China








Energy Markets

Crude Oil

Crude Oil

Morning Bid Europe-Rising Oil, rains on AI Party

Wayne Cole gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. While Spain hoisted the World Cup in celebration, the U.S. Military began?its ninth day of attacks against Iran. Iran was also?hitting targets throughout the region. On Sunday, only a few ships crossed the 'Strait of Hormuz. One was on fire. Brent crude oil rose above $90 per barrel for the very first time since June. Treasury bond futures fell as investors lowered the odds of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike in September. The implied probability was around 65%. The rise in 30-year Treasury...

Crude Oil

Weekend Reads: Crude pricing, resource wars and empires

Want some inspiration? Weekend Reads is a weekly roundup of what the Open Interest team has read, watched and listened to. This week, the Open?Interest team has chosen to focus on the 'race to reinvent critical mineral resources,'?oil benchmarks that are under pressure and great-power geopolitics. This weekend, we are reading... MIKE DOLAN is a columnist for ROI Finance & Markets. The Pew Research Center’s Global Attitudes Survey found that China was viewed as more favorable than the United States in 36 countries. The U.S. Department of Energy released this release by ROI Metals columnist ANDY HOME. It details five...

Oil & Gas Refining

Officials say that Sinopec has established four new business units as part of a major revamp.

Officials at the company said that 'Sinopec' is undertaking a major restructuring within its own organization, establishing new business units, and moving hundreds of staff in order to re-establish profits amid a slumping Chinese demand for oil, petrochemicals, and other products. Sinopec, a state-owned company, has lagged behind its peers PetroChina Ltd and CNOOC Ltd in recent years. These companies benefit from a greater focus on oil production. Sinopec's reorganisation, which began in early this year, is aimed at focusing more on the needs of customers and efficiency. Chairman Hou Qijun was a geologist, and former general director at Chinese...

Crude Oil

ASML outperforms expectations; stocks gain as US inflation rate drops

The stock market rose on Wednesday, bonds were stable and oil was down as the U.S. dropped its plan to tax shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. South Korea's volatile KOSPI index jumped 6%, while Japan's Nikkei climbed 1%. However, volume was low and mood nervous due to the slowdown in AI stocks. ASML, Europe’s most valuable company, and the world’s largest supplier of chipmaking machinery, has beaten revenue expectations, and will likely set the tone for the European Open. The European futures declined by 0.2%, the FTSE futures dropped 0.3% and Nasdaq Futures rose 0.8%. The U.S. consumer price...

Crude Oil

ASML's MORNING BID EUROPE - Big Blue's bad Day raises the bar

Tom Westbrook gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. The AI rally is experiencing some speed wobbles as Europe's?valuable? company and top supplier of chip making equipment?reports Wednesday. ASML is the only manufacturer of the lithography machines that cost $300 million and are used to create the circuitry for cutting-edge chips. LSEG estimates show that it is expected to report an 8.8% increase in the second-quarter's net profit of 2.61 billion euro ($2.99 billion), on a revenue growth of 14% at 8.8 billion euro. Analysts also expect the company's revenue forecast for the...

Oil & Gas

Can China do the same with fuels as it did for oil? Russell

The dramatic reduction in China's crude oil imports is credited with preventing prices from rising during the Iran conflict. The question now is whether the world’s largest oil importer will be able to do the same for markets that are increasingly stressed. In June, China's imports of crude oils by sea fell to their lowest level in over a decade. According to commodity analysts?Kpler, arrivals were 5.96 million barrels a day. This was down from an average of 10,66 million bpd during the three months prior to the U.S.-Israeli attack on Iran, which began a conflict which resulted in a...

Crude Oil

Asian stocks fall as oil prices rise after Trump's Hormuz levies threat

Oil hit a new one-month high on Tuesday in Asian trading after President Donald Trump announced that the U.S. would reintroduce its blockade of Iranian ships and collect a?20%?fee for cargo crossing the Strait of Hormuz. After a volatile session MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan gained 0.2% as gains in Taiwan were offset by gains for South Korean stocks. S&P 500 futures e-mini edged up 0.1%. The CSI 300, which tracks Chinese stocks, rose 2% as export and import figures for June were released on Tuesday. These data exceeded economists' predictions. ING analysts reported in a research note...

Fossil Fuels

Can China do the same with fuels as it did for oil? Russell

The dramatic drop in crude oil prices during the conflict with Iran is credited to China's drastic reduction of its crude imports. The question now is whether the world’s largest oil importer will be able to do the same on the increasingly stressed markets for refined products. In June, China's seaborne crude oil imports dropped to their lowest level in over a decade. According to commodity analysts Kpler, arrivals were 5.96 million barrels per day. The average was?10.66m bpd during the three months prior to the U.S.-Israeli attack on Iran, which began a conflict leading to the closure of the...

Fossil Fuels

Namibia seals deals with China on mining, infrastructure and energy during state visit

China said on Friday that it would increase cooperation with Namibia, particularly in the energy, agriculture, infrastructure and minerals sectors. This was during talks between Chinese President Xi Jinping and Namibian president Netumbo Nandi Ndaitwah, which took place?in Beijing. Nandi-Ndaitwah is on a 7-day trip to China, since Sunday. He's seeking investment from China, the second-largest country in the world and the top lender. The goal of the trip is to implement the election promises to create jobs and diversify Namibia's economy. "In Namibia we affirm an unwavering commitment (to) this longstanding friendship" between Namibia and China, said Nandi Ndaitwah....

Crude Oil

The strategic oil reserves will support the crude demand until 2028

Analysts and officials have said that governments are planning to purchase millions of barrels by 2028 in order to replenish 'emergency reserves' depleted due to drawdowns. This is to fill a void?in the global supply caused by a U.S.-Israeli attack on Iran. They say that this could increase demand for crude oil, which would absorb a portion of the global surplus expected after OPEC+ decided to increase production. The government has reduced emergency reserves following supply disruptions related to the conflict that have removed estimated 1.5 billion barrels of global inventories in this year. Calculations based on International Energy Agency...

Crude Oil

Oil surges, stocks tumble as Trump declares Iran MOU 'over'

Oil prices rose by more than 5% Wednesday, while global stock and bond markets fell as investors fled risky assets after U.S. president Donald?Trump declared that the Gulf Conflict was over following the signing of a memorandum with Iran. Trump said that he didn't want to engage Tehran. He was speaking in Ankara, Turkey, ahead of the NATO summit. He said that dealing with Iran was a waste. After the U.S. and Iranian forces exchanged attacks in Gulf, market sentiment was already fragile. Brent crude futures jumped 5% to $78 per barrel, the biggest gain in a single day since...

Crude Oil

Oil jumps on Middle East attacks; tech stocks fall due to AI valuation concerns

Oil prices jumped by over 3% Wednesday, bond prices fell as U.S. sanctions against Iranian crude oil?threatened a ceasefire. Stocks wobbled due to concerns that the record AI rally might be losing its buyers. Brent crude futures rose 3.3% to $76.54 per barrel, the highest gain in a single day since May. Although this was far below the peak of $120 at the height of fighting, it was still enough to introduce a new inflation risk in the bond market. Jason Wong is a senior strategist with BNZ Wellington. "Obviously, the market does not like these attacks... But it's still...

Refined Products

Jet Fuel

China's refined oil product exports in June are up from May despite export restrictions

China's refined oil product exports in June improved over May but fell from the same period in last year, amid export restrictions that began in mid-March in order to protect domestic supply after the Iran War. China is Asia's biggest fuel exporter, and the increased export allowance will ease tight supplies because regional refiners have curtailed production due to war-related oil shortages. China's refined product exports to Hong Kong and Macau, including gasoline and diesel, totaled 643,712 tons. This is a slight increase of 4% from last June. Exports of refined oil products from China to other regions than Hong...

Refined Products

Sinopec intensifies aviation fuel drive with CNAF restructuring

Sinopec, China's largest jet fuel distributor said that it has completed a restructuring of China National Aviation Fuel. Sinopec, China’s largest?refiner by capacity, stated that the restructuring of CNAF will strengthen China's aviation oil supply security as well as support the sector's low-carbon and green transition. The company stated that jet fuel will be a major growth driver for China's refined oil demand. The deal will create a 'integrated aviation fuel business, at a time where China's aviation oil consumption is on the rise, but its gasoline and diesel demands are declining, due to a slowing economy and a growing...

Refined Products

Weekend Reads: Drones and Messi

Are you looking for inspiration? Weekend Reads is a weekly roundup of what the Open Interest team was reading, watching, and listening to. This week's picks include the impact of war on?energy security and food, China's ability to leverage critical minerals, and World Cup drama. We'll be reading RON BOUSSO's ROI Energy Columnist's paper, which examines the global impacts of Ukraine's drone attack on Russia's oil refinery infrastructure. The analysis provides great detail about the extent of the damage. CLYDE RUSSELL is a columnist for ROI Asia 'Commodities and Energy. The Iran War threatened to cause a food shortage. The...

Mining

Mineral Resources

Mineral Resources

Trump tightens waiver rules for defense supply chains

President Donald Trump signed an executive directive on Monday that makes it more difficult for U.S. Defense contractors to get waivers to purchase critical minerals and materials from China or other banned foreign suppliers. This is the latest attempt by the Trump administration to reduce its reliance on overseas supply chain for weapons production. Defense contractors must now do more than just show that a Chinese supplier offers the cheapest or easiest option. Companies requesting a waiver must prove that they have looked for alternatives, disclosed the origins of materials and provided a plan on how to reduce their reliance...

Mineral Resources

Copper prices hold steady as fears over supply offset demand concerns

Copper prices rose slightly on Monday. This was mainly due to a decline in inventories, and a disappointing supply from the top producer, Chile, while sluggish demand conditions weighed. Benchmark three-month Copper on the London Metal Exchange increased?0.06% by?0710 GMT to $13,533.5 per metric ton. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract rose 0.2%, to 104.020 yuan (15,361.44) per ton. Daniel Hynes said that the losses were limited due to ongoing supply concerns. BHP has lowered its copper production forecast for the year after a mechanical breakdown at a South Australian mining site and lower ore grades in Chile....

Mineral Resources

Copper prices rise as fears over supply offset demand concerns

Prices of copper edged up on Monday due to a?shrinking inventory and supply risk, but uncertainty about the?demand outlook limited gains. By 0300 GMT, the benchmark three-month copper contract on the London Metal Exchange had risen 0.16% to $13,546.5 per metric ton. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract rose 0.39%, to 104210 yuan (US$15,389.50). Daniel Hynes said that the growth of copper production in Chile, the world's largest producer, has been "elusive" so far, according to a note by Daniel Hynes senior commodity strategist with ANZ. South32, an Australian mining company, reported lower fourth quarter copper production, falling...

Mineral Resources

Official: Zimbabwe's only lithium salt plant is unable to process metal from third parties

An official stated on Friday that Zimbabwe's only lithium sulphate facility, owned by China’s Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt?, has no capacity to process minerals from other producers. This is ahead of an export ban for concentrates next year. Africa's largest lithium producer will implement a ban in January to encourage miners to process the battery metal at home, creating higher-valued export earnings and more jobs?in its economy. The government told lithium miners to send their concentrates directly to local plants. One of the plants in Zimbabwe, owned by Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt and operated by Prospect Lithium -Zimbabwe has not yet been...

Mineral Resources

Metals like copper and industrial metals are falling as Middle East conflict weighs on the demand outlook

Copper and the base metal complex as a whole fell on Friday due to deteriorating risk sentiment from the Middle East conflict. This prompted inflation fears and cast a shadow on the demand outlook. Benchmark three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange fell 1.01%, to $13,461 per metric ton at 0715 GMT. Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract fell by 0.73%, to 103 550 yuan (15,284.13) per ton. Copper, also known as "Dr Copper", fluctuated throughout the week. In London, it is expected to end the week with a marginal gain of 0.08%. As a result of the breakdown...

Mineral Resources

Metals like copper and industrial metals are falling as Middle East conflict weighs on the demand outlook

Copper and the wider base metal complex fell on Friday as inflation fears and a deteriorating risk outlook prompted by the Middle East conflict weighed down the demand outlook. The benchmark three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange fell 0.88%, to $13,479.5 per metric ton at 0300 GMT. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract fell by 0.63%, to 103650 yuan (15,299.12 dollars) per ton. Copper, also known as "Dr Copper", fluctuated throughout the week. It is on track to finish the week with a 0.2% increase. The Strait of Hormuz has been affected by the breakdown of peace...

Mineral Resources

Sources say that China will launch a second futures contract for lithium this year to gain more price power.

Sources say that China plans to launch its second Lithium futures contract by the end of the year. The move is part of a drive to increase hedging options for 'its vast electric vehicle battery supply chain' and to gain a greater global price control over battery metal. Two sources familiar with the matter said that the Guangzhou Futures Exchange was working on the launch a futures contract for lithium hydroxide, which would complement the existing lithium hedge tool and challenge rival bourses. One source said that the new futures on lithium could be launched in October. Another said they...

Mineral Resources

Nickel prices rise on fears over sulphur supplies via Hormuz

Nickel reached a three-week peak on Thursday as concerns over traffic disruptions?throughout the Strait of Hormuz sparked fears of sulphur shortages and threatened a key raw material for production. The benchmark three-month nickel on the London Metal Exchange rose 2.57%, to $17.235 per metric ton at 0700 GMT. The price had risen by up to 3.14% in the previous session. This was the largest increase since May, and the highest since June 23. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded nickel contract was up 3.01% to 132,940 Yuan ($19641.85) per ton. "Sulphur?tightness?expectations are fermenting once again." This is mainly due to...

Mineral Resources

British Steel is nationalised by Britain to protect domestic steelmaking

In an attempt to protect the future of steel production, the UK government announced in a statement on Thursday that it had 'nationalised' British Steel, which was previously owned by Chinese investors. British Steel's public ownership is necessary for the UK to safeguard its national interests, according to the government. "British Steel" is a part of the fabric and strength of Britain. The decision today secures the future for steelmaking in Britain, protects "skilled" jobs and safeguards an important national capability," said Keir starmer, the outgoing prime minister. In April 2025, the 'government' took over the operational control of British...

Oil & Gas

The IEA warns that China's restrictions on rare earths threaten $6.5 trillion in Western industry

International Energy Agency warns that the full implementation of China’s rare earth export restriction could put $6.5 trillion in downstream production outside of the country at risk. China, the world's largest producer?of?rare Earths, increased export controls in?October of last year, to include additional materials, and introduced new licensing requirements. However, they agreed to postpone implementation for one year. Rare earths is a grouping of 17 metals that are used in small amounts but essential for products such as cars, aircrafts, electronics and weapons systems. The IEA's Global Critical Minerals outlook report stated that if the controls are fully implemented, an...

Mineral Resources

China's Xi will outline AI diplomacy at a key Shanghai forum

Chinese President Xi Jinping will outline an ambitious vision of China's role as a global AI governance leader at a forum this Friday. Huawei is showcasing its most advanced AI computing cluster yet, in a move to create a domestic alternative to U.S. tech. Xi's first-time attendance at the World Artificial Intelligence Conference, or WAIC, underscores Beijing’s view that AI is both a key driver of global economic growth and a technology of strategic importance in the global competition. Huawei's Atlas 950 SuperPoD AI computing system, a large-scale AI computer system with a high performance will be unveiled at the...

Mineral Resources

Copper prices fall on the back of weak Chinese data but losses are capped by concerns about supply

Copper prices fell on Wednesday, despite disappointing economic data from China's top metals consumer. However, supply concerns due to mine disruptions and the Middle East conflict helped to limit losses. The benchmark three-month copper price on the London Metal Exchange fell 0.2%, to $13,610 per metric ton at 0945 GMT. It had reached a three week high in the previous session. Official data revealed that the GDP growth of China, the second largest economy in world, has slowed to a low of 3.5 years, due to weak domestic demand. Ole Hansen is the head of commodity strategy for Saxo Bank,...