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Energy Markets

As NATO meets, oil prices are pushed up by tensions over the Hormuz region and AI concerns on Wall Street

Investors' worries about the?sustainability? of an AI rally coupled with renewed Middle East tensions drove oil prices up. The Nasdaq Composite, which is dominated by tech stocks, was down 0.61% at midday. Meanwhile the S&P 500 dropped 0.26% while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.33%. MSCI's global stock index was down by 0.49%. Samsung Electronics, the world's largest memory chipmaker, forecasted a 19-fold increase in its April-June operating profits to 89.4 trillion dollars. Rather than reassuring shareholders, the results triggered a sell-off in Samsung and rival SK Hynix. Investors are increasingly questioning whether artificial intelligence-related profit growth can be...






Energy Markets

Crude Oil

Crude Oil

Oil surges, stocks tumble as Trump declares Iran MOU 'over'

Oil prices rose by more than 5% Wednesday, while global stock and bond markets fell as investors fled risky assets after U.S. president Donald?Trump declared that the Gulf Conflict was over following the signing of a memorandum with Iran. Trump said that he didn't want to engage Tehran. He was speaking in Ankara, Turkey, ahead of the NATO summit. He said that dealing with Iran was a waste. After the U.S. and Iranian forces exchanged attacks in Gulf, market sentiment was already fragile. Brent crude futures jumped 5% to $78 per barrel, the biggest gain in a single day since...

Crude Oil

Oil jumps on Middle East attacks; tech stocks fall due to AI valuation concerns

Oil prices jumped by over 3% Wednesday, bond prices fell as U.S. sanctions against Iranian crude oil?threatened a ceasefire. Stocks wobbled due to concerns that the record AI rally might be losing its buyers. Brent crude futures rose 3.3% to $76.54 per barrel, the highest gain in a single day since May. Although this was far below the peak of $120 at the height of fighting, it was still enough to introduce a new inflation risk in the bond market. Jason Wong is a senior strategist with BNZ Wellington. "Obviously, the market does not like these attacks... But it's still...

Crude Oil

As oil prices rise, chip stocks continue to fall

On Wednesday, oil prices rose as U.S. sanctions against Iranian oil and renewed fighting in the Middle East threatened the ceasefire. Stocks were shaky because the record-breaking AI rally is running out of buyers. Brent crude futures rose 3.2% to $76.54 per barrel, which is still a far cry from the wartime peaks above $120, but it's enough to cause a stir in the bond markets by increasing inflation risks. This is especially true since months of conflict has reduced global inventories. Jason Wong is a senior strategist with BNZ Wellington. He said: "Obviously, the market does not like these...

Crude Oil

What is the ceasefire? What is a ceasefire?

Ankur Banerjee gives us a look at what the European and global markets will be like today. And then, 'like that' we are back to looking at shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz. A new round of tit for tit attacks has upended the tenuous U.S. - Iran ceasefire. This has clouded the long-term prospects of peace in the Middle East. Oil prices jumped 2% after investors worried about a slow recovery in Middle East supply. The U.S. has reimposed sanctions on Iran's crude oil sales, adding to the worries. Since the conflict began at the end of Feburary,...

Crude Oil

Oil prices rise and bonds fall as US strikes Iran

Bond futures fell and oil prices rose after the U.S. imposed trade sanctions on Iran following the attacks on tankers at the Strait of Hormuz. Stocks wobbled, as the momentum from the record-breaking AI rally waned. U.S. crude oil futures rose 2.7% to $72.40 per barrel, while 10-year Treasury futures fell seven ticks. Traders priced in the rising risk of inflation and interest rate increases. Jason Wong is a senior strategist with BNZ Wellington. He said that the market does not like these attacks, but it's still not in full panic mode. He said that the past few months have...

Crude Oil

Saudi Arabia cuts crude oil prices but is this enough? Russell

Saudi Aramco slashed crude oil prices in Asia for August-loading shipments, a move which appeared to indicate an intention?to recover market share and volumes after the Iran War. Even the record-breaking cut in the official?selling prices (OSPs) for August may not be sufficient, since crude oil from other Middle East producers and exporters from Africa and the Americas will likely remain more competitive than Saudi grades. Aramco, world's largest?oil exporter set its OSP at a $1.50 discount per barrel compared to the regional benchmark of Oman/Dubai for August. It was a drop of $11 per barrel from the OSP for...

Crude Oil

Saudi oil price reduction unlikely to convince Asia buyers who are already satisfied, traders say

Saudi Arabian crude sold to Asia has seen its price drop the most in'more than 20 years, but the grade is still more expensive to lift compared to some Gulf rivals. This reduces the appetite for oil from the OPEC linchpin. On Monday, the world's largest exporter cut the??official selling price (OSP), for its flagship Arab Light oil to $1.50 per barrel below the average Oman and Dubai quotations for Asia. This is a $11 reduction from the previous months. The OSPs of its four other grades were also reduced by $11 per barrel. The sudden shift is due to...

Crude Oil

Oil prices fall, but stocks rise as Iran and chips drive markets

Wall Street gained in the midday trade on Monday, largely due to continued optimism about chip stocks. Oil fell as a result of an expected surge in supply. All three major U.S. indexes rose in the early afternoon after European stocks had flirted earlier with'record peaks' before retreating, ahead of the crucial earnings season for AI. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 0.07% to 52,938.04, while the S&P 500 rose by 0.73% to 7,537.75, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 1.25% to 26,155.56. The MSCI index of global stocks rose 0.45% to 1,128.87. Global AI continued to dominate the markets. South...

Heating Oil

China will cut retail prices of gasoline and diesel to levels similar to those before the war

China will lower its domestic retail prices of gasoline and diesel starting Saturday. This is due to a drop in oil prices internationally, as the?Iran-U.S. Peace talks have eased concerns about a disruption of supply through?the Strait of Hormuz. This reduction follows two cuts made in a single month to the official price cap, which determines the maximum retail price. This is the biggest drop in China's fuel prices since more than six-years. Retail?fuel costs are now less than 2% higher than they were before U.S. and Israeli airstrikes started the?Iran War at the end February. In a notice, the...

Crude Oil

Asian markets gain footing after US PMIs and jobs data lift stocks

Stocks rose in the Asian session on Friday, after a lukewarm U.S. jobs report cast doubts over the prospects of a Federal Reserve rate hike. Regional activity gauges also pointed to an expansionary economy during June. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan, which had been in decline for two days straight, rose 2.2% after a shaky beginning. South Korea's Kospi fluctuated between gains and losses before surging by more than 6%, as buyers snapped up battered chipset stocks. S&P 500 futures rose by 0.4% while Japan's Nikkei reversed its early losses and traded 1.2% higher. The latest data from...

Crude Oil

MORNING BID-Churning Chips

What is important in the U.S. and international markets today by Mike Dolan Editor-at-Large of Finance and Markets The?U.S. The?U.S. It's not wise to read too much into the market movements this week due to the short week, the quarter-end trading quirks, and the looming payrolls reports, but there does seem to be some profit-taking going on, as well as portfolio reshuffling. Below, I'll go into more detail. Check out my column about the seemingly unstoppable growth of the U.S. economic over the last 17 years, and how it has affected the bull market in equity. Listen to the Morning...

Crude Oil

Singapore's oil products inventories fall to a two-week low

Official data on Thursday showed that oil product inventories in Singapore, a key trading hub in Asia, have eased after a recovery last week. This was primarily due to a drop in stocks across the barrel. Enterprise Singapore's data shows that the combined onshore oil products stocks were 40.45 millions barrels during the week ending July 1, a decrease of 4.1% compared to last week. The weekly average for June was 37.5 million barrels. Following an interim agreement between the U.S.A. and Iran, the markets are preparing for a gradual improvement in supply as more ships begin to leave the...

Refined Products

Refined Products

Can it deliver? Who will buy and how much crude oil can OPEC+ increase? Russell

Two questions are raised by the decision of OPEC+, to increase crude production quotas a fifth consecutive month? from August. Who will purchase the product if they are able to ship it? At a Sunday meeting, the'seven core members' of OPEC+ (which groups together OPEC, as well as other producers like Russia) agreed to increase quotas - by 188,000 barrels a day starting August. This will bring the 'total increase since April to nearly 800,000 bpd. The first question can be answered positively if the Strait of Hormuz remains open and the volume of water flowing through the narrow waterway...

Oil & Gas Refining

Sources say that Hengli China has cut its oil production and ceased to purchase oil from the Middle East, West Africa, and West African countries.

Five trade sources have confirmed that China's Hengli Petrochemical has cancelled its recent purchases of non-Iranian oil. This forced the company to further cut back on refinery operations as the inventory was running low. The strange cancellations came just a few weeks after reports that the refiner had purchased cargos from West Africa, the Middle East and other parts of the world to avoid Washington's list. Three sources briefed about the issue said that the refiner had cancelled at least six million barrels. They said that 2 million barrels (of West African oil) were delivered last month to storage tanks...

Refined Products

Russell: Crude oil imports to Asia from the ROI grew in June, but there is still uncertainty.

Asia's crude oil imports by sea rose slightly in June, but they remained near their lowest levels?in over a decade due to the Iran conflict which crimped Middle East shipments. Data from commodity analysts Kpler show that the top importing region is expected to receive 20,71 million barrels of oil per day in June. This is up a fraction from the 20.39 million barrels of oil per day in May and almost 2 million more than the 18,77 million bpd received in April. The imports of Asia remain well below the average 26.79 millions bpd for the three-month period prior...

Mining

Mineral Resources

Mineral Resources

India Silver Import Curbs Create Shortages, Push Premiums to Six-Month High

India's import restrictions have caused shortages on the world's largest market for precious metals, driving premiums up to their highest levels in six months despite a weaker than usual demand. India's lower imports, which meet more than 80% its silver demand by purchasing it overseas, could have a negative impact on the global price of silver, as well as help narrow its trade deficit and reduce pressure on its currency, the rupee. Chirag Thakkar, the chief executive officer of Amrapali Group Gujarat - a major silver importer - said that "Silver Imports are almost at a standstill, creating a severe...

Mineral Resources

Aluminium gains in renewed Middle East combat

Aluminum gained on Wednesday as a result of'renewed tensions in the Middle East' after 'fresh U.S. attacks on Iranian targets threatened derailment of a fragile ceasefire. As of 0700 GMT, the benchmark three-month aluminum?on London Metal Exchange was?up by 0.33% to $3,148 per metric ton. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded aluminium contract rose by 0.68%, to 23,075 Yuan ($3,394.38) per ton. The rise in prices comes after the latest U.S. airstrikes on Iranian targets, and projectiles have 'hit ships in the Strait of Hormuz. This could undermine efforts to restore a?normal supply? in the region. Around 9% of the...

Mineral Resources

Aluminum rises after US-Iran ceasefire test

Aluminum prices rose on Wednesday as concerns about supply and risk increased after the new tests of the fragile U.S. Iran ceasefire. By 0300 GMT, benchmark three-month aluminum on the London Metal Exchange had increased by 0.61% to $3,156.5 per metric ton. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded aluminium contract was up 0.72% to 23,085 Yuan ($3,396.60). The latest U.S. strike on Iranian targets following projectiles hitting ships in the Strait of Hormuz threatens to generate once again a?supply-risk that had been largely dissipated after last month's truce deal. Around 9% of the world's aluminium smelting is done in the...

Mineral Resources

Andy Home: The new metals trading environment is a result of the breakout in Shanghai nickel.

Metals trading and the world it operates in is constantly changing. Political and military conflict has shattered what was once a highly globalised supply chain into regionally different parts. Metals are moving away from the single benchmark global set by the 149-year old London Metal Exchange (LME), which is now owned by Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing. This changing reality is evident in the opening of the Shanghai Futures Exchange (ShFE) nickel contract for overseas firms. Shanghai has already become the leading force in China in terms of establishing benchmark metals price in its domestic market. ShFE wants to expand...

Mineral Resources

Aluminum prices rise on Middle East tensions

Aluminum prices increased on Tuesday, as markets considered the potential for a tightening of supply amid Middle East tensions. Benchmark 'three-month' aluminium at the London Metal Exchange rose 0.5% by 1009 GMT to $3,129 per metric ton, nearing resistance from the 200-day average of $3,161. A ship was struck overnight in the Strait of Hormuz, and Iran announced that there would be no peace talks unless Donald Trump stopped threatening to restart war. As optimism grew over the prospect of Gulf supply via Hormuz, aluminum prices fell 16% in June, their biggest monthly drop since 2008. Aluminium is still oversold...

Mineral Resources

China's gold reserves have risen the most since 2023, despite a decline in bullion.

Official data released on Tuesday showed that China's central banks reported its biggest monthly increase in gold reserves for more than two and a half years in June, even though bullion prices fell. The People's Bank of China reported that the central bank of China continued to purchase gold for the 20th consecutive month. Its reserves reached 75.44 million fine troy ounces at the end of the month compared to 74.96 million a month before. This was the largest monthly increase since October 2023 when the holdings increased by 740,000 pounds. Data showed that the value of gold reserves in...

Mineral Resources

China's CATL obtains safety permit for restarting production at flagship lithium Mine

CATL, a Chinese company, has received a safety production permit for the flagship Jianxiawo Mine. This is a major regulatory hurdle that will allow production to resume after a nearly year-long suspension. According to Credit China, an official website that tracks corporate and individual compliance, the Chinese battery giant obtained the permit on 29 June. It will be valid until 27 February 2028. CATL announced in August that it had ceased operations at the Jianxiawo Mine, located in eastern China's Yuchun city, when its previous license expired. The stoppage triggered a temporary rise in the price of lithium futures, and...

Mineral Resources

Aluminum up as the focus returns to shortages and sliding stocks

Prices of aluminium rose on Monday, as attention shifted back to forecasts about shortages caused by disruptions in Middle East supplies and shrinking stocks. Benchmark Aluminium on the London Metal Exchange was up by 0.8% at $3,115 per metric ton?at 1603 GMT. It fell to $3,040 - the lowest level since February 19 - as optimism grew over a possible resumption in Middle East supplies. The Middle East is home to 9% of the world's aluminium smelting capacities. Even if the Strait of Hormuz is reopened, this market will still see a deficit in 2018. Macquarie analysts expect Middle East...

Mineral Resources

Andy Home: War and peace will have a major impact on the first half of 2026 for metals traded at the LME.

Operation Epic Fury, which was launched at the end February, quelled the early-year euphoria of copper and tin. Since then, the Iran war has been the main topic of discussion. This has made it difficult for traders to make sense of the headlines because they are so confusing. It seems that the Strait of Hormuz has entered a quantum world in which it is simultaneously open and closed, depending on who is speaking at any particular point?in time. Vanda Insights, a provider of oil market analyses, founded by?Vandana hari, says Schrodinger Strait is "continuing to reopen, but it's patchy and...

Mineral Resources

Australia warns of risk to iron ore prices from China's state buyer

A report released by the Australian government on Friday stated that efforts made by China's iron ore buyer, which is backed by its state, to reduce?costs of Chinese steel mills could push prices down in the medium-term. This was a rare admission that such activities may affect earnings. Iron ore is Australia's largest export. It contributes significantly to the government's revenue. China purchases roughly three quarters of all seaborne trade. In its Resources and Energy Quarterly Report, the Department of Industry, Science and Resources said that state-backed China Mineral Resources Group has increased activity 'in the iron ore markets this...

Mineral Resources

Aluminium prices fall as supply prospects improve

Aluminum prices dropped on Thursday, as improved supply expectations overshadowed the support of resilient manufacturing data. Benchmark -three-month aluminum on the London Metal Exchange fell 0.46% to $3,062 per metric tonne by 0700 GMT. It fell to $3,040 a metric tonne earlier in the day, its lowest level since February 19. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded aluminium contract fell 0.38%, to 22,400 Yuan ($3,300.09). Emirates Global Aluminium announced that it would be able to restore production at its Al Taweelah Complex - one the largest aluminium production facilities in the world - sooner than expected, signaling an "improving outlook"...

Mineral Resources

Manufacturing strength is a key factor in the rise of aluminium

Aluminum prices edged higher on Thursday as signs of strength in the manufacturing industry supported their rise. Benchmark?aluminium for three months on the London Metal Exchange rose 0.59% to $3,094 per metric ton by 0300 GMT. The most-traded aluminum contract at the Shanghai Futures Exchange increased 0.09%, to 22,505 Yuan ($3,316.83). The manufacturing strength was evident in the prices of light metals used for transport, packaging, and construction. China, Europe, and the U.S. released data on Wednesday that showed manufacturing strength, despite higher input prices. The price of aluminium has dropped in the past two weeks due to the peace...