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Sources say that Trump is looking to bring Azerbaijan and Central Asian nations under the Abraham Accords.

Five sources familiar with the situation say that the Trump administration is in active discussions with Azerbaijan about the possibility of bringing this nation and other Central Asian allies to the Abraham Accords. The goal is to strengthen their current ties with Israel. In the Abraham Accords signed in 2020 and 2021, during Trump's initial term, four Muslim majority countries agreed to normalize their diplomatic relations with Israel, after U.S. mediated. Azerbaijan, and all countries in Central Asia have had long-standing relations with Israel. Therefore, an expansion of the Abraham Accords to include these countries would be largely symbolic. It would focus on strengthening ties such as trade and military collaboration, according to the sources who requested anonymity for private conversations. This expansion would show Trump's willingness to accept pacts less ambitious than the administration's goal of convincing regional giant Saudi Arabia to restore relations with Israel as war rages on in Gaza.

The Kingdom has said repeatedly that it will not recognize Israel until Israel acknowledges a Palestinian State. The Arabs are furious over the escalating death toll and the starvation of Gaza due to Israel's military actions and blockade of aid. This has complicated efforts to include more Muslim majority countries in the Abraham Accords. Global anger has been sparked by the war in Gaza where, according to local authorities, over 60,000 people, including tens and thousands of women, children, have died. Canada, France and United Kingdom announced in recent days plans to recognize an independent Palestine. Azerbaijan and Armenia's conflict is another key sticking point, as the Trump administration views a peace agreement between the two Caucasus countries as a condition for joining the Abraham Accords.

Sources said that while Trump officials had publicly floated a number of potential participants in the accords the Azerbaijan talks were among the most structured. Two sources said a deal might be achieved within months, or even weeks.

Steve Witkoff was the special envoy of Trump for peace missions. He traveled to Baku in Azerbaijan to meet President Ilham Aliyev. Three sources claim that Aryeh lightstone, a Witkoff aide who is a major player in the Abraham Accords discussion, met Aliyev in the spring to discuss this issue.

Sources said that as part of the discussion, Azerbaijani representatives had contacted officials from Central Asian nations including Kazakhstan to gauge their interest for a broader Abraham Accords extension. Sources said that it was unclear which other Central Asian countries were contacted, including Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan Turkmenistan Tajikistan Kyrgyzstan, and Uzbekistan.

When asked to comment, the State Department did not mention specific countries but stated that expanding the accords was one of Trump's key goals. A U.S. official said, "We're working to get more nations to join."

The Azerbaijani Government declined to comment.

Requests for comment were not answered by the White House, Israel's foreign ministry or the Kazakhstani Embassy in Washington.

The Abraham Accords, which Israel signed in the past, will not be affected by any new agreements.

OBSTACLES REMAINS

Original Abraham Accords - signed between Israel, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan – were centered around restoration of ties. The second round of the expansion seems to be evolving into a wider mechanism to expand U.S. soft power and Israeli hard power. Azerbaijan, sandwiched between Russia and Iran in the north, and Central Asia and Europe to the south is a vital link for trade between the two regions. Oil and gas are abundant in Central Asia and the Caucasus, which has led to a competition between major powers for influence. Extending the accords to countries that have diplomatic relations with Israel could also be a way to give a symbolic win to a President who is known for praising even small victories.

Two sources describe the Central Asia discussions as embryonic, but the Azerbaijan discussions as fairly advanced.

There are still challenges and no guarantee that a deal can be reached. This is especially true given the slow progress of talks between Armenian and Azerbaijan.

Both countries gained independence from the Soviet Union, in 1991. Since the late 1980s, when Nagorno Karabakh, an Azerbaijani area with a majority ethnic Armenian population, broke away from Azerbaijan, they have been at odds.

Azerbaijan will retake Karabakh in 2023. This will cause 100,000 ethnic Armenians fleeing to Armenia. Since then, both sides have said that they would like to sign a peace treaty to end the conflict.

The U.S. and Armenia have strong ties, but the Trump administration does not want to upset the authorities in Yerevan. Trump and Secretary of State Marco Rubio have both argued for a near-term peace between the two nations.

Trump said to reporters in early July, "Armenia and Azerbaijan...we worked magic there." It's close." (Reporting and editing by Humeyra Pauk and Deepa Babyington; Additional reporting and editing by Steve Holland in Washington and Humeyra and Humeyra in Jerusalem, Nailia Bagirova and Nailia Rose in Baku)

(source: Reuters)