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Energy Markets

Crude Oil

Crude Oil

Stocks and bonds are jolted by Middle East tensions that disrupt the calm market

The sell-off of U.S. government bond prices accelerated?on? Tuesday. This sent the 30-year Treasury yield to a two-decade?high as inflation fears and stock pressure were fueled by?fears?of an escalation?in the Middle East conflict. Brent crude oil prices rose for a third day in a row, after Washington and Tehran's latest signals crushed hopes that the Middle East conflict would be resolved soon. The market's response shows that tensions remain high in the Middle East, and a new escalation could have a ripple effect on oil, bonds, currencies, and stocks. The Federal Reserve's recent rate hikes were tempered by a recent...

Crude Oil

Russian ESPO blend crude oil returns to premium vs Brent due to China's demand, traders claim

Four traders reported that the price of Russia's ESPO blend crude oil for October delivery to China can be up to $1 per barrel higher than ICE Brent. This is due to the strong Chinese demand as well as uncertainty about Middle East and Iranian oil supplies. The traders reported that Asian buyers were looking for alternatives to Middle Eastern crude oil due to concerns about the disruption of shipments across the Strait of Hormuz. Oil prices rose Monday, despite the lack of progress in diplomatic efforts to resolve the Middle East conflict. One of the traders stated that they...

Crude Oil

Dollar slips, shares rise as markets reduce Fed rate risk

Markets reduced bets on an imminent rate hike by the Federal Reserve after a series of soft U.S. data, which included an 'unexpected drop in the retail sales. According to CME Group's FedWatch, a hike in the next month has been priced at 30%. This is down from 50% a week ago. The STOXX benchmark, which measures 600 large European companies, rose by 0.21%. This followed earlier gains of MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific index outside Japan (which rose 0.5%), while Japan's Nikkei rose by 0.3%. The Hang Seng index rose 1.6% and Chinese blue-chips gained 0.8% ahead of the release of...

Crude Oil

Dollar slips on markets that reduce Fed rate risk

Asian shares edged higher on Monday, led largely by Chinese stocks, ahead of important economic data. Investors kept a watchful eye on oil prices, after a large gain last week, amid a deadlock in the Gulf conflict. After a string of weak data, including a surprise drop in retail sales and a lackluster run of economic reports, markets have given up on betting that the Federal Reserve will soon raise interest rates. According to CME Group's FedWatch, a rate hike in the next month has been priced at 30%. This is down from 50% a week ago. The broadest MSCI...

Crude Oil

MORNING BID EUROPE-Yen stuck in twilight zone

Ankur Banerjee gives us a look at what the day will bring for the European and global markets. The yen is back in the intervention area, but it's fate now seems to depend on the Fed's policies and the Bank of Japan's aggressive hikes, after the joint operation with the U.S.' failed to stop the currency's fall. The currency is heading for its worst three-month period, with the rate hovering around 159.37 dollars per U.S. Dollar, moving ever closer to 160, which could trigger another round of intervention. Tokyo spent billions to prop up the yen between April and May,...

Climate Change

Exports of China's electric trucks are soaring due to the Iran war

China's?exports of electric trucks to other Asian nations have soared. This is in addition to an increase in domestic sales, as the?higher fuel costs as a result of the Iran War accelerate regional electrification. China's rapid adoption of etrucks - from lighter vehicles to tractors-trailers - has shielded the 'world's largest auto market' from the conflict. Other countries are now scrambling for a chance to catch up. China's heavy etruck exports have more than doubled in the last four months since the U.S. and Israel started the war, on February 28. They now total 16,823 vehicles. The majority of the...

Crude Oil

Brief relief MORNING BID AMERICAS

What's important in U.S. and Global Markets Today By Mike Dolan, Editor at Large, Finance and Markets The July consumer inflation report was not spectacular, but it did offer some relief to the markets who were worried about a surprise on the upside. The annual headline and core rates were lower than expected. However, the core price increase for July was higher than forecast. Below, I will get to that and more. Check out my latest article, which explores AI's impact on inflation and employment so far. Listen to the most recent episode of Morning Bid, the daily podcast. Subscribe...

Crude Oil

Oil stocks rise globally, but US CPI remains stable

Oil prices fell on Wednesday as traders awaited the outcome of talks to end Iran's war. U.S. inflation data showed only a small increase, which dampened some expectations about a Federal Reserve rate hike. The U.S.-Iran talks were at a standstill. Both the United States and Yemen’s Iran-aligned Houthis have reported separate attacks on ships. Oil prices fell as investors took into account lower demand expectations. Data released on Wednesday showed that U.S. consumer price index increased by 0.1% in July. This was in line with the expectations. This small increase may weaken the case for a Federal Reserve interest...

Crude Oil

Oil stocks rise globally, but US CPI remains stable

Oil prices and global equity markets increased after the talks to end Iran's war reached an impasse. The markets then turned to the U.S. inflation data later that day. The?U.S. Consumer prices data will provide signals about the timing of a Federal Reserve rate increase. The data may not reflect the latest rise in oil price, but it can still be used to set expectations for next month's Fed meeting when the money markets predict a roughly 50/50 chance of an increase. According to a survey, consumer prices are predicted to rise by 0.1% in the month of July after...

Crude Oil

Stocks rise as oil prices continue to rise in anticipation of a possible US-Iran agreement

The oil prices rose and global stocks were up on Tuesday as traders focused on the negotiations between the United States and Iran on a peace agreement and the reopening of Strait of Hormuz. Gains were tempered by uncertainty over the?global inflation forecast. In an interview with Bloomberg News, Pakistan's defence minister stated that the U.S. is close to a "sort of arrangement" between Iran and Pakistan. The MSCI index of world stocks rose 0.10% to 1,154.40. The escalating tensions between the two countries have been a focus of attention. Oil prices jumped 5% Monday as a result. Donald Trump,...

Crude Oil

MORNING BID AMERICAS - Long bond

What's important in U.S. and Global Markets Today By Mike Dolan, Editor at Large, Finance and Markets Brent crude traded at almost $90 per barrel on Tuesday, after a 5% increase yesterday. The U.S.'s and Iran's hard-line positions on any potential deal have shattered hopes that the Strait of Hormuz could reopen. Below, I will go into more detail. Check out my column about Trump's latest attack on the independence of the Federal Reserve - and how it comes at a nervous time for bond markets. Listen to the Morning Bid podcast where we talk about Nvidia's $500 Billion AI...

Crude Oil

The Strait of Hormuz suddenly becomes 'irrelevant to the US'

Wayne Cole gives us a look at what the day will bring for European and global markets. Asian stocks are mostly higher following the Wall Street rally on Friday, but European share futures are down as oil prices rise amid confusion about the Strait of Hormuz. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent claimed over the weekend that the'strait' would become "irrelevant", as oil will eventually be redirected via pipelines. This gave analysts the impression that the White House is trying to wash their hands of this whole matter. Iran announced on Sunday that it was nearing completion of a deal to define...

Refined Products

Oil Refineries

Traders and trackers say Sinopec increases Russian oil imports in order to offset Mideast supply reductions

According to multiple trade sources and ship tracking information, China's state owned?Sinopec Corp., the world's largest refiner, increased purchases of Far East Russian Oil to compensate for Middle East oil supplies that were reduced by the Iran War. Sinopec has been able to maintain a relatively stable output and export fuel surpluses on a strong margin due to its purchases of Russian oil, which is cheaper than competing grades from Brazil and West Africa. This was despite China's decision in March of limiting the overseas sale of fuel products, as a way of protecting domestic supply during trade disruptions caused...

Refined Products

BYD launches first Brazilian plug-in hybrid flex vehicle as sales soar

The top executive of BYD in Brazil said that the Chinese automaker will launch its first Brazilian-made plug-in hybrid flex fuel car on Tuesday, after a two year?investment. In an interview, Senior Vice-President Alexandre Baldy revealed that the Song Pro Super Hybrido Flex Fuel, which hits dealerships in Brazil on Wednesday features a powertrain capable of running on gasoline, electricity or ethanol. He added that the GL version's range on electric power alone is 60 km (37 mi) and 120 km for a higher-end GS model. Baldy stated that the vehicle was built at BYD’s Camacari factory in northeastern Bahia...

Refined Products

Weekend Reads: Jamie Dimon, Jamie Dimon's battery recycling and the Kill Zone

Are you looking for inspiration? Weekend Reads is a weekly feature that highlights what the Open Interest team has been reading, watching and listening to. The Open Interest team shares what they've been watching, listening to and reading. This week's selections include the emergence of drone warfare, Europe's AI ambitions and Jamie Dimon's worries about long-dated bonds at JPMorgan Chase. This weekend we are reading... RON BOUSSO, ROI Energy Columnist. He has produced an amazing, frightening and visually stunning piece on Ukraine's "kill zone" with drones, which has changed the battlefield between Russia and Ukraine. CLYDE RUSSELL is a ROI...

Mining

Mineral Resources

Mineral Resources

Copper prices fall as China's disappointing data and the Mideast crisis weigh.

The market was digesting a string of disappointing economic reports from China and the U.S., as well as the fact that a truce between Iran and the U.S. had expired with no longer-term agreement. Benchmark 'three-month' copper on the London Metal Exchange fell 0.39% to $14,102 per metric ton at 0300 GMT. Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract fell 1.19%, to 107 690 yuan (15,971.58) per ton. After copper prices reached a six-month peak on Monday, disappointing economic indicators in China drew attention to the demand outlook. "Weaker-than-expected economic ?data in China weighed on sentiment across the base metals...

Mineral Resources

Copper prices reach six-month high on low inventories

The London Metal Exchange's inventories, which are at their lowest since February, have led to concerns about copper availability. Prices rose Monday by the most in six months. Benchmark copper prices increased by 1.1% to $14,310 per metric ton in official rings. This was up from a previous high of $13,396. Prices for the metals used in construction and power industries reached an all-time record high of $14,527.5 per metric ton in January. Stocks at LME-approved warehouses Since May, copper exports to the United States have decreased by half to less than 210.000 tons. This is because traders are moving...

Mineral Resources

Copper prices reach 6-month high on low inventories

On Monday, copper prices reached their highest level in over six months due to concerns about the availability of metals on the London Metal Exchange where inventories have been at their lowest since February. Benchmark copper was up?0.9% to $14,290 per metric ton as of 0923 GMT. It had previously reached a high of $13,396. Prices for the metals used in construction and power industries reached an all-time record high of $14,527.5. Stocks at LME-approved warehouses Since May, the amount of copper exported to the United States has decreased by half. This is because traders are moving the metal to...

Mineral Resources

Copper prices fall on profit-taking and economic uncertainty

Prices of copper?and aluminum dipped on Friday, as investors took advantage of a rally in the face of uncertainty over the global economy and the unresolved conflict?in the Middle East. Benchmark three-month?copper?on the London Metal Exchange?was down 0.3% to $14,106 per metric ton at 0930 GMT. LME copper is up 9% from its seven-week low reached on the 24th of June, due to declining inventories and a tight supply outside of the United States. "We are seeing some profit-taking after a strong uptrend, but this trend looks pretty solid." Ole Hansen is the head of commodity strategy for?Saxo Bank, Copenhagen....

Mineral Resources

Sources: China's state iron ore purchaser has a supply agreement with Anglo American

Three sources familiar with the matter said that the Chinese state iron ore purchaser reached an agreement in April with 'Anglo American over an annual supply contract for the key ingredient used to make steel. China Mineral 'Resources Group' (CMRG) was established in 2022 in order to gain more power on the iron ore markets where China is a dominant buyer. They have increased their efforts to get better terms for Chinese Steelmakers who are struggling with dwindling margins and dwindling demand. Bloomberg broke the news on Friday. Sources said that CMRG, under the?agreement which was not previously reported, became...

Mineral Resources

After rally, copper prices fall as demand concerns dominate the conversation

Copper prices fell on Friday but have remained higher so far this week, as analysts wondered if global demand would be able to keep up with the recent price rally. Benchmark three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange fell 0.34% to $14,100.5 per metric ton at 0715 GMT. The red metal will likely gain 0.3% this week. This is the longest weekly streak it has had since 2020, when it gained 5.49%. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract fell?0.12% to 107 690 yuan (15,970.64) per ton. The economic activity could be boosted by the fact that inflationary pressures...

Mineral Resources

Copper prices set to fall, ending six-week winning streak due to demand concerns

Copper fell on Friday, and it was expected to snap its longest weekly gains since '2020. It and the wider Industrial Metals Complex were weighed down by worries about 'demand prospects. Benchmark three-month Copper on the??London Metal Exchange fell 0.56% to $14,069 per metric ton at 0300 GMT. After six weeks of gains, the metal will end this week at its current level. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract fell?0.33% to 107460 yuan (15,935.82 USD) per ton. Metal demand is still a concern, despite the fact that inflationary pressures are easing and interest rate fears are fading. Fastmarkets...

Mineral Resources

Sources say that China's state owned CMRG has asked some traders to purchase iron ore through its platform

Sources say that China's iron ore buyer, the state-owned company, has asked some domestic traders to purchase cargoes through its trading platform. This is a move designed to strengthen?its control over pricing and trading of this key ingredient in steelmaking. China Mineral Resources Group informed about a dozen of traders that they could buy iron ore through the state-owned company's online platform at a Thursday meeting, according to three sources who were familiar with the matter and spoke under the condition of anonymity. CMRG, which was created in 2022 in order to give Beijing greater pricing?power on the iron ore...

Mineral Resources

Copper falls on dollar firmness and concerns about global economy

The price of copper and other industrial metals fell on Thursday. This was due to a stronger dollar, and concerns about the global economy as 'the Middle East conflict continues. Benchmark 'three-month' copper on the London Metal Exchange fell 0.7% to $14,028 per metric tonne at 0920 GMT. It had fallen by 0.2% the previous session. LME copper rose to a six month high last week on tighter inventories outside of the United States. It's obvious that the market is tight. Nitesh Shah is a commodity strategist with WisdomTree. He said that there are a lot more questions about the...

Mineral Resources

Aluminium's rally of seven sessions ends as EGA confirms timeline for smelter recovery

Aluminium prices ended a seven session rally on Wednesday, after Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA), a major producer of the metal, reaffirmed that it will resume full-scale production in its war-damaged plant?in 2027's first quarter. Benchmark three-month aluminum on the?London Metal Exchange fell 0.65% to $3,342 per metric ton at 0700 GMT. The rally began on August 3 and has since risen 4.7%. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded aluminium contract was 0.43% more expensive at 24,285 Yuan ($3,600.18). It reached 24,470 yuan per ton earlier in the session, its highest level in nearly 10 weeks. EGA's Al Taweelah Smelter in...

Mineral Resources

Australia promised to build 1.2 million homes but builders are reaching their limits

Builder Jay Perham in Brisbane, Australia, was forced to pour cement at a housing site during the night because he couldn't find workers to do the work when the sun came up. Then, quality problems arise. Perham, the manager of Axiom Construction, said that you can't see at night. "The last three or four pours that I have made were all at night and we had head torches on and lamps." Brisbane, the host city for 'the 2032 Olympic Games, will see around A$7billion ($4.93billion) in Olympic-related construction. This will add to the existing shortage of workers. The construction of...

Mineral Resources

Russell: The surge in China's imports of coal may be starting to slow down.

China's coal exports increased to the highest level this year in July, but that strength is based on short-term factors and unlikely to last. According to data released by the government last week, total coal imports in July were up 23% from last year's same month to 43.73 millions metric tons. It was up from 42.78 millions tons in June, and nearly a third higher than the low of 33.1million tons for April this year. After 82 miners were killed in an accident at a mine located in Shanxi Province on May 22, China began imposing safety inspections in mines....