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The Australian dollar and Asian shares are both rising on the back of trade optimism

The Australian dollar and Asian shares are both rising on the back of trade optimism

The Australian dollar and shares in Asia rose to an eight-month peak on Thursday, as the demand for higher yielding investments was boosted by optimism about earnings and trade.

Tokyo's Topix index of shares reached an all-time record, after Wall Street set new records overnight. A trade agreement between Japan and the U.S. had stoked speculation that more deals were likely to be announced soon in order to avoid sweeping tariffs. Nasdaq futures and S&P futures both rose after Alphabet, the parent company of Google, beat expectations to start off "Magnificent Seven' earnings season.

The U.S. also has agreements with the Philippines, Indonesia and the European Union.

In a podcast, Brian Martin, ANZ’s head of G3 Economics, stated that "worst-case concerns about tariffs" in the U.S. have probably subsided to some extent. However, tariffs continue to rise and this is a barrier for consumers.

According to European Commission officials, the EU and U.S. have reached a deal on a trade agreement that would impose 5% tariffs on European imports while waiving duty on certain items. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced that U.S. officials and Chinese officials would meet in Stockholm, Sweden next week.

The second quarter earnings season in the U.S. is in full swing. 23% of companies in the S&P 500 have already reported. LSEG data shows that 85% of those companies have surpassed Wall Street expectations.

The Magnificent Seven, whose performance has pushed indexes up to previous peaks are the focus of attention for guidance regarding spending and returns on artificial intelligence (AI).

Alphabet's capital expenditure plans were increased as it beat expectations and cited the massive demand for cloud computing services. Tesla, the electric car manufacturer, posted its worst quarter-on-quarter sales decline in over a decade. Its profit also fell short of analyst expectations.

The broadest MSCI index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan rose 0.3%. Japan's Topix index surged for the second day in a row, rising by 1.4% and surpassing its previous record set last year.

The Australian dollar (a common proxy for risk-taking sentiment) was trading at $0.66. This is just a few cents off the $0.6604 it had earlier reached, which marked its highest level since November 2024. The U.S. Dollar dropped by 0.1% to 146.38 Japanese yen.

U.S. crude rose 0.4% to $65.5 per barrel. Gold spot traded at $3.390.84 an ounce, up by 0.1%.

Early trades saw the pan-region Euro Stoxx50 futures jump 1.3% to 5,435, and German DAX Futures rise 1.3%.

The S&P 500 E-minis and Nasdaq Contracts rose 0.4%.

(source: Reuters)