Australia / New Zealand







Energy Markets

As NATO meets, oil prices are pushed up by tensions over the Hormuz region and AI concerns on Wall Street

Investors' worries about the?sustainability? of an AI rally coupled with renewed Middle East tensions drove oil prices up. The Nasdaq Composite, which is dominated by tech stocks, was down 0.61% at midday. Meanwhile the S&P 500 dropped 0.26% while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.33%. MSCI's global stock index was down by 0.49%. Samsung Electronics, the world's largest memory chipmaker, forecasted a 19-fold increase in its April-June operating profits to 89.4 trillion dollars. Rather than reassuring shareholders, the results triggered a sell-off in Samsung and rival SK Hynix. Investors are increasingly questioning whether artificial intelligence-related profit growth can be...


Energy Markets

Crude Oil

Crude Oil

Oil surges, stocks tumble as Trump declares Iran MOU 'over'

Oil prices rose by more than 5% Wednesday, while global stock and bond markets fell as investors fled risky assets after U.S. president Donald?Trump declared that the Gulf Conflict was over following the signing of a memorandum with Iran. Trump said that he didn't want to engage Tehran. He was speaking in Ankara, Turkey, ahead of the NATO summit. He said that dealing with Iran was a waste. After the U.S. and Iranian forces exchanged attacks in Gulf, market sentiment was already fragile. Brent crude futures jumped 5% to $78 per barrel, the biggest gain in a single day since...

Crude Oil

Oil jumps on Middle East attacks; tech stocks fall due to AI valuation concerns

Oil prices jumped by over 3% Wednesday, bond prices fell as U.S. sanctions against Iranian crude oil?threatened a ceasefire. Stocks wobbled due to concerns that the record AI rally might be losing its buyers. Brent crude futures rose 3.3% to $76.54 per barrel, the highest gain in a single day since May. Although this was far below the peak of $120 at the height of fighting, it was still enough to introduce a new inflation risk in the bond market. Jason Wong is a senior strategist with BNZ Wellington. "Obviously, the market does not like these attacks... But it's still...

Crude Oil

As oil prices rise, chip stocks continue to fall

On Wednesday, oil prices rose as U.S. sanctions against Iranian oil and renewed fighting in the Middle East threatened the ceasefire. Stocks were shaky because the record-breaking AI rally is running out of buyers. Brent crude futures rose 3.2% to $76.54 per barrel, which is still a far cry from the wartime peaks above $120, but it's enough to cause a stir in the bond markets by increasing inflation risks. This is especially true since months of conflict has reduced global inventories. Jason Wong is a senior strategist with BNZ Wellington. He said: "Obviously, the market does not like these...

Crude Oil

Oil prices rise and bonds fall as US strikes Iran

Bond futures fell and oil prices rose after the U.S. imposed trade sanctions on Iran following the attacks on tankers at the Strait of Hormuz. Stocks wobbled, as the momentum from the record-breaking AI rally waned. U.S. crude oil futures rose 2.7% to $72.40 per barrel, while 10-year Treasury futures fell seven ticks. Traders priced in the rising risk of inflation and interest rate increases. Jason Wong is a senior strategist with BNZ Wellington. He said that the market does not like these attacks, but it's still not in full panic mode. He said that the past few months have...

Crude Oil

Oil spikes due to Iran fears, but stocks fall on AI concerns

The global stock market fell on Tuesday, as investors remained concerned about the sustainability if the AI-driven rally. Oil prices also rose due to renewed Middle East tensions. In early trading on Tuesday, the tech-heavy Nasdaq composite fell 0.97% while the S&P500 dropped 0.32%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average remained flat. The stock market took a hit despite Samsung Electronics' forecast of a 19-fold increase in operating profit from April to June, which reached 89.4 trillion dollars ($58.4billion), the third consecutive quarter that it had achieved a record operating profit. The results did not reassure investors but rather sparked heavy...

Crude Oil

Oil prices fall, but stocks rise as Iran and chips drive markets

Wall Street gained in the midday trade on Monday, largely due to continued optimism about chip stocks. Oil fell as a result of an expected surge in supply. All three major U.S. indexes rose in the early afternoon after European stocks had flirted earlier with'record peaks' before retreating, ahead of the crucial earnings season for AI. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 0.07% to 52,938.04, while the S&P 500 rose by 0.73% to 7,537.75, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 1.25% to 26,155.56. The MSCI index of global stocks rose 0.45% to 1,128.87. Global AI continued to dominate the markets. South...

Crude Oil

Asian markets gain footing after US PMIs and jobs data lift stocks

Stocks rose in the Asian session on Friday, after a lukewarm U.S. jobs report cast doubts over the prospects of a Federal Reserve rate hike. Regional activity gauges also pointed to an expansionary economy during June. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan, which had been in decline for two days straight, rose 2.2% after a shaky beginning. South Korea's Kospi fluctuated between gains and losses before surging by more than 6%, as buyers snapped up battered chipset stocks. S&P 500 futures rose by 0.4% while Japan's Nikkei reversed its early losses and traded 1.2% higher. The latest data from...

Crude Oil

Asian markets are choppy after US jobs data dampen Fed rate hike expectations

After a lukewarm U.S. The jobs report has thrown cold water on the 'prospect' of an imminent rate increase by the Federal Reserve. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan fluctuated in gains and losses. It gained 0.1% following two days of consecutive declines. The sharp declines in U.S. chipmakers trading weighed heavily on South Korea's Kospi. S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures both rose by 0.1% while Japan's Nikkei was down by 1%. According to data released Thursday, the U.S. employment growth slowed dramatically in June, and payroll gains from the two previous months were'revised down.' This indicates a cooling...

Crude Oil

Oil drops the most since years, and gold, yen are also falling.

Brent oil, meanwhile, posted its biggest quarterly drop since 2020 as traders stayed on top of a fragile truce between the United States &?Iran. The U.S. Dollar was expected to post its fourth consecutive quarterly gain against a basket, pushing the yen down to a low of 40 years, as expectations of U.S. rate hikes changed dramatically on the last day. The greenback gained more than 1% against the currencies of emerging markets as a group throughout the second quarter. The Strait of Hormuz reopened slowly and randomly on the energy markets as the hostilities between Iran and the U.S....

Crude Oil

Stocks soar in stellar quarter, dollar hits gold and the yen

On Tuesday, global stocks were on track to achieve their best performance in the second quarter of six years. Meanwhile, a resurgent US dollar drove the yen down to its lowest level in four decades and was heading for a fourth consecutive quarterly increase. In the last three months the Strait of Hormuz reopened slowly and 'haphazardly' as hostilities between Iran and the U.S. waned, resulting in a fragile ceasefire and a 20% drop in the price of crude oil. A dramatic shift has also occurred in the expectations of U.S. interest rate, against the backdrop of an unstoppable rise...

Crude Oil

Stocks soar in stellar quarter, dollar sinks gold, yen and other currencies

On Tuesday, global stocks were on track to achieve their best performance in the second quarter of six years. Meanwhile, a resurgent US dollar drove the yen down to its lowest level in four decades and?on course for a fourth consecutive quarterly increase. In the past three months the Strait of Hormuz reopened haphazardly and gradually as the hostilities between Iran and the U.S. waned, resulting in a fragile ceasefire that knocked 20% off of the price of crude oil. A dramatic shift has also occurred in the expectations of U.S. interest rate, against a backdrop that is dominated by...

Crude Oil

Asian stocks set to record-breaking quarter as dollar sinks gold, yen and yen

Asian stocks surged on Tuesday at the end of an impressive quarter, as a resurgent yen fell to its lowest level in four decades and headed towards a fourth consecutive quarterly increase. Japan's Nikkei rose 1.6% and is on track to set a new record for quarterly gains of over 38%. South Korea's KOSPI, which is dominated by chipmakers, rose 3%. However it was on track for a record-breaking second-quarter gain of more than 71%. It has already doubled in the past year. Brent crude futures are trading at $72.49 per barrel, which is the pre-war price. This is even...

Mining

Mining

BHP iron ore employees vote to strike at Port Hedland on July 18, 2018.

BHP Port Hedland workers in Western Australia announced a work stoppage of eight hours on Wednesday, set for July 16. This is expected to affect daily revenues of A$120,000,000 ($83.16,000,000) of iron ore. After six months of unsuccessful negotiations, the unions called for action. According to a statement from the union, workers in the port operations and maintenance department of the company represented by the Combined Ports Unions are expected to participate in the strike. Adam Woodage, Secretary of the Electrical Trades Union WA, said: "This is not anyone's preferred way forward but if it is the only way to...

Mining

As the M&A frenzy grows, Australia's Genesis makes a $3.9 billion offer for Vault.

Genesis Minerals, a company based in Australia, has made a bid for Vault Minerals worth A$5.6 billion (about $3.95 billion). This is a higher offer than Regis Resources, as the surging gold price fuels a wave of consolidation within Australia's mining industry. This combination will create one of Australia's largest gold producers, with a value of A$12.6billion and a production capacity of 700,000oz per year. Genesis estimated on Monday that it would bring in about A$2 billion worth of synergies, as its Leonora operation is only 25 kilometers (15.53 miles) away from Vault. The ore of higher quality could be...

Mining

Sources say that some Japanese buyers have agreed to a premium of $395/t for aluminium in the third quarter.

Two sources involved in the price talks confirmed that some Japanese aluminium buyers agreed to pay global producers a premium of $395 per ton over benchmark prices for July-September shipments. This is an increase of 12-13% compared to the previous quarter. The talks with other buyers continue. Initially, producers had demanded higher premiums. The agreement, which is a 3rd consecutive quarterly rise, and the highest premium since January-March 2015 when it reached $425 per tonne, represents a $350-$353 increase per ton in April-June. Japan is one of the major Asian importers of light metals. The premiums that it pays for...

Mineral Resources

Coal

Coal

Russell: India pivots towards Russian crude and coal in order to reduce the Iran war's fallout.

After the Iran conflict, when oil flows were disrupted and costs rose, India decided to buy Russian coal and crude oil to boost its energy supply. According to data compiled by Kpler, the world's third largest oil importer is expected to experience a surge in arrivals of Russian crude to a new record of 2,55 million barrels per?day (bpd). The imports of?Russia in June will be higher than the 2,13 million bpd that were imported in May. This was the third highest on record, and only behind the 2,16 million bpd for May 2023. In June, Russia's share will be...

Coal

Russell: China's structural shift is reflected in its weak steel production and strong imports of iron ore.

China's?weak production of steel and its robust imports of iron ore continue to contrast, and it is beginning to appear as?a structural change rather than just a temporary disruption. China, which is responsible for producing just over half the world's total steel, produced 86.63 million metric tons of steel in April. This was a 2.8% decline from the same month of 2025, and the lowest April figure since 2018. Steel production for the first four month of this year was 331.12 millions tons, down 4.1% on the same period of last year. According to official statistics, however, iron ore exports...

Coal

Russell: China's structural shift is reflected in its weak steel production and strong imports of iron ore.

The disparity between China's low steel production and its robust imports of?iron ore is still evident, but it is now starting to appear as a structural shift instead of a temporary dislocation. China, which accounts for just over half the world's total steel production, produced 86.63 metric tons of steel in April. This is a 2.8% drop from the same period in 2025 and the lowest April figure since 2018. Steel production for the first four months of the year was 331.12 millions tons, down 4.1% from last year's same period. According to official statistics, however, iron ore exports increased...

Coal

Russell: China's thermal coal production drops, but prices of imported coal in Asia rise amid the Iran war.

The Iran War has impacted crude oil and natural gas markets. However, the impact on coal prices has been muted. Prices for thermal grades are quietly rising to multi-year highs. The conflict between the United States of America and Iran has led to the loss of about 10% of crude oil and a fifth of LNG. However, the thermal coal supply has been largely unaffected by the conflict, despite the fact that the cost of shipping and producing has increased due to higher fuel prices. Coal prices are likely to be driven by a number of factors, including the Iran...

Refined Products

Russell: China's thermal coal production drops, but prices of imported coal in Asia rise amid the Iran war.

Although the Iran war has impacted crude oil and natural gas prices, its impact on coal has been muted. Prices for thermal grades are quietly rising to multi-year heights. The conflict between the United States of America and Iran has led to the loss of about 10% of world crude oil, and a fifth of LNG, but thermal coal supplies remain largely unaffected. Even though the cost of shipping and producing has increased due to higher fuel prices. Coal prices are not solely driven by the?Iran War. Other factors, such as low Chinese production and Indonesian regulations, may be more...

Coal

Sources say that China has tightened border inspections on fertilizer exports.

China has increased its customs inspections to enforce the new controls on fertilizer exports as the gap between domestic and foreign prices continues to widen after the disruptions caused by the closing of the Strait of Hormuz. Three fertiliser traders, who spoke on condition of anonymity due to the sensitive nature of the issue, said that customs inspections are now required for exports of?ammonium?sulphate, one of China's biggest fertilizer exports in terms of volume. Two people said that the crackdown began after two customs officers in Qingdao, a port city located on China's eastern coast, identified exporters who were falsely...

Coal

China's iron ore imports for the first two months of 2018 are up on exports and domestic demand

Customs data showed that China's imports of iron ore in the first two months 2026 increased by 10% compared to a year ago, thanks to stronger exports from Australia, a major supplier, and a higher level of domestic demand. In January and February of this year, the world's biggest iron ore consumer imported 210.02 metric tons. This is up from 191.36 metric tons in previous years. Alexis Ellender is an analyst with the ship tracking firm Kpler. She said that this growth was due to Australia's strong exports in December. China combined import data from January and February in order...

Coal

Itochu, Japan's consumer-business leader, posts record profit for the 9th month.

Itochu, Japan's largest retailer, posted a record-breaking 4% increase in its nine-month net profits through December 31st, to 705.3 billion dollars. This was a result of strong consumer businesses, such as food, textiles and the convenience store chain. The trading house's food unit saw a 38% increase in profit to 82.5 billion Japanese yen, up from 60 billion last year. This was due to higher banana sales and production, as well as growth of the packaged foods division at Dole agriculture. Tsuyoshi Hachimura, Chief Financial Officer of the company, said at a press conference that "core profits in non-resources sectors...

Coal

China's steel imports and exports are at record levels

China's steel imports reached a monthly record high in December. This was largely due to the front-loading of shipments, which was prompted by Beijing's announcement that export licenses would be required for shipments starting 2026. Data from the General Administration of Customs in the Philippines showed that the world's largest steel producer exported 11.3 million tons of'metal' used in construction and manufacturing during the month of December, which was the highest amount ever for a month. Beijing plans to implement a license system to regulate steel exports in 2026, after robust shipments sparked a protectionist backlash around the world. Analysts...

Fossil Fuels

Jiangxi Copper, a Chinese company, has increased its bid for SolGold (UK-listed) to $1.13 Billion.

SolGold announced on Friday that it would "recommend to its shareholders, Jiangxi copper?an improved offer?valuing the gold and copper mining company at approximately?842?million pounds? ($1.13 billion) amid a worldwide race for copper assets. Jiangxi Copper has increased its offer to 28 pence per Share, marking the third time that it has proposed to buy SolGold. This is a 7.7% rise from their previous bid of 26 pence per Share which was rejected last month. SolGold, a company based in Ecuador, said that its board will tell shareholders to accept Jiangxi Copper's (JCC) offer if it is firm. JCC's pursuit for...

Fossil Fuels

Investors say BHP needs to get past Anglo and focus on growth projects.

Investors said that BHP should focus on its own growth strategy and move away from Anglo American, following the Australian firm's last minute appeal to the London listed company, which is close to a $60 billion deal with Canada's Teck Resources. In recent days, the world's biggest miner contacted Anglo's board to determine if there was any interest in a merger. This was reported by Sunday. BHP announced on Monday that it would not pursue the bid, but instead focus its efforts on growth. The decision to leave comes before the votes of Teck and Anglo shares - scheduled for...

Coal

Source: BHP renewed its bid for Anglo American

BHP Group, the mining company, has renewed its takeover bid for rival Anglo American, according to a source with knowledge of the situation. This comes just months after BHP and Teck Resources, the Canadian miner, agreed to merge to form a global heavyweight in the copper industry. Anglo American refused to comment. BHP didn't immediately respond to an outside normal business hours request for a comment. Bloomberg News, citing sources familiar with the situation, reported that BHP made overtures to Anglo American recently. The report added that discussions are still ongoing and a deal is not certain. Anglo American has...