China

Brent crude climbed to $100 per barrel Wednesday, keeping Asian stock markets calm as the attacks intensified in the Middle East. This stoked inflation fears ahead of closely-watched U.S. consumer price indices. As traders exited their short positions, the yen rose to a near seven-month high against the dollar. This was due to expectations of faster Bank of Japan rate hikes as well as a possible rush of Japanese capital repatriation. The euro climbed ahead of Thursday's European Central Bank policy announcement, as markets were expecting an increase amid inflationary pressures due to the Iran War. Iranian-backed Houthis launched attacks...

The calm on global markets was broken Monday and Tuesday as U.S. stocks returned from Labor Day holidays. A fresh surge in the Japanese yen brought it to its highest levels since February. This move was more of a repositioning before what appears to be a 'near certainty' Bank of Japan rate hike next week. The case for a BOJ interest rate increase was strengthened on Tuesday following an upgrade of Japan's second quarter GDP estimates, and the largest annual rise in real wages since five years. Recently, there have been rumors that the BOJ may consider a rate increase...

The yen soared and stocks fell on Tuesday after an attack on oil facilities in the Gulf drove crude to near $100 per barrel. Copper prices also hit record highs. Brent crude futures reached their highest level in six weeks, close to $99 per barrel, after Yemeni Houthis, who are backed by Iran, attacked energy facilities in Saudi Arabia and other cities. This highlights the danger of the conflict spreading across the region, and complicating fuel supply on world markets. Diesel prices have risen to record levels and gasoline prices are also higher than they were before the war. Even...

Brent crude, the global benchmark for oil prices, has risen this month. However it has remained below $100 per barrel despite the recent escalation of the U.S. - Iran conflict which has caused disruptions in Gulf exports via the Strait of Hormuz or the Red Sea. According to Argus, Crude Oil?shipments are now at 11 million barrels a day (bpd), down from 18 million bpd prior to the Iran War seven months ago. What are the factors that influence oil prices? SIGNIFICANT VOLUMES CAN FLOW?THROUGH HORMIZ Claudio Galimberti, Rystad's Chief Economical Officer, stated that in the week prior to fighting...

The yen surged Tuesday while Asian markets struggled to find direction due to a mix of regional economic data, and new 'Iranian' threats in the Persian Gulf. The Nikkei 225 index fluctuated between gains, losses and a slight gain of 0.2%. Meanwhile, the yen rose as high as 0.6% at 153.51, reaching its highest level since February 18. The KOSPI, MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan, was up 1.2%. S&P 500 futures fell 0.1% on Monday after the U.S. holiday. Westpac analysts stated that while U.S. Labor Day was a quieter week in terms of trading volume, the weekend...

Wayne Cole gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. The week has started with a mixed bag. While European and Wall Street futures barely moved, Asian shares were led higher by tech. Semiconductor stocks helped the Nikkei rise by 2%, and?South Korea?s Kospi rose around 3% to 6,900. Goldman Sachs has predicted a 75% increase in the Kospi, but this is a call that's been made for years. The fact that the U.S. has a holiday on Monday might make it easier to buy tech shares without fear of Wall Street crashing everything....

China's crude oil imports by sea increased in August compared to July, but were still nearly 40% below levels prior to the Iran conflict. According to Kpler, China's largest oil importer saw seaborne arrivals increase from 6.93 million barrels a day in July to?7.14 million bpd in August. August's imports fell by 4.27 % below the average of 11,41 million bpd during the three months preceding the U.S.-Israeli attack on Iran, which took place on February 28. China is absorbing the majority of the Middle East's lower crude oil volumes, as its exports are falling due to the restricted flow...

Bond yields fell on Thursday, as Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller's comments signaled a willingness for the Fed to be patient in raising interest rates. Waller said in remarks at a NEXT Newsmaker event that if upcoming data?confirmed?inflation pressures were cooling off, he was inclined to argue for keeping interest rates steady at the next policy meeting of the U.S. central bank. In remarks for a NEXT Newsmaker, Waller said that if upcoming data 'confirmed' a cooling of inflation pressures, he would be inclined to advocate keeping interest rates constant at the next meeting of the U.S. Central Bank. After...

Investors awaited new developments in the U.S. - Iran conflict and the Japanese yen rose sharply against U.S. dollars. The yen's move was not immediately apparent. Over the past month, the currency has retraced approximately half of its gains made following a rare joint action by the U.S. On Wednesday, the yen rose by 0.92% to 158.72 dollars. Treasury yields in the United States have fallen from their multi-year highs. The increase in borrowing costs in major economies has heightened concerns over tighter monetary policies and worsening fiscal conditions. Investors remain focused on Iran a day after U.S. airstrikes on...

Uganda named its blended crude grade "Pearl Sweet" on Wednesday, a major step in preparation for the planned commercial oil production by the East African nation at the end of this year. Uganda discovered commercial crude reserves in the Albertine Rift basin along its border with Democratic Republic of Congo two decades ago. The lack of infrastructure has repeatedly delayed commercial production, as have disagreements between government officials and international oil companies about development plans. The name was revealed by President Yoweri Mueveni at a ceremony held in the Kikuube District, located about 250 km (155 mi) west of Kampala....

The world stock market fell on Wednesday as fresh U.S. strikes on Iran pushed oil prices up to a five-week high, fueling inflation fears and extending the global bond saleoff. The U.S. attacked Iranian military targets near Strait of Hormuz while Tehran claimed it had targeted U.S. resources across the region. This was the largest exchange of fire for weeks. Brent crude futures rose 0.1% to $94.87 per barrel on fears of further disruptions in energy supplies. Kiran Ganesh is a multi-assets strategist at UBS Global Wealth Management. She said that the recent rise in energy prices had put further...

The dollar reached a two-week peak on Wednesday, as investors flocked to the U.S. dollar amid growing concerns over the impact of the energy crisis and diverging monetary policies?across major economies. After the largest exchange of fire for weeks, the U.S. and Iran were back in a war-like situation on Wednesday. The dollar tends to gain from higher oil costs because the U.S. is less vulnerable to energy shocks compared to other major economies. This attracts demand to the detriment of currencies like the euro and the yen. The Federal Reserve faces a growing threat of tightening policy in 2027,...

China's aluminum smelters are booming this year. Shanghai's aluminium price has risen to three-month highs. Raw material costs have been historically low, and margins remain strong. Each producer is encouraged to run their plant at full capacity. Indeed, national output has exceeded Beijing's 45-million-metric-ton capacity cap for the past couple of months, as smelters flex their full production ?potential. However, the mandated ceiling remains in place. Chinese producers have embraced this reality and are investing heavily in smelter projects abroad. While Donald Trump claims that the United States needs more aluminum "desperately", the world's biggest producer consolidates its position as...

The 'price of copper' continued to rise on Tuesday. It reached a record high on speculative purchases on the backs of tight supply outside the U.S. and weak mine production. In open-outcry official trading, three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange rose 1.3% to $14,503 per metric ton, breaking the previous record. LME copper is up 18% in this year. This is largely because a large amount of metal has been moving to the U.S., anticipating?tariffs to be imposed on refined copper. Alice Fox, an analyst at Macquarie, stated that falling inventories outside of the U.S. - including in China...

The dollar was weaker on Monday and the prospects of shortages outside the U.S. boosted the price of copper. The traders said that the U.S. holiday meant volumes would be muted and that they were focusing on copper and zinc. The benchmark copper price on the London Metal Exchange was 0.2% higher, at $14.443 per metric ton. It reached $14,467 earlier in trade, its highest level since January's all-time high of $14,527.50. Since President Donald Trump proposed import tariffs last February, traders and producers have shipped large amounts of copper to the U.S. Comex copper stock levels are at a...

Volkswagen announced on Monday a preliminary agreement that will see one of its German plants switch over to defense production. This is a major step in the automaker’s effort to restructure factories struggling to compete against lower-cost Chinese competitors. The deal could be a blueprint for other Volkswagen plants facing an uncertain future, as Europe's biggest carmaker embarks upon its largest ever restructuring in order to revive margins while combating chronic overcapacity on its stagnant European markets. Volkswagen, under the initial terms of this deal, will sell its Osnabrueck factory to Israel's Aurelius Capital, and Volkswagen's own state of Lower...

China's central banks increased its gold -purchases in August for the sixth consecutive month. This is the highest amount of bullion added to their?reserves? since October 2023. Gold holdings of the People's Bank of China rose from 76.08 to 76.73 millions fine troy-ounces by the end of August. The 650,000 ounce addition was slightly higher than the 640,000 added in July, and it is the largest monthly increase since October 20, 2023 when holdings increased by 740,000 pounds. Since March, when central?bank added 160,00 ounces of gold, the pace of 'purchases' has increased. In June, it added 480,000 ounces. China...

The U.S. Dollar's overnight drop has helped to offset the pressure of receding supply fears. By 0300 GMT, the benchmark three-month copper price on London Metal Exchange had risen 0.06% to $14,342 per metric tonne. This puts the metal on course to gain 0.03% in this week's trading, marking its tenth consecutive weekly gain. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract rose by 0.58%, to?109.170 yuan (16,254.73) per ton. After comments from Fed Governor Christopher Waller, the dollar fell overnight as expectations of a rate hike dwindled. CME's Fedwatch shows traders are now pricing in an even chance of...

Aluminium prices rose for the fifth consecutive session on Thursday. They reached their highest price in over three weeks due to tight supply and a weaker dollar. As of 1600 GMT, the benchmark three-month aluminum?on London Metal Exchange was up 0.8% to $3,308.50 per metric tonne. Metal prices had risen to $3,328.50 earlier today. This was the highest since August 12. EwaManthey, commodities analyst at ING, said: "Aluminium's price is being supported by tightening physical markets and the expectation of stronger seasonal demand in China." LME aluminium stocks The Shanghai Futures Exchange inventories of metals in China are at the...

A record low smelter treatment term, a year of underperformance by mines and a scramble to get metal at the London Metal Exchange. If you think this is the description of the copper markets, then think again. Zinc is under pressure now, even though copper may face a structural shortage in the future. LME zinc for three months hit a four-year-high of $3,990 per ton on Monday. LME stocks have remained low throughout the year. The registered inventory is 100,525?tons but nearly a third are in the form?cancelled warrants? awaiting physical loading-out. The time-spreads will be emphasized in a similar...

Copper and zinc were the two base metals that fell the most on Wednesday, as the conflict in the Middle East intensified. U.S. troops struck Iran, while Iranian forces fired at American bases throughout the region. This stoked fears of inflation due to higher oil prices. Benchmark three-month Copper on the London Metal Exchange fell by 1% to $14,133 per metric ton at 1007 GMT after reaching $14,092, which was its lowest level since August 21. Metal also fell below the support of the 21-day average price of $14,162. John Meyer, analyst at SP Angel, said that "all the base...

Copper and zinc declined?on Wednesday as a stronger dollar and concerns?of higher interest rates for longer weighed down on the wider industrial metals complex. This offset support from tight supply. The benchmark three-month copper price on the London Metal Exchange fell 0.86% to $14,152 per metric tonne by 0700 GMT. Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract fell by 1.35%, to 108.040 yuan (16,069.97 dollars) per ton. The dollar held steady after overnight gains as renewed hostilities erupted in the Middle East, pushing oil prices higher. Inflation concerns were revived and the bond market was sparked by a sale. Analysts...

Four sources said that the top?global aluminum producers offered Japanese buyers a premium of $310-$325 per metric tonne for primary metal shipments in October and December, down by 18%-22% on the current quarter. Japan is the largest importer of light metals, and the premiums it agrees to each quarter for primary metal shipments over the London Metal Exchange cash price are the benchmarks in the region. Japanese buyers had agreed to pay a premium of $395 per ton for the period July-September The increase was between 12% and 13% compared to the previous quarter. A source from a Japanese trading...

BHP's commercial officer Rag Udd will step down by the end of January in order to pursue a career outside the company. This was revealed in a memo sent out on Tuesday. The miner is now left with a difficult role -- negotiating iron-ore deals with China. Some analysts and investors had considered Udd as a candidate for the "top job" at BHP. Brandon Craig, who started in July, was given the position. According to the memo, Udd will have been working at BHP in Singapore for 30 years by the time he leaves. Udd?was responsible for BHP's negotiation with...