United States

Donald Trump's favourite word is "tariff". His continued use of the term last year sparked fear in the markets as his administration unilaterally implemented the most protectionist trade policies since 1930. The 'bark' was worse than the bite. Just over a month has passed since Trump declared "Liberation Day" and the average U.S. Tariff rate is lower in April 2025 than most feared. At just under 10% the daily effective rate of pre-substitution is still four times higher than it was at the end 2024. Tariffs are barely a factor on the financial markets. This is partly because investors are...

?U.S. The Energy Information Administration reported on Tuesday that crude oil production in April was the highest ever recorded at 13.93 million barrels per day. This is the highest level on record. Producers increased output to counter higher oil prices due to the Iran War. EIA data show that production rose by 216,000 barrels per day in April. Production in New Mexico reached a record of 2,37 million barrels per day. Texas' crude production increased by 36,000 bpd to 5.83 millions bpd. This is the highest level since November. The Permian Basin is located in Texas and New Mexico, where...

The oil prices were little altered on Tuesday, but they were heading for their largest monthly and 'quarterly' losses since the COVID-19 Pandemic early in '2020. Investors were looking at potential U.S. - Iran talks in Doha amid the strained -interim ceasefire of the four-month long war. Brent futures dropped 13 cents or 0.2% to $73.02 per barrel at 12:34 pm EDT (1634 GMT), whereas U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) fell 89 cents or 1.3% to $69.86 per barrel. The two crude benchmarks are close to the levels they reached on February 27, just before the U.S. and Israel...

Cuba's Foreign Minister said that the talks started earlier this year between Cuba and its long-time enemy the United States have stagnated, leaving little hope of an end to U.S. Sanctions that have?seiged the islands economy. Top diplomat?Bruno? Rodriguez said that U.S. Sanctions are "causing death" in Cuba, as the islands economic collapse and severe shortages in food, fuel and medicine make life on the island's 9 million residents nearly unbearable. At a Havana press conference, Rodriguez stated that "talks between Cuban and US have not progressed." "The US delegations' generally respectful conduct has been accompanied with constant threats against...

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Tuesday urged gasoline'retailers' to lower prices in celebration of the U.S.'s 250th birthday, reinforcing 'Trump's message with a warning 'we're monitoring' Bessent, in an interview with Fox News, said: "I'd encourage all gasoline retailers. Some of them are owned and operated by Big Oil. Others are independent. And some are international convenience stores." "I'd encourage them to act responsibly, especially during the 250th anniversary of the?Oil Industry, because we are watching." Bessent repeated his boss's warning to gas stations Monday that they must lower their prices immediately, or else face "big issues." "If Retailers...

Donald Trump's favourite word is "tariff". His administration's unilateral protectionist trade policies of the 1930s were a cause for concern in the markets. The bark was worse than the bite. Just over a month has passed since Trump declared "Liberation Day," but the average U.S. Tariff rate is now lower than what many had feared for April 2025. At just under 10%, however, the daily effective rate before substitution is still four-times its level at the end 2024. It's also the highest, barring last year, since the early 1940s. Tariffs barely register on the financial markets of today. This is...

Oil prices increased on Monday following days of titt-for-tat attacks?by the United States and Iran?in the Middle East, which highlighted the fragility of the interim peace agreement and once again slowed down energy shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude futures rose 52 cents or 0.672% to $72.51 per barrel at 2313 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate was up 71 cents or 1.03%, trading at $69.94. Brent crude dropped 10.6% last weekend, its third consecutive weekly decline. Crude shipments through the Strait increased last week to the highest level since February, when the U.S. - Israel conflict with...

IMF Chief Economist?Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas stated on Friday that strategic petroleum releases prevented a more rapid rise in oil prices due to the Middle East war. However, the global economy is at risk if the fragile ceasefire agreement between the U.S. Gourinchas said in an interview that the reserves of the countries were now depleted. This meant they would have less maneuvering room if the conflict flared up again. Gourinchas has warned for years that geopolitical tensions can lead to an even more fragmented global economy. He did not give any details on a new forecast the IMF will release on...

Rescuers spent the night on Friday searching for thousands of missing Venezuelans and hundreds trapped under rubble after two of the largest earthquakes to hit Latin America in modern history shook areas around Caracas. The government did not provide a total estimate of casualties from the magnitude 7.2 to 7.5 earthquakes that struck 160 km (100 mi) west of Caracas, on Wednesday. The U.S. Geological Survey predicts more than 10,000 deaths. A website designed to track missing persons and shared by leaders of the opposition in the politically polarized country listed more than 49.600 people who were unaccounted for. The...

The oil prices dropped on Friday morning, and are headed for steep losses this week amid easing supply concerns. More oil tankers have left the Strait of Hormuz as stranded vessels leave. Brent crude futures dropped 19 cents or 0.25% to $75.07 per barrel at 0055 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate was down 13 cents or 0.18% to $71.79 per barrel. The benchmark contracts both rose more than 2% after an unknown projectile hit a cargo ship near Oman. This prompted the U.N. shipping agency to suspend their voluntary evacuation scheme. Two U.S. officials said that Iran shot at the...

International Monetary Fund?said Thursday that it had seen energy and commodities prices drop since?the U.S. and Iran agreement to?halt?hostilities and reopen?the Strait of?Hormuz.?But it will take some time for prices to return to normal and Gulf trade to resume. IMF spokesperson Julie Kozack said at a press briefing that the Fund would decide on whether or not to stick with the three growth scenarios that it had presented in April, which were dependent on the outcome of the Iran war. Kozack said that as the Strait of Hormuz was closed in May and benchmark oil prices remained above $100 per...

The Gulf peace may reduce pump prices but it won't solve the Federal Reserve’s biggest problem. That is, a U.S. Economy that was already overheating prior to the Iran War. Oil prices falling to levels seen before the war could spur demand and increase cost of living fears at a crucial time. This sounds like "damned-if-it does, damned-if-it doesn't" dilemma. Normalizing fuel prices may not solve the Fed's dilemma over inflation and interest rates as quickly as President Donald Trump or the Fed would like. The 'inflation debate' before the conflict was ambiguous, as markets sided with the Fed's guidance...

The U.S. construction sector grew in May, despite the fact that mortgage rates were higher due to the Middle East conflict. Census Bureau of the Commerce Department?said that construction spending increased 0.1% on Wednesday after a downwardly-revised 0.3% rise in April. Economists surveyed by predicted construction spending would gain 0.1% following a previously reported increase of 0.4% in April. In May, construction spending declined 1.5% compared to the same month last year. The amount spent on private construction projects remained unchanged in May after increasing by 0.3% the previous month. Residential construction investment increased by 0.3% due to renovations. The...

Gold prices were stable on Wednesday, but remained near the seven-month low they hit the previous session as the Federal Reserve raised interest rates and Treasury yields rose. As of 1109 GMT spot gold was unchanged at $4,010.11 an ounce, having touched its lowest level in November last year of $3,942.99 during the previous session. U.S. Gold?futures?for August delivery fell 0.4% to $4.023.80/oz. The yellow metal suffered its first quarterly decline since 2024. U.S. Treasury rates rose for the third consecutive session. The stronger U.S. Dollar also increased pressure, as it made bullion more expensive for overseas buyers. UBS analyst...

South32, an Australian company, announced on Wednesday that it had agreed to sell the'majority' of its aluminium assets for up to $5.6 billion. Alcoa acquired the individual interests of the diversified mining company in Australia's Worsley Alumina, South Africa’s Hillside Aluminium and Brazil's MRN Bauxite Mine, Brazil Alumina Refinery, and Brazil Aluminium Smelter. South32 said that the U.S. aluminium giant will also assume rehabilitation provisions of around $1.2 billion. Matthew Daley, the new CEO, said that "our business will be simpler, with a portfolio of upstream operations with higher margins, reduced complexity, and greater resilience." This will allow for a...

CopperTech Metals announced a delay in its U.S. initial public offering on Tuesday. The company cited volatility in the global copper equity sector. Postponement is despite a resurgence in investor appetite for new listings. This has been bolstered by buoyant equity market and several blockbuster initial public offerings. Copper prices are volatile due to the expectations of new U.S. Tariffs, and the supply restrictions that will be imposed in response to the surge in AI-related demand. After a review, U.S. commerce secretary Howard Lutnick will?update the president on the refined copper?market and domestic refining capacity on Tuesday. Global X Copper...

The dollar was firmer amid expectations that U.S. rates will be raised, and gold edged up from a near seven-month low. As of 1150 GMT spot gold was up 0.4% to $4,031.29 an ounce after hitting its lowest level in November 2025 earlier in session. U.S. gold futures for August delivery fell 0.2% to $4.045.30/oz. "The failure to maintain gains (for gold), highlights the current fragile mood, where traders continue to?sell into strength instead of buying into weakness, which is a noticeable shift from behaviour seen in the past few years," said Saxo Bank Analyst Ole Hansen. Bullion fell more...

Labor?office data showed on?Tuesday that the number of unemployed in Germany dropped unexpectedly?in June. According to a recent poll, analysts and economists predicted a rise of 7,000. The total adjusted number of unemployed people dropped to 2.984 millions, below the '3 million mark. In June, the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate remained at?6.3%. This is unchanged from previous months. In a recent statement, the head of the Labour Office, Andrea Nahles, said that there was little evidence of change on the labour market. The unemployment rate is only marginally decreasing, while the employment that is subject to Social Security contributions continues...

Ferrari and BMW have introduced new models with lightweight, cost-effective aluminum wiring. This is accelerating the shift away from copper as the dominant material for electric wiring ever since the invention two centuries ago of the electric batteries. JPMorgan predicts that the decisions will affect around 2% global copper demand in this year. Tesla and Chinese EV makers have also made similar moves. The structural increase in copper prices could lead to even more copper being switched over to aluminium. This is due to the increased demand for data centres and green energy, as well as the shortage of copper....

Martin Marietta Materials announced on Monday that it will merge with Lhoist North America, a limestone supplier in North America, through a cash and stock deal valued at $13.5 billion. The building materials firm is looking to tap into the growing demand for lime-based products. The shares of the Raleigh, North Carolina based company fell about 3% during premarket trading. The company stated that Martin Marietta would?use a combination of $7 billion cash and $6.5 billion worth of shares to fund the deal. The company expects to achieve annual cost synergies of about $85,000,000. Martin Marietta CEO Ward Nye stated...

Guinea's mines minister said that the country aims to be a regional hub for gold refining. This is part of a wider push by West African producers to 'process bullion locally instead of exporting it into the Middle East. Gold prices are high, and the move aims to preserve more value for consumers at home. Bouna Sylla, Mines Minister Bouna Sylla said over the weekend that there was no problem if each country (in West Africa) had a refinery. "If you are not competitive in the market, your refinery will either fail or succeed due to economics and not politics."...

Gold prices fell on Monday as recent hostilities in Gulf added to inflation fears and expectations of rate hikes by the U.S. Federal Reserve, putting pressure on the non-yielding material. As of 1053 GMT, spot gold was down by 1.3% to $4,036.19 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery fell by 1.1%, to $4.051/oz. Bullion experienced a weekly decline of 1.7% on Friday, and is on course for a monthly loss in excess of 10%. A U.S. official announced on Sunday that Iran and the United States had agreed to cease recent hostilities and re-start talks regarding their dispute...

Gold fell on Monday, as recent hostilities in the Gulf increased inflation fears that fueled expectations of a rate hike by the U.S. Federal Reserve. This pushed the non-yielding material down. As of 857 GMT, spot gold was down by 0.9% to $4,049.90 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery lost 0.8%, to $4.063.50/oz. Bullion experienced a weekly drop of 1.7% on Friday, and was on course for a monthly decline of over 10%. A U.S. official announced on Sunday that Iran and the United States had agreed to cease recent hostilities and resume talks about their dispute over...

Gold prices?reduced on Monday, as the recent U.S. - Iran?strikes in the Gulf pushed up oil prices. Expectations of U.S. Federal Reserve rate hikes also weighed on this non-yielding material. As of 0602 GMT, spot gold was down by 0.8%, at $4,057.77 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery fell 0.6% to $4072.20. Metal was heading for a fourth consecutive monthly loss of 10.5%. Tim Waterer is the chief market analyst for KCM Trade. He said: "U.S.-Iran were back at it over the weekend with new military strikes reported from both parties. This casts doubt on how long oil...