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Crude Oil

Crude Oil

Russell: Iran's response to D-Day sanctions is crucial.

Scott Bessent, U.S. Treasury secretary, invoked the 1944 D-Day landings of Allied forces in?France when announcing sanctions against Iran. The measures taken are superior to the much less successful Anzio Beachhead landing in Italy, which was another amphibious landing during World War II. Anzio was a battle that began with a successful landing of the Allies, but a lack of leadership led to the campaign stalling and turning into a long campaign of attrition. Bessent’s new measures are designed to choke Iran economically. They target companies and countries that do business with Iran in five different sectors: digital assets, technology...

Crude Oil

Morning Bid Europe-Mixing trade wars, economic wars and actual warfare

Wayne Cole gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. Investors are awaiting details about President Trump's economic 'war' on Iran. This has led to a nervous start for the Asian markets. The main move was a drop of 1.5% in the oil price. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent will hold a press briefing at 2 pm EST (1800 GMT) on Wednesday to announce even more severe economic sanctions against a country which has been subjected to near-continuous sanctions since 1979's Islamic Revolution. Trump said that sanctions would also be imposed on any country that...

Heating Oil

Russell: The debate over the volume of crude oil in Hormuz hides a real shortage of refined fuels

The crude oil market is currently debating the wrong issue about how much oil actually moves through the Strait of Hormuz. Instead, it should focus on the restricted flows of'refined products' around Asia. Energy Secretary Chris Wright of the U.S. has claimed repeatedly that vessel tracking analysts such as Kpler cannot see how much crude oil is flowing through the disputed Strait. Wright claimed that 15 million barrels of oil per day (bpd), or about 500,000 barrels a day, left the Strait of?Hormuz in a single day last week. If true, this would bring the volumes to?what they were before...

Crude Oil

Global stock markets close out a difficult week as oil and bond yields remain high

The global stock market was headed for a largely lower week last Friday as the strain on the global bond markets did not show any signs of easing and the diplomatic deadlock over the Gulf pushed oil prices up to a one-month high. The yields on U.S. government bonds resumed their rise after the surprise intervention by the Treasury on Wednesday. This was barely a relief from selling that had been sparked primarily by fears of inflation and fiscal pressures. The increase came as?U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent suggested that the government could increase its repurchases and also floated the...

Fuel Oil

Singapore's oil product inventory falls to a two-month low

According to government data, oil product inventories in Singapore, Asia’s main fuel trading hub, fell for the second consecutive?week, reaching two-month lows. Light distillates inventories are nearing a 5-year low. Enterprise Singapore reported that combined onshore oil products inventories were around 37.67 millions barrels for the week ending August 19. This is down from 38.44million barrels one week prior. Even though the imports of refined fuels like diesel, gasoline, and jet fuel from China dropped, they were in line with the expectations that the market had set since Beijing began to loosen its control over exports in July. As U.S....

Crude Oil

MORNING BID AMERICA-Bonds Out, Robots In

What's important in U.S. and Global Markets Today By Mike Dolan, Editor at Large, Finance and Markets Bond storm calmed down overnight, but equity markets were still bruised. A tense calm is hanging over the markets as U.S. Treasury prepares for a sale of 20-year bonds later on Wednesday. The minutes of the Federal Reserve split meeting held in July could also help to resolve some of this uncertainty about the central bank's view on persistently high inflation. Below, I'll go into more detail. Check out my mid-week article, in which I discuss diversification away from AI, and much more....

Crude Oil

Stocks fall but bond sales slow down

On Wednesday, global bond yields were at their highest level in decades as fears of a swelling sovereign debt drove borrowing costs up and roiled stock markets around the world. U.S. stock futures and European stock futures wiggled around 0.2% lower in the Asia session. Japan's Nikkei dropped 3.3% and South Korea's KOSPI fell nearly 6% as Wall Street's selling of'semiconductor' stocks spilled into Asia. The yield of the U.S. Long Bond has remained stable at around 5.27%, after reaching its highest level in almost 20 years on February 2, 5.3371%. German and French debt were also stable following a...

Crude Oil

Bonds selloff slows, but stocks wobble

On Wednesday, global bond yields were at their highest level in decades as fears of a swelling sovereign debt drove borrowing costs up and roiled stock markets around the world. On Tuesday, the yield on the U.S.?bond reached its highest level in almost 20 years, at 5.3371%. It then settled around 5.28% on Wednesday in?Asia. The yields on the 10-year and 30-year 'bonds have reached their highest levels since 2011. The yield on the?French?30-year bond has risen by nearly 50 basis points from June's end, and Japan's formerly zero 10-year bond is now approaching 3%. Investors are worried that policymakers...

Crude Oil

Nasdaq falls, yields rise as Mideast conflict fears increase

The yields on U.S. government bonds eased a little bit on Tuesday. However, longer-dated yields remain near multi-year highs. Earlier in the day, the 30-year Treasury yield had reached a level that was not seen since 2007. Fears of an escalating Middle East?conflict have fueled inflation concerns and put pressure on stocks. Oil prices rose for the third consecutive session as prospects of a U.S. - Iranian peace deal dimmed. Tehran announced it would take a more aggressive stance, and Washington said that it wouldn't extend a ceasefire agreement. U.S. crude climbed 0.82%, to $85.17 per barrel. Brent was up...

Crude Oil

As fears of a Mideast conflict grow, stocks are falling and yields rising.

?U.S. Government bond yields eased on Tuesday. However, longer-dated yields remain near multi-year-highs. The 30-year Treasury yield had earlier reached a level not seen since 2007. Fears of a Middle East conflict that escalated fueled inflation fears and weighed heavily on stocks. Brent crude reached its highest level since late last week after Washington and Tehran's latest signals crushed hopes for an imminent resolution to the conflict. U.S. crude climbed 0.3% to $84.75 per barrel while Brent dropped to $90.79, a 0.09% drop on the day. The yields on Treasury bonds have increased despite recent soft economic data in the...

Crude Oil

Bond markets in the US and Japan are smashed by inflation and fiscal concerns

The United States' long-term borrowing costs to Japan and Germany reached their highest level in decades on Tuesday as new inflation concerns added to the nagging concern about the fiscal pressures that are facing some of the largest economies around the world. The 30-year bond yields of the United States - the world's most important government bond market - hit their highest level since 2007. Oil prices -- which are up 50% this year -- have risen back above $90 per barrel, causing inflation fears as U.S. - Iran peace hopes fade. In Japan, fears of inflation and the expectation...

Crude Oil

Stocks and bonds are jolted by Middle East tensions that disrupt the calm market

The sell-off of U.S. government bond prices accelerated?on? Tuesday. This sent the 30-year Treasury yield to a two-decade?high as inflation fears and stock pressure were fueled by?fears?of an escalation?in the Middle East conflict. Brent crude oil prices rose for a third day in a row, after Washington and Tehran's latest signals crushed hopes that the Middle East conflict would be resolved soon. The market's response shows that tensions remain high in the Middle East, and a new escalation could have a ripple effect on oil, bonds, currencies, and stocks. The Federal Reserve's recent rate hikes were tempered by a recent...

Environment

Climate Change

Typhoon Dolphin and climate change: El Nino and Climate Change are the main factors that boosted its intensity

After a two-week trip across the Pacific Ocean, Typhoon Dolphin brought extreme rain to eastern, central, and northern China. Dolphin's long-lasting and wide circulation made it one of China’s most significant weather events in recent times. Meteorologists have compared it to the devastating Typhoon Doksuri that will hit in 2023. How severe was the rain? Thirteen weather stations in the country broke their records for a single-day rainfall. The average rainfall in?Zhejiang from 7 to 11 August was 215 mm (or 8.46 inches), which is a record for a typhoon that made landfall in eastern China. Taizhou, the city where...

Climate Change

Stocks and farm gains over decades strengthen the food system in the face of a'super El Nino'

The global food system is more resilient than ever to the "super" El Nino this year, thanks to the near-record inventories and technological advancements as well as the growth of important exporters like Brazil and Russia. UN Food and Agriculture Organization and analysts claim that since 1980, world farm production has exceeded consumption and population growth. Changes have been driven by the use of higher-yielding crop varieties, fertilisers, improved irrigation, and crop protection. These changes have led to increased yields in staple crops such as rice, wheat corn, and soybeans. Andrew Whitelaw, Australian agricultural consultancy Episode 3, said that even...

Environment

People flock to the sea, but they can't escape heat in northeast China

Heatwaves in northeast China have caused a number of tourists to flock to the sea to cool off. On Friday, beachgoers of all ages dotted the water in brightly colored floats along the pebbled?beach at Fujiazhuang Park, in Dalian, a city known for its fresh seafood, Yellow Sea coastline views, and coastal attractions. Climate change has caused China to experience more heatwaves. The latest heatwave has hit northeastern China, and the Korean Peninsula. South Korea declared an emergency. Dalian, according to the Chinese agricultural calendar's first day of autumn, recorded a high temperature of 37 degrees Celsius on Friday. According...

Mining

Mineral Resources

Mineral Resources

Copper prices fall as dollar rises and new supply problems are outweighed

The copper price fell on Tuesday due to a stronger?dollar, and the macroeconomic climate, which overshadowed new fears about supply shortages triggered by withdrawal requests at the London Metal Exchange (LME). By 0301 GMT, the benchmark three-month copper contract on 'the 'LME had fallen 0.41% to $14,214 per metric tonne. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract edged up 0.17% to 107 930 yuan (16,051.93) per ton. Red metal was also weighed down by the'stronger dollar', concerns about interest rates, and a cautious economic outlook. This is a reversal from Monday's gains, which were a result of a large...

Mineral Resources

Copper firms buy metals earmarked for exit from LME

The price of copper rose on Monday as a rise in the number of cancelled warrants and metals marked for delivery at the London Metal Exchange stimulated buying. Meanwhile, the lower U.S. dollar boosted the positive sentiment towards industrial metals priced in dollars. Benchmark 'copper' on the LME was 0.2% higher, at $14240 per metric ton. Last week, prices of metals used in construction and power industries reached $14,396. This is the highest price since January's $14,527.50 high. Industry sources say that the cancellations 0#MCUSTXLOC> are mostly stored in LME warehouses in Asia and the U.S., in free-trade zones. They...

Mineral Resources

Xpeng Robotics Unit valued at more than $6.3 billion following record funding round

Xpeng, a Chinese automaker, announced 'on Monday that its robotics unit raised more than $900m in its initial 'funding round. This is a record in China for a single private financing. Xpeng, in a press release, said that the funding round led by IDG Capital, and backed up by strategic investors Tencent, and Alibaba, valued the robotics business more than $6 billion. The company stated that the proceeds would be used to develop robotics hardware and software, refine AI physical models, collect data of high quality, build end-to-end production facilities, and support international expansion. Xpeng will begin mass production of...

Mineral Resources

The LME copper inventory has increased to $14,000 due to the weakening dollar

Copper prices fell on Thursday but remained?above $14,000 per metric ton, as increased inventories at the London Metal Exchange (LME), eased supply concerns, and countered the?support of sharp drops in the dollar. The benchmark three-month copper price on the LME fell 0.04% to $14,043.5 per ton at 0300 GMT. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract edged up 0.15% to 107140 yuan (15,934.20 USD) per ton. The LME copper stocks rose another 12,425 tons on Wednesday. This alleviated concerns about supply caused by outflows into the?U.S. Warehouses are being prepared in anticipation of a possible tariff on refined copper....

Mineral Resources

US funds African rare earths that are shunned privately, sources claim

Two senior DFC executives said that the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation (DFC), is supporting a pipeline of African projects involving rare-earth elements, as private investors are reluctant to fund this sector. The DFC announced on Wednesday that it had committed $62.8 to rare-earth project in Malawi, Angola and Madagascar, but none of them has yet reached production. The majority of this funding, about $50 million, was allocated to the Phalaborwa Project in South Africa. It is backed by Dublin-based mining investors TechMet. One of the executives, who asked to remain anonymous because they weren't authorised for public discussion on...

Mineral Resources

Copper prices cool as large warehouse deposits reduce stock concerns

Prices of copper fell on Wednesday as a large increase in warehouse stocks pushed supply concerns that had supported prices to the background. By 0300 GMT, the benchmark three-month copper contract on the London Metal Exchange was down 0.06% to $13,978 per metric tonne. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract fell by 1.02%, to 106 880 yuan per ton. Ed Meir, Marex consultant, wrote that copper was "tripped" by a surprise increase in inventories at the LME. The LME data on Tuesday and Monday showed total copper stock The number of large parcels delivered to warehouses increased by...

Mineral Resources

Andy Home: ROI-China eases Iran War Aluminium Shock, but at a Cost

China is now a major swing?supplier for aluminium in a Western market reeling from the loss production in the Gulf due to the Iran War. The top aluminium producer in the world has increased exports of metals, alloys and semi-manufactured goods (semis) to help cushion the impact on the global supply chains. China views the timing as fortunate. The national production has reached record levels, despite a slowdown in domestic demand. While China's exports may have temporarily relieved the market, a long-term problem could be lurking. Mind the Tax Gap Tax code is the primary factor that determines the composition...

Mineral Resources

Russell: Divergent demand factors are driving China's steel production.

The fact that China's steel production dropped to its lowest level this year in July supports the idea that the world's second largest economy struggles for growth momentum. As usual, the devil lies in the details. Steel demand is unevenly distributed across the economy. The world's biggest producer of industrial metal saw its steel output fall to 76.93 metric?tons during July. This is a 3.6% drop from the same period in 2025, and it was the lowest July since 2017. China's first seven months of the year saw a production volume of 577.04 millions tons, down by 3.1% compared to...

Mineral Resources

Copper prices fall as China's disappointing data and the Mideast crisis weigh.

The market was digesting a string of disappointing economic reports from China and the U.S., as well as the fact that a truce between Iran and the U.S. had expired with no longer-term agreement. Benchmark 'three-month' copper on the London Metal Exchange fell 0.39% to $14,102 per metric ton at 0300 GMT. Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract fell 1.19%, to 107 690 yuan (15,971.58) per ton. After copper prices reached a six-month peak on Monday, disappointing economic indicators in China drew attention to the demand outlook. "Weaker-than-expected economic ?data in China weighed on sentiment across the base metals...

Mineral Resources

Copper prices reach six-month high on low inventories

The London Metal Exchange's inventories, which are at their lowest since February, have led to concerns about copper availability. Prices rose Monday by the most in six months. Benchmark copper prices increased by 1.1% to $14,310 per metric ton in official rings. This was up from a previous high of $13,396. Prices for the metals used in construction and power industries reached an all-time record high of $14,527.5 per metric ton in January. Stocks at LME-approved warehouses Since May, copper exports to the United States have decreased by half to less than 210.000 tons. This is because traders are moving...

Mineral Resources

Copper prices reach 6-month high on low inventories

On Monday, copper prices reached their highest level in over six months due to concerns about the availability of metals on the London Metal Exchange where inventories have been at their lowest since February. Benchmark copper was up?0.9% to $14,290 per metric ton as of 0923 GMT. It had previously reached a high of $13,396. Prices for the metals used in construction and power industries reached an all-time record high of $14,527.5. Stocks at LME-approved warehouses Since May, the amount of copper exported to the United States has decreased by half. This is because traders are moving the metal to...

Mineral Resources

Copper prices fall on profit-taking and economic uncertainty

Prices of copper?and aluminum dipped on Friday, as investors took advantage of a rally in the face of uncertainty over the global economy and the unresolved conflict?in the Middle East. Benchmark three-month?copper?on the London Metal Exchange?was down 0.3% to $14,106 per metric ton at 0930 GMT. LME copper is up 9% from its seven-week low reached on the 24th of June, due to declining inventories and a tight supply outside of the United States. "We are seeing some profit-taking after a strong uptrend, but this trend looks pretty solid." Ole Hansen is the head of commodity strategy for?Saxo Bank, Copenhagen....