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Oil & Gas

Netanyahu: Israel wants peace talks to begin with Lebanon as soon as possible

Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli prime minister, said on Thursday that he had 'instructed Israel to start 'peace -talks' with Lebanon which would include disarming Hezbollah. In a statement, Netanyahu said: "In view of Lebanon's repeated request to begin direct negotiations with Israel as soon as possible." The negotiations will be centered on disarming Hezbollah, and establishing peaceful relations between Israel & Lebanon. The?Lebanese Government did not respond immediately to Netanyahu's comments. Aoun had said, an hour before Netanyahu made his?statement: "The only way to resolve the situation in Lebanon would be to reach a ceasefire, then to have direct negotiations...

Oil & Gas

Trump announces 50% tariffs against nations that supply Iran with weapons

?U.S. Donald Trump announced on Wednesday that all imports of military equipment from Iran will be subject to immediate 50% tariffs. There would be no exceptions. He made the announcement in a post on social media just hours after agreeing to a two-week ceasefire. Trump's Truth Social posting did not specify the legal authority that he would use to impose these tariffs. In February, the Supreme Court struck down Trump's use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act in order to impose global tariffs. A lower court ordered refunds for $166 billion collected during the course of one year. The...

Oil & Gas

Leaked audio: Hungarian Minister offers to send Russia EU documents

Leaked recordings purportedly showed Hungary's Foreign Minister offering to send his Russian counterpart an?document on Ukraine's European Union membership, as the latest sign of Budapest's warm relationship with Moscow. The audio 'clips' released by a group of investigative news - outlets, including VSquare.org, were the latest of a series leaked conversations purporting to show that Prime Minister Viktor Orban of Hungary has been working to serve Russian interests while undermining EU efforts to help Ukraine. Orban, who has ordered an investigation after Orban's previous statement that wiretapping his calls was "a huge scandal", was unable independently to verify the authenticity....

Oil & Gas

World Bank lowers its Middle East growth projection for 2026 after turmoil in the energy sector

The GCC's growth forecast for 2026 has been reduced to 1.3% due to lower hydrocarbon revenue Kuwait and Qatar's economies are expected to contract in this year The World Bank warns about lingering risks in the region DUBAI, 8 April - In a report released on Wednesday, the World Bank slashed the growth forecast for the Middle East's economies in 2026 as a "consequence" of the conflict between the U.S. and Israel, along with Iran. The report also warned of widespread risks. Donald Trump announced late Tuesday a ceasefire of two weeks in the conflict. The conflict is now in...

Oil & Gas

How investors are dealing with Iran shocks using the new Trump trades

Investors are putting together a "Trump trade' playbook to?navigate market uncertainty. This includes determining whether a U.S. - Iran ceasefire will last and whether oil prices will remain high for longer. As geopolitics continue to dominate the economy, it is difficult to move money based on long-term perspectives. During the Iran War, many?investors have placed shorter-term bets instead on assets which may have been?mispriced?. Here is a list of some new Trump trades. 1/OIL PRICE WILL STAY HIGHER FOR A LONGER TIME Oil prices fell almost 15% to $100 per barrel in the wake of the ceasefire on Wednesday, but...

Oil & Gas

Trump announces that the US will discuss sanctions with Iran and work closely together

U.S. president Donald Trump announced on Wednesday that the United States and Iran are working closely together and discussing relief from tariffs and sanctions. This follows the announcement of the two-week ceasefire. Trump backed away from a full-on attack on Iran, which he had threatened to launch 'on Tuesday night. Two hours before the deadline that he set for Tehran in order to open up the Strait of Hormuz. He stated on social media that he had agreed to many of the 15 points in his plan for Iran, but did no elaborate. In a post on social media, Trump...

Oil & Gas

Russell: The ceasefire in Iran is a sign of hope, but the physical oil market will remain stressed.

The physical oil market is still in a state of turmoil despite a planned two-week stopfire between Iran and the United States. Brent crude oil contracts plunged as much as 16% in the early Asian trade on Wednesday, after finishing at $109.27 on Monday. The sharp drop in prices reflects relief that President Donald Trump's alarming threats against Iran civilisation to be wiped out have been postponed. This also reflects the optimism that crude, refined products and liquefied gas (LNG), may be able to resume and continue through the Strait of Hormuz if negotiations are successful. There is a rule...

Oil & Gas

World Bank predicts Nigerian economic growth in 2026, but Iran war raises inflation

The World Bank stated that Nigeria's economy will grow despite the Iran war in the first half of 2026. Fiseha Haile, World Bank Nigeria's lead economist during a presentation held in Abuja said that business activity is still in expansion mode. The conflict between the U.S./Israel/Iran has so far raised prices while leaving the output mostly intact. The impact on growth is relatively limited, as the overall business activity has increased in the last few months. Haile stated that the shock was still felt by higher inflation. Bola Tinubu is now in his third year as president. He has implemented...

Oil & Gas

World Bank predicts Nigerian economic growth in 2026, but Iran war raises inflation

The World Bank stated on Tuesday that Nigeria's economy will grow in the first half of 2026, despite the Iran War. However, rising fuel prices and persistently high inflation could squeeze incomes, slowing poverty reduction. Fiseha Haile, World Bank Nigeria's lead economist during a presentation held in Abuja said that business activity remains in growth territory. The conflict between the U.S./Israel and Iran has so far lifted prices while leaving output mostly intact. The impact of the growth shock has been contained, as the overall business activity has increased over the last few months. "But the shock is still felt...

Oil & Gas

Key quotes from Vance's and Orban’s press conference

JD Vance, the U.S. vice president, slammed the European Union on Tuesday for its "disgraceful interference" in an election held in?Hungary. He also praised Prime Minister Viktor Orban in his role as an ally to Donald?Trump when it comes to the defence of Western civilization. Here are some key quotes from the joint press conference in Budapest. VANCE ON HUNGARIAN ELSECTION "What happened in this country and what happened during this election campaign is one of worst examples of foreign interference in elections that I have ever read or seen ..." "The bureaucrats at Brussels have tried to destroy Hungary's...

Heating Oil

Sources say that Russia's NORSI refinery has halted its operations following a drone attack on Sunday.

Two industry sources said that NORSI, Russia’s fourth largest oil refinery, suspended operations on April 5, following an attack by a Ukrainian drone. The temporary 'closure' of the refinery will increase the uncertainty in Russia's energy industry, which has already been hit by a series of Ukrainian attacks including those that have targeted its major oil-exporting terminals on the Black Sea or the Baltic Sea. Russian authorities announced on Sunday that a drone had attacked the NORSI oil refinery, causing it to catch fire. Gleb Nikitin said that two facilities at the plant had been hit, and a power station,...

Oil & Gas

Ukraine's March diesel imports jumped 27% m/m despite war in Iran, consultancy says

Analysts at A95 Consulting Group reported late Monday that Ukraine's imports of diesel jumped 27% in March over February to a five-year-high of 577,000 tons, despite the difficulties associated with the war? in the Persian Gulf. After Russian missile attacks virtually destroyed Ukraine's refining capability, the country became?entirely reliant on imported fuel. It sourced supplies elsewhere in Europe. The consultancy stated in a report that "Importers operations in March were hindered by the effects of the war in the Middle East which made it extremely difficult to secure supplies." The report also stated that ORLEN, Poland's largest supplier, had suspended...

Fossil Fuels

Fossil Fuels

Hong Kong provides diesel subsidies and toll waivers in order to reduce fuel costs

Hong Kong has taken'steps to help the transport sector - with rising fuel prices - on Thursday. A HK$3 per litre'subsidy is being offered on 'diesel used by commercial vehicles and vessels, and a 50% discount on tolls for commercial traffic that uses government tunnels. Hong Kong, which imports almost all of its energy, relies on fossil fuels for ?power generation and has some of the world's highest gasoline prices, ?according to globalpetrolprices.com. The government announced that the measures would support diesel-powered?public and commercial vehicles?, vessels?and related industries for a period of two months. They will cost approximately HK$1.8 billion...

Fossil Fuels

China believes'relevant parties can grasp the chance of peace in Iran war

China's Foreign Ministry said that it hoped "relevant parties" would seize this opportunity to bring the Middle East back to stability. This came after Iran and the U.S. agreed on a ceasefire following the Middle East conflict. In a press briefing, the spokesperson for China's foreign ministry Mao Ning stated that China has "actively tried to promote reconciliation and avoid further fighting." Both the U.S.A. and Iran agreed late on Tuesday to a ceasefire of two weeks?to the conflict which has shaken?global markets? and caused?geopolitical turmoil? Mao, the Chinese leader, said that Beijing hoped the relevant parties would take advantage...

Fossil Fuels

China's record oil purchase propels Brazil's monthly oil exports up to the second highest level

According to Brazilian government data released this week, China purchased a record amount of crude oil from Brazil in March. This brought the South American nation’s total monthly crude exports up to the second highest level ever. The data shows that China imported 1.6 million barrels of crude oil per day from Brazil in March, as the global energy flow has been reshaped by the U.S./Israel war against Iran. The previous record was around 1.46m bpd, which was recorded in May 2020. Brazil exported a total amount of 2,5 million bpd?of crude oil to all markets in March, thanks to...

Crude Oil

Refined Products

Refined Products

Polestar CEO speaks up for used car market as fuel prices rise and EVs become cheaper

?Polestar's CEO Michael Lohscheller stated on Thursday that used car sales are exceeding new vehicle sales, due to a rise in gasoline and diesel costs from the war in Iran driving customers towards less expensive EV options. Online car platforms reported last month that the war in Iran has boosted used electric vehicle sales in Europe. "Used cars are growing faster than brand new vehicles, especially since so many people have come forward and said, "we are price-sensitive." Lohscheller said after the company announced its first-quarter results: "We prefer used cars and look at electric vehicles." Polestar's sales of used...

Refined Products

Russell: Refined fuel prices in Asia are declining, but supply is still stressed.

The price of refined fuels has fallen sharply, in line with the declines seen in crude oil after the tentative ceasefire agreement between the United States & Iran. However, the prices remain at levels that indicate a shortage. The prices of gasoil and jet fuel in Singapore, the Asian trading center, all dropped by?double digits on Wednesday amid relief from the market that the 'deal' may lead to the reopening of Strait of Hormuz. The 'ceasefire' and commitment to peace talks announced by the United States in separate announcements looks already to be on its way out. Tehran said it...

Refined Products

Andy Home: The drop in copper imports from China marks a change in the market's power.

The two-week Iranian ceasefire has helped to dispel some of the macroeconomic doom that had been engulfing the copper markets. But there could be an even greater problem for the copper bulls. China, which is the largest consumer of metals, has shown that it will not pay the high prices of January when the London Metal Exchange's three-month copper reached a nominal record of $14,527.50 a metric ton. According to the World Bureau of Metal Statistics which compiles trade data from customs statistics, the country's net imported of refined copper fell to 125 350 tons in February. This is the...

Refined Products

US and Iran agree on two-week ceasefire brokered through Pakistan

The United States, Iran and Pakistan agreed to a ceasefire for two weeks, which was mediated by Pakistan. This could potentially end a six-week war that has claimed thousands of lives, spread throughout the Middle East, and disrupted the world's supply of energy. Trump announced the deal late Tuesday night, only?two hours after a deadline that he set for Iran:?opening the Strait of Hormuz blockade or face destruction of their "whole civilization". Shehbaz sharif, the Pakistani prime minister, said he invited Iranian and U.S. delegates to meet at Islamabad this Friday. Trump said that the deal was contingent on Iran...

Refined Products

Starmer, UK's Starmer, heads to the Gulf for talks on reopening Strait of Hormuz

His office announced that British Prime Minister Keir starmer would 'travel to the Gulf tomorrow to 'hold talks with regional leaders to...?ensure that the Strait of Hormuz is permanently opened after a U.S. Iran ceasefire. Starmer, in a press release, said: "I welcome the overnight ceasefire agreement which will bring relief to the area?and world." "Together, with our partners, we must do everything possible to support and sustain the 'ceasefire. We need to turn it into an agreement that will last and reopen the Strait of Hormuz." Starmer, who has been heavily criticized by U.S. president Donald Trump for not'supporting...

Refined Products

Australia's PM Albanese criticises Trump’s rhetoric but welcomes ceasefire

Anthony Albanese, the Australian Prime Minister, welcomed the ceasefire between the United States, Israel, and Iran on Wednesday, but criticised the rhetoric of Donald Trump. Trump agreed to the two-week ceasefire just two hours before he set a deadline for Tehran to open up the Strait o'Hormuz, or face devastating attacks against its civilian infrastructure. His announcement via?social media was a sudden change from earlier that day when he had issued a warning saying "a whole civilisation will die tonight" in the event his demands were not met. Albanese told Sky News that the ceasefire is welcome but Trump's rhetoric...

Refined Products

Japan's economy is slowing down, and there are early signs that war will cause pain

The 'index of the health of Japan’s economy' fell in February, according to a report released by the government on Tuesday. This reveals a weak spot - even before the Iran War. Recent private surveys also revealed an increase in bankruptcy in the house-painting sector. Small, mom-and pop operators, already struggling with severe competition and chronic labor shortages, have been affected by rising fuel costs and supply restrictions caused by the conflict. Data showed that the coincident index, which measures the state of the economy at the moment, fell 1.6 points in February, month-on-month, to 116.3. This was the first...

Refined Products

Japan finance minister vows close G7 coordination as market volatility persists

Satsuki Katayama, the Japanese Finance Minister, said that the country would remain in close contact with other countries of the Group of Seven. The Middle East conflict has caused concern about Japan's fiscal expansion. The yield curve for Japan's government bonds has risen this week. The 10-year JGB yield reached a 27-year-high of 2.43%. Meanwhile, the yen hovered near the psychologically significant 160-per dollar mark, which analysts warn may trigger a government intervention. Katayama, a G7 Finance Minister and Central?Banker, said that the sharp changes in oil prices and developments in the Middle East are having an impact on markets....

Refined Products

Fuel price surge pushes Philippine inflation above central bank target

The Philippines' annual inflation rate increased more than expected in March. It breached the central bank's target range of 2% to 4.0%. This was primarily due to the sharp rise in 'fuel prices' amid the escalating Middle East tensions. In March, headline inflation was 4.1% higher than a year ago. This is significantly higher than the 2.4% in February and also above the median polled forecast of 3.7%. This is the highest reading of inflation since July 2024 when it was 4.4%. Inflation grew at the fastest rate since January 2023 - 1.4% on a monthly basis. This reflects a...

Refined Products

Maldives wants fuel from India during Iran war

A spokesperson from India's Foreign Ministry said that the Maldives was seeking fuel supplies. India?is still shipping fuel to its neighboring countries?, she added. Randhir Jaiswal, at a press conference, stated that India is the world's?fourth largest refiner? and supplies fuel to Bangladesh, Nepal, Bhutan, and Sri Lanka. The government of Maldives also contacted us to supply petroleum products on a short-term as well as long-term basis. Jaiswal stated that the request from Maldives is being evaluated in light of our own needs and availability. According to World Bank statistics, the Maldives sources most of its fuel from Oman. The...

Refined Products

India graveyard raid unearths hidden cooking gas canisters amid a shortage

A government official said that Indian police seized 414 canisters of cooking gas hidden in a cemetery in Hyderabad and arrested people who were trying to sell the canisters on the black market. This was in response to shortages caused by 'the Iran War. The authorities have increased raids in order to reduce the hoarding and stockpiling of liquefied gas canisters, after the U.S./Israeli war on Iran caused shipping disruptions that led to shortages. India is the second largest LPG importer in the world. About 60% of India's LPG demand is met by overseas purchases. Sujata sharma, a senior official...

Refined Products

Asian governments spend billions to offset the oil price shock

Asian governments spend billions in subsidies to protect consumers from rising oil prices due to the U.S. - Israeli war against Iran. Here are some steps that governments in Asia have taken to reduce the amount of oil coming from the Middle East. The Japanese government is 'using 800 billion yen (5.02 billion dollars) from reserve funds to finance subsides aimed at maintaining gasoline prices at around 170 yen per litre. This would cost up to 300 billion yen a month. SOUTH KOREAN In late March, the South Korean?budget?ministry proposed a supplementary budget of $26.2 trillion won to help low-income...