United States

Last week, the U.S. almost became a net oil exporter for the first since World War Two. Shipments surged to near-record highs to meet the demand of Asian and European buyers scrambling in order to replace Middle East supply?cut off by the Iran War. The U.S.-Israeli war against?Iran has caused the biggest ever disruption in the global energy markets. Iranian threats have stopped a fifth of oil and gas from the world transiting through the Strait of Hormuz. Refiners who depend on these supplies in Asia and Europe have purchased alternative cargoes wherever possible, thereby boosting the demand for oil...

The United States on Wednesday warned that it would sanction any buyers of Iranian Oil and stated its belief that China will stop such purchases if Washington enforces the maritime blockade against Iran. Scott Bessent, U.S. Treasury Secretary, told reporters at White House that "we have informed countries that we will apply secondary sanctions if they are buying Iranian oil or if Iranian money sits in their banks." As the Iran War entered its seventh week, the U.S. began a maritime blockade against Iran on Monday. China had previously purchased more than 80% Iran's oil. Bessent stated, "We are confident...

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) expects that at least 12 countries will?seek out new loan programs? to deal with the surging 'energy prices? and supply chain disruptions caused by the Middle East?war?,? the head of global crisis lender, said on Wednesday. Kristalina Georgeeva, IMF's Managing Director, warned of further supply disruptions if the Strait of Hormuz is closed even if it ends quickly. She also urged nations to reduce fuel consumption. At a press briefing during the IMF/World Bank spring meetings, Georgieva reiterated her estimation that the disruptions caused by the war would trigger a new demand for financial support...

Donald Trump told Fox 'Business 'Network that he asked Chinese President Xi Jinping a question in a letter, asking him not to supply weapons to Iran. Xi replied that China did not supply tehran. In the Tuesday interview, Trump did not specify when the letters had been exchanged. He threatened to impose an immediate 50% tariff on countries that supplied Iran with arms last week. "I sent him a note asking him to not do that and he replied with a message saying that he is not doing it," Trump said on?FBN’s "Mornings with Maria". He said he didn't expect...

The?head of United Nations'?trade agency, said Tuesday that the shortages of fertilisers caused by the Iran war is a?priority for developing countries. Gains from higher oil and gas prices are unlikely to last long for producers in the developing world. The'more immediate issue' is fertiliser because it affects food safety and food is the foundation of stability, said Pamela Coke Hamilton, executive director at the International Trade Centre. She added that oil and natural gas can be obtained from other sources so that the situation is "not as dire", even if the price increases are a problem. Coke-Hamilton's agency, which...

Investors say that the U.S. Stock Market is back where it was six weeks ago when the Iran War began. This is because they bet on a short-term conflict. What if this thinking is incorrect? The S&P 500 benchmark's round-trip comes despite a dramatically different investing environment compared to February?27. This was just before U.S. and Israeli military strikes started the Middle East?"conflict". Oil prices have risen by about 40%. The fear of inflation has driven up the benchmark yields on?Treasuries. These same concerns have led the markets to rule out interest rate cuts in this year. If they continue,...

In a phone call that took place on Tuesday, Modi revealed in a blog post. Indian media reported that the conversation between the two leaders lasted for nearly 40 minutes. "Received an?a call from my friend President Donald Trump. We analyzed the significant progress made?in various sectors of our bilateral cooperation," Modi said on X. We are committed to strengthening our Comprehensive Global Strategic Partnership across all fields. We also discussed West Asia, and stressed the importance of keeping the Strait of Hormuz secure and open. The conflict in 'Middle East' has affected a wide range of sectors, from air...

The chief economist of the International Monetary Fund said that central banks may need to inflict more pain on the economy to control inflation caused by the long Middle East conflict than they did for the price spike after the pandemic. In a Tuesday interview, IMF Chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas explained that when Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022, oil prices rose to $100 per barrel, a post-COVID overheated economy required small increases in interest rates. Gourinchas stated that monetary tightening could be necessary, especially if inflation expectations are unanchored. Gourinchas, who spoke at the IMF and World Bank spring meetings...

On Tuesday, the Philippines' Energy Secretary Sharon Garin announced that her country is asking for an extension of a waiver allowing it to buy Russian oil and petroleum. Garin told a news briefing that he was awaiting the response of the other party, but he was confident about getting this 'other window.' The waiver had expired on April 11. Garin stated that the government is confident about obtaining the extension, but is also preparing alternative?supply arrangements in the event the request is denied. She said that the Philippines is diversifying its energy supply sources, and the options do not just...

Chris Wright, the U.S. Department of Energy's Secretary of Energy, said on Monday that oil prices will likely reach their peak in the "next few weeks" when ship traffic returns through the Strait of Hormuz. Wright, speaking at the Semafor World Economy Forum, said that despite his previous statements, oil prices are likely to rise until "meaningful ship traffic" resumes through the Strait. Wright stated that "energy prices will be high, and possibly even rise until we have meaningful ship traffic in the Strait of Hormuz." This will?probably be the time when oil prices are at their peak. It's likely...

Wall Street's major indexes closed sharply higher Monday, as investors hoped for a de-escalation of the Middle East and focused on the first quarter earnings season. Below, I'll go into greater detail about today's market?moves. Here are some articles that I recommend if you have the time to read. They will help you understand what has happened. Before you continue reading, please sign up for Jamie McGeever’s upcoming LSEG Webinar on April 23 where I will be discussing safe havens during uncertain times with Mike Dolan from ROI. Today's Key Market Moves: STOCKS: European shares close lower due to the...

The British government announced that British Finance Minister Rachel Reeves would tell her international counterparts traveling to Washington this week about the "securonomics", or approach, she uses in dealing with an uncertain world. Reeves will, while in the United States to attend an International Monetary Fund summit, once again promote Britain as "a rare safe haven for Investors" that provides stability amid rising energy prices. After weekend talks to end the war failed, Tehran has threatened to attack the ports of its Gulf neighbours. Britain's dependence on imported gas and stubbornly high inflation has led to a sharper selloff of...

Prices of copper rose to a six-week high on Wednesday as optimism grew over the possibility of another round of talks between Iran and the United States aimed at ending the war. The benchmark copper price on the 'London Metal Exchange reached $13,392.5 per metric ton, its highest level since March 2. In official rings, it traded at $13,227, down 0.4%. The lower copper prices were attributed to profit-taking by traders, triggered in part by the stronger dollar. When it increases, metals priced in dollars become more expensive for those who hold other currencies. Traders said that the overall sentiment...

Gold prices eased on Wednesday from their one-month-highs, as investors weighed the progress of the U.S. and Iran talks to end hostilities in Middle East, while oil prices held firm due to supply concerns resulting from the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. As of 1131 GMT spot gold was down by 0.7% to $4,806.77 an ounce after reaching its highest level since March 18 a few hours earlier. U.S. Gold Futures for June Delivery fell 0.4% to $ 4,829.70. It's possible that it is a spurious correlation, given the fact (that) both gold and equities react to changes in...

The copper price reached a six-week high on Wednesday, as optimism grew over the prospect of another round of talks between Iran and the United States to end the war. The benchmark?copper price on the London Metal Exchange reached $13,392.5 per metric ton. This is the highest level since March 2. At 0956 GMT, it was down by 0.2% at $13,254, due to profit-taking caused by the stronger dollar. The dollar's rise makes metals priced in dollars more expensive for those who hold other currencies. The traders reported that sentiment and volume?overall' in the industrial metals market was buoyant. U.S....

Gold prices fell after reaching a one-month high earlier in the session on?Wednesday. Prospects of another round peace talks between Iran and the U.S. boosted risk appetite while rising oil prices contributed to inflation problems. As of 0731 GMT spot gold was down 0.6% to $4,811.19 an ounce after reaching its highest level since March 18. U.S. Gold Futures for 'June Delivery' fell by 0.3% to $4834.40. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said that talks to end the Iran War could resume in Pakistan within the next two days after weekend negotiations failed. Marex analyst Edward Meir said that gold...

The price of iron ore futures rose on Wednesday, as the prospect of peace talks?to end Iran's war quelled fears about Chinese steel disruptions in the Gulf. Meanwhile, the?rising production of hot metal?continued to?support demand for this steelmaking ingredient. The September contract for iron ore on China's Dalian Commodity Exchange traded 0.99% higher, at 764 Yuan ($112.06) per metric ton. As of 0704 GMT, the benchmark May iron ore was trading at $104.5 per ton on the Singapore Exchange. U.S. president Donald Trump announced on Tuesday that talks to end the Iran War could resume in Pakistan within the next...

The gold price fell on Wednesday, after reaching a 'one-month high in the previous session. As of 0249 GMT spot gold was down 0.3%, at $4,828.07 an ounce. It had earlier reached its highest level since March 18. U.S. Gold Futures for June Delivery were unchanged at $4,851.30. The dollar has recovered from its lowest level in more than a month, making commodities denominated in greenbacks such as bullion more expensive for holders of other currencies. dollar rebounded from its lowest level in more than a month, making the greenback-denominated commodities, such ?as bullion, more expensive for holders of other...

Greenland's Prime Minister said Tuesday that he appointed his predecessor Mute Egede to the position of?foreign ministry, giving him the task of steering the relations with the United States amidst pressure from U.S. president Donald Trump to control the island. Premier?Minister Jens Frederik Nielsen stated that Egede’s portfolio would also include those of minerals resources and business policy. Trump has repeatedly claimed that the United States is in need of Greenland, which is a part if the Kingdom of Denmark. This claim has caused a rift between European NATO allies, who have rejected it. Greenland and Denmark, as well as...

Gold prices increased?on a?Tuesday?, aided by a softer Dollar and easing fears of inflation. Oil prices fell on the hope that further U.S. Iran peace talks would be held. As of 0755 GMT, spot gold rose 0.8% to $4,775.20 an ounce. U.S. Gold futures for delivery in June rose by 0.7% to $4 798.40. Oil prices?fell under $100 a barrel after signs of possible talks to end U.S.-Iran War?eased fears about supply risks arising from the U.S. ban on Iranian ports. Increased crude oil prices increase transportation and production costs, which in turn contribute to inflation. Gold is often used...

Benchmark Mineral Intelligence revealed on Tuesday that high petrol prices in Europe drove car buyers to EVs, leading to the first global EV growth month this year. Fuel prices have been capped by governments around the world to protect motorists from rising costs. The war in Iran that erupted Feb. 28 disrupted an important shipping route which carried about 20% of the global oil supply. BMI reported that registrations of new battery-electric cars and plug-in hybrids rose by 3% on an annual basis globally, to more than 1.7 million vehicles. In Europe, the number of EVs sold reached a record...

Codelco's Chairman Maximo Pacheco said that despite the price increases due to the Middle East conflict, the firm was still on track to reach its 2026 production target. The company hopes to increase production to 1.7 millions tons by 2030 after falling to a quarter century low in 2022-2023. However, the Middle East war pushed Codelco’s cash costs up by at least ten cents per pound. "That's a lot," Pacheco stated. He added that the biggest challenge facing the industry was operational continuity. "We've seen copper production becoming more difficult every day," he said. Codelco was able to protect itself...

V enezuela’s efforts to attract foreign investors for the development of its gold, bauxite and?iron seams have enthusiastic support from the Trump administration, but face big challenges. These include armed groups that have deep interests in the chaos and largely illegal prospecting industries which?developed during the last 20 years. Sources in Bolivar, a sprawling state in the southeast of Colombia, said that they are skeptical about international companies' ability to invest meaningfully if there is not a major improvement in security. Local criminals work alongside Colombian rebels. State security forces and the Colombian government have been accused by criminals of...

Gold fell to a new low of?nearly one week? on Monday as a stronger dollar and a surge in oil prices above $100 following the U.S. move to blockade Iranian port fuelled inflation fears, prompting traders back off their expectations of Federal Reserve rate reductions this year. As of 0735 GMT spot gold was down 0.4% to $4,730.75 an ounce. It had hit its lowest level since April 7 earlier that day, at $4643. U.S. Gold Futures for June Delivery fell 0.7% to $ 4,753.30. The dollar gained 0.3% after the?U.S. The Navy prepared to blockade the Strait of Hormuz,...