Europe

Leaked recordings purportedly showed Hungary's Foreign Minister offering to send his Russian counterpart an?document on Ukraine's European Union membership, as the latest sign of Budapest's warm relationship with Moscow. The audio 'clips' released by a group of investigative news - outlets, including VSquare.org, were the latest of a series leaked conversations purporting to show that Prime Minister Viktor Orban of Hungary has been working to serve Russian interests while undermining EU efforts to help Ukraine. Orban, who has ordered an investigation after Orban's previous statement that wiretapping his calls was "a huge scandal", was unable independently to verify the authenticity....

Investors are putting together a "Trump trade' playbook to?navigate market uncertainty. This includes determining whether a U.S. - Iran ceasefire will last and whether oil prices will remain high for longer. As geopolitics continue to dominate the economy, it is difficult to move money based on long-term perspectives. During the Iran War, many?investors have placed shorter-term bets instead on assets which may have been?mispriced?. Here is a list of some new Trump trades. 1/OIL PRICE WILL STAY HIGHER FOR A LONGER TIME Oil prices fell almost 15% to $100 per barrel in the wake of the ceasefire on Wednesday, but...

Hungary's headline inflation in March rose by 1.8% from a year ago, but was below expectations. Government measures to curb fuel price increases due to the Iran war appear to have had their desired effect. The market had predicted a 2.2% rise. Analysts had predicted an average annual core inflation rate of 2.3%. Poland and the Czech Republic both had similar results, where price increases accelerated but were below analyst expectations. The soaring energy prices caused by the?Iran war are a major concern for central bankers in the region, and have led to a halt in monetary easing measures being...

Three trade sources reported that independent Chinese refiners, with new import quotas issued by Beijing, began'seeking immediate cargoes of Iranian oil after the oil price slumped on Wednesday. Brent crude futures fell below $100 per barrel on Wednesday, the lowest since March 11 after a?U.S. President Donald Trump announced that he agreed to a ceasefire of two weeks with Iran, subject to an immediate and safe opening of the Strait of Hormuz. Since the U.S. - Iran conflict erupted in late February, the Chinese refiners - known as teapots - have largely stayed out of the fray. This has caused...

JD Vance, the U.S. vice president, slammed the European Union on Tuesday for its "disgraceful interference" in an election held in?Hungary. He also praised Prime Minister Viktor Orban in his role as an ally to Donald?Trump when it comes to the defence of Western civilization. Here are some key quotes from the joint press conference in Budapest. VANCE ON HUNGARIAN ELSECTION "What happened in this country and what happened during this election campaign is one of worst examples of foreign interference in elections that I have ever read or seen ..." "The bureaucrats at Brussels have tried to destroy Hungary's...

Two industry sources said that NORSI, Russia’s fourth largest oil refinery, suspended operations on April 5, following an attack by a Ukrainian drone. The temporary 'closure' of the refinery will increase the uncertainty in Russia's energy industry, which has already been hit by a series of Ukrainian attacks including those that have targeted its major oil-exporting terminals on the Black Sea or the Baltic Sea. Russian authorities announced on Sunday that a drone had attacked the NORSI oil refinery, causing it to catch fire. Gleb Nikitin said that two facilities at the plant had been hit, and a power station,...

The 'Iran War' sent fuel prices soaring in March, but the headline figure was still below?predictions and the 2% central bank target. According to preliminary data released by the statistics office on Tuesday, the?headline?figure increased 1.9% from a previous year in March, which is faster than February's 1.4%. According to a poll, analysts had predicted 2.0%. The data revealed that consumer prices increased 0.6% month-over-month, with a rise of 5.3% in energy prices, including motor fuels. After?the government took steps to reduce energy bills, the global oil price shock came at a time of low inflation in the Czech Republic....

Analysts at A95 Consulting Group reported late Monday that Ukraine's imports of diesel jumped 27% in March over February to a five-year-high of 577,000 tons, despite the difficulties associated with the war? in the Persian Gulf. After Russian missile attacks virtually destroyed Ukraine's refining capability, the country became?entirely reliant on imported fuel. It sourced supplies elsewhere in Europe. The consultancy stated in a report that "Importers operations in March were hindered by the effects of the war in the Middle East which made it extremely difficult to secure supplies." The report also stated that ORLEN, Poland's largest supplier, had suspended...

Saudi Arabia set its official selling price for May Arab 'Light' crude oil to Asia a record $19.50 per barrel above the Oman/Dubai benchmark, a $17 increase from the previous months, according to a document on pricing reviewed by on Monday. The price of Middle 'East oil is now the most expensive in the world, as the U.S./Israel war against Iran has limited shipping through Strait of Hormuz. This chokepoint accounts for about a fifth the world's supply. The exact date of a ceasefire or the resumption of oil exports through the Strait from Saudi Arabia and the United Arab...

In a Sunday phone call, Foreign Minister Wang Yi informed his Russian counterpart Sergei Lavrov that China was 'willing to continue cooperating with Russia at the U.N. Security Council' and to make efforts to "cool down" the Middle East situation. Wang stated that the best way to resolve navigational issues in the Strait of Hormuz was to achieve a cessation of fire as soon as possible. He added that China has always favored a political resolution of hot-spot?issues by dialogue and negotiation. The call was made ahead of next week's U.N. Security Council voting on a Bahraini Resolution to protect...

Senegal has banned all travel abroad by top officials and ministers that is not essential. The government warned of "extremely challenging" times as a result of the U.S./Israeli conflict with Iran, which will increase global oil prices, straining Senegal's budget. The price of Brent crude has soared and governments have been urged to act to reduce the negative effects. Senegal Prime Minister Ousmane sonko, speaking at a youth event on Friday night in Mbour, pointed out that oil is trading for about $115 per barrel, almost twice what was assumed to be the price in Senegal’s budget projections. He announced...

Yale University's research claims that the leading Russian state oil companies Rosneft, and Gazprom, supported wartime camps to which more than 2,000 Ukrainian youths were sent. They allegedly provided funds and facilitated transportation, and also provided funding. This led some U.S. legislators to call for sanctions against these two firms. Yale School of Public Health Humanitarian Research Lab (Yale HRL) published the findings last week. They provide the first definitive proof of the companies' involvement in the systematic Russian campaign of deportation of children and indoctrination. It said that with the support of two energy giants approximately 2,158 kids were...

As the U.S. Dollar weakened on Thursday,?investors assessed a fragile ceasefire between the?U.S. As fighting continues in the Middle East, investors are looking forward to important U.S. Inflation data amid rising prices. As of 1121 GMT spot gold was 0.6% higher, at $4,743.50 an ounce. It had reached its highest level since March 19, on Wednesday. U.S. Gold Futures for June Delivery fell 0.2% to $ 4,767.80. The weaker dollar is giving gold a boost at the moment, but the fast news that comes out of the Middle East makes markets untradable from a financial perspective," said Ross Norman, an...

The gold?price was steady on Thursday, as investors remained cautious over the 'fragile' U.S.-Iran truce. A key U.S. Inflation Report due later that day will also be a focus for any interest rate clues. As of 0716 GMT, spot gold was unchanged at $4,715.45 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures for June Delivery fell 0.8% to $ 4,739.40. "It does not seem that gold is looking for much?at the moment. Brian Lan, Managing Director of GoldSilver Central, said that there is still much speculation about what will happen after the ceasefire. Lan predicted that gold would consolidate between $4 607 and...

Gold prices remained relatively?stable on Thursday, as investors remained?cautious? about the fragile U.S.Iran ceasefire. A key U.S. Inflation Report due later that day will also be a focus for any interest rate indications. As of 0523 GMT, spot gold increased by 0.1% to $4,721.51 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures for June Delivery fell by 0.7% to $4744.90. It doesn't seem like gold is doing much right now. Brian Lan, Managing Director of GoldSilver Central, said that there is still "a lot" of speculation about what will happen after the ceasefire. Lan predicted that gold would consolidate in the short term...

The gold price held steady on Thursday, as investors remained cautious over the direction of the U.S. Iran ceasefire talks. A key U.S. Inflation report is due later that day and will provide clues about interest rates. As of 0311 GMT, spot gold was not much changed at $4713.79 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures for June Delivery fell 0.8% to $ 4,736.50. It doesn't appear that gold is doing much at the moment. Brian Lan, Managing Director of GoldSilver Central, said that there is still much speculation about what will happen after the ceasefire. Lan predicted that gold would?consolidate in...

Two?sources who are directly involved in the matter have confirmed that Rusal, the Russian aluminium manufacturer, plans to divert some of its aluminum away from China and towards Japan and other Asian countries, as the Iran War reshapes trade flows globally and sends prices soaring. According to Trade Data Monitor, the Middle East produced almost 7 million metric tonnes of primary aluminum last year. This is 9% of the global supply. Japan imported 2.1 million tons from the Middle East, with 400,000 tons coming from the UAE. The country imported 143,000 tonnes from China, but only 68,000 from Russia. Japanese...

Copper prices soared to a record high of three weeks on Wednesday, after the?U.S. President Donald Trump has agreed to a?ceasefire? with Iran for two weeks, which will ease fears of an economic slowdown in the world as a result of the Middle East conflict. In open-outcry trading, the benchmark three-month copper price on?the London Metal Exchange rose 2.7% to $12650 per metric ton. It had previously risen as high as 3.6%, to $12,755.50. This was its highest level since March 18. In March, copper prices fell 7.6% due to economic concerns sparked by war in Iran. Trump stated that...

The Financial Times reported that Eramet's biggest shareholder, the Duval family, had hired bankers to consider selling its stake in the troubled French mining group. Reports added that the family had appointed Lazard as their advisor to help them explore the options available for its 37% stake and advise them on the capital raising of the company. Eramet didn't immediately respond to a comment request, and the Duval family couldn't be reached. The French mining group announced in February it was planning to raise a capital of?500 millions euros ($583.80) and sell assets in order to boost cash flow. This...

The price of aluminium rose on Tuesday, and the key spread for the metal on the London Metal Exchange also increased. This is due to the prolonged repairs that a smelter located in the United Arab Emirates has been facing since an Iranian attack late last month. In official open-outcry trade, the three-month contract for aluminium on London Metal Exchange (LME), gained 1.1% and reached $3,507 per metric ton. Emirates Global Aluminium announced on Friday that it could take up to one year to fully restore production at its Al Taweelah Smelter. The smelter produced 1.6 millions tons of cast...

The Australian'miner' Energy Transition Minerals said that Greenland has informed it of a potential rejection of the exploration licence renewal request for its 'Kvanefjeld Rare Earths Project. Energy Transition Minerals shares fell 5.6%, to A$0.051, by 0152 GMT after trading resumed following a stoppage on Thursday. The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 index rose 1.5%. Kvanefjeld, a large-scale project to produce?rare Earths in the west, has the potential of becoming a major producer of minerals critical for consumer electronics. Energy Transition Minerals said it received a draft of a decision from the Greenland Government indicating the intention of the mineral resources ministry...

As market participants remained cautious, they awaited more signals on the U.S. - Iran situation and how it would impact global interest rates. By 9:26 am, spot gold had not changed much from $4,669.13 an ounce. ET (1326 GMT), after falling by 1% in the previous session. U.S. Gold Futures increased 0.3% to $4694.20 an ounce. The United States and Iran weighed the outline of a plan on the eve of an U.S. deadline, as Tehran resisted pressure to quickly reopen Strait of Hormuz. Donald Trump, the president of the United States, has warned that he will rain "hell' on...

As the dollar eased, and markets assessed the impact of a proposed ceasefire in the U.S. - Israel war against Iran on oil prices and inflation expectations, gold prices rose in thin European trading. Many markets in Europe were closed for Easter Monday, so spot gold was 0.1% higher than it had been earlier, at $4,678.58 an ounce. U.S. gold futures for June delivery rose 0.6% ?to $4,706 per ounce. Kyle Rodda is a senior financial market analyst for Capital.com. He said: "We saw a gain in headlines about the potential ceasefire." The substance of that statement is questionable. However,...

?Gold prices fell on ?Monday, pressured by a stronger ?dollar ?as elevated oil prices on the back of a protracted Iran war and stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs data dampened hopes for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Spot gold fell 0.9% per ounce to $4631.69 by 0306 GMT. U.S. Gold Futures for April Delivery?lost 0.5 percent to $4657.50. Many markets in Asia, Europe and North America were closed on holiday. Tim Waterer is the chief market analyst at KCM Trade. He said that "the latest robust NFP has reinforced hawkish Central Bank nerves while persistent oil-driven inflation concerns continue to...