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Oil & Gas

Oil & Gas

India's ONGC plans 13 million bbl of national strategic oil reserves

India's Oil?and?Natural?Gas Corp. will build a 1,75 million metric tons (about 13,000,000 barrels) strategic petroleum reserve at Mangalore, in southern India. The company announced this in a late-night stock exchange filing on Thursday. India, which is the third largest oil consumer and importer in the world, was severely affected by the blockade imposed on the Strait of Hormuz - during the Iran War. Around a fifth (25%) of all energy in the world passes through this?waterway. India has increased its energy cooperation, with countries such as the United Arab Emirates, Japan and others, in order to strengthen its emergency stockpile....

Oil & Gas

The IEA warns that escalation between the US and Iran could threaten oil surpluses in 2027.

The International Energy Agency said on Friday that the recent escalation of hostilities between the U.S., Iran, and other countries could change its forecast of an oil surplus next year. Global supply increased in June after the Strait of Hormuz was reopened, but it still lagged behind pre-war levels. Last month, global oil markets were given some relief as a peace deal between the U.S.A. and Iran allowed the opening of Strait of Hormuz. The closure of this strait had effectively cut off up to 14 million barrels of crude per day during the height of the biggest oil supply...

Oil & Gas

Syria gains voting rights in the chemical weapons watchdog

On Thursday, member states returned Syria's voting right to the global chemical weapons watchdog after a "significant change in circumstances", as they called it, since the fall of Assad. Syria was stripped of its rights by the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) in 2021 after it was found that its forces had repeatedly used poisonous gas during the civil conflict. This was largely symbolic but sent a message to Syria that any breach of the 1997 Chemical Weapons Convention prohibiting the use of chemical weapons on the battlefield would not be tolerated. The OPCW stated that "after...

Oil & Gas

Trump on Iran: US likely to strike them again Wednesday night

U.S. President Donald Trump warned Iran the United States would likely launch additional strikes on Wednesday night, following the attacks of the previous day. "I'll give a little warning. We're going hit them hard tonight," Trump said to reporters before his meeting with Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskiy at the NATO Summit in Turkey. Trump had said to reporters in Ankara that a memorandum-of-understanding between the United States & Iran, which served as an initial ceasefire agreement, was "over". He did not say that Washington would go back to full-fledged warfare, and it was not clear if the negotiations to turn...

Oil & Gas

IMF cuts 2026 global growth to 3%; sees rebound in 2020

The International Monetary Fund lowered its global growth forecast for 2026 again on Wednesday, to 3.0%. It warned of the ongoing risks caused by the Middle East war, trade fragmentation, and possible corrections in the market expectations regarding AI. Global lender said the war had prevented a more severe downturn in the global economy, and that the demand-driven growth in the tech industry helped?to _offset the drop in energy supply caused by the war. Growth is expected to rebound in 2027 at 3.4%, which is below the 3.5% average seen in 2024-2025. The IMF increased its headline inflation forecast for...

Oil & Gas

UAE's ADNOC expands its energy partnership with South Korea

ADNOC, the state-owned oil company of the UAE, announced on Wednesday that it had entered into a long-term partnership with South Korea for energy security. The agreement aims to increase cooperation in areas such as crude supply and emergency supply coordination. The partnership extends existing agreements. This includes a pledge made by the United Arab Emirates in March that they would supply South Korea up to 24,000,000 barrels of crude oil. It was announced at a visit to South Korea by Sultan al-Jaber. ADNOC Group CEO and UAE Minister of Industry and Advanced Technology. ADNOC stated that both parties would...

Oil & Gas

NATO chief: New US strikes on Iran are absolutely necessary

Mark Rutte, NATO Secretary General, said that the?new U.S. attacks on Iran? were "absolutely needed" The?U.S. The?U.S. Rutte said to reporters in Ankara, before the NATO summit. "When there is a ceasefire and Iran basically violates the ceasefire I think that it is absolutely crucial that the U.S. react forcefully." The European leaders will try to persuade Donald Trump to commit to the alliance after he renewed his disagreements with them regarding the Iran War and Greenland. Rutte stated that there was no doubt about the "complete commitment" of the United States to NATO, which he added also worked to...

Oil & Gas

United States revokes license which authorized Iranian oil exports

On Tuesday, the United States revoked a general license which authorized the sale of Iranian crude oil. A U.S. official had warned that Iran's actions in the Strait of Hormuz are "wholly unacceptable" and that they will be met with consequences after attacks on tankers along the strategic waterway. The announcement led to an increase of more than 5% in oil prices. The U.S. Treasury announced that it would allow Iran to wind down its oil transactions until July 17, which were allowed under the license now revoked. An official from the United States said that despite this latest escalation,...

Oil & Gas

Kyrgyzstan will rely on fuel supplies from China and Belarus to compensate for the Russian shortage

Kyrgyzstan said it was awaiting fuel deliveries from China and Belarus to help deal with the 'knock-on effect' of a fuel shortage in its main supplier Russia. According to local media, Deputy Premier Daniyar Amangeldiev said that Kyrgyzstan has signed contracts with Belarus and China for 3 metric tons jet fuel and 10 metric tons diesel. Last week, Kyrgyzstan - which gets more than 90% its fuel from Russia - appealed for help to ensure stable fuel supplies. It asked Kazakhstan, Belarus and Azerbaijan as well as Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan. Fuel?shortages are affecting Russia following an attack by Ukrainian drones...

Oil & Gas

Macron is the first EU leader to visit Syria since Assad was overthrown.

The Syrian state news agency said that French President Emmanuel Macron landed in Syria Monday. This was the 'first visit by a European Union Head of State to Damascus'since rebels led President Ahmed al-Sharaa overthrew Bashar al-Assad 2024. The visit highlights Syria's geopolitical change under Sharaa. A former al Qaeda leader, Sharaa has built close ties to Western and Middle Eastern countries that shunned Assad as he tries to rebuild a nation shattered after 13 years of war. "I'm here to affirm France’s commitment to the Syrian People. "I am here to affirm France's commitment to the Syrian people. Let's...

Oil & Gas

Pakistan mediating Libya unity push as rival camps seek deal, Pakistani sources say

Two Pakistani sources claim that Pakistan is quietly mediating between Libya’s rival eastern-western?power centers. This effort, which was previously unknown, will raise Pakistan's diplomatic profile, if successful. The Pakistani involvement comes after months of monitoring a U.S. led push to find diplomatic solutions in Libya. The Trump administration has repeatedly credited Pakistan's role in separate mediation between Iran and the U.S. This year. One of the Pakistani source said that the U.S. had been "fully aware and engaged" with Islamabad’s Libya role. Both sources confirmed that Saudi Arabia was also supporting the effort. Islamabad and Saudi Arabia signed a mutual...

Oil & Gas

Russian officials claim that a major drone attack on St Petersburg has been carried out by Ukraine.

St Petersburg, Russia's second largest city and the surrounding Leningrad area were hit by a major Ukrainian drone attack over night. A Baltic Sea port which handles oil exports was also reported to have been affected. Alexander Beglov, the governor of St Petersburg, said that the city's?6-million population had been subjected to a "large scale" drone attack. He did not give any details about specific targets but the local media outlet Bumaga reported that there was a fire in the oil terminal of St Petersburg. Alexander Drozdenko, Governor of the Leningrad region, said that drones struck the port of Vysotsk...

Fossil Fuels

Fossil Fuels

Weekly gain in oil heads as Middle East supply risk persists

The oil price fell on 'Friday, but remained on course for a weekly gain as renewed U.S. - Iran fighting disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. This stoked concerns about supply disruptions. Brent futures fell 68 cents or 0.9% to $75.62 per barrel at 0817 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI), which is a blend of U.S. and Canadian crudes, fell 64 cents or 0.9% to $71.44. Brent was expected to gain about 5% this week and WTI would increase by about 4%. Vandana Hari, an analyst at Vanda Insights who provides oil market analyses, said that although...

Fossil Fuels

The IEA warns that escalation between the US and Iran could threaten oil surpluses in 2027.

The International Energy Agency said that the recent escalation of hostilities between the U.S., and 'Iran, could change its 'forecast of an 'important oi l market surplus next year. The global oil market received some relief last'month, as a peace deal between the U.S.A. and the 'Iran opened the Strait. Its closure had effectively cut off 'as much as 14 million barrels of crude oil per day during the height of the biggest oil supply crisis ever. The agency reported that global oil production rose by 4.1 mbpd in June but was still 9.4 mbpd lower than pre-war levels. The...

Fossil Fuels

Taganrog evacuates following drone attack on Taganrog's Ilsky Oil Refinery

Local officials said that a drone strike caused the fire at the Ilsky oil refinery in southern Krasnodar, and authorities in Taganrog evacuated residents after another strike. The authorities reported that preliminary information indicated no injuries. In recent months, Ukraine has intensified its attacks on 'Russia's energy infrastructure and other infrastructure to undermine Moscow’s war effort. The Ilsky refinery with its capacity of?around 138,000 barrels per day has been attacked before. Fuel shortages and price increases across Russia are a result of the attacks on oil refineries. Yury Slyusar, the Governor of Rostov, said on Telegram that fires are being...

Crude Oil

Mining

Mining

The share of Russian Aluminium in LME stocks has increased to 95% by June

Exchange data revealed?on Friday that the share of Russian-origin aluminum stocks in London Metal Exchange storage warehouses increased to 95% from 93% in may. This leaves only a small amount of Indian aluminium as an alternative. The total available or on-warrant aluminium inventories (0#MALSTXLOC>) fell by 3% to 246,600 tons in June, the lowest level since April 2025. This was due to the global supply being tightened as a result of the conflict in?Middle East. The available Russian aluminium inventories fell by 3,150 tons to 234,025 in June. However, their share of the total inventories rose as Indian stocks declined...

Mineral Resources

EGA will ramp up Al Taweelah's alumina refinery within days to 50% capacity

Emirates Global Aluminium announced on Friday that its Al Taweelah refinery in Abu Dhabi had restarted the production of feedstock for aluminum smelting. The restart has raised expectations of a faster than expected recovery in aluminium production, after disruptions caused by war with Iran. It also added pressure on benchmark prices for aluminum at the London Metal Exchange. The contract was last down 1.5%, at $3.152 per metric ton. In early July, EGA announced that it would restore production at the Al Taweelah Complex earlier than expected, although hot metal production could take up to one year to return to...

Mining

Aluminum falls during EGA alumina startup, but still on track for weekly increase

Aluminium prices dropped sharply on Friday after Emirates Global Aluminium announced that it had restarted its United Arab Emirates refinery following a '3-1/2 month outage. This is a further sign that metal production within the Gulf region will soon be returning. EGA's Al Taweelah refining plant in the industrial zone housing the plant halted production of alumina (a white substance that is used to produce aluminium) on March 28, following Iranian attacks. The strikes forced the closure of the Al?Taweelah smelter which had been slowly restoring production from May 26. Alumina accounts for approximately?40% in smelters production costs. After EGA's...

Mineral Resources

Copper stablises in the face of Iran's escalation fears

Copper prices were flat on Friday as fears faded of an economic hit and a drop in metal demand due to a spate of tit for tat attacks between the U.S.?and Iran. The benchmark three-month copper price on the London Metal Exchange was?largely steady, with a drop of only 0.01% at $13,487.5 per metric ton as of 0700 GMT. The red metal prices are now close to the levels they were at the beginning of the week. This is the culmination of a few volatile days, during which fears about a new round in the conflict between the U.S. Prices...

Mining

Japan's Nikkei climbs on AI rally, as hopes of pension asset shifting lift yen and bonds

The Nikkei index rose on Friday, helped by a rally of AI-related stocks. Japan's currency and bond markets also grew on the back of a possible reorientation in the investment strategy?of its vast pension funds. The Nikkei closed at 68 557.73 after rising up to 2.4% in the previous session. The Topix index rose 0.39%, to 4,036.08. The yield on Japan’s 10-year government bonds fell by 11.5 basis points to 2.76%. This is a decline from the previous high of three decades. The yen gained?0.5% versus the greenback, reaching 161.550. Wall Street tech shares soared when Micron Technology announced plans...

Mining

The dollar is weakening, and the Middle East has not escalated.

The weakened?dollar helped copper to rise on Friday. This eased fears about a spate of?tit-fortat strikes between Iran and the U.S. The benchmark three-month copper price on the London Metal Exchange rose 0.29% to $13,528 per metric tonne by 0300 GMT. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract rose by 1.61%, to 103950 yuan (about $15,334.80). This week, the LME saw a 1.2% rise. It was a volatile week in which fears of inflation and macroeconomic risks were raised by a new round of fighting between the U.S. The dollar is on course to drop for a third day...

Mining

Japan's Nikkei gains 2% as AI rally lifts yen and bonds

The Nikkei index rose on Friday due to a rally of AI-related stocks. Also, the currency and bond markets in Japan advanced as a result of a possible reorientation in the investment strategies by Japan's large pension funds. The benchmark Nikkei 225 rose by 2% to 69,121.02 while the Topix grew by 0.76%, reaching 4,050.82. The yield on Japan’s 10-year government bonds fell by 10 basis points to 2.775%. This is a decline from the three-decade high. The yen gained 0.43% versus the dollar to 161.69. Wall Street tech shares soared after Micron Technology announced plans to invest over $250...

Mineral Resources

Andy Home: The aluminum supply shock has revived long-idled Western Smelters

The Iran War has caused a supply shock that is reviving the old Western aluminum smelters. Magnitude 7 Metals in the U.S. is reactivating its New Madrid smelter located in Missouri. Over the Atlantic, Norwegian producer Hydro announced the partial restart of the Slovalco joint-venture smelter. The two plants were idled due to low aluminum prices and a spike in energy prices that followed the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Washington and Brussels are both desperate to reduce their reliance on an import of a metal used in a wide range of industries. The return of these zombies smelters will not...

Mining

Copper prices rise on hopes of a Gulf deescalation and softer dollars

The dollar dropped after its recent surge, and copper rebounded as the market hoped that hostilities would be de-escalated in the Gulf. As of 0920 GMT, the benchmark three-month copper price?on London Metal Exchange?was?up 2.1% to $13,437 per metric ton. Metal prices fell 1.5% Wednesday after U.S. president Donald Trump announced that the Gulf Conflict was over. Trump said that Tehran "wants to make a deal" so badly and that he didn't expect a full-blown war even though the two countries were exchanging attacks. Tom Price, Panmure Liberum's analyst, said that the bounce could only be attributed to Trump making...

Mineral Resources

Copper rebound, Middle East conflict escalates no longer a concern

The dollar, which had recently surged, was stabled and copper rebounded on Thursday as the market looked beyond the escalation of Gulf hostilities. Benchmark three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange was up 1.62% to $13,379 per metric ton at 0700 GMT. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract rose 0.16%, to 103.160 yuan (15,182.65) per ton. This was a slight improvement from the earlier drop of 1.32%. Although the copper market is still watching Middle East conflict developments closely, investors have "tended to price in an expectation that any escalated tensions will be brief and a solution?will be...

Mining

Iron ore is confined to a limited range as fears of a possible supply disruption offset weakened demand

Iron ore prices remained 'range-bound' on Thursday as investors weighed a potential'supply risk stemming from a threat of strike by some workers at BHP’s iron ore operation versus a seasonally weakened demand in China, the top consumer. The day's most traded iron ore contract at China's Dalian Commodity Exchange closed 0.27% higher, closing the daytime trade at 745.5 Yuan ($109.72). As of 0800 GMT, the benchmark August iron ore traded on Singapore Exchange was down?0.13% to $98.9 per ton. BHP's iron ore mines in Western Australia, Port Hedland, could see hundreds of workers walk off their jobs next week. This...

Mining

London copper firms' market gauges the macro impact of Mideast strikes

The price of copper in London rose on Thursday as the market assessed the impact of the latest threats to calm in the Persian Gulf on macroeconomic conditions. Benchmark three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange rose 0.62% to $13,247.5 per metric ton at 0300 GMT. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract fell by 0.78%, to 102200 yuan (about $15,035.38) per ton. This was a reduction from the 1.32% drop earlier in the day. In a recent note, Chinese broker Everbright Futures stated that the resurgence in Middle East conflict had?led to short term trading based upon inflation...