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Energy Markets

Oil & Gas

Oil & Gas

Senegal bans travel by government officials as Iran oil shock affects public finances

Senegal has banned all travel abroad by top officials and ministers that is not essential. The government warned of "extremely challenging" times as a result of the U.S./Israeli conflict with Iran, which will increase global oil prices, straining Senegal's budget. The price of Brent crude has soared and governments have been urged to act to reduce the negative effects. Senegal Prime Minister Ousmane sonko, speaking at a youth event on Friday night in Mbour, pointed out that oil is trading for about $115 per barrel, almost twice what was assumed to be the price in Senegal’s budget projections. He announced...

Oil & Gas

Trafigura denies Bolivia's claim of its fuel contract being suspended

Trafigura has not ceased its contracts with Bolivia's oil and gas state company YPFB, a spokesperson for the company said on Thursday. The company was rejecting a claim made by Bolivian Energy Minister Mauricio Medinaceli. Medinaceli announced on Tuesday that Bolivia will suspend its gasoline contracts Trafigura, and with rival trading house Vitol, until the investigation into the alleged smuggling of poor-quality fuel from Chile is completed. Later, on Thursday, YPFB confirmed its main supply contracts are still in effect, ensuring a?continuity of supply. The state-owned company has announced that it has signed an addition to its existing contract with...

Oil & Gas

McGeever: Central banks will diverge from 2022 if the energy shock intensifies.

When the world was faced with a sudden surge in inflationary forces in 2021-22 due to a severe shock in supply and spikes in energy prices, all major central banks reacted?together. This is unlikely to happen again. Five years ago, supply disruptions caused by pandemics led to a united - but belated cycle of interest rate hikes among the world's largest central banks. This cycle accelerated in response to the skyrocketing prices of energy triggered by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. By the time the European Central Bank raised rates in July 2022 (and the Bank of Japan did not), every...

Oil & Gas

Brent reaches record monthly increase as Houthi attack escalates Gulf conflict

The oil prices continued to rise on Monday. Brent is on track for a monthly record after the Yemeni Houthis launched their first attack on Israel, escalating the Iran War. Brent futures were up 66?cents (0.6%), or $113.23 per barrel, at 1031 ET (1431 GMT), after closing 4.2% higher Friday. U.S. West Texas Intermediate?futures rose $2.2 or 2.2% to $101.83 following a 5.5% gain in the previous session. Brent's price has risen by 58% in the last month. This is the highest monthly increase since 1988. Brent also outperformed gains during the Gulf War of 1990. U.S. Crude, on the...

Oil Refineries

Consultancy says that rising Ukrainian diesel imports will prevent a shortage in April.

Analysts do not expect a fuel shortage in Ukraine next month. After Russian missile strikes virtually destroyed Ukraine's refining capability, the country became almost completely dependent on fuel imported from Europe, particularly western, central, and southern Europe. Enkorr fuel consultancy in Kyiv said that the average daily diesel deliveries over a 'four-day period from 23 March 'to 26 March 'were 21,400 metric tonnes, up from 19,400 tons during the same time last week. The consultancy stated that if the current pace is maintained, imports in March could reach 565,000 tons. This would be 9% more than the 522,000 ton estimate...

Oil & Gas

French and Benelux stocks: Factors to watch

Here are some company news and stories that could impact the markets in France or Benelux. ECB/VILLEROY : According to the Italian newspaper La Stampa, France's central bank chief Francoisvilleroy de Galhau, the?European Central Bank aims to stop any inflation caused by energy. However, it is still too early to talk about dates for interest rate increases. France/Israel: According to a German Foreign Office statement, the foreign ministers from Germany, France, Italy, and Britain have urged Israeli lawmakers to drop a bill that would allow the death penalty to be imposed in Israel. HAL TRUST HAL Trust, a Dutch investment...

Oil & Gas

Oil prices set to fall the most in a single week since 6 months

Oil prices dropped on Friday, and were on track to have the steepest weekly drop?in the past six months. This was after U.S. president Donald Trump announced that talks with Iran on a 'peaceful end' had been going well and he would pause his attacks on Iran’s energy plants for ten days. Brent futures dropped 84 cents or 0.8% to $107.17 a barrel at 0353 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Futures lost $1.02 or 1.1% to $93.46 a barrel. On a weekly basis, both benchmarks traded 4.6% lower despite Brent increasing 5.7% and WTI gaining 4.6% Thursday due to fears...

Refined Products

Commission data show that EU retail diesel prices reached a record high in the last week.

Weekly data from the European Commission on Thursday showed that diesel prices at the pump in the EU's 27 members?states reached their highest level since records began in 2005. The average EU-27 diesel price per litre was 2.06 euros on 23 March, up from 1.95 euro the previous week. Data is based on fuel prices, including tax. * The average retail diesel price is now above?2 per litre, for the first since June 2022. This was the last major fuel supply shock after the Russian invasion of Ukraine. The EU petrol prices rose to 1,89 euros per litre, up from...

Oil & Gas

ROI-Inflation-spooked rates markets have overshot: McGeever

The markets overshoot and the recent dramatic increase in bets placed on higher interest rates due to the Middle East energy crisis is the latest example: although the move was logical, its magnitude remains questionable. The Iran War shows no signs of stopping and the?markets are still in flux. Rates traders may need to take a break and re-evaluate. The abrupt change in global 'rate outlook' reflects concerns about the short-term impact on inflation of the soaring prices for oil and gas. Federal Reserve now has a higher probability of raising U.S. interest rates in this year rather than cutting...

Oil & Gas

Business lobby: Iran conflict has a negative impact on Italy's economic growth prospects

Confindustria, Italy's leading business lobby, forecast that the economy would grow by 0.5% in this year. This is a reduction from the 0.7% it had predicted in October. It also warned of'strong' 'downside risks' if the Iran conflict continues. The third largest economy in the Eurozone saw its gross domestic product rise by 0.5%, marking the third consecutive year of growth below 1%. Confindustria stated in its bi-annual report that the 0.5% growth scenario for 2026 was based on an "optimistic hypothesis" that?the conflict in Iran would be over by March's end. The business group warned that if the hostilities...

Oil & Gas

Minutes of the March decision show that Swedish rates will remain at 1.75%

The minutes from the most recent meeting of the Riksbank on monetary policy showed that the future is uncertain. Erik Thedeen, Governor of the Riksbank, said that it was difficult to assess?the effects? of war but warned of the dangers of stagflation (higher inflation and lower growth). Thedeen stated in the minutes that "given the length of time the crisis has been going on and the effects already being felt by the energy infrastructure, I am concerned about the long-term impact this may have on the supply of oil and natural gas in the world." On March 19, the Riksbank...

Oil & Gas

McGeever: It's time to reconsider the safe-haven investment.

The Iran War and the global energy crisis it unleashed could have "killed" the idea of an asset that fits all. It is not a novel concept given the poor performance of the U.S. Treasuries did well after the Russian invasion of Ukraine four years earlier. The extraordinary fall in gold prices since the U.S. and Israeli strike on Iran, February 28, has brought it into the spotlight. In times of increased economic, geopolitical or financial uncertainty, investors tend to flock to gold, Swiss franc, Treasuries and the dollar. These are the assets that will most likely serve as a...

Fossil Fuels

Fossil Fuels

Meloni, Italy's Meloni, visits Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE amid Gulf tensions and energy concerns

A government official confirmed that Italian Prime Minister Giorgia meloni traveled to Saudi Arabia on Friday for a previously undisclosed trip. The trip will include meetings in Qatar, the United Arab Emirates and other countries. Officials said that the two-day trip was to show support for Gulf countries facing Iranian attacks, and also to protect Italy's energy supply. This is the first visit by an EU leader to Saudi Arabia since the conflict that was started by the United States and Israel in February. It also comes at a moment when there are growing concerns about the security of the?oil...

Fossil Fuels

Several countries form a coalition to ensure passage through the Strait of Hormuz

Britain said on Thursday that around 40 countries were discussing a joint action to reopen Strait of Hormuz after U.S. president Donald 'Trump' stated that securing this waterway is a problem other nations must solve. The virtual meeting was chaired by British Foreign Minister Yvette Cooper and included France, Germany Canada, United Arab Emirates, India, and started around noon in London. Cooper stated at the beginning of the meeting that "we are focusing our efforts on diplomatic and international planning, including the collective mobilisation and use of all of our diplomatic and economic pressures and tools." One official confirmed that...

Fossil Fuels

Panetta, ECB's Panetta, warns that the energy crisis is a concern for financial stability

The tensions on the energy market due to the U.S. and Israeli 'war on Iran' are of concern because they could have a negative impact on the financial stability. This was the opinion of Governing council member, Fabio Panetta. Panetta, speaking at a conference held in Rome, said that changes in the risk perception of global investors could lead to rapid pressure on government bonds. This is especially true given the high levels public debt in several economies such as Italy. He said that there are signs of this trend, including the increase in the value of the dollar and...

Crude Oil

Mineral Resources

Mineral Resources

Copper prices fall as hope for a quick end to the Iran war fades

Copper prices fell on Thursday for the first time in five sessions, as investors grew more concerned about economic growth following Donald Trump's promise to continue a flurry of strikes on Iran. Open outcry official activity on the London Metal Exchange showed that benchmark three-month copper was down 1.6% to $12,235.50 a metric tonne. The metal is considered to be a bellwether of the global economy and was expected to finish the Easter holiday-shortened weekend up 0.4%, after a run of four consecutive daily gains. "Copper is trading like a risk asset that's sensitive to macroeconomics, moving in line with...

Mineral Resources

French and Benelux stocks: Factors to watch on April 2

Here are some company news and stories that could have an impact on markets in France and Benelux or individual stocks. RENAULT Jean-Dominique Senard, Chairman of the French automaker Renault Group, will not seek to continue his term in spring 2027. This was confirmed by a source familiar with the matter on Wednesday. AIRBUS SE Airbus, the aerospace manufacturer, has announced a new subsidiary that combines Skywise digital and Navblue into a single entity. KERING SA Kering, the owner of Gucci, announced on Wednesday that it had struck a deal with Qatar's Al-Mirqab Group in which they would?sell? an 80%...

Mineral Resources

China's aluminum exports are set to increase as the Iran war affects global supply

The Iranian war has tightened global supply, boosting margins and some forecasts of flat shipments have been revised higher. Before the war, the Gulf supplied roughly 9% of all global supplies. However, the Strait of Hormuz has closed most of this supply. Iran's recent attack on two of the largest aluminium smelters in the region has increased the risk of a shortage even if waterway is reopened. It's going to be difficult for damaged aluminium production lines to recover quickly, which will lead to some orders flowing to China. Kiki Xi is an analyst with Aize China and said that...

Mineral Resources

Copper reaches two-week high amid hopes of a quick end to the Iran war

The copper price rose on Wednesday, reaching its highest level in the past two weeks amid hopes that the Iran war may be nearing an end. Open-outcry official trading on the London Metal Exchange saw benchmark three-month copper rise 0.2% to a metric ton of $12,365 after hitting $12,492.50 - its highest level since March 18. This was copper's fourth consecutive session of gains. However, it is still far below the record high of $14,527.50 that was reached on January 29, 2017. Ole Hansen is the head of commodity strategy for Saxo Bank, Copenhagen. "The market wants us to believe...

Mining

Wood Mac, a consultancy, says that EGA's Al Taweelah aluminum site has ceased operations following an attack.

Emirates Global Aluminium’s Al Taweelah plant in the United Arab Emirates has halted its operations following a?Iranian missile and drone attack that damaged a power?plant on Saturday, Wood 'Mackenzie' said in a Wednesday research note. Wood Mackenzie said that the smelter of Aluminium Bahrain (Alba), which was also attacked on Saturday, had "suffered significant damage and will operate with an estimated utilization?of 30 percent". EGA and Alba said that they would be assessing damage to their sites at the weekend, but did not specify what was affected. The Wood Mackenzie report on the current conflict in the Middle East and...

Mining

Topps Tiles will close 23 UK stores due to low demand

Topps Tiles, a British tile retailer, announced on Wednesday it would close 23 underperforming stores as part of cost-savings measures. The goal is to boost medium-term profits amid a weakening demand. Topps Tiles, for example, has seen their sales volume and revenue grow as a result of a slowdown in home improvement and DIY. The UK's largest tiling retailer reported a 0.1% drop in revenue for the first half of this year, to?142.7million pounds ($189.31million). The company's?initiatives will?have an impact on revenue but it is focusing on measures that support profitability. Alex Jensen, Chief Executive Officer of the company, said...

Mining

Nikkei reports that Japan and France are considering a rare earths agreement to reduce China's reliance

The Nikkei reported on Wednesday that the French President Emmanuel Macron and Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi will create a roadmap to 'diversify supplies of rare Earths and other essential minerals. According to the report, a joint declaration expressing concern about export restrictions for critical minerals will be issued by both leaders. Could not verify immediately the information contained in the report. Nikkei reports that the Japanese and French governments are planning to launch a public-private partnership in southwest France by year's end to refine heavy rare earths, which can be used for electric vehicle motors as well as other...

Mineral Resources

Aluminium nears four-year high amid supply fears

Aluminum prices rose on Tuesday. They were near their four-year highs and poised to make the biggest monthly gain since?almost 2 years. This was due to fears that a supply shortage would continue after Iranian strikes over the weekend damaged some of the Gulf's key smelters. The benchmark 'three-month' aluminum on the London Metal Exchange increased 2.1% by 1600GMT to $3,471.50 per metric ton, after earlier reaching $3,536, which was its highest level since March 12. Metal prices are up 10.6% in March. The attacks on Iran damaged two aluminum plants in the Gulf region operated by Aluminium Bahrain, and...

Mining

Savannah accelerates Portugal lithium project and sees longer life span

Savannah Resources, a London-listed company, is speeding up work on its 'lithium project' in Portugal. The CEO,?Emanuel Proenca, said that the company was confident of being able to?become globally competitive, and reduce Europe’s dependence on Chinese supplies for the metal used to make?batteries. Resources at the Barroso deposit in northern Portugal, a lithium bearing mineral, were increased in September from 28 to 39 million tons. This was already Europe's biggest deposit. Proenca stated that 'potential extensions between 35 and 62 millions metric tonnes could push resources above 100 million metric tonnage, more than doubling the mine lifespan projected to more...

Mineral Resources

Source: Tether fires two gold traders who were hired just three months earlier

Sources with direct knowledge of the matter reportedly said on 'Tuesday that Tether had?let go? two senior precious metals trader?it hired only three months earlier from HSBC. El Salvador-headquartered Tether cut the roles as spot gold prices headed for their steepest monthly drop since the 2008 financial crisis, pressured by fading expectations of rate cuts and rising energy costs amid the war in ?Iran. Tether holds about 130 metric tonnes of physical gold backing their products by the end of 2025. CEO Paolo Ardoino told in January that they also planned to allocate 10-15% of their own investment portfolio to...

Mining

Construction materials supplier BRCK soars after rejecting Atlas takeover proposal

BRCK Group's shares soared more than 24 percent on Tuesday, after the UK-based construction materials supplier announced that it had rejected a 65-pence-per share takeover?approach by U.S. private-equity firm Atlas Holdings last week. The group claimed that its board unanimously rejected the non-binding offer of cash on 23 March, saying that it fundamentally undervalued?the?company. Atlas stated that BRCK board will only provide limited additional information. While it will'review what is shared,' it doubts such minimal details will 'allow it to confirm a proposal. LSEG data shows that the proposal valued BRCK (which distributes bricks and roofing tiles, as well as...

Mining

Stocks in Europe rise before German inflation data

European shares rose in choppy trade on Monday, as energy stocks rose. Investors awaited the inflation data that would be released by Germany, the largest economy of the euro zone, which could shed light on the impact the Middle East War has had on the Eurozone. The pan-European STOXX 600 index was up 0.2% to 576.55 as of 0938 GMT after two consecutive days of losses. The European stock index is down 9% this month, and will likely have its biggest monthly drop since March 2020. Michael Hewson is a senior analyst at iForex and expects that European stocks will...