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Oil & Gas

McGeever: The 'no hire' US economy is exposed by the war in Iran.

The U.S. employment growth has virtually stopped. This was acceptable for policymakers and investors before the Iran War, but it shouldn't still be. Since a while, the labor market has steadily declined, but it has been hidden by a rising headline unemployment rate, which has only been increasing gradually. It is still low by historical standards at 4.4%. The labor market has stagnated. JOLTS, the closely watched Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey released this week, showed that hiring has now reached its lowest level since April 2020. It's possible that hiring will not pick up in the next few...

Oil & Gas

Takeaways from Trump’s speech on Iran

In a Wednesday evening prime time address, President Donald Trump defended his handling the U.S. and Israeli war against Iran that has been ongoing for a month. He said the U.S. Military was close to completing its mission. Trump also reiterated his threats to bomb 'the Islamic Republic to the Stone Age. He gave his 19-minute address against the backdrop of rising global oil prices, and his low approval rating. What are some key points to remember? Looking for an exit, but not quite yet Trump, faced with a war-weary American public, and slipping poll numbers, claimed that the U.S....

Oil & Gas

Takeaways from Trump’s speech on Iran

In a prime time address Wednesday, President Donald Trump defended his handling the U.S. and Israeli war against Iran, which has been ongoing for a month. He said the U.S. Military was close to completing its mission, while also reinforcing threats to bomb Iran back to the Stone Age. He gave his?19 minute speech in the face of rising global oil prices, and a low rating for himself. Takeaways from the article: Looking for an exit - but not quite yet Trump, faced with a war-weary American public, and a?sliding?poll number, claimed that the U.S. destroyed Iran's air force and...

Oil & Gas

SpaceX's IPO: The Road to Success

SpaceX, Elon Musk's company, has filed a confidential application for its highly anticipated U.S. Initial Public Offering, according to a source familiar with the matter. This will make space exploration a mainstream investment topic, rather than a speculative one. Here's a timeline for SpaceX’s path to a blockbuster IPO. Elon Musk launched SpaceX in March 2002 using the money he earned from selling PayPal. SpaceX failed to launch its first rocket, the Falcon 1 in March 2006. SpaceX Falcon 1 successfully launched for the first launch in September 2008. It was the first liquid-fuel rocket developed by a private company...

Oil & Gas

SpaceX is seen as a test that will determine whether mega-IPOs succeed or fail

Elon Musk's spaceX could be the break-through that global IPO market needs. Saudi Aramco was the last company to debut on the market with a valuation of over one trillion dollars in 2019. SpaceX has all the ingredients the IPO market?has been looking for to end a long-term drought of mega-deals. It is a company with a valuation over "trillion dollars", a CEO who enjoys cult like retail support, and exposure to a?high-growth?industry. Investors' appetite for an IPO of this magnitude is still uncertain. Analysts and experts say that the company's success is unique, so it could only have a...

Oil & Gas Refining

SpaceX's IPO: The Road to Success

Bloomberg News reported that Elon Musk’s SpaceX filed confidentially for its highly anticipated U.S. IPO, bringing the billionaire closer to having a publicly traded company within his empire. Here's a timeline of SpaceX’s journey towards its blockbuster IPO. Elon Musk founded SpaceX in March 2002 using the money he earned from the sale of PayPal. SpaceX launched its first rocket in March 2006, but it failed. September 2008 - Falcon 1 was launched successfully by SpaceX for the first launch and became the world's first liquid-fuel rocket. SpaceX signed its first major contract in December 2008 with NASA for the...

Oil & Gas

SpaceX is seen as a test that will determine whether mega-IPOs succeed or fail

Elon Musk's SpaceX may be the answer to the global IPO market's long-term struggle. Saudi Aramco was the last company to have a IPO at a valuation of over one trillion dollars in 2019. SpaceX, with its "over-trillion-dollar valuation", CEO who has a cult following in retail and exposure to a fast-growing industry is what the IPO'market" has been looking for to end a long-term drought of mega-deals. Investors' appetite for such a large?listing? is still uncertain. Analysts and experts say that the company's success is unique, so it could only have a limited impact on the broader market sentiment....

Oil & Gas

Trackers report that PetroChina fills Singapore's shortfall in crude oil with crude stored in China.

PetroChina supplied a rare shipment of nearly?2million barrels of crude from its storage facility in China to the refinery it owns half of, located in Singapore. The?firm is attempting to fill'shortfalls caused by the iran war. According to tanker trackers Vortexa & Kpler the tanker New Merit delivered 1.8 million barrels in crude oil to Dalian, northeast China, in mid-March. It then transported it to Singapore Jurong Island, where PetroChina & U.S. giant Chevron run a joint venture refinery. Sources declined to name themselves as they were not authorized to speak to the media. China exports crude oil very rarely....

Oil & Gas

Poland's Orlen signss preliminary agreement on the acquisition of GA Polyolefins

Orlen, the Polish state-owned refiner, announced on Wednesday that it had signed a preliminary agreement with Grupa Azoty (the Polish state-controlled chemical group) under which it would acquire 'all remaining shares in Grupa azoty polyolefins. The transaction involves the purchase of GAP shares and the provision of financing by Orlen to complete GAP’s restructuring. It has a value of $1.35 billion ($364.23 millions). The transaction was in line with expectations. Orlen had been viewed as the "natural candidate" to take over the Polyolefins Project and stabilize it. Erste Group analyst Cezary Bernatek wrote in a client note. He added, "We'd...

Oil & Gas

McGeever: Central banks will diverge from 2022 if the energy shock intensifies.

When the world was faced with a sudden surge in inflationary forces in 2021-22 due to a severe shock in supply and spikes in energy prices, all major central banks reacted?together. This is unlikely to happen again. Five years ago, supply disruptions caused by pandemics led to a united - but belated cycle of interest rate hikes among the world's largest central banks. This cycle accelerated in response to the skyrocketing prices of energy triggered by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. By the time the European Central Bank raised rates in July 2022 (and the Bank of Japan did not), every...

Oil & Gas

Brent reaches record monthly increase as Houthi attack escalates Gulf conflict

The oil prices continued to rise on Monday. Brent is on track for a monthly record after the Yemeni Houthis launched their first attack on Israel, escalating the Iran War. Brent futures were up 66?cents (0.6%), or $113.23 per barrel, at 1031 ET (1431 GMT), after closing 4.2% higher Friday. U.S. West Texas Intermediate?futures rose $2.2 or 2.2% to $101.83 following a 5.5% gain in the previous session. Brent's price has risen by 58% in the last month. This is the highest monthly increase since 1988. Brent also outperformed gains during the Gulf War of 1990. U.S. Crude, on the...

Oil & Gas

Oil prices set to fall the most in a single week since 6 months

Oil prices dropped on Friday, and were on track to have the steepest weekly drop?in the past six months. This was after U.S. president Donald Trump announced that talks with Iran on a 'peaceful end' had been going well and he would pause his attacks on Iran’s energy plants for ten days. Brent futures dropped 84 cents or 0.8% to $107.17 a barrel at 0353 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Futures lost $1.02 or 1.1% to $93.46 a barrel. On a weekly basis, both benchmarks traded 4.6% lower despite Brent increasing 5.7% and WTI gaining 4.6% Thursday due to fears...

Fossil Fuels

Fossil Fuels

UK hosts talks with 35 countries about reopening Strait of Hormuz

On Thursday, Britain will host a meeting to discuss the formation of a 'coalition of nations' that would explore how to reopen Strait of Hormuz after 'U.S. Donald Trump has said that other countries should be responsible for securing this vital waterway. Around midday, British Foreign Minister Yvette Cooper, will preside over the virtual meeting in London of 35 countries, including France, Germany Italy, Canada, and the United Arab Emirates, to explore ways of restoring freedom of navigation. The United States is not expected to attend. The meeting comes after Trump stated in an address to the nation on Wednesday...

Fossil Fuels

Australian farmers shift to less fertiliser intensive crops as Iran war costs rise

Australian farmers will likely choose less nitrogen-intensive crops like barley and canola over wheat and other grains in the coming season as the rising costs of fuel and fertilisers due to the Iran War weighs on their planting decisions. In Australia, planting of wheat, canola, and other crops will be accelerating this month. Farmers need to have ample crop nutrients available to support the early growth. Analysts said that the price of urea was around A$1,350 per ton in Australia this week. This is up 60% since the start of the U.S. - Israel war against Iran. Australian diesel prices...

Fossil Fuels

Trump claims that the US has enough jet fuel to supply Europe

Analysts point out that President Donald?Trump's advice to countries who are struggling to obtain jet fuel because of Iran's blocking of the Strait of?Hormuz is flawed: the U.S. cannot cover the global shortage. Trump said in a Truth Social posting on Tuesday, "We have plenty." U.S. data proves that this is not true. Kpler, which tracks vessels, shows that about half a milllion barrels of jet fuel are exported from the Strait of Hormuz every day, mostly to Europe, but also to Asia, Africa and other parts of the world. The Energy Information Administration (the Department of Energy’s statistical arm)...

Crude Oil

Refined Products

Refined Products

Maldives wants fuel from India during Iran war

A spokesperson from India's Foreign Ministry said that the Maldives was seeking fuel supplies. India?is still shipping fuel to its neighboring countries?, she added. Randhir Jaiswal, at a press conference, stated that India is the world's?fourth largest refiner? and supplies fuel to Bangladesh, Nepal, Bhutan, and Sri Lanka. The government of Maldives also contacted us to supply petroleum products on a short-term as well as long-term basis. Jaiswal stated that the request from Maldives is being evaluated in light of our own needs and availability. According to World Bank statistics, the Maldives sources most of its fuel from Oman. The...

Refined Products

Oil rises by over 4% following Trump's statement that the U.S. will continue to attack Iran

Oil prices rose more than $4 on Thursday, after President Donald Trump announced that the United States will 'continue to strike iran in the coming weeks, including energy and oil targets, but did not give a timeline for the end of the war. Brent crude futures increased by $4.88 or 4.8% to $106.04 a barrel at 0200 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude Futures rose $4.17 or 4.2% to $104.29 per barrel. Both benchmarks fell by more than $1 on Thursday, before Trump's speech. They also settled lower the previous session. Trump stated in a televised address?to the country that?the...

Refined Products

Automakers unveil new EVs for US market despite sales downturn

The New York Auto Show saw major automakers unveil new 'electric vehicles' on Wednesday, despite weak consumer demand and sales that have plummeted since Washington removed the $7,500 tax credit for EVs. Kia announced that it will'start selling its lower-priced EV3 to the United States in later this year. Subaru also offered a three-row EV called the "Getaway", which can seat seven. The Japanese automaker will launch its family EV SUV in the U.S. later this year or early next year. It is their fourth EV. The U.S. electric vehicle market is becoming more competitive, but the recent rise in...

Oil & Gas Refining

Sources say that Rodriguez is preparing to take over Citgo's board.

Four sources said that Delcy Roddez, interim president of Venezuela, is preparing to take control of the U.S. subsidiaries owned by state oil company PDVSA, including Citgo Petroleum. The move could exacerbate a tug-of-war for control of the seventh largest U.S. refiner. Two sources claim that Rodriguez is still working on her list of board members to be approved by the Treasury. Some names were not received well in Washington. The sources say that if the executives are approved by the Treasury, then the Office of Foreign Assets Control would issue a license. One of the sources said that Treasury...

Refined Products

US retail sales were strong in February, but the Iran war is expected to affect spending

Retail sales in the United States increased the most since'seven months' in February, as motor vehicle purchases recovered and temperatures rose. However, rising gasoline prices due to the Middle East war could limit spending in months ahead. Commerce Department's delayed report from?Wednesday indicated that the economy had been on a solid footing before?the U.S. and Israel war with Iran. The conflict that began at the end February has caused global oil prices to surge by more than 50%. This week, the average national retail gasoline price surpassed $4 for the first time since more than three year. Economists have warned...

Refined Products

Argentina delays fuel tax increases in order to reduce the impact of global prices pressures

In a Wednesday decree, the Argentine government announced that it would delay the implementation of tax increases scheduled for liquid fuels, carbon dioxide and other pollutants. This was done in response to the global instability brought about by the U.S./Israeli war on Iran. The decree stated that the move was intended to "support economic growth by sustainable fiscal measures". The decree also stated that the measure would delay the anticipated?tax increase on liquid fuels, carbon dioxide, and other gases for a month, to the end of April. The decree added that this is the second step taken by President Javier...

Refined Products

Retail sales in the US increased by a solid amount in February

Retail sales in the U.S. increased in February, as motor vehicle purchases rebounded. Temperatures also warmed. However, rising gasoline prices due to the war in the Middle East may?cripple spending in upcoming months. The Commerce Department's Census Bureau reported on Wednesday that retail?sales increased 0.6% following a 0.1% decline in January. The economists polled had predicted that retail sales (which are mainly goods and not adjusted for inflation) would rise 0.5% following a 0.2% decline in January. After the government shutdown last year, the?Census Bureau has yet to release data. U.S./Israeli conflict with Iran pushed global oil prices up more...

Refined Products

Fed's Barkin says households and firms still view oil shocks through a "short term lens"

Tom Barkin, Richmond Federal Reserve Bank president, said that businesses continue to believe high oil prices are only a temporary disruption. There is little evidence yet to suggest they have caused consumers to cut back on their spending or changed public expectations of inflation in an alarming way. Barkin said on Tuesday that he had a "short-term" view of the situation based on his weekly credit card spending data and his conversations with executives on pricing, investments and other topics. "Gas expenditure is up, but other spending looks healthy," said Barkin. Barkin is not voting on interest rate policy for...

Refined Products

Powell: Fed will 'wait and watch' to see how war effects economy

Federal Reserve Chair?Jerome Powell said on Monday that the U.S. Central Bank can wait to see the impact of the Iran War on the economy and inflation. He noted that policymakers usually look past shocks like those caused by higher oil prices. Powell told a Harvard University macroeconomics class that he felt his policy was in a "good?place" to watch how the war with Iran will affect the economy and inflation. The Iran war is now in its fifth week, and the U.S. As gasoline prices increase to an average of around $4 per gallon, the Fed is faced with...

Refined Products

Bangladesh seeks US waiver to import Russian diesel as energy crisis deepens

Officials said that Bangladesh approached the U.S. on Monday to request a temporary waiver of sanctions in order to import Russian diesel. Middle East turmoil is disrupting global energy markets and straining fuel supplies. Officials from the energy ministry said that Dhaka had requested a similar waiver to India and proposed imports of up 600,000 metric tonnes of Russian diesel. Monir Chowdhury is a joint-secretary at the Department of Energy and Mineral Resources. State-run agencies have increasingly relied on the volatile market to fill in the energy gap. The 175 million strong nation is dependent on imports to meet?95% its...

Refined Products

US consumer confidence hits three-month low after war fuels inflation fears

U.S. consumer confidence fell more than anticipated in March, reaching a three-month low as inflation fears and the war in the Middle East cast a cloud over the economy's?outlook. The decline reported by 'University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers Friday' occurred across a range of age and political party groups. Middle- and high-income consumers, as well as stockholders, saw the largest decreases. Oil prices have risen by more than 30% since the U.S. - Israel war against Iran, which has lasted for a month. AAA data showed that retail gasoline prices rose $1, to average $3.98 a gallon. The S&P...

Refined Products

After a cliffhanger, Slovenia's Prime Minister launches coalition negotiations

Robert Golob, Slovenia's prime minister, launched talks on a broad alliance with political party leaders on Friday following an inconclusive election. He pledged urgent measures to assist the Alpine country's?economy cope with rising energy costs. After the March 22 elections, Golob's Freedom Movement has won 29 parliamentary seats. This is one more than the right leaning Slovenian Democratic Party led by populist former premier Janez Jansa. Either party needs coalition partners in order to achieve a majority of 90 seats, which makes smaller parties potential kingmakers. Golob, the incumbent, has invited all the parties that have won parliamentary seats -...