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Energy Markets

Crude Oil

Crude Oil

Stocks to gain weekly, Bonds and FX await Warsh's Jackson Hole debut

Oil prices fell for the first time in three weeks last Friday as investors weighed Gulf developments and awaited Kevin Warsh's potentially market-moving comments. Brent fell 0.6% to $89.2 per barrel, close to the middle of its range since mid-June. The benchmark was still on track to drop more than 5% this week. Attention is focused on an upcoming deal between Iran, Oman, and the U.S. on the management of traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. The fall in oil prices combined with the rally in technology shares after Nvidia’s results on Tuesday helped the?MSCI all country world share indices...

Crude Oil

EARLY MORNING BID EUROPE - Waiting for Nvidia to complete the next leg of AI rally

Rae Wee gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. The?session began in Asia with a muted tone, as stocks drifted ahead of Nvidia’s upcoming?earnings, where high expectations are being placed on the artificial intelligence darling. Alibaba's $10.2 billion sale of shares at a steeply discounted price to fund its AI plans and Samsung Electronics disappointing shareholder-return program in the previous session weighed on technology shares. A roughly 45% drop in?the share price of Unitree after a five-fold increase on its Shanghai debut triggered concerns over bubble risk, retail investors losses, and flaws within...

Crude Oil

Oil prices rise as investors assess the impact of US sanctions on Iran

The oil prices rose on Tuesday, after falling more than 2% the previous session. Investors were evaluating the impact of a new 'U.S. Sanctions?against Iran. Brent crude futures were up 27 cents or 0.3% to $92.44 per barrel at 0330 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude rose 37 cents or 0.4% to $85.38. Both contracts settled lower Monday. U.S. crude fell to a new one-week low as profit taking took place after the prices had risen over the past two weeks. The market is not fazed at all by Washington's efforts to tighten economic pressure against?Iran. Traders see the U.S....

Crude Oil

Oil prices stable as investors assess impact of US sanctions on Iran

Investors weighed the impact of the new U.S. sanctions against Iran, which are more severe, on the oil prices. Brent 'crude 'futures were down by 9 cents or 0.1% at $92.16 at 0104 GMT. Meanwhile, U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude oil was up one cent at $85.02 a barrel. Both contracts dropped more than 2% Monday, with U.S. Crude Oil falling to an all-time low after the price had risen over the past two weeks. U.S. Treasury secretary Scott Bessent announced on Monday an expansion of sanctions in order to cut off Iran’s economic lifeline and force a ceasefire between...

Crude Oil

MORNING BID AMERICA-Bonds Out, Robots In

What's important in U.S. and Global Markets Today By Mike Dolan, Editor at Large, Finance and Markets Bond storm calmed down overnight, but equity markets were still bruised. A tense calm is hanging over the markets as U.S. Treasury prepares for a sale of 20-year bonds later on Wednesday. The minutes of the Federal Reserve split meeting held in July could also help to resolve some of this uncertainty about the central bank's view on persistently high inflation. Below, I'll go into more detail. Check out my mid-week article, in which I discuss diversification away from AI, and much more....

Crude Oil

Oil extends climb on prolonged Hormuz export uncertainty

The oil price rose for the fourth consecutive day on Wednesday as investors considered conflicting messages from Washington and Tehran about whether the Strait of Hormuz was open to ships. Brent crude futures rose 69 cents or 0.8% to $91.71 at 0415 GMT. U.S. West Texas intermediate crude futures gained 76 cents or 0.9% to $85.70 per barrel. As hopes for peace between Iran and the U.S. faded, both contracts closed Tuesday at their highest level in over three weeks. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said that no talks are taking place with Iran. He also insisted that the Strait...

Crude Oil

Bond markets in the US and Japan are smashed by inflation and fiscal concerns

The United States' long-term borrowing costs to Japan and Germany reached their highest level in decades on Tuesday as new inflation concerns added to the nagging concern about the fiscal pressures that are facing some of the largest economies around the world. The 30-year bond yields of the United States - the world's most important government bond market - hit their highest level since 2007. Oil prices -- which are up 50% this year -- have risen back above $90 per barrel, causing inflation fears as U.S. - Iran peace hopes fade. In Japan, fears of inflation and the expectation...

Crude Oil

Hormuz shipping slows as US-Iran talks on peace stall and oil gains are held.

The oil prices remained mostly stable on Monday. They maintained gains made the previous week. Prospects for a lasting U.S. Iran peace deal seem increasingly distant, and there are persistent fears of disruptions to supply in the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude futures were at $88.55 as of 0128 GMT. U.S. West Texas intermediate crude futures fell 14 cents to $72.26 per barrel. Last week, both contracts rose by?more that 5% following the attacks on tankers of Abu Dhabi National Oil Company?in the Hormuz Strait and on a Saudi Aramco refining facility. The weekend saw the Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas...

Crude Oil

Hormuz shipping slows as US-Iran talks on peace stall and oil prices remain flat

Early Monday, oil prices barely moved as tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz had slowed down over the weekend. There was no sign of a peace agreement between Iran and the United States to end the Middle East conflict. Brent crude futures rose 20 cents or 0.2% to $88.72 at 2350 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell 5 cents to $79.35 per barrel. Last week, both contracts saw gains of more than 5% following the attacks on Abu Dhabi National Oil Company tankers in the strait of 'Hormuz and on a Saudi Aramco refining facility. The weekend...

Crude Oil

US-Iran claim that the control of Hormuz is a major factor in oil prices after tanker attacks

Crude oil prices rose on Friday, mainly due to renewed attacks against tankers and a verbal war between the Trump administration and Iran's leaders. Brent futures rose 80 cents or 0.92% to $87.87 per barrel at 10:48 am CT (1548 GMT), whereas U.S. West Texas intermediate crude futures increased 43 cents or 0.53% to $81.69 per barrel. Brent and WTI are on track to gain 5.09% a week and 4.37% a week, respectively. Bjarne Shieldrop is the chief commodities analyst for SEB Research. He said that higher oil prices are a result of U.S. policy towards Iran. This latest approach...

Crude Oil

Brief relief MORNING BID AMERICAS

What's important in U.S. and Global Markets Today By Mike Dolan, Editor at Large, Finance and Markets The July consumer inflation report was not spectacular, but it did offer some relief to the markets who were worried about a surprise on the upside. The annual headline and core rates were lower than expected. However, the core price increase for July was higher than forecast. Below, I will get to that and more. Check out my latest article, which explores AI's impact on inflation and employment so far. Listen to the most recent episode of Morning Bid, the daily podcast. Subscribe...

Crude Oil

MORNING BID AMERICAS - Long bond

What's important in U.S. and Global Markets Today By Mike Dolan, Editor at Large, Finance and Markets Brent crude traded at almost $90 per barrel on Tuesday, after a 5% increase yesterday. The U.S.'s and Iran's hard-line positions on any potential deal have shattered hopes that the Strait of Hormuz could reopen. Below, I will go into more detail. Check out my column about Trump's latest attack on the independence of the Federal Reserve - and how it comes at a nervous time for bond markets. Listen to the Morning Bid podcast where we talk about Nvidia's $500 Billion AI...

Refined Products

Oil & Gas

Brazil oil export tax suspended by court, but extended by government

Brazil's oil export tax is in a state of uncertainty after a local court ruled to suspend the levy and the Foreign Trade Chamber approved extending it for another 60-days. These contradictory moves have left the future of 12% tax unclear, and the oil companies are challenging it. This could lead to a legal battle between the Luiz Inacio Lula Da Silva administration and the oil producers. Sources familiar with the issue said that the Foreign Trade Chamber?Camex had approved the extension of tax due to expire September 9. A 'federal court' had granted an injunction to suspend the tax...

Fossil Fuels

Oil prices fall ahead of US announcements on new Iran sanctions

Prices of oil fell by more than $1 per barrel on Monday, as investors took a profit ahead of an announcement that Washington is expected to make about additional sanctions against Iran. This could further disrupt Middle East supplies. Brent crude futures dropped $1.22 or 1.29% to $93.17 at 0035 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate was $85.86 per barrel, down by $1.20 or 1.38%. The two contracts both posted their second weekly gains, up over 5% last week as the peace talks between Iran and the U.S. hit a deadlock, limiting oil shipments across the Strait of Hormuz, where a...

Refined Products

Uncertainty over oil exports via Hormuz has pushed up the price of crude.

The oil prices rose in the early trading on Wednesday. They have risen for a?fourth straight day due to supply uncertainty. Investors weighed contradictory messages from Washington and Tehran on whether or not the 'Strait of Hormuz' is open to ships. Brent crude futures climbed?26 Cents, or 0.29% to $91.28 at 0004 GMT. U.S. West Texas intermediate crude futures rose 37 Cents to $85.31 a bar. The two contracts reached their highest levels since July 24, as the hopes for peace between Iran and the U.S. faded. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said that no talks are taking place with...

Mining

Mineral Resources

Mineral Resources

Gold prices remain stable as Fed chief Warsh prepares to deliver his Jackson Hole address

Market participants were waiting for the remarks of Federal Reserve chair Kevin Warsh at the Jackson Hole Symposium, hoping to gain insight into the central banks future interest rate policy. By 0652 GMT, spot gold had not changed much from $4,603,91 per ounce. The price of gold reached a three-month-high of $4,696.18 after the U.S. Treasury announced support measures for bonds with long-term maturities. U.S. gold futures fell 0.1% to $4 657.10. Matt Simpson, senior analyst at StoneX, stated that the case for Warsh leaning hawkish was greater than for him to not do so. This could lead to gold...

Mineral Resources

As Fed chief Warsh’s Jackson Hole address looms, gold prices fall

The price of gold fell on Friday, as investors waited for the remarks made by Federal Reserve chair Kevin Warsh at a Jackson Hole symposium. Gold spot fell 0.5%, to $4,580.19 an ounce at 0438 GMT. The price of gold reached a three-month-high of $4,696.18 after the U.S. Treasury announced support measures for bonds with long-term maturities. U.S. Gold Futures fell 0.7% to $4.632.40. Matt Simpson, senior analyst at StoneX, stated that the case for Warsh leaning hawkish was greater than "the case against him". This could lead to a further decline in gold from its cycle highs, Matt Simpson...

Mineral Resources

The gold rally takes a break ahead of US inflation figures

The gold?prices eased Wednesday as they were on track to end a three-session winning streak. However, the focus now shifts to the U.S. Inflation data that will be released later in the afternoon for any indications on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy. Spot gold dropped 0.8% by 1114 GMT to $4,618.03 an ounce, after prices rose to their highest level since May 14, on Tuesday, following the U.S. Treasury Department?s recent bond buyback announcement. U.S. Gold Futures fell 0.4% to $4673.90. Nikos Tzabouras is a senior market analyst at Jefferies owned Tradu.com. He said that gold prices were subdued...

Mineral Resources

Andy Home: Chinese exports ease the pain of London zinc shorts

London's zinc market is still a hazardous place for bears. Metal that was expected to drop in price this year has risen. The London Metal Exchange's (LME) 3-month zinc reached a new four-year high of $3,858 a metric ton on Tuesday morning. The relentless rally has been accompanied by an abrupt contraction of the LME time spreads. This is particularly worrying for holders of zinc short positions. The premium for cash Metal?over a three-month delivery The price of a ton has dropped to $131, which is a significant drop from last October's record high of $323. The tightening market this...

Mineral Resources

Gold falls on profit-taking following rally to more than three-month high

Gold prices eased Tuesday, after reaching a high of more than three months earlier in the session. Profit-taking and an 'a?firmer dollar? curbed gains before U.S. Inflation data and comments from Federal Reserve chairman Kevin Warsh. After reaching its highest level since the 14th of May, spot gold fell 0.4% to $4,634.76 an ounce at 0937 GMT. U.S. Gold futures fell 0.2% to $4689.70. Gold's movement today is due to profit-taking, as the dollar has recovered some of the losses from last week that were caused by the buyback announcement," Saxo Bank's Ole Hansen explained. He was referring to U.S....

Mineral Resources

Investors await US inflation data as gold retreats from its three-month high

The gold price fell?on Tuesday, after reaching its highest?levels? in more than three month earlier that day. Investors' attention shifted towards upcoming U.S. data on inflation and Kevin Warsh's speech this week. As of 0334 GMT, spot gold was down by 0.2%, at $4,640.39 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures remained steady at $4,696.00. Tony Sycamore, IG's market analyst, said: "We expect gold dips to be supported by buyers who are looking for gold. We also expect gold to move up towards the next resistance level at $4,900/$5,000." The U.S. Treasury Department announced that it would double its liquidity support buyback...

Mineral Resources

Copper firms buy metals earmarked for exit from LME

The price of copper rose on Monday as a rise in the number of cancelled warrants and metals marked for delivery at the London Metal Exchange stimulated buying. Meanwhile, the lower U.S. dollar boosted the positive sentiment towards industrial metals priced in dollars. Benchmark 'copper' on the LME was 0.2% higher, at $14240 per metric ton. Last week, prices of metals used in construction and power industries reached $14,396. This is the highest price since January's $14,527.50 high. Industry sources say that the cancellations 0#MCUSTXLOC> are mostly stored in LME warehouses in Asia and the U.S., in free-trade zones. They...

Mineral Resources

Gold reaches a 3-month high before US inflation data and Fed chair speech

On Monday, gold prices reached their highest level in more than three month's time as a'subdued' dollar lent support. Meanwhile, attention shifted towards key U.S. data on inflation and Kevin Warsh speaking later this week. As of 0427 GMT spot gold was up 0.8% to $4,641.27 an ounce after reaching its highest level since 15 May earlier in the session. Prices rose by more than 5% in the last week. U.S. Gold Futures edged up 0.4% to $4,697.70. The dollar was teetering near multi-month lows as the market remained unsettled after the U.S. Treasury promised to?buy back more long bonds....

Mineral Resources

Gold falls after a two-month high due to oil and hawkish Fed outlook

Gold prices fell on Thursday, after rising more than 4% the previous session. A surprise U.S. Treasury "liquidity" move pushed down bond yields as well as the dollar. Meanwhile, rising oil prices and hawkish Fed signaling prompted profit taking. By 1140 GMT, spot gold had fallen 0.9% per ounce to $4479.12. Bullion was earlier at $4,525.79, after prices rose to a two-month high on Wednesday. U.S. Gold Futures slipped?0.2% to $4,535.70. Treasury Department announced on Wednesday that it will double its liquidity-support buyback operation for longer-dated bonds and notes, helping to ease the pressure in the bond markets. The U.S....

Mineral Resources

Investors take profit after gold's recent rally.

Gold prices fell on Thursday after a?4?% gain in the previous session. A surprise U.S. Treasury move to increase liquidity pushed bond yields down and the dollar, while higher oil prices and hawkish U.S. Fed signaling prompted profit taking. By 0946 GMT, spot gold had fallen 0.7% per ounce to $4487.93. Bullion prices were at $4,525.79 earlier, after they reached a two-month high on Wednesday. U.S. Gold Futures were little altered at $4,544.50. Treasury Department announced on Wednesday that it would double its liquidity-support purchase operations for longer-dated bonds and notes, helping to ease the pressure in the bond market....

Mineral Resources

Gold falls after a 2-month high on US Treasury move

Gold prices fell Thursday, as investors took profits after the price of gold climbed to its highest level in more than two months. This was due to a U.S. Treasury announcement that it would provide liquidity support for long-term bonds. The unexpected announcement weakened dollar values and reduced Treasury yields. By 0750 GMT, spot gold had fallen 0.7% per ounce to $4488.19. Bullion was earlier at $4,525.79 - its highest price since June 2 - after a more 4% increase on Wednesday. U.S. Gold futures were little changed at $4,462.30. Treasury Department announced it would double its liquidity support 'buyback...

Mineral Resources

Gold falls after a 2-month high on US Treasury move

Gold prices fell Thursday, as investors took profits after the price of gold climbed to an 'over two-month high on a surprise U.S. Treasury's announcement of liquidity support for long-duration bond, which weakened the dollar and sent Treasury rates lower. By 0604 GMT, spot gold was down by 0.7% to $4,487.63 an ounce. Bullion was earlier at $4,525.79. This is its highest price since June 2 after a more-than-4% gain on Wednesday. U.S. Gold Futures was?little different at $4,545.60. Treasury Department announced that it would double its liquidity support 'buyback operations' for bonds and notes with longer maturities. This came...