China

Gregor Stuart 'Hunter' gives us a look at what lies ahead for the European and Global markets. It's Nvidia now. We just live there. The chip designer has forecast a 70% increase in revenue for the next fiscal year. This is a rare announcement from the largest?company? of sales that far in advance. CEO Jensen Huang also expressed confidence that the demand for AI chips would continue to grow until early 2028. The stock rose almost 5% after hours, with little sign that it would slow down. This was after The Information reported that Nvidia had?agreed' to pay $12.9 Billion...

Asia's crude oil imports in August were still far below levels before the Iran conflict began, which raises questions about how much crude actually leaves the Middle East. According to Kpler's data, the top-importing continent will see arrivals of 23,12 million barrels a day (bpd). This is a slight decrease from July, when 23.36 million bpd was recorded. Imports are also down by almost 4 million barrels per day (or 14%) from the average of 26.91 million barrels per day in the three-month period ending February. The United States and Israel launched an attack on Iran on 28 February, prompting...

Iran and Oman reached an agreement over their share of the Strait of Hormuz, and its revenues. However, the waterway won't reopen if the U.S. doesn't accept their conditions. Iran and Oman held intermittent talks about the control of traffic through the Strait. The strait handled one-fifth the global oil and LNG shipments prior to the start of the war in February. Tehran and Washington both imposed separate blockades to try to gain control of the channel. This has led global energy prices up. The Strait of Hormuz is owned by Iran and Oman... After a month of negotiations, we...

Investors regained calm in the global bond and share markets on Tuesday, as they shrugged off U.S. sanctions plans against Iran. They began to prepare for Nvidia's earnings report due out Wednesday. U.S. Treasury secretary?Scott Bessent warned countries to cut financial ties with Iran on Monday or face secondary sanctions. However, the Treasury Department did not actually impose penalties. The news prompted a slight drop in oil prices as well as the benchmark government bond yields. This was also aided by the report that the U.S. Treasury may use its cash account to fund increased U.S. Debt Buybacks. Wall Street...

Investors in global share and bond markets were calmer on Tuesday, as they shrugged off U.S. plans to extend sanctions against Iran?and started preparing for the results of Nvidia, the world's most valuable company. U.S. Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent warned on Monday that countries would face secondary sanctions if they did not cut financial ties to Iran as part of the "economic D-Day," which was dubbed by some as an "economic D-Day." However, the Treasury Department stopped just short of imposing actual penalties. The report that the U.S. Treasury may use its cash account to fund increased U.S. government debt...

After the U.S.'s "economic D-Day", sanctions against Iran, turned out to not be as severe as they had feared. U.S. Treasury rates are down from their recent highs after a report stating that the Treasury Department may tap into its cash account to fund increased debt buybacks. This could reduce the requirement for additional short-term bill sales. Investors are well aware of the high expectations that Nvidia will have to meet. Analysts expect quarterly revenues to nearly double, to $92 billion. Full-year earnings are expected to range between $103 billion and $105 billion. "Those are high expectations that must be...

Scott Bessent, U.S. Treasury secretary, invoked the 1944 D-Day landings of Allied forces in?France when announcing sanctions against Iran. The measures taken are superior to the much less successful Anzio Beachhead landing in Italy, which was another amphibious landing during World War II. Anzio was a battle that began with a successful landing of the Allies, but a lack of leadership led to the campaign stalling and turning into a long campaign of attrition. Bessent’s new measures are designed to choke Iran economically. They target companies and countries that do business with Iran in five different sectors: digital assets, technology...

Wayne Cole gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. Investors are awaiting details about President Trump's economic 'war' on Iran. This has led to a nervous start for the Asian markets. The main move was a drop of 1.5% in the oil price. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent will hold a press briefing at 2 pm EST (1800 GMT) on Wednesday to announce even more severe economic sanctions against a country which has been subjected to near-continuous sanctions since 1979's Islamic Revolution. Trump said that sanctions would also be imposed on any country that...

The crude oil market is currently debating the wrong issue about how much oil actually moves through the Strait of Hormuz. Instead, it should focus on the restricted flows of'refined products' around Asia. Energy Secretary Chris Wright of the U.S. has claimed repeatedly that vessel tracking analysts such as Kpler cannot see how much crude oil is flowing through the disputed Strait. Wright claimed that 15 million barrels of oil per day (bpd), or about 500,000 barrels a day, left the Strait of?Hormuz in a single day last week. If true, this would bring the volumes to?what they were before...

The global stock market was headed for a largely lower week last Friday as the strain on the global bond markets did not show any signs of easing and the diplomatic deadlock over the Gulf pushed oil prices up to a one-month high. The yields on U.S. government bonds resumed their rise after the surprise intervention by the Treasury on Wednesday. This was barely a relief from selling that had been sparked primarily by fears of inflation and fiscal pressures. The increase came as?U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent suggested that the government could increase its repurchases and also floated the...

According to government data, oil product inventories in Singapore, Asia’s main fuel trading hub, fell for the second consecutive?week, reaching two-month lows. Light distillates inventories are nearing a 5-year low. Enterprise Singapore reported that combined onshore oil products inventories were around 37.67 millions barrels for the week ending August 19. This is down from 38.44million barrels one week prior. Even though the imports of refined fuels like diesel, gasoline, and jet fuel from China dropped, they were in line with the expectations that the market had set since Beijing began to loosen its control over exports in July. As U.S....

What's important in U.S. and Global Markets Today By Mike Dolan, Editor at Large, Finance and Markets Bond storm calmed down overnight, but equity markets were still bruised. A tense calm is hanging over the markets as U.S. Treasury prepares for a sale of 20-year bonds later on Wednesday. The minutes of the Federal Reserve split meeting held in July could also help to resolve some of this uncertainty about the central bank's view on persistently high inflation. Below, I'll go into more detail. Check out my mid-week article, in which I discuss diversification away from AI, and much more....

On Wednesday, zinc?prices reached their highest level in over four years on a combination of speculative and supply concerns. The benchmark three-month price of zinc at the?London Metal Exchange rose 0.4% to $3,907 per metric tonne by 0945 GMT. This was its highest since June 2022. Zinc, which is mainly used for galvanising steel, has suffered from regional disparity. Stocks are eroding at warehouses registered with LME, while they pile up in China. Local shortages of zinc have pushed the cash LME zinc premium over the three-month Futures. To $132 per ton. This is up from $0 in early July,...

The copper price rose to its highest level in six months on Wednesday, boosted by supply concerns over dwindling LME inventories and a positive economic outlook. By 0300 GMT, the benchmark three-month price of copper at?the London Metal Exchange had risen by 0.49% to $14,419.5 per metric tonne. The price of a ton reached $14,437 earlier in the day, its highest level since January 29. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract rose by 1.11%, to 109 360 yuan (16,272.36) per ton. Non-traditional copper players, such as hedge funds and speculative traders trading on volatile LME inventory figures, have...

London's zinc market is still a hazardous place for bears. Metal that was expected to drop in price this year has risen. The London Metal Exchange's (LME) 3-month zinc reached a new four-year high of $3,858 a metric ton on Tuesday morning. The relentless rally has been accompanied by an abrupt contraction of the LME time spreads. This is particularly worrying for holders of zinc short positions. The premium for cash Metal?over a three-month delivery The price of a ton has dropped to $131, which is a significant drop from last October's record high of $323. The tightening market this...

Sinomine Resource Group announced that it had secured an export quota of 'another 300,000 metric tonnes of 'lithium -concentrate' from Zimbabwe. Zimbabwe, Africa’s leading producer of lithium metal for batteries, introduced export quotas on April 1st after temporarily stopping concentrate shipments from February due to alleged leakages and malpractice. It has been pressing the mining companies to process more battery metal in-country, as it aims to maximize the economic benefits from extractive industries. The country will ban exports of lithium?concentrates in January 2027. Sinomine, the company that operates the Bikita Lithium Mine in Zimbabwe, stated in a half-year?report?seen on Tuesday?that...

The copper price fell on Tuesday due to a stronger?dollar, and the macroeconomic climate, which overshadowed new fears about supply shortages triggered by withdrawal requests at the London Metal Exchange (LME). By 0301 GMT, the benchmark three-month copper contract on 'the 'LME had fallen 0.41% to $14,214 per metric tonne. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract edged up 0.17% to 107 930 yuan (16,051.93) per ton. Red metal was also weighed down by the'stronger dollar', concerns about interest rates, and a cautious economic outlook. This is a reversal from Monday's gains, which were a result of a large...

The price of copper rose on Monday as a rise in the number of cancelled warrants and metals marked for delivery at the London Metal Exchange stimulated buying. Meanwhile, the lower U.S. dollar boosted the positive sentiment towards industrial metals priced in dollars. Benchmark 'copper' on the LME was 0.2% higher, at $14240 per metric ton. Last week, prices of metals used in construction and power industries reached $14,396. This is the highest price since January's $14,527.50 high. Industry sources say that the cancellations 0#MCUSTXLOC> are mostly stored in LME warehouses in Asia and the U.S., in free-trade zones. They...

Xpeng, a Chinese automaker, announced 'on Monday that its robotics unit raised more than $900m in its initial 'funding round. This is a record in China for a single private financing. Xpeng, in a press release, said that the funding round led by IDG Capital, and backed up by strategic investors Tencent, and Alibaba, valued the robotics business more than $6 billion. The company stated that the proceeds would be used to develop robotics hardware and software, refine AI physical models, collect data of high quality, build end-to-end production facilities, and support international expansion. Xpeng will begin mass production of...

Copper prices fell on Thursday but remained?above $14,000 per metric ton, as increased inventories at the London Metal Exchange (LME), eased supply concerns, and countered the?support of sharp drops in the dollar. The benchmark three-month copper price on the LME fell 0.04% to $14,043.5 per ton at 0300 GMT. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract edged up 0.15% to 107140 yuan (15,934.20 USD) per ton. The LME copper stocks rose another 12,425 tons on Wednesday. This alleviated concerns about supply caused by outflows into the?U.S. Warehouses are being prepared in anticipation of a possible tariff on refined copper....

Two senior DFC executives said that the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation (DFC), is supporting a pipeline of African projects involving rare-earth elements, as private investors are reluctant to fund this sector. The DFC announced on Wednesday that it had committed $62.8 to rare-earth project in Malawi, Angola and Madagascar, but none of them has yet reached production. The majority of this funding, about $50 million, was allocated to the Phalaborwa Project in South Africa. It is backed by Dublin-based mining investors TechMet. One of the executives, who asked to remain anonymous because they weren't authorised for public discussion on...

Prices of copper fell on Wednesday as a large increase in warehouse stocks pushed supply concerns that had supported prices to the background. By 0300 GMT, the benchmark three-month copper contract on the London Metal Exchange was down 0.06% to $13,978 per metric tonne. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract fell by 1.02%, to 106 880 yuan per ton. Ed Meir, Marex consultant, wrote that copper was "tripped" by a surprise increase in inventories at the LME. The LME data on Tuesday and Monday showed total copper stock The number of large parcels delivered to warehouses increased by...

China is now a major swing?supplier for aluminium in a Western market reeling from the loss production in the Gulf due to the Iran War. The top aluminium producer in the world has increased exports of metals, alloys and semi-manufactured goods (semis) to help cushion the impact on the global supply chains. China views the timing as fortunate. The national production has reached record levels, despite a slowdown in domestic demand. While China's exports may have temporarily relieved the market, a long-term problem could be lurking. Mind the Tax Gap Tax code is the primary factor that determines the composition...

The fact that China's steel production dropped to its lowest level this year in July supports the idea that the world's second largest economy struggles for growth momentum. As usual, the devil lies in the details. Steel demand is unevenly distributed across the economy. The world's biggest producer of industrial metal saw its steel output fall to 76.93 metric?tons during July. This is a 3.6% drop from the same period in 2025, and it was the lowest July since 2017. China's first seven months of the year saw a production volume of 577.04 millions tons, down by 3.1% compared to...