US and China economic chiefs to meet in Paris to prepare for Trump-Xi Summit

?Top U.S. economic officials and Chinese officials will launch a second round of talks on Sunday in Paris to smooth out the kinks 'in their trade truce, and to prepare for Donald Trump to travel to Beijing at the end of March to meet with Chinese president Xi Jinping.

The U.S. Treasury secretary Scott Bessent, and the Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng are expected to lead discussions on a number of issues, including shifting U.S. Tariffs, the flow of Chinese rare earth minerals to U.S. buyers and American export controls for high-tech products, and Chinese purchases U.S. agriculture products.

A source familiar with the planning of the two parties said that the two sides would meet at the Paris headquarters for the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development. China does not belong to the club of 38 mostly rich democracies, and it considers itself as a developing nation.

U.S. trade representative Jamieson Greer is also expected to join the discussions. The talks will continue a series of meetings held in European cities during the last year, which were aimed at easing the tensions between the two world's largest economies.

U.S. and China trade analysts say that there is little time for preparation, as Washington is focused on the U.S. - Israel war against Iran. The prospects of a major breakthrough in trade are limited at either the Paris or Beijing summits, because Washington's focus will be on this conflict.

Scott Kennedy, an expert in China economics at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, Washington, said, "Both sides have a minimal goal of holding a meeting. This keeps things together and prevents a rupture and reescalation of tensions."

Kennedy said that Trump might want to leave Beijing with a commitment from China to buy new Boeing planes and more U.S. soybeans and liquefied gas. But to achieve this, he may have to make a concession on U.S. Export Controls.

Kennedy, however, said that the chances of a summit "that superficially appears to be making progress" but in reality leaves things at their current state for the past four months were good.

Trump and Xi may meet at least three more times in 2018. These meetings could include a G20 summit hosted by the U.S. in December and an APEC summit held in China in November.

IRAN WAR OIL CONCERNS

At the Paris talks the U.S. and Israel's war against Iran is likely to be discussed, particularly in relation to the "spike" in oil prices, as well as the closing of the Strait o'Hormuz through which China receives 45% of its crude oil. Bessent announced on Thursday that sanctions would be waived for 30 days to allow the sale Russian oil in tankers stranded out at sea. This was done to increase supplies.

Trump called on other countries to protect shipping in the Strait of Hormuz after Washington bombed military sites at Iran's Kharg Island, a hub for oil loading. Iran had threatened to retaliate.

In an editorial, China's China Daily newspaper called for continuity of the U.S. - China dialogue to serve as a "stabilizing pillar" in the midst of uncertainty surrounding the "ongoing Middle East crisis" and how best to resolve specific differences, including those relating to strategic materials, technology and market access, and agriculture.

China Daily stated that "in a time like this, a trade conflict between the two world's largest economies is the last thing we need."

TRADE TRUCE OVERVIEW Both sides will review their progress on meeting the commitments made under the October 2025 Trade truce announced by Trump and Xi at Busan in South Korea. The agreement prevented a major flare up in tensions. It lowered U.S. import tariffs and suspended for a whole year China's export controls of rare earths. The deal also halted the expansion of an American blacklist of Chinese firms banned from buying high-tech U.S. products such as semiconductor manufacturing machinery.

China has also agreed to purchase 12 million metric tonnes of U.S. soya beans during the 2025 season and 25 millions tons for the '2026 season. This will begin with the fall harvest. Bessent and other U.S. officials have stated that China has met its commitments in the Busan agreement, citing soybean sales that met initial goals. While some industries receive rare earth exports, mainly from China which is the world's largest producer, U.S. semiconductor and aerospace firms do not. They are experiencing a worsening shortage of key materials such as yttrium used to make heat-resistant coatings on jet engines.

William Chou said that the U.S. will focus on agricultural purchases from China and access to Chinese rare Earths, in the "short term", at the Paris talks. William Chou is a senior fellow with the Hudson Institute.

NEW TRADE PROBE Greer and Bessent bring a new irritant into the Paris talks. A new "Section 301", investigation into unfair trading practices targeting China and other major trading 'partners, over alleged excess capacity in their industries. This could lead to a second?round tariffs in a matter of months. Greer launched a second investigation into alleged forced-labor practices in 60 countries, including China. This could lead to a ban on certain imports from the U.S.

The investigations aim to rebuild Trump’s tariff pressure against trading partners, after the U.S. Supreme Court declared illegal Trump’s global tariffs under emergency laws. The ruling reduced Trump's tariffs against Chinese goods by 20%, but he immediately implemented a 10% tariff on a global basis under another trade law. China denounced Friday the investigations and stated that it reserves the right to take countermeasures. China Daily's editorial said that the investigations were "representative unilateral actions that complicate negotiation." Reporting by David Lawder, Editing by Andrea Ricci

(source: Reuters)