Asia








Energy Markets

Fossil Fuels

Oil & Gas

How can Trump bring peace to Ukraine?

Donald Trump said that he would be meeting with the presidents from Russia and Ukraine to discuss stopping the "bloodbath" in Ukraine. What are the obstacles that the U.S. President faces when he is trying to negotiate a peace agreement with Russia and Ukraine? SECURITY GUARANTEE Ukraine, which has been subjected to a full scale invasion in 2022, and witnessed Russia annex Crimea, needs security guarantees from major powers, primarily the United States. Sources involved in the talks say that the problem is that a security agreement without teeth could leave Ukraine vulnerable. Diplomats talked about a "robust" security guarantee,...

Fossil Fuels

Why Trump's Gulf trillions aren't as big as the headlines

Donald Trump, the U.S. president, concluded his Gulf tour Friday after securing what the White House claims is more than $2 trillion in combined deals for the U.S. It is not clear how that number was arrived at. A total of $700 billion is calculated by adding up all the deals that were announced. Deal inflation is common on major visits, even for a president who prides himself in being an expert at making deals. The trip included large orders for Boeing planes, contracts to purchase U.S. defense equipment, agreements on data and technology, and other contracts. Experts in finance...

Fossil Fuels

Enel and Masdar hold preliminary discussions on energy storage in Italy

Flavio Cataneo said that Enel is in preliminary discussions with Masdar, Abu Dhabi, about the possibility of developing energy storage in Italy. Cattaneo, speaking at a Milan business conference, said that the Italian and Emirati firms already have a partnership in Spain for a portfolio renewable energy assets. They are now exploring ways to expand their alliance into other countries. He stated that there was an understanding between Masdar and the company "to advance also in other geographical areas including Italy where they are interested and Masdar is very happy to be partners". It is important that Italy develops battery...

Fossil Fuels

Trump: UAE and US agree that Abu Dhabi will buy the most advanced AI chip.

Donald Trump announced on Friday that the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and the United States agreed to open a pathway for Abu Dhabi to purchase some of the world's most advanced artificial-intelligence semiconductors from U.S. firms, which is a significant win for Abu Dhabi in its efforts to become a hub for global AI. Trump's Gulf tour also included a visit to Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE. The UAE capital Abu Dhabi and wealthiest emirate of the UAE made a promise to increase the value of their energy investments to the U.S. by $440 billion over the next decade....

Oil & Gas

ADNOC seeks EU okay under foreign subsidies rules for Covestro deal

ADNOC, the state-owned oil company of Abu Dhabi, requested approval from the EU on Thursday under the rules on foreign subsidies for its $16.4 billion acquisition of German chemicals firm Covestro. The request was made on the website of the European Commission. ADNOC's largest acquisition ever, for which it received the green light last week under EU merger regulations, demonstrates the Middle East countries diversification of investments in order to reduce their dependence upon oil. The EU's Foreign Subsidies Regulations (FSR) target unfair foreign aid to companies in order to reduce the competition from non EU companies that are subsidised...

Fossil Fuels

Black Sea CPC blend daily oil exports will rise in June, according to sources

Five trading sources who are familiar with the loadings for June have estimated that Black Sea CPC blend crude oil exports will be between 1.6 and 1.7 million barrels a day (bpd). The exports in May will be approximately 1.5 million bpd higher at that level. According to sources in the trade, around 90% of CPC Blend is exported from Kazakhstan. The remainder comes from Russian production. Kazakhstan's oil production has been a major point of contention within the OPEC+ Group, since it has consistently exceeded its production quotas over the past year. Kazakhstan's Energy Ministry said this month, despite...

Fossil Fuels

Turkey expects Syrian Kurdish Militia to fulfill Damascus Deal

Hakan Fidan, Turkey's Foreign Minister, said that the YPG Syrian Kurdish militia must fulfill a deal it made with the Syrian Government. The group is expected to be integrated into Syria’s armed forces. The YPG is seen by Turkey as an affiliate group of the Kurdistan Workers Party, a militant group that has fought against the Turkish state since the 1970s and announced Monday its decision to disarm. We see that the YPG has not taken any action so far. Fidan said at a press briefing during an informal NATO meeting of foreign ministers in Antalya, southern Turkey. He added...

Fossil Fuels

Gulf markets dull as global stock rally loses momentum

The majority of Gulf stocks were flat on Thursday morning, with oil prices falling and Asian stock markets declining after the initial excitement from eased trade tensions started to fade. Investors waited for more signals. Brent crude futures fell more than 2% and U.S. Crude also dropped. The global stock market had earlier in the week rejoiced over the truce between the U.S. and China trade war. However, the rally was lost as investors took a pause to assess the situation and its impact on the economy. Dubai's main stock index was the sole market in the region to choose...

Oil & Gas

Pirelli: Talks over dispute with major shareholder ended without agreement

The Italian tyremaker Pirelli announced on Wednesday that the talks to repair relations with Sinochem, its largest shareholder in China, ended without any breakthrough. Pirelli, and its second-largest shareholder, Italy's Camfin have claimed that Sinochem's stake in the company is hindering Pirelli's ambitions for expansion in the United States. Some lawmakers there are against projects backed by Chinese firms. Pirelli stated in April that Sinochem no longer controls the company because of the Italian government's decision to "golden power" the company by 2023. Sinochem, however, denied this claim. Pirelli announced on Wednesday that "the proposals extended to Sinochem by Pirelli...

Oil & Gas Refining

Pirelli: Talks over dispute with major shareholder ended without agreement

The Italian tyremaker Pirelli announced on Wednesday that the talks to repair relations with Sinochem, its largest shareholder in China, ended without any breakthrough. Pirelli, and its second-largest shareholder, Italy's Camfin have claimed that Sinochem's stake in the company is hindering Pirelli's ambitions for expansion in the United States. Some lawmakers there are against projects backed by Chinese firms. Pirelli stated in April that Sinochem no longer controls the company because of the Italian government's decision to "golden power" the company by 2023. Sinochem, however, denied this claim. Pirelli announced on Wednesday that "the proposals extended to Sinochem by Pirelli...

Oil & Gas Refining

Sources say that Indian billionaire Ambani will meet Trump and Qatar's emir at Doha

Mukesh ambani, the Indian billionaire, will meet with Donald Trump, President of the United States, and Qatar's emir in Doha, according to two sources. His company, Reliance Industries, is looking to strengthen ties between authorities in both countries. Qatar's sovereign fund, QIA has invested in Reliance over the years. Ambani is Asia's wealthiest man and has many business relationships with U.S. technology giants like Google and Meta. Ambani is attending a state dinner in Doha for Trump, but he does not intend to have any business or investment discussions. This was confirmed by the first source who has direct knowledge...

Fossil Fuels

Indonesia increases CPO export levy by 10% as of May 17,

A regulation signed Wednesday shows that Indonesia will increase its crude palm oil export levy from 7.5% to 10% starting May 17, in order to fund the country's increased mandate for biodiesel blends. Export levies on refined products will range from 4.75% to 9.5% of CPO reference prices, an increase of between 3% and 6 % of current rates. The levies collected are used to finance palm oil programs such as the biodiesel program and a smallholder replanting subvention. Indonesia increased its palm oil-based Biodiesel mix from 35% to 40% this past year. It is now studying moving to 50%...

Crude Oil

Crude Oil

ADNOC: UAE and US will invest $440 billion on energy sector by 2035

Sultan al-Jaber of the UAE oil company ADNOC said that the United States and United Arab Emirates intend to invest a total $440 billion over the next decade in the energy industry. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, announced over $200 billion in deals with the UAE as part of his tour of Gulf nations. In March, senior UAE officials had already met Trump and committed to a 10-year investment framework of $1.4 trillion in the United States in order to strengthen reciprocal relations. In a Friday statement, the White House stated that the framework would "substantially" increase UAE investments in...

Refined Products

Lotte Chemical will start operating Indonesia cracker by H2 2025

An executive from Lotte Chemical's Malaysian affiliate told reporters on Friday that Lotte Chemical intends to begin operations at its new cracker plant in Indonesia by the second half 2025. The cracker, which can produce 1,000,000 metric tons of ethylene per year, is part of the $3.95 billion Cilegon project in Indonesia's Banten Province. The facility will be operational at a moment when global petrochemical firms are experiencing lower margins due to an oversupply of ethylene from China. Philip Kong, Executive Vice President, Corporate Planning at Lotte Chemical titan (LCT), said that Lotte Chemical had reduced its stake from 49%...

Jet Fuel

Russell: Asia's refined oil imports fall, but margins are still strong

In April, Asia's imports for key refined fuels like gasoline and diesel dropped to their lowest level in four years. This was due to refinery maintenance as well as a weaker demand from the region that is the largest importer. According to commodity analysts Kpler, the total imports of light distillates and middle distillates in April were 166.37 millions barrels, down from March's 195.54 and the lowest since April 2020. The sharp fall in imports for April was due to a decline in shipments by key exporters of refined goods. Kpler reports that India, which is the top fuel exporter...

Mining

Mineral Resources

Mineral Resources

London Copper rises as Dollar drifts lower

The copper price in London increased slightly on Monday, following a slight decline in the dollar. However, President Donald Trump's renewed threat of tariffs halted gains. As of 0211 GMT, the benchmark copper price on London Metal Exchange was up by 0.2% to $9,465.5 per metric tonne. In early Asian trading, the U.S. Dollar pared its four-week gains as markets digested an unexpected downgrade in the credit rating of the U.S. Government and as lingering tensions over trade weighed on sentiment. The greenback price of commodities is cheaper for buyers who hold other currencies. Scott Bessent, the U.S. Treasury secretary,...

Mineral Resources

LME WEEK: Trump, China and tariffs as the metals industry gathers to Asia

The metals industry will gather in Hong Kong to celebrate its annual event. They'll be focusing on the huge amounts of copper that are being diverted from the U.S. because President Donald Trump has threatened to impose tariffs. Trump's attempts to overturn the post-war system of trading have caused metals markets to roil and raised questions about global growth and commodity flows. In February, Trump ordered an inquiry into potential tariffs on copper. Copper is vital to energy transition technologies like electric vehicles and solar panel technology as well as power grid wiring. The possibility that Trump would impose tariffs...

Mineral Resources

Andy Home: Copper's US tariff is crushed by a wave of imports

The threat of a tariff by U.S. president Donald Trump on imports of copper has caused a massive relocation of metals, flooding the U.S. and draining other markets. Since the Trump administration announced a Section 232 investigation in February into U.S. Imports of the Red Metal, traders have been rushing metal into the country in order to lock in a possible tariff windfall. The physical reaction has been so strong that it has caused futures arbitrage to collapse between the CME Contract and the London Metal Exchange Price (LME). WAITING FOR TRUMP The copper market is betting on a 25%...

Mineral Resources

Gold drops, heading for the worst week in six-months on easing trade tensions

Gold prices fell more than 2% Friday, and are heading towards their worst six-month period in recent memory. An overall stronger dollar and an interim U.S. China trade agreement have weakened investor demand for this safe-haven. As of 1136 GMT, spot gold was down by 1.9% at $3,178.06 per ounce. Bullion is down more than 4% this week, and it's on track to have its worst performance weekly since November 2024. U.S. Gold Futures dropped 1.4% to $3.180.90. Nitesh Sha, commodities strategist for WisdomTree, said: "We have had a week of positive signals regarding trade negotiations, and we've seen the...

Mineral Resources

Shanghai warehouse copper stock jumps, ending long withdrawals

This week, copper inventories in China increased sharply. They broke a run of three weeks of large withdrawals which had caused concerns about shortages due to the global pull of copper supplies toward the United States. Shanghai Futures Exchange warehouses reported a 34 percent increase in copper inventories, which reached 108.142 metric tonnes On Friday, there was the first weekly net increase since mid-March. The stock levels are still well above those of late 2023, when they fell below 30,000 tonnes twice. According to an anonymous analyst and trader, the rise in inventories can be attributed to tepid demand for...

Mineral Resources

Copper prices are expected to rise by a weekly average of 4% on the US-China trade truce

The copper price fell on Friday, but was set to rise for the week due to a temporary truce in trade between China and the United States. However, uncertainty about longer-term prospects for demand for this metal limited further gains. As of 0707 GMT, the benchmark copper price on London Metal Exchange (LME), was down by 0.4% to $9,536 per metric tonne. The most traded copper contract at the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE), which is worth $10,851.12 per ton, fell 0.3%. LME copper prices are up around 1.1% this week, while Shanghai prices have increased by about 0.6%. A metals...

Mineral Resources

After a big sell-off, capital flows back into US-listed China ETFs

In May, major U.S. exchange-traded fund (ETF) trackers of Chinese stocks saw inflows as a U.S./China tariff truce boosted the sentiment following a large sell-off last month. By the Numbers Global investors have bought a total of $401.7 million worth of four major U.S. listed China ETFs – iShares MSCI China, iShares China Small-Cap, KraneShares CSI China Internet, and Xtrackers CSI 300 China A Shares ETF – this month. Data from LSEG Lipper revealed that the outflow was $3.8 billion in April. Lipper's records show that the outflows in April were second to only a $4.4 Billion outflow from November...

Mineral Resources

Gold has its worst week for six months due to trade calm

Gold prices fell on Friday, and were set to experience their biggest weekly drop in six months as a stronger US dollar and diminishing trade war fears dampened its appeal. As of 0222 GMT, spot gold was down 0.5% at $3,223.06 per ounce. Bullion is down about 3% this week, and it's on track to have its worst performance weekly since November 2024. U.S. Gold Futures fell 0.1% to $3.224.90. Gold priced in greenbacks is now more expensive to overseas buyers due to the dollar's 0.3% gain for the past week. Ilya Spirak, global macro head at Tastylive, said that...

Mineral Resources

Indonesian military: 18 separatists were killed in Papua, according to the country's military

An official confirmed that Indonesian military killed 18 Papuan Separatists in an operation conducted in the easternmost region Papua on Thursday. Three civilians were also killed. In a statement, Kristomei Santuri, the military spokesperson, said that during Wednesday's raid, the military seized dozens munitions including an assault weapon, bows andarrows, and an unspecified home-made weapon. The Indonesian military suffered no casualties. Sebby Samboom, a spokesperson for the Papua Separatists, said that three of its members were dead. A prominent church group in Papua, citing reports from local churches, said that three civilians died during the shootout. Nearly 1,000 people were...

Mineral Resources

Data shows that there is no rush to export in advance.

India's merchandise deficit in April was the largest in five months, according to data released by the government on Thursday. Imports of petroleum products increased, which limited the impact of a rise in exports to America. India's trade deficit in April was $26.42 billion, higher than the $20 million economists had predicted in a survey. It also increased from the $21.54 billion of the previous month. In April, exports totaled $38.49billion, while imports reached $64.91billion. This compares to $41.97billion of exports and 63.51billion of imports in march. India's oil imports increased to $20.72 Billion in April from $19 Billion in...

Mineral Resources

Fading optimism over US-China tariff pause drives copper down

Copper and other base materials fell on Thursday, as the optimism over a 90 day pause on most retaliatory duties agreed between Beijing and Washington began to fade. By 0949 GMT, the benchmark copper price on London Metal Exchange (LME), fell by 1.1% to $9.502.50 per metric ton. On Wednesday, the metal used in construction and power had grown five times before, and reached $9,664, which was its highest price since April 2. Ole Hansen is the head of commodity strategy for Saxo Bank. He said that industrial metals are now aware of the damage done to both the U.S....

Mineral Resources

London metals fall on cautious over US-China truce

Prices for most base metals fell in London on Thursday, as the temporary truce between U.S. and China tariffs prompted caution. There were also concerns over a possible global recession that could affect metals demand. The benchmark copper price on the London Metal Exchange fell by 0.8% at 0416 GMT to $9,532 per metric ton. The Commerce Ministry said that China has halted non-tariff actions taken against 17 U.S. entities on its list of unreliable entities and 28 U.S. companies on its Export Control List. Both countries agreed to lower the tit for tat tariffs, and to implement a 90...