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Energy Markets

Crude Oil

Refined Products

China refiners purchase more Brazilian and W.African crude oil as sanctions and tariffs disrupt supply

Chinese refiners are increasing their purchases of Brazilian crude and West African crude to reorganise their sourcing in response to tariffs and sanctions, as well as after the prices of Middle Eastern grades soared. The U.S.'s tougher sanctions against Russia and Iran, as well as China's new tariffs on U.S. crude oil imports in response to the duties imposed by Donald Trump have disrupted trading patterns and increased costs for world's largest crude importer. According to Vortexa analyst Emma Li, China's crude oil imports from Brazil could reach 3 million metric tonnes, or 800,000. barrels per day. This would be...

Crude Oil

European shares reach record highs amid hopes for peace in Ukraine

European futures reached record highs on Tuesday, as defence stocks soared amid expectations of a boost in spending. Meanwhile, Hong Kong shares were nearing three-year highs after investors celebrated the business leaders' meetings with President Xi Jinping. As expected, Australia's central banks began their rate-cutting cycle. The Australian dollar was supported at $0.6350, with a cautious approach to further easing. S&P 500 Futures rose 0.2%, while European futures gained 0.1%. Japan's Nikkei gained 0.5%, with shares in defence and bank stocks following Europe's rally. The pan-European STOXX 600 closed Monday 0.5% higher, as a gauge for defence and aerospace stocks...

Crude Oil

European shares reach record highs amid hopes for peace in Ukraine

European shares reached record highs on Monday, with defence stocks leading the way, as regional leaders demanded an urgent summit to discuss the Ukraine conflict amid increasing U.S. demands to increase military spending to ensure security. The pan-European STOXX 600 Index was up last 0.4% as a gauge for defence and aerospace stocks soared almost 4% in value to lifetime highs, after having more than doubled since Russia invaded Ukraine 3 years ago. Analysts have called this "supercycle" in the sector. It is expected that earnings will continue to grow in the defence industry due to the significant increase in...

Crude Oil

MORNING BID EUROPE - Hey, Asia also has tech shares

Wayne Cole gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. The Asian share market has started the week on a positive note, despite a holiday that has reduced liquidity in U.S. stock markets. Hong Kong again led the charge, adding another 1.4% to last week's 7.5% jump amid optimism over potential low-cost AI application following the DeepSeek announcement. Goldman Sachs raised its outlook for Chinese growth and stocks. The firm argues that widespread AI adoption could increase earnings per share in China by 2.5% annually over the next decade. This would increase the fair...

Crude Oil

Wall Street is on track to gain a weekly gain; markets are focused on tariffs

Wall Street futures held steady on Friday. The U.S. Dollar fell, and global stock markets remained close to recent record highs as traders awaited developments on Ukraine and tariffs. Investors keep an eye on the news coming out of the Munich Security Conference. U.S. Vice-President JD Vance warned Russia to be prepared for sanctions from Washington if Moscow does not reach a peace agreement with Ukraine. He also urged Europe to increase its defence spending. Vance is Due to meet Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy. The directive was issued by Donald Trump, who asked his team to devise plans for reciprocal...

Crude Oil

As US inflation rises, stocks tumble and the dollar surges

The dollar and U.S. stocks rose after the data showed that consumer inflation increased more than expected in January, supporting Jerome Powell's statement that interest rates are not being cut. The Bureau of Labor Statistics of the Labor Department reported that its consumer price index increased at an annual rate of 3.3% in January. This was above expectations for a 2.9% increase. Market watchers and households alike are preparing for an increase in inflation as a result the U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs. After being mostly stable all day, futures on the S&P 500 index and Nasdaq fell sharply by...

Oil & Gas Refining

Sources say that the price of Saudi crude oil to China will fall in March, after prices reached a two-year high.

Trade sources reported on Tuesday that Saudi Arabia's crude supply to China will decline in March compared to the previous month after the kingdom raised its prices to their highest level in over two years. A tally of Saudi Aramco's allocations to Chinese refiners revealed that the company will ship around 41 million barrels in March. This is down from 43.5 million barrels in February. This is the second consecutive month that Aramco has seen its allocation to China drop. The sources stated that Sinopec, a joint venture between Aramco and the Chinese state-owned company, and Aramco’s joint venture Fujian...

Crude Oil

All tariffs at all times.

Wayne Cole gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. The week began with the now-common bang of President Trump using a scrum in front of the media on Air Force One, to announce 25% tariffs for steel and aluminum imports into America. He also promised more reciprocal tariffs by Tuesday or Wednesday. The new Chinese retaliatory duties on the U.S. also came into force at the same time. German Chancellor Scholz stated that the EU would be ready to respond "within one hour" to any levies. Investors have sold the usual suspects, with...

Crude Oil

MORNING BID AMERICAS - Alphabet mistakes, Yen surges and China returns

Mike Dolan gives us a look at what the U.S. market and global markets will be like today. As the tariff rollercoaster of the past week has leveled out, Wall Street is once again tilting down, due to a bad reception for Alphabet’s results, the lingering China tariff increase plans, and the fresh speculation about interest rate hikes in Japan. U.S. Stock Futures are back in red before Wednesday's bell, as Alphabet shares plunged by 7% over night. The drop was due to doubts surrounding the Google parent company's cloud computing, similar to Microsoft's last week, as well as anxiety...

Crude Oil

After tariff storm, global stocks and currencies are able to find their footing.

The stock market and currency held steady Tuesday, as a calm uneasy settled over the markets. This was despite United States and China titt-tat-ing on tariffs a day after Mexico won a last minute reprieve. The U.S. S&P opened flat while the Nasdaq, which is heavily tech-heavy, rose 0.2%. The S&P fell 1.9% on Monday morning as U.S. president Donald Trump appeared to be preparing to impose 25% tariffs on Mexican goods and Canadian products. However, both countries were able to delay the move by promising to improve border security. The European stock market was flat on the last day...

Crude Oil

MORNING BID AMERICAS - 'Phantom Trump tariffs' become more real in China

Mike Dolan gives us a look at what the U.S. market and global markets will be like today. After a four day guessing game, and financial turmoil, it appears that the United States has resumed its tit-fortat trade battle with China. Meanwhile Mexico and Canada have a minimum of a month breathing space. This leaves the markets a little shaky and unsure about the next step. Mexico's peso and Canada's currency are now higher than when the latest round of threats, counter-threats and deferrals started on Friday. They have risen from their respective lows of two and 22 years. The...

Crude Oil

China retaliates quickly against US tariffs and stocks, causing the dollar to plummet.

U.S. stocks futures and dollar dropped on Tuesday while Hong Kong shares fell from two-month-highs as U.S. & China went tit for tat on tariffs. This raised the threat of a larger, damaging trade war. As prices slid around in the headlines, Shane Oliver, Chief Economist at AMP, Sydney, said: "(The trade war) story is alive and well. This has a long way to go." S&P futures, which were buoyed by the news that Mexico and Canada had struck last-minute agreements to defer a U.S. tax, have now fallen 0.2%, while dollar index has lost 0.1% of its earlier gains,...

Environment

Environment

Iron ore supply is recovering, but China's stimulus plans are not working.

Iron ore futures were traded in a narrow range on Tuesday as investors weighed the recovery of shipments from Australia, a major supplier, against the expectations that China, whose top consumer, would increase its stimulus, which might boost demand. As of 0241 GMT, the most traded May iron ore contract at China's Dalian Commodity Exchange rose 0.75% to 804 yuan ($110.59). The benchmark March Iron Ore at the Singapore Exchange fell 0.38%, to $105.3 per ton, as of 0234 GMT. This was due to a stronger U.S. Dollar, which made commodities priced in greenbacks more expensive for those who hold...

Environment

IEA: Russian oil production unaffected so far by US sanctions

The International Energy Agency (IEA), in its latest report on the oil market, said that Russian oil exports may be maintained if workarounds are found to the new U.S. sanction package, following a slight increase in Russian crude production last month. The IEA reported that Russian crude oil production increased by 100,000 barrels per month (bpd), to 9,2 million bpd last month, despite the fact that its energy sector had been hit with extensive sanctions on January 10th. The IEA stated that oil markets had shown resilience and adaptability to major challenges in the past, and it is not likely...

Environment

China hawk selected for key US Commerce Dept. job

Landon Heid was nominated by President Donald Trump for a key position in the U.S. - China tech battle. Heid served on the House of Representatives Select Committee on China. According to a U.S. Senate document, Heid is being selected to become assistant secretary of Commerce in charge of export administration. Heid was a China-hawk who set technology policy at the congressional committee. He would then help to design export controls that would keep AI chips and the equipment needed to make them, as well as other technology, from China and other nations. Heid was the driving force behind a...

Mining

Mineral Resources

Mineral Resources

LME Copper eases Trump's tariffs on semiconductors and automobiles

London copper prices eased on Tuesday, after U.S. president Donald Trump threatened to impose 25% duties on automobiles and semi-conductors, which could impact the metal's supply. The price of three-month copper at the London Metal Exchange slipped 0.3%, to $9.446 per metric ton as of 0156 GMT. Trump announced on Tuesday that he plans to impose auto import tariffs of "around 25%" as well as similar duties on pharmaceuticals and semiconductors. This is the latest of a series measures that threaten to disrupt international trade. Trump also said that tariffs for pharmaceuticals and semiconductors would start at "25% and higher"...

Mineral Resources

Copper prices fall on stronger dollar, Ukraine uncertainty, and tariffs

The copper price fell on Tuesday due to a stronger dollar and the uncertainty around talks to end Ukraine's war. The London Metal Exchange's (LME) three-month copper contract fell 0.1% at 1100 GMT to $9,389 per metric ton. On Friday, the contract reached its highest level in three months at $9.684.50. Tom Price, Panmure Liberum's head of commodities strategy, said that Trump policy is the dominant theme right now. U.S. officials and Russian officials held their first meeting in Riyadh on Tuesday to discuss ending the conflict in Ukraine. "The end of the war in Ukraine is more about energy...

Mineral Resources

Iron ore prices rise as China's demand is a major factor.

Iron ore futures rose on Tuesday as expectations of a stronger stimulus package from China, the world's largest consumer, and improved downstream steel demand boosted sentiment. The May contract for iron ore on China's Dalian Commodity Exchange ended the daytime trading 2.51% higher, at 818 Yuan ($112.34) per metric ton. As of 0718 GMT, the benchmark March iron ore traded on Singapore Exchange recovered an earlier loss and jumped 1.18% to $106,95 per ton. Analysts in Shanghai and Singapore said that the volume of transactions for steel products in Hangzhou, east China, exceeded expectations. This boosted sentiment and sent ore...

Mineral Resources

Copper prices are little changed as contract expires; US-Russian talks focus

The price of copper traded within a narrow range on Tuesday, as traders moved forward their positions in anticipation of a contract that expires this week. Meanwhile, the market's attention was shifted to U.S. efforts aimed at ending Russia's almost three-year long war in Ukraine. The London Metal Exchange's (LME) three-month copper traded flat at $9 398 per metric ton as of 0716 GMT. On Friday, the contract reached its highest level in three months at $9.684.50. A trader stated that "if the talks between the U.S.A. and Russia progress favorably, there will be an increase in the likelihood of...

Mineral Resources

Copper prices drop ahead of expiry date; US-Russian talks are in focus

The copper price fell on Tuesday, as traders moved forward positions in anticipation of expiry. Meanwhile, attention was focused on the U.S. effort to end Moscow's almost three-year conflict with Ukraine. The London Metal Exchange's (LME) CMCU3 three-month copper contract eased by 0.1% at $9,382 per metric ton as of 0140 GMT. On Friday, the contract reached its highest level in three months at $9.684.50. A trader stated that "if the discussions between the U.S.A. and Russia progress favorably, there will be an increase in the likelihood of lifting of the ban on metals from Russia, which would lead to...

Mineral Resources

BHP's first-half profit falls by 23% due to lower iron ore price

BHP Group announced a 23% drop in its first-half profit underlying on Tuesday, as lower iron ore prices due to a slowdown in the Chinese real estate sector offset higher contributions by copper operations. Visible Alpha's consensus estimate was $5.01 billion. The largest listed miner in the world posted a profit attributable of $5.08 for the six-month period ending December 2024. The $6.57 reported last year was less. Iron ore, the company's biggest source of profit, saw its operating earnings fall 26%, to $7.2 billion, as prices fell from $103.7 per wet metric tonne (wmt), to $81.11 today. Copper operations'...

Mineral Resources

Andy Home: Congo is China's strategic supplier of copper

China's massive investment in mining in the Democratic Republic of Congo is paying off in the form of a surge in physical copper imports. In 2024, the Congo will increase its exports of refined copper by 71% per annum to 1,48 million metric tonnes. The Congo is the largest metal refiner in the world. Chinese operators dominate Congo’s copper belt, and the metal flow between the two nations is emerging as a structural change in the global marketplace. It is a risky one, however, as it could reduce the usefulness in reading China's pulse on copper imports to gauge Chinese...

Mineral Resources

China's iron ore imports in January and February will fall as cyclones affect Australian supply

Analysts predict that iron ore imports for China's top consumer in the first two months 2025 will decline due to tropical cyclones, bad weather and other factors affecting shipments from Australia, a major producer. Analysts said that imports of the main steelmaking ingredient are expected to be 10% lower in January and Febraury than the 209,45 million metric tonnes imported during the same period last. Kpler, a ship tracking service, estimates that Chinese iron ore exports in January and February were 191.7 million metric tons. This is a 10.4% drop year-over-year. In the first two months 2025, cyclones and bad...

Mineral Resources

US reciprocal tariff plan benefits metals; Copper hits three-month highest

Base metals prices rose on Friday, as investors expected that U.S. president Donald Trump's plans to impose reciprocal tariffs on global goods would not be implemented until April. Copper prices reached three-month highs. The price of three-month copper at the London Metal Exchange increased 1.3% by 813 GMT to $9,609 per metric ton, its highest level since November 8. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most active copper contract gained 0.9%, to 78.090 yuan per ton ($10,719.97), the highest level since November 6. The premium of U.S. Comex Copper Futures over LME Contracts reached a new record earlier this week. The treatment...

Mineral Resources

Singapore iron ore prices rise due to supply disruptions caused by cyclones in Australia

Singapore iron ore prices rose on the Friday, and are on course for a weekly increase. This is due to increased concerns about supply disruptions caused by cyclones in Australia, a major producer. As of 0738 GMT the benchmark March iron ore traded on the Singapore Exchange had gained 0.46% to $106.95 per metric tonne, resulting in a 0.6% weekly gain. The contract reached a four-month peak at $108.8 per ton during the morning session. The world's biggest iron ore hub, Australia, prepared on Friday to face a powerful tropical storm, which forced the closure of major ports in the...

Mineral Resources

Asia gold-Demand drops in India and China after price spike

The demand for gold in India fell this week as prices reached a record-high, causing retailers to reduce their retail sales and force dealers to offer discounts. Meanwhile, the demand in China, the world's largest consumer, also declined after Lunar New Year. The consumer is not ready to pay prices that are unprecedented. "They need time to adjust to this price rally," Ashok Jain said, owner of Mumbai-based wholesaler Chenaji Narsinghji. This week, the domestic gold price reached a new record of 86 360 rupees per 10 grams. The price of gold has risen by over 12% in 2025, after...

Mineral Resources

Supply shortages cause copper prices to rise three months.

Copper prices reached a three-month high on Friday due to tight supply and recent China data. Market players also assessed the impact of U.S. president Donald Trump's tariffs that will not be implemented immediately. The price of three-month copper at the London Metal Exchange increased by 0.3%, to $9,511 per ton. This is its highest level since November 8, 2024. Shanghai Futures Exchange copper increased 0.4% to 77.680 yuan. This is the highest level since November 6, 2024. The premium of U.S. Comex Copper Futures over LME Contracts reached a new record earlier this week. The treatment charges that miners...