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Energy Markets

Crude Oil

Crude Oil

The dollar is struggling to find direction

The dollar was unable to gain any ground on Wednesday due to growing Federal Reserve expectations of rate cuts. Investors were looking at weak U.S. economic data and warnings from corporations about the impact of tariffs. The EUROSTOXX futures are up 0.5%, indicating that European stocks will open higher. Novo Nordisk, a maker of wegovy, reported a second-quarter growth in sales of 18%. This was below the initial expectations by analysts. Nasdaq and S&P futures both rose 0.4% after a dip. After the bell, shares of AI chip maker Advanced Micro Devices fell 6.6% on disappointing data center revenue. Analysts...

Crude Oil

Asian shares follow Wall Street lower as dollar rangebound

The dollar was weighed down by lower bond yields, as well as weak U.S. economic data, on Wednesday. Data released on Tuesday showed that the U.S. service sector activity was flat in July. Input costs and employment have risen by nearly three times in the last year, highlighting the impact of President Donald Trump’s tariff policy. The second-quarter results revealed the impact of Trump's tariffs. Taco Bell's parent company Yum Brands missed earnings expectations due to steep trade duties that dent consumer spending. Caterpillar also warned of tariffs costing it up $1.5 billion in the second quarter. The report paints...

Crude Oil

Stocks surge on Fed rate-cut hopes following disappointing jobs data

Investors raised their bets that the Federal Reserve will act to support the world's biggest economy. Global stocks rose for the second session of the day on Tuesday. U.S. stocks rallied Monday, boosted by generally positive earnings reports. Bets on a Fed rate cut in September increased after Friday's disappointing jobs report. The oil prices fell after OPEC+ increased their output, and gold was hovering near a week-high. Rodrigo Catril is a senior currency strategist with National Australia Bank. He said that there are signs of weakness within the U.S. The STOXX 600 index rose 0.4% to start the day...

Crude Oil

Stocks surge on Fed rate-cut hopes following disappointing jobs data

Investors raised their bets that the Federal Reserve will act to support the world's biggest economy. Global stocks rose again on Tuesday. U.S. stocks rallied Monday, boosted by generally positive earnings reports. Bets on a Fed rate cut in September increased after Friday's disappointing jobs report. The oil prices fell after OPEC+ increased their output, and gold was hovering near a week-high. Rodrigo Catril is a senior currency strategist with National Australia Bank. He said that there are signs of weakness within the U.S. The STOXX 600 index rose 0.4% to start the day in Europe. This is the second...

Crude Oil

Dollar steadies as Fed rate-cut bets boost Asian shares

The U.S. Dollar steadied on Tuesday as investors bet that the Federal Reserve would act to support the largest economy in the world. U.S. stocks rallied Monday, boosted by generally positive earnings reports. Bets on a Fed rate cut in September increased after Friday's disappointing jobs report. The oil prices fell after OPEC+ increased their output, but gold remained near a week-high and Vietnamese stocks reached a record high. Rodrigo Catril is a senior currency strategist with National Australia Bank. He said that there are signs of weakness within the U.S. The broadest MSCI index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan...

Crude Oil

Global shares are in the red following US jobs data and Trump's tariffs

The global stock market remained negative on Friday, after weaker-than-expected U.S. employment data led markets to increase their bets that the Federal Reserve would cut rates. This followed earlier losses caused by U.S. president Donald Trump's latest trade war salvo. Nasdaq and S&P futures fell about 1% following the data release, roughly in line with their previous levels. The pan-European STOXX 600 dropped 1.4%. This brings its weekly decline to around 2%, and puts it on course for its largest weekly drop since Trump's first major tariff wave on April 2. According to a survey by economists, the U.S. economy...

Crude Oil

US futures gain on earnings, but yen reverts post-BOJ gains

U.S. Futures outperformed other markets on Thursday as traders considered a range of economic indicators, including central bank rate decisions and inflation data, in addition to last-minute talks about a trade agreement ahead of U.S. president Donald Trump's deadline of August 1. Next, we will look at the U.S. PCE Inflation data, which is the Federal Reserve's preferred measure. This data will be analyzed for any signs of Trump's policy on inflation. Jerome Powell, the Fed's chair, said that it would be necessary to wait until more data is available before making any further moves. Further information Trump's criticism on...

Crude Oil

Asian stocks fall on weak China data and yen firms following BOJ decision

Asian stocks fell on Thursday due to weaker than expected Chinese data and a drop in copper prices. The yen, however, firmed up after the Bank of Japan increased its inflation forecast and kept rates unchanged. The revised forecast indicated cautious optimism that Japan’s trade agreement with the U.S. will help the economy avoid a sharp downturn, and set the BOJ's interest rate hike later in the year. The yen rose 0.6% to 148.62 dollars per yen immediately after the central banks unanimously maintained short-term rates at 0.5%. The Japanese stock market showed no reaction to this decision, with the...

Crude Oil

Asian stocks fall on weak China data and plunging copper price

Asian stocks fell on Thursday, after weaker than expected Chinese data and a drop in copper prices. Investors also weighed the impact of a new trade agreement between South Korea & the U.S. Investors weighed the Federal Reserve's decision to keep rates unchanged and megacap tech companies' strong earnings when determining whether or not to buy the dollar. Nasdaq Futures soared 1.2% after Microsoft and Meta Platforms reported earnings that were better than expected. S&P futures rose 0.8% while the U.S. Dollar held steady following a two-month peak. Tony Sycamore is a market analyst with IG Sydney. He said that...

Crude Oil

Stocks rise, but euro stays steady following US-EU trade deal

The euro rose on Monday, after a US-EU trade deal lifted the mood and provided clarity ahead of a week of important policy meetings at the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan. A week after signing a similar deal with Japan, the U.S. has reached a framework agreement with the European Union. The U.S. will impose a 15% tariff on the import of most EU goods. The U.S. president Donald Trump has set a deadline of August 1, and countries are scrambling for trade deals to be finalised before that date. Talks between the U.S., China will take place in...

Crude Oil

Euro firms and stocks rise after US-EU trade deal

The euro strengthened on Monday, after a US-EU trade agreement lifted the mood and provided some clarification in the week of important policy meetings between the Federal Reserve Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve. A week after agreeing on a trade agreement with Japan, which lowered proposed auto import tariffs, the U.S. has struck a framework deal with the European Union. The U.S. will impose a 15% tariff on the majority of EU goods, half the rate that was threatened. The U.S. president Donald Trump has set a deadline of August 1, and countries are scrambling for trade deals...

Crude Oil

Nikkei surges as Trump announces Japan Trade Deal

The Japanese stock market reached a record high of one year on Wednesday, as the country signed a deal with the United States to lower tariffs on autos. This also revived hopes for an EU-US trade agreement that would boost European stock futures. Donald Trump said late Tuesday that a deal reached with Tokyo would see Japan pay a 15% lower tariff on all shipments to the U.S. The agreement came after the U.S. reached an agreement with the Philippines, where the U.S. will collect a tariff of 19% on imports. Trump said that representatives of the European Union would...

Environment

Climate Change

Australia's Great Barrier Reef experiences record coral loss following mass bleaching

Research released on Wednesday revealed that Australia's Great Barrier Reef suffered the greatest decline in coral coverage in two of three of its regions in the past year. This was after a mass coral bleaching which was among the worst ever recorded. The Australian Institute of Marine Sciences reported that the reef experienced its largest annual decline of coral cover in the northern and southern areas since monitoring began in 1979. Coral cover dropped between a quarter to a third following several years of steady growth. Mike Emslie is the head of the institute's long-term monitoring programme. This is a...

Environment

Australian towns covered in rare snowfall during wild weather

Authorities said that wild weather caused flooding, stranded vehicles, and power cuts to thousands of homes in eastern Australia this weekend. Miriam Bradbury of Australia's weather bureau, a Meteorologist, confirmed that a cold air front brought up to 40 cm (16") of snow in parts of northern New South Wales, the highest since the mid-80s. She said that snow also fell in Queensland, the neighboring state, for the first 10 years. Bradbury stated that climate change had made Australia's weather volatile in recent times, but this type of event has occurred many times in history. She said, "This event is...

Environment

BHP and Vale accused by UK law firm of 'cheating out' $1.7 billion in legal fees

BHP and Vale face a London suit from a law firm that represents hundreds of thousands people in relation to Brazil's worst environment disaster. The firm alleges the companies tried to cheat them out of legal fees through settlements. BHP stated that it would contest the allegations and reject them "in their entirety". Vale declined comment. Pogust Goodhead will demand 1.3 billion pounds ($1.7billion) in unpaid fees from BHP, the company that represents claimants in a case against BHP relating to the collapse of the Fundao Dam in Mariana in the southeast Brazil in 2015. In the case before London's...

Mining

Mineral Resources

Mineral Resources

BHP and Lundin are requesting Argentina incentives but other miners fear they will miss out

BHP and Lundin intend to apply soon for a new Argentine incentive scheme for their Vicuna Copper Project, but executives at a mining convention this week expressed concern that they might be left out by the program's deadline of a year. The Large Investment Incentive Program, or RIGI in Argentina, was implemented by President Javier Milei on October 1, 2018. It offers long-term tax breaks as well as access to international dispute tribunals for investments above $200 million. The program will last until July 2026, with the possibility of an additional year. The mining companies welcomed the measure, which they...

Mineral Resources

Australia sets a price floor for rare earth minerals to boost the industry

Madeleine King, Minister of Resources, said that Australia was considering a price-floor to support vital minerals projects. This includes rare earths. Her comments led to an increase in the share prices of Australian listed rare earths mining companies. Australia is positioning itself to be a source of minerals that are critical for sectors like the automotive and defence industries. On Tuesday, it offered a $87 million lifeline for Trafigura's metals-processing operations. Nyrstar has assessed the potential of its smelters at Port Pirie, Hobart, and Port Pirie to produce antimony bismuth germanium indium. This support is due to the fact that...

Fossil Fuels

Australia provides $87.4 Million bailout to Trafigura Lead, Zinc Smelters

The Australian government announced on Tuesday that it would provide A$135 (US$87.4M) in financial assistance to two smelters in Australia's southern region owned by Nyrstar. Nyrstar is a subsidiary of commodity trader Trafigura. Trafigura placed its Port Pirie lead-smelting operations, in South Australia, and its zinc processing operation in Hobart in Tasmania under strategic review in early this year after high energy costs and lower processing fees rendered the businesses unprofitable. Nyrstar, as part of its review, assessed the potential of producing antimony, a critical mineral, at its Port Pirie facility, but it would require government assistance to do so....

Mineral Resources

Japan's Mitsubishi Q1 profits down 43% but still beat expectations

Japanese trading house Mitsubishi posted a net loss of 203.1 billion Japanese yen (about $1.4 billion) for the three-month period ending June 30. This was down 43% compared to a year earlier, but still beat analysts' expectations. A LSEG survey of analysts predicted that the company would post a net profit of 180.3 billion yen for its first quarter. Mitsubishi's net profit for the same period in last year was 354.4 billion yen. The company reported that this year's profit was down mainly due to the lack of gains from asset sale and the lower prices of the Australian steelmaking...

Coal

China's iron ore exports continue to rise as storm clouds gather, Russell

Iron ore is the best performing commodity this year, with a price of over $100 per metric ton. This is despite signs that China's steel industry has been slowing down. The Singapore Exchange's most traded iron ore contract ended Wednesday at $101.71 per ton, down from $102.74 at its previous close. The rolling front-month contracts have traded within a narrow range this year. A high of $107.81 per ton was reached on February 12, and a low $93.35 per ton was achieved on July 1. This stability is due to the fact that China imports 75% of all seaborne volumes....

Mineral Resources

Rio Tinto reports smallest first-half profits in five years

Rio Tinto announced its lowest first-half profit in five years Wednesday as iron ore price remained low due to concerns about oversupply and weak China demand. This was offset by higher earnings from the copper business. The price of iron ore fell in the first half as the top steel consumer, China, decreased its steel production and increased supply from Australia and Brazil. This reduced Rio Tinto's earnings. Morgan Stanley notes that the expectation of China reducing overcapacity and restocking the steel industry before the end of 2025 could lead to an increase in price to $100 per ton by...

Mineral Resources

Australia's IGO warns of more problems at Kwinana as revenue drops

IGO, an Australian lithium producer, reported a decline in its annual revenue on Wednesday. It also announced a charge for impairment relating to the troubled Kwinana Lithium Refinery in Western Australia. The Perth-based firm reported sales revenues of A$512.5m for the year ending June 30. This is lower than A$822.6m reported by the company a year earlier. IGO reported that the impairment charge, which is a cost a company incurs when an asset it owns loses value, could range between A$70 and A$90 (between $45.6 million to $58,7 million) for fiscal year 2025. The shares of the Australian producer of...

Mineral Resources

Newmont Gold Mine's profit for the quarter beats expectations as gold rallies

Newmont exceeded Wall Street's expectations for the second quarter profit, as it benefited from an increase in gold prices. Its shares rose more than 2% in extended trading Thursday. Gold prices have been consistently high over the last few quarters as geopolitical and tariff concerns, coupled with uncertainty about President Donald Trump’s plans for tariffs in the U.S., boosted the metal's appeal as a safe-haven. Gold prices in the second quarter averaged $3,220.58 an ounce. This is more than 12% above the previous quarter and almost 40% higher than levels a year ago. Newmont's gold realized average price was $3,320...

Mineral Resources

Former Australia PM: US should focus on economic relations to compete with China.

Scott Morrison of Australia, who testified at a U.S. Congress hearing on countering China, urged the U.S. "to double down" on their economic engagement in Indo-Pacific, where Beijing has asserted influence. Morrison, speaking on Wednesday, said that economic security was the primary focus for many countries in Southeast Asia. U.S. leadership and Western investment give the region a choice. He said that when China was active in a country, it wasn't the U.S. and other allied interest that should be absent. Instead, they should double down on their efforts to be present even more to give them that choice. Morrison...

Mineral Resources

Argentina rejects Ganfeng Lithium but approves Galan Lithium as part of its incentive scheme

The Argentine government approved the $217 million project by Australian miner Galan Lithium in Catamarca for a new incentive program called RIGI. However, it rejected a bid from China's Ganfeng to build its Mariana lithium project. Why it's important Last year, the Incentive Regime for Large Investments (RIGI) was implemented as part of President Javier Milei’s efforts to encourage investments in the troubled economy. The RIGI offers benefits such as tax breaks and access international dispute courts for eligible projects. Global mining companies have been watching closely to see if the scheme will encourage investment in the copper industry that...

Mineral Resources

New Ghana mining legislation will shorten the licence period and boost community investment

Ghana will shorten the duration of mining licenses and require direct revenue sharing with local communities as part of its most comprehensive mining law reforms since nearly 20 years. Details were announced on Wednesday by a government ministry. The planned overhaul is part of a wider trend in West Africa where governments are rewriting their mining codes to maximize the value from rising commodities prices. Emmanuel Armah Kofi Buah, Minister of Lands and Natural Resources in Ghana, said that the changes - which include scrapping the automatic renewal for some licences – will only apply to future contracts. This is...

Mineral Resources

Germany provides Vulcan Energy with 104 million Euros to produce clean Lithium

Vulcan, a start-up, has received 104 millions euros ($122million) from the German government to produce clean Lithium, the company announced on Tuesday. Berlin is aiming to increase electric vehicle production and reduce its reliance on imported raw materials. Vulcan said that the grants issued by both the Federal Government and the states of Rhineland-Palatinate, and Hesse will be used to support a project "designed for building Germany and Europe's crucial raw materials supply chains resilience". According to the German Raw Materials Agency, Germany's demand for lithium could reach 170,000 tons per year by 2030. The country's automotive industry relies on...