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Crude Oil

MORNING BID AMERICAS-Crude escalation

By Mike Dolan March 30th - Mike Dolan, Editor at Large, Finance and Markets, explains what matters today in U.S. markets. The markets are still not convinced that an end to the Middle East conflict is imminent. Oil prices surged again on Monday, and global stock indexes started off with a rough start. Over the weekend, any hopes for a near-term deescalation of the conflict were dashed as Iran-affiliated Houthi?forces?in Yemen joined in the conflict. President Trump also suggested that U.S. soldiers 'could?take Kharg Island - Iran's main oil-export hub. Washington's signals remain mixed with Trump still praising the prospects...

Crude Oil

Brent crude set to record a record month

Investors piled into a long-running Gulf conflict, which has already seen oil prices rise to a record level. This will lead to a surge in inflation and a risk of recession for much of the world. Pakistan said it was preparing "meaningful discussions" to end the conflict over Iran within the next few days. This is despite the fact that Tehran has accused Washington of preparing a land attack as the U.S. Military builds up its forces in the area. Financial Times, late Sunday, quoted Donald Trump as saying that the U.S. might seize Kharg Island, where Iran exports most...

Crude Oil

Raychaudhuri: The South Korean stock market is cheaper because of the war in Iran, not weaker.

South Korea's stock market has become Asia's most volatile due to the Iran war. Fears of massive value destruction are probably unfounded, but the panic is real. The benchmark KOSPI index dropped over 18% in the two days following the start of the conflict on February 28. This was its worst ever daily drop. The next day, it recovered almost 10%. The market has been struggling with volatility for more than three weeks. The 'KOSPI' is partly to blame for its own success. It had risen sharply in the year before the conflict began, and was up more than 100...

Crude Oil

MORNING BID EUROPE-Deal, or no deal?

Tom Westbrook gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. Donald Trump, U.S. president, told reporters in the White House that "we're currently in negotiations". He boasted about the Iranians making a "tremendous amount of money" concession. However, he did not provide any?further information. He said, "It was an incredibly nice thing they did." Iran has not confirmed the claim, and an official Iranian news agency reported that a spokesperson for the armed forces said that "the U.S. was negotiating with itself". The tone of the speech has caused oil to fall and stocks...

Crude Oil

Oil resumes its climb after fragile relief rally as shares are jittery

Oil prices rose and stocks were on tenterhooks on Tuesday, as investors worried about the Middle East war were not satisfied with President Donald Trump's decision to postpone the bombing Iran's electricity grid. U.S. Treasury Yields increased and the dollar regained ground in a retracement of a relief rally that swept the markets overnight, after Trump extended his Saturday ultimatum to Iran for it to reopen Strait of Hormuz by 48 hours. Trump cited "productive" discussions Tehran. There was a lot of uncertainty as the world continued to deal with an energy crisis, while Iran denied having engaged in any...

Crude Oil

Stocks rally after Trump delays Iran military strike

The world markets reversed their course quickly on Monday, after U.S. president?Donald Trump announced that he would 'order the military to delay?any?"military strikes" against Iranian power stations and energy infrastructure. This eased uncertainty and fears over the consequences of a greater oil shock. Brent crude oil futures dropped sharply. The dollar fell against major currencies. Stock markets rallied. Government?borrowing rates fell. "Trump's five-day pause has triggered a?sort of TACO? movement in the markets, where all prices have moved lower and rates are rallying," said Evelyne GomezLiechti. Trump stated that the postponement was a result of productive discussions with Iran. Gomez-Liechti...

Crude Oil

Ticking timebomb MORNING BID AMERICAS

By Mike Dolan March 23rd - Mike Dolan, Editor at Large, Finance and Markets, explains what matters today in U.S. markets. Stocks and bonds have plummeted around the globe as the Middle East conflict intensifies. President Trump's deadline of 48 hours for Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz expires on Monday. Trump has threatened to "obliterate' Iran's main?power plants, if Tehran doesn't comply with the demand. Iran said it would respond by attacking energy and water plants?across Gulf. The war is now in its fourth week and there are no signs of a de-escalation. The opposite is true. Below,...

Crude Oil

Global shares slide, yields climb as Gulf war intensifies

Global shares fell on Monday, while U.S. Bond yields reached their highest levels in eight months as the U.S. traded escalating threat with Iran and Israel prepared for "weeks" of more fighting. This sent oil prices into another roller coaster. Iran said on Sunday that it would attack the water and energy systems of its Gulf neighbours if U.S. president Donald Trump carried out his threat to strike Iran's power grid within 48-hours. This ended any hope for an early end to this war, which is now in its 4th week. Trump said Iran has two days to open the...

Crude Oil

Asia shares slide, yields climb as Gulf war rages

As the United States and Iran exchanged escalating threat, and Israel planned "weeks" of more fighting, oil prices went on another roller-coaster. Iran warned on Sunday that it would attack?the water and energy systems of its Gulf neighbors if the?U.S. President Donald Trump has followed through on his threat to strike Iran's power grid within 48 hours. This effectively ends any hope for an early conclusion to the war which is now in its fourth weeks. Trump warned Iran that it had only two days to open up the Strait of Hormuz. The Strait is currently closed for all vessels...

Oil Refineries

Russell: The price of crude oil makes Trump TACO less likely to trade:

The crude oil markets still price in a resolution of the Middle East conflict that will result in the full opening of the Strait of Hormuz. In pricing this outcome, the market actually makes it more likely that the narrow waterway which serves as a channel for as much as 20 percent of the world’s oil supply remains closed. The market still expects U.S. president Donald Trump to deliver TACO - the acronym for Trump always?Chickens out. Trump can continue the conflict by maintaining the price of paper crude oil below the level that would allow for a return to...

Crude Oil

MORNING BID - EUROPE - Crude shock

Ankur Banerjee gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets The selloff of stocks and bonds has increased as markets prepare for a war in the Middle East which could keep oil prices at $100 per barrel. Traders are scrambling to determine the risks associated with stagflation. Investors are bracing themselves for increased volatility as leaders from Iran, Israel, and the United States show their defiance. They have put on their risk-off caps and bought U.S. dollar. The global interest rate outlook has been completely transformed by the fading hopes for a quick resolution....

Crude Oil

After attacks on Gulf shipping and Iran warning, oil prices jump, shares fall

Global stocks fell on Thursday, as the attacks on oil tankers and the warning from Iran undermined the prospects for an imminent deescalation of the Middle East conflict. Oil prices briefly rose above $100 per barrel and inflation fears were stoked. The'reaction' shows how quickly bets placed on an early end to the 'war which gained momentum earlier in the week are being unwound. The contradictory messages of U.S. president Donald Trump has left traders fearful that they will be caught off guard, causing them to stay away from the markets or find refuge in safe havens. Wall Street stock...

Refined Products

Refined Products

PetroChina's operations are 'overall' normal, and the Strait of Hormuz is responsible for 10% of its supply.

PetroChina's chairman stated that the company is essentially operating as usual, and about 10% of its crude oil and natural gas supplies are delivered via the Strait of Hormuz. The Strait is responsible for 20% of the world's oil and gas supply. A raging Iran War and an expanding conflict in the Middle East has effectively choked this route, driving oil prices up and forcing refiners, petrochemical manufacturers, and most importantly, petrochemical producers in Asia to reduce their output. Dai Houliang, chairman of PetroChina, told reporters that the company's sales of natural gas and crude oil are largely based on...

Fossil Fuels

Helen Jewell explains why gold and defense stocks fell as the war broke out.

Investors tend to raise money first, and then ask questions. Investors who are aware of this phenomenon will not have a problem. It's a great opportunity. Gold dropped by nearly 4% in the four days following the first U.S./Israeli strike on Iran. So did European defence stocks. It seems strange. Gold has been historically a safe investment in turbulent times. Conflicts are usually the driving force behind military equipment demand. This is due to investor positioning, or more specifically, crowded trading. Many fund managers will execute a “program trade” to de-risk quickly and mechanically in order to raise money when...

Fossil Fuels

The sale of used EVs in Europe is on the rise as a result of the Iran War and higher petrol prices

Online car platforms report that the spike in petrol prices caused by the war in Iran is driving consumers to switch from combustion engines. Terje Dahlgren is an analyst for?Norway’s largest used-car marketplace Finn.no. She said that there's currently a 'electric car bonanza' in the used market. The conflict, which began on February 28, disrupted an important shipping route that transports roughly 20% of the world's oil supply. The European Commission's data shows that the cost of gasoline in the European Union increased 12% between February 23 and March 16 to $1.84 ($2.12) a litre. Aramisauto, a French online used...

Mining

Mineral Resources

Mineral Resources

Aluminium nears four-year high amid supply fears

Aluminum prices rose on Tuesday. They were near their four-year highs and poised to make the biggest monthly gain since?almost 2 years. This was due to fears that a supply shortage would continue after Iranian strikes over the weekend damaged some of the Gulf's key smelters. The benchmark 'three-month' aluminum on the London Metal Exchange increased 2.1% by 1600GMT to $3,471.50 per metric ton, after earlier reaching $3,536, which was its highest level since March 12. Metal prices are up 10.6% in March. The attacks on Iran damaged two aluminum plants in the Gulf region operated by Aluminium Bahrain, and...

Mineral Resources

Source: Tether fires two gold traders who were hired just three months earlier

Sources with direct knowledge of the matter reportedly said on 'Tuesday that Tether had?let go? two senior precious metals trader?it hired only three months earlier from HSBC. El Salvador-headquartered Tether cut the roles as spot gold prices headed for their steepest monthly drop since the 2008 financial crisis, pressured by fading expectations of rate cuts and rising energy costs amid the war in ?Iran. Tether holds about 130 metric tonnes of physical gold backing their products by the end of 2025. CEO Paolo Ardoino told in January that they also planned to allocate 10-15% of their own investment portfolio to...

Mineral Resources

India eases the rules to allow some state-owned firms to purchase critical equipment from China

After easing restrictions, India allowed some state-owned firms, including Bharat Heavy Electricals and Steel Authority, to purchase critical equipment in China. Last month, it was reported that India would ease restrictions on purchasing Chinese equipment after a deadly border clash in 2020. This would allow state-run coal and power companies to import limited quantities of Chinese equipment as shortages and project delays increased. Since then, India has also relaxed investment restrictions on China. The government order stated that Bharat Heavy Electricals, India's largest power equipment manufacturer, can now purchase 21 types of critical equipment from China under the new rules....

Mineral Resources

Iron ore prices on the rise as investors compare rising costs with high portside stock

Iron ore futures were in a narrow range on Monday as investors weighed the impact of high energy prices, a rise in steel demand in China's top consumer against high portside stocks. As of 0219 GMT, the?most-traded contract for iron ore on China's Dalian Commodity Exchange was up 0.37% to 815.5 Yuan ($117.84). As of?0209 GMT, the benchmark May iron ore price on the Singapore Exchange had not changed much. It was $106.05 per ton. The price of a key ingredient in steelmaking has been supported by rising energy costs, but they have not been impacted much by the 'immediate...

Mineral Resources

Trump extends the deadline for attacking Iranian energy

Prices of copper and aluminium fell on Friday as U.S. president Donald Trump extended the deadline for striking Iran’s energy plants. Markets appeared skeptical?about the prospects?of an agreement?between the two sides. In official open-outcry trade, the benchmark three-month price of copper at the London Metal Exchange fell by 0.3% to $12,115 per metric tonne. Since the U.S. and Israeli war against Iran began on 28 February, copper, which is widely used for power and construction has fallen by 9%, threatening economic growth and causing inflation. Macquarie analysts stated in a research report that "prices lack fundamental support, and are expected...

Environment

Iron ore is a major concern for supply disruption in Australia

Iron ore futures were higher on Thursday due to a concern over the supply of iron ore from Australia, following the closure of key ports in the Pilbara region because of a cyclone. The most-traded May iron ore contract at China's Dalian Commodity Exchange rose 0.18%, to 817 Yuan ($118.40), per metric ton. As of 0711 GMT, the benchmark April iron ore traded on Singapore Exchange was trading at $107.35 per ton. The operator of the iron ore port said that the key ports were closed on Thursday due to a tropical storm which struck the resource-rich Pilbara region. Pilbara...

Mineral Resources

France is among the nations that are interested in Australia's critical minerals, says Australian Minister

France is one of the countries that will invest in critical Australian minerals projects, according to Australia's Resources Minister on Thursday. Canberra's framework agreement with the U.S. encourages nations with advanced manufacturing industries to secure access to supply. Australia is on a mission for the past four years to create an industry that will produce?minerals? like rare earths, which are essential to technologies in future such as electronics and defense. Countries want to diversify away from China as their dominant supplier. Australia signed agreements with Japan, South Korea and India as well as France, Germany, Britain, France and Germany for...

Mineral Resources

Rising inventories of copper outweigh Mideast ceasefire hope

After a brief dip in prices, copper prices fell on Thursday. This was due to rising'stocks' and weakening consumer demand, particularly in China, the world's largest consumer. Investors were also waiting for clarity about the possibility of ceasefire?in the Middle East. Benchmark 'three-month' copper on the London Metal Exchange dropped 1.17% to $13,177 per metric tonne by 0341 GMT, after finding some help from a weaker dollar the previous day. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract was down by 0.03% to?95.160 yuan per ton ($13.789.31), after reaching its highest price since March 19, at 96.590?yuan. The red metal,...

Mineral Resources

Iron ore is a major concern for supply disruption in Australia

Iron ore futures rose Thursday on concerns about disruptions in Australian'supply due to ports being closed in the Pilbara area following a cyclone. As of 0226 GMT, the most-traded contract for?May?iron ore on China's Dalian Commodity Exchange was trading 0.31% higher. It cost 818 yuan (US$118.45) per metric ton. The benchmark April Iron Ore on the Singapore Exchange rose by 2.15% to $107.45 per tonne. Pilbara Ports announced on Thursday that the ports at Ashburton and Cape Preston West were closed due to Tropical Cyclone Narelle. This has led to concerns about iron ore supplies from Australia, which is the...

Mineral Resources

Iron ore falls after 3-session rally over Tangshan production curbs

Iron ore futures fell on Wednesday, after a?three-session rally. Fears of production 'cuts' in China’s steelmaking center of Tangshan pushed the price down. However, losses were?limited, as possible supply disruptions in Australia curbed declines. As of 0332 GMT, the?most-traded? May iron ore contract at China's Dalian Commodity Exchange fell by 1.46% to 89.5 yuan (US$117.47) per metric ton. Iron ore benchmark April on the Singapore Exchange fell 1.46%, to $106.1 per ton. According to a WeChat announcement by the local authorities, Tangshan activated an emergency response of 'level two' on March 25 due to heavy air pollution. This stoked concerns...

Mineral Resources

Copper drops after Iran denies talks for ending war and attacks Israel

London copper fell on Tuesday after Iran denied holding talks with the U.S. about ending the Middle East war and launched new missile attacks against Israel. In official open outcry, the benchmark three-month copper price on London Metal Exchange fell 1.6% to $11,974 per metric tonne. Metal prices rose 2% after U.S. president Donald Trump said that he had "very productive" talks with Tehran, and had postponed the threatened strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure. EwaManthey, ING commodities strategist, said: "Copper has eased today following yesterday's rebound as geopolitical confidence faded." The rise in oil prices and the strengthening dollar have...

Mineral Resources

India's imports of iron ore will reach a 7-year high by 2025-2026

Analysts and industry executives say that India's imports, which are a vital?raw material for steelmaking?, will reach a seven-year high in the fiscal year ending March 31. This is due to a shortage of ore of high quality and JSW Steel's demand. Analysts and trade officials have said that the total imports will likely reach 12 to 14 million tons in 2025-2026, which is more than double what they were a year ago. JSW Steel, India's biggest ?steelmaker by capacity, was a key driver of iron ore imports for its mills in the western state of Maharashtra ?and the southern...