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Energy Markets

Crude Oil

Crude Oil

The chip market is on a downward spiral as world stocks fall to a one-month low

Investors dumped chipmakers over concerns about Chinese competition, and the funding of the AI boom. Meanwhile, rising odds?of an interest rate increase in the U.S. as soon as this week further dampened mood. Asian chipmakers were 'at the 'heart' of Tuesday's sale. South Korea's KOSPI plunged more than 10%, hitting a three-month high. This triggered a circuit breaker on its way down, as it headed for its biggest monthly drop on record, surpassing the declines experienced during the Asian Financial Crisis in 1997. The index's value had tripled over the past 12 months, but has lost more than a quarter...

Crude Oil

Morning Bid Europe-Chips are jolted by a shift in momentum for AI

Tom Westbrook gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. Chip stocks in Asia fell on Tuesday due to the twin threats of Chinese competition rising and questions over funding and sustainability of AI infrastructure boom. South Korea's KOSPI fell nearly 10%, tripping a circuit breaker. Japan's Nikkei dropped 4.4%. The rally has been so strong that both markets are still the leaders for the year, even though they have now reached multi-month lows. Nvidia fell 5% Monday after a Wall Street Journal article reported that the chipmaker had been in discussions to provide...

Crude Oil

Stocks and bonds rally as oil prices fall

The stock and bond markets around the world staged a relief rally Monday, as easing Middle East conflict sent oil prices down and eased inflation concerns ahead of an upcoming week packed with central bank meetings and earnings announcements. U.S. president?Donald?Trump has halted the two-week long bombing campaign that was launched against Iran. According to reports, U.S. officials were concerned about the depletion in air defence weapons. Iran has said that it will halt its attacks as long as U.S. officials continue to fire. Brent crude fell 7.8% to $89.41 per barrel during the lull of fighting in the Strait...

Crude Oil

As oil prices plummet, Asian shares and bonds are on the rise

As a result of the pause in fighting that occurred in the Gulf, oil prices fell. This lowered inflation risks as well as helped boost bonds before a week packed with central bank meetings and reports on earnings. Iran announced on Sunday that it would cease its attacks as long as the United States followed suit. The U.S. Military was reportedly worried about the dwindling supply of ammunition. Yemen's Houthis, who are aligned with Iran, have still continued to attack Saudi oil installations on the Red Sea Coast, a threat to another vital waterway for the global oil trade. Sally...

Crude Oil

As oil prices fall, the Australian and New Zealand dollar rates are rising.

The Australian and New Zealand dollar strengthened on Monday, as hopes for a diplomatic resolution to the Middle East conflict sent oil price?lower. This eased inflation concerns and helped boost global bond markets. The Aussie gained 0.2%, to $0.7001, following a 0.3% gain on Friday. It is little changed from last week. The Aussie has moved away from its three-month-low of $0.6867. Resistance is seen at the one month peak of $0.7026. New Zealand's dollar rose 0.2%, to $0.5798, after finishing last week down by 1%. This was primarily due to losses against the Australian dollar. The 200-day moving median...

Crude Oil

Russell: India's rising refined product exports help ease Asia fuel crisis

Can India do the same for Asia's refined fuels market as China did with crude oil? China drastically cut its crude oil imports in June to a 10-year-low in response to the U.S. and Israeli war against Iran. This freed up oil for buyers who were struggling to source cargoes due the the effective closing of the 'Strait of Hormuz. India is taking a different approach, purchasing 'Russian crude' and increasing exports of refined goods to offset the lower shipments coming from Middle East refineries and Russia. According to commodity analysts Kpler, India's light and middle distillates exports are expected...

Crude Oil

Morning Bid America- Magnificent Cash Burn

Mike Dolan, Editor at Large, Finance and Markets, explains what matters today in U.S. markets. Alphabet's capital expenditure increase and earnings beat triggered a familiar response - the stock of Alphabet fell, while chip stocks rose. The hyperscaler beat the Street by posting more than 80% in its cloud business. However, it raised its capex expectations yet again, with AI-related investments now expected to exceed $200 billion this year. Below, I'll delve deeper into that and much more. Check out my most recent column about how the U.S. economy's K-shaped scale explains its resilience. Listen to the Morning Bid podcast...

Crude Oil

Middle East shipping risk escalates as oil prices reach a six-week high

Oil prices in Asian trade rose by?more? than 1.5% on Thursday, reaching their highest level?in? more than six weeks. Yemen's Houthis attacked oil tankers in Red Sea while the United States launched another round of airstrikes against Iran. Brent crude futures rose by $2.2 or 2.3% to $96.27 at 0327 GMT. This is the highest level since June 8. The previous session saw Brent crude futures rise more than $3, to $94.07, which was just short of the six-week peak. After Wednesday's rise of 3%, U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude rose $1.65 or 1.9% to $88.48. The Iranian Revolutionary Guards...

Crude Oil

Oil prices rise on US-Iran strikes; stocks fall ahead of Big Tech results

The oil price rose to its highest level in six weeks?on Wednesday, as U.S. and Iran exchanged strikes, further endangering energy shipping across the Middle East. Meanwhile, U.S. stocks were flat before?important Big Tech earnings. Brent crude prices last rose around 3.5%, to $94 a barrel. This was the highest since early June. A brief detente that existed between the U.S., Iran and other countries ended in early this month. This has once again restricted tanker movements through the Strait of Hormuz. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, threatened to attack Iran's infrastructure again on Wednesday. The war, which has lasted...

Crude Oil

Oil prices rise on US-Iran strikes; stocks fall ahead of Big Tech results

The price of oil?soared to a six week high on Wednesday, as the U.S. traded with Iran, threatening the Middle East's energy shipping. Equities were flat before the release of important Big Tech earnings. Brent crude prices rose last around 2.7% to $93.40 per barrel, reaching levels that have not been seen since early June. The U.S.-Iran detente ended in early this month and tanker traffic was once again restricted through the Strait of Hormuz. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, threatened to launch more attacks against Iran's infrastructure on Wednesday. The war, which has lasted for nearly five months, has...

Crude Oil

German yields on policy sensitive bonds are at their highest level in two years, while French long-end bonds hit 4%

As the Iran conflict intensified, German borrowing costs rose to a new two-year peak and French longer-dated rates rose above 4% for a first time since June 2009. This boosted expectations of higher inflation and policy rate. Brent crude oil prices surpassed $95 per barrel on Wednesday. U.S. president Donald Trump also said that the U.S. will "bomb and demolish one bridge or power station" if Iran attacks a ship near the Strait of Hormuz. German yields on two-year bonds, which are sensitive to expectations of policy rates, increased 4.5 basis points to 2.8425%. This is their highest level since...

Crude Oil

Oil prices drop as US-Iran strikes are offset by mediation efforts

Oil prices dipped on Tuesday as markets weighed reports of mediation attempts?between Iran and the U.S. versus an exchange of new?attacks?between both and threats of a Saudi Arabian naval blockade by Yemen's Houthis. Brent crude futures fell 35 cents or 0.4% to $88.87 a barrel at 0052 GMT. U.S. West Texas intermediate crude for September was unchanged at $82.47 a barrel. Both contracts were trading at levels below their highest in over a month, which they reached in the previous session. Houthis, who are allied with Iran in Yemen, announced?on Sunday that they would impose an naval blockade against Saudi...

Refined Products

Refined Products

Russell: Crude oil futures prices are a measure of market adaptability and not a sign of Iran peace.

Since the beginning of the Iran War, there has been a debate about whether crude oil futures accurately reflect?the stress in the physical markets for oil and refined products or if the are blindly 'optimistic' that peace is on the horizon. The Iran War between the United States of America and Iran continues on its volatile and unpredictable course, with renewed hope that there is a chance for a new pause in the?reverse strikes. This flicker of optimism led Brent futures to fall in the early Asian trading on Monday. The price fell by nearly 5%, reaching around $92.06. The...

Refined Products

Weekend Reads: Jamie Dimon, Jamie Dimon's battery recycling and the Kill Zone

Are you looking for inspiration? Weekend Reads is a weekly feature that highlights what the Open Interest team has been reading, watching and listening to. The Open Interest team shares what they've been watching, listening to and reading. This week's selections include the emergence of drone warfare, Europe's AI ambitions and Jamie Dimon's worries about long-dated bonds at JPMorgan Chase. This weekend we are reading... RON BOUSSO, ROI Energy Columnist. He has produced an amazing, frightening and visually stunning piece on Ukraine's "kill zone" with drones, which has changed the battlefield between Russia and Ukraine. CLYDE RUSSELL is a ROI...

Refined Products

Honeywell Technologies increases its 2026 profit forecast for the first time since it split.

Honeywell Technologies increased its full-year profit forecast for 2026 on Thursday, helped in part by the resilient demand for industrial and building automation product, despite a quarterly profit that fell short of analysts' expectations. The shares of Honeywell, which reported its first earnings after Honeywell’s three-way division, rose by more than 5% in morning trading. Honeywell's Building Automation division led the demand, with organic sales up?9%, and orders up 13%. This was driven by double-digit increases in data centers, hospitals, and hospitality. Sales of Industrial Automation products grew?4% organically, and orders increased?10%. This was largely due to the strong demand...

Mining

Mineral Resources

Mineral Resources

The Fed's rate decision is in the spotlight as gold falls against a dollar that remains firm

Investors waited for the Federal Reserve to announce its policy decision at the end their two-day meeting in this week. They wanted insight into the direction U.S. rates will take. Spot gold dropped 0.8% at $4,042.29 an ounce as of 0843 GMT. U.S. gold contracts for August delivery fell 0.8%, to $4.042.80. "Gold has held to a very tight range since late June based on the support in $4,000 region, which suggests at some stage there will be a breakout," said Rhona Connell, StoneX's head of market research. Connell said: "Fundamentally the physical markets are still very quiet, while professionals...

Mineral Resources

Gold falls as dollar strength weighs on gold; attention turns to Fed meeting

The dollar strengthened on Tuesday and gold prices fell. Markets were looking for clues about the future of interest rates in the Federal Reserve's policy announcement. Gold spot fell by 0.7% at $4,044.81 an ounce as of 0250 GMT. It had risen as high as 1% Monday. U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery fell 0.8% to $4.045.40. Dollars are nearing a month-high, which makes greenback bullion prices more expensive for those who hold other currencies. Ilya Spivak is the head of global macro for finance content network Tastylive. The U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to conclude its two-day policy meeting...

Mineral Resources

Gold increases as oil declines due to a pause in US/Iran strikes. Fed rate decision is in focus

Gold prices rose on Monday as the United States and Iran agreed to cease hostilities, sending crude oil prices down to their lowest level in a week, which eased inflation fears ahead of this week's U.S. rate decision. Spot gold rose by 0.9%, to $4.087.59 an ounce, at 09:43 am EDT (1343 GMT), whereas U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery rose by 0.5%, to $4.090. The dollar index weakened by 0.1%, making greenback-priced bullion more affordable for buyers overseas. The dollar index weakened by 0.1%, making greenback priced bullion more accessible to buyers abroad. Bart Melek is global head of...

Mineral Resources

Gold rises 1% amid US-Iran truce; oil prices are under pressure. All eyes on Fed meeting

Gold prices rose on Monday, as a pause between?strikes by U.S. forces and?Iranian forces brought crude oil prices down. This helped ease inflation fears and concerns about higher interest rates a week before Fed policymakers meet. Spot gold rose 1% by 1030 GMT to $4.093.34 an ounce, while U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery climbed 0.6% to $4.095.60. "Precious Metals have begun the week in a positive way, thanks to a pause on Middle East hostilities. The dollar has also weakened, and the yields on U.S. Treasury bonds and oil have both slid," said Ross Norman, an independent analyst. The...

Mineral Resources

Gold rises by 1% amid U.S. Iran truce; attention on Fed meeting

Gold prices rose on Monday as a pause between strikes?between U.S. forces and Iranian forces?helped?crude oil?price?fall. This helped ease inflation fears and concerns about the possibility of higher interest rates during a week when policymakers from the Fed will be meeting. Spot gold rose by 0.9% to $4.089.03 an ounce at 0805 GMT. U.S. gold futures for delivery in August also increased by 0.5%, to $4.090.80. "Precious Metals started the week in a positive way, thanks to a pause of hostilities in the Middle East. "Oil has fallen and both the dollar yields and U.S. Treasury yields are down," said...

Mineral Resources

Gold gains more than 1% after pause in US/Iran conflict; Fed decision looms

Gold prices increased?more? than 1%?on?Monday, as a pause in Middle East hostilities?pushed oil?prices lower?and eased inflation concerns?before a Federal Reserve Meeting this week? By 0723 GMT, spot gold had risen 1.3% to $4103.59 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures rose 0.9% to $4106.00. Tim Waterer is the chief analyst at KCM Trade. He said, "Gold has benefited from the double price action in oil and U.S. dollars." The U.S. Dollar?index fell by 0.3%, making metals priced in greenbacks more affordable to other currency holders. A senior Iranian official said on Sunday that Iran would cease its attacks if the United States...

Mineral Resources

Gold prices rise on US-Iran truce; Fed decision is imminent

Gold prices rose on Monday, as investors waited to see what the U.S. Federal Reserve will do about its policy later this week. By 0421 GMT, spot gold had risen 0.9% to $4.087.79 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures rose 0.5% to $4089.90. Tim Waterer is the chief market analyst of?KCM Trade. The U.S. Dollar Index fell by 0.3%, making metals priced in greenbacks more affordable to other currency holders. Iran will halt its attacks if the United States also does so, a senior Iranian government official said on Sunday. After President Donald Trump's advisors informed him that they were running...

Mineral Resources

Gold prices rise on US-Iran truce; Fed decision is imminent

Gold prices rose by a little more than 1%?Monday, as oil prices fell due to a pause of Middle?East hostilities, easing inflation fears. Investors awaited U.S. Federal Reserve policy announcement. By 0200 GMT, spot gold had risen 1.4% to $4110.56 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures rose 1% to $41,112.10. Gold is clearly a beneficiary of today's dual price action of oil and the U.S. Dollar, which both dropped due to de-escalation expectations between the U.S. Tim Waterer said that lower oil prices are easing inflation concerns. The U.S. Dollar Index was down by 0.3%. This made greenback-priced gold more affordable...

Mineral Resources

Investors monitor Mideast developments as gold moves up on oil price pullback

Gold prices climbed on Friday as oil prices fell, and investors watched developments in the Middle East to get a better idea of inflationary risks fueled by energy, as well the outlook for U.S. rates. Spot gold increased 0.4%, to $4.061.36 an ounce, by 1115 GMT after falling 0.6% earlier. U.S. gold futures for delivery in August gained 0.3%, to $4.063.60. The gold price has moved from a negative to a slightly positive territory, driven by the lower oil prices. This reduces pressure on Fed to adjust rates, said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo. He added, "Our view is that the...

Coal

ROI-War? What is war? Aluminium's Gulf disruption premium vanishes: Andy Home

You wouldn't guess it by the price of aluminium. Two damaged Gulf smelters, and the resulting?logistical constraints at other smelters have already created a 2 million metric ton gap in the global supply chains. After surging to a 4-year high of $3,787.50 per tonne in early June, London Metal Exchange's (LME) 3-month aluminium now trades around $3,170 a tonne, exactly where it traded before the United States launched its "Operation?Fury", a joint strike with Israel against Iran, on February 28. Where did the war premium end up? Is the market right in being so'relaxed' about?the unprecedented shortage of a metal...

Mineral Resources

Investors monitor Mideast developments as oil prices fall and gold gains.

Gold ticked up a bit?on friday, reversing previous losses, as oil fell below $100?per barrel mark. Investors are watching developments in the Middle East to get a fresh perspective on inflationary risks driven by energy and the outlook for U.S. rates. Spot gold was up 0.2% at $4,055.38 an ounce as of 0925 GMT after falling 2% Thursday to $4.047.26. U.S. gold futures August delivery rose 0.2%, to $4.058.10. "Gold is now slightly positive after moving from a negative position earlier, driven by lower oil prices. This has reduced pressure on the Fed's rate-setting," said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo. He...

Mineral Resources

Gold prices drop on the prospect of Fed rate hikes

Gold fell?lower? on Friday, after dropping 2% in the previous session. The move of Brent crude back above $100 per barrel has stoked inflation fears and reinforced the case for higher rates before the Federal Reserve's policy meeting next Monday. Spot gold prices fell more than $130 since Wednesday's two-week high, falling to $4,037.29 an ounce at 0702 GMT. U.S. gold futures for delivery in August were down 0.3% at $4,039.80. Bullion is still on course for a 0.5% weekly gain. "In the near term, we anticipate more volatility... Gold has been stuck between $3,980 and $4,170 for weeks. We...