South-West Asia

South Korean President Lee Jae Myung said that the rising tensions in the Strait of Hormuz make it difficult to be optimistic regarding the aftermath of the Iran War. He warned that high oil prices, and supply chain strains are likely to continue for a long time. Lee said at a cabinet gathering on Tuesday that the government should accept a prolonged disruption in global raw materials and energy markets and strengthen its emergency response system. Lee stated that "for the moment, problems in global energy and raw material supply chains as well as high oil prices will continue." I...

The British government announced that British Finance Minister Rachel Reeves would tell her international counterparts traveling to Washington this week about the "securonomics", or approach, she uses in dealing with an uncertain world. Reeves will, while in the United States to attend an International Monetary Fund summit, once again promote Britain as "a rare safe haven for Investors" that provides stability amid rising energy prices. After weekend talks to end the war failed, Tehran has threatened to attack the ports of its Gulf neighbours. Britain's dependence on imported gas and stubbornly high inflation has led to a sharper selloff of...

The International Monetary Fund, World Bank and International Energy Agency urged on Monday that countries should not hoard energy supplies or impose export controls which could worsen 'the biggest shock to the global market ever. After a meeting between IMF and World Bank officials, IEA 'chief?Fatih Birol' told reporters that several countries held onto stock and imposed export restrictions. He appealed to countries to allow energy stocks to flow into the markets. He did not mention the countries. Kristalina Georgieva (Managing Director of the IMF) said "Do not harm" when she met with countries in Asia, Sub-Saharan Africa, and South...

Nigeria's finance minister announced on Monday that the country will be seeking stronger international financial support during this week's IMF/World Bank Spring Meetings as a result of the Iran War, which has increased fuel prices at home and complicated reforms. Wale Edun, Africa's leading oil producer, said that the surge in crude prices has benefited him by boosting his foreign exchange earnings. This statement was made ahead of this week's Washington meetings. He added, "But the shock occurs at a critical transition point that intensifies inflationary pressures while raising household living costs." Since the beginning of the conflict, petrol prices...

U.S. president Donald 'Trump' said on Saturday that a large number of completely emptied?oil tanks?were headed to the United States for refueling with oil and natural gas. "The best and sweetest oil and gas in the World are being loaded into the United States by a large number of oil tankers that are completely empty. Trump stated in a Truth Social posting that "we have more oil and better quality than the next two largest oil economies combined." The post was made as senior U.S. officials and Iranian officials met on Saturday in Islamabad, Pakistan with Pakistani mediators as Tehran...

Analysts predict that the sharp drop in?global production due to the Iran War will cause the oil market to experience a deficit this year. This is a dramatic change from previous forecasts, which predicted a comfortable supply. The conflict that began on February 28th with U.S.-Israeli strikes against Iran has effectively stopped oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz. This passageway accounts for about one fifth of global consumption. Attacks on energy infrastructure and production shutdowns have also severely reduced output. Eight analysts polled predict that oil demand will exceed supply by an average of 750,000 barrels a day this...

Brazilian pulp giant Suzano announced on Friday that toilet paper, tissue and diaper prices will increase globally as companies try to cover higher transportation and 'chemical' costs if the U.S. and Israeli war against Iran continues. Suzano is the largest producer of pulp in the world, with a market capitalization of more than $60 billion. This pulp is used to manufacture Kimberly-Clark Cottonelle toilet papers, Kleenex tissues and sanitary products, as well as diapers, cardboard packaging, and other everyday items. The Iran War has caused a spike in oil prices, which have increased Suzano’s costs for shipping, trucking and rail....

Donald Trump, the U.S. president, proclaimed in February that this year's refunds were "substantially higher than ever before" thanks to individual tax breaks approved by 2025. He told taxpayers they should think of him as soon as their funds reached their bank accounts. "Don't use all this money at once!" He wrote this on the Truth Social platform. The gasoline pump is eating up the tax refunds from last year's Republican tax-cut legislation. This includes tax breaks for tips, Social Security retirement, overtime pay and car loan interest. Oil prices remained close to $100 per barrel on Friday, despite a...

Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli prime minister, said on Thursday that he had 'instructed Israel to start 'peace -talks' with Lebanon which would include disarming Hezbollah. In a statement, Netanyahu said: "In view of Lebanon's repeated request to begin direct negotiations with Israel as soon as possible." The negotiations will be centered on disarming Hezbollah, and establishing peaceful relations between Israel & Lebanon. The?Lebanese Government did not respond immediately to Netanyahu's comments. Aoun had said, an hour before Netanyahu made his?statement: "The only way to resolve the situation in Lebanon would be to reach a ceasefire, then to have direct negotiations...

?U.S. Donald Trump announced on Wednesday that all imports of military equipment from Iran will be subject to immediate 50% tariffs. There would be no exceptions. He made the announcement in a post on social media just hours after agreeing to a two-week ceasefire. Trump's Truth Social posting did not specify the legal authority that he would use to impose these tariffs. In February, the Supreme Court struck down Trump's use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act in order to impose global tariffs. A lower court ordered refunds for $166 billion collected during the course of one year. The...

The GCC's growth forecast for 2026 has been reduced to 1.3% due to lower hydrocarbon revenue Kuwait and Qatar's economies are expected to contract in this year The World Bank warns about lingering risks in the region DUBAI, 8 April - In a report released on Wednesday, the World Bank slashed the growth forecast for the Middle East's economies in 2026 as a "consequence" of the conflict between the U.S. and Israel, along with Iran. The report also warned of widespread risks. Donald Trump announced late Tuesday a ceasefire of two weeks in the conflict. The conflict is now in...

Investors are putting together a "Trump trade' playbook to?navigate market uncertainty. This includes determining whether a U.S. - Iran ceasefire will last and whether oil prices will remain high for longer. As geopolitics continue to dominate the economy, it is difficult to move money based on long-term perspectives. During the Iran War, many?investors have placed shorter-term bets instead on assets which may have been?mispriced?. Here is a list of some new Trump trades. 1/OIL PRICE WILL STAY HIGHER FOR A LONGER TIME Oil prices fell almost 15% to $100 per barrel in the wake of the ceasefire on Wednesday, but...

Sinopec, the Chinese state oil company, has purchased Russian crude oil in both March and April after the U.S. lifted sanctions temporarily to ease global supply shortages. Sources have estimated that Sinopec purchased 8-10 cargoes a year of ESPO blend oil from the eastern port Kozmino. Another source estimates it to be about 10 cargoes. Each ESPO shipment is 740,000 barrels. Sinopec purchased the cargoes for a premium of between $8 and $10 per barrel over ICE Brent. Before the Iran conflict, Russian crude was traded at a discount around $10 per barrel. Sources spoke under condition of anonymity. The...

Chris Wright, the U.S. Department of Energy's Secretary of Energy, said on Monday that oil prices will likely reach their peak in the "next few weeks" when ship traffic returns through the Strait of Hormuz. Wright, speaking at the Semafor World Economy Forum, said that despite his previous statements, oil prices are likely to rise until "meaningful ship traffic" resumes through the Strait. Wright stated that "energy prices will be high, and possibly even rise until we have meaningful ship traffic in the Strait of Hormuz." This will?probably be the time when oil prices are at their peak. It's likely...

Physical Forties crude reaches record price of $148.87 * Supply disruptions persist despite ceasefire * Repsol CEO: Physical transactions are under pressure (Includes context, and Repsol CEO's comment from paragraph?2) LONDON,?13 April - European crude prices reached a new record near $150 per barrel on Monday after the U.S. announced plans to blockade Strait of Hormuz. This added to concerns?about tight supply. Brent crude futures prices for June delivery LCOc1 rose 6%, to more than $100 per barrel. The U.S. Navy is preparing to block ships going to and coming from Iran through the Strait o'Hormuz. This could limit Iranian...

A survey released on Friday showed that U.S. consumers' sentiment fell to a "record low" in early April and they expect inflation to rise?in the coming 12 months. Surveys of Consumers at the University of Michigan reported that its Consumer Sentiment Index fell to a new low of 47.6 in April, from a final reading of 53.3 last month. Economists surveyed by had 'predicted the index to ease to 52.0. The survey found that the decline in'sentiment' was a result of age, income, and political party membership, but noted?that most responses were made before a ceasefire agreement negotiated earlier this...

The price of refined fuels has fallen sharply, in line with the declines seen in crude oil after the tentative ceasefire agreement between the United States & Iran. However, the prices remain at levels that indicate a shortage. The prices of gasoil and jet fuel in Singapore, the Asian trading center, all dropped by?double digits on Wednesday amid relief from the market that the 'deal' may lead to the reopening of Strait of Hormuz. The 'ceasefire' and commitment to peace talks announced by the United States in separate announcements looks already to be on its way out. Tehran said it...

The United States, Iran and Pakistan agreed to a ceasefire for two weeks, which was mediated by Pakistan. This could potentially end a six-week war that has claimed thousands of lives, spread throughout the Middle East, and disrupted the world's supply of energy. Trump announced the deal late Tuesday night, only?two hours after a deadline that he set for Iran:?opening the Strait of Hormuz blockade or face destruction of their "whole civilization". Shehbaz sharif, the Pakistani prime minister, said he invited Iranian and U.S. delegates to meet at Islamabad this Friday. Trump said that the deal was contingent on Iran...

His office announced that British Prime Minister Keir starmer would 'travel to the Gulf tomorrow to 'hold talks with regional leaders to...?ensure that the Strait of Hormuz is permanently opened after a U.S. Iran ceasefire. Starmer, in a press release, said: "I welcome the overnight ceasefire agreement which will bring relief to the area?and world." "Together, with our partners, we must do everything possible to support and sustain the 'ceasefire. We need to turn it into an agreement that will last and reopen the Strait of Hormuz." Starmer, who has been heavily criticized by U.S. president Donald Trump for not'supporting...

Anthony Albanese, the Australian Prime Minister, welcomed the ceasefire between the United States, Israel, and Iran on Wednesday, but criticised the rhetoric of Donald Trump. Trump agreed to the two-week ceasefire just two hours before he set a deadline for Tehran to open up the Strait o'Hormuz, or face devastating attacks against its civilian infrastructure. His announcement via?social media was a sudden change from earlier that day when he had issued a warning saying "a whole civilisation will die tonight" in the event his demands were not met. Albanese told Sky News that the ceasefire is welcome but Trump's rhetoric...

A spokesperson from India's Foreign Ministry said that the Maldives was seeking fuel supplies. India?is still shipping fuel to its neighboring countries?, she added. Randhir Jaiswal, at a press conference, stated that India is the world's?fourth largest refiner? and supplies fuel to Bangladesh, Nepal, Bhutan, and Sri Lanka. The government of Maldives also contacted us to supply petroleum products on a short-term as well as long-term basis. Jaiswal stated that the request from Maldives is being evaluated in light of our own needs and availability. According to World Bank statistics, the Maldives sources most of its fuel from Oman. The...

A government official said that Indian police seized 414 canisters of cooking gas hidden in a cemetery in Hyderabad and arrested people who were trying to sell the canisters on the black market. This was in response to shortages caused by 'the Iran War. The authorities have increased raids in order to reduce the hoarding and stockpiling of liquefied gas canisters, after the U.S./Israeli war on Iran caused shipping disruptions that led to shortages. India is the second largest LPG importer in the world. About 60% of India's LPG demand is met by overseas purchases. Sujata sharma, a senior official...

Asian governments spend billions in subsidies to protect consumers from rising oil prices due to the U.S. - Israeli war against Iran. Here are some steps that governments in Asia have taken to reduce the amount of oil coming from the Middle East. The Japanese government is 'using 800 billion yen (5.02 billion dollars) from reserve funds to finance subsides aimed at maintaining gasoline prices at around 170 yen per litre. This would cost up to 300 billion yen a month. SOUTH KOREAN In late March, the South Korean?budget?ministry proposed a supplementary budget of $26.2 trillion won to help low-income...

Retail sales in the United States increased the most since'seven months' in February, as motor vehicle purchases recovered and temperatures rose. However, rising gasoline prices due to the Middle East war could limit spending in months ahead. Commerce Department's delayed report from?Wednesday indicated that the economy had been on a solid footing before?the U.S. and Israel war with Iran. The conflict that began at the end February has caused global oil prices to surge by more than 50%. This week, the average national retail gasoline price surpassed $4 for the first time since more than three year. Economists have warned...