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Crude Oil

MORNING BID AMERICAS - Much 'to Do' about yen interventions

What is important in the U.S. and international markets today by Mike Dolan Editor-at-Large of Finance and Markets The yen strengthened further on Monday, as the U.S. government and Japanese government confirmed their first joint interventions since 2011 to "prop up" the ailing currency. The timing and the impact of this move will be closely examined. Below, I'll go into more detail about that. Listen to the latest episode of the Morning Bid podcast. We discuss the 'historic' intervention, U.S. earnings growth, and the latest news on Iran. Subscribe to the Morning Bid daily podcast and hear journalists discussing the...

Crude Oil

Is India the ultimate "anti-AI" trade? : Raychaudhuri

India is emerging as a haven for those who are escaping the wreckage of Asia's AI stock boom. Indian stocks' lack of direct AI exposure, whether to creators or large language models or semiconductors and chip manufacturers, dampened foreign investors enthusiasm for the country's shares for most of 2025 and 2026. Instead, money flooded into South Korea's and Taiwan's tech saturated markets. This summer, the trend has changed. Since mid-June equities have fallen in South Korea and Taiwan, reflecting growing concerns about the durability and profitability of massive AI capital investments. India's benchmark index is up 5%, as investors have...

Crude Oil

MORNING BID AMERICAS - Long bond gives fright

What's important in the U.S. and Global Markets Today By Mike Dolan. Editor-at-Large for Finance and Markets On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve maintained its line, but three policymakers voted "for a hike", the largest dissent since 1970 against a new Fed chairman. It is easy to see why the markets were so uncertain. The Fed's decision to "hold" did not reassure the markets. 30-year borrowing rates have risen to their highest level in 19 years, and the yield curve has steepened, suggesting that traders are worried about the Fed tolerating above-target inflation for the long run. Below, I'll go into...

Crude Oil

MORNING BID AMERICAS - Chip rout the snowballs

What's important in the U.S. and international markets today by Mike Dolan Editor-at-Large of?Finance and Markets Chip stock corrections accelerated again over night amid concerns about circular financing and rising competition. The correction comes before a series of crucial earnings reports by tech companies in Wall Street and Asia - as well as a further drop?in oil price below $90 per barrel amid a tense pause?in the Iran conflict. Below, I'll go into more detail. Check out my most recent column where I discuss the various inflationary drivers central banks are increasingly struggling to "see through". Listen to the Morning...

Crude Oil

Morning Bid Europe-Chips are jolted by a shift in momentum for AI

Tom Westbrook gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. Chip stocks in Asia fell on Tuesday due to the twin threats of Chinese competition rising and questions over funding and sustainability of AI infrastructure boom. South Korea's KOSPI fell nearly 10%, tripping a circuit breaker. Japan's Nikkei dropped 4.4%. The rally has been so strong that both markets are still the leaders for the year, even though they have now reached multi-month lows. Nvidia fell 5% Monday after a Wall Street Journal article reported that the chipmaker had been in discussions to provide...

Crude Oil

After crude's plunge, investors reduce rate-hike bettings and the Pound rises

The pound edged up against the dollar Monday, as a sharp fall in oil prices helped ease concerns about energy-driven inflation and dampened expectations of further tightening by the Bank?of?England ahead of its policy meeting this week. By 1010 GMT the pound had risen 0.07%, to $1.3330. This was a recovery for a second consecutive session after Thursday's low of three weeks. Brent crude prices fell 9% to $87.24 a barrel, after U.S.-Iran paused their strikes at the weekend. This boosted hopes for a de-escalation. Last week, the flare-up of hostilities briefly drove oil prices above $100 per barrel. This...

Crude Oil

Morning Bid America- Magnificent Cash Burn

Mike Dolan, Editor at Large, Finance and Markets, explains what matters today in U.S. markets. Alphabet's capital expenditure increase and earnings beat triggered a familiar response - the stock of Alphabet fell, while chip stocks rose. The hyperscaler beat the Street by posting more than 80% in its cloud business. However, it raised its capex expectations yet again, with AI-related investments now expected to exceed $200 billion this year. Below, I'll delve deeper into that and much more. Check out my most recent column about how the U.S. economy's K-shaped scale explains its resilience. Listen to the Morning Bid podcast...

Crude Oil

Middle East shipping risk escalates as oil prices reach a six-week high

Oil prices in Asian trade rose by?more? than 1.5% on Thursday, reaching their highest level?in? more than six weeks. Yemen's Houthis attacked oil tankers in Red Sea while the United States launched another round of airstrikes against Iran. Brent crude futures rose by $2.2 or 2.3% to $96.27 at 0327 GMT. This is the highest level since June 8. The previous session saw Brent crude futures rise more than $3, to $94.07, which was just short of the six-week peak. After Wednesday's rise of 3%, U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude rose $1.65 or 1.9% to $88.48. The Iranian Revolutionary Guards...

Crude Oil

Oil prices drop as US-Iran strikes are offset by mediation efforts

Oil prices dipped on Tuesday as markets weighed reports of mediation attempts?between Iran and the U.S. versus an exchange of new?attacks?between both and threats of a Saudi Arabian naval blockade by Yemen's Houthis. Brent crude futures fell 35 cents or 0.4% to $88.87 a barrel at 0052 GMT. U.S. West Texas intermediate crude for September was unchanged at $82.47 a barrel. Both contracts were trading at levels below their highest in over a month, which they reached in the previous session. Houthis, who are allied with Iran in Yemen, announced?on Sunday that they would impose an naval blockade against Saudi...

Crude Oil

Gold prices steady as markets evaluate Middle East escalation and Fed raise bets

Gold prices were little changed on Monday, as investors assessed the escalation of the Middle East conflict that has pushed up oil prices. Meanwhile, another U.S. Federal Reserve policymaker indicated that higher interest rates may be necessary to curb inflation. As of 0756 GMT, spot gold was unchanged at $4,018.19 an ounce. U.S. Gold futures for August delivery rose 0.1% to $4 023. U.S. forces attacked Iran for the ninth day in a row on Monday. The number of confirmed American deaths from the renewed fighting has risen to three. Concerns about shipping through the Strait of Hormuz have also...

Crude Oil

Morning Bid Europe-Rising Oil, rains on AI Party

Wayne Cole gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. While Spain hoisted the World Cup in celebration, the U.S. Military began?its ninth day of attacks against Iran. Iran was also?hitting targets throughout the region. On Sunday, only a few ships crossed the 'Strait of Hormuz. One was on fire. Brent crude oil rose above $90 per barrel for the very first time since June. Treasury bond futures fell as investors lowered the odds of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike in September. The implied probability was around 65%. The rise in 30-year Treasury...

Crude Oil

Weekend Reads: Crude pricing, resource wars and empires

Want some inspiration? Weekend Reads is a weekly roundup of what the Open Interest team has read, watched and listened to. This week, the Open?Interest team has chosen to focus on the 'race to reinvent critical mineral resources,'?oil benchmarks that are under pressure and great-power geopolitics. This weekend, we are reading... MIKE DOLAN is a columnist for ROI Finance & Markets. The Pew Research Center’s Global Attitudes Survey found that China was viewed as more favorable than the United States in 36 countries. The U.S. Department of Energy released this release by ROI Metals columnist ANDY HOME. It details five...

Refined Products

Fossil Fuels

Chevron beats analyst expectations to record highest quarterly profit in six-years

Chevron reported its highest quarterly profits in at least six year on Friday. The U.S. and Israel war against Iran has disrupted world energy markets, which is boosting profits of the largest oil companies. LSEG data shows that adjusted?earnings 'of $12 billion or $6.06 per a share beat the average analyst estimates of $5.56. Chevron's shares rose about 2% during premarket trading. The results were similar to those of European oil giants TotalEnergies, Shell and others who also reported record profits in the second quarter, boosted by higher oil costs. ExxonMobil's quarterly profit missed analyst expectations despite earning a record...

Fossil Fuels

Oil prices fall as markets watch for clues about Gulf supplies

The oil prices lost some of their gains on Thursday despite the escalating attacks across the Gulf. Investors' attention shifted to the supply flow through the major chokepoints within the region. Brent futures dropped 96 cents or 1.06% to $89.78 per barrel as of 0418 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI), crude oil, fell 64 cents or 0.76% to $83.82 per barrel. Brent and WTI both rose by 6.56% during the previous session, one of the biggest spikes in the Iran War. This was after the pause of hostilities that occurred on Tuesday following a 5% drop. The prices of...

Refined Products

Weekend Reads: Jamie Dimon, Jamie Dimon's battery recycling and the Kill Zone

Are you looking for inspiration? Weekend Reads is a weekly feature that highlights what the Open Interest team has been reading, watching and listening to. The Open Interest team shares what they've been watching, listening to and reading. This week's selections include the emergence of drone warfare, Europe's AI ambitions and Jamie Dimon's worries about long-dated bonds at JPMorgan Chase. This weekend we are reading... RON BOUSSO, ROI Energy Columnist. He has produced an amazing, frightening and visually stunning piece on Ukraine's "kill zone" with drones, which has changed the battlefield between Russia and Ukraine. CLYDE RUSSELL is a ROI...

Mining

Mineral Resources

Mineral Resources

Gold prices fall as markets consider Middle East instability and inflation risks

Gold prices fell a little on Monday, as concerns about inflation and the war in the Middle East remained. The markets are also watching the latest job reports to determine the Federal Reserve's next policy move. Spot gold dropped by 0.1% at $4,037.01 an ounce as of 12:37 pm EDT (1637 GMT) while U.S. gold futures for delivery in August fell by 0.3% to $4,000.05. "Gold is stuck in a range of trading for over a month, roughly between $4000 and $4200. The fact that the market may be anticipating a rise in inflation is a positive factor, particularly in...

Mineral Resources

Gold prices fall as markets consider Middle East instability and inflation risks

Gold prices fell on Monday as concerns about inflation and the conflict in the Middle East remained. The markets will also be watching the U.S. Federal Reserve policy direction this week, which is based on a number of employment reports. Spot gold dropped by 0.3% per ounce to $4,029.84 at 10:12 am EDT (1412 GMT) while U.S. gold futures for delivery in August fell 0.5%?to $4.029.00. Gold has been stuck between a range of $4000-$4200 for over a month. Marex analyst Edward Meir stated that the market may be anticipating a rise in inflation in July, when new data is...

Mineral Resources

Gold prices rise as oil prices fall after Trump delays Iran attack

Gold prices rose on Monday as oil prices dropped after U.S. President Donald Trump held back on announcing new attacks against Iran, hoping for a quick deal. This helped ease concerns about inflation and rising interest rates. As of 0210 GMT, spot gold was up 0.4% to $4,055.76 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures increased 0.9% to $4054.00. After authorities intervened on the foreign exchange markets to support the yen and make dollar-priced gold more affordable for overseas purchasers, the U.S. Dollar was under pressure. Tim Waterer is the chief market analyst for KCM Trade. He said that gold has had...

Mineral Resources

Gold prices are down but on track to finish the best month since February

Gold fell 2% on the Friday, as the U.S. Dollar rebounded after a session in which it had fallen to a low of more than ONE MONTH. However, the metal is still on course for its first gain monthly in five months as the inflation data was weaker and expectations of future rate hikes by the U.S. were reduced. At 12:18 pm EDT (1618 GMT), spot gold fell 1.4% to $4,044.87 an ounce after dropping 2% earlier. U.S. Gold futures for August delivery fell 1.5% to $4043.80. Gold is up 1% this month, the biggest gain since February. Oil prices...

Mineral Resources

Gold drops as US Dollar regains its footing. Heads for first monthly gain since five

Gold fell more than 1% on Friday as the U.S. dollar gained ground. The dollar recovered its footing but was still on course to post its best monthly gain since February, as investors reduced their rate hike bets following the Federal Reserve meeting last week. Spot gold fell 1.1%, to $4.055.41 an ounce at 1050 GMT. However, it was on track for a 0.5% weekly increase. Prices have also risen by about 1.7% this month. U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery dropped by 1.2% to $4053.60. Independent analyst Ross Norman stated that "gold struggles to gain meaningful momentum and is...

Mineral Resources

Gold on the verge of ending a four-month losing streak

Investors weighed Middle East developments and their impact on U.S. interest rate outlook as they weighed the gold price on Friday. As of 0703 GMT spot gold dropped 0.7%, to $4,075.35 an ounce. However, it was on track for a 0.5% weekly increase. Prices rose by about 1.7% in the last month. U.S. Gold Futures for August delivery fell 0.6% to $4 074. "Gold has a slight negative bias today due to profit-taking, and a moderate bounce in the U.S. Dollar, after the metal's gains and the corresponding drop in the greenback yesterday," said Tim Waterer, chief analyst at KCM...

Mineral Resources

As markets evaluate Fed stance and Middle East tensions, gold gains as the dollar softens

Gold prices rose on Thursday, as the U.S. Dollar weakened. Investors also weighed up the Federal Reserve's decision not to change interest rates and watched the escalating tensions that may have triggered inflationary pressures in the Middle East. By 1131 GMT, spot gold had risen 0.3% to $4.076.52 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery rose 1% to $4074.30. The move for gold is "primarily driven" by the weaker U.S. Dollar, and markets are adjusting their expectations modestly on what next moves will be made by the Fed. UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo stated. The U.S. Dollar Index has weakened...

Mineral Resources

Gold prices rise as the markets evaluate Fed rate stance and Middle East situation

Investors weighed the decision of the Federal Reserve to hold interest rates at the same level this month, as well as the rising tensions that are affecting the Middle East and have raised inflation concerns. The spot gold price was unchanged at $4,062.30 an ounce as of 0841 GMT. U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery rose by 0.7% to $4,060.60. Kevin Warsh, the U.S. central bank's chief, pledged to keep inflation under control. After the decision, spot gold prices rose by about 2%. The U.S. Military said that it had struck dozens Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps targets in Iran in...

Mineral Resources

Gold falls as Treasury yields rise and offset the focus on Warsh’s inflation message

Gold prices fell on Thursday due to higher?U.S. Markets assessed the yields on Treasury bonds, as well as comments made by Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh about tackling inflation following this week's unchanged interest rates. As of 0714 GMT spot gold was down 0.5% to $4,045.59 an ounce after a 2% rise in the previous session. U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery gained 0.2%, to $4043.70. The yields on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury notes increased, increasing the cost of bullion. Soni Kumari, an ANZ analyst, said that "Yields" are a result of rate expectations. If the market believes that...

Mineral Resources

Gold falls as Treasury yields rise and offset the focus on Warsh’s inflation message

Gold prices fell on Thursday due to higher U.S. Treasury yields. Markets also assessed Kevin Warsh's comments on the Federal Reserve's efforts to combat inflation following its decision this week not change interest rates. As of 0445 GMT spot gold was down by 0.4%, at $4,048.39 an ounce. It had risen as high as 2% the previous session. U.S. Gold futures for August delivery rose 0.3% to $4.045.70. The yields on the benchmark U.S. Treasury 10-year note increased, increasing 'the opportunity cost' of holding gold. Soni Kumari, an ANZ analyst, said that "yields are a product of rate expectations." If...

Mineral Resources

Gold drops as dollar hovers around one-month high; Fed meeting in focus

Gold prices fell on Tuesday, as a result of a strong?dollar? that hovered around a month-high. Investors were waiting for the Federal Reserve's interest rate announcement this week and Kevin Warsh's comments to get a sense of policy direction. Spot gold dropped 1.1% per ounce to $4.032.42 by 9:27 am EDT (1327 GMT), and U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery fell 1.1%, to $4.032.40. The dollar remained near a one-month high on Tuesday, making greenback-priced bullion expensive for buyers overseas. The dollar remained near its one-month-high on Tuesday, making bullion priced in greenbacks expensive for overseas buyers. David Meger is...

Mineral Resources

The Fed's rate decision is in the spotlight as gold falls against a dollar that remains firm

Investors waited for the Federal Reserve to announce its policy decision at the end their two-day meeting in this week. They wanted insight into the direction U.S. rates will take. Spot gold dropped 0.8% at $4,042.29 an ounce as of 0843 GMT. U.S. gold contracts for August delivery fell 0.8%, to $4.042.80. "Gold has held to a very tight range since late June based on the support in $4,000 region, which suggests at some stage there will be a breakout," said Rhona Connell, StoneX's head of market research. Connell said: "Fundamentally the physical markets are still very quiet, while professionals...