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Crude Oil

Crude Oil

Oil prices continue to rise as US-Iran ceasefire ends

The bond yields rose on Tuesday to their highest level in decades. Oil prices also increased for the third day. Stocks in Asia gave up gains made in early trades as a U.S. - Iran truce ended and Tehran warned of a "fully offensive military posture". The 30-year Treasury bond yield rose 1.1 basis points intraday to 5.321%. This is the highest it has been in nearly 20 years. The 10-year counterpart rose 0.4 basis points to 4.724%. "In the past, when the 10-year Treasury bond rate rose above 4,65 percent, the Trump administration would follow up with some comforting...

Crude Oil

Dollar slips, shares remain steady as markets reduce Fed rate risk

On Monday, global shares rose and the dollar dropped to its lowest level in a year after a series of'soft' U.S. data, which included an unexpected decline?in retail sales, led markets to reduce their bets on an impending rate hike by the Federal Reserve. According to CME Group's FedWatch, a hike in the next month has been priced at 30%. This is down from 50% a few weeks ago. STOXX, a benchmark index of 600 large European companies, rose 0.04% on the back of resource stocks, as gold prices increased. In the US, Nasdaq and S&P futures both gained 0.5%....

Crude Oil

Dollar slips, shares rise as markets reduce Fed rate risk

Markets reduced bets on an imminent rate hike by the Federal Reserve after a series of soft U.S. data, which included an 'unexpected drop in the retail sales. According to CME Group's FedWatch, a hike in the next month has been priced at 30%. This is down from 50% a week ago. The STOXX benchmark, which measures 600 large European companies, rose by 0.21%. This followed earlier gains of MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific index outside Japan (which rose 0.5%), while Japan's Nikkei rose by 0.3%. The Hang Seng index rose 1.6% and Chinese blue-chips gained 0.8% ahead of the release of...

Crude Oil

Dollar slips on markets that reduce Fed rate risk

Asian shares edged higher on Monday, led largely by Chinese stocks, ahead of important economic data. Investors kept a watchful eye on oil prices, after a large gain last week, amid a deadlock in the Gulf conflict. After a string of weak data, including a surprise drop in retail sales and a lackluster run of economic reports, markets have given up on betting that the Federal Reserve will soon raise interest rates. According to CME Group's FedWatch, a rate hike in the next month has been priced at 30%. This is down from 50% a week ago. The broadest MSCI...

Crude Oil

Hormuz shipping slows as US-Iran talks on peace stall and oil gains are held.

The oil prices remained mostly stable on Monday. They maintained gains made the previous week. Prospects for a lasting U.S. Iran peace deal seem increasingly distant, and there are persistent fears of disruptions to supply in the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude futures were at $88.55 as of 0128 GMT. U.S. West Texas intermediate crude futures fell 14 cents to $72.26 per barrel. Last week, both contracts rose by?more that 5% following the attacks on tankers of Abu Dhabi National Oil Company?in the Hormuz Strait and on a Saudi Aramco refining facility. The weekend saw the Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas...

Crude Oil

Asian shares rise as oil prices remain high due to Gulf War

Investors kept an eye on the oil price, which climbed a lot last week. The lack of progress in ending the Iran War kept inflation risks on the rise. The progress towards peace talks, and the oil tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has remained stagnant. Iran called on the U.S. on Saturday to accept defeat while President Donald Trump asked Americans to accept higher gas prices as long as the conflict continues. The Lebanese Health Ministry reported that at least 11 people died in Israeli airstrikes in southern Lebanon, Saturday. This is among the highest number of deaths...

Crude Oil

Hormuz shipping slows as US-Iran talks on peace stall and oil prices remain flat

Early Monday, oil prices barely moved as tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz had slowed down over the weekend. There was no sign of a peace agreement between Iran and the United States to end the Middle East conflict. Brent crude futures rose 20 cents or 0.2% to $88.72 at 2350 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell 5 cents to $79.35 per barrel. Last week, both contracts saw gains of more than 5% following the attacks on Abu Dhabi National Oil Company tankers in the strait of 'Hormuz and on a Saudi Aramco refining facility. The weekend...

Crude Oil

US-Iran claim that the control of Hormuz is a major factor in oil prices after tanker attacks

Crude oil prices rose on Friday, mainly due to renewed attacks against tankers and a verbal war between the Trump administration and Iran's leaders. Brent futures rose 80 cents or 0.92% to $87.87 per barrel at 10:48 am CT (1548 GMT), whereas U.S. West Texas intermediate crude futures increased 43 cents or 0.53% to $81.69 per barrel. Brent and WTI are on track to gain 5.09% a week and 4.37% a week, respectively. Bjarne Shieldrop is the chief commodities analyst for SEB Research. He said that higher oil prices are a result of U.S. policy towards Iran. This latest approach...

Crude Oil

MORNING BID EUROPE-Yen stuck in twilight zone

Ankur Banerjee gives us a look at what the day will bring for the European and global markets. The yen is back in the intervention area, but it's fate now seems to depend on the Fed's policies and the Bank of Japan's aggressive hikes, after the joint operation with the U.S.' failed to stop the currency's fall. The currency is heading for its worst three-month period, with the rate hovering around 159.37 dollars per U.S. Dollar, moving ever closer to 160, which could trigger another round of intervention. Tokyo spent billions to prop up the yen between April and May,...

Crude Oil

Asian stocks to gain weekly on the back of fading US rate hike bets

The Asian stock market rose on Friday as the inflation data lowered expectations for an imminent U.S. interest rate hike. However, the faltering talks to end the Middle East war are likely to keep the risk sentiment in check. Brent?futures remained steady at $87.03 a barrel, following a decline on Thursday, but were on track for a weekly gain of 4%, ending a two-week loss streak. This was after the U.S. warned to increase economic pressure against Iran, including by extending a navy blockade. The markets have largely ignored the lack of progress made in the Iran War, focusing instead...

Refined Products

Oil prices rise after US threats to blockade Iran for indefinitely

After falling in the previous session due to a weaker global demand outlook, oil prices climbed a little bit on Friday. The U.S. had threatened to?maintain a naval blocade against Iran indefinitely. Brent futures were up 9 cents or 0.1% to $87.16 per barrel at 0130 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were up 4 cents at $81.29. Both benchmarks dropped more than 2% the previous session, paring their gains after a six sessions rally for Brent, and a five sessions rise for WTI. However, they were still on track to achieve a weekly rise of about 4%. The...

Crude Oil

Brief relief MORNING BID AMERICAS

What's important in U.S. and Global Markets Today By Mike Dolan, Editor at Large, Finance and Markets The July consumer inflation report was not spectacular, but it did offer some relief to the markets who were worried about a surprise on the upside. The annual headline and core rates were lower than expected. However, the core price increase for July was higher than forecast. Below, I will get to that and more. Check out my latest article, which explores AI's impact on inflation and employment so far. Listen to the most recent episode of Morning Bid, the daily podcast. Subscribe...

Environment

Climate Change

France offers tax incentives to companies that are affected by wildfires

Sebastien lecornu, the French prime minister, announced on Monday tax breaks for businesses affected by recent wildfires that ravaged Southern France. He said that companies of all sizes have been affected by the "severe fires" that have ravaged large areas of the country. He said that the government had approved a budget of EUR12 million ($13.91m) to help towns relocate residents whose homes were destroyed. Lecornu announced the news in Merignac near Le Porge in southwest France, where hundreds homes were destroyed in a massive fire last month. Lecornu was booed by dozens in Le Porge as he visited that...

Climate Change

The latest rains in Belgium offer new hope for the fight against Belgium's largest wildfire

The rain began to fall on eastern Belgium Monday morning, providing crucial assistance to firefighters battling to contain Belgium’s 'biggest wildfire ever' which has threatened to reach a border with Germany. Belgian weather agency IRM predicts rain in the region between 5-9 millimetres and more on Tuesday. The High Fens in east Belgium, which has been burning since Friday is expected to drop to 19 to 20 degrees Celsius. The captain of the Belgian radio station RTBF, Olivier Guist, said that "this will change everything. In addition to the water associated rainfall there will be an increase in humidities." About...

Climate Change

As business losses increase, Europe's heatwaves expose a gap in insurance coverage

Since more than a century, the cafes of Padua, Italy, have invited customers to enjoy an aperitivo (early evening drink) and socialise outside before dinner. The traditional time slot of 6-7 pm has all but disappeared in Europe as people are seeking air conditioning indoors. This is affecting sales at many hospitality businesses. Extreme heat is often excluded from traditional business interruption policies, which exposes a growing gap in protection for businesses across Europe. Moody's published estimates stating that the European heatwaves last summer cost EUR43 billion ($50billion) in economic output, but only EUR500 million in insured payouts. Federica Luni...

Mining

Mineral Resources

Mineral Resources

Gold falls on higher oil and Treasury yields; Fed minutes are in focus

Gold prices fell on Tuesday due to?higher Treasury rates and oil prices?. Traders were also waiting for the minutes of the U.S. Federal Reserve policy meeting in July for clues about the future interest rate outlook. As of 0624 GMT spot gold fell 0.4%, to $4397.42 an ounce. U.S. futures for delivery in December dropped 0.5%, to $4452.90. The yields on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury notes extended gains and raised the opportunity costs of holding non-yielding gold. Prices of oil?increased after Iran announced it would adopt a 'fully offensive' military posture following a breakdown in negotiations to end the...

Mineral Resources

Gold prices rise on weaker dollar and eased Fed rate hike fears

Gold prices rose on Monday due to a weaker US dollar and the fading expectation of an increase in U.S. Federal Reserve rates. Investors also continued to monitor the geopolitical tensions within Middle East. By 11:56 am EDT (1555 GMT), spot gold had risen 1.2% to $4,426.52 an ounce. U.S. gold futures for delivery in December edged up 1.1% to $4,484.10. Bart Melek is the global head of commodity strategies at TD Securities. He said that gold prices appear to be pricing in a stagflationary climate, with softer unemployment and expectations that Fed will tolerate 'current inflation levels. The US...

Mineral Resources

Gold rises on weaker dollar and fading Fed rate hike predictions

Gold prices rose on Monday due to a weaker US dollar and the fading expectation of an increase in U.S. Federal Reserve rates. Investors also continued to watch geopolitical tensions across the Middle East. By 09:25 am EDT (1325 GMT), spot gold had risen 0.28%, to $4387.95 an ounce. ?U.S. Gold futures for delivery in December edged up 0.2% to $4,444.40. Bart Melek is global head of commodity strategies at TD Securities. He said that the gold market seems to be pricing in a stagflationary climate, with softer unemployment and expectations that Fed will 'tolerate current levels of inflation. The...

Mineral Resources

Gold prices rise on weaker dollar and fading Fed hike expectations

Gold prices rose on Monday, as a weaker dollar and diminishing expectations of an increase in U.S. Federal Reserve rates next month boosted bullion. Gold spot rose 0.5%, to $4.398.58 an ounce at 1032 GMT. Prices reached a two-month high in the last week. U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery edged up 0.4% to $4,455.50. Gold is now cheaper for those who hold other currencies than the U.S. dollar index. "Softer 'inflation', employment and consumer data reduce the risk of another hike. This strengthens the case that the Fed may end up cutting rates," said Ole Hansen. He is the...

Mineral Resources

James Hardie is facing another class action lawsuit over earnings forecasts and disclosures

The law firm Slater and Gordon announced on Monday that it filed a class action against James Hardie Industries in an Australian court to seek compensation for losses suffered by investors due to the company’s earnings forecasts and market disclosures for fiscal 2026. The suit also claims that the conduct of the fiber cement maker artificially inflates its share price. It follows another action that was filed a few months ago, alleging that the company failed not to disclose adverse circumstances in its "North America" business. Slater and Gordon announced that it had begun court proceedings against investors who purchased...

Mineral Resources

Gold prices rise on a weaker dollar and reduced Fed rate hike bets

Gold prices rose on Monday due to a weaker dollar and recent economic data which reduced expectations of a U.S. rate hike in the next month. Gold spot rose 0.4%, to $4.391.07 an ounce at 0248 GMT. Prices reached a two-month high in the last week. U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery?edged up 0.3% to $4,448.10. The U.S. Dollar index fell by 0.1% making metals priced in greenbacks more affordable for other currency holders. Tim Waterer is the chief market analyst for?KCM Trade. He said that gold has taken off and run to start the week. Soft inflation numbers are...

Mineral Resources

Kyiv attacks Moscow region after Kyiv launches new offensives against Russia, which includes a strike on a steel plant.

Overnight, Russia launched a series of airstrikes in?Ukraine?, killing two at a steel mill. Kyiv, meanwhile, launched a drone attack against the Moscow region, which killed one person, and destroyed a warehouse that was used by Russia's largest e-commerce retailer. Romania, which borders Ukraine said that an F-18 fighter participating in a NATO air patrol mission shot down a drone during the recent attacks. The NATO spokesperson did not give any details about the origin of this drone that entered the country from Moldova. Russia attacked Ukraine's biggest grain export port near the Romanian frontier on the River Danube last...

Mineral Resources

Gold returns to 10-week highs as markets prepare for US CPI data

Investors were awaiting key U.S. data on inflation that could change policy expectations. This led to a rise in gold prices?on Wednesday. By 0713 GMT, spot gold had gained 0.9%. U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery rose by 0.5% to $4464.80. Bullion reached a 10-week-high on Tuesday, before hitting technical resistance around the 100-day moving?average of $4,387. It then closed lower for the second time this month. The primary driver of gold prices is the Fed's reduction in rate hikes, according to Kelvin Wong. He is a senior analyst at OANDA. "In terms of the technical position, we began to?see...

Mineral Resources

Markets expect key US inflation data

Gold edged up on Tuesday, after reaching a?peak? of more than two months earlier. Market participants are awaiting important U.S. Inflation figures that may influence expectations about the Federal Reserve’s policy. Gold spot was up 0.2% to $4,396.87 an ounce by 11:05 am EDT (1505 GMT) after reaching its highest level in the session since June 5, at $4434.84. U.S. Gold Futures rose 0.8% to $4456.10. The market will be looking at this week's data to confirm that inflation is under control, said Peter Grant, senior metals analyst and vice president of Zaner Metals. He added that a moderated annualized...

Mineral Resources

Aluminium reaches seven-week high due to supply concerns and lower stock levels

Aluminum?prices rose to a seven week high on Tuesday, as 'concerns about supply from the Gulf coincided wth Norsk Hydro announcing a reduction in feedstock production?at?its Brazilian facility. Benchmark three-month "aluminum" on the London Metal Exchange rose 1.9% at 0850 GMT to $3,378.50 per metric ton, after reaching $3,382.5 as its highest level since June 22. Aluminum extended its gains for a seventh session in a row after Norsk Hydro announced that its Alunorte facility in Brazil had reduced alumina production to 50% of its capacity due to the reduction of natural gas supply. The plant's annual production capacity is...

Mineral Resources

Russia claims it struck military warehouses and steelworks in the overnight Ukraine strike

The Russian Defence Ministry announced on Tuesday that it had carried out overnight strikes on military-related transport and logistics centres located in Kyiv, the Ukrainian capital. It also said its forces struck a major steel and iron works in Zaporizhzhia which was aiding Ukraine's efforts in Zaporizhzhia. The Ukrainian government said that the 'attacks' had caused the deaths of six people in Zaporizhzhia, in the south-east and 20 injuries in Kyiv. ?Both sides deny deliberately targeting civilians. The Russian Defence Ministry announced that it had struck a sorting facility in Kyiv, which, according to the ministry, was responsible for storing...

Mineral Resources

Gold falls from two-month high, inflation reports are in focus

Investors focused on inflation data to get clues about the U.S. rate outlook. Gold spot was down 0.3% at $4,374.82 an ounce as of 0548 GMT after reaching its highest level in the session since June 5, $4,434.82. U.S. Gold Futures increased 0.4% to $4435.00. Ahmad Assiri is a Research Strategist for Pepperstone. He said that the move higher in gold's early session trading above $4,400 was primarily driven by renewed flows and a noticeable shift in metal market sentiment. If?this change of sentiment continues to attract more flows, this could be an important factor in determining if gold can...