China

The physical oil markets are still in a world of pain, despite a planned two-week truce between the United States (US) and Iran. Brent crude oil contracts plunged by as much as 16 % to $91.70 per barrel during early Asian trading on Wednesday, after ending at $109.27 a barrel on Tuesday. The rapid selloff is a sign of relief that President Donald Trump has delayed his alarming threats to wipe out the Iranian civilisation. This also reflects the optimism that crude, refined products and liquefied gas (LNG), may be able to resume and continue through the Strait of Hormuz...

China has again reduced its gasoline and diesel price increases to half of what they usually are. This is to try to reduce the rising oil prices caused by the Iran War and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. The oil prices continued to rise after Iran rejected the United States' ceasefire proposal and as a deadline for Tehran, set by U.S. president Donald Trump, to come up with a deal before he was "taken out", grew closer. The NDRC (National Development and Reform Commission) announced that the retail gasoline and diesel prices would increase by 420 yuan and...

Industry sources say that spot premiums for U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude are at all-time highs due to the fierce competition for oil supply between Asian and European refiners. This is in response to Middle Eastern oil flow disruptions caused by the Iran War. Europe is the biggest importer of U.S. oil, but the competition has increased as Asian buyers are searching for supplies from the Americas and Africa to Europe to replace Middle Eastern crude that cannot move through the Strait of Hormuz. Sources and analysts say that the increase in crude oil prices has increased costs for refiners...

In a Sunday phone call, Foreign Minister Wang Yi informed his Russian counterpart Sergei Lavrov that China was 'willing to continue cooperating with Russia at the U.N. Security Council' and to make efforts to "cool down" the Middle East situation. Wang stated that the best way to resolve navigational issues in the Strait of Hormuz was to achieve a cessation of fire as soon as possible. He added that China has always favored a political resolution of hot-spot?issues by dialogue and negotiation. The call was made ahead of next week's U.N. Security Council voting on a Bahraini Resolution to protect...

The New York Times reported that Elon Musk was requiring banks and advisers who are working on 'SpaceX's IPO to buy subscriptions to Grok, Elon Musk's artificial intelligence chatbot. The report stated that some banks had agreed to spend up to tens or even hundreds of millions of dollars per year on the chatbot, and they have already begun integrating it with their IT systems. This week, it was reported that Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, and Citigroup are the active bookrunners or 'lead banks' managing a deal. Musk and SpaceX have not responded to requests...

According to two sources familiar with the situation, Elon Musk's SpaceX had talks with Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund (PIF) about PIF possibly taking an anchor stake in the space company IPO of $5 billion. Sources said that the investment would prevent some dilution in?PIF’s existing stake, which is just under 1% of SpaceX. Three other sources confirmed that the rocket maker had?been lining-up anchor investors long before its stock market debut. The company plans to raise $75 billion in a record IPO, dwarfing previous mega-IPOs like Saudi Aramco and Alibaba. SpaceX wants to gauge investor interest in a deal...

According to two sources familiar with the situation, Elon Musk's SpaceX had held discussions with Saudi Arabia Public Investment Fund (PIF) about the possibility of PIF taking an anchor stake in the IPO of the space company worth around $5 billion. Sources said that the investment would prevent PIF from losing its existing stake in SpaceX of less than 1%. Three other sources confirmed that the rocket maker had been in contact with anchor investors well before its debut on the stock exchange. The company hopes to raise $75 billion in a record-breaking IPO, dwarfing previous mega-IPOs like 'Saudi Aramco...

Are central banks selling treasuries in light of the controversial U.S. war in the Middle East? It's likely yes, but complicated. The New York Federal Reserve has just lowered the foreign-owned Treasuries in its custody to the lowest level in 16 years, below $3 trillion. This indicates that foreign central banks are selling at an increasing?rapid rate. The decline in Fed 'custody'?holdings has been eye-catching, as I noted last week. Deutsche Bank strategists estimated that the fall of $75 billion in the four-week period ending March 19, indicated a net selling of $60 billion by central banks. This would be...

Four sources said that Delcy Roddez, interim president of Venezuela, is preparing to take control of the U.S. subsidiaries owned by state oil company PDVSA, including Citgo Petroleum. The move could exacerbate a tug-of-war for control of the seventh largest U.S. refiner. Two sources claim that Rodriguez is still working on her list of board members to be approved by the Treasury. Some names were not received well in Washington. The sources say that if the executives are approved by the Treasury, then the Office of Foreign Assets Control would issue a license. One of the sources said that Treasury...

Are central banks selling Treasuries in the midst of the controversial U.S. war in "the Middle East"? It's likely yes, but the situation is complex. The foreign Treasuries in the custody of the New York Federal Reserve have just fallen to their lowest level in 16 years, below $3 trillion. This indicates that foreign central banks are dumping assets at a 'increasingly fast pace. The decline in Fed "custody' holdings, as I wrote last Monday, has been eye-catching. Deutsche Bank strategists estimate the $75 billion drop in the four-week period ending March 19, pointed to $60 billion net selling by...

PetroChina supplied a rare shipment of nearly?2million barrels of crude from its storage facility in China to the refinery it owns half of, located in Singapore. The?firm is attempting to fill'shortfalls caused by the iran war. According to tanker trackers Vortexa & Kpler the tanker New Merit delivered 1.8 million barrels in crude oil to Dalian, northeast China, in mid-March. It then transported it to Singapore Jurong Island, where PetroChina & U.S. giant Chevron run a joint venture refinery. Sources declined to name themselves as they were not authorized to speak to the media. China exports crude oil very rarely....

Analysts and traders said that Chinese independent smaller?refiners will 'cut crude processing rates' in April due to the'sharp rise in oil prices sanctioned by the United States and a still low fuel demand. Teapot refiners have benefited from low-cost Russian and Iranian crude in recent months. However, temporary U.S. waivers that allow the purchase of Russian or Iranian oil that is stranded on sea for 30 day has pushed prices sharply higher, as buyers rush to secure supplies, particularly Indian refiners. Sun Jianan, senior analyst at Energy Aspects, predicted that run?rates of teapot refineries would fall to 50% after recovering...

The price of iron ore futures fell on Wednesday, as major suppliers increased shipments and the U.S. President Donald Trump has agreed to a two-week halt in hostilities with Iran. Iron ore, the most traded contract at China's Dalian Commodity Exchange closed daytime trading 1.44% lower than its previous closing price of 789 yuan (US$115.60) per metric ton. The price of iron ore fell to its lowest level since March 11, at 785.5 Yuan, earlier in the session. Benchmark May Iron Ore traded on the Singapore Exchange fell 0.97% to $105.65 per?ton at 0749 GMT, after reaching its lowest level...

Iron ore futures fell on Wednesday as shipments of the key ingredient in steelmaking from major suppliers surged, and U.S. president Donald Trump agreed to an?two-week ceasefire? with Iran. As of 0212 GMT, the most traded?iron ore?contract at China's Dalian Commodity Exchange dropped 1.12% to 791.5 Yuan ($115.87), a metric tonne. The price fell to its lowest level since March 12, at 789.5 Yuan, earlier in the day. As of 0202 GMT, the benchmark May 'iron ore was trading at $105.75 per ton on the Singapore Exchange. As of April 7, iron ore shipments from Australia and Brazil, two major...

The price of aluminium rose on Tuesday, and the key spread for the metal on the London Metal Exchange also increased. This is due to the prolonged repairs that a smelter located in the United Arab Emirates has been facing since an Iranian attack late last month. In official open-outcry trade, the three-month contract for aluminium on London Metal Exchange (LME), gained 1.1% and reached $3,507 per metric ton. Emirates Global Aluminium announced on Friday that it could take up to one year to fully restore production at its Al Taweelah Smelter. The smelter produced 1.6 millions tons of cast...

Data from the 'People's Bank of China (PBOC),' showed on 'Tuesday that China's central banks stayed on 'course' on gold purchases for a 17th month in a row. Gold holdings in the country rose from 74.22 to 74.38 millions fine troy-ounces at the end of the month. PBOC data showed that the value of gold reserves fell to $342.76billion at the end last month. This is down from $387.59billion a month before. The value of China's gold reserves fell for the first time since May 2025. This was due to the steepest monthly decline in gold prices since 2008. Spot...

Iron ore futures declined on Tuesday, as a result of?rising inventories?and fresh anti-dumping actions on Chinese finished steel products. However, hopes for a?stronger?demand after Beijing announced accelerated energy-related construction helped to limit losses. The May contract for the most traded iron ore on China's Dalian Commodity Exchange fell 0.44%, to 797.5 Yuan ($116.04), per metric ton. As of 0715 GMT, the benchmark May iron ore price on the Singapore Exchange had fallen by 0.22% to $106.4 per ton. Steelhome data shows that iron ore stocks at major Chinese ports have increased by?0.65% in the past week, despite a rise in...

Aluminum fell on Friday as the stronger U.S. Dollar and growing fears of an?economic recession due to?a??prolonged Iran War?outweighed supply concerns that helped the metal record its largest weekly gain in a single month. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded aluminium closed the daytime trading down 0.78%, at 24,660 Yuan ($3,585.92), per metric ton. The contract gained 3% on a weekly basis. London Metal Exchange (LME), is closed Friday and Monday in observance of the Easter holiday. Dollar strengthened after U.S. president Donald Trump's speech about Iran. The speech dampened expectations for a quick end to the conflict, reigniting concerns...

Iron ore prices continued to fall on Friday for the second consecutive?session. They were also on course for a second weekly drop, due to elevated portside stock levels?in China, their largest consumer. However, signs of improving?demand?helped limit the decline. The most traded iron ore contract at China's Dalian Commodity Exchange has fallen 0.81%, to 797 Yuan ($115.85), a metric tonne, and lost 1.8% this week. As of 0107 GMT the benchmark May iron ore price on the Singapore Exchange was 1.16% lower, at $105.15 per ton. This represents a 2% decline so far this week. Analysts said that the trade...

Aluminum prices fell on Friday as a stronger currency and mounting fears of an economic recession - after fading hopes for a quick 'end' to the Iran War - outweighed supply concerns that kept the metals on course for a week gain. As of 0152 GMT, the most traded aluminium at the Shanghai Futures Exchange fell 0.66% to 24,690 yuan (US$3,586.94). This week it has gained 3.2%, which is the largest weekly gain for a month. The London 'Metal Exchange (LME), which is closed for Easter on Friday and Monday, will remain closed. The dollar increased after U.S. president Donald...

Copper prices fell on Thursday for the first time in five sessions, as investors grew more concerned about economic growth following Donald Trump's promise to continue a flurry of strikes on Iran. Open outcry official activity on the London Metal Exchange showed that benchmark three-month copper was down 1.6% to $12,235.50 a metric tonne. The metal is considered to be a bellwether of the global economy and was expected to finish the Easter holiday-shortened weekend up 0.4%, after a run of four consecutive daily gains. "Copper is trading like a risk asset that's sensitive to macroeconomics, moving in line with...

The Iranian war has tightened global supply, boosting margins and some forecasts of flat shipments have been revised higher. Before the war, the Gulf supplied roughly 9% of all global supplies. However, the Strait of Hormuz has closed most of this supply. Iran's recent attack on two of the largest aluminium smelters in the region has increased the risk of a shortage even if waterway is reopened. It's going to be difficult for damaged aluminium production lines to recover quickly, which will lead to some orders flowing to China. Kiki Xi is an analyst with Aize China and said that...

The 'earnings outlooks' of major Chinese copper smelters show that they plan to 'raise or maintain production in 2026 despite the public commitment made by a state-linked industry association last year to cut production by more than 10%. Last year, the?China Smelter Purchase Team(CSPT), a team of 16 of China's top copper smelters agreed to reduce production in order to combat overcapacity and lower processing fees for copper concentrats. Three major?smelters who are all CSPT-members have not reduced their output guidance in the last few weeks. Jiangxi Copper, China's largest copper smelter has raised its production guidance for 2026 copper...

The price of iron ore fell on Thursday, to its lowest level in nearly three weeks. This was due to the shrinking margins for steel and a faltering market following pre-holiday stockings by China's top consumer. By 0202 GMT the most traded?iron ore contracts on China's Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE) had fallen 1.29% to $805 yuan ($116.94), a metric tonne, after having touched its lowest level since March 12, at 793.5. As of 0152 GMT, the benchmark May iron ore traded on Singapore Exchange was $0.8% lower, at $105.45 per?ton. Earlier, it hit its lowest price since March 16, at...