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Energy Markets

Fossil Fuels

Fossil Fuels

Norway's Equinor signs a three-year agreement with Poland's Orlen

The Norwegian company Equinor announced on Thursday that it had signed a contract for a period of three years to supply oil from western Europe's largest producing field Johan 'Sverdrup. Equinor announced that the contract will begin in September and allow for deliveries between 5 million metric tonnes and more than nine million tons. The deal is flexible, and allows for different Norwegian grades. However, Johan Sverdrup’s medium-heavy oil?is an excellent substitute for Russian Urals which historically Lithuanian or Polish refineries were designed to process. Since Russia's war against Ukraine began in?2022, European nations have slowly stopped using Russian energy....

Fossil Fuels

Finland bans certain parts of Baltic Sea after Latvia shoots drones in its airspace

On Friday morning, fighter jets participating in a NATO air defense mission reportedly'shot down' a drone which had entered the airspace of Latvia - a member state of NATO and European Union. A threat to airspace in the vicinity of Russia was also raised by the armed forces. Finland, a member of the EU and NATO that shares a border in part with Russia, has temporarily restricted aviation and maritime traffic to certain areas within the eastern Gulf. This is a precautionary move against drones. The armed forces of Latvia did not immediately disclose any details about the drone's origin...

Oil & Gas

Take Five: A Crude Summer

This week, it's all central banks. Rising energy prices are likely to keep rate-setters in Tokyo, Washington and London alert even if oil is below $100. Tariffs from the United States are now back on the list of worries for markets that worry about inflation and growth risks due to war. Rae Wee, Dhara Ranasinghe and Alun John are in London. Lewis Krauskopf is in New York. 1/ DOUBLE THREAT Investors are now watching two chokepoints for energy shipping to see how much oil and natural gas comes out of the Middle East. Houthi attacks may make the Bab el-Mandeb...

Oil & Gas Refining

European stocks gain as SAP boosts tech stocks, Middle East on the watch

Investors took comfort in some corporate earnings and weighed the potential impact of higher oil prices on monetary policy. The STOXX 600 index, which measures the performance of all European markets, rose 0.6% to 644.67 for a second consecutive week. SAP, the software giant, gained 10% on Germany's DAX after it reported that second-quarter cloud backlog growth was ahead of analyst expectations. The technology index gained 1.7% after STMicroelectronics' and BE Semiconductor's quarterly reports failed to impress investors on Thursday. Investors are trying to balance AI growth with stretched valuations and returns on large investments in technology. This has led...

Fossil Fuels

Neste Core Profit Misses Market Expectations in Q2, Shares Fall

Neste, a Finnish oil refiner and biofuel producer, said on Friday that its core profit had risen?in the second quarter due to the Middle East Crisis driving up prices. However it failed to meet market expectations. Neste's adjusted quarterly earnings, before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization, more than tripled compared to a year earlier, reaching EUR1.20 billion ($1.37 billion). Analysts had forecasted EUR1.23 billion. At 0750 GMT, the shares were down 8%. Petri Gostowski, an analyst at the Finnish research firm Indires, said that investors were waiting for "clear results beats". Gostowski said in an email that he believed the...

Oil & Gas

Take Five: A $100 question

Next week, it's all central banks. Interest rate-setters in Tokyo, Washington and London are growing more nervous due to the Middle East war escalate. Oil prices have returned to $100. Tariffs from the United States are now back on the list of worries for markets that worry about inflation and growth risks due to war. Rae Wee, Dhara Ranasinghe and Samuel "Indyk" and Alun John are in London. Lewis Krauskopf is in New York. DOUBLE TROUBLE Investors are now watching two chokepoints for energy shipping to see how much oil and natural gas comes out of the Middle East. Houthi...

Fossil Fuels

The European corporate outlook continues improving as earnings season gains steam

The latest LSEG 'I/B/E/S' data on Wednesday showed that estimates for blue-chip European companies have?improved. Soaring energy sector?profits will help a deliver the best growth in over three years. According to a data set based on 77 company results and market expectations for those who have not yet reported, companies on Europe's benchmark STOXX 600 Index are expected to post earnings growth of 17.3% during the second quarter. The aggregate growth rate is 7.2%, excluding the estimated 122.6% growth rate for the energy sector. The blue-chips in Europe are expected to grow by 11.5%. This is their highest rate since...

Environment

After years of stagnation, New Zealand's interest in gas exploration is picking up.

Seven oil and gas companies are racing to secure offshore exploration rights before a New Zealand national election, which could result in a ban on new permits. The country's main parties?battle about the need for natural gas. New Zealand has attracted?interest? after the conservative government overturned last year a ban on offshore drilling, imposed in 2018. The goal was to avoid gas shortages for industry users and boost power generation during dry years when hydropower production falls. In May, the country produced 7,6 petajoules (PJ) of gas. This was largely due to fields that have declined or are about to...

Fossil Fuels

Energy profits drive European earnings to highest level in three years

According to LSEG's forecasts, published Thursday to coincide with the start of reporting season, a surge in energy sector profits will help European blue-chip companies to post their highest earnings growth in more than three years. LSEG IBES data predicts that companies in Europe's benchmark STOXX 600 index will report earnings growth of 16.7% during the second quarter. This is based on?results from 28 companies, and market estimates for those whose results are not yet in. The rate of growth excluding energy companies is a modest 6.4%. The European energy'majors' are reportedly?posting profits that are more than 125% greater year-on-year....

Oil & Gas

NATO chief: New US strikes on Iran are absolutely necessary

Mark Rutte, NATO Secretary General, said that the?new U.S. attacks on Iran? were "absolutely needed" The?U.S. The?U.S. Rutte said to reporters in Ankara, before the NATO summit. "When there is a ceasefire and Iran basically violates the ceasefire I think that it is absolutely crucial that the U.S. react forcefully." The European leaders will try to persuade Donald Trump to commit to the alliance after he renewed his disagreements with them regarding the Iran War and Greenland. Rutte stated that there was no doubt about the "complete commitment" of the United States to NATO, which he added also worked to...

Oil & Gas

Danish brewer Carlsberg files IPO for India unit

The Danish brewer, Carlsberg, has filed a confidential application for an IPO of its Indian operations, the company announced on Thursday. It joins a growing number of multinationals seeking to tap India's booming equity markets. The 'confidential - route allows companies to keep the IPO filings they make with the country’s markets regulator secret until the launch. Two sources familiar with the matter said that Carlsberg India's planned listing would not raise new capital, but it would allow its parent company to sell a portion of its stake. The brewery is a fully owned subsidiary of Carlsberg Group. This move...

Fossil Fuels

UN holds debate on Sudan’s al-Obeid, as Britain warns about atrocities

The U.N. Human Rights Council decided on Tuesday to hold an emergency debate on the situation 'in Sudan's al-Obeid' later this week. Britain's envoy warned of the 'risk of mass atrocities' The request was made after reports that Sudan's paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and their allies were massing forces in the area of al-Obeid, which could lead to an escalation in the conflict. Human Rights Ambassador of Britain,?Eleanor Sanders, described the "siege-like" conditions that thousands are trapped in and isolated from humanitarian aid due to increasing drone strikes. She told the Geneva-based Council that "up to 500,000 civilians now...

Crude Oil

Crude Oil

EARLY MORNING BID EUROPE - Waiting for Nvidia to complete the next leg of AI rally

Rae Wee gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. The?session began in Asia with a muted tone, as stocks drifted ahead of Nvidia’s upcoming?earnings, where high expectations are being placed on the artificial intelligence darling. Alibaba's $10.2 billion sale of shares at a steeply discounted price to fund its AI plans and Samsung Electronics disappointing shareholder-return program in the previous session weighed on technology shares. A roughly 45% drop in?the share price of Unitree after a five-fold increase on its Shanghai debut triggered concerns over bubble risk, retail investors losses, and flaws within...

Crude Oil

Morning Bid Europe-Mixing trade wars, economic wars and actual warfare

Wayne Cole gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. Investors are awaiting details about President Trump's economic 'war' on Iran. This has led to a nervous start for the Asian markets. The main move was a drop of 1.5% in the oil price. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent will hold a press briefing at 2 pm EST (1800 GMT) on Wednesday to announce even more severe economic sanctions against a country which has been subjected to near-continuous sanctions since 1979's Islamic Revolution. Trump said that sanctions would also be imposed on any country that...

Crude Oil

MORNING BID EUROPE-Yen stuck in twilight zone

Ankur Banerjee gives us a look at what the day will bring for the European and global markets. The yen is back in the intervention area, but it's fate now seems to depend on the Fed's policies and the Bank of Japan's aggressive hikes, after the joint operation with the U.S.' failed to stop the currency's fall. The currency is heading for its worst three-month period, with the rate hovering around 159.37 dollars per U.S. Dollar, moving ever closer to 160, which could trigger another round of intervention. Tokyo spent billions to prop up the yen between April and May,...

Mining

Antofagasta will seek environmental approval in the fourth quarter for Encierro Volcanes exploration

Antofagasta, a Chilean copper miner, plans to submit environmental applications in the fourth quarter to expand its exploration activities for?its Encierro and Volcanes project. This move would be a significant step forward in two of Antofagasta’s long-term growth options for copper, as major miner race to replenish pipelines, while grappling with difficult permitting processes, water restrictions and aging deposits, especially in Chile, the top copper producer. Encierro is a joint venture between Barrick Mining and a copper mine in northern Atacama that contains gold and molybdenum. Volcanes, a separate copper-mining project located in the mining-heavy Antofagasta area, is partially controlled...

Mineral Resources

Mineral Resources

Aluminium reaches seven-week high due to supply concerns and lower stock levels

Aluminum?prices rose to a seven week high on Tuesday, as 'concerns about supply from the Gulf coincided wth Norsk Hydro announcing a reduction in feedstock production?at?its Brazilian facility. Benchmark three-month "aluminum" on the London Metal Exchange rose 1.9% at 0850 GMT to $3,378.50 per metric ton, after reaching $3,382.5 as its highest level since June 22. Aluminum extended its gains for a seventh session in a row after Norsk Hydro announced that its Alunorte facility in Brazil had reduced alumina production to 50% of its capacity due to the reduction of natural gas supply. The plant's annual production capacity is...

Mineral Resources

Outokumpu's Q2 profit forecast is behind the original due to costs.

Outokumpu's shares fell 10% on Thursday after it reported a core profit for the second quarter that was below market expectations. The European stainless steel demand has remained largely unchanged, and increased costs have offset increases in volume and pricing. The adjusted earnings of the Finnish company before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortisation in the April-June quarter rose by 33%, but they were still below the EUR114 million consensus forecast provided by the company. Outokumpu's profitability in Europe, its largest business unit, was broadly stable, as positive effects from higher volumes and a higher selling price were offset by a...

Mineral Resources

Sweden declares its mining national security interests to counter dependency on China

Sweden declared the mining of critical metals,?rare earths, and other minerals to be a national interest on Thursday. The government said a new strategy for mining was required to 'counter China's dependence. China is the dominant producer of rare earth minerals, which are essential to clean energy production, defence, and electric vehicle manufacturing. Export controls have been a powerful tool in Beijing's trade war with Washington, as well as other disputes. The Per Geijer discovery, near LKAB’s?existing Kiruna Mine, is also one of the European Union’s flagship projects to reduce reliance upon China. Per 'Geijer' is crucial to Europe because...

Mineral Resources

Norsk Hydro's Q2 profits are the highest as higher prices and Qatar offset the lower price.

Norsk Hydro, the Norwegian aluminium manufacturer, reported a quarterly profit that was?above expectations? on Wednesday. Higher aluminium prices and higher?recycling? margins outweighed lower energy output and negative currency effects. Hydro enjoyed a windfall from the higher aluminium prices, regional premiums and disruptions in Middle East supplies during the second quarter. However, reduced production at its Qatalum Joint Venture limited this. The company's adjusted earnings, before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, rose 15% year-over-year to 8.92 billion Norwegian Crowns ($927.0 million) during the April-June period, while the average estimate of analysts polled was 8.22 billion Norwegian Crowns. Hydro's Aluminium Metal division,...

Mineral Resources

Trump tightens waiver rules for defense supply chains

President Donald Trump signed an executive directive on Monday that makes it more difficult for U.S. Defense contractors to get waivers to purchase critical minerals and materials from China or other banned foreign suppliers. This is the latest attempt by the Trump administration to reduce its reliance on overseas supply chain for weapons production. Defense contractors must now do more than just show that a Chinese supplier offers the cheapest or easiest option. Companies requesting a waiver must prove that they have looked for alternatives, disclosed the origins of materials and provided a plan on how to reduce their reliance...

Mineral Resources

Andy Home: The aluminum supply shock has revived long-idled Western Smelters

The Iran War has caused a supply shock that is reviving the old Western aluminum smelters. Magnitude 7 Metals in the U.S. is reactivating its New Madrid smelter located in Missouri. Over the Atlantic, Norwegian producer Hydro announced the partial restart of the Slovalco joint-venture smelter. The two plants were idled due to low aluminum prices and a spike in energy prices that followed the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Washington and Brussels are both desperate to reduce their reliance on an import of a metal used in a wide range of industries. The return of these zombies smelters will not...

Mineral Resources

New York Times Business News - July 7,

These are the most popular?stories from the New York Times business pages. The New York Times has not?verified?these?stories and cannot?guarantee?their accuracy. U.S. president Donald Trump will likely restore the rights of Turkey to buy F-35 stealth jets at the NATO summit, which would reverse a 7-year-old ban imposed by Trump himself. Canada announced on Monday that it has selected ThyssenKrupp to build a fleet of submarines in collaboration with the Norwegian, German and Canadian governments. This is a move towards reducing Canada's military and economic dependence on the United States. Walmart announced on Monday that it would be slashing the...

Mineral Resources

Aluminium prices fall as supply prospects improve

Aluminum prices dropped on Thursday, as improved supply expectations overshadowed the support of resilient manufacturing data. Benchmark -three-month aluminum on the London Metal Exchange fell 0.46% to $3,062 per metric tonne by 0700 GMT. It fell to $3,040 a metric tonne earlier in the day, its lowest level since February 19. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded aluminium contract fell 0.38%, to 22,400 Yuan ($3,300.09). Emirates Global Aluminium announced that it would be able to restore production at its Al Taweelah Complex - one the largest aluminium production facilities in the world - sooner than expected, signaling an "improving outlook"...

Mineral Resources

Tesla and BMW switch to aluminum from cheaper copper

Ferrari and BMW have introduced new models with lightweight, cost-effective aluminum wiring. This is accelerating the shift away from copper as the dominant material for electric wiring ever since the invention two centuries ago of the electric batteries. JPMorgan predicts that the decisions will affect around 2% global copper demand in this year. Tesla and Chinese EV makers have also made similar moves. The structural increase in copper prices could lead to even more copper being switched over to aluminium. This is due to the increased demand for data centres and green energy, as well as the shortage of copper....

Mineral Resources

ETM is looking for other Spanish mines while it awaits Greenland Rare Earth resolution

Energy Transition Minerals hopes to expand in Spain's Galicia Province as it waits for a resolution of the?legal challenges regarding its massive rare earths project on Greenland. Daniel Mamadou said in an interview with? In an interview, Daniel Mamadou told? Mamadou stated that "Galicia has an ambitious plan to revive its mining industry." He added that up to 52 mines will be put out to tender for development. "We think that the Penouta operation can be at the heart of an expansion of Galicia... We might be able to?benefit from economies of size and position." ETM has not provided any...

Mineral Resources

Norsk Hydro declares new force majeure on Qatar aluminium

According to a notice received by?on Saturday, Norsk Hydro declared a second case of force majeure for?aluminum sales from Qatar. This was after the Qatalum joint-venture?had unexpectedly terminated its marketing agreement with Norsk Hydro. Hydro, which holds a?50%?share in the Qatalum project, which produces 648,000 metric tonnes per year, along with Qatar Aluminum Manufacturing Co, also known as Qamco issued a force majeure order in early March, after the Middle East war interrupted the gas supply to the plant and Qatalum began a shutdown. The?force majeure clause - which exempts parties from any liability in the event of a failure...

Mineral Resources

The gold output of Ivory Coast is expected to increase in 2026, as the mines expand

Director?general of mines for Ivory Coast, the West African country, said that gold production is expected to increase from 59.33 tonnes in 2025 to 62 metric tonnes in '2026 as existing?mines expand their operations. Seydoucoulibaly predicted that production would increase to 63 tonnes in 2027, and to around 69 tonnes in 2028. There are currently 14 gold mines operating in the world's leading cocoa producer. He said that the number of gold mines in operation will increase to 15 within two years, with the Kone mine coming online, and 17 in three, when the Doropo mine and the?Tanda Mine come...