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Crude Oil

Crude Oil

Bitcoin continues to grow despite US sanctions against Iran

Investors regained calm in the global bond and share markets on Tuesday, as they shrugged off U.S. sanctions plans against Iran. They began to prepare for Nvidia's earnings report due out Wednesday. U.S. Treasury secretary?Scott Bessent warned countries to cut financial ties with Iran on Monday or face secondary sanctions. However, the Treasury Department did not actually impose penalties. The news prompted a slight drop in oil prices as well as the benchmark government bond yields. This was also aided by the report that the U.S. Treasury may use its cash account to fund increased U.S. Debt Buybacks. Wall Street...

Crude Oil

Bitcoin continues to grow despite US sanctions against Iran

Investors in global share and bond markets were calmer on Tuesday, as they shrugged off U.S. plans to extend sanctions against Iran?and started preparing for the results of Nvidia, the world's most valuable company. U.S. Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent warned on Monday that countries would face secondary sanctions if they did not cut financial ties to Iran as part of the "economic D-Day," which was dubbed by some as an "economic D-Day." However, the Treasury Department stopped just short of imposing actual penalties. The report that the U.S. Treasury may use its cash account to fund increased U.S. government debt...

Crude Oil

Oil wobbles as shares drift ahead of Nvidia earnings

After the U.S.'s "economic D-Day", sanctions against Iran, turned out to not be as severe as they had feared. U.S. Treasury rates are down from their recent highs after a report stating that the Treasury Department may tap into its cash account to fund increased debt buybacks. This could reduce the requirement for additional short-term bill sales. Investors are well aware of the high expectations that Nvidia will have to meet. Analysts expect quarterly revenues to nearly double, to $92 billion. Full-year earnings are expected to range between $103 billion and $105 billion. "Those are high expectations that must be...

Crude Oil

Russell: Iran's response to D-Day sanctions is crucial.

Scott Bessent, U.S. Treasury secretary, invoked the 1944 D-Day landings of Allied forces in?France when announcing sanctions against Iran. The measures taken are superior to the much less successful Anzio Beachhead landing in Italy, which was another amphibious landing during World War II. Anzio was a battle that began with a successful landing of the Allies, but a lack of leadership led to the campaign stalling and turning into a long campaign of attrition. Bessent’s new measures are designed to choke Iran economically. They target companies and countries that do business with Iran in five different sectors: digital assets, technology...

Crude Oil

Morning Bid Europe-Mixing trade wars, economic wars and actual warfare

Wayne Cole gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. Investors are awaiting details about President Trump's economic 'war' on Iran. This has led to a nervous start for the Asian markets. The main move was a drop of 1.5% in the oil price. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent will hold a press briefing at 2 pm EST (1800 GMT) on Wednesday to announce even more severe economic sanctions against a country which has been subjected to near-continuous sanctions since 1979's Islamic Revolution. Trump said that sanctions would also be imposed on any country that...

Heating Oil

Russell: The debate over the volume of crude oil in Hormuz hides a real shortage of refined fuels

The crude oil market is currently debating the wrong issue about how much oil actually moves through the Strait of Hormuz. Instead, it should focus on the restricted flows of'refined products' around Asia. Energy Secretary Chris Wright of the U.S. has claimed repeatedly that vessel tracking analysts such as Kpler cannot see how much crude oil is flowing through the disputed Strait. Wright claimed that 15 million barrels of oil per day (bpd), or about 500,000 barrels a day, left the Strait of?Hormuz in a single day last week. If true, this would bring the volumes to?what they were before...

Crude Oil

Global stock markets close out a difficult week as oil and bond yields remain high

The global stock market was headed for a largely lower week last Friday as the strain on the global bond markets did not show any signs of easing and the diplomatic deadlock over the Gulf pushed oil prices up to a one-month high. The yields on U.S. government bonds resumed their rise after the surprise intervention by the Treasury on Wednesday. This was barely a relief from selling that had been sparked primarily by fears of inflation and fiscal pressures. The increase came as?U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent suggested that the government could increase its repurchases and also floated the...

Crude Oil

MORNING BID AMERICA-Bonds Out, Robots In

What's important in U.S. and Global Markets Today By Mike Dolan, Editor at Large, Finance and Markets Bond storm calmed down overnight, but equity markets were still bruised. A tense calm is hanging over the markets as U.S. Treasury prepares for a sale of 20-year bonds later on Wednesday. The minutes of the Federal Reserve split meeting held in July could also help to resolve some of this uncertainty about the central bank's view on persistently high inflation. Below, I'll go into more detail. Check out my mid-week article, in which I discuss diversification away from AI, and much more....

Crude Oil

Stocks fall but bond sales slow down

On Wednesday, global bond yields were at their highest level in decades as fears of a swelling sovereign debt drove borrowing costs up and roiled stock markets around the world. U.S. stock futures and European stock futures wiggled around 0.2% lower in the Asia session. Japan's Nikkei dropped 3.3% and South Korea's KOSPI fell nearly 6% as Wall Street's selling of'semiconductor' stocks spilled into Asia. The yield of the U.S. Long Bond has remained stable at around 5.27%, after reaching its highest level in almost 20 years on February 2, 5.3371%. German and French debt were also stable following a...

Crude Oil

Bonds selloff slows, but stocks wobble

On Wednesday, global bond yields were at their highest level in decades as fears of a swelling sovereign debt drove borrowing costs up and roiled stock markets around the world. On Tuesday, the yield on the U.S.?bond reached its highest level in almost 20 years, at 5.3371%. It then settled around 5.28% on Wednesday in?Asia. The yields on the 10-year and 30-year 'bonds have reached their highest levels since 2011. The yield on the?French?30-year bond has risen by nearly 50 basis points from June's end, and Japan's formerly zero 10-year bond is now approaching 3%. Investors are worried that policymakers...

Crude Oil

Nasdaq falls, yields rise as Mideast conflict fears increase

The yields on U.S. government bonds eased a little bit on Tuesday. However, longer-dated yields remain near multi-year highs. Earlier in the day, the 30-year Treasury yield had reached a level that was not seen since 2007. Fears of an escalating Middle East?conflict have fueled inflation concerns and put pressure on stocks. Oil prices rose for the third consecutive session as prospects of a U.S. - Iranian peace deal dimmed. Tehran announced it would take a more aggressive stance, and Washington said that it wouldn't extend a ceasefire agreement. U.S. crude climbed 0.82%, to $85.17 per barrel. Brent was up...

Crude Oil

As fears of a Mideast conflict grow, stocks are falling and yields rising.

?U.S. Government bond yields eased on Tuesday. However, longer-dated yields remain near multi-year-highs. The 30-year Treasury yield had earlier reached a level not seen since 2007. Fears of a Middle East conflict that escalated fueled inflation fears and weighed heavily on stocks. Brent crude reached its highest level since late last week after Washington and Tehran's latest signals crushed hopes for an imminent resolution to the conflict. U.S. crude climbed 0.3% to $84.75 per barrel while Brent dropped to $90.79, a 0.09% drop on the day. The yields on Treasury bonds have increased despite recent soft economic data in the...

Mining

Mining

Copper prices fall on stronger dollar and uncertainty about U.S. rates

Copper prices fell on Tuesday due to a stronger dollar and the uncertainty surrounding U.S. rates of interest. Benchmark three-month?copper?on the London Metal Exchange?was down 0.2% to $14,245.50 per metric ton at 0915 GMT after adding 0.4% during the previous session. EwaManthey, commodities analyst at ING, said that the recent drop in copper is more of a cooling down from an extreme situation than a deterioration of 'fundamentals. Investors are awaiting new policy signals from the U.S., but the LME inventory levels have reduced the current tightness. Stocks in warehouses are not registered with the LME Stocks have recovered by...

Mining

Copper prices fall as the stronger dollar offsets new supply problems

The price of copper fell on Tuesday as the 'dollar strengthened and worries about the global economy growth overshadowed 'new supply concerns triggered by a large number of stock withdrawal requests at?the London Metal Exchange. Benchmark 'three-month' copper on the London Metal Exchange fell 0.18% to $14,247.5 per metric ton at 0701 GMT. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract edged up 0.21% to 107.980 yuan (16,060.80 dollars) per ton. Red metal and other industrial metals were weighed down due to a stronger dollar, concerns about interest rates, and cautious economic sentiment. This is a reversal from Monday's gains,...

Mining

Gulf Aluminium output drops in July, impacting global production

The 'Iran War' caused a drop in Middle East primary aluminium production in July, which weighed on global production. The International Aluminium Institute (IAI), a non-profit organization, reported that Gulf production fell by 44% in July to 293,000 tonnes, down from 523,000 tons the previous year. In late March, two smelters located in the Gulf region, which together account for around 9% of primary aluminium production capacity in the world, were attacked by Iran as part of the Middle East conflict. The daily production of the region in July was down more than 10% compared to a month before, at...

Mineral Resources

Oil Refineries

Fuel Oil

Singapore's oil product inventory falls to a two-month low

According to government data, oil product inventories in Singapore, Asia’s main fuel trading hub, fell for the second consecutive?week, reaching two-month lows. Light distillates inventories are nearing a 5-year low. Enterprise Singapore reported that combined onshore oil products inventories were around 37.67 millions barrels for the week ending August 19. This is down from 38.44million barrels one week prior. Even though the imports of refined fuels like diesel, gasoline, and jet fuel from China dropped, they were in line with the expectations that the market had set since Beijing began to loosen its control over exports in July. As U.S....

Oil Refineries

Traders and trackers say Sinopec increases Russian oil imports in order to offset Mideast supply reductions

According to multiple trade sources and ship tracking information, China's state owned?Sinopec Corp., the world's largest refiner, increased purchases of Far East Russian Oil to compensate for Middle East oil supplies that were reduced by the Iran War. Sinopec has been able to maintain a relatively stable output and export fuel surpluses on a strong margin due to its purchases of Russian oil, which is cheaper than competing grades from Brazil and West Africa. This was despite China's decision in March of limiting the overseas sale of fuel products, as a way of protecting domestic supply during trade disruptions caused...

Oil Refineries

Russell: The increase in oil production by OPEC+ is not relevant for the time being, but for the future.

The decision of the core members to increase crude?oil quotas in September is easy to dismiss as a meaningless act, given the disruptions caused by?Iran's conflict. As long as the Strait of Hormuz is largely closed, and as long as there are no solutions to the threats to the Bab el-Mandeb, the oil-exporting groups will have little chance of being able to deliver what they agreed to produce. Saudi Arabia, Russia and Kuwait are among the seven OPEC+ members who have agreed to voluntary cuts in output. Algeria, Kazakhstan, Kazakhstan, Algeria, Kuwait, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and Oman also agreed. The...

Oil Refineries

Russell: India's rising refined product exports help ease Asia's fuel crisis

Can India do for Asia's refined-fuels market what China did? China drastically cut its crude imports to a decade low in June in response to the U.S. and Israeli war against Iran. This freed up oil for buyers who were struggling to find cargoes due to the 'effective closure of Strait of Hormuz. India has taken a different approach, purchasing Russian crude oil and increasing?exports?of refined products in order to offset the lower shipments of refineries from the Middle East and Russia. According to commodity analysts Kpler, India's light and middle distillates exports are expected to hit 1.55 million barrels...

Oil & Gas Refining

Kyrgyzstan approves a plan to build a mini oil refinery amid Russian shortages

Kyrgyzstan agreed to build a mini-oil refinery worth $25 million in the south of the nation as part of its efforts to increase domestic fuel production and reduce dependence on imports due to tightening Russian supplies. Central Asian Energy LLC of Kyrgyzstan, who will finance the project, recently signed an agreement with the Kyrgyz company to build the refinery. The plant will produce bitumen, motor oil and gasoline that meets?K5 or K6 environmental standards. The first phase of the construction should be completed by autumn 2026. Kyrgyzstan imports a majority of its gasoline from Russia. Fuel shortages in Russia have...

Oil Refineries

What is China's next surprise on the oil market? Lower fuel imports and higher fuel exports: Russell

China's reaction to the Iran conflict is not surprising, but the degree to which the world's largest?crude oil importer reduced its oil imports and refinery production. China has a "strong record" of reducing crude imports to respond to rising prices and increasing arrivals when the price drops. The collapse of imports in June to their lowest level in nearly 10 years was dramatic. This is especially true when you consider that, despite the fact that crude prices spiked in the weeks following the U.S.-Israeli attack on Iran in February, they did not reach the levels reached in 2022 after Russia...

Oil Refineries

Saudi Arabia cuts crude oil prices but is this enough? Russell

Saudi Aramco has cut its crude oil price for Asia, for August-loading shipments. This move appeared to signal an intention to regain market shares and recover volumes following the Iran War. Even the record-breaking 'August official selling price' (OSP), may not be sufficient, since crude oil from other Middle East producers and exporters from Africa and the Americas are likely to remain more competitive. Aramco, 'the world's largest oil exporter', has set its OSP at a $1.50 discount to the regional benchmark of Oman/Dubai for August. It was the largest drop in record since 2003, with a $11 reduction from...

Oil Refineries

Russell: Crude oil imports to Asia from the ROI grew in June, but there is still uncertainty.

Asia's crude oil imports by sea?rose slightly in June, but remained near their lowest levels in over a decade due to the impact of the?Iran Conflict on shipments from Middle East. Data from commodity analysts Kpler show that the top importing region will receive 20,71 million barrels of oil per day in June. This is up a fraction from the?20.39million bpd received in May and almost 2 million bpd more than the 18,77million bpd achieved in April. The imports of Asia remain well below the average 26.79 millions bpd for the three-month period prior to the United States' and Israel's...

Oil Refineries

Russell: There is plenty of crude oil in Asia, but the refined fuels are scarce.

Asia's crude oil imports are expected to return to pre-Iran Conflict levels, but the flow of refined products is still constrained. Fuel prices reflect this supply stress. According to data compiled by Kpler, the world's largest energy consumer region is expected to import 22.18 millions barrels of crude per day in June. This represents an increase from 20.35million bpd imported in May. The arrivals in June are still below the 26.76m bpd average for the three months leading up to the United States' and Israel's attack on Iran, which took place on February 28. The figures are still well above...

Fuel Oil

Singapore's oil products stockpiles recover, but hover at a 13-year low

Singapore's oil product inventories, Asia's main trading hub, remained near 13-year lows for a second consecutive week, mainly due to softer distillates and stable residual stocks. Official data on Thursday showed that middle distillates inventories had risen. Enterprise Singapore's data shows that onshore oil product inventories totaled around 35.26 millions barrels for the week ending 17 June, a slight increase from the 34.41million barrels of the previous week. Since the U.S. - Iran war began, oil stocks have been dwindling globally due to a lack of cargo shipments from the Strait of Hormuz as well as a reduction in existing...

Oil Refineries

Singapore's oil products inventories fall to a near 13-year low

Official data on Thursday showed that oil product inventories in Asia's main trading hub Singapore fell to their lowest level?in almost 13 years. This was due to a'sharp' decline in residual fuel stocks as the Middle East conflict continued. Enterprise Singapore's data shows that the combined onshore oil products stocks fell to 34.41 millions barrels during the week ending June 10. This is the lowest level since July 2013. The oil inventories at global storage hubs are shrinking, as Middle Eastern shipments continue to be curtailed by the U.S. - Iran?war. In the week ending June 10, inventories of residual...

Refined Products

Data shows that Iranian oil exports have fallen to their lowest level in six-years.

According to shipping data, and analysts, Iranian crude oil exports and condensate fell to their lowest levels?in six years?in?May. They were well below 300,000. barrels per day. This was mainly because of the U.S. Naval Blockade. The U.S. started enforcing its blockade in April, which choked Iranian exports. This is because the oil market has been facing a shortage of supply due to the Iranian closure of the Strait of Hormuz, cutting off exports from Saudi Arabia. Vortexa data indicates that Iran's exports in May averaged around 209,000 bpd, down sharply from the 1.34 million in April and almost 1.9...