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Energy Markets

As NATO meets, oil prices are pushed up by tensions over the Hormuz region and AI concerns on Wall Street

Investors' worries about the?sustainability? of an AI rally coupled with renewed Middle East tensions drove oil prices up. The Nasdaq Composite, which is dominated by tech stocks, was down 0.61% at midday. Meanwhile the S&P 500 dropped 0.26% while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.33%. MSCI's global stock index was down by 0.49%. Samsung Electronics, the world's largest memory chipmaker, forecasted a 19-fold increase in its April-June operating profits to 89.4 trillion dollars. Rather than reassuring shareholders, the results triggered a sell-off in Samsung and rival SK Hynix. Investors are increasingly questioning whether artificial intelligence-related profit growth can be...


Energy Markets

Fossil Fuels

Oil & Gas

IMF cuts 2026 global growth to 3%; sees rebound in 2020

The International Monetary Fund lowered its global growth forecast for 2026 again on Wednesday, to 3.0%. It warned of the ongoing risks caused by the Middle East war, trade fragmentation, and possible corrections in the market expectations regarding AI. Global lender said the war had prevented a more severe downturn in the global economy, and that the demand-driven growth in the tech industry helped?to _offset the drop in energy supply caused by the war. Growth is expected to rebound in 2027 at 3.4%, which is below the 3.5% average seen in 2024-2025. The IMF increased its headline inflation forecast for...

Oil & Gas

UAE's ADNOC expands its energy partnership with South Korea

ADNOC, the state-owned oil company of the UAE, announced on Wednesday that it had entered into a long-term partnership with South Korea for energy security. The agreement aims to increase cooperation in areas such as crude supply and emergency supply coordination. The partnership extends existing agreements. This includes a pledge made by the United Arab Emirates in March that they would supply South Korea up to 24,000,000 barrels of crude oil. It was announced at a visit to South Korea by Sultan al-Jaber. ADNOC Group CEO and UAE Minister of Industry and Advanced Technology. ADNOC stated that both parties would...

Oil & Gas

NATO chief: New US strikes on Iran are absolutely necessary

Mark Rutte, NATO Secretary General, said that the?new U.S. attacks on Iran? were "absolutely needed" The?U.S. The?U.S. Rutte said to reporters in Ankara, before the NATO summit. "When there is a ceasefire and Iran basically violates the ceasefire I think that it is absolutely crucial that the U.S. react forcefully." The European leaders will try to persuade Donald Trump to commit to the alliance after he renewed his disagreements with them regarding the Iran War and Greenland. Rutte stated that there was no doubt about the "complete commitment" of the United States to NATO, which he added also worked to...

Oil & Gas

United States revokes license which authorized Iranian oil exports

On Tuesday, the United States revoked a general license which authorized the sale of Iranian crude oil. A U.S. official had warned that Iran's actions in the Strait of Hormuz are "wholly unacceptable" and that they will be met with consequences after attacks on tankers along the strategic waterway. The announcement led to an increase of more than 5% in oil prices. The U.S. Treasury announced that it would allow Iran to wind down its oil transactions until July 17, which were allowed under the license now revoked. An official from the United States said that despite this latest escalation,...

Fossil Fuels

Official: US revokes license which authorized Iranian oil exports

A U.S. official announced on Tuesday that the United States was revoking the 'general license' that allowed the sale of Iranian oil. The official warned that Iran’s actions in the Strait if Hormuz are "wholly unacceptable", and that they would be met with consequences following the attacks on tankers along the strategic waterway. In a recent report, UKMTO (an agency affiliated with the British Navy) said that three tankers had reported being hit by unknown projectiles near and in the Strait of Hormuz. Tehran has not yet made any comment or claimed responsibility. An official from the United States said...

Fossil Fuels

Sources say that Russia's largest refinery has halted processing following a drone attack

Two industry sources said on Tuesday that the largest oil refinery in Russia, Omsk, had halted operations following an attack by a Ukrainian drone. The attack on the refinery in Siberia was the longest-ranged Ukrainian attack of the war, which is now well into its fifth anniversary. Fuel shortages are likely to be worsened by the shutdown of the plant. It is the top petrol producer in Russia. The attack on Monday damaged the facilities at the Omsk refinery. Anatoly Seryshev said that no plant personnel were injured in a Tuesday statement. Seryshev stated that a damage assessment was underway...

Refined Products

After Ukrainian drones attacked Russia's largest refinery, motorists queue up for fuel in Omsk

After a drone attack on the largest oil refinery in Russia, motorists in the city of 'Omsk are lining up for fuel. This is one of the most serious attacks by the Ukrainians inside Russia since?the start of the war. Video showed a?but orderly? line of cars waiting at a fuel station on Monday evening, just hours after the terrorist attack. Witnesses in the Siberian City reported that there were longer queues Tuesday, but they were still manageable -- only around 20 minutes. Fuel was also available. Some people on the social network VKontakte complained about drivers who they called...

Fossil Fuels

TotalEnergies CEO discusses signing of exploration contract in Syria

DAMASCUS/PARIS 7 July - Patrick Pouyanne, the Chief Executive Officer of TotalEnergies, will meet with his syrian counterparts to discuss signing a contract for exploration on Tuesday, he said. Pouyanne, a member of a French delegation accompanying French president Emmanuel Macron to Syria on Tuesday was 'overshadowed' by bomb attacks that took place in Damascus. Total and the Syrian Petroleum Company signed a "memorandum" of understanding (MOU) in May to explore an offshore block off the Mediterranean. In the wake of U.S. and Israeli war against Iran, it has recently talked about the need for pipelines to be built through...

Oil Refineries

Saudi Arabia cuts crude oil prices but is this enough? Russell

Saudi Aramco has cut its crude oil price for Asia, for August-loading shipments. This move appeared to signal an intention to regain market shares and recover volumes following the Iran War. Even the record-breaking 'August official selling price' (OSP), may not be sufficient, since crude oil from other Middle East producers and exporters from Africa and the Americas are likely to remain more competitive. Aramco, 'the world's largest oil exporter', has set its OSP at a $1.50 discount to the regional benchmark of Oman/Dubai for August. It was the largest drop in record since 2003, with a $11 reduction from...

Oil & Gas

Macron is the first EU leader to visit Syria since Assad was overthrown.

The Syrian state news agency said that French President Emmanuel Macron landed in Syria Monday. This was the 'first visit by a European Union Head of State to Damascus'since rebels led President Ahmed al-Sharaa overthrew Bashar al-Assad 2024. The visit highlights Syria's geopolitical change under Sharaa. A former al Qaeda leader, Sharaa has built close ties to Western and Middle Eastern countries that shunned Assad as he tries to rebuild a nation shattered after 13 years of war. "I'm here to affirm France’s commitment to the Syrian People. "I am here to affirm France's commitment to the Syrian people. Let's...

Fossil Fuels

Trump claims that either there will be a deal made with Iran, or the US will "finish the job"

Donald Trump, President of the United States, said that the United States will either "finish the job" or reach an agreement with Iran. He renewed his threat to take military action in response to the defiance shown by Tehran following the funeral for Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. The indirect U.S.-Iran negotiations ended last week with no public signs of progress toward a lasting peace. This was despite the 60-day ceasefire that was intended to create "space for diplomacy" following U.S. We'll either make a deal, or we'll?finish the task. It won't be difficult to finish the job. Trump told...

Oil & Gas

Pakistan mediating Libya unity push as rival camps seek deal, Pakistani sources say

Two Pakistani sources claim that Pakistan is quietly mediating between Libya’s rival eastern-western?power centers. This effort, which was previously unknown, will raise Pakistan's diplomatic profile, if successful. The Pakistani involvement comes after months of monitoring a U.S. led push to find diplomatic solutions in Libya. The Trump administration has repeatedly credited Pakistan's role in separate mediation between Iran and the U.S. This year. One of the Pakistani source said that the U.S. had been "fully aware and engaged" with Islamabad’s Libya role. Both sources confirmed that Saudi Arabia was also supporting the effort. Islamabad and Saudi Arabia signed a mutual...

Crude Oil

Crude Oil

Oil surges, stocks tumble as Trump declares Iran MOU 'over'

Oil prices rose by more than 5% Wednesday, while global stock and bond markets fell as investors fled risky assets after U.S. president Donald?Trump declared that the Gulf Conflict was over following the signing of a memorandum with Iran. Trump said that he didn't want to engage Tehran. He was speaking in Ankara, Turkey, ahead of the NATO summit. He said that dealing with Iran was a waste. After the U.S. and Iranian forces exchanged attacks in Gulf, market sentiment was already fragile. Brent crude futures jumped 5% to $78 per barrel, the biggest gain in a single day since...

Crude Oil

Oil jumps on Middle East attacks; tech stocks fall due to AI valuation concerns

Oil prices jumped by over 3% Wednesday, bond prices fell as U.S. sanctions against Iranian crude oil?threatened a ceasefire. Stocks wobbled due to concerns that the record AI rally might be losing its buyers. Brent crude futures rose 3.3% to $76.54 per barrel, the highest gain in a single day since May. Although this was far below the peak of $120 at the height of fighting, it was still enough to introduce a new inflation risk in the bond market. Jason Wong is a senior strategist with BNZ Wellington. "Obviously, the market does not like these attacks... But it's still...

Refined Products

Mike Dolan's market thoughts for midweek: Russia's Achilles' heel, stockpickers' territory and Europe's issue of self-esteem

Long/short hedge fund results prove that fundamentals are still important, and Europe continues underestimating its global power. In this midweek article, I will highlight some key stories that caught me eye?this week and may have been lost in the daily flood of market news. The pump doesn't work The late U.S. John McCain said in 2014 that "Russia is just a gas station posing as a nation." If that's the case, reports of Russia's people running out of fuel in the 4.5 year long war with Ukraine seem both absurd and very significant. The attacks on Russia's infrastructure have led...

Mining

Mineral Resources

Mineral Resources

Gold drops over 1% and oil increases after Trump declares Iran peace deal "over"

Gold prices fell more than 1% after the?U.S. Donald Trump declared that the interim peace agreement with Iran is "over", which sent oil prices soaring and revived fears of inflation. Gold spot fell by 1.4% at 1027 GMT to $4,049.92 an ounce, its lowest price since July 2. U.S. gold futures for August delivered fell 2.3% to $4.059.80/oz. Oil prices rose by more than 6% following a statement from?Trump that the Memorandum of Understanding signed with Iran in June to end their four month conflict was "over", and that he did not want to engage Tehran. UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo...

Mineral Resources

India Silver Import Curbs Create Shortages, Push Premiums to Six-Month High

India's import restrictions have caused shortages on the world's largest market for precious metals, driving premiums up to their highest levels in six months despite a weaker than usual demand. India's lower imports, which meet more than 80% its silver demand by purchasing it overseas, could have a negative impact on the global price of silver, as well as help narrow its trade deficit and reduce pressure on its currency, the rupee. Chirag Thakkar, the chief executive officer of Amrapali Group Gujarat - a major silver importer - said that "Silver Imports are almost at a standstill, creating a severe...

Mineral Resources

Aluminium gains in renewed Middle East combat

Aluminum gained on Wednesday as a result of'renewed tensions in the Middle East' after 'fresh U.S. attacks on Iranian targets threatened derailment of a fragile ceasefire. As of 0700 GMT, the benchmark three-month aluminum?on London Metal Exchange was?up by 0.33% to $3,148 per metric ton. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded aluminium contract rose by 0.68%, to 23,075 Yuan ($3,394.38) per ton. The rise in prices comes after the latest U.S. airstrikes on Iranian targets, and projectiles have 'hit ships in the Strait of Hormuz. This could undermine efforts to restore a?normal supply? in the region. Around 9% of the...

Environment

Dutch prosecutors file criminal charges against Tata Steel unit

Dutch prosecutors announced on Wednesday that they had opened a criminal case against Tata Steel's Dutch subsidiary for "intentionally polluting" the environment. The prosecutors said a criminal probe?into Tata’s massive plant in?IJmuiden on the Dutch coast, west of Amsterdam, gave clear indications that company did not take enough care to avoid hazardous pollution. Tata was also accused of operating without the necessary licences and inadequate maintenance for its highly polluting coke oven. Tata's Dutch division, which is part of Tata, said that they disagreed with these accusations and had made significant improvements to reduce pollution in the past years. It...

Mineral Resources

Japan Q3 aluminium prices soar highest since 2015 due to Mideast supply squeeze

Five sources said that Japanese aluminium buyers paid a premium of $395 per ton between July and September. This was the highest price since 2015. The U.S./Israeli war against Iran has squeezed the supply. Japan is the largest Asian importer and benchmark for the region. Its premiums on primary metals are set at a level that exceeds the London Metal Exchange cash price each quarter. The premiums agreed to are up from $350-$353 per ton in April-June, the third consecutive increase. This is the highest since $425 between January and March 2015. As tensions ease, producers cut their offers Sources...

Mineral Resources

Aluminum rises after US-Iran ceasefire test

Aluminum prices rose on Wednesday as concerns about supply and risk increased after the new tests of the fragile U.S. Iran ceasefire. By 0300 GMT, benchmark three-month aluminum on the London Metal Exchange had increased by 0.61% to $3,156.5 per metric ton. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded aluminium contract was up 0.72% to 23,085 Yuan ($3,396.60). The latest U.S. strike on Iranian targets following projectiles hitting ships in the Strait of Hormuz threatens to generate once again a?supply-risk that had been largely dissipated after last month's truce deal. Around 9% of the world's aluminium smelting is done in the...

Mineral Resources

Andy Home: The new metals trading environment is a result of the breakout in Shanghai nickel.

Metals trading and the world it operates in is constantly changing. Political and military conflict has shattered what was once a highly globalised supply chain into regionally different parts. Metals are moving away from the single benchmark global set by the 149-year old London Metal Exchange (LME), which is now owned by Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing. This changing reality is evident in the opening of the Shanghai Futures Exchange (ShFE) nickel contract for overseas firms. Shanghai has already become the leading force in China in terms of establishing benchmark metals price in its domestic market. ShFE wants to expand...

Mineral Resources

Aluminum prices rise on Middle East tensions

Aluminum prices increased on Tuesday, as markets considered the potential for a tightening of supply amid Middle East tensions. Benchmark 'three-month' aluminium at the London Metal Exchange rose 0.5% by 1009 GMT to $3,129 per metric ton, nearing resistance from the 200-day average of $3,161. A ship was struck overnight in the Strait of Hormuz, and Iran announced that there would be no peace talks unless Donald Trump stopped threatening to restart war. As optimism grew over the prospect of Gulf supply via Hormuz, aluminum prices fell 16% in June, their biggest monthly drop since 2008. Aluminium is still oversold...

Mineral Resources

China's gold reserves have risen the most since 2023, despite a decline in bullion.

Official data released on Tuesday showed that China's central banks reported its biggest monthly increase in gold reserves for more than two and a half years in June, even though bullion prices fell. The People's Bank of China reported that the central bank of China continued to purchase gold for the 20th consecutive month. Its reserves reached 75.44 million fine troy ounces at the end of the month compared to 74.96 million a month before. This was the largest monthly increase since October 2023 when the holdings increased by 740,000 pounds. Data showed that the value of gold reserves in...

Mineral Resources

China's CATL obtains safety permit for restarting production at flagship lithium Mine

CATL, a Chinese company, has received a safety production permit for the flagship Jianxiawo Mine. This is a major regulatory hurdle that will allow production to resume after a nearly year-long suspension. According to Credit China, an official website that tracks corporate and individual compliance, the Chinese battery giant obtained the permit on 29 June. It will be valid until 27 February 2028. CATL announced in August that it had ceased operations at the Jianxiawo Mine, located in eastern China's Yuchun city, when its previous license expired. The stoppage triggered a temporary rise in the price of lithium futures, and...

Mineral Resources

Indonesia, India sign BrahMos missile deal

The Indonesian Presidential 'palace' announced on Tuesday that India and Indonesia had?signed an agreement on the BrahMos Cruise Missile System. During his two-day trip to Indonesia, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi visited President Prabowo Sibito. This was his first visit to Southeast Asia since 2023. According to a Jakarta announcement that did not provide any details, BrahMos - an India/Russia joint venture missile company - and Indonesia's Defence Ministry signed a deal for the BrahMos system of missile defense. The?reported on Tuesday earlier that India would supply the BrahMos missile defense system to Indonesia and also?the Astra Air-to-Air missile, citing...

Mineral Resources

New York Times Business News - July 7,

These are the most popular?stories from the New York Times business pages. The New York Times has not?verified?these?stories and cannot?guarantee?their accuracy. U.S. president Donald Trump will likely restore the rights of Turkey to buy F-35 stealth jets at the NATO summit, which would reverse a 7-year-old ban imposed by Trump himself. Canada announced on Monday that it has selected ThyssenKrupp to build a fleet of submarines in collaboration with the Norwegian, German and Canadian governments. This is a move towards reducing Canada's military and economic dependence on the United States. Walmart announced on Monday that it would be slashing the...