Europe

Weekly data from the European Commission on Thursday showed that diesel prices at the pump in the EU's 27 members?states reached their highest level since records began in 2005. The average EU-27 diesel price per litre was 2.06 euros on 23 March, up from 1.95 euro the previous week. Data is based on fuel prices, including tax. * The average retail diesel price is now above?2 per litre, for the first since June 2022. This was the last major fuel supply shock after the Russian invasion of Ukraine. The EU petrol prices rose to 1,89 euros per litre, up from...

A Russian official said on Thursday that a drone attack from Ukraine damaged an industrial area near one of Russia's largest?oil refineries. According to reports on Wednesday, at least 40% of Russia's capacity for oil exports has been halted following Ukrainian drone strikes, a disputed assault on a major pipe and the seizure or tankers. According to Alexander Drozdenko, more than 20 drones have been shot down in the northern Leningrad area. "The attack has been repelled in the Kirishi district." Drozdenko told Telegram that there was damage to the industrial area. Drozdenko ?did not specify what part of the...

The markets overshoot and the recent dramatic increase in bets placed on higher interest rates due to the Middle East energy crisis is the latest example: although the move was logical, its magnitude remains questionable. The Iran War shows no signs of stopping and the?markets are still in flux. Rates traders may need to take a break and re-evaluate. The abrupt change in global 'rate outlook' reflects concerns about the short-term impact on inflation of the soaring prices for oil and gas. Federal Reserve now has a higher probability of raising U.S. interest rates in this year rather than cutting...

Confindustria, Italy's leading business lobby, forecast that the economy would grow by 0.5% in this year. This is a reduction from the 0.7% it had predicted in October. It also warned of'strong' 'downside risks' if the Iran conflict continues. The third largest economy in the Eurozone saw its gross domestic product rise by 0.5%, marking the third consecutive year of growth below 1%. Confindustria stated in its bi-annual report that the 0.5% growth scenario for 2026 was based on an "optimistic hypothesis" that?the conflict in Iran would be over by March's end. The business group warned that if the hostilities...

The minutes from the most recent meeting of the Riksbank on monetary policy showed that the future is uncertain. Erik Thedeen, Governor of the Riksbank, said that it was difficult to assess?the effects? of war but warned of the dangers of stagflation (higher inflation and lower growth). Thedeen stated in the minutes that "given the length of time the crisis has been going on and the effects already being felt by the energy infrastructure, I am concerned about the long-term impact this may have on the supply of oil and natural gas in the world." On March 19, the Riksbank...

The Philippines' ambassador to the United States stated that it is working closely with Washington in order to securing waivers and exceptions to allow oil to be purchased from sanctioned U.S. countries. This will 'ensure supply. The Philippines, which is heavily dependent on imported fuels, declared on Tuesday a national energy emergency in order to deal with Middle East War fallout, including oil procurement. In a series of phone messages, Jose Manuel Romualdez said: "We're working with the State Department on getting waivers or exemptions for oil purchases from sanctioned U.S. countries." Romualdez responded that "all options" are being considered...

The Iran War and the global energy crisis it unleashed could have "killed" the idea of an asset that fits all. It is not a novel concept given the poor performance of the U.S. Treasuries did well after the Russian invasion of Ukraine four years earlier. The extraordinary fall in gold prices since the U.S. and Israeli strike on Iran, February 28, has brought it into the spotlight. In times of increased economic, geopolitical or financial uncertainty, investors tend to flock to gold, Swiss franc, Treasuries and the dollar. These are the assets that will most likely serve as a...

Dutch Central Bank Governor,?Olaf Sleijpen?said Tuesday that the rising oil and gas prices will likely affect the economy faster than they did during '2022's energy crisis. The Dutch representative in the ECB Governing Council stated that he and his colleagues would have more information on their April meeting about the second-round effect, which occurs if firms raise?their price to offset higher input cost and employees demand higher wages. We can't control the price of oil and gas, but we are able to act if we notice second-round effects. "I think we'll have more information?on that front - in April", he...

The British government announced on Monday that the Iranian ambassador in the UK was summoned. Last week, an Iranian national and a British-Iranian dual citizen were arrested on suspicion of aiding Iran's spy services. Two men were accused in a London Court last week of 'being involved in gathering information from Iranian spy services and conducting reconnaissance of Jewish targets within?Britain over a five-week period in the summer of last year. The British Foreign Office said that "national security is our number one priority and we take the threats posed by Iran and those who follow its orders 'extremely serious."...

The Russian President Vladimir Putin on Monday told the government to take "balanced" decisions on how to use newly increased'state revenue' from?energy exports in light of a surge in global prices. He also stressed that the economy and the public accounts must be protected from external risks. He asked Russia's energy companies to use their additional revenues to pay back the massive debts they owe to banks. Prior to this month's dramatic rise in energy and?oil prices, due to the conflict in the Middle East, Russia had been experiencing falling budget revenues due to a greater discount on its oil...

According to the preliminary results from 'the state election commission', based on?the most votes?counted?, the right-leaning Slovenian Democratic Party and liberal Freedom Movement were tied at Sunday's parliamentary elections in Slovenia. Even with their existing coalition partners, neither party appeared likely to win the 46 seats required for a majority of the 90-seat Parliament. This makes smaller parties who cross the 4% threshold potentially kingmakers. SDS won 28 seats. Based on 99.45% counted votes, GS was in a close race with SDS. With the support of the other parties, GS, led by the incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob, would have...

The British government announced that Prime Minister Keir starmer will chair an urgent meeting on the economic impact of the war in Iran, on Monday. Finance minister Rachel Reeves, and Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey are expected to attend. Investors should prepare for another turbulent?week on the financial markets, after Iran warned that it would 'hit the energy and water system?of its Gulf neighbours' if U.S. president Donald Trump followed through on his threat to strike Iran’s electricity grid. The British are watching this situation with particular concern. The high level of inflation, the country's dependence on natural gas...

Three people familiar with the matter said that Guinea and Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA), had reached an agreement which will prevent a looming arbitration over the seizure last year of the miner’s local unit. According to traders and officials, as part of a broader resolution, traders have explored bauxite deals that are linked to the assets seized, including structures where upfront payments on future shipments would be used to settle?EGA claims. The deal is still being finalised. It follows the government taking over Guinea Alumina Corporation, EGA's subsidiary for bauxite, in October, following a dispute about alumina refineries. It then...

Three people familiar with the matter said that Guinea and Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA), have reached an agreement which 'will prevent a looming arbitral hearing' over last year's seizure by 'the miner's' local unit. According to traders and government officials, as part of a broader resolution, traders have explored bauxite deals that are linked to the assets seized, including structures whereby upfront prepayments for future shipments would help settle EGA claims. The deal is still being finalised. It follows the government taking over Guinea Alumina Corporation,?EGA's subsidiary for bauxite, in October, following a dispute about alumina refineries. The company then...

After months of uncertainty due to 'President Donald Trump’s tariff threats and the 'new import levy', European Union lawmakers advanced legislation Thursday that would fulfill the bloc's part of the trade agreement it has with the United States. The EU assembly, by a vote of 417 to 154 with 71 abstentions in favor, voted for the legislation, but with additional safeguards. This reflects concerns that Washington might not adhere to the agreement reached in Turnberry, Scotland last July. These safeguards include, among other things, a possible suspension clause. Also, lawmakers insist that the U.S. remove the 50% duty imposed on...

Four people with knowledge of the matter have said that discussions of a possible Thyssenkrupp steel unit sale to Jindal Steel International may be called off because of differences regarding pension liabilities, investments, and 'energy costs. Despite the fact that talks are still ongoing over a possible sale of?Thyssenkrupp Europe (TKSE), and an agreement could still be reached, a deal now seems less likely to happen after almost six months' worth of due diligence and discussion, according to these people. One person said that the companies could decide to stop official negotiations as early as next month. Following the report,...

France is one of the countries that will invest in critical Australian minerals projects, according to Australia's Resources Minister on Thursday. Canberra's framework agreement with the U.S. encourages nations with advanced manufacturing industries to secure access to supply. Australia is on a mission for the past four years to create an industry that will produce?minerals? like rare earths, which are essential to technologies in future such as electronics and defense. Countries want to diversify away from China as their dominant supplier. Australia signed agreements with Japan, South Korea and India as well as France, Germany, Britain, France and Germany for...

Four?people with knowledge of the matter have said that discussions about a possible sale of Thyssenkrupp Steel Europe to Jindal Steel International may be called off because of differences regarding pension liabilities, energy costs and investments. Despite the fact that?talks are still ongoing over a possible sale of 'Thyssenkrupp - Steel Europe (TKSE), and an agreement could still be reached, a deal now seems less likely. One person said that the companies may decide to stop official negotiations as early as next month. Thyssenkrupp tried to sell TKSE'several times over the last decades. If TKSE is not sold, it would...

Boliden announced on Wednesday that it expected earnings for the first quarter of 2026 - before interest, taxes and depreciation - to be impacted by about 400 million Swedish crowns ($42.77m) due to production being impacted in its Garpenberg Mine because of abnormally high earthquake activity earlier this month. Swedish miner reported its first-quarter production was slightly less than 0.8 million tonnes, down from an initial?expectation that slightly more than 0.9 million tonnes. The company said that production in the worst affected part of the mine will not resume until 2026. Garpenberg said that until further notice, its production will...

Four people with knowledge of the matter said that discussions of a potential sale of Thyssenkrupp Steel Europe (TKSE) to Jindal Steel International may be cancelled due?to disagreements over pension liabilities and investments, as well as energy costs. The people say that while discussions over a possible sale of Thyssenkrupp Steel Europe are ongoing and could still lead to an agreement, a?deal is less likely now after nearly six months' worth of due diligence. One person said that the companies may decide to stop official negotiations as early as next month. Thyssenkrupp tried to sell TKSE a number of times...

Greenland's Naleraq Party, which supports rapid independence from Denmark won its first Danish seat at the general election. This sends a critic of Copenhagen-Nuuk's union to a parliamentary chamber during a crucial time in the history of the kingdom. Naleraq secured 24.6% of the vote on Tuesday, an increase of sharply from 12.2% during the 2022 elections. The election result comes amid increased international interest in Greenland after U.S. president Donald Trump's attempts to control the Arctic Island. "It's a clear signal that the status quo in Greenland will not be tolerated," said Qarsoq Hgh-Dam who won Naleraq’s seat. He...

Schindler's head, who is Swiss, told? The head of the Swiss lift maker told? Bloomberg News reported last week that TK Elevator, a subsidiary of?Finland?s?Kone?was in negotiations to purchase TK Elevator? (TKE), citing people familiar with the situation. The merger would make Schindler the second largest lift manufacturer in the world, surpassing OTIS. Schindler CEO Paolo Compagna stated that the deal would be a 'bloodbath' bound to disrupt industry as the third- and fourth-largest manufacturers of lifts would have to integrate overlapping customer bases and production sites, and also?teams. Compagna stated in the interview that she was sure that they...

London copper fell on Tuesday after Iran denied holding talks with the U.S. about ending the Middle East war and launched new missile attacks against Israel. In official open outcry, the benchmark three-month copper price on London Metal Exchange fell 1.6% to $11,974 per metric tonne. Metal prices rose 2% after U.S. president Donald Trump said that he had "very productive" talks with Tehran, and had postponed the threatened strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure. EwaManthey, ING commodities strategist, said: "Copper has eased today following yesterday's rebound as geopolitical confidence faded." The rise in oil prices and the strengthening dollar have...

Gold prices continued to fall on Tuesday. This was due to a combination of 'persistent Middle East tensions' that fueled inflation fears and expectations for higher interest rates worldwide. By 9:00 am, spot gold had fallen 0.6% per ounce to $4 377.93. ET (1300 GMT), having hit its lowest level since November, at $4,097.99. U.S. Gold Futures for April Delivery fell 0.6% to $4378.80. Bart Melek is global head of commodity strategies at TD Securities. He said: "If energy prices continue to rise and the war continues, this is not good news for gold." He added, "Gold is going to...