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MORNING BID EUROPE-Markets in Grinch-y mood before data deluge

MORNING BID EUROPE-Markets in Grinch-y mood before data deluge
MORNING BID EUROPE-Markets in Grinch-y mood before data deluge

Ankur Banerjee gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets

Investors are avoiding risky bets ahead of a slew of economic data coming from around the world and the central?bank meeting in what looks to be an eventful last full week of the calendar year.

The European session's focus will be on the UK wage data, which comes just days before a vote on interest rate cuts on Thursday. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey may change his mind and tilt the balance in favor of a reduction.

The manufacturing data for Europe in December will also be on the agenda. This information will give us more insight about the economy heading into next.

The market has quickly shifted its focus to the Federal Reserve's monetary policy in 2026 after it cut interest rates as expected last week. The Fed is only expecting a single rate reduction, but traders are pricing at least two rounds.

This divergence is likely to be resolved by the incoming U.S. Economic data, which includes the always-important and much-anticipated jobs report. The combined report for October and November will finally be released, after a 43-day shutdown of the government.

As the shutdown prevented the collection of household data, it could be difficult to interpret the data.

It's not surprising that the markets were completely risk-off in?Asian time, with tech stocks suffering a major blow.

Stocks in South Korea, Taiwan and other tech-heavy countries fell by more than 1%. European equity futures also pointed to an opening lower. Bitcoin, the most common risk barometer is near its two-week lows. It remains under pressure.

The yen smelt a bid for a safe haven and firmed up to 154.80 against the dollar before Friday's Bank of Japan policy meeting. The markets are largely expecting a rate increase, but the focus is now on when it will happen.

The following are the key developments that may influence Tuesday's markets:

Economic events: UK wage data from October, December flash PMI for France, Germany and the euro zone, UK; December economic sentiment in Germany

(source: Reuters)