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Fossil Fuels

Refined Products

Sinopec Research: China's oil demand will fall by 8.9% in 2026

According to Sinopec, the research arm, China's oil consumption is expected to decline by 600,000 bbls per day or 8.9% in 2026. This will be the third consecutive annual decline, as high oil prices have curtailed consumption and electric vehicles are becoming more popular. The?decrease in oil demand, or a?long-term decline in consumption at?the largest oil importer in the world, has played a?key role in limiting China's crude oil imports and global prices despite the severe?disruption of supplies via the Strait?of Hormuz because?of the Iran war. The consumption of gasoline and diesel is expected to decline by 8.7% and 11,4%...

Oil & Gas Refining

Russia's EV sales are expected to double this summer, as drivers face fuel shortages

Data from the analytical agency Autostat revealed that new electric vehicle sales in Russia have more than doubled during the summer months as shortages caused a result of Ukrainian attacks on refineries, boosted demand for alternatives to cars powered by combustion engines. The data provided showed that sales of new plug-in or electric hybrid passenger cars were mainly manufactured in China. They reached 26,543 units from June to August of this year. This is up from 12,187 units during the same period in 2025. Kyiv's attacks on major Russian refineries intensified in early June. They forced some to stop operations...

Fossil Fuels

These power and cooling companies are also riding the data centre boom, which is worth trillions of dollars.

Nvidia may be synonymous with AI, but a group of lesser-known power and cooling equipment providers is cashing in as developers rush to avoid infrastructure bottlenecks. The energy-hungry data centers have created a surge of demand for equipment from transformers to advanced cooling systems. This has created winners throughout Asia's supply chains, though earlier stock price gains have moderated. McKinsey predicts that data centres will be worth $7 trillion by 2030. Nvidia said 'last week' it expected AI spending to continue for many years. It is getting harder to build data centres quickly enough to meet the demand. According to...

Fossil Fuels

These power and cooling companies are also riding the data centre boom, which is worth trillions of dollars.

Nvidia may be synonymous with AI, but a group of lesser-known power and cooling equipment providers is taking advantage of a global construction frenzy as developers rush to avoid infrastructure bottlenecks. The energy-hungry data centers have created a?surge in demand for equipment from transformers and advanced cooling systems. This has resulted in?winners throughout Asia's supply chains, although earlier stock price gains have moderated. McKinsey predicts that nearly $7 trillion will be invested in data centres worldwide by 2030. Nvidia said last week it expects AI expenditures to continue for many years. It is getting harder to build data centres quickly...

Oil & Gas

These power and cooling companies are also riding the data centre boom, which is worth trillions of dollars.

Nvidia may be synonymous with AI, but a group of lesser-known power and cooling equipment providers is also cashing in on the global data center construction boom as developers rush to avoid infrastructure bottlenecks. The energy-hungry data centers have created a surge of demand for equipment from transformers to advanced cooling systems. This has created winners throughout Asia's supply chains, though earlier stock price gains have moderated. McKinsey predicts that data centres will be worth $7 trillion by 2030. Nvidia said last week it expected AI spending to continue for many years. It is getting harder to build data centres...

Fossil Fuels

Can the Middle East help with Asia's low refined fuel imports? Russell

The Iranian conflict has continued to affect the supply of refined petroleum products in Asia. In August, the region that consumes the most refined fuels saw its imports drop to their lowest level since the start of the war. Asia's imports of light and medium distillates were estimated at 5,10 million barrels a day (bpd), down from 5,61 million bpd during July, according to Kpler data, a commodities analyst. Imports are down by about 2 million bpd, compared to the 7.06 million bpd average in the three months prior to February 28, when Israel and the U.S. launched airstrikes against...

Oil & Gas Refining

The death toll in the fire at Russia's Amur Gas Chemical Complex has reached 15

The 'Amur Gas Chemical Complex', located in Russia's Far East, announced on Thursday that the death toll from a fire which broke out earlier this week was now 15. The plant announced on Wednesday that six Chinese citizens were among the seven victims of the fire. In a Thursday?Telegram, it said that 14 of the 15 victims were foreigners without revealing their nationalities. The report said that 39 people are still?in hospital, nine of whom were airlifted to Moscow. The complex is a joint venture between Sinopec and Sibur, a Chinese oil and gas firm. It claims to be one...

Fossil Fuels

OPEC+ loses influence in Iran War as China gains influence

Six months after the 'Iran War,' the world’s most powerful oil coalition, OPEC+ finds itself in a new position. It is unable to influence a marketplace it?once shaped. The war has eroded OPEC's share of the market and its ability to influence prices. The group's policy decisions and statements barely affect oil markets any more. Analysts describe the worst ever supply disruption as a major factor in balancing oil markets. OPEC+, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (and its allies, including Russia), accounted for 40% of the global oil production in July. Calculations based on data from the International...

Fossil Fuels

Six Chinese among seven dead in Russian gas plant explosion

The?plant reported on Wednesday that six Chinese nationals have died and nine others are missing following a fire at a complex of gas chemicals in Russia's Amur region. The plant reported on Telegram that seven people had died, 152 were injured, and 36 were taken to hospitals. It added that the fire that broke out on Tuesday was extinguished. A plane from the emergency services arrived to transport injured patients to hospitals across Russia. This complex is a joint venture between Sinopec and Sibur, a Chinese oil and gas company, and Russian company Sibur. It bills itself as the largest...

Oil & Gas

Sources say that QatarEnergy and Iraq's SOMO offer to load crude oil inside Hormuz through tenders.

Multiple trade sources reported on Monday that 'Iraqi state oil marketer SOMO and QatarEnergy are offering crude in rare tenders which require buyers to load their cargoes within the Strait of Hormuz. Sources said that SOMO offered September-loading Basrah Medium or Basrah Heavy Crude from Iraq's Basrah Oil Terminal or Single Point Mooring?and its related facilities. Iran's official news agency IRNA said that Baghdad had repeatedly requested permission to allow a number of Iraqi tankers to cross the Strait of Hormuz. The bids for Iraqi oil will close on the 26th of August. QatarEnergy, in addition to SOMO, has also...

Oil & Gas Refining

Sinopec China opens high-end PVA factory, aims to import substitution

Sinopec, a Chinese oil company, announced on Monday that it has opened a polyvinyl ethanol (PVA), resin plant in Chongqing. This will help China reduce its dependency on imported materials. The 50,000-metric-ton-per-year plant, operated by Sinopec Chongqing SVW Chemical Co, raises the site's total PVA capacity to 210,000 tons a year, ?Sinopec said in a statement. PVA is an?water-soluble biodegradable polymer that's used in a wide range of products, from face masks to high-value applications such as photovoltaics, electronics, and pharmaceuticals. The company stated that the expansion will make the Chongqing site the largest single-site production facility for 'high-end PVA'...

Fossil Fuels

ADNOC will switch the oil price benchmark from Murban to Platts-Dubai.

Abu Dhabi National Oil Co announced on Friday that it will switch the benchmark for'monthly official sales prices for all crude grades to Platts Dubai Platts 'pricing derived from Murban -crude -futures starting November 1. ADNOC said that the change will bring ADNOC OSPs closer to the month when cargoes are loaded. The change applies to Abu Dhabi crude grades onshore and off shore, including Murban Das, Umm Lulu, and Upper Zakum. ADNOC will announce differentials from Dubai?quotes in the month prior to cargoes loading. ADNOC stated that the new pricing mechanism "reinforces ADNOC’s commitment to price transparency for its...

Crude Oil

Crude Oil

MORNING BID EUROPE-$100 Brent in sight, yen defies gravity

Kevin Buckland gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. Brent crude is on the verge of hitting $100 per barrel. This was a level that was last seen at the end of July as renewed fighting in the Middle East has fuelled fears that the conflict may spiral out into a wider regional war. This backdrop is limiting the risk appetite on Asian equity markets - at least in'stocks' that are not part of the AI trade. The yen has refused to follow its usual pattern. The yen is not following the usual...

Crude Oil

Oil prices to hit $100; Asia stock markets fall as Middle East tensions increase

Brent crude climbed to $100 per barrel Wednesday, keeping Asian stock markets calm as the attacks intensified in the Middle East. This stoked inflation fears ahead of closely-watched U.S. consumer price indices. As traders exited their short positions, the yen rose to a near seven-month high against the dollar. This was due to expectations of faster Bank of Japan rate hikes as well as a possible rush of Japanese capital repatriation. The euro climbed ahead of Thursday's European Central Bank policy announcement, as markets were expecting an increase amid inflationary pressures due to the Iran War. Iranian-backed Houthis launched attacks...

Crude Oil

AMERICAS Yen MORNING BID at Work

The calm on global markets was broken Monday and Tuesday as U.S. stocks returned from Labor Day holidays. A fresh surge in the Japanese yen brought it to its highest levels since February. This move was more of a repositioning before what appears to be a 'near certainty' Bank of Japan rate hike next week. The case for a BOJ interest rate increase was strengthened on Tuesday following an upgrade of Japan's second quarter GDP estimates, and the largest annual rise in real wages since five years. Recently, there have been rumors that the BOJ may consider a rate increase...

Mining

Mineral Resources

Mineral Resources

Andy Home: China's aluminium dominance is not limited to its home market.

China's aluminum smelters are booming this year. Shanghai's aluminium price has risen to three-month highs. Raw material costs have been historically low, and margins remain strong. Each producer is encouraged to run their plant at full capacity. Indeed, national output has exceeded Beijing's 45-million-metric-ton capacity cap for the past couple of months, as smelters flex their full production ?potential. However, the mandated ceiling remains in place. Chinese producers have embraced this reality and are investing heavily in smelter projects abroad. While Donald Trump claims that the United States needs more aluminum "desperately", the world's biggest producer consolidates its position as...

Mineral Resources

Copper prices record high due to weak supply outside US

The 'price of copper' continued to rise on Tuesday. It reached a record high on speculative purchases on the backs of tight supply outside the U.S. and weak mine production. In open-outcry official trading, three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange rose 1.3% to $14,503 per metric ton, breaking the previous record. LME copper is up 18% in this year. This is largely because a large amount of metal has been moving to the U.S., anticipating?tariffs to be imposed on refined copper. Alice Fox, an analyst at Macquarie, stated that falling inventories outside of the U.S. - including in China...

Mineral Resources

Copper prices set to reach record highs, but focus is on limited supplies outside US

The dollar was weaker on Monday and the prospects of shortages outside the U.S. boosted the price of copper. The traders said that the U.S. holiday meant volumes would be muted and that they were focusing on copper and zinc. The benchmark copper price on the London Metal Exchange was 0.2% higher, at $14.443 per metric ton. It reached $14,467 earlier in trade, its highest level since January's all-time high of $14,527.50. Since President Donald Trump proposed import tariffs last February, traders and producers have shipped large amounts of copper to the U.S. Comex copper stock levels are at a...

Mineral Resources

Volkswagen finds defence future for German plant amid major overhaul

Volkswagen announced on Monday a preliminary agreement that will see one of its German plants switch over to defense production. This is a major step in the automaker’s effort to restructure factories struggling to compete against lower-cost Chinese competitors. The deal could be a blueprint for other Volkswagen plants facing an uncertain future, as Europe's biggest carmaker embarks upon its largest ever restructuring in order to revive margins while combating chronic overcapacity on its stagnant European markets. Volkswagen, under the initial terms of this deal, will sell its Osnabrueck factory to Israel's Aurelius Capital, and Volkswagen's own state of Lower...

Mineral Resources

China's central banks continues to increase gold purchases in August

China's central banks increased its gold -purchases in August for the sixth consecutive month. This is the highest amount of bullion added to their?reserves? since October 2023. Gold holdings of the People's Bank of China rose from 76.08 to 76.73 millions fine troy-ounces by the end of August. The 650,000 ounce addition was slightly higher than the 640,000 added in July, and it is the largest monthly increase since October 20, 2023 when holdings increased by 740,000 pounds. Since March, when central?bank added 160,00 ounces of gold, the pace of 'purchases' has increased. In June, it added 480,000 ounces. China...

Mineral Resources

The soft dollar sets off a 10-week streak of saving copper

The U.S. Dollar's overnight drop has helped to offset the pressure of receding supply fears. By 0300 GMT, the benchmark three-month copper price on London Metal Exchange had risen 0.06% to $14,342 per metric tonne. This puts the metal on course to gain 0.03% in this week's trading, marking its tenth consecutive weekly gain. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract rose by 0.58%, to?109.170 yuan (16,254.73) per ton. After comments from Fed Governor Christopher Waller, the dollar fell overnight as expectations of a rate hike dwindled. CME's Fedwatch shows traders are now pricing in an even chance of...

Mineral Resources

Aluminium reaches a three-week high due to tight supply and a weaker dollar

Aluminium prices rose for the fifth consecutive session on Thursday. They reached their highest price in over three weeks due to tight supply and a weaker dollar. As of 1600 GMT, the benchmark three-month aluminum?on London Metal Exchange was up 0.8% to $3,308.50 per metric tonne. Metal prices had risen to $3,328.50 earlier today. This was the highest since August 12. EwaManthey, commodities analyst at ING, said: "Aluminium's price is being supported by tightening physical markets and the expectation of stronger seasonal demand in China." LME aluminium stocks The Shanghai Futures Exchange inventories of metals in China are at the...

Mineral Resources

Andy Home: The squeeze on zinc at the LME and ROI signals a deepening of supply risks in the West

A record low smelter treatment term, a year of underperformance by mines and a scramble to get metal at the London Metal Exchange. If you think this is the description of the copper markets, then think again. Zinc is under pressure now, even though copper may face a structural shortage in the future. LME zinc for three months hit a four-year-high of $3,990 per ton on Monday. LME stocks have remained low throughout the year. The registered inventory is 100,525?tons but nearly a third are in the form?cancelled warrants? awaiting physical loading-out. The time-spreads will be emphasized in a similar...

Mineral Resources

As tensions in the Middle East escalate, copper is leading base metals to fall.

Copper and zinc were the two base metals that fell the most on Wednesday, as the conflict in the Middle East intensified. U.S. troops struck Iran, while Iranian forces fired at American bases throughout the region. This stoked fears of inflation due to higher oil prices. Benchmark three-month Copper on the London Metal Exchange fell by 1% to $14,133 per metric ton at 1007 GMT after reaching $14,092, which was its lowest level since August 21. Metal also fell below the support of the 21-day average price of $14,162. John Meyer, analyst at SP Angel, said that "all the base...

Mineral Resources

Strong dollar weighs down on industrial metals, causing copper and zinc to fall

Copper and zinc declined?on Wednesday as a stronger dollar and concerns?of higher interest rates for longer weighed down on the wider industrial metals complex. This offset support from tight supply. The benchmark three-month copper price on the London Metal Exchange fell 0.86% to $14,152 per metric tonne by 0700 GMT. Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract fell by 1.35%, to 108.040 yuan (16,069.97 dollars) per ton. The dollar held steady after overnight gains as renewed hostilities erupted in the Middle East, pushing oil prices higher. Inflation concerns were revived and the bond market was sparked by a sale. Analysts...

Mineral Resources

Sources say that aluminium producers are offering Japanese buyers lower Q4 premiums.

Four sources said that the top?global aluminum producers offered Japanese buyers a premium of $310-$325 per metric tonne for primary metal shipments in October and December, down by 18%-22% on the current quarter. Japan is the largest importer of light metals, and the premiums it agrees to each quarter for primary metal shipments over the London Metal Exchange cash price are the benchmarks in the region. Japanese buyers had agreed to pay a premium of $395 per ton for the period July-September The increase was between 12% and 13% compared to the previous quarter. A source from a Japanese trading...

Mineral Resources

BHP's Chief Commercial Officer to Step Down in January, Internal Memo shows

BHP's commercial officer Rag Udd will step down by the end of January in order to pursue a career outside the company. This was revealed in a memo sent out on Tuesday. The miner is now left with a difficult role -- negotiating iron-ore deals with China. Some analysts and investors had considered Udd as a candidate for the "top job" at BHP. Brandon Craig, who started in July, was given the position. According to the memo, Udd will have been working at BHP in Singapore for 30 years by the time he leaves. Udd?was responsible for BHP's negotiation with...