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Energy Markets

Oil & Gas

Oil & Gas

Brent oil returns to $100 after Iran intensifies its attacks on Gulf shipping

Oil prices rose on Thursday as Iran intensified its attacks?on?oil?and?transport facilities in the Middle East. This sparked fears of a long-term conflict and disruptions to oil flow through the Strait of Hormuz. Brent futures were up $8.54 or 9.28% to $100.52 a bar at 0354 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude rose $7.22 or 8.28% to $94.47. Brent crude oil hit $119.50 per barrel on Monday. It was its highest price since mid-2022. Then, it dropped when U.S. president Donald Trump announced that the Iran War could end soon. In remarks directed at the U.S., an Iranian military spokesperson said...

Oil & Gas

Brazil's Raizen secures $12.6 billion out-of-court debt restructuring deal

Brazilian sugar and ethanol ?producer Raizen said on Wednesday it had reached an ?out-of-court agreement with ?creditors and bondholders ?to restructureapproximately ?65.1 billion reais ($12.61 billion) in debt obligations. The company is a joint-venture between Shell, an oil giant listed in London, and Brazilian conglomerate Cosan. It has been in talks for months to find ways to improve its capital structure and reduce its debt. Raizen stated in a?security filing that creditors who hold 47% of the company's unsecured debt had already endorsed this plan. The company has 90 days to get enough?support to receive final approval. After that, the...

Oil & Gas

UK gilts suffer new decline as investors focus on oil reserves

The price of British government bonds?fell dramatically in early trade on Tuesday, as the markets questioned if the plans for a record releasing?of oil reserve could offset any potential supply shocks resulting from the U.S. and Israeli war against Iran. As of 0906 GMT the short-dated gilt yields were up around 12 basis points, completely erasing Tuesday's large drops. Investors have also reduced their bets for a Bank of England rate cut in this year. The probability is now?roughly 20 percent, down from 50 percent a day ago. The British public is more vulnerable to a shock in energy prices...

Oil & Gas

Britain and allies support shipping through Strait of Hormuz

'Britain and its allies are working on a variety of options to support commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz despite iranian threats. The spokesman for Prime Minister Keir 'Starmer said that Tuesday, as the U.S. - Israel war against Iran is roiling oil prices. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, has said that the war will end "soon." He also stated that the U.S. would escalate its attack if Iran attempted to block tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz. Downing Street read out a statement after speaking with the leaders of Germany, Italy and France late on Monday. They...

Oil & Gas

McGeever: The 2007 subprime credit warnings are echoed in the alarms of private lenders.

Each financial market crisis differs, but they all rhyme. Parallels are emerging between the 'tremors' now rippling across private credit and the subprime housing in the U.S. that led to 2007-09 Global Financial Crisis. It's not to say that a replay of the historic crash is imminent. There is a growing danger that the increasing stress in the private credit market - i.e., the lack of liquidity, the opaque pricing and the soaring redemptions – could spill?over into the public markets. BlackRock, with its $14 trillion in assets under management, announced?on? Friday that it had limited withdrawals after an influx...

Oil & Gas

Wall Street Journal, March 10,

These are the most popular?stories from the Wall Street Journal. ? The accuracy of these stories has not been verified by the site. Rio Tinto has said that it is currently in negotiations with Mongolia regarding the Oyu Tolgoi mine, which is one of the largest deposits of?metal required to build data centers and electric vehicles. Shell agreed to sell Jiffy Lube?to Monomoy Capital Partners in a $1.3billion deal. Shell announced that the sale included Jiffy Lube, the?franchisee Premium Velocity Auto, and a network of stores operated by independent franchisees. Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr. are supporting a new...

Oil & Gas

Back to the 70s? Investors prepare for the return of stagflation

Investors now seriously consider the possibility that a war in the Middle East may create a stagflationary shock, as it did fifty years ago when disruptions to global energy supply sent inflation soaring and harmed growth. Kaspar Hense is the portfolio manager of RBC BlueBay Asset Management. If oil prices continue to rise, the safe-haven status for government bonds, and all other assets, is at risk. Five charts show how stagflation could affect the markets. OIL IS THE KEY Oil prices are at the forefront of the stagflation debate, and now the question is: how long can they continue to...

Oil & Gas

Trump says he doesn't need Britain's help to win the Iran war

Donald Trump stated on Saturday that Britain was "seriously considering" sending two aircraft carriers to the Middle East. He added, however, that the United States would not be sending any. The United States does not need these aircraft carriers to win the war against Iran in the latest conflict between military allies. Trump has repeatedly criticized British Prime Minister Keir starmer, suggesting that he "ruined" the historically close relationship between the two countries after London refused to allow the U.S. The initial use of British base to attack Iran was criticised by Trump. Trump wrote on?Truth Social that he would...

Oil & Gas

Oil drops but is set to gain the most since 2022

The oil prices dropped on Friday, the first time since six days. This is because the U.S. government has been considering intervening in the futures markets to curb rising 'prices' and issued waivers to Russian oil buyers to ease the supply constraints caused by the Middle East War. Brent crude futures fell 95 cents or 1.1% to $84.46 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate dropped $1.08 or 1.3% to $79.93 at 0440 GMT. Brent is still up 16.4% while WTI is up 19.2%, making this the biggest weekly gain since Russia's full-scale invasion in Ukraine began in February 2022. The...

Oil & Gas

Local media reports that Jamaica will end its medical cooperation with Cuba.

According to The Gleaner, the local media outlet, 'Jamaica’s Foreign Ministry announced on Thursday that it will terminate a medical 'cooperation program' with Cuba. In a statement, cited by The Gleaner, the foreign ministry stated that the two governments could not agree on terms of a new agreement. The Gleaner reported that the medical professionals would be allowed to continue working until their tenure is complete. Jamaica's Minister of Health and Wellness Christopher Tufton said previously that?about 300 Cuban medical professionals and doctors were working in the island despite the previous agreement expiring in 2023. Jamaica has become the latest...

Oil & Gas

UK borrowing costs rise again due to inflation fears about the Middle East war

Due to the increase in energy prices caused by the conflict in the Middle East, investors have reduced their bets that the Bank of England will cut interest rates this month. Analysts said that Britain was at risk of a rise in inflation. Yields on two-year bonds, which are sensitive to expectations for short-term rates of interest, rose 10 basis points and reached a high point of 3,815%. The indices fell by 2 bps Wednesday, but were on track for their biggest weekly rise since October 2024. UK gilts two-year are the worst performing government bonds in the Group of...

Oil & Gas

The EBRD President says the conflict in Iran is a threat to growth.

The president of the European Bank for Reconstruction and 'Development, said 'on Thursday that the widening U.S. -Iran conflict is a threat... to economic growth. But the impact will depend on the length of the conflict. Odile Renaud Basso, EBRD President, said in an interview with the Istanbul press that conflict can "reduce risk capital" in the region. However, he added that the fallout has been contained so far - except for Lebanon. She said that the risk was on the downside. The EBRD estimated growth in the 41 countries that it covers as 3.6% this year, and 3.7% in...

Fossil Fuels

Fossil Fuels

UK gilts fall further as oil tankers burn and BoE rate hike betting rises

British government bond rates fell again in the early hours of Thursday's trading, continuing a dreadful performance for the entire month. This was due to news that two oil tankers had caught fire?in Iraqi water?on...Thursday following what appeared to have been Iranian strikes. At 0823 GMT the five-year and 10-year gilt rates, which move in the opposite direction to the prices, had risen 4-5 basis points for the day, and were on course to close at their highest level since the start of the U.S./Israeli war against Iran. Investors believe that Britain is more vulnerable to an energy price spike...

Fossil Fuels

Wall Street Journal, March 11,

These are the most popular?stories from the Wall Street Journal. These stories have not been?verified? and we cannot vouch for their accuracy. Officials familiar with the matter say that the International Energy Agency (IEA) has proposed to release the most oil reserves it has ever released in order to lower crude prices, which have risen during the U.S./Israel war against Iran. Boeing announced that it would delay the delivery of some 737 MAX aircraft after discovering a wiring problem on newly constructed aircraft. This is a setback for Boeing's efforts to deliver jets faster. Samsara Eco, an Australian startup that...

Fossil Fuels

McGeever: The 2007 subprime credit warnings are echoed in the alarms of private lenders.

Each financial market crisis differs, but they all rhyme. Parallels are emerging between the tremors rippling now through private credit, and those that led to the Global Financial Crisis in 2007-09. It's not to say that a replay of the historic crash is imminent. There is a growing danger that the mounting pressure in private credit, which includes?opaque prices, scarce or nonexistent liquid, and high redemptions, could spill over to public markets. BlackRock, a?world-leading?asset management firm with over $14 trillion in assets under management, announced on Friday that it had restricted withdrawals from its flagship debt fund following a spike...

Crude Oil

Mineral Resources

Mining

CleanTech Lithium begins partner search in Laguna Verde after Chile contract agreement

CleanTech Lithium will formally begin the search for "a strategic partner" for its Laguna Verde Lithium project after publishing a prefeasibility report later this month. The process is expected to take between nine and twelve months, according to Chief Executive Ignacio Mehech. The timeline provides a better idea of how fast the London-listed firm hopes to progress one of only a few private-sector projects in Chile that are moving forward. New supply has not been forthcoming despite high long-term expectations. CleanTech announced on Tuesday it had 'agreed contractual terms with Chile’s mining ministry for an exclusive lithium operating contract (CEOL)?for...

Mineral Resources

Sources: Rio Tinto increases Q2 Japan Aluminium Premium Offer

Rio Tinto increased its offer of a?aluminum premium to?Japanese customers to $350 per ton for April-June primary shipments. This is up 79% compared to the current quarter. The revised offer, which is 40% more than Rio's prior proposal of $250, would, if accepted by the client, be the highest premium since the April-June 2015 quarter, when it reached $380 per ton. Japan is the largest?Asian metal importer and the premiums it agrees to pay each quarter for primary metal shipments over the London Metal Exchange cash price are the benchmarks for the region. Global?producers in late February offered Japanese buyers...

Mining

Rio Tinto delivers first lithium produced at the Rincon project in Argentina

Rio Tinto announced the first commercial shipment of lithium carbonate from its Rincon project, located in Salta Province in Argentina. This marks the official start of exports. In a late-Monday statement, the company said that a?shipment of?200 tons in 10 containers had left the Port of Buenos Aires for Shanghai, China. It will be received at a warehouse and distributed in Asian markets. The Rincon project will add a production capacity of 53,000 tons per year of battery-grade lithium carbonate starting in 2028. Anglo-Australian Mining Company, a mining company based in the United States, said that Argentina is a key...

Mining

Reports from FT say that Mongolia has asked Rio Tinto to change the terms of Oyu Tolgoi Copper Mine.

The Financial Times reported that Mongolia wants to renegotiate "unfair" terms for Rio Tinto's Oyu Tolgoi copper mine worth $18 billion. The newspaper reported that the Mongolian Prime Minister, Gombojavyn Zaandanshatar, warned Rio in a Monday meeting about the "unfairness" of the current deal. He added that the "situation feels like the Mongolians and their parliament are being misled", the paper said. The report stated that Zandanshatar, along with other government officials, will meet Rio executives this week, including head of copper Katie Jackson to discuss the terms of the deal. Mongolia holds 34% of Oyu Tolgoi - one of...

Mineral Resources

Ferrexpo warns of risk posed by collapsed Swiss bank

The iron-ore pellet manufacturer?Ferrexpo warned on Monday of "material 'negative consequences" unless they secure alternative?banking agreements after a collapse in a Swiss banking partner MBaer, which sent shares down 4%. Ferrexpo AG's Swiss subsidiary (FAG), had a banking arrangement with MBaer Merchant Bank AG. The bank is slated to be closed by the Swiss financial regulator for alleged money laundering violations and breaches of sanctions against Iran and Russia. Ferrexpro used the bank for 'commercial payments outside Ukraine' and said that MBaer holds about $3 million with FAG. Ferrexpo stated that the collapse of Ferrexpo's Ukraine subsidiaries will not have...

Mining

As the Middle East war intensifies, aluminium resumes its ascent and is expected to have its best week in over 18 months.

Aluminum prices rose 'again' on Friday, after breaking a three-day winning streak in the previous session. They were on their way to their biggest weekly increase in more than 18-months as a result of?supply -concerns resulting from the U.S.-Israeli war against Iran. As of 1050 GMT, the benchmark three-month aluminum on the London Metal Exchange had increased by 1.5% to $3,346.50 a metric tonne. Aluminium, a metal used for packaging and transportation, reached a four-year high of $3.418 per metric ton on Wednesday. The Mideast crisis was threatening to stop shipments. LME aluminum was expected to rise 6.6% in the...

Mining

Andy Home: The fragility of the Western aluminum market is exposed by the war between Iran and ROI

The Iran War has exposed a growing vulnerability of the West in its supply of aluminum, a metal that is classified by the United States as a crucial manufacturing input. The London Metal Exchange's (LME) aluminum price reached a four-year peak of $3,418 a metric ton Wednesday, after a Gulf producer, Qatalum, a joint venture between Norsk Hydro, Qatar Aluminum Manufacturing and Qatar Aluminum Manufacturing started powering down its smelter, and another, Aluminum Bahrain, declared force majeure. The Strait of Hormuz is still closed, and this could cause further disruptions to the'regional production hub' that provides 23% of non Chinese...

Mineral Resources

Andy Home: The fragility of the Western aluminum market is exposed by the war between Iran and ROI

The Iran War has exposed a growing vulnerability of the West's aluminium supply, a metal that is classified by the United States as a "critical manufacturing input" and by the European Union. The London Metal Exchange's (LME) aluminium prices hit a four-year peak of $3,418 per metric ton Wednesday, after a Gulf producer, Qatalum, a joint venture between Norsk Hydro, Qatar Aluminum Manufacturing and Qatar Aluminum Manufacturing started shutting down their smelter, and another, Aluminium Bahrain, declared force majeure. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which is still in place, risks further disruption of a regional hub of production...

Mining

Flacks Group is'ready' to bid for Thyssenkrupp's steel business, if current sales talks fail

Michael Flacks, the CEO of Flacks Group, said that if current attempts to sell Thyssenkrupp's steel division fail, they would be "ready" to bid for it. Thyssenkrupp and Jindal Steel International have been in discussions since the autumn about a possible sale for Thyssenkrupp Steel Europe. However, these discussions are yet to produce a formal bid. Flacks Group was selected by Italy in 'December' to conduct exclusive negotiations on the sale Acciaierie d'Italia, a bailed out steel company. Flacks stated that "our main interest in Italy is now, but we're interested in major companies and, if talks about an acquisition...

Mineral Resources

Copper and other base metals are lifted by China factory data

On Wednesday, copper prices recovered from two sessions of losses due to better than expected private factory data from China, the top metals consumer. The aluminium price rose to its highest level in more than a month, on the back of supply concerns resulting from the escalating conflict in the Middle East. This region is a major producer of this metal. The benchmark three-month copper price on the London Metal Exchange rose 1.5%, to $13,150 per metric ton at 1030 GMT. LME copper has fallen 3% in the last two sessions due to fears that the Mideast conflict will hinder...

Mining

Aluminum prices rise on fears of supply as the Iran conflict escalates

Aluminum prices continued to rise on Wednesday, as supply concerns grew after Norsk Hydro of Norway announced a controlled shut-down?in their aluminium joint venture in Qatar in the face of a growing war in the Middle East. Around 8% of global aluminum capacity is accounted for by the region. As the conflict spreads into neighbouring countries and Iran threatens to target ships trying to transit the Strait, supply concerns are becoming more real. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most active aluminium contract closed the daytime trade 2.31% higher, at 24,795 Yuan ($3,585.11) per metric ton. As of 0700 GMT, the benchmark?aluminum...

Mining

Aluminum prices rise on fears of supply as Middle East conflict escalates

Aluminum prices rose on Wednesday, as concerns about supply grew after Norsk Hydro of Norway announced a 'controlled shutdown' in its joint venture with Qatar due to the?ongoing conflict between Israel, Iran and the U.S. Around?8% global aluminum capacity is produced in the Middle East. As the conflict spreads to neighbouring countries and Iran threatens to target ships trying to transit the Strait of Hormuz, supply concerns are becoming more real. As of 0300 GMT, the most active aluminium contract at the Shanghai Futures Exchange had risen by 2.04% to 24,730 Yuan ($3,576.13) per metric ton. The benchmark three-month aluminum...