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Prices for EUROPE GAS rise and reverse earlier losses
Dutch wholesale gas prices increased on Wednesday. They reversed earlier losses due to concerns about liquefied gas (LNG) supply if tensions escalate in Iran. LSEG data shows that the benchmark Dutch front-month 'contract' at TTF hub is up?1.42 Euros?at 32.55 Euros per megawatt hour by 1213 GMT. This is the highest level recorded since October 7, last year. The Dutch March rate was 31.66 Euros/MWh, an increase of 1.28 euros. The British day-ahead contract was down 0.40 pennies at 82.80 pence/therm. Iran warned its neighbours that it could strike U.S. military bases if Washington interferes with protests, despite the fact that weather forecast revisions showed?milder temperature than before and a strong supply. Gas?traders said that the market was nervous about the situation in Iran and possible risks to LNG supply. The oil price also rose for the fifth consecutive session due to fears that Iranian supplies could be disrupted by a possible U.S. strike on Iran, and possible retaliation on U.S. interests in the region. Analysts at LSEG said that the gas storage levels in North-West are likely to fall below 100 terawatt hours on March 1. This would be a positive factor. Prices fell this morning due to increased LNG exports and Norwegian?exports as well as lower demand forecasts for the coming days. LSEG data shows that the local distribution zone gas demand for north-west Europe is expected to decrease by 296 gigawatt-hours/day (GWh/d), to 3,600 GWh/d, in the next day. Wind speeds that are stronger than normal will also reduce the gas consumption of gas-fired plants. The benchmark contract on the European carbon markets was up by 0.13 euros at 90.87 euro per metric ton. (Reporting and editing by Nina Chestney, Susanna Twidala)
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Caledonia will spend $132m on Zimbabwe's largest gold mine in this year
Caledonia Mining Corporation announced on Wednesday that it will spend $132m this year to launch the development of Zimbabwe's biggest gold mine once it is operational. The record gold prices are helping miners expand production. Gold spot prices reached a new record of $4,639.48 per ounce on early Wednesday. This was fueled by the escalating tensions in Iran, concerns over the Federal Reserve’s autonomy, and softer inflation data that boosted bets for rate cuts. Caledonia stated in a production report that the planned expenditure, which is part of an overall capital expenditure programme of $162.5 millions for 2026, was subject to approval by the board and funding availability. Caledonia, which already operates ?the 80,000-ounce-per-year Blanket mine in Zimbabwe, plans to develop the Bilboes mine at a projected total capital cost of $584 million. The new mine will begin production in late 2028. A steady-state annual output of 200,000 ounces is anticipated starting from 2029, for an initial 10 year period. The company has said that it will fund the Bilboes Project through a combination of senior non-recourse debt, contributions made by existing operations, and specialised financing methods, such as streaming. In this method, investors provide cash in exchange for future metal supplies. Caledonia’s expansion plans got a boost last month after Zimbabwe’s government reversed its plans to double gold royalty rates and change the taxation of capital expenditure. (Reporting and editing by Nelson Banya, Joe Bavier and Chris Takudzwa Muronzi)
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Copper falls from record highs due to physical demand
The copper price hit a new record on Wednesday, thanks to persistent demand by speculative funds. However, some investors were concerned that the high price would discourage industrial buyers from buying. The benchmark three-month copper price on the London Metal Exchange fell 0.1% to $13,176.50 per metric tonne by 1030 GMT after reaching a record high of $13,407. LME copper prices have risen by 44% in the last 12 months. This is due to disruptions at the mines and concerns about deficits for this year. Also, a large flow of metal has been sent to the U.S. before potential tariffs which could tighten supply elsewhere. "With all the?concerns? about debasement and financial risks, as well as Fed independence, these hard assets are just sensational," Ole Hansen, head commodity strategy at Saxo Bank, in Copenhagen, said. There's a limit to industrial metals, where we?hit a wall when it comes to potential demand destruction. I don't even know where this level is or if it's already reached. He said that if you look at the?technical signal, a closing below $13,000 will cause a downward reaction. Hansen stated that the copper demand in China appeared to be stable and there was a potential for stocking before the Lunar New Year holiday. After hitting a record high of 105.650 yuan, the most-traded contract for copper on the Shanghai Futures Exchange ended daytime trading 0.9% higher, at 104.120 yuan per ton ($14.931.88). Investors bet that demand for tin, which is used in semiconductors, will grow rapidly as a result of the artificial intelligence boom. SHFE tin rose 8%, reaching the upper limit of 413,170 Yuan. LME tin increased 4.1%, to $51,550. The fundamentals of tin have not changed dramatically. Jing Xiao said that the price rally was fueled by speculative trading. Tom Langston?at The International Tin Association?agreed that supply-demand metrics had not changed, noting the record interest rates on the LME. Other metals saw a 0.1% increase in LME aluminium to $3.200 per ton. Zinc rose 1% at $3.232. Lead added 0.4% at $2.069, and nickel climbed 1.7% to 17.995.
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Malaysia's state utility signs a deal to send energy from Laos and Singapore, revitalizing a cross-border project
Malaysia's state-run utilities firm signed a 2-year energy - agreement to transmit electricity from Laos into Singapore. This deal revives a Southeast Asian multilateral power trade - agreement that has been stalled since the year 2024. Tenaga Nasional Berhad, in a filing to the bourse on Wednesday, said that Energy Wheeling Agreement Phase 2 is part of a project to integrate power from Laos with Thailand, Malaysia, and Singapore. This will allow up to 100 megawatts in Laos to supply power via Thailand and Malaysia to Singapore using existing transmission links. The first phase was signed in 2022 with a validity of two years that ended June 22, 2024. Malaysia's Energy Minister in October last said that the delay was due to?local political changes in Thailand. According to an agreement signed Wednesday, the state utility Electricite?Du Laos pays TNB for wheeling?services in order to transmit energy produced in Laos from Singapore. The deal is part ?of the second phase of ?the Lao PDR-Thailand-Malaysia-Singapore Power Integration Project, which is a precursor to a ?broader ASEAN Power Grid initiative aiming to connect all ten member states and tackle the region's growing reliance on fossil fuels. (Reporting and editing by David Stanway; Ashley Tang)
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Gold and silver reach historic highs amid geopolitical tensions and Fed uncertainty
Silver broke through $90 for the first time and gold reached a new record on Wednesday. The escalating tensions in Iran, along with concerns about the Federal Reserve’s autonomy, fueled demand for safe havens, while lower inflation numbers boosted bets to cut rates. Gold spot rose 0.9%, to $4,627.72 an ounce, by 1001 GMT. This was after the gold price had reached a session high of $4.639.48. U.S. gold futures for delivery in February rose by 0.8% to $4 636. Jamie Dutta is the chief analyst at Nemo.money. He said that prices are rising because of "well-known haven characteristics" amid increased geopolitical risk, fiscal uncertainty and concerns over Fed independence. The Federal Reserve Chair Jerome 'Powell was backed by central bankers from around the globe on Tuesday. They issued an unprecedented statement of support after the Trump administration threatened to indict him, which could have a negative impact on the trust that people place in U.S. assets like the dollar. Dutta said that "protests in Iran maintain geopolitical tensions, resulting in a strong demand for bullion." HRANA, a rights group based in the United States, said that the death toll has reached 2,571, sparking threats from?U.S. intervention. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Tuesday that the core Consumer Price Index in the United States rose by 0.2% from one month to the next and 2.6% over the course of a year. Powell, the Fed's chairman, has been urged by President Donald Trump to reduce interest rates "meaningfully". The traders expect?two rate cuts in this year. Low interest rates are usually in favour of non-yielding gold. Spot silver rose 4%, to $90.46 an ounce. This is down from a record high of $91.53. It has risen by nearly 27% within just 14 days of this year. Dutta stated that "long-term targets" are big numbers like $5,000 and $100 respectively for gold and Silver. After touching a session high of $2,406.75 per ounce earlier, spot platinum rose 3.5%. It hit a record $2,478.50/oz on December 29. Palladium increased 0.1%, to $1840.19 per ounce. (Reporting and editing by Clarence Fernandez in Bengaluru, with Pablo Sinha reporting from Bengaluru)
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TotalEnergies and Bahrain's Bapco Energies form Middle East Trading Venture
TotalEnergies, the French oil giant, announced on Wednesday that it had?formed BxT Trading a joint venture with Bahrain's Bapco Energies. The Middle East-focused venture is expected to trade products from Bapco’s Sitra refinery, which produces 267,000 barrels per day. The partnership builds upon a 2024 agreement?underwhich Total agreed to expand and modernise the?Sitra refinery to reach a throughput capacity 380,000 barrels per d?ay and to share its trading expertise. It also explored options to partner with Bahrain in projects involving renewable energy and liquefied gas. Bapco announced in December a new increase of capacity to 405,000 bpd. In a recent statement, Bapco Energies chairman Shaikh Nasser bin Hamad Al Khalifa said, "Through our partnership with TotalEnergies, we are strengthening our downstream value chain, and reinforcing Bahrain’s position as a trusted and competitive player on the international energy market." Patrick Pouyanne, CEO of TotalEnergies, said that the joint venture would strengthen Total's Middle East position Two executives signed a contract in Abu Dhabi on Tuesday. (Reporting by America Hernandez in Paris. Mark Potter (Editing)
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TotalEnergies sells its SPDC assets in Nigeria to a new buyer
By America Hernandez PARIS, January '14 - French giant TotalEnergies signed an agreement to sell its 10% non-operated stake in the Nigerian oil asset SPDC (renamed Renaissance JV) to Vaaris. This follows a failed sale to Mauritius based Chappal Energies last year. Total retains a 'full economic interest in the?deal, which includes stakes of three other licenses that produce mainly?gases for Nigeria LNG. The company did not provide any further information on the buyer. The inability of the buyer to pay the $860 million price tag was the reason why Nigerian regulators rejected Total's first deal with Chappal Energies for the SPDC stakes. This dealt a serious blow to Total's attempts to liquidate its mature and polluting assets, as well as to reduce debt. The SPDC was plagued by hundreds of oil spills due to theft, sabotage, and operational problems that resulted in costly repairs?and high profile lawsuits. Shell sold its 30% share in SPDC to a consortium made up of mostly local?companies last year for up $2.4 billion. Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation, or NNPC, holds a?55% stake in the joint venture while Eni of Italy has 5%. The Nigerian regulators must approve the deal. Reporting by America Hernandez, Editing by Jan Harvey & Tomasz Janowski
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Copper prices rise as concerns over supply outweigh dollar strength
The price of copper peaked on Wednesday as global supply concerns, mounting geopolitical risk and a stronger dollar outweighed the pressure. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most-traded contract for copper closed the daytime trading session 0.85% higher, at 104120 yuan per metric ton, after reaching an all-time record of 105650 yuan. The benchmark three-month copper contract on the London Metal Exchange rose 0.58% at $13,240 per metric ton as of 0743 GMT after hitting a record high earlier. The price of copper has been supported by "disruptions" at mines, concerns about deficits in this year and an influx of red metal into the United States. Supply elsewhere is being squeezed by potential tariffs. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said on Tuesday that help was on its way for Iranians. Analysts say that this fueled concerns about geopolitical risk, which led some investors to rush into commodities with "healthy fundamentals" such as copper or tin. A stronger dollar has capped the price increases. The tin price in Shanghai and London has also reached record levels, with gains so far this month of 23,6% and 30,4% respectively. Analysts say that more funds have been invested in the tin industry, as investors bet on the rapid growth of demand for this metal which is used to manufacture semiconductors and will?benefit the artificial intelligence boom'. SHFE tin increased 8%, reaching the upper limit of 413,170 Yuan. LME tin rose?more than 5 % to $52,495. Jing Xiao is an analyst with broker SDIC Futures. She said that she does not believe there has been a dramatic shift in tin fundamentals. The round of 'price rally' was driven by speculative trade. Xiao stated that the demand for tin in 'the AI sector was overestimated, while the consumption of traditional 'users were underestimated. The high prices of the products have dampened consumer demand, while this year's supply growth will probably exceed expectations. This points to potential downside risks." SHFE aluminium slipped 0.06%. Nickel slipped 0.11%. Lead dipped by 0.17%. Zinc grew by 0.51%. Aluminium, nickel, and lead are among the other metals traded on the LME.
The mine that funds Congo's rebels and feeds the tech industry
Under the watchful eyes of M23 rebels, in the hills surrounding the Congolese city of Rubaya a line men in rubber boot ferry sacks of crushed stones up winding paths cut in to the slopes.
Coltan, a mineral which powers modern technology, is being hauled by the workers. The ore is loaded onto motorbikes, and then shipped thousands of kilometers to Asia. The ore is then processed into tantalum - a heat resistant metal which fetches over $300 per kilogram. It's in demand by manufacturers of mobile phones and computers as well as aerospace components and gas engines.
Rubaya is responsible for 15% of all the coltan produced in the world. Coltan is mined by hand, and locals earn just a few dollars a day. The control of this mine is at the heart of a long-running war in this nation in central Africa.
M23, the rebel group backed by Rwanda's government, took over the area in April 2024. The heavily-armed M23 rebels, who claim to be fighting for the overthrow of the Kinshasa government and the safety of Congolese Tutsi minorities, have captured more mineral-rich land in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo this year.
M23 and DRC pledged to sign an agreement in Doha, Qatar, at a ceremony this month. The United States mediates parallel talks between Congo, Rwanda and a potential investment of billions in the event that hostilities end.
The United States Treasury sanctioned on Tuesday other alleged participants of minerals smuggling, including PARECO FF, a progovernment Congolese milita that the U.S. claimed controlled the Rubaya mine site from early 2024 to 2022, before M23 took over.
PARECO-FF was not available for comment.
A senior U.S. official was asked at a briefing by the press why Washington targeted PARECO-FF and not M23. He noted that sanctions have been placed on M23 since 2013 because it has fuelled conflict in the area.
John K. Hurley said that the Treasury Department would not hesitate to act against groups who deny the United States or our allies the access to critical minerals essential for our national security.
Jason Stearns is a former U.N. inspector in Congo. He said that the fact that M23 wasn't targeted by the new mining sanctions was surprising.
M23's advances pose the greatest threat to Kinshasa's government in the last two decades. The conflict stems from the 1994 Rwandan genocide in which around one million members of Rwanda's Tutsi group were killed by Hutu-led militias.
The Rwandan government has denied for years that it is involved in the trade of coltan, looted by its neighbor, or that it supports M23. Rwanda's ruling Tutsi majority party shares the same concern as M23 about the alleged threat of rival Hutu groups in eastern Congo. According to a U.N. document reviewed by the Associated Press on July 3, Rwanda had deployed between 1,000 and 1,500 troops into rebel-controlled Congo areas as of April.
M23 controls two important Congolese towns - Goma, and Bukavu on the Rwandan border. U.N. Investigators claim that Congolese minerals, which are often transported illegally to Rwanda through these cities, are mixed with Rwandan coltan before being exported.
M23, the Rwandan government and the Congolese government did not respond to comments. Congolese officials accuse Rwanda of fomenting conflict in order to plunder Congo’s mineral wealth.
A U.N. December report stated that the size of the trade increased after M23 captured Rubaya. U.N. report: The rebels established a parallel government that controlled mining, trade, transportation, and taxation on the minerals produced in Rubaya.
Reporters visited Rubaya, in March of this year. M23 officials told them that the rebels had levied a 15% tax on the coltan the mineral traders purchased from the informal miner's who worked the area. According to a U.N. report from December, M23 collected $800,000 per month from levies on coltan mined in eastern Congo.
MUD AND MOTORBIKES
Rubaya is a beehive of pits that are so vast and complex, it's a huge undertaking to reach them. Journalists who visited the mines in March were forced to abandon their Land Cruisers when they became stuck on a muddy road leading from Goma. The journalists walked for 5 km (3 miles) in order to get to the town, and then they hopped onto motorcycles with rebel officials so that they could reach the mines.
The activity in Rubaya starts before dawn when thousands of miner descend into the pits cut in the rolling hills of Congo’s North Kivu Province, where many work in 12-hour shifts.
Tunnels can reach a depth of up to 15 meters (49 feet). Porters transport the ore fragments to shallow basins filled with water dug by laborers. Other workers, including children and women, then wash and separate the ore from debris and sand before laying it out in the sun to dry.
The journalists were closely supervised by M23 personnel who were unarmed throughout their stay in the mining area. Reporters saw rebel officials jotting in a notebook the number of sacks that each porter, covered in fine white dust, carried to each collection point. Once the ore has dried, it's stacked onto motorbikes and transported to Rubaya where it is sold by traders.
Pascal Mugisha Nsabimana (32), a miner from Congo, was told by a M23 chaperone that it is better to work under rebel occupation than to labor under the supervision and control of the Congolese military or its allies who fled the area when M23 invaded the region last year.
In the past, "there was a lot of harassment, a lot of taxes and we, as diggers, often were not paid." The miner added that even when they did get paid, it was not enough. He said that under M23, his day rate has at least tripled.
According to over a dozen sources, including former and current smugglers as well as miners and businessmen, in the months immediately following the M23 takeover of Rubaya, Congolese troops remained along the border. Smugglers then used motorcycles to sneak ore into Rwanda by using backroads. According to two former smugglers, who transported coltan in this manner until last year, the journey could take a whole day. The two ex-smugglers said that they would load their bikes with three bags of 50 kilograms each time and receive about $34 per trip for delivering the coltan to traders.
Nine of these people stated that M23's changes have been a game changer for efficiency. Motorcycles are not the main means of transportation anymore, and they are only used to transport the coltan to Rubaya from the mine. According to the U.N. report and the people, ore is then loaded into SUVs, pickups, and other vehicles that can haul anywhere between two to twenty tons. It is also faster. Coltan trucks are now able to pass through Goma on paved roads, since M23 has taken control of the border city and driven Congolese forces out. This, according to people, has shortened transport times.
Experts at the United Nations and human rights activists warn that illegal mining profits are used to fund conflict. The trade, they say, has not brought much wealth to the locals and child labor is very common. At least 12 children were seen working in the Rubaya Mine: Boys entered the shafts and hauled out the ore, then carried it to basins where the girls washed and dried the coltan alongside the adults.
Gregory Mthembu Salter, former U.N. expert in Congo, who is now a consultant on conflict minerals said that efforts made by the mining industry and U.N. agencies, as well as non-government organisations, to clean the supply chain of the region and prevent human right abuses, which began around 2010, have failed.
Mthembu Salter, Phuzumoya Consulting's director, said: "The same thing has happened 15 years after."
U.S. INVESTORS LOOK AT RUBAYA RICHES
Some U.S. investors have also targeted Rubaya's riches in coltan as President Donald Trump tries to broker a deal to end conflict and promote the development of the mineral wealth of the region. These riches in Congo include cobalt reserves, gold, diamonds, copper, and lithium. The formal mining sector of the country is currently dominated by Chinese firms.
According to a source with direct knowledge, Texas hedge fund manager Gentry beach, who is the chairman of America First Global, and raised funds for Trump's 2016 election campaign, was part of a group that sought to negotiate the rights to Rubaya Mine. Gentry Beach's interest in Congo coltan was first reported by The Financial Times.
Sources told us that Beach's Group had proposed the Congolese Government to take a majority stake, while Kinshasa retained a 30% share.
Beach expressed his interest in a project but refused to give any additional details.
Some U.S. legislators are pushing back. In a letter sent to Trump and U.S. secretary of state Marco Rubio on August 8, more than 50 Democratic members of congress criticized the lack of transparency of the DRC negotiations by the Trump administration. The Democratic congress members also expressed concern about a possible conflict of interest if a Trump ally was angling to obtain rights to develop Rubaya Mine.
Anna Kelly, White House Deputy press secretary, said in an email statement dated 5 August that the agreement Trump arranged between Congo and Rwanda has the potential of leading to lasting peace in the region. The president's vision is a "win-win outcome where all parties benefit--economically and politically--through cooperation and shared prosperity," the statement said. She did not answer a question about the letter sent by congressional Democrats.
The U.S. State Department made no comment. In a statement released on August 1, the State Department stated that it would support efforts made by Rwanda to promote security and economic co-operation. According to the statement which didn't go into detail, heads of state will be invited to Washington soon for a summit.
The U.S.-backed agreement does not include the M23. The rebel group is a part of a parallel, separate mediation that Qatar has led to try and end hostilities. Success in the Doha talks is crucial to a lasting peace and to making Rubaya a safe place for Western mining interests.
Some analysts and diplomats are unsure about the chances of a quick resolution.
Congo and the M23 rebels agreed in Doha that a deal would be reached by August 18th. The U.N. says that the U.S. has a responsibility for the deaths of 319 civilians last month in eastern Congo.
Could not independently confirm these killings. M23 leader Bertrand Bisimwa said to the news agency that the group would investigate. He also suggested reports of atrocities were a "smear" campaign against the insurgent.
The U.S.-brokered agreement calls for Rwandan soldiers to withdraw from Congo. Last month, Rwandan President Paul Kagame stated that he wasn't sure if the agreement would stand.
Kagame stated that the Congo must first fulfill its promise to defeat the Democratic Forces for the Liberation of Rwanda, an ethnic Hutu group based in eastern Congo and linked to the Rwandan Genocide. Kigali views the FDLR as an existential danger.
Josaphat Muamba, a Congolese Ph.D. student at Ghent University, Belgium, said that suppressing the militias would be a difficult task for the DRC military, as it is not present in vast swathes M23-controlled land.
Musamba stated that it was difficult to neutralize FDLR while M23 were still in place and the Congolese Army had not been redeployed. He called both peace initiatives "piecemeal efforts" that don't deal with "the realities on the ground."
A senior diplomat, who closely follows the events in Rubaya, stated that another formidable task would be to transform Rubaya's crude system for coltan extraction.
The diplomat stated that "no one speaks about the feasibility of granting these mining concessions or running these concessions. Especially since the entire mine is artisanal" done almost exclusively by hand.
(source: Reuters)