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Crude Oil

Crude Oil

Russell: India's rising refined product exports help ease Asia fuel crisis

Can India do the same for Asia's refined fuels market as China did with crude oil? China drastically cut its crude oil imports in June to a 10-year-low in response to the U.S. and Israeli war against Iran. This freed up oil for buyers who were struggling to source cargoes due the the effective closing of the 'Strait of Hormuz. India is taking a different approach, purchasing 'Russian crude' and increasing exports of refined goods to offset the lower shipments coming from Middle East refineries and Russia. According to commodity analysts Kpler, India's light and middle distillates exports are expected...

Crude Oil

Morning Bid America- Magnificent Cash Burn

Mike Dolan, Editor at Large, Finance and Markets, explains what matters today in U.S. markets. Alphabet's capital expenditure increase and earnings beat triggered a familiar response - the stock of Alphabet fell, while chip stocks rose. The hyperscaler beat the Street by posting more than 80% in its cloud business. However, it raised its capex expectations yet again, with AI-related investments now expected to exceed $200 billion this year. Below, I'll delve deeper into that and much more. Check out my most recent column about how the U.S. economy's K-shaped scale explains its resilience. Listen to the Morning Bid podcast...

Fossil Fuels

The price of Russian oil has dropped due to the new Middle East crisis

The head of finance for Indian state refiner Bharat Petroleum Corp stated 'on Thursday that traders have stopped offering discounts to Russian crude sold to India due to disruptions in Middle -Eastern supply, which has boosted the demand for alternative grades. As Middle East oil supplies have been disrupted, refiners in India have increased their purchases of Russian crude oil. Vetsa Ramakrishna said that BPCL had secured crude supplies through August, and was looking for cargoes for September delivery. He said the company has received offers from traders for Russian oil cargoes to be delivered in September. He added, "But...

Jet Fuel

Singapore's oil product inventories drop to a six-week low

Data showed that oil product stocks in Asia’s main trading hub Singapore fell to their lowest level in six weeks. This was mainly due to a decline in the inventories of?clean petroleum products, according to data released on Thursday. Enterprise Singapore's data shows that combined?onshore? product stocks totaled 39.64 millions barrels during the week ending July 22. This is a 1.5% decrease from the previous week. The weekly average for last month was 37.5 million barrels. Lower inventories of middle and light distillates led to the decline, which was moderated by an increase in heavy distillates. In recent days, shipping...

Crude Oil

Can markets handle more straight talk?

Ankur Banerjee gives a look at what the day will bring for European and global markets. After five months of observing events in the Strait of Hormuz investors are now focusing on the Arabian Peninsula, where the Iranian-aligned Houthis who control the area near the 'Bab el-Mandeb strait, in the 'Red Sea open a new rift in the Middle East crisis. Brent futures have reached $96 a barrel, their highest level since early June. Investors are worried about stockpiles being depleted after Houthis announced a naval blocade against Saudi Arabia this week. Ship-tracking data revealed that the threat caused tankers...

Crude Oil

Middle East shipping risk escalates as oil prices reach a six-week high

Oil prices in Asian trade rose by?more? than 1.5% on Thursday, reaching their highest level?in? more than six weeks. Yemen's Houthis attacked oil tankers in Red Sea while the United States launched another round of airstrikes against Iran. Brent crude futures rose by $2.2 or 2.3% to $96.27 at 0327 GMT. This is the highest level since June 8. The previous session saw Brent crude futures rise more than $3, to $94.07, which was just short of the six-week peak. After Wednesday's rise of 3%, U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude rose $1.65 or 1.9% to $88.48. The Iranian Revolutionary Guards...

Crude Oil

German yields on policy sensitive bonds are at their highest level in two years, while French long-end bonds hit 4%

As the Iran conflict intensified, German borrowing costs rose to a new two-year peak and French longer-dated rates rose above 4% for a first time since June 2009. This boosted expectations of higher inflation and policy rate. Brent crude oil prices surpassed $95 per barrel on Wednesday. U.S. president Donald Trump also said that the U.S. will "bomb and demolish one bridge or power station" if Iran attacks a ship near the Strait of Hormuz. German yields on two-year bonds, which are sensitive to expectations of policy rates, increased 4.5 basis points to 2.8425%. This is their highest level since...

Crude Oil

Asian stocks hold gains as US recoveries, oil prices rise

The stock market made a few gains on Wednesday, but the positive impact of a strong Wall Street session was offset by caution as investors waited for earnings reports from Big Tech. Meanwhile, the oil price rose due to threats from Houthi "rebels" to escalate the Middle East conflict. The broadest MSCI index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan rose 0.2%, while the South Korean Kospi's gains were reduced to just 1.5% from an earlier gain of over 6%. The Nikkei225 in Japan fluctuated between gains and losses. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures fell 0.2% along with a 1.2% drop for Hong...

Crude Oil

Oil reaches 5-week high; shares of chipmakers gain.

The Nasdaq, chipmaker shares and major stock indexes all rose on Tuesday amid the rising tensions over the Iran conflict. Oil prices also reached a five-week high. Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury Yields hit a two-month peak as traders pondered whether the new spike in oil prices would affect consumer prices, and increase the likelihood of Federal Reserve rate hikes. Two oil tankers transporting Saudi crude from the Red Sea to Asia have reversed their course after being threatened by Yemen's Iran aligned Houthis. U.S. Crude?rose by 2.32%, to $85.16, and Brent rose by 2.08% to $91.08 a barrel. Bruce Zaro...

Crude Oil

Oil prices drop as US-Iran strikes are offset by mediation efforts

Oil prices dipped on Tuesday as markets weighed reports of mediation attempts?between Iran and the U.S. versus an exchange of new?attacks?between both and threats of a Saudi Arabian naval blockade by Yemen's Houthis. Brent crude futures fell 35 cents or 0.4% to $88.87 a barrel at 0052 GMT. U.S. West Texas intermediate crude for September was unchanged at $82.47 a barrel. Both contracts were trading at levels below their highest in over a month, which they reached in the previous session. Houthis, who are allied with Iran in Yemen, announced?on Sunday that they would impose an naval blockade against Saudi...

Crude Oil

Gold prices steady as markets evaluate Middle East escalation and Fed raise bets

Gold prices were little changed on Monday, as investors assessed the escalation of the Middle East conflict that has pushed up oil prices. Meanwhile, another U.S. Federal Reserve policymaker indicated that higher interest rates may be necessary to curb inflation. As of 0756 GMT, spot gold was unchanged at $4,018.19 an ounce. U.S. Gold futures for August delivery rose 0.1% to $4 023. U.S. forces attacked Iran for the ninth day in a row on Monday. The number of confirmed American deaths from the renewed fighting has risen to three. Concerns about shipping through the Strait of Hormuz have also...

Crude Oil

Morning Bid Europe-Rising Oil, rains on AI Party

Wayne Cole gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. While Spain hoisted the World Cup in celebration, the U.S. Military began?its ninth day of attacks against Iran. Iran was also?hitting targets throughout the region. On Sunday, only a few ships crossed the 'Strait of Hormuz. One was on fire. Brent crude oil rose above $90 per barrel for the very first time since June. Treasury bond futures fell as investors lowered the odds of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike in September. The implied probability was around 65%. The rise in 30-year Treasury...

Environment

Climate Change

Spain declares a national emergency due to wildfires in Madrid and Avila

On Thursday night, the Spanish government declared a state of emergency after a series wildfires threatened communities in and around Madrid. The Interior Ministry stated that the decision was made due to the simultaneous outbreaks of multiple fires and adverse weather conditions, as well as the need to mobilize large resources from various public administrations. This increased the complexity of civil protection and firefighting efforts. Scientists have linked climate change to the increasing severity of wildfire seasons in Spain and southern Europe. Scientists have found that the excessive vegetation growth after unusually heavy spring rains has dried up in extreme...

Environment

IAEA: Military activity affects water supply at Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Plant and nearby town

The U.N. nuclear watchdog reported on Thursday that military activity had affected water supplies in parts of the Russian-held Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Station and nearby areas of southeast Ukraine. In the first few weeks of the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, Russian forces captured the largest nuclear power station in Europe, with six reactors. Since then, both sides have accused each other of actions that compromise nuclear safety. Rafael Grossi said that there is no shortage of water to keep the fuel cool in reactors. The attacks on and around Enerhodar - where many plant staff live -...

Environment

As Europe continues to heat up, wildfires in France force thousands of people to flee.

Scientists warn that climate change is worsening Europe's water shortages. A fast-moving fire has forced over 10,000 people to evacuate their homes and camping sites near the French Atlantic coast. Three heatwaves this summer in Europe have intensified the drought, reduced water availability and dried out the vegetation, which has led to wildfires that have scorched more land than ever before. The heatwave has been blamed for thousands deaths. Officials said that more than 10,000 people had been evacuated in southwest France overnight as a wildfire rapidly spread through 2,000 acres of land to the west of Bordeaux. The prefecture...

Mining

Steelmaker SSAB misses profit forecasts for Q2 as war-related costs bite

?Swedish steelmaker SSAB reported a smaller-than-expected rise ?in its second-quarter operating ?profit on ?Wednesday, ?as higher steel prices and shipments were partly offset by increased costs, including higher logistics and energy prices linked to the Middle East crisis. Operating earnings increased to 2.70 billion Swedish Crowns ($278.3million) in the April-June period, up from 2.14 billion crowns one year earlier. A poll by SSAB revealed that analysts expected?2.85 million crowns in average. In a press release, CEO Johnny Sjostrom stated that despite the continued geopolitical uncertainty, they remain committed to executing their'strategic priorities', strengthening the premium product offerings, and progressing our...

Mineral Resources

Mineral Resources

Gold prices drop on the prospect of Fed rate hikes

Gold fell?lower? on Friday, after dropping 2% in the previous session. The move of Brent crude back above $100 per barrel has stoked inflation fears and reinforced the case for higher rates before the Federal Reserve's policy meeting next Monday. Spot gold prices fell more than $130 since Wednesday's two-week high, falling to $4,037.29 an ounce at 0702 GMT. U.S. gold futures for delivery in August were down 0.3% at $4,039.80. Bullion is still on course for a 0.5% weekly gain. "In the near term, we anticipate more volatility... Gold has been stuck between $3,980 and $4,170 for weeks. We...

Mineral Resources

Chile investigates Antofagasta’s Los Pelambres Mine after rainwater discharge

Antofagasta Minerals, a Chilean copper mining company, said on Thursday that its flagship mine Los 'Pelambres is safe following an investigation by Chile's environmental regulator into a water discharge incident caused by extreme weather. On Wednesday, the regulator said that Antofagasta released water into the Pupio Waterway from a drainage pool after heavy rains caused an?avalanche near the site. Antofagasta has said that the controlled release of water from two pools downstream the tailings?dam?wall was part of its water management system. Water from the tailings dam was channeled to the Pupio stream whose flow had already increased significantly because of...

Mineral Resources

Irish PM: No definitive evidence that Irish alumina is used in Russian arms

Micheal Martin, the Prime Minister of Ireland, said that an Irish investigation into a major alumina factory?has not found any "concrete" or "definitive" evidence to suggest its exports are used in Russia to produce aluminium for weapons. Ireland faces increasing pressure regarding the Aughinish Alumina Plant, Europe's biggest refinery for the aluminum feedstock alumina. The facility continues to export alumina to Russia. Dublin ordered the 'investigation', while defending a European Union decision that the Rusal-owned?plant would not be included in Russian sanctions packages. The government claims that 'the refinery located in southwest Ireland plays a strategic role for EU supply...

Mineral Resources

Sweden declares its mining national security interests to counter dependency on China

Sweden declared the mining of critical metals,?rare earths, and other minerals to be a national interest on Thursday. The government said a new strategy for mining was required to 'counter China's dependence. China is the dominant producer of rare earth minerals, which are essential to clean energy production, defence, and electric vehicle manufacturing. Export controls have been a powerful tool in Beijing's trade war with Washington, as well as other disputes. The Per Geijer discovery, near LKAB’s?existing Kiruna Mine, is also one of the European Union’s flagship projects to reduce reliance upon China. Per 'Geijer' is crucial to Europe because...

Mineral Resources

Gold drops 1% after oil rally, as Fed rates are in focus

The price of gold fell?on Friday, as an intensifying conflict in the Middle East drove up oil and fueled investor fears that inflationary pressures might push the U.S. Federal Reserve into raising interest rates this year. Spot gold fell 1.2% at 1215 GMT to $4,079.50 an ounce, after reaching its highest level in over a month on Wednesday, $4,165.87 per ounce. U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery fell 1.7% to $4.082.80. Nikos Tzabouras is a senior market analyst at Jefferies owned Tradu.com. Tzabouras said that the geopolitical escalation and higher oil prices, as well as the outlook for higher rates,...

Mineral Resources

Gold falls from two-week high as oil gains; Fed meeting is in focus

Gold prices fell on Thursday, after a two-week peak hit on Wednesday, due to an escalating Middle East war. Traders were waiting for the Federal Reserve's policy meeting next Monday, which could provide clues about the timing of interest rate increases. Gold spot fell 0.6% at 0713 GMT to $4,103.39 an ounce, after reaching its highest level since July 7, $4,165.87, on Wednesday. U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery?fell by 1.1% to $4106.40. Oil continues to rise, adding to inflation pressures and expectations of Fed rate hikes. This has a positive effect on gold, as the dollar is weakening, said...

Fossil Fuels

Anglo flags loss in diamond and coal units for first half; reduces copper cost outlook

Anglo American's copper production was largely?flat in the first-half of this year and its copper price guidance for 2026 has been lowered. However, it said that?its diamonds?and steelmaking?coal businesses will post negative earnings underlying in the first quarter. The London-listed company maintained its guidance for full-year production of copper between 700,000 and 760,000 metric tons. The miner produced 343,600 tonnes of copper during the first half, compared to 342,200 tons one year ago. Anglo stated that its proposed merger with Teck Resources is still on track. The final regulatory hurdle will be the approval of China. The miner would become...

Mineral Resources

Gold drops from two-week high as oil prices advance; Fed meeting is in focus

As oil prices rose due to an escalating Middle East war, gold held steady on Thursday. Traders are now looking ahead to the Federal Reserve meeting next week for any clues about the timing of interest rate increases. As of 0324 GMT spot gold was unchanged at $4,132.01 an ounce, after climbing?to $4.165.87 during the previous session, its highest level since July 7. U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery?fell by 0.4% to $4134.60. Jigar Trivedi is a senior analyst at IndusInd Securities. He said, "Oil prices continue to rise, which adds to inflation pressures and expectations for Fed interest rate...

Mineral Resources

Norsk Hydro's Q2 profits are the highest as higher prices and Qatar offset the lower price.

Norsk Hydro, the Norwegian aluminium manufacturer, reported a quarterly profit that was?above expectations? on Wednesday. Higher aluminium prices and higher?recycling? margins outweighed lower energy output and negative currency effects. Hydro enjoyed a windfall from the higher aluminium prices, regional premiums and disruptions in Middle East supplies during the second quarter. However, reduced production at its Qatalum Joint Venture limited this. The company's adjusted earnings, before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, rose 15% year-over-year to 8.92 billion Norwegian Crowns ($927.0 million) during the April-June period, while the average estimate of analysts polled was 8.22 billion Norwegian Crowns. Hydro's Aluminium Metal division,...

Mineral Resources

Gold reaches two-week highs as Fed outlook and Mideast conflict remain in focus

Gold rose to a two-week high on Wednesday as technical buying boosted the price. Investors assessed the escalating conflict in the Middle East and were awaiting the U.S. Federal Reserve's meeting next week, which will provide clues about the interest rate outlook. Gold spot rose 1.3% by 0511 GMT to $4,129.43 an ounce, after hitting its highest level since July 7 earlier that day. U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery jumped?1.4% at $4,134.50. As tensions escalate in the Middle East, oil prices and inflation fears rise. This has led to expectations of interest rate hikes which caused gold to drop...

Mineral Resources

Gold reaches two-week highs as Fed outlook and Middle East conflict remain in focus

On Wednesday, gold rose to a two-week peak on technical purchases as investors assessed the escalating conflict in the Middle East and awaited next week's Federal Reserve meeting for hints on interest rate expectations. Gold spot rose 1.6%, to $4,139.64 an ounce, by 0307 GMT. It had already reached its highest level since 7 July earlier that day. U.S. Gold futures for August delivery rose 1.7% to $4144.20. Last week, the escalating tensions in Middle East pushed up oil prices and inflation concerns. This boosted expectations for interest rate hikes which led to gold's steepest weekly decline since early June....

Mineral Resources

As the AI rally cools, Indonesian stocks that have been beaten down feel the love.

Some investors are buying back the laggards as big investors start to sell and Indonesia's battered, unloved stock markets is gaining some love. Jakarta's stock market has been Asia's worst performing'major' stock market for this year. It is down by 28%. Investors have been looking at markets with less of a focus on AI. David Chao is the Asia-Pacific Global Market Strategist at Invesco, based in Singapore. He said: "We have been buying Indonesia and taking a profit in South Korea." "Indonesia remains the most overlooked macro-growth story." BARGAIN HUNTERS ARE SEEKING VALUE AS SENTIMENTS CHANGE Although still cautious, the...