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Oil & Gas

Oil & Gas

Poland's Orlen signss preliminary agreement on the acquisition of GA Polyolefins

Orlen, the Polish state-owned refiner, announced on Wednesday that it had signed a preliminary agreement with Grupa Azoty (the Polish state-controlled chemical group) under which it would acquire 'all remaining shares in Grupa azoty polyolefins. The transaction involves the purchase of GAP shares and the provision of financing by Orlen to complete GAP’s restructuring. It has a value of $1.35 billion ($364.23 millions). The transaction was in line with expectations. Orlen had been viewed as the "natural candidate" to take over the Polyolefins Project and stabilize it. Erste Group analyst Cezary Bernatek wrote in a client note. He added, "We'd...

Oil & Gas

McGeever: Central banks will diverge from 2022 if the energy shock intensifies.

When the world was faced with a sudden surge in inflationary forces in 2021-22 due to a severe shock in supply and spikes in energy prices, all major central banks reacted?together. This is unlikely to happen again. Five years ago, supply disruptions caused by pandemics led to a united - but belated cycle of interest rate hikes among the world's largest central banks. This cycle accelerated in response to the skyrocketing prices of energy triggered by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. By the time the European Central Bank raised rates in July 2022 (and the Bank of Japan did not), every...

Oil & Gas

Rosneft says costs offset high oil prices, which explains the 73% drop in net income for 2025.

Rosneft said that the company's net income for 2025 will be down 73%, to $293 billion ($3.60 billion), due to high interest, a high tax on profits, and other factors. Igor Sechin is the Rosneft CEO and a close ally of President Vladimir Putin. He said that the Russian oil industry was caught in an "ideal storm" last year, which included negative geopolitical conditions, tight domestic macroeconomic conditions, as well as high interest rates. The United States sanctioned Rosneft, Russia's second largest oil producer Lukoil in October last year. Sechin stated that the Middle East conflict has boosted oil prices...

Oil Refineries

Consultancy says that rising Ukrainian diesel imports will prevent a shortage in April.

Analysts do not expect a fuel shortage in Ukraine next month. After Russian missile strikes virtually destroyed Ukraine's refining capability, the country became almost completely dependent on fuel imported from Europe, particularly western, central, and southern Europe. Enkorr fuel consultancy in Kyiv said that the average daily diesel deliveries over a 'four-day period from 23 March 'to 26 March 'were 21,400 metric tonnes, up from 19,400 tons during the same time last week. The consultancy stated that if the current pace is maintained, imports in March could reach 565,000 tons. This would be 9% more than the 522,000 ton estimate...

Oil & Gas

French and Benelux stocks: Factors to watch

Here are some company news and stories that could impact the markets in France or Benelux. ECB/VILLEROY : According to the Italian newspaper La Stampa, France's central bank chief Francoisvilleroy de Galhau, the?European Central Bank aims to stop any inflation caused by energy. However, it is still too early to talk about dates for interest rate increases. France/Israel: According to a German Foreign Office statement, the foreign ministers from Germany, France, Italy, and Britain have urged Israeli lawmakers to drop a bill that would allow the death penalty to be imposed in Israel. HAL TRUST HAL Trust, a Dutch investment...

Oil & Gas

Oil prices set to fall the most in a single week since 6 months

Oil prices dropped on Friday, and were on track to have the steepest weekly drop?in the past six months. This was after U.S. president Donald Trump announced that talks with Iran on a 'peaceful end' had been going well and he would pause his attacks on Iran’s energy plants for ten days. Brent futures dropped 84 cents or 0.8% to $107.17 a barrel at 0353 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Futures lost $1.02 or 1.1% to $93.46 a barrel. On a weekly basis, both benchmarks traded 4.6% lower despite Brent increasing 5.7% and WTI gaining 4.6% Thursday due to fears...

Refined Products

Commission data show that EU retail diesel prices reached a record high in the last week.

Weekly data from the European Commission on Thursday showed that diesel prices at the pump in the EU's 27 members?states reached their highest level since records began in 2005. The average EU-27 diesel price per litre was 2.06 euros on 23 March, up from 1.95 euro the previous week. Data is based on fuel prices, including tax. * The average retail diesel price is now above?2 per litre, for the first since June 2022. This was the last major fuel supply shock after the Russian invasion of Ukraine. The EU petrol prices rose to 1,89 euros per litre, up from...

Oil & Gas

Official: drones from Ukraine damaged area near one of Russia's largest oil refineries, according to an official

A Russian official said on Thursday that a drone attack from Ukraine damaged an industrial area near one of Russia's largest?oil refineries. According to reports on Wednesday, at least 40% of Russia's capacity for oil exports has been halted following Ukrainian drone strikes, a disputed assault on a major pipe and the seizure or tankers. According to Alexander Drozdenko, more than 20 drones have been shot down in the northern Leningrad area. "The attack has been repelled in the Kirishi district." Drozdenko told Telegram that there was damage to the industrial area. Drozdenko ?did not specify what part of the...

Oil & Gas

ROI-Inflation-spooked rates markets have overshot: McGeever

The markets overshoot and the recent dramatic increase in bets placed on higher interest rates due to the Middle East energy crisis is the latest example: although the move was logical, its magnitude remains questionable. The Iran War shows no signs of stopping and the?markets are still in flux. Rates traders may need to take a break and re-evaluate. The abrupt change in global 'rate outlook' reflects concerns about the short-term impact on inflation of the soaring prices for oil and gas. Federal Reserve now has a higher probability of raising U.S. interest rates in this year rather than cutting...

Oil & Gas

Business lobby: Iran conflict has a negative impact on Italy's economic growth prospects

Confindustria, Italy's leading business lobby, forecast that the economy would grow by 0.5% in this year. This is a reduction from the 0.7% it had predicted in October. It also warned of'strong' 'downside risks' if the Iran conflict continues. The third largest economy in the Eurozone saw its gross domestic product rise by 0.5%, marking the third consecutive year of growth below 1%. Confindustria stated in its bi-annual report that the 0.5% growth scenario for 2026 was based on an "optimistic hypothesis" that?the conflict in Iran would be over by March's end. The business group warned that if the hostilities...

Oil & Gas

Minutes of the March decision show that Swedish rates will remain at 1.75%

The minutes from the most recent meeting of the Riksbank on monetary policy showed that the future is uncertain. Erik Thedeen, Governor of the Riksbank, said that it was difficult to assess?the effects? of war but warned of the dangers of stagflation (higher inflation and lower growth). Thedeen stated in the minutes that "given the length of time the crisis has been going on and the effects already being felt by the energy infrastructure, I am concerned about the long-term impact this may have on the supply of oil and natural gas in the world." On March 19, the Riksbank...

Oil & Gas

Philippines: Working with Washington for oil from sanctioned U.S. countries

The Philippines' ambassador to the United States stated that it is working closely with Washington in order to securing waivers and exceptions to allow oil to be purchased from sanctioned U.S. countries. This will 'ensure supply. The Philippines, which is heavily dependent on imported fuels, declared on Tuesday a national energy emergency in order to deal with Middle East War fallout, including oil procurement. In a series of phone messages, Jose Manuel Romualdez said: "We're working with the State Department on getting waivers or exemptions for oil purchases from sanctioned U.S. countries." Romualdez responded that "all options" are being considered...

Fossil Fuels

Fossil Fuels

Trump claims that the US has enough jet fuel to supply Europe

Analysts point out that President Donald?Trump's advice to countries who are struggling to obtain jet fuel because of Iran's blocking of the Strait of?Hormuz is flawed: the U.S. cannot cover the global shortage. Trump said in a Truth Social posting on Tuesday, "We have plenty." U.S. data proves that this is not true. Kpler, which tracks vessels, shows that about half a milllion barrels of jet fuel are exported from the Strait of Hormuz every day, mostly to Europe, but also to Asia, Africa and other parts of the world. The Energy Information Administration (the Department of Energy’s statistical arm)...

Fossil Fuels

Are central banks selling Treasuries to the public? McGeever

Are central banks selling treasuries in light of the controversial U.S. war in the Middle East? It's likely yes, but complicated. The New York Federal Reserve has just lowered the foreign-owned Treasuries in its custody to the lowest level in 16 years, below $3 trillion. This indicates that foreign central banks are selling at an increasing?rapid rate. The decline in Fed 'custody'?holdings has been eye-catching, as I noted last week. Deutsche Bank strategists estimated that the fall of $75 billion in the four-week period ending March 19, indicated a net selling of $60 billion by central banks. This would be...

Fossil Fuels

Are central banks selling Treasuries to the public? McGeever

Are central banks selling Treasuries in the midst of the controversial U.S. war in "the Middle East"? It's likely yes, but the situation is complex. The foreign Treasuries in the custody of the New York Federal Reserve have just fallen to their lowest level in 16 years, below $3 trillion. This indicates that foreign central banks are dumping assets at a 'increasingly fast pace. The decline in Fed "custody' holdings, as I wrote last Monday, has been eye-catching. Deutsche Bank strategists estimate the $75 billion drop in the four-week period ending March 19, pointed to $60 billion net selling by...

Crude Oil

Mineral Resources

Mineral Resources

Gold continues to rise on the back of a weaker dollar, but Iran remains in focus

The U.S. Dollar?slipped? and traders watched developments in the Middle East. Gold spot was up 2.2% to $4,774.25 an ounce at 1510 GMT. This is the highest price since March 19. U.S. Gold Futures rose 2.6% to $4800.40. Dollars of other currencies are more attracted to greenback priced bullion after the U.S. currency fell for a second day. Bob Haberkorn is a senior market strategist with RJO Futures. He said that gold prices could rise above $5,000 an ounce, if we are on a path of?de-escalation', and rate-cutting expectations may creep back into the market. He added: "The focus is...

Mineral Resources

Copper reaches two-week high amid hopes of a quick end to the Iran war

The copper price rose on Wednesday, reaching its highest level in the past two weeks amid hopes that the Iran war may be nearing an end. Open-outcry official trading on the London Metal Exchange saw benchmark three-month copper rise 0.2% to a metric ton of $12,365 after hitting $12,492.50 - its highest level since March 18. This was copper's fourth consecutive session of gains. However, it is still far below the record high of $14,527.50 that was reached on January 29, 2017. Ole Hansen is the head of commodity strategy for Saxo Bank, Copenhagen. "The market wants us to believe...

Mineral Resources

Dollar drops as gold nears 2-week-high amid hopes of an end to the Iran war

On Wednesday, gold was near a two-week-high - after a month that saw its largest monthly loss for nearly 17 years. The U.S. Dollar and Treasury yields fell on signs of a de-escalation of the war against Iran. Gold spot rose by 1.2%, to $4,723.35 an ounce, at 0958 GMT. It had earlier reached its highest level since the 19th of March. U.S. gold futures for April delivery rose 1.5% to $4749.90. U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and President Donald Trump said that?the war against Iran could be close, signaling the potential for direct talks with Tehran and a...

Mining

Wood Mac, a consultancy, says that EGA's Al Taweelah aluminum site has ceased operations following an attack.

Emirates Global Aluminium’s Al Taweelah plant in the United Arab Emirates has halted its operations following a?Iranian missile and drone attack that damaged a power?plant on Saturday, Wood 'Mackenzie' said in a Wednesday research note. Wood Mackenzie said that the smelter of Aluminium Bahrain (Alba), which was also attacked on Saturday, had "suffered significant damage and will operate with an estimated utilization?of 30 percent". EGA and Alba said that they would be assessing damage to their sites at the weekend, but did not specify what was affected. The Wood Mackenzie report on the current conflict in the Middle East and...

Mining

Topps Tiles will close 23 UK stores due to low demand

Topps Tiles, a British tile retailer, announced on Wednesday it would close 23 underperforming stores as part of cost-savings measures. The goal is to boost medium-term profits amid a weakening demand. Topps Tiles, for example, has seen their sales volume and revenue grow as a result of a slowdown in home improvement and DIY. The UK's largest tiling retailer reported a 0.1% drop in revenue for the first half of this year, to?142.7million pounds ($189.31million). The company's?initiatives will?have an impact on revenue but it is focusing on measures that support profitability. Alex Jensen, Chief Executive Officer of the company, said...

Mining

Nikkei reports that Japan and France are considering a rare earths agreement to reduce China's reliance

The Nikkei reported on Wednesday that the French President Emmanuel Macron and Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi will create a roadmap to 'diversify supplies of rare Earths and other essential minerals. According to the report, a joint declaration expressing concern about export restrictions for critical minerals will be issued by both leaders. Could not verify immediately the information contained in the report. Nikkei reports that the Japanese and French governments are planning to launch a public-private partnership in southwest France by year's end to refine heavy rare earths, which can be used for electric vehicle motors as well as other...

Mineral Resources

Aluminium nears four-year high amid supply fears

Aluminum prices rose on Tuesday. They were near their four-year highs and poised to make the biggest monthly gain since?almost 2 years. This was due to fears that a supply shortage would continue after Iranian strikes over the weekend damaged some of the Gulf's key smelters. The benchmark 'three-month' aluminum on the London Metal Exchange increased 2.1% by 1600GMT to $3,471.50 per metric ton, after earlier reaching $3,536, which was its highest level since March 12. Metal prices are up 10.6% in March. The attacks on Iran damaged two aluminum plants in the Gulf region operated by Aluminium Bahrain, and...

Mining

Savannah accelerates Portugal lithium project and sees longer life span

Savannah Resources, a London-listed company, is speeding up work on its 'lithium project' in Portugal. The CEO,?Emanuel Proenca, said that the company was confident of being able to?become globally competitive, and reduce Europe’s dependence on Chinese supplies for the metal used to make?batteries. Resources at the Barroso deposit in northern Portugal, a lithium bearing mineral, were increased in September from 28 to 39 million tons. This was already Europe's biggest deposit. Proenca stated that 'potential extensions between 35 and 62 millions metric tonnes could push resources above 100 million metric tonnage, more than doubling the mine lifespan projected to more...

Mineral Resources

Source: Tether fires two gold traders who were hired just three months earlier

Sources with direct knowledge of the matter reportedly said on 'Tuesday that Tether had?let go? two senior precious metals trader?it hired only three months earlier from HSBC. El Salvador-headquartered Tether cut the roles as spot gold prices headed for their steepest monthly drop since the 2008 financial crisis, pressured by fading expectations of rate cuts and rising energy costs amid the war in ?Iran. Tether holds about 130 metric tonnes of physical gold backing their products by the end of 2025. CEO Paolo Ardoino told in January that they also planned to allocate 10-15% of their own investment portfolio to...

Mining

Construction materials supplier BRCK soars after rejecting Atlas takeover proposal

BRCK Group's shares soared more than 24 percent on Tuesday, after the UK-based construction materials supplier announced that it had rejected a 65-pence-per share takeover?approach by U.S. private-equity firm Atlas Holdings last week. The group claimed that its board unanimously rejected the non-binding offer of cash on 23 March, saying that it fundamentally undervalued?the?company. Atlas stated that BRCK board will only provide limited additional information. While it will'review what is shared,' it doubts such minimal details will 'allow it to confirm a proposal. LSEG data shows that the proposal valued BRCK (which distributes bricks and roofing tiles, as well as...

Mining

The fear of aluminium shortages is heightened by Iran's attacks on Gulf producers

The Iranian strikes against major Middle East aluminium producers, such as Aluminium Bahrain and Emirates Global have heightened global fears about acute shortages. Already, the U.S. and Israel's war against?Iran as well as the closure of Strait of Hormuz have restricted the?shipments of aluminium to the export markets of the?U.S. The U.S. and Europe. Aluminium Bahrain, which operates 'the world's largest single site smelter said that it was assessing damage caused by the Iranian strikes. Emirates Global Aluminium said that its Al Taweelah facility suffered "significant damage". MIDDLE EST PRODUCTION & EXPORTS Around seven million metric tonnes of aluminium are...

Mineral Resources

As investors purchase the dip, gold prices rise. However, fading bets on rate cuts cap upside.

Gold prices rose by more than 1% on Monday, as bargain hunters sought to get a good deal. However, the metal was on track for its largest monthly decline in almost two decades due to rising oil costs caused by the Middle East war. Gold spot rose 0.8%, to $4,529.58 an ounce at 0913 GMT. It had gained more than 1% earlier. U.S. Gold Futures for April Delivery gained 0.8%, to $4,558.30. Ricardo Evangelista, an analyst at ActivTrades, said that after prices reached multi-month lows a week ago, traders took advantage of the opportunity to buy a dip and drove...