings have slowed down Tehran's defence industry by 90%. Admiral Brad Cooper of U.S. Central Command emphasized 'the tactical success of the military campaign he led against Iran and said that the war has dramatically reduced the danger posed by Iran to the Middle East. Cooper refused to directly address the reports of and other news organizations that Iran had significant drone and missile capabilities. These reports cited U.S. Intelligence sources. Cooper, speaking to a U.S. Senate Committee,...