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Japan index reaches record highs on earnings boost; other Asian markets decline
Japanese shares rose on Friday following positive earnings reports, and the expectation that the U.S. will remove overlapping tariffs against the country's products. Other Asian markets were lower after the Wall Street session ended with a late retreat. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan fell 0.4%, with Hong Kong leading the declines. This comes after U.S. shares ended their previous session with mild losses despite having reached a near-one-week-high. The Nikkei index rose 2%, while the Topix index set a new record by trading over 3,000 points for the first. SoftBank Group shares rose as high as 11% following the announcement that the technology investor had returned to profitability in the first-quarter. Sony Group added 6% to its 4.1% gain on Thursday, fueled by earnings. The S&P 500 eminis and Nasdaq Futures were both up 0.3%. Both are on course to extend their gains into a second day. Tony Sycamore is a market analyst with IG in Sydney. He said that the rally for stocks came "against... an emerging titanic dovish reversal at the Federal Reserve." The U.S. president Donald Trump announced on Thursday that he will nominate Stephen Miran, the chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers for the vacant Federal Reserve seat while the White House continues to search for a permanent addition for the central bank's board of directors and searches for a new Fed Chair. Bloomberg News reported that Fed Governor Christopher Waller was the leading candidate to succeed Chair Jerome Powell whose term expires on May 15, 2026. After a weak auction of 30-year bond, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note rose to 4.2461%. This is the latest in a series of disappointing sales this week. The Japanese stock market has rallied after a mixed bag earnings report from the country's largest exporters. Some companies, like Toyota Motor, slashed profit forecasts while Sony and Honda claimed the impact was less than expected. Tokyo's chief trade negotiator announced that the U.S. government promised to adjust some of the overlapping tariffs it has on Japanese products in order to avoid paying duties twice on certain goods. The Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong fell by 0.6%. Technology shares led the declines, while China's blue chip CSI 300 index dropped by 0.1%. Australian stocks fell 0.2%. The dollar increased by 0.1% to 147.27 yen. Japanese household spending data released Friday, which provides clues to consumption and wage trends that the Bank of Japan is monitoring to determine the timing of its next rate hike, rose at a slower-than-anticipated 1.3%. The euro was unchanged at $1.1669 after gaining 2.23% over the past month. Meanwhile, the dollar index which measures the greenback's value against other major currencies was up by 0.2% to 98.124. Brent futures remained unchanged at $66.45, while U.S. crude oil futures were barely changed at $63.81 per barrel. Gold fell 0.4%, and the last price of bullion was $3391.157.
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Petrobras declares $1.6 billion dividend after swinging to Q2 net profits
Petrobras, the Brazilian oil company, announced on Thursday dividends and interest to equity holders of $8.66 billion reais. It reported a swing in its second-quarter net profits of $26.7 billion reais. The result was a marked improvement over the net loss of 2.6 million reais that occurred in the same period last year. In the earnings report, Chief Financial Officer Fernando Melgarejo stated that "we had excellent operational performances in the second quarter. This was driven by the implementation and improvement of new production systems in the operating fields." The company reported that adjusted earnings before interest taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), rose by 5.1% to 52.3 billion Brazilian reais in the reporting period. Melgarejo stated that despite the significant drop in Brent prices during the first quarter, the recurring net profit (which excludes one-off items) remained the same as the previous quarter. Petrobras reported that Brent oil prices in the second quarter averaged $67.82 a barrel, down from $75.66 a barrel in the previous three months. The company reported that capital expenditures, or capex totaled $4.4billion in the third quarter. This was up by 9% compared to the previous three-month period and in line with its targets. Petrobras, in a separate presentation said that it expected its oil and natural gas production to reach the upper limit of its target by 2025. The full-year guidance for production is 2.8 million barrels equivalent per day (boed), plus a 4% margin.
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The oil market is set to suffer its steepest weekly loss since June due to tariffs that cloud the demand outlook
Investors expressed concerns about the impact of tariffs on the global economy, which went into effect on Thursday, on the oil prices. Brent crude futures fell three cents at 0050 GMT to $66.40 per barrel, and are on course to fall more than 4% from week to week. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude Futures fell six cents or 0.1% to $63.82 per barrel. They are expected to drop more than 5% weekly. The U.S. increased tariffs on a number of its trading partners. In a note, ANZ Bank analysts expressed concern that the tariffs would lead to a weaker economy, which could affect demand for crude oil. The oil prices are already in a downward spiral after the OPEC+ group announced last weekend that it will fully unwind its biggest tranche of production cuts in September, several months before target. WTI futures fell for six straight sessions at Thursday's closing, matching the longest losing streak since December 2023. If prices fall on Friday, this will be the longest losing streak since August 20,21. The Kremlin confirmed on Thursday that Russian President Vladimir Putin will meet U.S. president Donald Trump within the next few days, raising hopes of a diplomatic resolution to the conflict in Ukraine. The addition of U.S. duties against India due to its purchase of Russian crude oil has helped limit the drop in oil prices. StoneX analysts told clients that the move is unlikely to have a significant impact on the flow of Russian crude oil to other markets. Trump said on Wednesday that China, which is the biggest buyer of Russian crude, may also be subject to tariffs, similar to those imposed against Indian imports. (Reporting and editing by Tom Hogue in New York, Shariq Khan is reporting from New York)
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United Steelworkers union proposes next refinery worker contracts
Mike Smith, the chair of national oil negotiations for the union, told a meeting of more than 300 United Steelworkers union workers in Pittsburgh that they had approved proposals for labor negotiation with energy companies to begin in early 2026. The current contract, which covers 30,000 workers for four years, expires just after midnight on February 1, 2026. USW members are employed at refineries which account for more than half of the nation's crude oil processing capacity. USW negotiators, led by Smith, and including International Vice President Roxanne Bron and International President David McCall will begin meetings with Marathon Petroleum negotiators in January. As the leading company in the national pattern negotiations, MPC is looking forward to productive negotiation with the USW. It is also committed to working towards a mutually satisfying agreement," said Marathon's spokesperson Jamal Kheiry. The main issue is wage increases, especially for workers in refineries and chemical plants who earn an average of more than $50 per hour. Smith stated, "I'd say that the wage proposals are important for the times we live in." Smith declined to provide more details about the union's proposed wage increases. Smith also said that the cost of healthcare is a major concern. He said, "We are trying to ensure good health care without having to bear the brunt of rising cost." As with other industries, the union also has a proposal for artificial intelligence. Smith stated that the AI proposal was to protect our industry as we tried to understand its impacts. In order to bring the proposals to the table, a supermajority must be reached by local unions within 45 days. Smith said that he couldn't predict at this time how easy or difficult the negotiations with Marathon might be. He said, "It's early." No bargaining session can be easy or simple. "Our members are willing to do whatever it takes to get a contract that is fair for all of our members." The USW achieved a wage increase of 2.5% in 2022. This was followed by 3% increases in the second and third year and a 3.5% raise in the fourth. (Reporting and editing by Leslie Adler; Erwin Seba)
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Argentina's YPF Q2 profits slump nearly 90% due to lower fuel prices
YPF, Argentina's energy company controlled by the state, reported a 90% drop in its second-quarter profit to $58 millions on Thursday. Fuel prices were cited as the main reason for this decline. Sales fell 6% to $4.64 Billion from the previous year, due to lower prices for refined products as well as seasonal declines in demand for naphtha. YPF’s performance is a crucial indicator for Argentina’s economy. The country is relying heavily on the Vaca Muerta Formation in its drive to become a Net Energy Exporter. Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, or EBITDA, a key measure for profitability, were $1.12 billion in the period April-June, down 7% compared to a year ago. Analysts surveyed by LSEG expected, on average, an EBITDA adjusted of $1.17billion from revenues of $4.49billion. Benchmark Brent crude averaged $67 a barrel in the second half of the year, down from $75 a barrel the previous quarter and $85 one year ago. Upstream sales were down by 10% due to the lower Brent prices and reduced conventional production after YPF had sold mature fields. The lower fuel prices also affected downstream sales. However, the strong demand for diesel and agriculture helped partially offset this drop. The results are coming as Argentina is facing a major court battle following a U.S. Judge's order that the government hand over its majority stake in YPF. This was to satisfy a $16.1 Billion judgment related to an expropriation from Spain Repsol of a stake back in 2012. (Reporting and editing by Sarah Morland, Jamie Freed and Natalia Siniawski)
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Australian miner Fortescue receives a loan of nearly $2 billion to advance decarbonisation
Fortescue announced on Friday that it had secured a term loan facility of 14.2 billion Chinese Yuan ($1.9 billion), as the Australian mining company looks to support ambitious decarbonisation goals. The mining giant announced at the end July that they would be scaling back their green hydrogen projects both locally and in the United States. Fortescue said that it was evaluating options for repurposing the assets and land of the Arizona Hydrogen Project, and the PEM50 Project at Gladstone in Australia. It is expecting a preliminary write-down of $150 million before taxes in its second-half earnings, related to the spending on these businesses. The miner stated that its Fortescue Energy division was unlikely to reach the target of 15 million metric tonnes of green hydrogen production by 2030. Fortescue said on Friday that some of the leading Chinese, Australian and foreign lenders had participated in the term loan facility. Andrew Forrest said that the executive chairman of the company, Andrew Forrest, stated, "As America steps back from investment in what will become the world's largest industry, China is advancing green technology to lead the global industrial green revolution." The company is one of the largest iron ore suppliers to China.
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Gazprom, the Russian gas company, denounces Moldova's move to change its gas supply system
Gazprom, the Russian gas giant, denounced on Thursday a decision by Moldova's Gas Authority to withdraw its licence for its local subsidiary's distribution of gas. It said the move damaged their affiliate and compromised Moldova's security in energy. The National Agency for Energy Regulation in Moldova, which regulates the gas industry, announced this week that the license to distribute gas was withdrawn from Moldovagaz. 50% of Moldovagaz's shares are owned by Gazprom. Instead, it has been given to state-run Energocom. Energocom will take over the distribution of gas to 800.000 consumers from September 1, it announced. Gazprom claims that Moldova has arrears of at least $709 millions for gas supplied, mostly to state-run enterprises. Moldova says that it does not owe any such debts. This was the main reason for a gas supply halt in January. Gas supplies to Transdniestria - a prorussian separatist region near Moldova's border to Ukraine - were halted for several weeks after the cutoff coincided with the end of gas transit via Ukraine. Gazprom said in its most recent statement that Moldova failed to resolve the debt problem, and added the gas concern has issued proposals to solve the arrears. Gazprom stated that "the Moldovan government introduced a number of measures which, in the end, led to the forced reorganisation Moldovagaz...a sharp increase in gas prices, and as a result, a decrease in the energy security of the country." Gazprom stated that it will continue to "defend its lawful rights with all available methods." Moldova has been involved in a dispute with Gazprom for many years over price and what they call arrears. It has sought to reduce its dependence on Russian gas and signed agreements to buy gas from European suppliers. The company said that its decision was made because Gazprom demanded payment for arrears they did not recognize and failed to implement the changes requested by the European Union regarding separating responsibility between transporting and supplying of gas. Moldova's pro European government wants to join the EU by 2030. Vadim Ceban, the chairman of Moldovagaz, said that the issues are "political in nature" and out of their control. (Reporting from Moscow and Alexander Tanas, Chisinau. Writing by Ron Popeski. Editing by Chris Reese.
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Pemex plan disappointed suppliers who are owed billions of dollars in payments
The head of a Mexican association that represents global oilfield services firms said on Thursday, despite promises by the government to accelerate payments to suppliers, there are no concrete measures in a new business strategy for Pemex. Rafael Espino is the president of AMESPAC. He said that during a meeting on Tuesday with officials of the energy and finance ministries, as well as Pemex, it was not mentioned how the company will pay off debts from work performed already in 2024, and in the first half 2025. Espino stated that AMESPAC members owed approximately 65 billion pesos (3.49 billion dollars) for work which has yet to be invoiced. Espino told an interview that the report was disappointing because it did not mention anything about 2024. If we wait until the future cash flow is available to pay it, this debt will not be paid and will have an immediate impact on production. Espino said that at the meeting, officials had stated that Pemex will speed up payment, won't let invoices go beyond two months and expects to have a larger cash reserve. Espino said that officials at the meeting stated Pemex would speed up payments, not let invoices age beyond two months, and expect to have more cash on hand. Pemex has supplier debts totaling around $23 billion dollars and financial debts amounting to nearly $100 billion. This is despite the fact that it received billions of dollars in government assistance in recent years in order to meet its obligations. Despite frequent promises and payments, debts continue to grow, causing a payment crisis unprecedented for service providers. Espino stated that AMESPAC welcomed the plan, but was seeking to create a formal group of working with authorities in order to understand the rules and timeline for the new investment vehicle 2025 and its associated payments. The association claims that the payment of outstanding debts will help reactivate idle equipment and meet Mexico's crude production goal of 1.8 millions barrels per day. This is a goal heavily dependent on Pemex. AMESPAC is made up of four of the largest energy service firms in the world: Baker Hughes, Weatherford, SLB and Halliburton. Grupo Carso, controlled by Carlos Slim, reported recently that Pemex still owes them more than $700,000,000 for services rendered, some of which date back as far as two years. Halliburton's payment problems with Pemex are still unresolved, according to a subsidiary of Grupo Mexico.
Myanmar signss deal with Washington lobbyists for rebuilding US relations
A Washington lobbying company has signed a $3 million-per-year agreement with Myanmar's Ministry of Information in order to help the country, which was ruled by the military for many years, rebuild its relations with the United States.
Documents submitted under the U.S. Foreign Agents Registration Act, (FARA), show that the DCI Group and the Ministry signed an agreement on July 31. This was the day Myanmar's army nominally handed over power to a civilian interim government in advance of a planned elections.
The military leadership of Myanmar, led by Min Aung Hlaing, seized power through a coup in 2021. That year a lobbyist who was hired to represent the country in Washington and in other capitals claimed that he stopped working because U.S. Sanctions on Generals prevented him from getting paid.
When asked whether U.S. Sanctions would affect the agreement reached between the Myanmar Ministry and the DCI Group in Washington, the U.S. Treasury Department did not respond immediately to comments. Neither did the DCI Group or the U.S. State Department.
Min Aung Hlaing, acting president and chief of the military, will continue to hold all the major levers in Myanmar.
After years of isolation, he has shown a willingness to engage with Donald Trump's administration.
Trump's threat to impose new tariffs on Myanmar exports bound for the U.S. as part of his trade offensive was made in a letter signed by him and addressed personally Min Aung Hlaing.
The general responded to Trump's "strong leadership" by praising him, while also asking for lower rates and lifting of sanctions. He stated that he would be willing to send a negotiation team to Washington if necessary.
"TRADE, NATURAL RESOURCES"
According to the FARA application, the DCI Group will "provide public affairs services (to) the client in respect of rebuilding relationships between the Republic of the Union of Myanmar, the United States and trade, natural resources and humanitarian aid."
On August 1, Justin Peterson (DCI's managing partner), who previously served under the Trump administration, as well as Brian McCabe, another managing partner of DCI, signed the filing.
Last year, it was reported that the FBI had been investigating DCI Group for its alleged involvement in a hacking-and-leaking operation that targeted hundreds Exxon Mobil critics.
The DCI Group said that the allegations it had commissioned a hacking operation are false, and that all its employees and consultants must comply with the law.
In 2008, after the DCI Group's work for a former military junta of Myanmar was revealed, two top aides of then Republican presidential candidate John McCain resigned. Jim Murphy, former DCI managing partner and president, was Trump's national campaign director in 2016.
Myanmar's official media reported that Myint Suu Kyi died earlier that day in hospital. He was the president of Myanmar during the coup in 2021 that led to the arrests of Win Myint, the incumbent, and Nobel laureate Aung San Suu Kyi.
Myint Swe was a former general who had served for 74 years. He was put on medical leave last July and his duties were transferred to Min Aung Hlaing.
Engagement with the junta is a radical departure for the United States. This is because of the sanctions imposed by the United States on military leaders, and the violence perpetrated against the Rohingya minority that Washington has called genocide and crimes committed against humanity.
The Trump administration lifted sanctions on several junta ally countries last month. However, U.S. officials claimed that this was not indicative of a broader change in U.S. policies toward Myanmar, and had nothing to do with the general's email.
The administration heard competing proposals last week on how to divert Myanmar’s huge supplies of rare-earth minerals away from China's strategic rival, but nothing was decided due to major logistical and political obstacles.
In its race with China, who controls nearly 90% of the global processing capacity, the US administration is focused on securing supplies of heavy rare earths used in high-tech weapons. (Reporting and editing by Don Durfee, Stephen Coates and David Brunnstrom)
(source: Reuters)