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Crude Oil

Morning bid Europe-Inflation will wipe out UK's rate-cutting bets

Rae Wee gives us a look at what the European and global markets will be like tomorrow. The Bank of England's (BoE), which is expected to cut rates again this year, will likely be disappointed if the consumer prices in Britain are higher than expected. The BoE expects the inflation rate in September to be 4%, which is the highest of all the big economies around the world and twice the BoE target. The markets currently price in a chance of nearly 15% that the central banks will ease rates by 25 basis point at their November meeting. A positive...

Crude Oil

Morning bid Europe- News overload splits the markets

Kevin Buckland gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. Investors are unable to find the right information with so much information. Investors are now looking in multiple directions simultaneously, and this is creating a clear split between asset classes. The stock markets in Asia are rallying on Thursday. From Taipei to Seoul, and Sydney to Sydney, they have all reached new highs. This is due to the AI euphoria, which has been a driving force in the tech-heavy North Asian market. The SOX semiconductor index also rose 3% over night. ASML, a Dutch...

Crude Oil

Morning bid Europe-Politics dominate the markets from Japan stocks to Bitcoin

Kevin Buckland gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. The global markets were firmly in control of politics on Monday. This was not least because the right-wing fiscal dove Sanae Takayi won a weekend surprise victory that will make her Japan's first woman prime minister. In the first few minutes of trading, Nikkei broke through several psychologically significant levels and reached a new all-time record not far off 48,000. The long-dated bond rates, on the other hand, rose to just below record highs due to concerns about the country's finances. The yen fell...

Crude Oil

Darkness descends on the US job market

Kevin Buckland gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. Investors knew that the U.S. labor market was in need of support. But the miserable ADP Employment Report, released to the market at the same time as the shutdown of the federal government, is particularly alarming. ADP reported that payrolls fell by 32,000, compared to the economists' expectations of a rise of 50,000 for September. The 54,000 increase for August has been revised down to a slight decline. For the moment, traders are adopting a narrative that "bad news is a good news", and...

Crude Oil

Morning bid Europe-Markets to the Fed: Please take five more.

Wayne Cole gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. It was good to hear that. The CPI in the U.S. was a little firmer, but not enough to notice. The prices that feed core PCE were surprising benign. This led analysts to reduce their forecasts from +0.2%m/m to a steady 2,9% for the year. The Federal Reserve is set to begin its easing cycle next week with 25 basis point, but the markets only see a 7% probability of a 50bps. The magnitude of the decline in labour market data would lead you...

Crude Oil

The specter of stagflation clouds Fed's optimism

Kevin Buckland gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. The market is optimistic about monetary policy. Rising equity prices and falling bond values are a good indicator of this. A rate cut next week at the Fed meeting has a decent chance to be a big one. Wall Street closed with new record highs over night, Taiwan's benchmark has reached a new peak and Japan's Nikkei index is moving back to Tuesday's unprecedented level. The unquestionable weakness of labour market indicates that policy easing will be imminent. The question is, however, how much...

Crude Oil

Markets make a big bet on Goldilocks' payroll number

Kevin Buckland gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. The markets are in a positive mood as they anticipate that the Fed will continue to reduce rates by this month, and again at year's end. The previous month's payrolls shockingly high reading sparked speculation that the U.S. would have to change its monetary policy quickly. This time, economists expect a slightly higher reading. Fed Chair Jay Powell shocked many last month at the closely watched Jackson Hole Symposium with a keynote suggesting a reduction on September 17, unless data get in the way....

Crude Oil

MORNING BID EUROPE - China markets are the latest to catch AI fever

Wayne Cole gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. The market has had a difficult start to the month of September, with Wall Street away on vacation and much of Asia down. S&P futures are flat during what is usually a poor month. European share futures are hardly moving, but China is still well supported by liquidity seeking a home in the low-yielding world. Chinese blue-chip stocks rose more than 10% in the last month. This was aided by reports that Beijing is pushing companies to create a domestic alternative to Nvidia AI...

Crude Oil

The French crisis is back, and so is the MORNING BID Europe

Ankur Banerjee gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets The markets have chosen to temporarily ignore the Trump v Fed drama, and instead focus on the political crisis in France. This has led to a steep selloff of stocks and bonds for the second largest economy in the eurozone. The gamble taken by Francois Bayrou, French Prime Minister Francois Bayrou to gain support for his unpopular plan of debt reduction has backfired Tuesday, causing the country's political and financial instability to worsen. FRENCH WORRIES Investors are keeping an eye on France’s blue-chip CAC40,...

Crude Oil

Morning bid Europe- Geopolitics takes center stage before Fed.

Wayne Cole gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. When the idea that Putin sent a body double to Alaska sounds plausible, you know we're living in crazy times. It's clear that President Trump is now tweeting Kremlin talking-points about Crimea and Zelenskiy. Putin seems to believe that Ukraine must give up the land that Russia has taken and that it has not been able to gain in three years of war. Zelenskiy, European leaders and others have repeatedly denied this. They will also be at his side when he meets Trump in...

Crude Oil

Morning Bid Europe-Remembering tariffs' downsides

Wayne Cole gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. The Asian markets are quietly picking up after the U.S./EU Tariff Party turned out to be a failure. You felt relieved that only half of your house was destroyed. At least they didn't burn down the whole house. The euro has a slight firmer future and the dollar is steady at just below $1.1600. It was not surprising that the euro fell so quickly, given the crowded long euro/short-dollar trade. And it is suspected that speculators are soon going to sell the dollar. In...

Crude Oil

Sources say that the US is considering limiting authorizations to oil companies in Venezuela

Four sources familiar with the situation said that the U.S. administration of President Donald Trump is in talks with key partners, including Chevron, of Venezuela's PDVSA state-run oil company, to allow them to continue to operate within certain limits, in the sanctioned OPEC nation. The Washington pressure strategy adopted earlier in the year would be radically altered if Chevron and perhaps also PDVSA's European Partners were granted authorizations. In a statement, a senior State Department official stated that they couldn't speak about specific licenses granted to PDVSA partners. However, the U.S. wouldn't allow the government of President Nicolas Maduro to...

Environment

Environment

Protesters call on regional Spanish leader to resign after deadly floods

On Saturday, tens of thousands marched in Valencia, a city located in eastern Spain. They demanded that conservative regional leader Carlos Mazon resign for his handling of the flash floods which killed 229 people last year. Protesters gathered in the center of Valencia, Spain, for the 12th consecutive time, since the flash flooding occurred exactly one year earlier. They displayed banners with messages like "Mazon, to prison", and chanted, "They did not die, they were murders." "I've lost everything but what really matters is the human loss, not the material." Cristina Guzman Trabero, 71, a flood survivor from the city...

Environment

The victim of the Valencia floods is found buried in mud

Authorities said that the body of a 56 year-old man was found buried under mud, a full year after he had been swept away by deadly flash floods. On October 29, last year, floodwaters inundated homes, underground parking lots and vehicles near Valencia, Spain's 3rd largest city. A local court in Catarroja, one of the worst-hit towns by the flooding, confirmed that the man was among three unaccounted for people who had been declared dead. The man was found on Tuesday, during earth-moving activities in the town Manises. This is about 40 km (25miles) downstream of Pedralba where he had...

Environment

The Spanish market regulator has approved changes to control voltage fluctuations

The Spanish market regulator said on Monday that it had approved some of technical changes requested by national grid operator, after it detected sharp voltage swings across the country following a massive blackout last April. Initial measures are for 30 days, but they can be extended up to 3 months. The CNMC has approved some technical measures requested from grid operator REE with minor tweaks, but it has postponed a decision on a major proposed measure that would change the power grid voltage requirements for both conventional and renewable power plants. The CNMC stated that the modification of this measure...

Mining

Climate Change

Pollution

Exxon's carbon accounting group will appoint an independent panel, says CEO

Chief executive of Carbon Measures, an initiative to create a carbon accounting system backed by many large energy companies and multinationals, said that the panel will be independent. The group, which was launched by ExxonMobil and BASF, among others, is aimed at creating a system of carbon emissions accounting for companies. This will help to reduce double counting and reward them for being more sustainable. There are other carbon accounting guidelines, like the Greenhouse Gas Protocol. However, comparing companies is difficult. Carbon Measures wants to develop a ledger system similar to that used in financial accounting within the next two...

Climate Change

As rain returns, victims of the Valencia floods are feeling the mental effects

Jose Manuel Gonzalez still panics when he hears rain, even though he spent 6 hours holding on to a traffic signal as floods in Valencia, Spain, destroyed everything in their way, including his brother. Gonzalez, 58 said that he wakes up often in shock. He can't shake the memory of the night he saw his daughter holding on to her life on the awning of an Alfafar shop, in Valencia, which was one of the most affected areas. He feels responsible for the elderly mother who is devastated because his brother drowned in a torrent of rushing water while he...

Climate Change

Luxcara, a German company, may cancel the Chinese turbine contract for a North Sea wind farm

Luxcara, a German company, said Monday that it could switch to Siemens Gamesa wind turbines for the 300 megawatt Waterkant Wind Farm. This would mean scrapping an agreement with a Chinese firm which had attracted political scrutiny and criticism by European turbine manufacturers. Luxcara, an asset manager based in Hamburg, has reserved 19 Siemens Gamesa wind turbines. Siemens Gamesa is a subsidiary owned by Siemens Energy of Germany. The same type was already purchased for the 1.5-gigawatt Waterekke Project, the largest offshore wind project ever undertaken in the German North Sea. The turbines would be replacing the ones that Ming...

Pollution

Madrid's poorest neighbourhoods demand more trees to cool the streets during deadly heatwaves

Madrid was sweltering at the height of one of Spain’s longest heatwaves. The temperature in a street of one of the poorest neighbourhoods of the city - Puente Vallecas – measured 41.4 degrees Celsius (106,5 Fahrenheit) early that afternoon. Few hundred metres away, it was 38.6 C. What's the difference? The difference? According to studies, trees are able to play a vital role in reducing the deadly effects of heatwaves. As temperatures rise in Spain as a result global warming, they could play a critical role in helping regulate temperatures. Activist groups, however, say that Madrid is losing trees, especially...

Climate Change

The worst of the wildfires in Spain has been quelled by a cooler forecast and the stabilisation of huge fires.

The wildfires that have been raging across Spain's north and west have nearly burned the same area as they did last year in just 24 hours. However, the expected rain and the end of the 16-day heatwave have given rise to hopes of an imminent end. The fires spread across the regions of Extremadura and Galicia as well as Castile and Leon. This forced authorities to cut off rail service and restrict access to roads, as they also blocked a popular 50 km (30 miles) stretch of the Camino de Santiago pilgrimage route. The European Forest Fire Information System reported...

Climate Change

As wildfires in Spain spread to Picos de Europa Mountains, pilgrimage routes are cut.

Wildfires raged in Spain on Monday, spreading to the southern slopes the Picos de Europa range of mountains. Authorities closed a part of the popular Camino de Santiago route. In the last week, more than 115,000 hectares (285,00 acres) of land in Galicia, Castile, and Leon were destroyed by 20 wildfires. Margarita Robles, Minister of Defence, told Cadena SER radio that "this is a fire scenario we haven't seen in 20 years." The fires are unique because of the climate change and heat wave. She said that thick smoke affected the performance of helicopters and planes carrying water. The Spanish...

Climate Change

Spain fights 20 major fires in scorching heat and deploys more soldiers

The scorching heat on Sunday made it difficult to control 20 major fires in Spain, leading the government to send 500 additional troops from its military emergency unit to help with the firefighting efforts. In the northwest region of Galicia several fires have converged to form a large fire, forcing the closing of highways, and rail services in the region. Spain is one of the worst-hit countries in Southern Europe, experiencing its worst wildfire season in 20 years. Portugal, which is next door, has also been battling widespread fires. In just the last week, three people have died and more...

Climate Change

Wildfires, fanned and fueled by heatwaves and strong winds, rage throughout Europe, destroying houses and factories

On Wednesday, wildfires caused either by arsonists, thunderstorms, or a combination of both, fanned along by heatwaves and strong winds, continued to rage in southern Europe, destroying homes, factories, and farms, and forcing thousands of tourists and residents to evacuate. A wildfire that spread through forests, olive groves, and the suburbs of Patras in northern Peloponnese (west of Athens) set fire to a cement plant. The smoke and flames were thick. What does it look? It looks like a doomsday. "May God help us, and help these people," said Giorgos Karavanis. He was a volunteer from Athens who came to...

Climate Change

Portugal and Spain battle wildfires

T housands firefighters battled through the night to extinguish a dozen fires that raged in central and northern Spain and Portugal. This is the biggest wave of fires on the Iberian Peninsula this year, after weeks of intense heat. Since Monday, the largest wildfire in the Arouca region, which is a wooded mountainous area, has been burning. This is about 300 km (185 mi) north of Lisbon. It has led to the closure scenic trails, Passadicos do Paiva. The fire was tackled by 800 firefighters, seven waterbombing planes and other aircraft. Helder Silva, the Civil Protection Commander, told reporters that...

Climate Change

Wildfires are fought by firefighters in the heat-stricken Turkey and Cyprus

Firefighters fought multiple wildfires in Turkey and Cyprus Thursday, which scorched large areas of land and forced the evacuations of villages and towns. Ten firefighters were killed by a heatwave that swept across the Mediterranean. Six separate wildfires are burning in Turkey. Turkish Agriculture and Forestry minister Ibrahim Yumakli has warned of the dangers of strong winds and scorching heat. Yumakli reported late on Wednesday that 10 firefighters died while fighting a fire in central Eskisehir Province. Yumakli also said 14 other firefighters were injured. The fire was fanned by strong wind and spread to Afyonkarahisar, another province in the...

Climate Change

Wildfires in Catalonia have put more than 18,000 people on lockdown.

The Spanish authorities ordered that more than 18,000 residents in the Tarragona Province, located in northeastern Spain, remain inside on Tuesday. Several dozen people were evacuated when a wildfire, which was out of control and consumed almost 3,000 hectares (7.413 acres) worth of vegetation, spread. After Spain experienced the hottest June ever recorded, large parts of Spain have been placed on high alert. On July 1, two people were killed in a fire in the region where Tarragona, Catalonia is located. Authorities said that the latest fire started early on Monday morning in a remote location near the village Pauls....

Climate Change

Development bank chiefs insist that climate change and women's empowerment must be given priority.

The heads of the two largest MDBs from Asia and Europe said that they need to focus more on climate action, and empowering women. They are being urged to be bolder and more inclusive. Nadia Calvino and Jin Liqung are the presidents of the European Investment Bank (EIB) and the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), respectively. They spoke at the United Nations Development Financing Summit, which takes place every decade in Seville. The event has been overshadowed both by criticisms that it showed a lacklustre ambition, and by the United States' absence. They were the largest international donor of aid...