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European stocks drop, but dollar remains steady as traders await Jackson Hole

European stocks drop, but dollar remains steady as traders await Jackson Hole

Early trading on Thursday saw European stock markets fall slightly, just below their recent highs. Traders avoided big moves, instead waiting for the three-day annual Jackson Hole Symposium of the Federal Reserve.

Jackson Hole begins on Thursday, and traders will be watching for clues about the possibility of a rate cut in September. Fed Chair Jerome Powell is expected to speak on Friday.

People are sitting around. "You have two big unknowns in the near future, Jackson Hole tomorrow, and the Fed on September," said Tim Graf. He is head of macro strategy at State Street Markets for EMEA.

He said: "Now is the time to let people know that you are going to relax, and it will be coming." "But I also see them saying that we don't yet know the full impact of tariffs, and inflation pressure hasn't quite left the economy. Being a bit less balanced." The traders had increased their bets on a September reduction after a surprising weak payroll report at the beginning of this month. They were also encouraged by consumer price data which showed that tariffs have only limited impact. They lowered their expectations after the minutes of the Fed's meeting in July were released. The stock markets in Asia remained near their recent highs, while Australia's benchmark reached a new record.

At 0946 GMT the pan-European STOXX 600 fell by 0.2%. It was just below its five-month high from the previous session. London's FTSE 100 fell 0.1%. Germany's DAX dropped 0.1%. France's CAC40 was down by 0.4%.

The MSCI World Equity Index fell 0.1% for the day.

U.S. Stock Futures are mixed. Nasdaq E-minis remain steady, but S&P500 e Minis have fallen by 0.1%. The U.S. technology sell-off continued on Wednesday for a second consecutive day, a trend analysts attribute to high valuations and profit-taking, as well as risk aversion. The PMI data for August showed that business activity in the Eurozone accelerated, with Germany recording its highest growth since March, and France's recession easing.

The benchmark German Bund 10-year bond yield was 2.7374%, the highest of all euro zone bonds.

The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury was 4.3101%. The U.S. Dollar Index was up by 0.2% for the day, at 98.225. The euro was unchanged at $1.1653. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, intensified his efforts to influence the Federal Reserve Wednesday. He called on Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook resign based on allegations made by a political ally about mortgages that she holds in Michigan or Georgia. Cook stated that she "had no intention" of being pushed to resign from her role at the Federal Reserve.

In a research note, analysts at Deutsche Bank attributed the rise in gold over night to renewed concerns regarding the Fed's autonomy.

The news reminded the market of the concerns about future Fed independence, and the risks of fiscal dominance. However, the reaction of the markets was relatively modest," Deutsche Bank stated.

Tim Graf, State Street Markets, said that while central bank independence was considered "sacrosanct by the markets", it wasn't yet a problem.

He said: "Markets look at this quite correctly, and there is a risk premium in the price, but I don't think it upsets things too much."

Gold prices fell slightly on Thursday to $3340.61 an ounce.

The U.S. demand for oil has boosted the price of crude.

(source: Reuters)