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Energy Markets

Fossil Fuels

Fossil Fuels

IMF Chief economist: A long Iran war could require painful central banking tightening

The chief economist of the International Monetary Fund said that central banks may need to inflict more pain on the economy to control inflation caused by the long Middle East conflict than they did for the price spike after the pandemic. In a Tuesday interview, IMF Chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas explained that when Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022, oil prices rose to $100 per barrel, a post-COVID overheated economy required small increases in interest rates. Gourinchas stated that monetary tightening could be necessary, especially if inflation expectations are unanchored. Gourinchas, who spoke at the IMF and World Bank spring meetings...

Fossil Fuels

Philippines asks US for extension on waiver to purchase Russian oil

On Tuesday, the Philippines' Energy Secretary Sharon Garin announced that her country is asking for an extension of a waiver allowing it to buy Russian oil and petroleum. Garin told a news briefing that he was awaiting the response of the other party, but he was confident about getting this 'other window.' The waiver had expired on April 11. Garin stated that the government is confident about obtaining the extension, but is also preparing alternative?supply arrangements in the event the request is denied. She said that the Philippines is diversifying its energy supply sources, and the options do not just...

Refined Products

US Energy Secretary: Peak oil prices likely to arrive 'in the next few weeks'

Chris Wright, the U.S. Department of Energy's Secretary of Energy, said on Monday that oil prices will likely reach their peak in the "next few weeks" when ship traffic returns through the Strait of Hormuz. Wright, speaking at the Semafor World Economy Forum, said that despite his previous statements, oil prices are likely to rise until "meaningful ship traffic" resumes through the Strait. Wright stated that "energy prices will be high, and possibly even rise until we have meaningful ship traffic in the Strait of Hormuz." This will?probably be the time when oil prices are at their peak. It's likely...

Oil & Gas

TRADING DAY: US stocks rise, dollar falls on hope for Iran war negotiation

Wall Street's major indexes closed sharply higher Monday, as investors hoped for a de-escalation of the Middle East and focused on the first quarter earnings season. Below, I'll go into greater detail about today's market?moves. Here are some articles that I recommend if you have the time to read. They will help you understand what has happened. Before you continue reading, please sign up for Jamie McGeever’s upcoming LSEG Webinar on April 23 where I will be discussing safe havens during uncertain times with Mike Dolan from ROI. Today's Key Market Moves: STOCKS: European shares close lower due to the...

Oil & Gas

Reeves will hammer her strategy home to peers at the IMF summit

The British government announced that British Finance Minister Rachel Reeves would tell her international counterparts traveling to Washington this week about the "securonomics", or approach, she uses in dealing with an uncertain world. Reeves will, while in the United States to attend an International Monetary Fund summit, once again promote Britain as "a rare safe haven for Investors" that provides stability amid rising energy prices. After weekend talks to end the war failed, Tehran has threatened to attack the ports of its Gulf neighbours. Britain's dependence on imported gas and stubbornly high inflation has led to a sharper selloff of...

Fossil Fuels

Starmer, the PM of Britain, says that the UK will not support a blockade of Strait of Hormuz.

Keir Starmer, British Prime Minister, said on Monday that despite the pressure he was under 'Britain will not be drawn into the Iran war or a blockade of Strait of Hormuz. He told BBC Radio 5 Live that he did not support the blockade, and added that it was important to get the Strait opened. Starmer stated that it was vital to get the Strait fully and completely open. We have put our efforts there in recent years and will continue to do so. He said that Britain had minesweepers operating in the area. While he couldn't discuss operational issues,...

Fossil Fuels

Pakistani hotel with five-star rating is unlikely to host US-Iran meetings

The five-star Serena Hotel in Pakistan's capital is now the unanticipated venue for peace talks aimed at ending Iran's war. It has also cemented its reputation as Islamabad's fortified building. The city has been under unprecedented security in the lead up to the talks. Shops and offices were closed for two days before the arrival of U.S. vice president JD Vance who is leading an American delegation and senior Iranian officials. The Red Zone, where embassies and government offices are located, is cordoned off by thousands of security personnel, including paramilitary troops and army soldiers. Serena Hotel may seem like...

Oil & Gas

Trump: Empty oil tankers headed to U.S. for oil and gas loading

U.S. president Donald 'Trump' said on Saturday that a large number of completely emptied?oil tanks?were headed to the United States for refueling with oil and natural gas. "The best and sweetest oil and gas in the World are being loaded into the United States by a large number of oil tankers that are completely empty. Trump stated in a Truth Social posting that "we have more oil and better quality than the next two largest oil economies combined." The post was made as senior U.S. officials and Iranian officials met on Saturday in Islamabad, Pakistan with Pakistani mediators as Tehran...

Fossil Fuels

Fuel prices are rising as the Iran War drives up fuel costs.

Pat Ouedraogo, a Boston resident, has reduced his long-distance travels. Skyler Burke is a law student who drives extra miles in order to avoid the more expensive gasoline stations closer to her home. David Wright, an auto broker in Houston, has converted his gas-guzzling racing car into a purely electric?vehicle. Many motorists in the United States are experiencing similar struggles as the Iran War is driving fuel prices to record levels. Experts in the energy market have referred to the six-week war as the worst disruption of oil supply ever, as major production plants have been damaged and a vital...

Oil & Gas

If the Iran war continues, Brazilian pulp giant Suzano expects prices to rise for toilet paper and tissues worldwide

Brazilian pulp giant Suzano announced on Friday that toilet paper, tissue and diaper prices will increase globally as companies try to cover higher transportation and 'chemical' costs if the U.S. and Israeli war against Iran continues. Suzano is the largest producer of pulp in the world, with a market capitalization of more than $60 billion. This pulp is used to manufacture Kimberly-Clark Cottonelle toilet papers, Kleenex tissues and sanitary products, as well as diapers, cardboard packaging, and other everyday items. The Iran War has caused a spike in oil prices, which have increased Suzano’s costs for shipping, trucking and rail....

Fossil Fuels

China believes'relevant parties can grasp the chance of peace in Iran war

China's Foreign Ministry said that it hoped "relevant parties" would seize this opportunity to bring the Middle East back to stability. This came after Iran and the U.S. agreed on a ceasefire following the Middle East conflict. In a press briefing, the spokesperson for China's foreign ministry Mao Ning stated that China has "actively tried to promote reconciliation and avoid further fighting." Both the U.S.A. and Iran agreed late on Tuesday to a ceasefire of two weeks?to the conflict which has shaken?global markets? and caused?geopolitical turmoil? Mao, the Chinese leader, said that Beijing hoped the relevant parties would take advantage...

Fossil Fuels

Sources say that Exxon will be performing spring and end-of-year overhauls of its Beaumont refinery in Texas.

Exxon Mobil Corp is planning overhauls at its Beaumont, Texas refinery that produces 612,000 barrels per day - in the spring and the end of the year, according to people familiar with the plant's operations. Sources said that Exxon will shut down the 60,000 bpd coker in May for an overhaul. The planned overhaul is expected to continue until June. Sources say that in December, the fluid catalytic 'cracker', which produces 120,000 bpd of gasoline, will be closed for an overhaul, along with two hydrotreaters, lasting until January. Cokers are used to convert residual 'crude oil' into fuels, or petroleum...

Crude Oil

Crude Oil

Oil tankers avoid Hormuz in advance of US blockade

Shipping data revealed that two Iranian-linked oil tankers left the Gulf of Mexico on Monday, as other vessels avoided the Strait of Hormuz after the U.S. announced it would 'blockade Iranian ports' later in the day. This caused the shipping markets to be uneasy at a crucial energy chokepoint. After the weekend talks between Washington, D.C. and Tehran collapsed, President Donald Trump announced on Sunday that the U.S. Navy will enforce a naval blockade against vessels entering or leaving Iranian ports. Washington, however, stressed that it would not limit transit through the Strait. Trump's announcement slowed down oil tanker movement...

Crude Oil

As US-Iran talks fail, oil prices soar and the dollar rises. Stocks also fall.

The dollar rose, stocks and bonds fell in Asia as earnings season in the U.S. began later that day. The U.S. action, which is aimed at exerting pressure on Tehran leaves a fragile truce hanging in the air and there's no end to the chokehold on Middle East oil exports in sight - although the mood in trading floors leans towards hope for a solution. Brent crude futures rose 7.3% to $102 per barrel. S&P futures were down by 0.7% in the morning of Asia and European futures dropped 1.3%. U.S. Treasuries, bonds and other assets in Asia fell, with...

Crude Oil

Stocks and the dollar fall as US-Iran talks fail

The dollar and oil prices jumped Monday after the U.S. and Iran failed to reach an agreement, leaving a fragile ceasefire in the air and no end to the choke on Mideast exports of energy. Early trade showed that stocks were expected to drop in Asia. S&P 500 futures fell around 1.1%. Benchmark Brent crude opened at $102.37 per barrel, up about 7.5%. The euro dropped about 0.5%, to $1.1672. The marathon talks in Islamabad came to a deadlock and U.S. president Donald Trump said on Sunday that the U.S. Navy will blockade the Strait of Hormuz. Since the beginning...

Mining

Mineral Resources

Mineral Resources

Greenland names former PM Egede Foreign Minister

Greenland's Prime Minister said Tuesday that he appointed his predecessor Mute Egede to the position of?foreign ministry, giving him the task of steering the relations with the United States amidst pressure from U.S. president Donald Trump to control the island. Premier?Minister Jens Frederik Nielsen stated that Egede’s portfolio would also include those of minerals resources and business policy. Trump has repeatedly claimed that the United States is in need of Greenland, which is a part if the Kingdom of Denmark. This claim has caused a rift between European NATO allies, who have rejected it. Greenland and Denmark, as well as...

Mineral Resources

Gold prices rise as the dollar weakens and oil prices fall, easing inflation fears

Gold prices increased?on a?Tuesday?, aided by a softer Dollar and easing fears of inflation. Oil prices fell on the hope that further U.S. Iran peace talks would be held. As of 0755 GMT, spot gold rose 0.8% to $4,775.20 an ounce. U.S. Gold futures for delivery in June rose by 0.7% to $4 798.40. Oil prices?fell under $100 a barrel after signs of possible talks to end U.S.-Iran War?eased fears about supply risks arising from the U.S. ban on Iranian ports. Increased crude oil prices increase transportation and production costs, which in turn contribute to inflation. Gold is often used...

Climate Change

In Europe, record EV sales are driven by rising petrol prices in March

Benchmark Mineral Intelligence revealed on Tuesday that high petrol prices in Europe drove car buyers to EVs, leading to the first global EV growth month this year. Fuel prices have been capped by governments around the world to protect motorists from rising costs. The war in Iran that erupted Feb. 28 disrupted an important shipping route which carried about 20% of the global oil supply. BMI reported that registrations of new battery-electric cars and plug-in hybrids rose by 3% on an annual basis globally, to more than 1.7 million vehicles. In Europe, the number of EVs sold reached a record...

Mineral Resources

Codelco copper prices in Chile rise due to Middle East conflict

Codelco's Chairman Maximo Pacheco said that despite the price increases due to the Middle East conflict, the firm was still on track to reach its 2026 production target. The company hopes to increase production to 1.7 millions tons by 2030 after falling to a quarter century low in 2022-2023. However, the Middle East war pushed Codelco’s cash costs up by at least ten cents per pound. "That's a lot," Pacheco stated. He added that the biggest challenge facing the industry was operational continuity. "We've seen copper production becoming more difficult every day," he said. Codelco was able to protect itself...

Mineral Resources

Venezuela wants to bring back international miners but it is a risky venture

V enezuela’s efforts to attract foreign investors for the development of its gold, bauxite and?iron seams have enthusiastic support from the Trump administration, but face big challenges. These include armed groups that have deep interests in the chaos and largely illegal prospecting industries which?developed during the last 20 years. Sources in Bolivar, a sprawling state in the southeast of Colombia, said that they are skeptical about international companies' ability to invest meaningfully if there is not a major improvement in security. Local criminals work alongside Colombian rebels. State security forces and the Colombian government have been accused by criminals of...

Mineral Resources

Gold falls as Hormuz Blockade boosts dollar and dents Fed rate-cut bets

Gold fell to a new low of?nearly one week? on Monday as a stronger dollar and a surge in oil prices above $100 following the U.S. move to blockade Iranian port fuelled inflation fears, prompting traders back off their expectations of Federal Reserve rate reductions this year. As of 0735 GMT spot gold was down 0.4% to $4,730.75 an ounce. It had hit its lowest level since April 7 earlier that day, at $4643. U.S. Gold Futures for June Delivery fell 0.7% to $ 4,753.30. The dollar gained 0.3% after the?U.S. The Navy prepared to blockade the Strait of Hormuz,...

Mineral Resources

Gold falls as inflation concerns linger over failed US-Iran negotiations

Gold?prices fell to a low of a week on Monday due to a?stronger?dollar. Meanwhile, a rise in oil prices after the failed U.S. Iran peace talks fueled inflation fears and dampened expectations that Federal Reserve rates would be cut this year. As of 0445 GMT spot gold fell 0.7% to $4,716.70 an ounce. This is its lowest level since the 7th of April. U.S. Gold futures for June delivery dropped 1% to $4 738.90. Oil prices rose above $100 per barrel as the dollar gained 0.4%. The U.S. Navy was preparing a blockade of Strait of Hormuz to restrict Iranian...

Mineral Resources

Gold drops on stronger dollar and fading Fed rate-cut hope

Gold prices dropped to a one-week-low on Monday, despite a stronger dollar. A surge in oil prices following the failure of U.S. Iran peace talks fueled inflation fears and dampened expectations that Federal Reserve rates would be cut this year. As of 0222 GMT spot gold was down 0.6% to $4,718.98 an ounce after reaching its lowest level since the 7th of April earlier in session. U.S. Gold Futures for June delivery dropped 1% to $4742. Oil prices rose above $100 per barrel as the U.S. Navy prepared to blockade the Strait of Hormuz, which could limit Iranian oil shipments...

Mineral Resources

USA Rare Earth CEO defends Trump Administration investment amid congressional questions

CEO Barbara Humpton said that shareholders of 'USA Rare Earth' should not worry about the terms of a pending investment by the U.S. Department of Commerce in the company. The deal gives Washington equity even if the funding falls through, she added. The $1.58-billion debt-and equity funding package announced in January is the latest in the Trump administration's?string? of critical-minerals investment. It was part of an effort to boost U.S. production for the building blocks of electronics, weapons, and other products. Some lawmakers are concerned about the terms of the USA Rare Earth agreement and how it was negotiated. The...

Mineral Resources

US Trade Court weighs the legality of Trump’s 10% global tariff

A U.S. Trade?court considered Friday the legality of President Donald Trump's 10% global import -tax, which many states and small business claim circumvents a U.S. Supreme Court ruling invalidating most of his previous tariffs. Two small businesses and a group of 24 mostly Democratic-led states sued the Trump Administration to stop the new tariffs that went into effect February 24, 2019. The hearing will be conducted by a panel of three judges of the U.S. Court of International Trade. Oregon's attorney Brian Marshall said that the judges should block the tariffs of 10% rather than allow them to expire according...

Mineral Resources

Bloomberg News reports that the EU and US are close to a critical mineral deal with China.

Bloomberg News reported Friday that the European Union and Washington were close to a?agreement coordinating?on producing?and securing?critical minerals. Reports citing a "action plan" said that the potential deal could include incentives, such as price guarantees, which would favor non-Chinese vendors. Report: The EU and U.S. will also work together on standardization, joint projects, and investments, as well as a greater coordination of any disruptions in supply by countries such as China. The European Commission refused to comment on the report. The U.S. Trade Representative's office did not immediately respond to requests for comments. Maros Sefcovic, EU trade commissioner, said that...

Mineral Resources

Venezuelan legislature approves mining laws to open up sector to foreign investors

The National Assembly of Venezuela, controlled by the governing party, approved a law on mining that is expected to?open the sector to private and foreign investment. This follows the easing of restrictions in the U.S. economy to encourage foreign investment. Since the January raid in which President Nicolas Maduro was captured, the administration of U.S. president Donald Trump has supported the efforts of acting President Delcy Rodriguez. Trump has repeatedly praised Rodriguez's?cooperation with the U.S. The law allows domestic, foreign, state owned and private companies to exploit "strategic mineral" and gold. The concessions are for 30 years maximum, but they...