Mining
Andy Home: LME traders at the ROI were wrongly pricing metal supply crises.
Metals traders began the year fretting about an upcoming supply crunch for copper, but ended the first quarter with a very imminent aluminium supply crisis. In its fifth week, the Iran war has calmed some of the frenzy of speculation that erupted in the London Metal Exchange's (LME) base metals complex in January. It has pushed aluminium to its highest level since 2022, with two Gulf smelters being damaged by Iranian missile strikes and shipping through the Strait still severely restricted. Even though energy prices are surging, the metals bulls still have a good grip on the market. EXPLOSIVE ALUMINIUM...