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US officials claim that Trump vetoed Israel's plan to kill Iran’s supreme leader.
Two U.S. officials said on Sunday that President Donald Trump had vetoed a plan by Israel to kill Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ayatollah Khamenei in the recent days. "Have Iranians yet killed an American? No. We're not going to go after them until they change," said a source, a senior U.S. government official. Under condition of anonymity the officials said that top U.S. officials were in constant communication with Israeli officials since Israel launched an attack on Iran to stop its nuclear program. The Israelis claimed that they reported to Trump that they had the opportunity to kill Iran's top leader. But Trump dismissed the plan. Officials refused to confirm whether Trump delivered the message himself. Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli prime minister, have been in regular contact. In an interview with Fox News Channel’s “Special Report with Bret Baier” on Sunday, Netanyahu said, "There are so many false stories of conversations that have never taken place, and I won't get into that." "But I'm sure that we will do it," Netanyahu said. "I think that the United States know what is best for the United States," Netanyahu stated. Trump has expressed hope that U.S. and Iranian negotiations on Tehran's nuclear programme will resume. The strikes forced the cancellation of talks scheduled for Oman on Sunday. Trump said on Friday "We knew everything" About the Israeli strikes
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G7 leaders gather in Canada to avoid Trump clash
The Group of Seven Leaders will gather in the Canadian Rockies on Sunday, amid growing divisions between the United States and Canada over trade and foreign policy. Canada is trying to avoid any clashes with Trump. The conflicts in the Middle East, Ukraine and U.S. Tariffs are likely to be prominently discussed. Israel, an ally of the United States, launched a barrage on Iran's borders on Thursday. This was a blow for Trump's diplomatic efforts in preventing such an attack. The summit will be held in Kananaskis Mountain Resort, about 90 km (56 mi) west of Calgary. Last time Canada hosted the summit, Trump left before he had denounced Justin Trudeau at the time as "very dishonest" and "weak". He also instructed the U.S. delegation to withdraw their approval of the final communiqué. This will be a success meeting if Donald Trump does not have an explosion that disrupts the whole gathering. "Anything above that is gravy," declared Roland Paris, professor of international affairs at the University of Ottawa and former Trudeau's foreign policy advisor. Trump has frequently mused on annexing Canada. He arrives as Carney threatens retaliation if Washington doesn't lift the tariffs on aluminum and steel. The best-case scenario is that no major problems will arise in the future, said Josh Lipsky. He was a former White House official and State Department official and chair of the Atlantic Council's international economics department. Carney's Office declined to comment on the impact of the Israeli strikes on the summit. NO JOINT CONMUNIQUE Diplomats say Canada is no longer interested in the traditional joint communique, and will instead issue brief chair summaries to contain a crisis and maintain engagement with the U.S. Senior Canadian officials told reporters Ottawa was interested in actions that the seven countries - Canada France Germany Italy Japan United Kingdom and United States could take together. Canadian Senator Peter Boehm said that he was told that the summit would be longer than usual in order to allow time for bilateral meetings between the U.S. President and Canadian senator. Among the expected guests at parts of Sunday's event are leaders from Ukraine and Mexico, as well as India, Australia, South Africa South Korea, Brazil, and South Korea. Boehm told Boehm by phone that "many will want the opportunity to speak to President Trump regarding their particular concerns and interests." On Friday, a senior U.S. government official stated that the working discussions will cover trade, global economics, vital minerals, drug and migrant smuggling as well as wildfires. Other topics include international security, artificial intelligent, energy security and security of natural resources. The official stated that "the president is eagerly pursuing his goals in these areas, including making America's trading relationships fair and reciprocal." The visit by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy in the Oval Office, in February, descended into bitterness and served as a warning to other world leaders on the delicate dance that they will have to perform in order for them negotiate with Trump. Diplomats have said that the frustration they feel in dealing with Trump's administration has made them more assertive. Canada has been a vocal supporter of Ukraine for many years. Trump promised to end the Russian war within 24 hours when he came to power, but diplomatic efforts have failed to resolve the conflict. A Ukrainian official who was involved in the preparations for this summit stated that hope for a strong support for Ukraine had faded. Success for Kyiv will be a meeting between Trump Zelenskiy. An official from Europe said that the G7 Summit and the NATO Summit in The Hague in later June offered an opportunity for Trump to be reminded of the importance of pushing forward with the sanctions bill drafted by U.S. Senators, along with a new European package designed to pressure Russia to a ceasefire or broader discussions. Early Test Max Bergmann is a director of the Center for Strategic and International Studies. He said that Trump's first summit with foreign leaders will give some early clues as to whether Trump wants to work with allies in order solve problems. The big question is: Are the United States still committed towards formats such as the G7 format? Bergmann stated that the test will be "the big one". Emmanuel Macron, the French president, has stated that he enjoys a good relationship with Trump despite their differences in regards to Ukraine and climate change. Macron announced on Friday the postponement of a United Nations Conference co-hosted by France and Saudi Arabia to discuss a two state solution between Israel, and the Palestinians. The conference was scheduled for after the G7.
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Oil price volatility and the Israel-Iran conflict has investors on edge
Investors were nervous ahead of the markets' reopening on Sunday evening. The risks ranged from increased prospects of a wide Middle East conflict to U.S. protests against Donald Trump, which threatened further domestic chaos. Israel and Iran have launched new attacks against each other on Sunday. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said that Israeli strikes will intensify, as Tehran has called off the nuclear talks which Washington had argued were the only way to stop the bombing. Yemen's Houthis, who are aligned with Iran, also joined the fray. The price of oil rose by 7% Friday as Israel and Iran exchanged strikes. Investors will be closely watching the market opening to see what happens. Samy Chaar is the chief economist at Lombard Odier. He said that we are still in a phase of "controlled confrontation" and it's too early to predict real economic damage, despite the high risks. He said: "For the moment, we are seeing spikes in oil prices, volatility and everyone is a little nervous. But there's no sign that the scenario of no return has arrived." Israel may have struck Iran's oil-and-gas industry for the very first time on Saturday. Iranian state media reported a fire at a gasfield. Israel's air assault against Iran, which began in the early hours of Friday morning, killed commanders, scientists, and bombed nuclear sites, all to prevent Tehran from building an atomic device, knocked down risky assets, including stocks, Friday. The air offensive also increased oil prices, and led to a rush for gold and dollars. For the first time since months, they were seen as safe-haven assets. The oil prices are at a six-month high, and this could be a threat to inflation as central banks across the globe grapple with Trump's tariffs on trade and their impact on the economy. Chaar, a Lombard Odier economist, said that a rise in oil prices shouldn't in theory affect monetary policy at this time. This is because any disruption in Iranian oil supply could be partially offset by increases in production elsewhere. Chaar added that the days of central banks raising rates due to a surge in oil prices are long gone. Instead, policymakers would be more likely to focus on the fundamentals of the economy and the drivers for demand. Investors remain nervous, however, as the S&P 500 has stalled out after rallying by about 20% since its April lows caused by trade wars to reach near-record highs. Alex Morris, Chief Investment Officer of F/m Investments Washington said: "The risk profile is too high to return to the market at this time." Meanwhile, Protests The "No Kings Coalition" has organised a protest against The policies of and the assassination The resignation of two Minnesota state legislators on Saturday has added to the negative mood. U.S. Stock Futures will resume trading on Sunday at 6 pm (2200 GMT). Investors' expectations of near-term market fluctuations jumped as risky assets fell. The Cboe Volatility Index (often called the "fear index" of Wall Street) rose 2.8 points on Friday to close at 20,82, its highest closing in three weeks. Michael Thompson, coportfolio manager of boutique investment firm Little Harbor Advisors said that he will be monitoring volatility futures near-term prices to see if they rise towards or above the levels for futures expiring in a few months. He said: "This would suggest to us that short-term hedging was warranted." Reporting by Saqib Ahmed and Linda Pasquini, Editing by Alden, Richard Chang and Amanda Cooper, Susan Fenton and Susan Fenton
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Macron visits Greenland as a sign of European resolve following Trump's annexation threat
French President Emmanuel Macron is visiting Greenland this Sunday in a show to Denmark of solidarity, and to send a message of European resolve following the threat by Donald Trump to seize control of the island. Greenland is an autonomous part of Denmark, with the right to declare its independence. Greenland's and Denmark's governments both say that it is not up for sale, and that only Greenlanders have the right to decide their own future. Donald Trump said that he wanted the United States take over the strategically located, mineral-rich Arctic island. He hasn't ruled out using force. In March, JDVance, his vice president, visited an American military base on the island. Macron was invited to Greenland by the Prime Ministers of Greenland, and Denmark. He is the first foreign leader since Trump's explicit threat to "get" Greenland. He said that his visit was to stop any "preying" of the territory. France has been with us ever since the first comments about taking our land were made. The support from France is both needed and appreciated," Greenland Prime Minister Jens Frederik Nielsen wrote days before Macron's arrival on Facebook. A Macron adviser told reporters that the trip was a message in and of itself, without mentioning Trump. On Sunday, Foreign Minister Jean-Noel Barrot said on RTL radio: "Greenland has a European character and it's normal for Europe and France to show interest." According to a IFOP survey for NYC.eu, published on Saturday 77% of French people and 56% Americans disapprove an annexation by the U.S. of Greenland. 43% of French would be in favor of using French military force to prevent an invasion by the U.S. Macron will also visit Nuuk's capital, a hydropower plant funded by the EU, a glacier and discuss Arctic climate change and security with his hosts. Greenland, though Denmark is a member of the EU, is not. The French advisor said that the visit was an opportunity to discuss ways to give Greenland’s association partnership with EU a “new dimension". Mette Frederiksen, the Danish Prime Minister, made several trips to Paris following Trump's threats of seeking French and European support. She has also placed orders for French surface-to air missiles in an effort to shift focus to Copenhagen. Florian Vidal, a think tank in Paris, IFRI, explained that Denmark's decision to enlist the EU's sole nuclear power was a way of projecting a hard power against a suddenly aggressive United States. He said that the Trump administration's aggressiveness is a shock, which makes the French vision of Europe more reasonable to Denmark. From a Nordic perspective, France is an important military power. (Reporting from Michel Rose in Paris, Stine Jacobsen at Copenhagen; Additional reporting by Andreas Rinke and Dominique Vidalon; Editing by Sophie Walker.
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Russian news agencies reported that Russia had handed Ukraine 1,200 more bodies of war dead.
Russian state media reported that Russia handed Ukraine 1,200 more bodies of Ukrainian soldiers who died in the war on Sunday. Moscow, they said, had not received any Russian corpses in return. Both Russian state-run news agencies TASS (Russian) and RIA (Russian) reported the transfer, citing a source that was not named. This is the fourth of a series in which remains of soldiers have been handed over in the last week. The agreement was reached by Russia and Ukraine during talks held in Istanbul at the beginning of this month. Kyiv agreed to hand over 6,000 bodies, and exchange prisoners of war who were severely wounded or sick. They also agreed to swap those under 25 years old and prisoners who were seriously injured. Russia has handed the bodies of almost 5,000 Ukrainian military personnel to Ukraine, but only received 27 Russians in return. Ukraine and Russia have exchanged POWs three times, but they have not revealed the exact number. Reporting by Felix Light, Editing by Andrew Osborn
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Russia claims to have struck a refinery which supplies fuel to the Ukrainian army
The Russian defence ministry announced on Sunday that Russian forces had carried out a nighttime strike on the Kremenchuk Oil Refinery, which supplies fuel to Ukrainian troops in the Donbas area. In a statement, the ministry said that missiles fired from sea and air were used to attack the refinery located in Ukraine's Poltava Region. Strike drones also appeared in this successful attack. The Russian report on the battlefield was not verified and the Ukrainians did not immediately comment. Russia claims Ukraine's eastern Donbas as its own, and controls the majority of Donetsk and Luhansk. Ukraine has said that it will use a mix of diplomacy and force to regain territory lost to Russia in the Donbas region. Separately, the Russian Defence Ministry announced that its forces had taken over the village of Malynivka located in the Donetsk Region (known in Russia as Ulyanovka). The Russian military also claimed that its forces had penetrated deep into the enemy's defences in Ukraine’s Sumy region, and suffered heavy losses against Ukrainian units. Sumy isn't one of the areas Russia has claimed as its territory, but they have spoken of creating an area there. The Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskiy announced on Saturday that Ukrainian troops had recaptured Andriivka in northeastern Sumy, as part of an effort to expel Russians from the area. He claims that Russia has 53,000 troops near the area. Reporting by Andrew Osborn/Felix Light, Editing by Jan Harvey & David Goodwin
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G7 leaders gather in Canada to avoid Trump clash
The Group of Seven Leaders will gather in the Canadian Rockies on Sunday, amid a growing divide with the United States regarding foreign policy and commerce. Canada is trying to avoid clashes between President Trump and the host country. The conflicts in the Middle East, Ukraine and U.S. Tariffs are likely to be prominently discussed. Israel, an ally of the United States, launched a barrage on Iran's borders on Thursday. This was a blow for Trump's diplomatic efforts in preventing such an attack. The summit will be held in Kananaskis Mountain Resort, about 90 km (56 mi) west of Calgary. Last time Canada hosted the summit, Trump left before he had denounced Justin Trudeau at the time as "very dishonest" and "weak". He also instructed the U.S. delegation to withdraw their approval of the final communiqué. This will be a success meeting if Donald Trump does not have a ruckus that disrupts everyone. "Anything above that is gravy", said Roland Paris, professor of international affairs at the University of Ottawa and former Trudeau's foreign policy advisor. Trump has frequently mused on annexing Canada. He arrives as Carney threatens retaliation if Washington doesn't lift the tariffs on aluminum and steel. The best-case scenario is that no major problems will arise in the future, said Josh Lipsky. He was a former White House official and State Department official and chair of the Atlantic Council's international economics department. Carney's Office declined to comment on the impact of the Israeli strikes on the summit. NO JOINT CONMUNIQUE Diplomats say Canada is no longer interested in the traditional joint communique, and will instead issue brief chair summaries to contain a crisis and maintain engagement with the U.S. Senior Canadian officials told reporters Ottawa was interested in actions that the seven countries - Canada France Germany Italy Japan United Kingdom and United States could take together. Canadian Senator Peter Boehm said that he was told the summit would be longer than usual in order to allow time for bilateral meetings between the U.S. President and Canadian senator. Among the expected guests at parts of Sunday's event are leaders from Ukraine and Mexico, as well as India, Australia, South Africa South Korea, Brazil and South Korea. Boehm told Boehm by phone that "many will want the opportunity to speak to President Trump regarding their particular concerns and interests." On Friday, a senior U.S. government official stated that the working discussions will cover trade, global economics, vital minerals, drug and migrant smuggling as well as wildfires. Other topics include international security, artificial intelligent, energy security and security of natural resources. The official stated that "the president is eagerly pursuing his goals in these areas, including making America's trading relationships fair and reciprocal." The visit by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy in the Oval Office, in February, descended into bitterness and served as a warning to other world leaders on the delicate dance that they will have to perform in order for them negotiate with Trump. Diplomats have said that the frustration they feel in dealing with Trump's administration has made them more assertive. Canada has been one of Ukraine’s loudest supporters for a long time. Trump promised to end the Russian war within 24 hours when he came to power, but diplomatic efforts have failed to resolve the conflict. A Ukrainian official who was involved in the preparations for this summit stated that hope for a strong support for Ukraine had dwindled. Success for Kyiv will be a meeting between Trump Zelenskiy. An official from Europe said that the G7 Summit and the NATO Summit in The Hague in later June offered an opportunity for Trump to be reminded of the importance of pushing forward with the sanctions bill drafted by U.S. Senators, along with a new European package designed to pressure Russia to a ceasefire or broader discussions. Early Test Max Bergmann is a director of the Center for Strategic and International Studies. He said that Trump's first summit with foreign leaders will give some early clues as to whether Trump wants to work with allies in order solve problems. The big question is: Are the United States still committed towards formats such as the G7 format? Bergmann stated that the test will be "the big one". Emmanuel Macron, the French president, has stated that he enjoys a good relationship with Trump despite their differences in regards to Ukraine and climate change. Macron announced on Friday the postponement of a United Nations Conference co-hosted by France and Saudi Arabia to discuss a two state solution between Israel, and the Palestinians. The conference was scheduled for after the G7.
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Foreign Minister: Iran will not expand conflict with Israel but will defend itself
Abbas Araqchi, the Foreign Minister of Iran, said that Iran did not want to see its conflict with Israel spread to its neighbouring countries, unless it was forced. He added that its response to Israel had been in self-defence. Araqchi stated that Tehran was responding to an aggression from abroad, and if the aggression stopped, Iranian responses would cease. The Foreign Minister said that the Israeli attacks on the South Pars offshore gas field Iran and Qatar share were "a blatant act of aggression" He said that dragging the conflict into the Persian Gulf was a strategic error, with the aim of dragging the war outside Iranian territory. Israel, according to the foreign minister, was trying to sabotage Iran-U.S. Nuclear Talks. He said that this could have led to an agreement. Tehran was scheduled to make a proposal on Sunday, during the sixth round of negotiations that were cancelled due to recent tensions. Araqchi stated that Tehran did not believe American claims that Washington was not involved in recent attacks. It is important for the United States not to support Israeli attacks on Iranian nuclear facilities, if they wish to demonstrate their good will." (Reporting and editing by Dubai Newsroom)
Battery shifts to nickel and cobalt as a result of the energy storage boom
Fidra Energy's plan to convert a 55-acre patch of countryside in northern England into Europe's biggest energy storage facility, a 1,45 gigawatt one once complete, was far from finalized when it acquired the land in 2023.
Chris Elder, CEO of the Edinburgh-based firm, said, "We struggled to make economics work."
The cost of the batteries used in this project has been roughly halved over the last 18 months.
Fidra plans to begin installing battery units in its Thorpe Marsh 600-million-pound ($800 million) project next year.
LFP batteries have fueled a boom in energy-storage projects, which - in terms of percentage - has now surpassed the growth in electric vehicle sales. UBS estimates that total storage capacity will have to grow eight-fold before the end of the decade, and 34-fold until 2050 in order to keep pace with the growth of renewable energy.
According to an energy transition consultancy, Rho Motion, while EVs will still dominate the battery market, energy storage is expected to make up a fifth of it by 2030.
Analysts say that tariff uncertainty will cause growth in the U.S. to slow down in the coming years. The U.S. is the second largest energy storage market in the world, and it's still dependent on Chinese imports. But the long-term growth remains intact.
This is good news for renewables and should help national power grids maintain a balanced supply of electricity as they transition to cleaner sources of energy, avoiding the type massive blackouts that briefly crippled Spain in the last month.
LFPs are a much more affordable alternative to traditional batteries, and they do not contain cobalt or nickel. This rapid adoption is sending shockwaves throughout the markets that already have a depressed state.
Martin Jackson, a commodities consultant at CRU, said: "You have seen a truly massive shift in the intensity of use for nickel and cobalt as compared to battery demand."
NICKEL AND COBALT DECLINE
Analysts predicted for years that the battery industry would require huge amounts of cobalt and nickel to make high-powered batteries that allow EVs travel long distances without charging. This forecast sent EV prices soaring for a while.
Production increased in anticipation of a surge in demand, especially for the top nickel exporter Indonesia and cobalt-exporting Democratic Republic of Congo.
The lack of affordable EVs and the slow deployment of charging infrastructure has slowed EV adoption among consumers outside China. This has led some automakers to scale back on their electrification plan.
Oversupply has caused nickel prices to fall by half over the last three years, while cobalt prices have fallen by 60%.
Global EV sales grew by 23% in 2018. According to Rho Motion the demand for storage battery has risen by 51% and is expected to grow by 40% in 2019.
LFP batteries are the most common type of energy storage. They're essential for greener power grids, which will help governments achieve their net-zero goals.
These batteries are increasingly used by Chinese EV manufacturers, including BYD - which last year surpassed Tesla to become the largest seller of EVs in the world.
According to CRU data, as a result of this, the use of nickel in batteries for EVs, consumer electronics and storage batteries has decreased by nearly a third during the next four years, and by about two-thirds with cobalt.
Prices for both metals are likely to be further impacted by the increasing pace of LFP adoption.
Lithium could, however, see a rise.
Iola Hughes, from Rho Motion, said: "The share that stationary storage plays in the battery demand picture has grown very significantly. It is becoming increasingly important to lithium players as EV demand is slower than expected."
This has not yet translated into a stronger market, as the oversupply is pushing down already low lithium carbonate prices by another 20% this year.
Beyond Price
LFP batteries are not just about price.
Fidra's Elder stated that recent technological advancements in LFP batteries have resulted in Thorpe Marsh LFP batteries having a life expectancy of 20 years. This is up from the previous 10-15 years.
Lars Christian Bacher CEO of Norway's Morrow Batteries said that the change is also driven by concerns about the carbon intensity and rights issues relating to the cobalt mined in Congo.
He said that there are high expectations for battery suppliers to be able to trace the origins of their products. "Some of these mineral have been historically associated with... countries which have some questions related to human right issues, child labor."
Lithium also faces increasing scrutiny due to indigenous rights and environmental concerns, although this hasn't garnered as much attention from the public as nickel and cobalt.
Morrow plans to produce 3 million cells, or 1 gigawatt-hour of capacity, per year. According to the British energy regulator, fully charged, this is roughly enough to run 1 million homes an hour.
Batteries are being produced by existing manufacturers.
LG Energy Solution, a South Korean company, is expanding its business in energy storage to offset the slowdown of EV demand across North America.
An industry source in Asia said that the company plans to stop producing EV batteries containing Nickel at one U.S. facility and repurpose them for LFP battery manufacturing.
Analysts expect that the shift to LFPs will only strengthen China's grip on the sector.
90 percent of the energy storage batteries in the United States are imported from China.
Analysts say that Washington's tariffs against Chinese batteries - which are currently 41% during this 90-day truce in the trade war - will likely affect short-term demand.
Fidra's Elder said that while Europe also wants to reduce its dependency on China, governments must be pragmatic. His Thorpe Marsh project, which uses batteries manufactured by China's Sungrow Power Supply company, relies on Sungrow Power Supply's Sungrow Power Supply batteries.
He said that if the British government is serious about achieving its net-zero target for the UK – and I believe it is – it will have to work pragmatically with China.
(source: Reuters)