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Energy Markets

Fossil Fuels

Fossil Fuels

The IEA warns that escalation between the US and Iran could threaten oil surpluses in 2027.

The International Energy Agency said that the recent escalation of hostilities between the U.S., and 'Iran, could change its 'forecast of an 'important oi l market surplus next year. The global oil market received some relief last'month, as a peace deal between the U.S.A. and the 'Iran opened the Strait. Its closure had effectively cut off 'as much as 14 million barrels of crude oil per day during the height of the biggest oil supply crisis ever. The agency reported that global oil production rose by 4.1 mbpd in June but was still 9.4 mbpd lower than pre-war levels. The...

Fossil Fuels

Sources say that Indian BPCL, and Japan's Taiyo Oil purchase US crude through tenders.

According to sources in the trading world, India's Bharat Oil Corp and Japan's Taiyo Oil purchased 'crude' from the United States this week, as refiners sought to diversify their supplies amid the Middle East conflict. Four sources claim that BPCL purchased West Texas Intermediate crude oil from Vitol. The refiner has booked an Aframax Tanker that can?carry up to 600,000.0 barrels of crude oil, according to two of the witnesses. They added that the oil was purchased at a price premium of?around 6 per barrel over dated Brent. A separate trader reported that Taiyo Oil purchased 2 million barrels for...

Refined Products

Oil prices rise after US strikes on Iran

Oil prices rose on Thursday, after the U.S. launched new?strikes in Iran. This dented hopes of an end to the Iran war, and the full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The Strait of Hormuz is a chokepoint that supplies one-fifth of the world's oil supply before the war. Brent crude futures were up 78 cents or 1% at $78.8 per barrel as of 0054 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude Futures rose 74 cents or 1.01% to $74.26 per barrel by 0054 GMT. WTI and Brent crude prices rose by more than $1 in the post-settlement trading on Wednesday,...

Fossil Fuels

IMF reduces global growth forecast for 2026 to 3%; sees rebound in 2020

The International Monetary Fund lowered its forecast for global growth in 2026 to a slow 3.0% on Wednesday, warning about the ongoing risks associated with the Middle East war, trade fragmentation, and possible corrections to market expectations in AI. The 'global lender' said that the world economy avoided a sharper decline, as demand for AI and technology helped to offset the sharp fall in energy supplies due to the war. The growth rate should return to 3,4% by 2027. However, this is still lower than the 3.5% average seen between 2024 and 2025. The IMF forecasted 3.1% growth in April....

Oil & Gas

Trump on Iran: US likely to strike them again Wednesday night

U.S. President Donald Trump warned Iran the United States would likely launch additional strikes on Wednesday night, following the attacks of the previous day. "I'll give a little warning. We're going hit them hard tonight," Trump said to reporters before his meeting with Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskiy at the NATO Summit in Turkey. Trump had said to reporters in Ankara that a memorandum-of-understanding between the United States & Iran, which served as an initial ceasefire agreement, was "over". He did not say that Washington would go back to full-fledged warfare, and it was not clear if the negotiations to turn...

Oil & Gas

IMF cuts 2026 global growth to 3%; sees rebound in 2020

The International Monetary Fund lowered its global growth forecast for 2026 again on Wednesday, to 3.0%. It warned of the ongoing risks caused by the Middle East war, trade fragmentation, and possible corrections in the market expectations regarding AI. Global lender said the war had prevented a more severe downturn in the global economy, and that the demand-driven growth in the tech industry helped?to _offset the drop in energy supply caused by the war. Growth is expected to rebound in 2027 at 3.4%, which is below the 3.5% average seen in 2024-2025. The IMF increased its headline inflation forecast for...

Oil & Gas

NATO chief: New US strikes on Iran are absolutely necessary

Mark Rutte, NATO Secretary General, said that the?new U.S. attacks on Iran? were "absolutely needed" The?U.S. The?U.S. Rutte said to reporters in Ankara, before the NATO summit. "When there is a ceasefire and Iran basically violates the ceasefire I think that it is absolutely crucial that the U.S. react forcefully." The European leaders will try to persuade Donald Trump to commit to the alliance after he renewed his disagreements with them regarding the Iran War and Greenland. Rutte stated that there was no doubt about the "complete commitment" of the United States to NATO, which he added also worked to...

Oil & Gas

United States revokes license which authorized Iranian oil exports

On Tuesday, the United States revoked a general license which authorized the sale of Iranian crude oil. A U.S. official had warned that Iran's actions in the Strait of Hormuz are "wholly unacceptable" and that they will be met with consequences after attacks on tankers along the strategic waterway. The announcement led to an increase of more than 5% in oil prices. The U.S. Treasury announced that it would allow Iran to wind down its oil transactions until July 17, which were allowed under the license now revoked. An official from the United States said that despite this latest escalation,...

Fossil Fuels

Official: US revokes license which authorized Iranian oil exports

A U.S. official announced on Tuesday that the United States was revoking the 'general license' that allowed the sale of Iranian oil. The official warned that Iran’s actions in the Strait if Hormuz are "wholly unacceptable", and that they would be met with consequences following the attacks on tankers along the strategic waterway. In a recent report, UKMTO (an agency affiliated with the British Navy) said that three tankers had reported being hit by unknown projectiles near and in the Strait of Hormuz. Tehran has not yet made any comment or claimed responsibility. An official from the United States said...

Refined Products

After Ukrainian drones attacked Russia's largest refinery, motorists queue up for fuel in Omsk

After a drone attack on the largest oil refinery in Russia, motorists in the city of 'Omsk are lining up for fuel. This is one of the most serious attacks by the Ukrainians inside Russia since?the start of the war. Video showed a?but orderly? line of cars waiting at a fuel station on Monday evening, just hours after the terrorist attack. Witnesses in the Siberian City reported that there were longer queues Tuesday, but they were still manageable -- only around 20 minutes. Fuel was also available. Some people on the social network VKontakte complained about drivers who they called...

Oil & Gas

Market monitors US-Iran Talks

The price of oil rose on Tuesday as traders' anxiety over a lack of progress in peace talks between?the United States?and Iran?overrode any price impact of the slight improvement in shipping through Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude futures rose $1.02 or 1.42% to $73.01 per barrel. U.S. West Texas intermediate crude gained 93 cents or 1.36% to $69.48 per barrel at 0748 GMT. Ole Hansen, analyst at Saxo Bank, said: "The deal has not been signed yet. So something could still go wrong. And?any comments by either side can raise concerns which helps to underpin the prices. It's also removing...

Oil Refineries

Saudi Arabia cuts crude oil prices but is this enough? Russell

Saudi Aramco has cut its crude oil price for Asia, for August-loading shipments. This move appeared to signal an intention to regain market shares and recover volumes following the Iran War. Even the record-breaking 'August official selling price' (OSP), may not be sufficient, since crude oil from other Middle East producers and exporters from Africa and the Americas are likely to remain more competitive. Aramco, 'the world's largest oil exporter', has set its OSP at a $1.50 discount to the regional benchmark of Oman/Dubai for August. It was the largest drop in record since 2003, with a $11 reduction from...

Crude Oil

Crude Oil

The strategic oil reserves will support the crude demand until 2028

Analysts and officials have said that governments are planning to purchase millions of barrels by 2028 in order to replenish 'emergency reserves' depleted due to drawdowns. This is to fill a void?in the global supply caused by a U.S.-Israeli attack on Iran. They say that this could increase demand for crude oil, which would absorb a portion of the global surplus expected after OPEC+ decided to increase production. The government has reduced emergency reserves following supply disruptions related to the conflict that have removed estimated 1.5 billion barrels of global inventories in this year. Calculations based on International Energy Agency...

Crude Oil

Oil prices are a 'wake up call' for investors as Trump drives up inflation.

After U.S. president Donald Trump announced on Wednesday that the interim?agreement to end the conflict with Iran "is over", global investors were reminded of the speed at which the oil?market could reignite concerns about inflation and volatility. Oil's 5% increase has pushed down inflation-sensitive assets like bonds and gold. Aneeka Gupta is the director of macroeconomics research at Wisdomtree. We expected "that the oil flow would return to the markets and that inflation expectations would be reduced". Everyone is watching oil After Trump's comments, oil prices jumped up to 6% to reach a new two-week high. Brent futures are still...

Crude Oil

Wall Street is jittery as Trump declares interim Iran deal "over"

Wednesday, oil prices rose more than 5% and global bond and stock prices fell as investors fled risky assets after U.S. president Donald 'Trump' said that the memorandum signed with Iran for ending the Gulf Conflict was "over". Wall Street opened lower, as renewed tensions in the Middle East weighed down sentiment. This was further reinforced by a warning from the International Monetary Fund about the impact of the conflict on global growth for this year. Investors are also closely watching the minutes of the Fed meeting, which will be released later on Wednesday. This is the first Fed meeting...

Mining

Mineral Resources

Mineral Resources

Gold prices to drop this week as Gulf attack reinforces rate-hike betting

Gold prices rose on Friday as the dollar weakened, but were on course for a weekly decline on fears that the escalating tensions between the U.S. and Iran could fuel inflation. This would keep the U.S. Federal Reserve in a hawkish policy direction. As of 0303 GMT spot gold was up by 0.2%, at $4,128,92 per ounce. It is heading for a weekly decline of over 1%. U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery were unchanged at $4,139.50. Dollars were at their lowest level in a week, which made greenbacks priced bullion more accessible to holders of other currencies. Tim Waterer...

Mineral Resources

Copper rebound, Middle East conflict escalates no longer a concern

The dollar, which had recently surged, was stabled and copper rebounded on Thursday as the market looked beyond the escalation of Gulf hostilities. Benchmark three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange was up 1.62% to $13,379 per metric ton at 0700 GMT. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract rose 0.16%, to 103.160 yuan (15,182.65) per ton. This was a slight improvement from the earlier drop of 1.32%. Although the copper market is still watching Middle East conflict developments closely, investors have "tended to price in an expectation that any escalated tensions will be brief and a solution?will be...

Mineral Resources

Gold prices fall after Trump declares Iran deal 'over

Gold prices dropped on Wednesday, as oil prices soared and inflation fears intensified after U.S. president Donald Trump declared that the?interim deal aimed at ending conflict with Iran is "over". Gold spot dropped by 2%, to $4.025.67 an ounce at 11:35 am EDT (1535 GMT), after reaching its lowest price since July 1. U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery fell 2.9% to $4.035.20 an ounce. David Meger is director of metals at High Ridge Futures. He said that the main reason for the move today was the "increased escalation" in tensions between Iran and the U.S. With a possible ceasefire...

Mineral Resources

Gold drops over 1% and oil increases after Trump declares Iran peace deal "over"

Gold prices fell more than 1% after the?U.S. Donald Trump declared that the interim peace agreement with Iran is "over", which sent oil prices soaring and revived fears of inflation. Gold spot fell by 1.4% at 1027 GMT to $4,049.92 an ounce, its lowest price since July 2. U.S. gold futures for August delivered fell 2.3% to $4.059.80/oz. Oil prices rose by more than 6% following a statement from?Trump that the Memorandum of Understanding signed with Iran in June to end their four month conflict was "over", and that he did not want to engage Tehran. UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo...

Mineral Resources

Gold falls as oil increases after Trump declares Iran peace deal "over"

Gold prices dropped more than 1% on Tuesday after U.S. President Donald Trump declared that the interim peace agreement with Iran had "ended". This sent oil prices up and fuelled fears of inflation, as well as higher U.S. rates. Spot gold dropped 1.02%, to $4,063.67 an ounce, by 0850 GMT. It had fallen to its lowest level since July 2, earlier in the session. U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery fell 1.97% to $ 4,074.80/oz. Trump stated that the Memorandum of Understanding signed in June with Iran to end a four-month conflict was "over" and added that he did not...

Mineral Resources

Japan Q3 aluminium prices soar highest since 2015 due to Mideast supply squeeze

Five sources said that Japanese aluminium buyers paid a premium of $395 per ton between July and September. This was the highest price since 2015. The U.S./Israeli war against Iran has squeezed the supply. Japan is the largest Asian importer and benchmark for the region. Its premiums on primary metals are set at a level that exceeds the London Metal Exchange cash price each quarter. The premiums agreed to are up from $350-$353 per ton in April-June, the third consecutive increase. This is the highest since $425 between January and March 2015. As tensions ease, producers cut their offers Sources...

Mineral Resources

Canada has agreed to a possible C$400-million investment by Teck for strategic metals production.

In a statement released on Tuesday, Canada's Natural Resources Ministry announced that the government could invest up to C$400,000,000 ($281.93,000,000) in Teck Resources to expand the facility Trail Operations in British Columbia to produce strategic metals. The agreement includes a framework agreement for an offtake contract from the Canadian Government to "secure rights" for Teck's production of rare earths metals like germanium, gallium, and antimony. These metals are widely used in industries like infrared optical systems in defense, semiconductors and radar systems. Teck plans to invest C$850m to maintain and improve critical minerals processing capacity at Trail Operations. The Canadian...

Mineral Resources

Andy Home: The new metals trading environment is a result of the breakout in Shanghai nickel.

Metals trading and the world it operates in is constantly changing. Political and military conflict has shattered what was once a highly globalised supply chain into regionally different parts. Metals are moving away from the single benchmark global set by the 149-year old London Metal Exchange (LME), which is now owned by Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing. This changing reality is evident in the opening of the Shanghai Futures Exchange (ShFE) nickel contract for overseas firms. Shanghai has already become the leading force in China in terms of establishing benchmark metals price in its domestic market. ShFE wants to expand...

Mineral Resources

Australia's Lynas and South Korea's JS Link Sign Deal for Malaysia Magnet Factory

Lynas?Earths 'announced on Tuesday that it had signed a deal with South Korea JS Link for the development of a magnet plant in Malaysia. JS Link, a magnet manufacturer in?South Korea, and the Malaysian factory planned by JS Link will receive rare-earth material from the Australian producer until January 2038. This partnership comes after a magnet manufacturing agreement between the two companies in last year. Under the new?deal, JS Link is going to establish a permanent magnet factory in Kuantan (Malaysia) with 3,000 tonnes of neodymium, iron, and boron (NdFeB). Lynas stated that it will invest a total of?about A$50m...

Mineral Resources

Gold gains for the week as US job data weakens rate hike betting

Gold rose on Friday, and was expected to gain a weekly profit after four weeks of losses. Weak U.S. job data dampened expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise rates in the near future. Gold spot was up 1.3% to $4,176.29 an ounce at 1006 GMT after reaching its highest level since June 23. Bullion is above its 21-day moving average and up over 2% this week. U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery gained 1.53% to $4188.80/oz. Data released on Thursday revealed that nonfarm payrolls increased by 57,000 in the U.S. last month. This was below the 110,000 economists had...

Mineral Resources

Gold prices rise for the first time in five weeks on Fed rate hike bets

Gold gained 1% on Friday, and investors were set to?make their?first weekly gains in five as they dialed back expectations for U.S. interest rate hikes after softer than expected jobs data. As of 0612 GMT spot gold was up by 1% to $4,165.29 an ounce. It had earlier reached its highest level since the 23rd of June. U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery gained 1.3% to $4,178.50. Bullion is on track to gain 1.8% in a week, its first weekly gain since?May 29. Weaker-than-expected data from nonfarm payrolls as well as private payrolls have tempered inflation concerns and interest rates...

Mineral Resources

Gold prices rise for the first time in five weeks on Fed rate hike bets

As investors lowered their expectations for Federal Reserve rate hikes after softer than expected U.S. job data, gold rose by more than 1%. As of 0235 GMT spot gold rose 1.4% to $4179.94 an ounce. This was its highest price since June 23. U.S. Gold futures for delivery in August gained?1.6%, to $4193.20. Bullion is on track to gain 2.3% in a week, its first weekly gain since the week of May 25. Weaker-than-expected data from nonfarm payrolls as well as private payrolls helped ease concerns about inflation and longer-term interest rates. The dollar was heading for a weekly decline,...