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Asia markets recover after hot U.S. price data

Asia markets recover after hot U.S. price data

After an unexpected rise in U.S. producer prices, traders in Asia assessed the options available to the central banks around the world. Inflation concerns were renewed after the sudden spike in U.S. producer price data.

MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific index outside Japan fell 0.2% following a report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Thursday, which showed that the Producer Price Index rose 0.9% on a monthly basis in July. This was well above the expectations of economists.

The report caused traders to temper their expectations about how quickly the Federal Reserve could cut rates during its meeting in September without further inflaming inflation.

Mike Houlahan is the director of Electus Financial Ltd. in Auckland.

According to CME Group's FedWatch, the market currently prices in a 92.1% chance of a rate cut of 25 basis points at their meeting next month. This compares with a 100% probability of a rate cut on Thursday. The probability of a 50-basis point cut has dropped to zero, from an earlier estimate of 5.7%.

U.S. Stock Futures rose 0.2% in Asian Trading and are on track to gain a further 0.2% after a volatile trading session on Wall Street. The yield of the 10-year Treasury Bond in the United States was down by 2 basis points to 4.2732%.

The yield on the two-year bond, which is sensitive for traders to expectations about Fed Fund rates, fell to 3.7233%, down from a U.S. closing of 3.739%.

The dollar index (which tracks the greenback in relation to a basket currency of other major trading partners) retraced gains following the PPI release. It last traded down 0.2%, at 98.026.

After a selloff on Thursday, the Nikkei index rebounded by 1.6% and reached a near-record high. This was after a six day winning streak. The Japanese GDP data published on Friday showed that the economy grew by 1.0% annually in the April-June period, exceeding analyst expectations. The dollar fell 0.5% to 147.09 yen against the yen.

Hong Kong stocks were down by 1.1%, but Australian shares rose 0.7%.

The CSI 300 rose by 0.8% following the release of lower-than-expected Chinese data

Economic data

The July figures, which included retail sales and industrial output, stoked speculation about new stimulus.

India and South Korea have closed their markets for the public holidays.

The cryptocurrency markets have stabilised following a record high of $124480.82 for bitcoin on Thursday. However, the new record was fragile and quickly fell after it missed its next major milestone. The digital currency gained 0.8% and recovered some ground. Ether also gained 1.7%.

"Bitcoin’s failure to overcome the $125,000 opposition signals another consolidation phase," Tony Sycamore said, a market researcher at IG Sydney.

Brent crude fell 0.3% to $66.63 a barrel on the commodities market ahead of an Alaska meeting between U.S. president Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin.

Marc Velan is the head of investments for Lucerne Asset Management, a Singapore-based asset management firm. He said that "the first meeting does not seem to be a market-moving event – it's really more about setting up a subsequent meeting, which may prove more important." If a ceasefire occurs, the euro will rise and the dollar will fall.

The gold price was lower than usual as markets digested inflation-adjusted rates of interest, which usually move in the opposite directions to bullion prices. Spot gold traded up 0.3% to $3,343.94 an ounce.

Early European trades saw the pan-regional futures up 0.5%. German DAX Futures also gained 0.5%. FTSE Futures also gained 0.5%.

(source: Reuters)