China








Energy Markets

Fossil Fuels

Oil & Gas

The IEA warns that China's restrictions on rare earths threaten $6.5 trillion in Western industry

International Energy Agency warns that the full implementation of China’s rare earth export restriction could put $6.5 trillion in downstream production outside of the country at risk. China, the world's largest producer?of?rare Earths, increased export controls in?October of last year, to include additional materials, and introduced new licensing requirements. However, they agreed to postpone implementation for one year. Rare earths is a grouping of 17 metals that are used in small amounts but essential for products such as cars, aircrafts, electronics and weapons systems. The IEA's Global Critical Minerals outlook report stated that if the controls are fully implemented, an...

Oil & Gas Refining

Officials say that Sinopec has established four new business units as part of a major revamp.

Officials at the company said that 'Sinopec' is undertaking a major restructuring within its own organization, establishing new business units, and moving hundreds of staff in order to re-establish profits amid a slumping Chinese demand for oil, petrochemicals, and other products. Sinopec, a state-owned company, has lagged behind its peers PetroChina Ltd and CNOOC Ltd in recent years. These companies benefit from a greater focus on oil production. Sinopec's reorganisation, which began in early this year, is aimed at focusing more on the needs of customers and efficiency. Chairman Hou Qijun was a geologist, and former general director at Chinese...

Oil & Gas

Investors prepare bids for CXMT's $8.6 Billion IPO, aiming to jump in valuation

Chinese investors who are interested in CXMT’s $8.6billion IPO believe that the chipmaker’s value will increase ten-fold following its Shanghai debut, thanks to an AI-driven upcycle and Beijing’s ambition to become technologically independent. CXMT or ChangXin Memory Technologies will be Asia's largest share sale this year. It comes at a time when Beijing wants to be independent in the semiconductor industry amid a fierce tech rivalry between the U.S. Wu Zhou, a Shenzhen Deyuan Investment fund manager, has said he'll bid on new CXMT share, betting China's leading memory chipmaker can one day overtake global giants such as South Korea's...

Fossil Fuels

Sources say that China refineries are opting for less expensive crude oil in order to reduce their fuel oil consumption.

China's fuel -oil demand will take a long time to recover after imports reached a monthly record low as refiners opted for lower cost crude following the U.S. -Iran War. Prices are expected to be capped by the lackluster appetite of one of Asia's largest importers of high sulphur fuel oils (HSFO), even though this market has strengthened after Washington and Tehran intensified their attacks in the Middle East disrupting Gulf oil supplies that pass through the Strait of Hormuz. LSEG data show that the Asian refiners’ margin for 380 centistoke HSFO rose to a discount of less than $2...

Oil & Gas

Sources say that China's Zhenhua has booked the first Saudi crude cargo to be refined by a joint venture with Saudi Arabia.

Two sources with knowledge of the matter confirmed on Wednesday that China's Zhenhua Oil had booked to load 2 million barrels in Saudi crude for August. This is a sign that a new?joint venture? refinery between China and Saudi Arabia will soon begin operations. The crude will be supplied to the newly built 300,000-barrel-per-day Huajin Aramco Petrochemical Co (HAPCO) refinery in northeastern China's Liaoning province, the sources said. HAPCO was formed by Saudi Aramco, Norinco Group (a Chinese state-owned conglomerate) and Panjin Xincheng Industrial Group. HAPCO has delayed its start-up to September or even October due to disruptions in Middle...

Fossil Fuels

Can China do the same with fuels as it did for oil? Russell

The dramatic drop in crude oil prices during the conflict with Iran is credited to China's drastic reduction of its crude imports. The question now is whether the world’s largest oil importer will be able to do the same on the increasingly stressed markets for refined products. In June, China's seaborne crude oil imports dropped to their lowest level in over a decade. According to commodity analysts Kpler, arrivals were 5.96 million barrels per day. The average was?10.66m bpd during the three months prior to the U.S.-Israeli attack on Iran, which began a conflict leading to the closure of the...

Refined Products

Sinopec intensifies aviation fuel drive with CNAF restructuring

Sinopec, China's largest jet fuel distributor said that it has completed a restructuring of China National Aviation Fuel. Sinopec, China’s largest?refiner by capacity, stated that the restructuring of CNAF will strengthen China's aviation oil supply security as well as support the sector's low-carbon and green transition. The company stated that jet fuel will be a major growth driver for China's refined oil demand. The deal will create a 'integrated aviation fuel business, at a time where China's aviation oil consumption is on the rise, but its gasoline and diesel demands are declining, due to a slowing economy and a growing...

Fossil Fuels

Namibia seals deals with China on mining, infrastructure and energy during state visit

China said on Friday that it would increase cooperation with Namibia, particularly in the energy, agriculture, infrastructure and minerals sectors. This was during talks between Chinese President Xi Jinping and Namibian president Netumbo Nandi Ndaitwah, which took place?in Beijing. Nandi-Ndaitwah is on a 7-day trip to China, since Sunday. He's seeking investment from China, the second-largest country in the world and the top lender. The goal of the trip is to implement the election promises to create jobs and diversify Namibia's economy. "In Namibia we affirm an unwavering commitment (to) this longstanding friendship" between Namibia and China, said Nandi Ndaitwah....

Fossil Fuels

IMF reduces global growth forecast for 2026 to 3%; sees rebound in 2020

The International Monetary Fund lowered its forecast for global growth in 2026 to a slow 3.0% on Wednesday, warning about the ongoing risks associated with the Middle East war, trade fragmentation, and possible corrections to market expectations in AI. The 'global lender' said that the world economy avoided a sharper decline, as demand for AI and technology helped to offset the sharp fall in energy supplies due to the war. The growth rate should return to 3,4% by 2027. However, this is still lower than the 3.5% average seen between 2024 and 2025. The IMF forecasted 3.1% growth in April....

Oil & Gas

IMF cuts 2026 global growth to 3%; sees rebound in 2020

The International Monetary Fund lowered its global growth forecast for 2026 again on Wednesday, to 3.0%. It warned of the ongoing risks caused by the Middle East war, trade fragmentation, and possible corrections in the market expectations regarding AI. Global lender said the war had prevented a more severe downturn in the global economy, and that the demand-driven growth in the tech industry helped?to _offset the drop in energy supply caused by the war. Growth is expected to rebound in 2027 at 3.4%, which is below the 3.5% average seen in 2024-2025. The IMF increased its headline inflation forecast for...

Oil Refineries

Saudi Arabia cuts crude oil prices but is this enough? Russell

Saudi Aramco has cut its crude oil price for Asia, for August-loading shipments. This move appeared to signal an intention to regain market shares and recover volumes following the Iran War. Even the record-breaking 'August official selling price' (OSP), may not be sufficient, since crude oil from other Middle East producers and exporters from Africa and the Americas are likely to remain more competitive. Aramco, 'the world's largest oil exporter', has set its OSP at a $1.50 discount to the regional benchmark of Oman/Dubai for August. It was the largest drop in record since 2003, with a $11 reduction from...

Oil & Gas

Ambassador Carney says that RPT-China Geely will ship the first Lotus EVs in Canada by July, under Carney-Xi's deal.

Wang Di, China's embassy to Canada, said that the Lotus electric cars from Geely Holding Group will be arriving in Canada by next month as a result of an agreement signed between Chinese President Xi Jinping and Prime Minister Xi Carney. The vehicles will be the 'first' Chinese-owned, manufactured and sold vehicles under an agreement that allows for up to 49,000 Chinese electric cars to enter Canada at a reduced rate of tariffs each year. Carney is trying to diversify Canada’s trade away form the United States. Wang stated that "Geely EVs are coming to Canada next month, and there...

Crude Oil

Crude Oil

ASML outperforms expectations; stocks gain as US inflation rate drops

The stock market rose on Wednesday, bonds were stable and oil was down as the U.S. dropped its plan to tax shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. South Korea's volatile KOSPI index jumped 6%, while Japan's Nikkei climbed 1%. However, volume was low and mood nervous due to the slowdown in AI stocks. ASML, Europe’s most valuable company, and the world’s largest supplier of chipmaking machinery, has beaten revenue expectations, and will likely set the tone for the European Open. The European futures declined by 0.2%, the FTSE futures dropped 0.3% and Nasdaq Futures rose 0.8%. The U.S. consumer price...

Crude Oil

ASML's MORNING BID EUROPE - Big Blue's bad Day raises the bar

Tom Westbrook gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. The AI rally is experiencing some speed wobbles as Europe's?valuable? company and top supplier of chip making equipment?reports Wednesday. ASML is the only manufacturer of the lithography machines that cost $300 million and are used to create the circuitry for cutting-edge chips. LSEG estimates show that it is expected to report an 8.8% increase in the second-quarter's net profit of 2.61 billion euro ($2.99 billion), on a revenue growth of 14% at 8.8 billion euro. Analysts also expect the company's revenue forecast for the...

Oil & Gas

Can China do the same with fuels as it did for oil? Russell

The dramatic reduction in China's crude oil imports is credited with preventing prices from rising during the Iran conflict. The question now is whether the world’s largest oil importer will be able to do the same for markets that are increasingly stressed. In June, China's imports of crude oils by sea fell to their lowest level in over a decade. According to commodity analysts?Kpler, arrivals were 5.96 million barrels a day. This was down from an average of 10,66 million bpd during the three months prior to the U.S.-Israeli attack on Iran, which began a conflict which resulted in a...

Mining

Mineral Resources

Mineral Resources

Metals like copper and industrial metals are falling as Middle East conflict weighs on the demand outlook

Copper and the wider base metal complex fell on Friday as inflation fears and a deteriorating risk outlook prompted by the Middle East conflict weighed down the demand outlook. The benchmark three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange fell 0.88%, to $13,479.5 per metric ton at 0300 GMT. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract fell by 0.63%, to 103650 yuan (15,299.12 dollars) per ton. Copper, also known as "Dr Copper", fluctuated throughout the week. It is on track to finish the week with a 0.2% increase. The Strait of Hormuz has been affected by the breakdown of peace...

Mineral Resources

Sources say that China will launch a second futures contract for lithium this year to gain more price power.

Sources say that China plans to launch its second Lithium futures contract by the end of the year. The move is part of a drive to increase hedging options for 'its vast electric vehicle battery supply chain' and to gain a greater global price control over battery metal. Two sources familiar with the matter said that the Guangzhou Futures Exchange was working on the launch a futures contract for lithium hydroxide, which would complement the existing lithium hedge tool and challenge rival bourses. One source said that the new futures on lithium could be launched in October. Another said they...

Mineral Resources

Nickel prices rise on fears over sulphur supplies via Hormuz

Nickel reached a three-week peak on Thursday as concerns over traffic disruptions?throughout the Strait of Hormuz sparked fears of sulphur shortages and threatened a key raw material for production. The benchmark three-month nickel on the London Metal Exchange rose 2.57%, to $17.235 per metric ton at 0700 GMT. The price had risen by up to 3.14% in the previous session. This was the largest increase since May, and the highest since June 23. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded nickel contract was up 3.01% to 132,940 Yuan ($19641.85) per ton. "Sulphur?tightness?expectations are fermenting once again." This is mainly due to...

Mineral Resources

British Steel is nationalised by Britain to protect domestic steelmaking

In an attempt to protect the future of steel production, the UK government announced in a statement on Thursday that it had 'nationalised' British Steel, which was previously owned by Chinese investors. British Steel's public ownership is necessary for the UK to safeguard its national interests, according to the government. "British Steel" is a part of the fabric and strength of Britain. The decision today secures the future for steelmaking in Britain, protects "skilled" jobs and safeguards an important national capability," said Keir starmer, the outgoing prime minister. In April 2025, the 'government' took over the operational control of British...

Mineral Resources

China's Xi will outline AI diplomacy at a key Shanghai forum

Chinese President Xi Jinping will outline an ambitious vision of China's role as a global AI governance leader at a forum this Friday. Huawei is showcasing its most advanced AI computing cluster yet, in a move to create a domestic alternative to U.S. tech. Xi's first-time attendance at the World Artificial Intelligence Conference, or WAIC, underscores Beijing’s view that AI is both a key driver of global economic growth and a technology of strategic importance in the global competition. Huawei's Atlas 950 SuperPoD AI computing system, a large-scale AI computer system with a high performance will be unveiled at the...

Mineral Resources

Copper prices fall on the back of weak Chinese data but losses are capped by concerns about supply

Copper prices fell on Wednesday, despite disappointing economic data from China's top metals consumer. However, supply concerns due to mine disruptions and the Middle East conflict helped to limit losses. The benchmark three-month copper price on the London Metal Exchange fell 0.2%, to $13,610 per metric ton at 0945 GMT. It had reached a three week high in the previous session. Official data revealed that the GDP growth of China, the second largest economy in world, has slowed to a low of 3.5 years, due to weak domestic demand. Ole Hansen is the head of commodity strategy for Saxo Bank,...

Mineral Resources

China's aluminium production in June sets a monthly record, as exports soar

Data showed that China's primary aluminum output reached a record monthly high in June. This was because consumers shifted to China after the Middle East supply was affected by the U.S.-Iran war. Data from the National Bureau of Statistics show that in June, the world's biggest aluminium producer produced 3,98 million metric tonnes of primary aluminum, an increase of 4.7% compared to a year ago. This was higher than the previous high of 3,89 million metric tons recorded in May. The data revealed that the output during the first half of 2026 increased 3.8% from a year ago to 23,19...

Mineral Resources

Copper reaches three-week high due to China's tightening and supply concerns over Iran attacks

On Tuesday, copper 'prices' rose to their highest level in three weeks due to signs of a firmer China demand and shortages. The benchmark three-month copper price on the London Metal Exchange rose 0.4% by 0930 GMT to $13,601 per metric ton, its highest level since June 23. Ewa Mnthey, commodities analyst at ING, said that copper is being supported by a combination of strong Chinese data and tighter physical market conditions. Exports from the top metals consumer, China, surged in June. This was their best performance for four months. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract rose by...

Mineral Resources

China's aluminium exports in June hit a record high

China's exports of unwrought aluminum and products?reached a new record in June, according to data from the official customs released on Tuesday, as?war?disruption?to supplies and shipments from the Gulf region?continued. The data revealed that export volume rose above 700,000 metric tons for the very first time in June. Shipments increased 12.5% from the 632,000 tons in May, and 45.4% over 489,000 tons from a year earlier. Exports of unwrought aluminum and products rose by 16.3% in the first half of 2026 compared to a year ago, reaching 3.4 millions tons. The June shipments are a continuation of the previous acceleration...

Mineral Resources

London copper prices slip on Hormuz concerns as a gloomy demand offsets supply-chain woes

The price of copper in London fell slightly on Tuesday, amid the latest escalation of the Middle East conflict. However, this was offset by concerns over a possible supply chain crisis. Benchmark 'three-month' copper prices on the London Metal Exchange dropped 0.18% to $13,516 per metric tonne by 0300 GMT. After an increase in LME copper prices overnight, the most-traded contract for copper on the Shanghai Futures Exchange increased by 0.64%. It now stands at 103950 yuan a ton. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, and Iran announced that they would both blockade the Strait of Hormuz. The U.S. has renewed...

Mineral Resources

Australia blocks the voting rights of certain China-linked investors at Northern Minerals

Northern Minerals announced?on?Tuesday that Australian Treasurer, Jim?Chalmers, has ordered three 'offshore 'investment firms - including Hong Kong Ying Tak - to refrain from exercising voting rights within the rare earths developer. Foreign Investment Review Board of Australia (FIRB) has said that Hong Kong Ying Tak and?British Virgin Islands registered Real International Resources as well as Hong Kong registered?Qogir Trading & Service have failed to comply to earlier government 'orders to reduce stakes in Northern Minerals. In May, Treasurer Chalmers?ordered offshore shareholders to divest by July?2 their?holdings over concerns that Chinese-linked groups were seeking control of rare-earths mining company. Ying Tak's...

Mineral Resources

Copper remains firm as US-Iran conflict weighs on sentiment

The dollar was weaker on Monday, but gains were limited as tensions between the U.S.A. and Iran escalated and oil prices increased, further causing inflationary fears. The benchmark copper price on the London Metal Exchange was 0.1% higher, at $13,501 per metric ton of official rings. The lower dollar makes metals priced in dollars cheaper for holders of currencies other than the U.S. dollar, which could increase demand. After renewed military strikes by the United States and Iran, concerns about energy shipments via the Strait of Hormuz were reignited. The focus was also on falling copper inventories. The copper stocks...