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Energy Markets

Oil & Gas

Oil & Gas

Logan, Fed's Logan, says that US oil producers are unlikely to offer immediate relief to consumers

Lorie Logan, Dallas Federal Reserve president, said that U.S. producers will not be able to increase output soon and protect consumers from higher gas prices. Logan, speaking at a regional Fed bank conference, said that the price U.S. oil producers need to see to begin drilling is just under $70 per barrel. This is well below the current price of $110 per barrel. Logan said that the price of oil must be maintained at or above the break-even point for firms to invest in the needed equipment that will eventually benefit consumers. She said that U.S. oil companies "need to...

Oil & Gas

McGeever: The 'no hire' US economy is exposed by the war in Iran.

The U.S. employment growth has virtually stopped. This was acceptable for policymakers and investors before the Iran War, but it shouldn't still be. Since a while, the labor market has steadily declined, but it has been hidden by a rising headline unemployment rate, which has only been increasing gradually. It is still low by historical standards at 4.4%. The labor market has stagnated. JOLTS, the closely watched Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey released this week, showed that hiring has now reached its lowest level since April 2020. It's possible that hiring will not pick up in the next few...

Oil & Gas

Takeaways from Trump’s speech on Iran

In a Wednesday evening prime time address, President Donald Trump defended his handling the U.S. and Israeli war against Iran that has been ongoing for a month. He said the U.S. Military was close to completing its mission. Trump also reiterated his threats to bomb 'the Islamic Republic to the Stone Age. He gave his 19-minute address against the backdrop of rising global oil prices, and his low approval rating. What are some key points to remember? Looking for an exit, but not quite yet Trump, faced with a war-weary American public, and slipping poll numbers, claimed that the U.S....

Oil & Gas

Takeaways from Trump’s speech on Iran

In a prime time address Wednesday, President Donald Trump defended his handling the U.S. and Israeli war against Iran, which has been ongoing for a month. He said the U.S. Military was close to completing its mission, while also reinforcing threats to bomb Iran back to the Stone Age. He gave his?19 minute speech in the face of rising global oil prices, and a low rating for himself. Takeaways from the article: Looking for an exit - but not quite yet Trump, faced with a war-weary American public, and a?sliding?poll number, claimed that the U.S. destroyed Iran's air force and...

Oil & Gas

SpaceX's IPO: The Road to Success

SpaceX, Elon Musk's company, has filed a confidential application for its highly anticipated U.S. Initial Public Offering, according to a source familiar with the matter. This will make space exploration a mainstream investment topic, rather than a speculative one. Here's a timeline for SpaceX’s path to a blockbuster IPO. Elon Musk launched SpaceX in March 2002 using the money he earned from selling PayPal. SpaceX failed to launch its first rocket, the Falcon 1 in March 2006. SpaceX Falcon 1 successfully launched for the first launch in September 2008. It was the first liquid-fuel rocket developed by a private company...

Oil & Gas

SpaceX is seen as a test that will determine whether mega-IPOs succeed or fail

Elon Musk's spaceX could be the break-through that global IPO market needs. Saudi Aramco was the last company to debut on the market with a valuation of over one trillion dollars in 2019. SpaceX has all the ingredients the IPO market?has been looking for to end a long-term drought of mega-deals. It is a company with a valuation over "trillion dollars", a CEO who enjoys cult like retail support, and exposure to a?high-growth?industry. Investors' appetite for an IPO of this magnitude is still uncertain. Analysts and experts say that the company's success is unique, so it could only have a...

Oil & Gas Refining

Sources say that Rodriguez is preparing to take over Citgo's board.

Four sources said that Delcy Roddez, interim president of Venezuela, is preparing to take control of the U.S. subsidiaries owned by state oil company PDVSA, including Citgo Petroleum. The move could exacerbate a tug-of-war for control of the seventh largest U.S. refiner. Two sources claim that Rodriguez is still working on her list of board members to be approved by the Treasury. Some names were not received well in Washington. The sources say that if the executives are approved by the Treasury, then the Office of Foreign Assets Control would issue a license. One of the sources said that Treasury...

Oil & Gas Refining

SpaceX's IPO: The Road to Success

Bloomberg News reported that Elon Musk’s SpaceX filed confidentially for its highly anticipated U.S. IPO, bringing the billionaire closer to having a publicly traded company within his empire. Here's a timeline of SpaceX’s journey towards its blockbuster IPO. Elon Musk founded SpaceX in March 2002 using the money he earned from the sale of PayPal. SpaceX launched its first rocket in March 2006, but it failed. September 2008 - Falcon 1 was launched successfully by SpaceX for the first launch and became the world's first liquid-fuel rocket. SpaceX signed its first major contract in December 2008 with NASA for the...

Oil & Gas

SpaceX is seen as a test that will determine whether mega-IPOs succeed or fail

Elon Musk's SpaceX may be the answer to the global IPO market's long-term struggle. Saudi Aramco was the last company to have a IPO at a valuation of over one trillion dollars in 2019. SpaceX, with its "over-trillion-dollar valuation", CEO who has a cult following in retail and exposure to a fast-growing industry is what the IPO'market" has been looking for to end a long-term drought of mega-deals. Investors' appetite for such a large?listing? is still uncertain. Analysts and experts say that the company's success is unique, so it could only have a limited impact on the broader market sentiment....

Oil & Gas

Trackers report that PetroChina fills Singapore's shortfall in crude oil with crude stored in China.

PetroChina supplied a rare shipment of nearly?2million barrels of crude from its storage facility in China to the refinery it owns half of, located in Singapore. The?firm is attempting to fill'shortfalls caused by the iran war. According to tanker trackers Vortexa & Kpler the tanker New Merit delivered 1.8 million barrels in crude oil to Dalian, northeast China, in mid-March. It then transported it to Singapore Jurong Island, where PetroChina & U.S. giant Chevron run a joint venture refinery. Sources declined to name themselves as they were not authorized to speak to the media. China exports crude oil very rarely....

Oil & Gas

Poland's Orlen signss preliminary agreement on the acquisition of GA Polyolefins

Orlen, the Polish state-owned refiner, announced on Wednesday that it had signed a preliminary agreement with Grupa Azoty (the Polish state-controlled chemical group) under which it would acquire 'all remaining shares in Grupa azoty polyolefins. The transaction involves the purchase of GAP shares and the provision of financing by Orlen to complete GAP’s restructuring. It has a value of $1.35 billion ($364.23 millions). The transaction was in line with expectations. Orlen had been viewed as the "natural candidate" to take over the Polyolefins Project and stabilize it. Erste Group analyst Cezary Bernatek wrote in a client note. He added, "We'd...

Oil & Gas

McGeever: Central banks will diverge from 2022 if the energy shock intensifies.

When the world was faced with a sudden surge in inflationary forces in 2021-22 due to a severe shock in supply and spikes in energy prices, all major central banks reacted?together. This is unlikely to happen again. Five years ago, supply disruptions caused by pandemics led to a united - but belated cycle of interest rate hikes among the world's largest central banks. This cycle accelerated in response to the skyrocketing prices of energy triggered by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. By the time the European Central Bank raised rates in July 2022 (and the Bank of Japan did not), every...

Fossil Fuels

Refined Products

Maldives wants fuel from India during Iran war

A spokesperson from India's Foreign Ministry said that the Maldives was seeking fuel supplies. India?is still shipping fuel to its neighboring countries?, she added. Randhir Jaiswal, at a press conference, stated that India is the world's?fourth largest refiner? and supplies fuel to Bangladesh, Nepal, Bhutan, and Sri Lanka. The government of Maldives also contacted us to supply petroleum products on a short-term as well as long-term basis. Jaiswal stated that the request from Maldives is being evaluated in light of our own needs and availability. According to World Bank statistics, the Maldives sources most of its fuel from Oman. The...

Fossil Fuels

UK hosts talks with 35 countries about reopening Strait of Hormuz

On Thursday, Britain will host a meeting to discuss the formation of a 'coalition of nations' that would explore how to reopen Strait of Hormuz after 'U.S. Donald Trump has said that other countries should be responsible for securing this vital waterway. Around midday, British Foreign Minister Yvette Cooper, will preside over the virtual meeting in London of 35 countries, including France, Germany Italy, Canada, and the United Arab Emirates, to explore ways of restoring freedom of navigation. The United States is not expected to attend. The meeting comes after Trump stated in an address to the nation on Wednesday...

Fossil Fuels

Australian farmers shift to less fertiliser intensive crops as Iran war costs rise

Australian farmers will likely choose less nitrogen-intensive crops like barley and canola over wheat and other grains in the coming season as the rising costs of fuel and fertilisers due to the Iran War weighs on their planting decisions. In Australia, planting of wheat, canola, and other crops will be accelerating this month. Farmers need to have ample crop nutrients available to support the early growth. Analysts said that the price of urea was around A$1,350 per ton in Australia this week. This is up 60% since the start of the U.S. - Israel war against Iran. Australian diesel prices...

Crude Oil

Mineral Resources

Mineral Resources

Sources say Trump will reduce tariffs on steel and aluminum derivative products

Two sources familiar with Trump's plans say that the administration will reshape the steel and aluminum tariff regime. It plans to keep a tariff of 50% on?commodity imports, while reducing the duty to 15% or 25% for derivative products made from these metals, depending on the product. Details could change, and are subject to the tariff proclamation by President Donald Trump. This is expected on Thursday. The White House spokesperson didn't immediately respond to my request for comment. The Wall Street Journal was the first to report on the tariff adjustment plan. Sources told us that this change was made...

Mineral Resources

Copper prices fall as hope for a quick end to the Iran war fades

Copper prices fell on Thursday for the first time in five sessions, as investors grew more concerned about economic growth following Donald Trump's promise to continue a flurry of strikes on Iran. Open outcry official activity on the London Metal Exchange showed that benchmark three-month copper was down 1.6% to $12,235.50 a metric tonne. The metal is considered to be a bellwether of the global economy and was expected to finish the Easter holiday-shortened weekend up 0.4%, after a run of four consecutive daily gains. "Copper is trading like a risk asset that's sensitive to macroeconomics, moving in line with...

Mining

Iron ore falls to a three-week low due to shrinking steel margins and slow demand

Iron ore prices fell to their lowest level in three weeks on Thursday due to a combination of shrinking steel margins and a faltering market following the completion of pre-holiday stocking in China, the top consumer. Iron ore, the most traded commodity on China's Dalian Commodity Exchange(DCE), fell 1.29% in price to 805 Yuan ($116.88), after hitting its lowest level since March 12 (793.5 yuan) earlier in the session. As of 0703 GMT, the benchmark May iron ore traded on Singapore Exchange was down?0.71% at $105.55 per ton. It had hit its lowest price since March 16 when it was...

Mineral Resources

Iron ore hits a three-week low due to shrinking steel margins and slow demand

The price of iron ore fell on Thursday, to its lowest level in nearly three weeks. This was due to the shrinking margins for steel and a faltering market following pre-holiday stockings by China's top consumer. By 0202 GMT the most traded?iron ore contracts on China's Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE) had fallen 1.29% to $805 yuan ($116.94), a metric tonne, after having touched its lowest level since March 12, at 793.5. As of 0152 GMT, the benchmark May iron ore traded on Singapore Exchange was $0.8% lower, at $105.45 per?ton. Earlier, it hit its lowest price since March 16, at...

Mineral Resources

Gold drops as Trump fails to clarify his position on ending the Iran War

Gold prices reversed their course on Thursday, dropping more than 1%, ending a four-day streak of gains, after U.S. president Donald Trump announced that the United States will continue its war against Iran in the coming weeks. U.S. Gold Futures fell 1.9%, to $4,723.70, and Spot Gold dropped 1.3%, to $4694.48 an ounce, by 0202 GMT. Before Trump's remarks, prices were at their highest level since March 19, up more than 1%. Trump said in a televised address that the United States will strike Iran "extremely" hard over the next 2 to 3 weeks, and force it back to the...

Mining

Perpetua Resources wants $2.7 billion EXIM Loan for Idaho gold-antimony Project (March 31).

Antimony -and- gold miner Perpetua Resources announced on Tuesday that U.S. Export-Import Bank's board unanimously agreed to inform Congress about a proposed $2.7billion loan to finance the Stibnite Project -in Idaho. The proposed financing includes $2.2 billion in direct loans for?construction and exploration costs as well as corporate costs. The remainder will cover interest?and fees. The loan, along with the $714 million cash available on hand would cover the estimated cost of $2.576 billion to build the Stibnite Gold Project. The Canadian shares of the company closed at C$39.20 C$ on Tuesday. Perpetua Resources' CEO Jon Cherry stated that today's...

Mineral Resources

Gold continues to rise on the back of a weaker dollar, but Iran remains in focus

The U.S. Dollar?slipped? and traders watched developments in the Middle East. Gold spot was up 2.2% to $4,774.25 an ounce at 1510 GMT. This is the highest price since March 19. U.S. Gold Futures rose 2.6% to $4800.40. Dollars of other currencies are more attracted to greenback priced bullion after the U.S. currency fell for a second day. Bob Haberkorn is a senior market strategist with RJO Futures. He said that gold prices could rise above $5,000 an ounce, if we are on a path of?de-escalation', and rate-cutting expectations may creep back into the market. He added: "The focus is...

Mining

REalloys and U.S. Critical Materials Sign MoU to Build Domestic Rare Earth Supply Chain

Rare earths developers REalloys, and U.S.?Critical?Materials Corp. have signed a?memorandum of understanding to create a?domestic?supply chain for the?key?materials? in the U.S. This is in line with Washington’s goals to reduce its reliance on China. The agreement will allow REalloys to secure up 10% of the Sheep Creek Rare Earth Deposit in Ravalli County (Montana) owned by U.S. U.S. efforts have intensified to reduce reliance?on China to supply the critical materials. This has prompted a rush by miners and processors?to?build local rare?earth?supply chains. The Sheep Creek deposit is rich in elements like dysprosium and Terbium that are used for high-performance permanent...

Mineral Resources

Copper reaches two-week high amid hopes of a quick end to the Iran war

The copper price rose on Wednesday, reaching its highest level in the past two weeks amid hopes that the Iran war may be nearing an end. Open-outcry official trading on the London Metal Exchange saw benchmark three-month copper rise 0.2% to a metric ton of $12,365 after hitting $12,492.50 - its highest level since March 18. This was copper's fourth consecutive session of gains. However, it is still far below the record high of $14,527.50 that was reached on January 29, 2017. Ole Hansen is the head of commodity strategy for Saxo Bank, Copenhagen. "The market wants us to believe...

Mineral Resources

Dollar drops as gold nears 2-week-high amid hopes of an end to the Iran war

On Wednesday, gold was near a two-week-high - after a month that saw its largest monthly loss for nearly 17 years. The U.S. Dollar and Treasury yields fell on signs of a de-escalation of the war against Iran. Gold spot rose by 1.2%, to $4,723.35 an ounce, at 0958 GMT. It had earlier reached its highest level since the 19th of March. U.S. gold futures for April delivery rose 1.5% to $4749.90. U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and President Donald Trump said that?the war against Iran could be close, signaling the potential for direct talks with Tehran and a...

Mining

Australian shares reach 3-week highs, and gold stocks rise on hopes of a resolution to the Iran conflict

Australian shares closed at a three-week-high on Wednesday, with gains led by gold miners. Prices of bullion were buoyed by optimism about a possible deescalation in conflict over Iran. The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 ended the day 2.2% higher at 8,671.80, its highest level since March 11, The ASX 200 index had fallen 7.8% in march, its steepest monthly drop since June 2022. After reports that?saidU.S. Donald Trump said he was willing to stop the military campaign against Iran, even if the 'Strait of Hormuz' was largely closed. Gold prices rose, which gave Australian gold miners an extra push. The yellow...

Mining

Nikkei reports that Japan and France are considering a rare earths agreement to reduce China's reliance

The Nikkei reported on Wednesday that the French President Emmanuel Macron and Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi will create a roadmap to 'diversify supplies of rare Earths and other essential minerals. According to the report, a joint declaration expressing concern about export restrictions for critical minerals will be issued by both leaders. Could not verify immediately the information contained in the report. Nikkei reports that the Japanese and French governments are planning to launch a public-private partnership in southwest France by year's end to refine heavy rare earths, which can be used for electric vehicle motors as well as other...