South-West Asia

NextDecade, a U.S. producer of liquefied gas, announced on Thursday that it had signed a deal for supplying Japan's largest power generator JERA 2 million tonnes of LNG per year from the fifth liquefaction plant in its Rio Grande Project. Early trading saw NextDecade shares up 5.5% to $8.11. The United States will be the largest LNG exporter in the world in 2024. It is expected to ship 11.9 billion cubic foot per day. This has been boosted by President Donald Trump lifting a moratorium in January on new export licenses. NextDecade’s deal with JERA - Japan's largest LNG buyer...

Fixed income news service IFR said on Tuesday that Saudi Aramco, the oil giant, is looking to raise money through a three-part dollar-denominated bond sale. The benchmark size of the debt deal is $500 million, as it is typically considered. Aramco announced a 4.6% decline in profits for the first quarter, citing a drop in sales and increased operating costs due to economic uncertainty. Last week, it was reported that the oil giant is looking at potential asset sales in order to free up funds for international expansion as well as to weather the impact of lower oil prices. IFR...

Gulf stock markets mixed on Tuesday. Saudi Arabia's Tadawul main index fell 0.78%, as investor sentiment was fragile due to the unpredictable nature of U.S. president Donald Trump's policies. Trump's announcement on Sunday that he would delay his threat to impose 50% tariffs on the European Union gave a boost on futures markets. The deadline of July 9 was set for Washington to reach a deal with the 27-nation EU. Nasdaq Futures rose by 1.67%, while S&P 500 Futures increased by 1.49%. Brent crude futures were up 11 cents or 0.2% by 0640 GMT as the markets awaited clarity from...

RIA News Agency reported that Alexander Novak, the Russian prime minister, said on Monday morning that the OPEC+ grouping of major oil producers had not yet discussed raising output by another 411,000 barley per day before its meeting. On May 28, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies led by Russia will host an online ministerial conference. Novak told RIA that he expected the two to discuss the current market conditions, forecasts, and "adjustments". Eight OPEC+ nations will meet separately, who had committed to voluntary extra cuts in oil production. Three OPEC+ source told us earlier...

ConocoPhillips CEO Ryan Lance stated on Tuesday that U.S. shale production will plateau if oil prices stay where they are and will begin to decline when oil prices reach $50 per barrel. "The breakeven has probably not moved much." "I think that long-term if oil prices are in a range where they're comfortable - perhaps in the 70s or 65-75 - we will still see modest growth from the U.S.," Lance said, speaking at Qatar Economic Forum. We see a plateauing of production in the U.S. by the end of this year, unless we have a technological breakthrough. Don't bet...

A spokesperson for Mubadala Energy in the United Arab Emirates said that Mubadala Energy had signed an initial contract to supply gas to Indonesia's state fertiliser manufacturer Pupuk Indonesia. Paul Slinger, speaking at an industry conference organized by the Indonesia Petroleum Association, said that Mubadala Energy would supply 115 millions standard cubic feet of methanol per day to Pupuk and 85 mmscfd for its ammonia facility. Slinger stated that the gas will be delivered as soon as production starts at Mubadala Energy South Andaman Block. The Tangkulo-1 well is expected to begin producing by late 2028. Mubadala Energy reported last...

Donald Trump said that he would be meeting with the presidents from Russia and Ukraine to discuss stopping the "bloodbath" in Ukraine. What are the obstacles that the U.S. President faces when he is trying to negotiate a peace agreement with Russia and Ukraine? SECURITY GUARANTEE Ukraine, which has been subjected to a full scale invasion in 2022, and witnessed Russia annex Crimea, needs security guarantees from major powers, primarily the United States. Sources involved in the talks say that the problem is that a security agreement without teeth could leave Ukraine vulnerable. Diplomats talked about a "robust" security guarantee,...

ADNOC, the state-owned oil company of Abu Dhabi, requested approval from the EU on Thursday under the rules on foreign subsidies for its $16.4 billion acquisition of German chemicals firm Covestro. The request was made on the website of the European Commission. ADNOC's largest acquisition ever, for which it received the green light last week under EU merger regulations, demonstrates the Middle East countries diversification of investments in order to reduce their dependence upon oil. The EU's Foreign Subsidies Regulations (FSR) target unfair foreign aid to companies in order to reduce the competition from non EU companies that are subsidised...

What are the possible contours of a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine? SECURITY GUARANTEE Ukraine, which has been subjected to a full scale invasion in 2022, and witnessed Russia annex Crimea, needs security guarantees from major powers, primarily the United States. The Budapest Memorandum of 1994, in which the U.S., Russia and Britain agreed to refrain from using force against Ukraine and respect Ukrainian sovereignty was not enough for the Ukrainian government. The powers agreed to take the matter to the United Nations Security Council in the event of an attack on Ukraine. Sources involved in the talks say...

Mukesh ambani, the Indian billionaire, will meet with Donald Trump, President of the United States, and Qatar's emir in Doha, according to two sources. His company, Reliance Industries, is looking to strengthen ties between authorities in both countries. Qatar's sovereign fund, QIA has invested in Reliance over the years. Ambani is Asia's wealthiest man and has many business relationships with U.S. technology giants like Google and Meta. Ambani is attending a state dinner in Doha for Trump, but he does not intend to have any business or investment discussions. This was confirmed by the first source who has direct knowledge...

Iraq will export 3.2m barrels of crude oil per day in May and in June, according to an Iraqi official who is familiar with the situation. This would be a substantial reduction compared to previous months. The official, who declined to give his name because the matter was confidential, added that the lower export plan is part Iraq's efforts in order to meet its schedule of compensation reductions pledged to OPEC+. Iraq's oil minister reported a rate of 3.42 million barrels per day in March. This would indicate a lower level of exports. Baghdad is yet to report April exports....

The Gulf stock markets were up early Monday morning, buoyed both by the rising oil price and progress in U.S. China trade negotiations. This was a positive sign as U.S. president Donald Trump prepared to visit this region. On Monday, the United States and China announced that they had reached an agreement to reduce reciprocal tariffs in order to end their trade war which has caused global economic disruption and shaken financial markets. A fragile ceasefire between India and Pakistan also seemed to ease geopolitical tensions. In the meantime, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy declared his willingness to meet Russian president...

Four sources with knowledge of the matter have confirmed that Malaysia's Pengerang Refining Company, or Prefchem, has restarted its residue fluid catalytic (RFCC), after it was shut down for repairs in early 2018. One source said that the run rates of the Pengerang complex, in Johor which produces primarily gasoline, are still not at full capacity. They said that the unit had been closed since the end of January because of technical problems. In addition, the crude processing rate at the 300 000 bpd refinery has also fallen to an average of around 50% in the last four months. Prefchem,...

China's crude oil imports have been positive for the first few months of this year. However, rather than being a sign that fuel demand is improving, the improvement has more to do with rising inventories. Customs data released Friday show that the world's largest crude importer, Saudi Arabia, recorded an average of 11,69 million barrels a day in April. This is down from the 12.1 million bpd it had in March, but up 7.5% from the 10,88 million bpd for the same period last year. The imports in March were the highest since August 2023, and April's relatively strong performance...

A survey shows that OPEC's oil production fell in April despite a planned increase in output. This was due to a reduction in Venezuelan supplies in response to renewed U.S. efforts to reduce the flow of oil and smaller drops in Iraq, Libya, and Libya. According to a survey released on Thursday, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) produced 26.60 millions barrels of oil per day in March, a decrease of 30,000 barrels per days from the total for the month of March. This was due to a reduction by some producers, which was offset by an increase...

Washington is seeking to increase pressure on Tehran by imposing sanctions on Wednesday on entities that it believes are involved in the illegal trade of Iranian petrochemicals and petroleum. In a press release, the U.S. State Department announced that sanctions would be imposed on seven entities in the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Turkey and Iran. The Department accused these entities of trading Iranian petroleum products and petrochemicals. Two vessels were targeted. In a separate press release, U.S. Secretary Marco Rubio stated that the action was taken against four sellers and one purchaser of Iranian petrochemicals valued at hundreds of millions...

Five sources familiar with the discussions said that Saudi Arabian officials were briefing industry experts and allies to explain the kingdom's unwillingness to support the oil market through further cuts in supply and its ability to handle a long period of low oil prices. Saudi Arabia's possible policy shift could indicate a move to produce more and expand its market share. This would be a major change, after spending five years balancing the oil market by producing a large amount of oil as a member of the OPEC+. These cuts helped to support prices and, as a result, the revenue...

Industry sources have confirmed that Abu Dhabi National Oil Company will begin replacing some of its liquefied gas supplies to India from June with cheaper U.S. cargoes, as U.S. China tariffs are reshaping global trade flows. ADNOC will be able to ship more LPG from its own production to China. Buyers in China are paying higher prices to replace U.S. supplies after Beijing raised tariffs on U.S. products. This move also reduces LPG costs for India. 2 importer. India imports more than 80% its LPG from the Middle East including Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. It also sources...

Three sources with knowledge of the situation have confirmed that several OPEC+ member countries will propose a second consecutive month of accelerating oil production increases in June. The oil price fell to a 4-year low in April. This was attributed to a U.S. - China trade war, and an unexpected decision made by OPEC+ (which brings together OPEC, Russia and other major oil producers) to increase production by 411,000 barrels of crude per day in May. This was three times the amount originally planned by the group. On May 5, eight OPEC+ member countries will gather to discuss the output...

Data from industry and trade sources revealed that the share of OPEC crude oil in India's imported oil fell to a new record low during fiscal year 2024-25, as refiners continued to gorge themselves on cheaper Russian oil, which was the number one oil supplier for New Delhi for a third consecutive year. India, which is the third largest oil consumer and importer in the world, has been buying Russian oil at a discounted price after the West imposed sanctions against Moscow due to the Ukraine conflict. In the fiscal year ending March 2025, the South Asian nation imported 4.88...

Two OPEC+ sources told reporters on Thursday that a meeting of eight top ministers in OPEC+ is likely to keep the oil production policy unchanged. This calls for gradual increases in oil output from April. One source said that the talks started shortly after 0900 GMT. One source stated that the ministers will likely emphasize the importance of adhering to the oil production targets. Record Kazakhstan output Sources have said that the move has angered other members, including Saudi Arabia, which is the top producer in the group. OPEC+ has urged the Central Asian nation, as well as other members...

Donald Trump, the U.S. president, threatened Iran on Sunday with bombings and secondary duties if Tehran failed to reach an agreement with Washington regarding its nuclear program. In a phone interview with NBC News Trump stated that U.S. officials and Iranian officials are talking, but did not provide any further details. Trump warned that if they do not make a deal there would be bombing. "But if they do not make a deal I may impose secondary tariffs like I did in 2004." Trump, in his first term 2017-21, rescinded the U.S.'s participation in a 2015 agreement between Iran and...

The oil prices rose on Friday, thanks to a stronger dollar and an optimistic outlook for the demand in the United States, after fuel inventories dropped more than expected. Brent crude futures gained 43 cents or 0.6% to $71.21 per barrel at 0423 GMT. This is their highest level since the 3rd of March. The U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI), which is a crude oil produced in the United States, gained 38 cents or 0.6% to $67.54. U.S. data revealed a greater than expected drawdown in distillate stocks, including heating oil and diesel, last week. The drop was 2.8 million...

Brent crude futures flipped into a discount versus Dubai swaps Wednesday for the first time in November 2023. LSEG data revealed this, highlighting the strength of Middle East sour crude compared to the global benchmark sweet crude. Brent-Dubai Exchange of Futures for Swaps LSEG data revealed that the price of oil was minus 2 cents per barrel as of Wednesday's close on the market at 0430 GMT. Two trade sources reported that the discount had since increased to 14 cents per barrel. Sweet oil is usually more expensive because it's easier to process. Harry Tchilligurian is the head of research...