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Energy Markets

Crude Oil

Fossil Fuels

Norway's Equinor signs a three-year agreement with Poland's Orlen

The Norwegian company Equinor announced on Thursday that it had signed a contract for a period of three years to supply oil from western Europe's largest producing field Johan 'Sverdrup. Equinor announced that the contract will begin in September and allow for deliveries between 5 million metric tonnes and more than nine million tons. The deal is flexible, and allows for different Norwegian grades. However, Johan Sverdrup’s medium-heavy oil?is an excellent substitute for Russian Urals which historically Lithuanian or Polish refineries were designed to process. Since Russia's war against Ukraine began in?2022, European nations have slowly stopped using Russian energy....

Crude Oil

MORNING BID EUROPE-Yen stuck in twilight zone

Ankur Banerjee gives us a look at what the day will bring for the European and global markets. The yen is back in the intervention area, but it's fate now seems to depend on the Fed's policies and the Bank of Japan's aggressive hikes, after the joint operation with the U.S.' failed to stop the currency's fall. The currency is heading for its worst three-month period, with the rate hovering around 159.37 dollars per U.S. Dollar, moving ever closer to 160, which could trigger another round of intervention. Tokyo spent billions to prop up the yen between April and May,...

Crude Oil

The Strait of Hormuz suddenly becomes 'irrelevant to the US'

Wayne Cole gives us a look at what the day will bring for European and global markets. Asian stocks are mostly higher following the Wall Street rally on Friday, but European share futures are down as oil prices rise amid confusion about the Strait of Hormuz. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent claimed over the weekend that the'strait' would become "irrelevant", as oil will eventually be redirected via pipelines. This gave analysts the impression that the White House is trying to wash their hands of this whole matter. Iran announced on Sunday that it was nearing completion of a deal to define...

Crude Oil

Morning bid Europe-Bond markets do the Fed's job

Ankur Banerjee gives a look at what the markets will be like in Europe and globally. A divided Federal Reserve and a confusing message by Chair Kevin 'Warsh about where rates are heading has left the bond market scratching their heads and'somehow in control, in an 'odd reversal which raises questions regarding the credibility of the central bank. As expected, the U.S. Central Bank did nothing, but three dissenters highlighted the growing divide between policymakers about the next steps to combat inflation, which remains above the Fed’s target of 2 percent. Warsh pledged to contain inflation, but did not give...

Crude Oil

Morning Bid Europe-Chips are jolted by a shift in momentum for AI

Tom Westbrook gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. Chip stocks in Asia fell on Tuesday due to the twin threats of Chinese competition rising and questions over funding and sustainability of AI infrastructure boom. South Korea's KOSPI fell nearly 10%, tripping a circuit breaker. Japan's Nikkei dropped 4.4%. The rally has been so strong that both markets are still the leaders for the year, even though they have now reached multi-month lows. Nvidia fell 5% Monday after a Wall Street Journal article reported that the chipmaker had been in discussions to provide...

Crude Oil

Markets are hopeful as US and Iran hold off on war.

Wayne Cole gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. The Gulf has settled into a fragile truce as the U.S. military halted its attacks in part due to concerns that it was running low on ammunition. Iran also said that it would hold off until the U.S. Hold off. Investors have viewed the Houthis' attack on Saudi Arabian oil facilities as a de-escalation step and have pushed Brent down 4%, to $92.80. The $100 mark seems to be where the U.S. blinks. Oil needs to remain close to this level to keep both...

Crude Oil

Saudi Arabia cuts prices and OPEC+ increases target, but oil prices are little affected

Prices were little changed Monday as they traded?around pre -Iran War levels. Saudi Arabia slashed their?official'selling prices. OPEC+ approved a new production target starting in August. And exports via the Strait of Hormuz improved further. Brent crude futures were trading at $72.19 per barrel at 11:26 am, after hitting a four-year peak above $126 late in April. ET (1626 GMT), up by 7 cents or 0.1%. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude was trading at $68.81 per barrel, an increase of 12 cents or 0.2%. WTI was not settled on Friday due to the fact that U.S. market were closed. Both...

Crude Oil

Investors shop for Q3 at MORNING BID EUROPE

Tom Westbrook gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. This session is the first day of buying for the next quarter, as trades settle on the following day. The 'biggest supply shock in history' has barely left a mark on the financial markets as China cut demand, producers and alternative shipping routes filled the shortfall. The oil prices have dropped to the levels they were before the U.S., Israel and Iran conflict began in February. Skirmishes that strain the ceasefire draw little attention. Even the bond markets seem to be changing. The bond...

Crude Oil

MORNING BID EUROPE - Tech and war worries sap confidence

Gregor Stuart Hunter gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. Oil is back in the spotlight and equity markets are struggling to find a footing after the selloff this week triggered by new?blows against the ceasefire?in?the Middle East. U.S. has?launched a new strike against multiple targets within Iran. President Donald Trump has promised even more attacks in the event of no peace agreement. Brent crude rose by 1.7% to $94.64 on Friday after the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps of Iran announced that it had targeted U.S. bases in Kuwait and Bahrain and threatened?to...

Crude Oil

Morning bid Europe- Fortune really has to favour the brave

Wayne Cole gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. Asian investors, whether very brave or foolish, have returned to buying the dips on Tuesday, and most regional indexes are rebounding. News that Iran and Israel had agreed to halt their attacks for the foreseeable future helped lift oil prices. South Korea's Kospi has gained almost 5% after losing 8% on Monday. It is still up an insignificant 83% this year. The bull market has attracted more retail investors, who borrow to buy, and are therefore vulnerable to margin calls. Recent Bank of Korea...

Crude Oil

A ceasefire that is too far for the markets

Gregor Stuart Hunter gives us a look at what the markets will be like tomorrow in Europe and globally. Traders are battling with contradicting 'headlines': the renewed fighting between Iran and the U.S. on the one hand and the ceasefire?between Israel & Lebanon?on teh other. This time, there's no sign of a relief rally. Brent crude futures are just 0.7% down at $97.12 per barrel, after Lebanon and Israel agreed on a ceasefire. The agreement is conditional upon a complete cessation in fire by the Iran-aligned Hezbollah and the evacuation of its operatives out of the South Litani Sector. The...

Crude Oil

MORNING BID EUROPE - Who needs oil when you can buy AI?

Wayne Cole gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. Investors seem to be deciding that no news is better than bad news in regards to the Gulf peace negotiations. The President had stated that he would be meeting on Friday last week to decide whether to sign off an extension of the ceasefire. Since then, there has been no news, apart from Trump comparing himself to Elvis. Hegseth, the Defence Secretary, did say that if an agreement was not reached on a deal suitable for Iran then the U.S. might restart its attacks....

Environment

Climate Change

As business losses increase, Europe's heatwaves expose a gap in insurance coverage

Since more than a century, the cafes of Padua, Italy, have invited customers to enjoy an aperitivo (early evening drink) and socialise outside before dinner. The traditional time slot of 6-7 pm has all but disappeared in Europe as people are seeking air conditioning indoors. This is affecting sales at many hospitality businesses. Extreme heat is often excluded from traditional business interruption policies, which exposes a growing gap in protection for businesses across Europe. Moody's published estimates stating that the European heatwaves last summer cost EUR43 billion ($50billion) in economic output, but only EUR500 million in insured payouts. Federica Luni...

Climate Change

As business losses increase, Europe's heatwaves expose a gap in insurance coverage

Since more than a hundred years, the cafes of Padua, Italy, have invited customers to enjoy an aperitivo (early evening drink), encouraging them sit outside before dinner and socialise. The traditional 6-7 pm slot is all but gone as people are seeking air conditioning?inside, which has a negative impact on sales. Extreme heat is often excluded from traditional business interruption policies, which exposes a growing gap in protection for businesses across Europe. Moody's published estimates that the European heatwaves last summer cost EUR43 billion ($50billion) in lost output, while only generating about EUR500m of insurance payouts. Federica Luni is the...

Pollution

Seoul reports white phosphorus leaks from a US airbase in South Korea

The South Korean authorities ordered a brief evacuation of the surrounding area on Tuesday following a 'leakage of white phosphorus in the?U.S. Safety Ministry reported that Osan Air Base is located south of Seoul. Yonhap reported that no casualties had been reported, and the evacuation order for residents was lifted about a half-hour later, after South Korean fire authorities & U.S. Forces?had completed decontamination. The base issued a statement saying that "at 1708 (808?GMT) due to a mishap on the ground and to be extra'safety, Osan AB established a 1000-foot'safety cordon in order to?protect both base and local population." Our...

Mining

Antofagasta will seek environmental approval in the fourth quarter for Encierro Volcanes exploration

Antofagasta, a Chilean copper miner, plans to submit environmental applications in the fourth quarter to expand its exploration activities for?its Encierro and Volcanes project. This move would be a significant step forward in two of Antofagasta’s long-term growth options for copper, as major miner race to replenish pipelines, while grappling with difficult permitting processes, water restrictions and aging deposits, especially in Chile, the top copper producer. Encierro is a joint venture between Barrick Mining and a copper mine in northern Atacama that contains gold and molybdenum. Volcanes, a separate copper-mining project located in the mining-heavy Antofagasta area, is partially controlled...

Mineral Resources

Mineral Resources

Aluminium reaches seven-week high due to supply concerns and lower stock levels

Aluminum?prices rose to a seven week high on Tuesday, as 'concerns about supply from the Gulf coincided wth Norsk Hydro announcing a reduction in feedstock production?at?its Brazilian facility. Benchmark three-month "aluminum" on the London Metal Exchange rose 1.9% at 0850 GMT to $3,378.50 per metric ton, after reaching $3,382.5 as its highest level since June 22. Aluminum extended its gains for a seventh session in a row after Norsk Hydro announced that its Alunorte facility in Brazil had reduced alumina production to 50% of its capacity due to the reduction of natural gas supply. The plant's annual production capacity is...

Mineral Resources

Sweden declares its mining national security interests to counter dependency on China

Sweden declared the mining of critical metals,?rare earths, and other minerals to be a national interest on Thursday. The government said a new strategy for mining was required to 'counter China's dependence. China is the dominant producer of rare earth minerals, which are essential to clean energy production, defence, and electric vehicle manufacturing. Export controls have been a powerful tool in Beijing's trade war with Washington, as well as other disputes. The Per Geijer discovery, near LKAB’s?existing Kiruna Mine, is also one of the European Union’s flagship projects to reduce reliance upon China. Per 'Geijer' is crucial to Europe because...

Mineral Resources

Norsk Hydro's Q2 profits are the highest as higher prices and Qatar offset the lower price.

Norsk Hydro, the Norwegian aluminium manufacturer, reported a quarterly profit that was?above expectations? on Wednesday. Higher aluminium prices and higher?recycling? margins outweighed lower energy output and negative currency effects. Hydro enjoyed a windfall from the higher aluminium prices, regional premiums and disruptions in Middle East supplies during the second quarter. However, reduced production at its Qatalum Joint Venture limited this. The company's adjusted earnings, before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, rose 15% year-over-year to 8.92 billion Norwegian Crowns ($927.0 million) during the April-June period, while the average estimate of analysts polled was 8.22 billion Norwegian Crowns. Hydro's Aluminium Metal division,...

Mineral Resources

Trump tightens waiver rules for defense supply chains

President Donald Trump signed an executive directive on Monday that makes it more difficult for U.S. Defense contractors to get waivers to purchase critical minerals and materials from China or other banned foreign suppliers. This is the latest attempt by the Trump administration to reduce its reliance on overseas supply chain for weapons production. Defense contractors must now do more than just show that a Chinese supplier offers the cheapest or easiest option. Companies requesting a waiver must prove that they have looked for alternatives, disclosed the origins of materials and provided a plan on how to reduce their reliance...

Mineral Resources

Andy Home: The aluminum supply shock has revived long-idled Western Smelters

The Iran War has caused a supply shock that is reviving the old Western aluminum smelters. Magnitude 7 Metals in the U.S. is reactivating its New Madrid smelter located in Missouri. Over the Atlantic, Norwegian producer Hydro announced the partial restart of the Slovalco joint-venture smelter. The two plants were idled due to low aluminum prices and a spike in energy prices that followed the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Washington and Brussels are both desperate to reduce their reliance on an import of a metal used in a wide range of industries. The return of these zombies smelters will not...

Mineral Resources

Aluminium prices fall as supply prospects improve

Aluminum prices dropped on Thursday, as improved supply expectations overshadowed the support of resilient manufacturing data. Benchmark -three-month aluminum on the London Metal Exchange fell 0.46% to $3,062 per metric tonne by 0700 GMT. It fell to $3,040 a metric tonne earlier in the day, its lowest level since February 19. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded aluminium contract fell 0.38%, to 22,400 Yuan ($3,300.09). Emirates Global Aluminium announced that it would be able to restore production at its Al Taweelah Complex - one the largest aluminium production facilities in the world - sooner than expected, signaling an "improving outlook"...

Mineral Resources

Tesla and BMW switch to aluminum from cheaper copper

Ferrari and BMW have introduced new models with lightweight, cost-effective aluminum wiring. This is accelerating the shift away from copper as the dominant material for electric wiring ever since the invention two centuries ago of the electric batteries. JPMorgan predicts that the decisions will affect around 2% global copper demand in this year. Tesla and Chinese EV makers have also made similar moves. The structural increase in copper prices could lead to even more copper being switched over to aluminium. This is due to the increased demand for data centres and green energy, as well as the shortage of copper....

Mineral Resources

ETM is looking for other Spanish mines while it awaits Greenland Rare Earth resolution

Energy Transition Minerals hopes to expand in Spain's Galicia Province as it waits for a resolution of the?legal challenges regarding its massive rare earths project on Greenland. Daniel Mamadou said in an interview with? In an interview, Daniel Mamadou told? Mamadou stated that "Galicia has an ambitious plan to revive its mining industry." He added that up to 52 mines will be put out to tender for development. "We think that the Penouta operation can be at the heart of an expansion of Galicia... We might be able to?benefit from economies of size and position." ETM has not provided any...

Mineral Resources

Norsk Hydro declares new force majeure on Qatar aluminium

According to a notice received by?on Saturday, Norsk Hydro declared a second case of force majeure for?aluminum sales from Qatar. This was after the Qatalum joint-venture?had unexpectedly terminated its marketing agreement with Norsk Hydro. Hydro, which holds a?50%?share in the Qatalum project, which produces 648,000 metric tonnes per year, along with Qatar Aluminum Manufacturing Co, also known as Qamco issued a force majeure order in early March, after the Middle East war interrupted the gas supply to the plant and Qatalum began a shutdown. The?force majeure clause - which exempts parties from any liability in the event of a failure...

Mineral Resources

Shareholders of Kone Lift support TK Elevator's $34 billion takeover plan

The Finnish?elevator manufacturer Kone announced on Wednesday that its shareholders had approved the planned $34 billion purchase of German rival TK Elevator. This will create the largest lift group in the world. LSEG data shows that the deal announced with Advent International and Cinven in April is one of Europe's?"biggest takeovers" in recent years, and it is also the largest private equity sale in Europe since records began in 1980. Kone said shareholders who controlled 74% of the voting power pre-committed themselves to support the deal. After the shareholders meeting, CEO Philippe Delorme spoke at a press briefing. "Now we...

Mineral Resources

Pandora: Low-income customers' lack of confidence hurts US sales

The new CEO Berta De Pablos Barbier is struggling to deal with the weak consumer sentiment that has been affecting the U.S., Europe and the Middle East due to the "Iran War". Pandora is under pressure due to high U.S. tariffs on imports and an increase in the price of silver. The Danish company sells silver charms bracelets starting at $70, made in its factories in Thailand. The company's poll of analysts predicted a first-quarter revenue of 7.089 billion crowns, which sent the shares of Pandora up by 9% at?early trade. Sales in Europe, Middle East, and Africa declined by...

Mineral Resources

German automakers caught in the crosshairs of Trump's latest tariff salvo

The shares of German automakers fell on Monday after President Donald Trump decided to increase U.S. tariffs on imported European vehicles to a 25% levy from the previously agreed 15% levy, dealing 'a 'fresh blow to an already battered industry. As of 1046 GMT the pan-European auto and parts index had fallen 2.3%, while shares for Porsche, BMW Mercedes-Benz, and Volkswagen all fell between 2% and 3%. Trump claimed on Friday that Brussels had failed to comply with an agreement reached between Washington DC and Brussels in 2017 that reduced U.S. tariffs on automobile imports by 15%. The implementation by...