Latest News

Stocks on hold as traders wait for Powell's speech

The stock market was largely flat on Friday, as traders awaited the key speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell this weekend at the annual Jackson Hole Symposium that could shed some light on future monetary policy.

Powell's previous speeches at this event have often moved the markets. This year's remarks will be closely scrutinized as his position is under heavy scrutiny from U.S. president Donald Trump. There are concerns that the Fed's autonomy could be threatened.

Investors have reduced their bets that the Fed will cut rates at its September meeting due to a surge in U.S. Producer prices. This is down from 85% a week earlier.

The Jackson Hole event also featured other Fed speakers who were lukewarm about the idea of a cut in September, despite recent signs that the U.S. labor market is weakening.

Nabil Milali said that a cautious tone from Powell regarding the prospects of a September rate cut, deferring to future jobs and inflation data, could be enough to reduce market pricing down to a 50/50 call.

Milali said that Powell could also decide to defend the Fed’s independence. He said that he believed the unofficial topic of this meeting was central banks' autonomy.

MSCI's broadest global stock index was essentially flat for the day after European stocks rose in the morning before the speech. Wall Street futures are up between 0.1-0.2%.

China's CSI 300 Index rose 2.1% after DeepSeek upgraded its flagship V3 AI Model and reported that Nvidia asked Foxconn suspend work on the H20 AI Chip, lending support for Chinese rivals.

The dollar index (which measures the greenback versus six peers) edged up 0.1%, while the euro fell 0.1% to $1.15985, after an official revision showed that Germany's second-quarter economy contracted by 0.3%.

Data from Japan showed that core consumer prices fell for the second consecutive month in July, but they remained above the central banks' 2% target. This has kept alive expectations of a rate increase in the near future.

This did not help the yen much, as it was on track for a 1% drop for the week. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda is also scheduled to speak in Jackson Hole, Wyoming this weekend.

Brent crude oil prices fell, Brent crude trading at $67.5 a barrel last, down 0.2% from Thursday's gains as Russia and Ukraine blamed one another for the stalled peace processes.

Gold spot fell 0.2% to $3,330.9 an ounce.

(source: Reuters)