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Gold jumps as investors look to the Fed for a revamped policy; stocks nudge upwards

The dollar and global shares both rose on Friday as investors held on to the belief that U.S. interest rates could fall even further this year. Gold futures also rallied following reports of tariffs on U.S. imports, which are mainly made up of Swiss bullion bars. The world stock index traded at record highs on Friday, despite overnight weakness on Wall Street. In Europe, the shares were boosted by a series of strong earnings and optimism about the negotiation of U.S. tariffs.

A series of changes in leadership at the Federal Reserve have further cast doubt on the outlook for the United States' monetary policy, which is a key component of global markets. Policymakers are divided over the impact of inflation, and the Federal Reserve's leadership has shifted.

U.S. president

Donald Trump

Stephen Miran, Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers, will be nominated to fill the vacancy.

vacant seat

The White House is still searching for a permanent member to join the Fed's governing council and will continue its search for the new Fed chair.

Miran shares the same views as Trump who criticised Jerome Powell, Chair of the Federal Reserve, for cutting rates "too late", despite the fact that growth has been stable and inflation is on an upward trend.

Ray Attrill of National Australia Bank, Sydney's head of FX Strategy said: "It locks-in a vote in favor of rate cuts for all meetings from now until the end of the month."

He added that "markets are already traveling with a very high expectation of a rate reduction." There is a question over whether he will be able to ratify the agreement in time for September's meeting.

The MSCI All-Country Index was up by 0.12% for the day. This was just below record-highs reached two weeks ago. It was on track to rise 2% this week and achieve its best performance since June.

STOXX Europe 600 gained 0.25% on Friday, with gains led by pharma and tech shares. Zurich's SMI Index, which had shrugged off the Swiss tariff of 39% that came into effect on Thursday, gained another 0.25% in the morning.

In Asia, Japan’s Nikkei rose by 2%, and the Topix Index climbed over 1%, reaching a new record. It traded above 3,000 dollars for the first.

Bloomberg News reported that Fed Governor Christopher Waller was the leading candidate to succeed Chair Jerome Powell whose term expires on May 15, 2026.

U.S. Gold Futures reached a record after a Financial Times report that the United States had placed tariffs on imports for 1-kg gold bars. These represent the bulk of Switzerland’s bullion exported to the U.S. Gold futures reached a record high of $3 477, up 2.3% from $3 400. Spot gold rose 0.1%, to $3 400 an ounce. Both U.S. Stock Futures were up 0.2% and pointed to a modest increase at the opening bell.

Tony Sycamore is a market analyst with IG, Sydney. He said that the rally in stocks came "against... an emerging titanic dovish shift at the Federal Reserve." The yield on 10-year Treasury bills rose to 4.2442% - unchanged from Thursday's U.S. closing - after weak demand for 30-year bonds. This is the latest in a series of disappointing sales this week.

The dollar increased 0.1% to 147.24 yen. Tokyo's chief trade negotiator noted that the U.S. government had promised to adjust some of the overlapping tariffs it imposed on Japanese products in order to avoid paying duties twice.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback's value against the currencies of major trading partners around the world, rose 0.2%, to 98.21.

(source: Reuters)