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Oil & Gas

Trump on Iran: US likely to strike them again Wednesday night

U.S. President Donald Trump warned Iran the United States would likely launch additional strikes on Wednesday night, following the attacks of the previous day. "I'll give a little warning. We're going hit them hard tonight," Trump said to reporters before his meeting with Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskiy at the NATO Summit in Turkey. Trump had said to reporters in Ankara that a memorandum-of-understanding between the United States & Iran, which served as an initial ceasefire agreement, was "over". He did not say that Washington would go back to full-fledged warfare, and it was not clear if the negotiations to turn...

Oil & Gas

IMF cuts 2026 global growth to 3%; sees rebound in 2020

The International Monetary Fund lowered its global growth forecast for 2026 again on Wednesday, to 3.0%. It warned of the ongoing risks caused by the Middle East war, trade fragmentation, and possible corrections in the market expectations regarding AI. Global lender said the war had prevented a more severe downturn in the global economy, and that the demand-driven growth in the tech industry helped?to _offset the drop in energy supply caused by the war. Growth is expected to rebound in 2027 at 3.4%, which is below the 3.5% average seen in 2024-2025. The IMF increased its headline inflation forecast for...

Oil & Gas

UAE's ADNOC expands its energy partnership with South Korea

ADNOC, the state-owned oil company of the UAE, announced on Wednesday that it had entered into a long-term partnership with South Korea for energy security. The agreement aims to increase cooperation in areas such as crude supply and emergency supply coordination. The partnership extends existing agreements. This includes a pledge made by the United Arab Emirates in March that they would supply South Korea up to 24,000,000 barrels of crude oil. It was announced at a visit to South Korea by Sultan al-Jaber. ADNOC Group CEO and UAE Minister of Industry and Advanced Technology. ADNOC stated that both parties would...

Oil & Gas

NATO chief: New US strikes on Iran are absolutely necessary

Mark Rutte, NATO Secretary General, said that the?new U.S. attacks on Iran? were "absolutely needed" The?U.S. The?U.S. Rutte said to reporters in Ankara, before the NATO summit. "When there is a ceasefire and Iran basically violates the ceasefire I think that it is absolutely crucial that the U.S. react forcefully." The European leaders will try to persuade Donald Trump to commit to the alliance after he renewed his disagreements with them regarding the Iran War and Greenland. Rutte stated that there was no doubt about the "complete commitment" of the United States to NATO, which he added also worked to...

Oil & Gas

United States revokes license which authorized Iranian oil exports

On Tuesday, the United States revoked a general license which authorized the sale of Iranian crude oil. A U.S. official had warned that Iran's actions in the Strait of Hormuz are "wholly unacceptable" and that they will be met with consequences after attacks on tankers along the strategic waterway. The announcement led to an increase of more than 5% in oil prices. The U.S. Treasury announced that it would allow Iran to wind down its oil transactions until July 17, which were allowed under the license now revoked. An official from the United States said that despite this latest escalation,...

Oil & Gas

Kyrgyzstan will rely on fuel supplies from China and Belarus to compensate for the Russian shortage

Kyrgyzstan said it was awaiting fuel deliveries from China and Belarus to help deal with the 'knock-on effect' of a fuel shortage in its main supplier Russia. According to local media, Deputy Premier Daniyar Amangeldiev said that Kyrgyzstan has signed contracts with Belarus and China for 3 metric tons jet fuel and 10 metric tons diesel. Last week, Kyrgyzstan - which gets more than 90% its fuel from Russia - appealed for help to ensure stable fuel supplies. It asked Kazakhstan, Belarus and Azerbaijan as well as Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan. Fuel?shortages are affecting Russia following an attack by Ukrainian drones...

Oil & Gas

Macron is the first EU leader to visit Syria since Assad was overthrown.

The Syrian state news agency said that French President Emmanuel Macron landed in Syria Monday. This was the 'first visit by a European Union Head of State to Damascus'since rebels led President Ahmed al-Sharaa overthrew Bashar al-Assad 2024. The visit highlights Syria's geopolitical change under Sharaa. A former al Qaeda leader, Sharaa has built close ties to Western and Middle Eastern countries that shunned Assad as he tries to rebuild a nation shattered after 13 years of war. "I'm here to affirm France’s commitment to the Syrian People. "I am here to affirm France's commitment to the Syrian people. Let's...

Oil & Gas

Pakistan mediating Libya unity push as rival camps seek deal, Pakistani sources say

Two Pakistani sources claim that Pakistan is quietly mediating between Libya’s rival eastern-western?power centers. This effort, which was previously unknown, will raise Pakistan's diplomatic profile, if successful. The Pakistani involvement comes after months of monitoring a U.S. led push to find diplomatic solutions in Libya. The Trump administration has repeatedly credited Pakistan's role in separate mediation between Iran and the U.S. This year. One of the Pakistani source said that the U.S. had been "fully aware and engaged" with Islamabad’s Libya role. Both sources confirmed that Saudi Arabia was also supporting the effort. Islamabad and Saudi Arabia signed a mutual...

Oil & Gas

Russian officials claim that a major drone attack on St Petersburg has been carried out by Ukraine.

St Petersburg, Russia's second largest city and the surrounding Leningrad area were hit by a major Ukrainian drone attack over night. A Baltic Sea port which handles oil exports was also reported to have been affected. Alexander Beglov, the governor of St Petersburg, said that the city's?6-million population had been subjected to a "large scale" drone attack. He did not give any details about specific targets but the local media outlet Bumaga reported that there was a fire in the oil terminal of St Petersburg. Alexander Drozdenko, Governor of the Leningrad region, said that drones struck the port of Vysotsk...

Heating Oil

China will cut retail prices of gasoline and diesel to levels similar to those before the war

China will lower its domestic retail prices of gasoline and diesel starting Saturday. This is due to a drop in oil prices internationally, as the?Iran-U.S. Peace talks have eased concerns about a disruption of supply through?the Strait of Hormuz. This reduction follows two cuts made in a single month to the official price cap, which determines the maximum retail price. This is the biggest drop in China's fuel prices since more than six-years. Retail?fuel costs are now less than 2% higher than they were before U.S. and Israeli airstrikes started the?Iran War at the end February. In a notice, the...

Oil & Gas

Danish brewer Carlsberg files IPO for India unit

The Danish brewer, Carlsberg, has filed a confidential application for an IPO of its Indian operations, the company announced on Thursday. It joins a growing number of multinationals seeking to tap India's booming equity markets. The 'confidential - route allows companies to keep the IPO filings they make with the country’s markets regulator secret until the launch. Two sources familiar with the matter said that Carlsberg India's planned listing would not raise new capital, but it would allow its parent company to sell a portion of its stake. The brewery is a fully owned subsidiary of Carlsberg Group. This move...

Oil & Gas

Sberbank of Russia lowers expectations for corporate lending as bad debts increase

Sberbank's finance chief said on Wednesday that the bank will lower its corporate lending growth forecast for 2026 due to the deteriorating financial position of its borrowers. Taras Skovortsov, CFO of Bank of Russia, told the Bank of Russia Financial Congress in St Petersburg that the country's largest lender had performed better than expected, but that the economy was slowing due to the ongoing conflict in Ukraine and the growth forecast for 2026 is only 0.4%. Skvortsov stated that "it is true?that we performed slightly better than anticipated in the first half. This is primarily due to interest income and...

Fossil Fuels

Fossil Fuels

IMF reduces global growth forecast for 2026 to 3%; sees rebound in 2020

The International Monetary Fund lowered its forecast for global growth in 2026 to a slow 3.0% on Wednesday, warning about the ongoing risks associated with the Middle East war, trade fragmentation, and possible corrections to market expectations in AI. The 'global lender' said that the world economy avoided a sharper decline, as demand for AI and technology helped to offset the sharp fall in energy supplies due to the war. The growth rate should return to 3,4% by 2027. However, this is still lower than the 3.5% average seen between 2024 and 2025. The IMF forecasted 3.1% growth in April....

Fossil Fuels

Official: US revokes license which authorized Iranian oil exports

A U.S. official announced on Tuesday that the United States was revoking the 'general license' that allowed the sale of Iranian oil. The official warned that Iran’s actions in the Strait if Hormuz are "wholly unacceptable", and that they would be met with consequences following the attacks on tankers along the strategic waterway. In a recent report, UKMTO (an agency affiliated with the British Navy) said that three tankers had reported being hit by unknown projectiles near and in the Strait of Hormuz. Tehran has not yet made any comment or claimed responsibility. An official from the United States said...

Fossil Fuels

Sources say that Russia's largest refinery has halted processing following a drone attack

Two industry sources said on Tuesday that the largest oil refinery in Russia, Omsk, had halted operations following an attack by a Ukrainian drone. The attack on the refinery in Siberia was the longest-ranged Ukrainian attack of the war, which is now well into its fifth anniversary. Fuel shortages are likely to be worsened by the shutdown of the plant. It is the top petrol producer in Russia. The attack on Monday damaged the facilities at the Omsk refinery. Anatoly Seryshev said that no plant personnel were injured in a Tuesday statement. Seryshev stated that a damage assessment was underway...

Crude Oil

Mining

Mining

Gold drops over 1% and oil increases after Trump declares Iran peace deal "over"

Gold prices fell more than 1% after the?U.S. Donald Trump declared that the interim peace agreement with Iran is "over", which sent oil prices higher, and revived fears of inflation and rising interest rates. By 1145 GMT the spot gold price had fallen 1.1% to $4.061.32 an ounce, its lowest since July 2. U.S. gold futures for August delivered fell nearly 2%, to $4.074.20/oz. After Trump declared that the four-month conflict between Iran and Israel ended in June, oil prices jumped more than 6% after he said that the agreement signed by both parties to end it was "over". UBS...

Mineral Resources

Gold drops over 1% and oil increases after Trump declares Iran peace deal "over"

Gold prices fell more than 1% after the?U.S. Donald Trump declared that the interim peace agreement with Iran is "over", which sent oil prices soaring and revived fears of inflation. Gold spot fell by 1.4% at 1027 GMT to $4,049.92 an ounce, its lowest price since July 2. U.S. gold futures for August delivered fell 2.3% to $4.059.80/oz. Oil prices rose by more than 6% following a statement from?Trump that the Memorandum of Understanding signed with Iran in June to end their four month conflict was "over", and that he did not want to engage Tehran. UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo...

Mining

Copper drops, aluminium gains after Middle East flare-up

After fresh hostilities threatened an interim ceasefire agreement in the Middle East, copper prices fell on Wednesday. This sparked concerns about the economic growth and metal supply. The benchmark three-month copper price on the London Metal Exchange fell?1.2%?to $13,210 per metric ton at 0950 GMT after dipping 0.3% the previous session. After the United States President Donald Trump declared that the Gulf Conflict was "over", after both sides exchanged attacks, the oil prices soared and the global stock market fell. Brent crude?stood more than 5% higher, but was still trading well below the highs of the Iran War. Ole Hansen...

Mineral Resources

India Silver Import Curbs Create Shortages, Push Premiums to Six-Month High

India's import restrictions have caused shortages on the world's largest market for precious metals, driving premiums up to their highest levels in six months despite a weaker than usual demand. India's lower imports, which meet more than 80% its silver demand by purchasing it overseas, could have a negative impact on the global price of silver, as well as help narrow its trade deficit and reduce pressure on its currency, the rupee. Chirag Thakkar, the chief executive officer of Amrapali Group Gujarat - a major silver importer - said that "Silver Imports are almost at a standstill, creating a severe...

Mining

Polyus, a Russian company, plans to stop dividends by 2030 in order to invest

Polyus, Russia's biggest gold producer, announced on Wednesday that it would?suspend all dividend payments until 2030 in order to finance large-scale investment projects. The company stated that the management intends to make a recommendation to the board of directors following a "thorough assessment of the current economic environment". The planned suspension of dividends reflects the high borrowing costs, increasing production expenses, lower prices for gold and risks associated with investment project timelines. Polyus shares fell by nearly 20% on the Moscow Exchange. Gold prices are now around 75% higher than they were two years ago, despite a 26% drop from...

Mineral Resources

Aluminium gains in renewed Middle East combat

Aluminum gained on Wednesday as a result of'renewed tensions in the Middle East' after 'fresh U.S. attacks on Iranian targets threatened derailment of a fragile ceasefire. As of 0700 GMT, the benchmark three-month aluminum?on London Metal Exchange was?up by 0.33% to $3,148 per metric ton. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded aluminium contract rose by 0.68%, to 23,075 Yuan ($3,394.38) per ton. The rise in prices comes after the latest U.S. airstrikes on Iranian targets, and projectiles have 'hit ships in the Strait of Hormuz. This could undermine efforts to restore a?normal supply? in the region. Around 9% of the...

Environment

Dutch prosecutors file criminal charges against Tata Steel unit

Dutch prosecutors announced on Wednesday that they had opened a criminal case against Tata Steel's Dutch subsidiary for "intentionally polluting" the environment. The prosecutors said a criminal probe?into Tata’s massive plant in?IJmuiden on the Dutch coast, west of Amsterdam, gave clear indications that company did not take enough care to avoid hazardous pollution. Tata was also accused of operating without the necessary licences and inadequate maintenance for its highly polluting coke oven. Tata's Dutch division, which is part of Tata, said that they disagreed with these accusations and had made significant improvements to reduce pollution in the past years. It...

Mining

Andy Home: The new metals trading environment is a result of the breakout in Shanghai nickel.

Metals trading and the world it operates in is constantly changing. Political and military conflicts have splintered what was once a highly globalised supply chain into parts that are more regionally diverse. Metals are?drifting from a global benchmark established by the 149 year old London Metal Exchange (LME), which is now owned by Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing. In April, the Shanghai Futures Exchange (ShFE) opened its nickel contract to overseas firms. This is an indication of a 'changing reality. Shanghai has already become the main force for setting benchmark metals prices on China's domestic market. ShFE is now looking...

Mineral Resources

Japan Q3 aluminium prices soar highest since 2015 due to Mideast supply squeeze

Five sources said that Japanese aluminium buyers paid a premium of $395 per ton between July and September. This was the highest price since 2015. The U.S./Israeli war against Iran has squeezed the supply. Japan is the largest Asian importer and benchmark for the region. Its premiums on primary metals are set at a level that exceeds the London Metal Exchange cash price each quarter. The premiums agreed to are up from $350-$353 per ton in April-June, the third consecutive increase. This is the highest since $425 between January and March 2015. As tensions ease, producers cut their offers Sources...

Mineral Resources

Aluminum rises after US-Iran ceasefire test

Aluminum prices rose on Wednesday as concerns about supply and risk increased after the new tests of the fragile U.S. Iran ceasefire. By 0300 GMT, benchmark three-month aluminum on the London Metal Exchange had increased by 0.61% to $3,156.5 per metric ton. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded aluminium contract was up 0.72% to 23,085 Yuan ($3,396.60). The latest U.S. strike on Iranian targets following projectiles hitting ships in the Strait of Hormuz threatens to generate once again a?supply-risk that had been largely dissipated after last month's truce deal. Around 9% of the world's aluminium smelting is done in the...

Mineral Resources

Andy Home: The new metals trading environment is a result of the breakout in Shanghai nickel.

Metals trading and the world it operates in is constantly changing. Political and military conflict has shattered what was once a highly globalised supply chain into regionally different parts. Metals are moving away from the single benchmark global set by the 149-year old London Metal Exchange (LME), which is now owned by Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing. This changing reality is evident in the opening of the Shanghai Futures Exchange (ShFE) nickel contract for overseas firms. Shanghai has already become the leading force in China in terms of establishing benchmark metals price in its domestic market. ShFE wants to expand...

Mineral Resources

Aluminum prices rise on Middle East tensions

Aluminum prices increased on Tuesday, as markets considered the potential for a tightening of supply amid Middle East tensions. Benchmark 'three-month' aluminium at the London Metal Exchange rose 0.5% by 1009 GMT to $3,129 per metric ton, nearing resistance from the 200-day average of $3,161. A ship was struck overnight in the Strait of Hormuz, and Iran announced that there would be no peace talks unless Donald Trump stopped threatening to restart war. As optimism grew over the prospect of Gulf supply via Hormuz, aluminum prices fell 16% in June, their biggest monthly drop since 2008. Aluminium is still oversold...