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Brent oil returns to $100 after Iran intensifies its attacks on Gulf shipping

Oil prices rose on Thursday as Iran intensified its attacks?on?oil?and?transport facilities in the Middle East. This sparked fears of a long-term conflict and disruptions to oil flow through the Strait of Hormuz.

Brent futures were up $8.54 or 9.28% to $100.52 a bar at 0354 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude rose $7.22 or 8.28% to $94.47.

Brent crude oil hit $119.50 per barrel on Monday. It was its highest price since mid-2022. Then, it dropped when U.S. president Donald Trump announced that the Iran War could end soon.

In remarks directed at the U.S., an Iranian military spokesperson said on Wednesday: "Get prepared for oil to be $200 per barrel because the price of oil depends on the regional security which you have destabilised."

Analysts at ING said that there are no signs of a calming down of the situation in the Gulf, and therefore, the disruptions of oil flow through the Strait of Hormuz will continue for some time.

"The only 'way to see oil?trade at lower prices on a consistent basis is to get oil flowing through Strait of Hormuz," ING stated. If we fail to act, the market's highs will still be ahead of us.

Farhan al Farousi, director general of General Company for Ports said that two foreign tankers carrying Iraqi oil caught fire after being hit by unknown attackers.

Initial investigation by Iraqi security officials revealed that explosive-laden boats from Iran struck the two tanksers.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) has agreed to release 400 million barrels of oil, a record amount. This will help to bring down the prices which have risen after the "U.S. - Israel war against Iran" broke out. The U.S. contributes the majority of this release, 172 million barrels, from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve.

The IEA's decision to release oil reserves'may only be a temporary solution. As disruptions in oil shipments across the?Strait of Hormuz, and a major production halt could lead to a long-term shortage of oil, said Tina Teng a Moomoo ANZ market strategist.

The ING analysts?said that there are concerns over how quickly the 'oil can reach the market, and if it will be enough to tide the consumers over until the Strait of Hormuz oil starts flowing again. Reporting by Sam Li and Siyi Liu from Beijing and Singapore, and editing by Tom Hogue and Thomas Derpinghaus

(source: Reuters)