South-West Asia

Israel and Lebanon will implement a 10-day truce beginning at 5 pm EST (2100 GMT) Thursday in order to facilitate negotiations towards a permanent "security and peace" agreement. The U.S. State Department said that the ceasefire could be extended mutually. Israel's campaign against Lebanon is a major obstacle in achieving a peace agreement sought by U.S. president Donald Trump in order to end his war with Iran, which he began?with Israel late February. This has disrupted global energy trade and risen oil prices, risking further economic fallout. According to the U.S. State Department, once the ceasefire agreement is signed, the...

French Finance Minister Roland Lescure announced on Thursday that the Group of Seven finance and central bank chiefs had agreed to be ready to "act" to reduce economic and inflation risk caused by Middle 'East war energy price and supply fluctuations. Lescure told reporters at the International Monetary Fund's and World Bank's spring meetings that the outcome of the global economy depends on the speed with which the conflict is resolved. The International Energy Agency, with the support of the G7, released last month a record-breaking amount of oil from its strategic reserves in order to counter the cuts of...

Jose Guimaraes, Minister of Institutional Relations, said that Brazil will take new measures in the next few days to reduce the economic impact of the U.S.-Israeli conflict on Iran. This includes steps to lower gasoline prices. Guimaraes told reporters in Brasilia that the package is still being finalized. He also confirmed that the Finance Ministry officials are reviewing fuel prices. He said that the government was working on a scenario where there could be 'up to two months worth of conflict. However, it is still uncertain what impact this will have on the economy. SEVEN-DAY WORKWEEK Guimaraes said that the...

?U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said at a Pentagon press briefing that forces in the Middle East were 'postured' to re-start combat operations if Iran refused to agree to a peaceful deal. He said, "You Iran can choose a prosperous, golden future. We hope you will do this for the people of Iran." "But if Iran chooses badly, they will face a blockade, and bombs being dropped on their infrastructure, power, and energy." U.S. forces have imposed a blockade against all ships attempting to enter or exit Iran as part of a campaign to press Tehran into a deal. "We...

Last week, the U.S. almost became a net oil exporter for the first since World War Two. Shipments surged to near-record highs to meet the demand of Asian and European buyers scrambling in order to replace Middle East supply?cut off by the Iran War. The U.S.-Israeli war against?Iran has caused the biggest ever disruption in the global energy markets. Iranian threats have stopped a fifth of oil and gas from the world transiting through the Strait of Hormuz. Refiners who depend on these supplies in Asia and Europe have purchased alternative cargoes wherever possible, thereby boosting the demand for oil...

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said to reporters that the United States would not be renewing waivers which allowed some Iranian and Russian oil to be purchased without facing U.S. sanctions. Reports on Tuesday stated that Washington will not renew the 30-day waiver for sanctions against 'Iranian Oil at Sea' that expires in this week and that a similar waiver would expire on sanctions against Russian oil over the weekend. We will not renew the general license for?Russian oil and we won't be renewing the?general?license for Iranian oil. This was oil which was in the water before March 11. All of...

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) expects that at least 12 countries will?seek out new loan programs? to deal with the surging 'energy prices? and supply chain disruptions caused by the Middle East?war?,? the head of global crisis lender, said on Wednesday. Kristalina Georgeeva, IMF's Managing Director, warned of further supply disruptions if the Strait of Hormuz is closed even if it ends quickly. She also urged nations to reduce fuel consumption. At a press briefing during the IMF/World Bank spring meetings, Georgieva reiterated her estimation that the disruptions caused by the war would trigger a new demand for financial support...

Donald Trump told Fox 'Business 'Network that he asked Chinese President Xi Jinping a question in a letter, asking him not to supply weapons to Iran. Xi replied that China did not supply tehran. In the Tuesday interview, Trump did not specify when the letters had been exchanged. He threatened to impose an immediate 50% tariff on countries that supplied Iran with arms last week. "I sent him a note asking him to not do that and he replied with a message saying that he is not doing it," Trump said on?FBN’s "Mornings with Maria". He said he didn't expect...

South Korea has purchased 273 million barrels of crude oil from the Middle East and Kazakhstan by the end of this year. Supplies are being routed outside of the Strait of Hormuz. Kang, who was visiting as a presidential special envoy in Kazakhstan, Oman and Saudi Arabia over the last week, said that Asia's fourth largest economy had also acquired 2.1 million tons of naphtha during the same time period. Kang stated that "in particular, the crude and naphtha obtained this time would be sourced via alternative supply routes, unrelated to the closure of the Strait?Hormuz. This will make a...

International Monetary Fund announced on Tuesday that the Middle East and North Africa will 'experience a sharply lower growth rate this year due to the oil exporting countries dealing with the 'fallout' of the Iran War. IMF's World Economic Outlook's forecast for the region's real growth in GDP was cut to just 1.1%, which is 2.8 percentage points below its original January projection. In 2027, growth is projected to return to 4,8%. IMF estimates assume that energy production and transportation will be normalised in the next few months. It noted that the assumption could need to be revised, if the...

Wale Edun is the Nigerian Finance Minister, and the Chair of the G-24 coalition of developing nations. He said that multilateral institutions should do more to help vulnerable countries weather the economic shocks caused by the Middle East war. Edun stated during the briefing for the G-24 at the IMF/World Bank Spring Meetings in Washington that "we would like them do more. We definitely like them provide, especially at this time additional liquidity risk management instruments that lower the cost of funding." The G-24 is a group of countries that coordinates the stances taken by developing nations on issues related...

U.S. Treasury secretary Scott Bessent said on Tuesday that China was an unreliable?partner in the Middle East War?by hoarding supplies of oil and limiting the exports of?some goods. This is similar to its actions during the COVID-19 Pandemic. Bessent said he spoke with Chinese officials on the matter. He avoided a question on whether the dispute will derail U.S. president Donald Trump's plans to visit Beijing mid-May. However, he said that Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping have a good working relationship. "I believe the message of this visit is one of stability. "We've enjoyed great stability in our relationship...

The U.S. and Israeli war against Iran, which has pushed up jet fuel prices, has shook the aviation industry around the world. Airlines have been forced to increase fares and revise financial forecasts. In recent weeks, jet fuel prices have increased from $85-$90 per barrel up to $150-$200 per barrel. This is a major financial blow to an industry that relies on fuel for up to 25% of its operating costs. Here is an alphabetical list of the ways that?airlines have responded: AEGEAN AIRLINES The Greek airline anticipates that the suspension of Middle East flights, as well as a spike...

Kenya's energy regulator announced late Tuesday that retail fuel prices had risen by up to 24.2% due to a spike in crude oil prices and a squeeze on?petroleum supply caused primarily by the Middle East conflict. The Energy and Petroleum Regulatory Authority, which sets maximum retail prices monthly for different products, released a statement that showed a litre of petrol had been increased by 16.1%. It now costs 206.97 Kenyan shillings (about $1.60). Diesel was raised by 24.2%, to 206.84 Kenyan Shillings. Kerosene remained at 152.78 Kenyan Shillings. The regulator justified the increase in retail prices by citing the rising...

Sinopec, the state-owned oil company of China, has purchased Russian crude oil in order to replace Middle Eastern oil after a temporary suspension of sanctions by the United States to ease global supply shortages. Sinopec purchased between 8 and 10 cargoes a year of ESPO blend oil from the eastern port Kozmino. Another source estimated that Sinopec bought about 10 cargoes a year of ESPO. Each ESPO shipment is 740,000 barrels. Sinopec purchased the cargoes for a premium of between $8 and $10 per barrel over ICE Brent. Before the Iran conflict, Russian crude was traded at a discount ranging...

Austria ordered an official review to determine if the 'partially-state-owned oil and natural gas company OMV' is complying with new rules on lowering fuel prices. The company, however, denied that it had broken them on Tuesday. The 'U.S. and Israeli?war on Iran has caused the biggest oil supply disruptions in history, sending oil prices soaring. European governments are scrambling to protect their consumers. Austrian government introduced the so-called "petrol-price brake", under which the value-added tax increase?from increased petrol prices are passed on to the consumers in the form a reduction?in tax, initially set at 6 U.S.-cents per litre. The national...

Sinopec, the Chinese state oil company, has purchased Russian crude oil in both March and April after the U.S. lifted sanctions temporarily to ease global supply shortages. Sources have estimated that Sinopec purchased 8-10 cargoes a year of ESPO blend oil from the eastern port Kozmino. Another source estimates it to be about 10 cargoes. Each ESPO shipment is 740,000 barrels. Sinopec purchased the cargoes for a premium of between $8 and $10 per barrel over ICE Brent. Before the Iran conflict, Russian crude was traded at a discount around $10 per barrel. Sources spoke under condition of anonymity. The...

Chris Wright, the U.S. Department of Energy's Secretary of Energy, said on Monday that oil prices will likely reach their peak in the "next few weeks" when ship traffic returns through the Strait of Hormuz. Wright, speaking at the Semafor World Economy Forum, said that despite his previous statements, oil prices are likely to rise until "meaningful ship traffic" resumes through the Strait. Wright stated that "energy prices will be high, and possibly even rise until we have meaningful ship traffic in the Strait of Hormuz." This will?probably be the time when oil prices are at their peak. It's likely...

Physical Forties crude reaches record price of $148.87 * Supply disruptions persist despite ceasefire * Repsol CEO: Physical transactions are under pressure (Includes context, and Repsol CEO's comment from paragraph?2) LONDON,?13 April - European crude prices reached a new record near $150 per barrel on Monday after the U.S. announced plans to blockade Strait of Hormuz. This added to concerns?about tight supply. Brent crude futures prices for June delivery LCOc1 rose 6%, to more than $100 per barrel. The U.S. Navy is preparing to block ships going to and coming from Iran through the Strait o'Hormuz. This could limit Iranian...

A survey released on Friday showed that U.S. consumers' sentiment fell to a "record low" in early April and they expect inflation to rise?in the coming 12 months. Surveys of Consumers at the University of Michigan reported that its Consumer Sentiment Index fell to a new low of 47.6 in April, from a final reading of 53.3 last month. Economists surveyed by had 'predicted the index to ease to 52.0. The survey found that the decline in'sentiment' was a result of age, income, and political party membership, but noted?that most responses were made before a ceasefire agreement negotiated earlier this...

The price of refined fuels has fallen sharply, in line with the declines seen in crude oil after the tentative ceasefire agreement between the United States & Iran. However, the prices remain at levels that indicate a shortage. The prices of gasoil and jet fuel in Singapore, the Asian trading center, all dropped by?double digits on Wednesday amid relief from the market that the 'deal' may lead to the reopening of Strait of Hormuz. The 'ceasefire' and commitment to peace talks announced by the United States in separate announcements looks already to be on its way out. Tehran said it...

The United States, Iran and Pakistan agreed to a ceasefire for two weeks, which was mediated by Pakistan. This could potentially end a six-week war that has claimed thousands of lives, spread throughout the Middle East, and disrupted the world's supply of energy. Trump announced the deal late Tuesday night, only?two hours after a deadline that he set for Iran:?opening the Strait of Hormuz blockade or face destruction of their "whole civilization". Shehbaz sharif, the Pakistani prime minister, said he invited Iranian and U.S. delegates to meet at Islamabad this Friday. Trump said that the deal was contingent on Iran...

His office announced that British Prime Minister Keir starmer would 'travel to the Gulf tomorrow to 'hold talks with regional leaders to...?ensure that the Strait of Hormuz is permanently opened after a U.S. Iran ceasefire. Starmer, in a press release, said: "I welcome the overnight ceasefire agreement which will bring relief to the area?and world." "Together, with our partners, we must do everything possible to support and sustain the 'ceasefire. We need to turn it into an agreement that will last and reopen the Strait of Hormuz." Starmer, who has been heavily criticized by U.S. president Donald Trump for not'supporting...

Anthony Albanese, the Australian Prime Minister, welcomed the ceasefire between the United States, Israel, and Iran on Wednesday, but criticised the rhetoric of Donald Trump. Trump agreed to the two-week ceasefire just two hours before he set a deadline for Tehran to open up the Strait o'Hormuz, or face devastating attacks against its civilian infrastructure. His announcement via?social media was a sudden change from earlier that day when he had issued a warning saying "a whole civilisation will die tonight" in the event his demands were not met. Albanese told Sky News that the ceasefire is welcome but Trump's rhetoric...