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MORNING BID EUROPE - Jackson Hole will open under Trump's shadow

Kevin Buckland gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets.

Today, the Federal Reserve's Jackson Hole Symposium is a highly anticipated event for the U.S. central banks.

Investors will be listening intently to every word that central bankers around the globe say. Jerome Powell, the Fed's chairman for his final year at this annual meeting, will deliver a speech on Friday.

He's likely, like his predecessors to take the opportunity to shape how his tenure will be recorded in history books. This is especially true considering the harsh criticism he received from President Donald Trump this year for not cutting rates.

Investors are looking for any hint of a September cut. They have increased their bets on an easing after a surprising soft payroll report earlier in the month.

Recent consumer prices show little impact of Trump's aggressive tariffs but higher-than-expected producers prices suggest that sticker prices could rise in the coming months.

The implied odds of a quarter point cut on September 17, currently at 80% are down from 84% just a day earlier. The Fed minutes of last month's meeting suggested that only Governor Christopher Waller and Vice Chair for supervision Michelle Bowman were pushing for a cut in rates.

Trump's increasing influence on monetary policy is another reason why the Fed is in the spotlight.

Lisa Cook is the latest target of President Obama, who has demanded her resignation after allegations were made by a political ally about mortgages that she held in Michigan and Georgia.

If Trump were to remove Cook from the Fed board, that would be an addition to his choices, as Council of Economic Advisers chair Stephen Miran is set to replace Adriana Kulgler after her sudden resignation.

Bowman and Waller are, of course both Trump appointments. Trump may end up having four of the seven board members support his demand for lower rates.

Investors were unnerved by Trump's threat to fire Powell, before his tenure as governor expires in May next year. This led to a sharp decline in the dollar.

But the U.S. dollar has taken these latest developments in stride. Asian stocks are generally mixed as they adjust to recent sharp selloffs or rallies. Japan's Nikkei, for instance, continued to retreat after reaching a record high earlier in the week. South Korea's KOSPI, on the other hand, bounced strongly back from a drop to a 6-week low earlier that day.

Wall Street's tech selling off was mostly shaken off. Advantest, Japan's largest chip-testing equipment manufacturer by far, is the Nikkei's biggest index point gainer.

Trump, aside from the sky-high prices, is also being cited as a cause for the downturn. This administration has been looking at taking equity stakes into chip companies such as Intel, just weeks after negotiating revenue-sharing agreements with Nvidia, AMD, and others.

Walmart will release its earnings today and provide a barometer of the U.S. Consumer's health. Target's stock dropped on Wednesday, after the company appointed Michael Fiddelke to be its CEO. It also maintained annual forecasts which were reduced in May.

The following are key developments that may influence the markets on Thursday.

- Jackson Hole symposium opens

The Philadelphia Fed's Business Index, U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims, Existing Home Sales for July

- Walmart results

- Flash PMIs for euro zone, France, Germany, Britain

(source: Reuters)