South-West Asia

Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman is now facing a new OPEC challenge on top of 'the largest disruption in global oil supply ever. Saudi Arabia, along with other oil-producing countries in the group, are now unable to use the spare capacity that is usually used during times of crisis due to the Iran war. The sudden departure this week of OPEC’s fourth largest producer last year, United?Arab?Emirates,?taking along with it spare capacity that is second only to the Kingdom's, presents a formidable challenge for the first Saudi royal oil minister whose approach has shifted away from painstaking diplomatic...

Chevron's first-quarter earnings exceeded Wall Street expectations on Friday as higher oil prices related to the U.S./Israeli war against Iran helped boost its results in its upstream business. LSEG data show that the company's adjusted earnings per share were $1.41, which is well above the consensus estimate. Despite the big beat, overall profits were at their lowest levels in five years. This was partly due to timing effects related to financial derivatives. Chevron’s largest business unit upstream generated $3.9 billion, an increase of 4% on the previous year, as oil prices rose. In a press release, CEO Mike Wirth stated...

Exxon Mobil beat expectations for the first quarter adjusted earnings on a Friday. However, unadjusted 'profit' dropped to its lowest in five years because of disrupted shipments due to the U.S./Israeli war against?Iran. Also, a negative impact was caused by?timing issues related to financial derivatives. The adjusted earnings for the first 'three months' of the year came in at $1.16, which was above the consensus estimate by LSEG of $1.00. The adjusted figure excludes a $700m loss due to cargoes which were not delivered because of the war. Earnings per share were $2.09, excluding financial derivatives. Net income was $4.2...

A UAE official said on Wednesday that the United Arab Emirates was reevaluating its role and contribution?across multilateral organizations but it is not considering further withdrawals 'at this time. The Emirati official who spoke on condition of anonymity said that the country was reviewing its membership in all multilateral organizations. After its unexpected decision to leave the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+) and OPEC+?effective May 1, Abu Dhabi's statement has fueled speculation that it could also exit other regional organizations, such as the Arab League or the Gulf Cooperation Council. The UAE's exit from OPEC, as one of its...

Abu Dhabi National Oil Company notified customers that two crude grades could be 'loaded outside of the Gulf next month, as the Strait of Hormuz was closed. ADNOC is moving the crude grades Das and Upper Zakum from the terminals on Das Island (and Zirku Island) located in the Gulf, to outside locations for loading. The exports of these terminals are down dramatically as there have been fewer ships willing to cross the strait after the U.S. - Iran?war began in late February. ADNOC informed clients that it would make cargoes available to be loaded outside the Arabian Gulf on...

Fertiglobe, a unit of the state oil giant ADNOC in Abu Dhabi, saw profits jump by 173% in the first quarter, as the fertiliser manufacturer benefited from the price spikes caused by the conflict in the Middle East. The Iran War, which began February 28, led to an effective closure of Strait of Hormuz. This is the route that carries a fifth of global oil and around a third of all seaborne fertiliser. This has caused a spike in the price of commodities such as energy and fertiliser. According to LSEG, Fertiglobe (which is 86.2% owned by ADNOC) reported an...

German semiconductor materials provider Siltronic reported lower-than expected quarterly sales on Tuesday, as the company continued to be affected by an?uncertain market environment. According to a LSEG poll, the average analyst's forecast was 317 million euro. The German company's EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization) was?65.1 million euros compared to 78.3 millions euros last year. This is below analysts' expectations of 67.4million euros. It is encouraging that the growth of AI-driven end market has continued to strengthen. But capacity constraints at our customers, particularly in the memory-chip sector, and persistently high inventories for 200 mm products are dampening...

South Africa said on Tuesday it would extend the fuel tax cut 'for two more months' to cushion the impact of the iran war on household budgets. However, the relief will end after this period and the country will recoup lost revenue through other means. According to the?International Energy Agency, the U.S. and Israeli war on Iran has led to the largest oil supply disruptions in history. This has hurt countries like South Africa, which import most of their fuel, as global energy prices are rising. The government announced a reduction of one month in the general fuel tax for...

On Friday, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said that the European Union could ease sanctions against Tehran as part a comprehensive deal that would end the war in Iran. However, other EU leaders struck a more cautious tone. In response to Iran's human rights violations, its nuclear activities, and its military support of Russia, the 27-nation EU imposed sanctions against Iran over the past few years. These included travel bans, asset freezes, and travel restrictions for senior officials. U.S. officials suggest that a comprehensive agreement?covering Iran’s nuclear and missile programs and the reopening of Strait of Hormuz, could bring about a...

U.S. defense secretary Pete Hegseth stated on?Friday, that the U.S. is extending its blockade to Iran. He added that Tehran had a chance of making a "good deal". Hegseth said to reporters that "our blockade is?growing, and it's going global." He said that no one could sail from the Strait of Hormuz anywhere else in the world without permission of the United States Navy. Three Pakistani sources said on Friday that peace talks between Iran, the United States, and other countries could resume in Pakistan soon, after the last round of negotiations, which was expected to take place earlier this...

The German lower house of Parliament approved on Friday a relief bonus of up to 1000 euros ($1,169.30). This was part of a package to'soften the impact of the high gas prices caused by the Iran War. The AfD, the Left Party and the Greens abstained. Companies can pay an 'unique bonus' to their employees under the plan until June 30th 2027. Payments?will be deductible by employers and tax-free for workers. The bonus is voluntary, which creates uncertainty about how many companies are going to participate in the weak economy. Coalition estimates that the measure will result in a loss...

Baker Hughes, a provider of oilfield services, beat Wall Street estimates for the first quarter profit as strong demand from its industrial and energy technology units offset drilling 'weaknesses' caused by disruptions in Middle East. The IET unit saw a surge in orders due to the increased demand for electricity from data centers and investments in gas infrastructure, liquefied Natural Gas (LNG), and grid equipment. The first-quarter IET order total rose to $4.89 billion, up from $3.18billion a year ago. The disruptions in the Middle East have weighed on oilfield services. Oilfield Services and Equipment (OFSE), a division of the...

The U.S. administration of President Donald Trump argued on Friday that the ceasefire agreement with Tehran "terminated" hostilities, as the legal deadline for reporting to Congress about the two-month Iran War arrived. According to the 1973 War Powers Resolution the president is only allowed to wage military action for 60 days. After that, he must ask Congress for permission or seek a 30-day extension if "unavoidable" military necessity exists regarding the safety and security of the United States Armed Forces. On February 28, Israel and the U.S. launched airstrikes against Iran. IRNA, the Iranian state-run news agency, reported on Friday...

According to a survey, the impact of the war with Iran was highlighted by the rise in cost pressures for British manufacturers in April. Delivery delays also increased. S&P Global's UK Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index increased to 53.7 from 51.0 in February. The final reading is slightly higher than 53.6 from the provisional data for April. The U.S. and Israel war against Iran, which began late?February this year, has disrupted international shipping. The vital sea channel is still closed, squeezing out 20% of world oil and gas supplies and driving up global energy prices. Due to Houthi attacks in Yemen,...

The U.S. president Donald Trump has until Friday to either end the Iran War or "make the case" to Congress to extend it. But the deadline is unlikely to change the course of the conflict, which has devolved into a "standoff" over shipping routes. It is highly unlikely that the war will be ended. Analysts and congressional aides expect Trump to inform Congress of his plans to extend the deadline by 30 days or ignore it altogether. His administration will argue that the current ceasefire agreement with Tehran marks the end of the conflict. War powers are deeply partisan. Like...

A senior Pentagon official said that the United States war against Iran had 'cost' $25 billion to date. This was the first estimate of the cost for the military. Democrats have been able to gain a strong lead in opinion polls in the six months before mid-term elections, when Trump's Republicans will likely face a tough battle to maintain their House majority. They are also attempting to link affordability with the unpopular Iran War. Jules Hurst who is the comptroller told the House Armed Services Committee members that the majority of this money was "for munitions". Hurst didn't specify what...

Kaja Kallas, the EU's chief of foreign policy, urged partners in Southeast Asia to not turn to Russia to get oil as they struggle to deal with fuel shortages due to the Middle East conflict. This month, the EU approved new sanctions against Russia, including restrictions on oil trading, in an effort to reduce Moscow's financial ability to support its war in Ukraine. Kallas stated that Russia had benefited from the U.S. and Israeli war against Iran which led to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. "You are in an energy crisis, and you must have supplies." You have...

Brazil's Government on Thursday announced a bill that will be sent to Congress, under which the additional?revenue generated by higher oil prices due to the U.S./Israel conflict with Iran would offset reductions in?federal tax on fuels. Planning Minister Bruno Moretti said the proposal was aimed at achieving full fiscal neutrality. Tax reductions would be dependent on extra revenues generated by an increase in oil prices. Dario Durigan, Finance Minister, said that the government was working on a two-month "calibrated" reduction. The government of President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva is taking this step to "minimize the impact" of the higher...

Analysts and refining sources predict that Asian refinery throughput will fall in April and may as crude imports reach a decade-low and the Iran war forces refiners into processing lighter grades. This reduces diesel and jet fuel production by at least one million barrels a day. Asia, which is responsible for 37% of global refining and normally sources two thirds of its crude oil from the Middle East, has been the hardest hit by the Strait of Hormuz closure, with refiners cutting back on production, causing fuel prices to rise. Kpler's preliminary data shows that crude imports into Asia will...

The U.S. and Israeli war against Iran, which has pushed up jet fuel prices, has shook the aviation industry around the world. Airlines have been forced to increase fares and revise financial forecasts. In recent weeks, jet fuel prices have increased from $85-$90 per barrel up to $150-$200 per barrel. This is a major financial blow to an industry that relies on fuel for up to one quarter of its operating costs. Here is an alphabetical list of the ways airlines are responding to this issue: AEGEAN AIRLINES The Greek airline anticipates that the suspension of Middle East flights, as...

Pacific nations far from home are feeling the effects of a global fuel shortage. Authorities scramble to manage their energy supply, while families struggle with fuel restrictions and higher food prices. The U.S. and Israel war against Iran is disrupting traffic through the Strait of Hormuz which carries around 20% of the world's oil flows. Aid agencies 'warned' that the crisis had caused diesel, petrol, and kerosene prices to rise by up to 70% in Papua New Guinea following the Iran war. Godfrey Bongomin is the director of programme operations for World Vision Papua New Guinea. He said that many...

The global oil market has been predicting that the Strait of Hormuz would be closed for a short time, and the disruption of crude and refined product supply will also be brief. This expectation is reflected in the price of crude oil futures. Although they have increased sharply since February 28, the prices are still far below the highs achieved in the aftermath of Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022. The paper crude market, in effect, has believed U.S. president Donald Trump's social media posts that have been made since the bombing began, that the?conflict?will be over soon and Iran...

The Bangladeshi energy ministry announced late Saturday that retail fuel prices have been raised by 10 to 15%. They cited a sharp rise in crude oil prices globally and tightening supply due to the ongoing Middle East conflict. According to an official announcement, the new prices for petrol, diesel and kerosene are 135 taka per litre ($1.10), up from 116. The increase in import costs was unavoidable, officials said, as rising crude oil prices, supply-chain disruptions, and higher freight and Insurance costs have all contributed to the rise. This is especially true after the price of oil has risen during...

The U.S. and Israeli war against Iran, which has pushed up jet fuel prices, has shook the aviation industry around the world. Airlines have been forced to increase fares and revise financial forecasts. In recent weeks, jet fuel prices have increased from $85-$90 per barrel up to $150-$200 per barrel. This is a major financial blow to an industry that relies on fuel for up to 25% of its operating costs. Here is an alphabetical list of the ways that?airlines have responded: AEGEAN AIRLINES The Greek airline anticipates that the suspension of Middle East flights, as well as a spike...