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Dollar firms as gold falls, but Powell's Jackson Hole remarks are in the spotlight

The dollar's strength caused gold to fall on Friday. Markets are awaiting Jerome Powell's address at the annual Jackson Hole Symposium for further insight into the Fed's monetary policies.

By 0817 GMT spot gold had fallen 0.4% to $3,326.35, while U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery were down 0.4% to $3,368.80.

UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo stated that the moderately stronger U.S. dollar was playing a significant role in the current gold pullback. Gold becomes more expensive to overseas buyers when the dollar is stronger.

Investors reduced their expectations of a Fed rate reduction in September, causing the dollar index to rise to a two-week high.

According to CME's FedWatch, futures markets now indicate that there is a 71% probability of a rate cut by a quarter point next month. This is down from over 90% a week ago. In a low-interest rate environment, non-yielding gold tends to perform well.

Fed officials appeared to be lukewarm on the idea of a cut in rates next month, as investors prepared for Powell's Friday 1400 GMT speech.

Staunovo stated that their comments indicate the next U.S. Central Bank meeting will be "intense, with some favoring large cuts while others (favor) no movement at all".

Fed policymakers face a challenge because, despite signs of a weakening labour market, inflation is still above the central banks' 2% target. It could even go higher as a result of the Trump administrations aggressive tariff increases.

Recent data on the US labour market showed that unemployment claims in the United States rose by nearly three months last week, and the week before they reached a four-year high.

Silver spot was down 0.4% to $38.03 an ounce. Platinum fell 0.6% to 1,343.80 and palladium increased 0.2% to 1,112.85. (Reporting Ishaan Arora in Bengaluru; Editing by Jan Harvey)

(source: Reuters)