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Energy Markets

Wildfires sweeping across Europe force hundreds of people to evacuate from resorts located in Croatia and Greece

Wildfires ravaged?homes overnight in a picturesque Croatian town, injuring forty people and forcing 1,200 residents to evacuate. EU officials warned that "extreme" wildfire conditions were spreading across the continent. Officials said that hundreds more people were evacuated from a resort in northern Greece, a village in southwest France and a large grass fire in England. Scientists attribute the record-breaking heat in Europe and the drought to climate change. This summer, wildfires have been raging across Europe, particularly in France, Spain, and Greece. The Balkans has also experienced several heatwaves. CROATIAN RESERVE: FLAMES TAKE OVER NIGHT-SKY RED Officials said that flames...

Crude Oil

Crude Oil

MORNING BID AMERICA-Bonds Out, Robots In

What's important in U.S. and Global Markets Today By Mike Dolan, Editor at Large, Finance and Markets Bond storm calmed down overnight, but equity markets were still bruised. A tense calm is hanging over the markets as U.S. Treasury prepares for a sale of 20-year bonds later on Wednesday. The minutes of the Federal Reserve split meeting held in July could also help to resolve some of this uncertainty about the central bank's view on persistently high inflation. Below, I'll go into more detail. Check out my mid-week article, in which I discuss diversification away from AI, and much more....

Crude Oil

Oil extends climb on prolonged Hormuz export uncertainty

The oil price rose for the fourth consecutive day on Wednesday as investors considered conflicting messages from Washington and Tehran about whether the Strait of Hormuz was open to ships. Brent crude futures rose 69 cents or 0.8% to $91.71 at 0415 GMT. U.S. West Texas intermediate crude futures gained 76 cents or 0.9% to $85.70 per barrel. As hopes for peace between Iran and the U.S. faded, both contracts closed Tuesday at their highest level in over three weeks. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said that no talks are taking place with Iran. He also insisted that the Strait...

Crude Oil

Bond markets in the US and Japan are smashed by inflation and fiscal concerns

The United States' long-term borrowing costs to Japan and Germany reached their highest level in decades on Tuesday as new inflation concerns added to the nagging concern about the fiscal pressures that are facing some of the largest economies around the world. The 30-year bond yields of the United States - the world's most important government bond market - hit their highest level since 2007. Oil prices -- which are up 50% this year -- have risen back above $90 per barrel, causing inflation fears as U.S. - Iran peace hopes fade. In Japan, fears of inflation and the expectation...

Crude Oil

Hormuz shipping slows as US-Iran talks on peace stall and oil gains are held.

The oil prices remained mostly stable on Monday. They maintained gains made the previous week. Prospects for a lasting U.S. Iran peace deal seem increasingly distant, and there are persistent fears of disruptions to supply in the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude futures were at $88.55 as of 0128 GMT. U.S. West Texas intermediate crude futures fell 14 cents to $72.26 per barrel. Last week, both contracts rose by?more that 5% following the attacks on tankers of Abu Dhabi National Oil Company?in the Hormuz Strait and on a Saudi Aramco refining facility. The weekend saw the Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas...

Crude Oil

Hormuz shipping slows as US-Iran talks on peace stall and oil prices remain flat

Early Monday, oil prices barely moved as tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz had slowed down over the weekend. There was no sign of a peace agreement between Iran and the United States to end the Middle East conflict. Brent crude futures rose 20 cents or 0.2% to $88.72 at 2350 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell 5 cents to $79.35 per barrel. Last week, both contracts saw gains of more than 5% following the attacks on Abu Dhabi National Oil Company tankers in the strait of 'Hormuz and on a Saudi Aramco refining facility. The weekend...

Crude Oil

US-Iran claim that the control of Hormuz is a major factor in oil prices after tanker attacks

Crude oil prices rose on Friday, mainly due to renewed attacks against tankers and a verbal war between the Trump administration and Iran's leaders. Brent futures rose 80 cents or 0.92% to $87.87 per barrel at 10:48 am CT (1548 GMT), whereas U.S. West Texas intermediate crude futures increased 43 cents or 0.53% to $81.69 per barrel. Brent and WTI are on track to gain 5.09% a week and 4.37% a week, respectively. Bjarne Shieldrop is the chief commodities analyst for SEB Research. He said that higher oil prices are a result of U.S. policy towards Iran. This latest approach...

Crude Oil

Brief relief MORNING BID AMERICAS

What's important in U.S. and Global Markets Today By Mike Dolan, Editor at Large, Finance and Markets The July consumer inflation report was not spectacular, but it did offer some relief to the markets who were worried about a surprise on the upside. The annual headline and core rates were lower than expected. However, the core price increase for July was higher than forecast. Below, I will get to that and more. Check out my latest article, which explores AI's impact on inflation and employment so far. Listen to the most recent episode of Morning Bid, the daily podcast. Subscribe...

Crude Oil

MORNING BID AMERICAS - Long bond

What's important in U.S. and Global Markets Today By Mike Dolan, Editor at Large, Finance and Markets Brent crude traded at almost $90 per barrel on Tuesday, after a 5% increase yesterday. The U.S.'s and Iran's hard-line positions on any potential deal have shattered hopes that the Strait of Hormuz could reopen. Below, I will go into more detail. Check out my column about Trump's latest attack on the independence of the Federal Reserve - and how it comes at a nervous time for bond markets. Listen to the Morning Bid podcast where we talk about Nvidia's $500 Billion AI...

Crude Oil

The Strait of Hormuz suddenly becomes 'irrelevant to the US'

Wayne Cole gives us a look at what the day will bring for European and global markets. Asian stocks are mostly higher following the Wall Street rally on Friday, but European share futures are down as oil prices rise amid confusion about the Strait of Hormuz. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent claimed over the weekend that the'strait' would become "irrelevant", as oil will eventually be redirected via pipelines. This gave analysts the impression that the White House is trying to wash their hands of this whole matter. Iran announced on Sunday that it was nearing completion of a deal to define...

Crude Oil

ROI-Weekend Reads: Inflation heat, green steel, bond angst

Are you looking for inspiration? Weekend Reads?reports on what the Open Interest team is reading, watching and listening to every Friday. This week, the picks focus on America's reliance upon Chinese goods, U.S.?overheating?, geothermal energy, green steel, and risks emanating from bond market. We're reading this 'weekend'... MIKE DOLAN. ROI Finance & Markets columnist. Mary Lovely and Christine Wan from Washington's Peterson Institute discuss how U.S. Policymakers have not made much progress in reducing America’s dependency on Chinese goods and services despite many years of effort. Direct trade declined sharply over the seven-year period from 2010 to 2024. However, direct...

Crude Oil

MORNING BID EUROPE - Hoping for a clean, tidy job report

Stella Qiu gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. The markets are mostly in a holding pattern, as traders have stayed on the sidelines ahead of a U.S. Payrolls Report that is notoriously difficult to predict from month to month. The stakes could not be higher, as the markets are unable to decide what the Federal Reserve's next move will be. A rate hike of about 54% is priced in, which makes it a coin flip. This is exactly the type of ambiguity that new Chair Kevin Warsh enjoys cultivating. There is a...

Crude Oil

Concerns over plans to reopen the Strait of Hormuz cause oil prices to rise

Oil prices rose on Friday as concerns grew over the opening of the Strait of Hormuz. Iran and Oman proposed banning hostile vessels from the Strait of Hormuz, while imposing heavy fines for those who violated these rules. Brent crude futures rose by?80 cents, or 0.97 percent, to $83.29 per barrel at 0303 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Futures rose 64 cents or 0.83% to $77.93. Oil futures settled at $3.03 a barrel as Iran considered a bill that would ban U.S. vessels and Israeli vessels from entering the Strait of Hormuz, where a fifth of world oil and LNG...

Refined Products

Fossil Fuels

Oil prices fall ahead of US announcements on new Iran sanctions

Prices of oil fell by more than $1 per barrel on Monday, as investors took a profit ahead of an announcement that Washington is expected to make about additional sanctions against Iran. This could further disrupt Middle East supplies. Brent crude futures dropped $1.22 or 1.29% to $93.17 at 0035 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate was $85.86 per barrel, down by $1.20 or 1.38%. The two contracts both posted their second weekly gains, up over 5% last week as the peace talks between Iran and the U.S. hit a deadlock, limiting oil shipments across the Strait of Hormuz, where a...

Refined Products

Uncertainty over oil exports via Hormuz has pushed up the price of crude.

The oil prices rose in the early trading on Wednesday. They have risen for a?fourth straight day due to supply uncertainty. Investors weighed contradictory messages from Washington and Tehran on whether or not the 'Strait of Hormuz' is open to ships. Brent crude futures climbed?26 Cents, or 0.29% to $91.28 at 0004 GMT. U.S. West Texas intermediate crude futures rose 37 Cents to $85.31 a bar. The two contracts reached their highest levels since July 24, as the hopes for peace between Iran and the U.S. faded. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said that no talks are taking place with...

Refined Products

Oil prices rise after US threatens to blockade Iran indefinitely

Prices of oil?inched up on Friday, after the United States threatened an indefinite naval blockade against Iran. This rekindled concerns about supply after the previous session's drop on a weakened outlook for demand as well as a large build-up of U.S. stockpiles. Brent futures were up 1 cent or 0.1% to $87.08 per barrel at 0247 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures increased 6 cents to $81.00 a bar. Brent rallied for six sessions and WTI rose for five, putting the benchmarks on course for a weekly increase of around 4%. Susan Bell, senior Vice President for Oil Commodity...

Mining

Mineral Resources

Mineral Resources

Gold falls after a two-month high due to oil and hawkish Fed outlook

Gold prices fell on Thursday, after rising more than 4% the previous session. A surprise U.S. Treasury "liquidity" move pushed down bond yields as well as the dollar. Meanwhile, rising oil prices and hawkish Fed signaling prompted profit taking. By 1140 GMT, spot gold had fallen 0.9% per ounce to $4479.12. Bullion was earlier at $4,525.79, after prices rose to a two-month high on Wednesday. U.S. Gold Futures slipped?0.2% to $4,535.70. Treasury Department announced on Wednesday that it will double its liquidity-support buyback operation for longer-dated bonds and notes, helping to ease the pressure in the bond markets. The U.S....

Mineral Resources

Investors take profit after gold's recent rally.

Gold prices fell on Thursday after a?4?% gain in the previous session. A surprise U.S. Treasury move to increase liquidity pushed bond yields down and the dollar, while higher oil prices and hawkish U.S. Fed signaling prompted profit taking. By 0946 GMT, spot gold had fallen 0.7% per ounce to $4487.93. Bullion prices were at $4,525.79 earlier, after they reached a two-month high on Wednesday. U.S. Gold Futures were little altered at $4,544.50. Treasury Department announced on Wednesday that it would double its liquidity-support purchase operations for longer-dated bonds and notes, helping to ease the pressure in the bond market....

Mineral Resources

Gold falls after a 2-month high on US Treasury move

Gold prices fell Thursday, as investors took profits after the price of gold climbed to its highest level in more than two months. This was due to a U.S. Treasury announcement that it would provide liquidity support for long-term bonds. The unexpected announcement weakened dollar values and reduced Treasury yields. By 0750 GMT, spot gold had fallen 0.7% per ounce to $4488.19. Bullion was earlier at $4,525.79 - its highest price since June 2 - after a more 4% increase on Wednesday. U.S. Gold futures were little changed at $4,462.30. Treasury Department announced it would double its liquidity support 'buyback...

Mineral Resources

Gold falls after a 2-month high on US Treasury move

Gold prices fell Thursday, as investors took profits after the price of gold climbed to an 'over two-month high on a surprise U.S. Treasury's announcement of liquidity support for long-duration bond, which weakened the dollar and sent Treasury rates lower. By 0604 GMT, spot gold was down by 0.7% to $4,487.63 an ounce. Bullion was earlier at $4,525.79. This is its highest price since June 2 after a more-than-4% gain on Wednesday. U.S. Gold Futures was?little different at $4,545.60. Treasury Department announced that it would double its liquidity support 'buyback operations' for bonds and notes with longer maturities. This came...

Mineral Resources

US funds African rare earths that are shunned privately, sources claim

Two senior DFC executives said that the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation (DFC), is supporting a pipeline of African projects involving rare-earth elements, as private investors are reluctant to fund this sector. The DFC announced on Wednesday that it had committed $62.8 to rare-earth project in Malawi, Angola and Madagascar, but none of them has yet reached production. The majority of this funding, about $50 million, was allocated to the Phalaborwa Project in South Africa. It is backed by Dublin-based mining investors TechMet. One of the executives, who asked to remain anonymous because they weren't authorised for public discussion on...

Mineral Resources

Gold remains steady as Fed minutes are in focus

Investors are awaiting the minutes of the U.S. The Federal Reserve's meeting in July will provide new clues about its outlook for monetary policy. Spot gold remained unchanged at $4,337.59 an ounce as of 0558 GMT, after dropping nearly 2% Tuesday due to higher Treasury rates, while U.S. Gold Futures fell 0.7% to $4391.20. U.S. yields have backed off their earlier highs after a global bond sale saw long-term borrowing rates in major economies reach the highest levels in decades. Kelvin Wong is a senior analyst at OANDA. He said that the reduced expectations of Federal Reserve interest rates increases...

Mineral Resources

Gold falls on higher oil and Treasury yields; Fed minutes are in focus

Gold prices fell on Tuesday due to?higher Treasury rates and oil prices?. Traders were also waiting for the minutes of the U.S. Federal Reserve policy meeting in July for clues about the future interest rate outlook. As of 0624 GMT spot gold fell 0.4%, to $4397.42 an ounce. U.S. futures for delivery in December dropped 0.5%, to $4452.90. The yields on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury notes extended gains and raised the opportunity costs of holding non-yielding gold. Prices of oil?increased after Iran announced it would adopt a 'fully offensive' military posture following a breakdown in negotiations to end the...

Mineral Resources

Gold prices rise on weaker dollar and eased Fed rate hike fears

Gold prices rose on Monday due to a weaker US dollar and the fading expectation of an increase in U.S. Federal Reserve rates. Investors also continued to monitor the geopolitical tensions within Middle East. By 11:56 am EDT (1555 GMT), spot gold had risen 1.2% to $4,426.52 an ounce. U.S. gold futures for delivery in December edged up 1.1% to $4,484.10. Bart Melek is the global head of commodity strategies at TD Securities. He said that gold prices appear to be pricing in a stagflationary climate, with softer unemployment and expectations that Fed will tolerate 'current inflation levels. The US...

Mineral Resources

Gold rises on weaker dollar and fading Fed rate hike predictions

Gold prices rose on Monday due to a weaker US dollar and the fading expectation of an increase in U.S. Federal Reserve rates. Investors also continued to watch geopolitical tensions across the Middle East. By 09:25 am EDT (1325 GMT), spot gold had risen 0.28%, to $4387.95 an ounce. ?U.S. Gold futures for delivery in December edged up 0.2% to $4,444.40. Bart Melek is global head of commodity strategies at TD Securities. He said that the gold market seems to be pricing in a stagflationary climate, with softer unemployment and expectations that Fed will 'tolerate current levels of inflation. The...

Mineral Resources

Gold prices rise on weaker dollar and fading Fed hike expectations

Gold prices rose on Monday, as a weaker dollar and diminishing expectations of an increase in U.S. Federal Reserve rates next month boosted bullion. Gold spot rose 0.5%, to $4.398.58 an ounce at 1032 GMT. Prices reached a two-month high in the last week. U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery edged up 0.4% to $4,455.50. Gold is now cheaper for those who hold other currencies than the U.S. dollar index. "Softer 'inflation', employment and consumer data reduce the risk of another hike. This strengthens the case that the Fed may end up cutting rates," said Ole Hansen. He is the...

Mineral Resources

Gold prices rise on a weaker dollar and reduced Fed rate hike bets

Gold prices rose on Monday due to a weaker dollar and recent economic data which reduced expectations of a U.S. rate hike in the next month. Gold spot rose 0.4%, to $4.391.07 an ounce at 0248 GMT. Prices reached a two-month high in the last week. U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery?edged up 0.3% to $4,448.10. The U.S. Dollar index fell by 0.1% making metals priced in greenbacks more affordable for other currency holders. Tim Waterer is the chief market analyst for?KCM Trade. He said that gold has taken off and run to start the week. Soft inflation numbers are...

Mineral Resources

Gold returns to 10-week highs as markets prepare for US CPI data

Investors were awaiting key U.S. data on inflation that could change policy expectations. This led to a rise in gold prices?on Wednesday. By 0713 GMT, spot gold had gained 0.9%. U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery rose by 0.5% to $4464.80. Bullion reached a 10-week-high on Tuesday, before hitting technical resistance around the 100-day moving?average of $4,387. It then closed lower for the second time this month. The primary driver of gold prices is the Fed's reduction in rate hikes, according to Kelvin Wong. He is a senior analyst at OANDA. "In terms of the technical position, we began to?see...