Africa








Energy Markets

Oil & Gas

Oil & Gas

Sassou, Congo Republic's Sassou, seeks a new term amid low turnout and internet outage

The Congo Republic held a presidential election on Sunday, which was expected to extend the reign of Denis Sassou Nguesso - one of Africa's most experienced leaders. A low turnout highlighted the lack of suspense about the result. Sassou is facing a "weak" field of opponents, as two of the most well-known opposition leaders are in prison or exile. Many opposition parties boycotted this election because they felt the process was untrustworthy. Analysts and civil society groups predict that the turnout will be lower than the 68% in 2021 when Sassou was elected to his five-year term with 88.4%. A...

Oil & Gas

The Iran-related energy spike reduces the room for rate reductions in emerging markets

Oil prices spiked due to the war in Iran, and for now this has halted any monetary easing efforts by emerging market central bankers from Poland to Turkey. This is because policymakers are coping with an increase in inflation expectations as well as a rise in risk aversion. After a series of shocks, from the COVID outbreak to Russia's invasion in?Ukraine, that have shook markets, slowed growth, and fueled inflation, central banks are finally becoming more optimistic about global economic resilience?and easing price pressures. The dollar gained ground, and U.S. Treasury Yields rose as a proxy of borrowing costs in...

Oil & Gas

Nigeria prioritizes local gasoline supply and suspends import licenses

Nigeria has suspended the issuance?of gasoline import 'licences' for the second consecutive month, as regulators?begin enforcing the provisions of the Petroleum Industry Act PIA that only allows?imports if the African countrys domestic supply is?insufficient. The Crude Oil Refineries Association of Nigeria has confirmed that no import licences have been issued yet in March. This indicates a shift in the focus to local production. This'shift' highlights the stronger intention of the Nigerian authorities to safeguard domestic refining. It is also a victory for the Dangote Refinery which sued last year the regulator and state oil company to stop imports. The PIA...

Oil & Gas

Oil prices rise as the Iran conflict escalates and disrupts shipping

On Monday, oil prices rose 7% and reached their highest level in months as Iran and Israel intensified attacks?in the Middle East. They damaged tankers?and disrupted shipments?from the key producing area. Brent crude futures soared to $82.37 in the first trading session after U.S., Israel and other countries launched attacks on Iran, killing its Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, on Saturday. Brent futures at 0054 GMT were $78.24 per barrel, an increase of $5.37 or 7.37%. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude rose by $4.66 or 6.95% to $71.68 per barrel, after reaching $75.33 earlier. This was the highest since June 2025....

Oil & Gas

Project Vault: Ivanhoe to sell Congo zinc in the US

Ivanhoe Mines is in advanced discussions with Congo's Gecamines state miner and Swiss commodities trader Mercuria about channeling zinc-rich concentrates from its giant Kipushi mining to the United States, under Washington's newly developed strategic stockpiling program Project Vault. The deal is part of a larger agreement between the U.S., and the Democratic Republic of Congo in the area of minerals. Washington is intensifying its battle with China for control of Africa's vast mineral deposits. Project Vault, a $12 billion supply chain security programme launched by the U.S. on Monday and backed by private capital of $1.67 billion and a U.S....

Climate Change

Trafigura's alliance invests $1 billion plus in four African carbon projects

Trafigura, a global energy trading company, has a plan to restore African woodlands. It has selected its first four projects for carbon removal and plans to invest at least $1 billion in each project over. The projects are part of the Miombo Restoration Alliance - a public-private partnership with 11 governments in central and southern Africa. They cover over 675,000 acres and aim to restore forests that will remove more than 50 million tons climate-damaging gasses. The alliance, which will be launched at New York Climate week?2024, aims to restore Miombo Woodlands, an eco-system that supports more than 300 million...

Oil & Gas

London's FTSE 100 drops as investors shift to US tech stocks before Fed decision

Investors became cautious in anticipation of the U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate announcement, and UK blue-chips index fell on Wednesday. It was weighed down by banks and healthcare companies, as it missed a 'tech-led rally' that had boosted Wall Street's indexes. The FTSE closed down by 0.5% while the domestically focused FTSE 250 ended little changed. Axel Rudolph is a senior financial analyst with IG. He said that there was a shift away from European and U.K. stock to U.S. tech stocks before earnings, which weighed down the FTSE 100. The FTSE 100 is a relatively smaller technology share compared...

Oil & Gas

UAE markets fall on renewed geopolitical worries

The stock markets of the United Arab Emirates ended lower on Friday. Dubai was impacted by weakness in financial and utility shares, after U.S. President Donald Trump renewed his threats against Iran. Donald Trump stated on Thursday that he hoped not to have to use the "armada", warning Tehran to stop killing protesters and restarting its nuclear program. Dubai's main stock market fell 0.2% in the session after reaching a near 20-year high. Dubai Islamic Bank, a lender affiliated with the?Islamic bank Dubai Islamic Authority, slid 0.2%. Tecom Group, a business park operator, gained 0.6% when it acquired 125 million...

Oil & Gas

Indian Oil replaces Russian crude with oil from Angola and Brazil as well as the United Arab Emirates, according to sources

Indian Oil Corp, the top refiner in the country, has purchased 7 million barrels from Petrobras and other suppliers for loading in March to replace Russian oil. Indian refiners have re-calibrated their strategies in order to move away from Russia as the top supplier and increase imports from the Middle East. This could help New Delhi to clinch a deal with the United States for lower tariffs. Sources said that the refiner purchased 2 million barrels Upper Zakum and 1 million barrels Murban from Shell. IOC also purchased 1 million barrels of each Angola Hungo and Clove grade from Exxon....

Oil & Gas

Central African leaders call for urgent reforms to strengthen economies

Central African leaders have ordered urgent fiscal measures and monetary policies to stabilize the region's weakening economy. This includes repatriating?state assets abroad and export revenue. According to a communiqué issued following an extraordinary summit held in Brazzaville, the six leaders agreed to implement immediately the return of export revenue, giving priority to companies in the extractive industry. The officials urged governments to "pursue" and "finalize" negotiations with companies to repatriate the funds allocated for environmental restoration in areas affected by oil extraction. This step was deemed crucial for restoring liquidity to the regional banking system. The Central African Economic and...

Oil & Gas

Indian refiners change oil strategy, trim Russian purchases and focus on the Middle East

Indian refiners have redrawn their crude import strategies in order to move away from top supplier Russia, and increase imports from the Middle East. This could?help New Delhi to clinch a deal with the United States for lower tariffs. India became the largest buyer of discounted Russian crude oil after the outbreak of the Ukraine war in 2022. However, the trade was met with a backlash by Western nations who targeted Russia's energy industry with sanctions. Middle East producers are keeping global markets well-supplied with the help of higher production quotas set by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries....

Oil & Gas

South Sudan opposition forces march to Juba after battlefield victories

SPLA-IO captures Pajut, strategic town The commander orders an advance on the capital Juba UN condemns sabotage 2018 peace agreement JUBA, 19 January - South Sudan’s main opposition faction called on their forces to advance on Juba's?capital on Monday after they had captured a strategically important town last week. The Sudan People's Liberation Army-in-Opposition, which fought forces loyal to Salva Kiir in a civil war from 2013 to 2018, could not be considered a credible threat against Juba. The call was a sign of escalation for the SPLA-IO after months of violent clashes in various parts the country, which the...

Fossil Fuels

Coal

S&P downgrades Botswana due to global challenges facing the diamond sector

S&P Global Ratings cut Botswana’s long-term currency and foreign sovereign credit rating to “BBB-” from “BBB”, citing structural weaknesses?in global diamond markets?that are expected to weigh on the country's mineral-dependent economy longer than anticipated. The agency also maintained its negative outlook and lowered short-term sovereign credit ratings in foreign currency and local currency to "A-3", from "A-2". The downgrade reflects the mounting pressures on Botswana as it is the second largest producer of natural rough diamonds in the world. This sector, which historically represented 70% of exports, and a third of government revenue, faces unprecedented challenges due to synthetic diamonds...

Fossil Fuels

Minister says oil producers should invest in Nigeria in order to diversify their supply during times of crisis.

Yusuf Tuggar, the Foreign Minister, told?that the Middle -East conflict shows that Gulf oil and gas companies should view Nigeria as a 'partner, not a rival' to help diversify their supply in times of crisis. The remarks coincide with the war in Iran, which has disrupted shipments through Strait of Hormuz. This corridor accounts for about a quarter of global supplies, forcing exporters and price spikes. Tuggar stated that Nigeria's untapped oil and gas reserves provide Gulf States with an alternative source at a moment when global flows of crude are vulnerable. The demand for hydrocarbons will?remain high for many...

Fossil Fuels

Middle East worries weigh on regional markets, but energy stocks are a cheer for Saudi Arabia

The majority of Gulf stock exchanges ended lower on Tuesday. Qatar's benchmark index continued to decline as the country suspended liquefied gas production in response to an escalating air war in the area, while Egypt?lost for a third consecutive day. Israel expanded its campaign by launching 'new' strikes on Iran and Hezbollah. Meanwhile, Iran launched missiles and drones towards Israel, several Gulf States and a British base in Cyprus. QatarEnergy's, a state-owned company in Qatar, whose 82% clients reside in Asia, had planned to declare force majeure for its LNG shipments following Iranian drone attacks against facilities at the vast...

Mining

Mineral Resources

Mineral Resources

South32, Australia's South32, mothballs Mozal after failing to find affordable power

South32, an Australian diversified miner, announced on Monday that it had put its Mozal aluminum smelter in Mozambique under a 'care and maintenance' program on March 15. The company claimed that it was unable to secure a sufficient and affordable supply of power for Mozal after March 2026. As a result, it placed the smelter in care and maintenance. The Perth-based company and Mozambique’s government and energy suppliers have been negotiating for years in order to come up with an agreement that would allow the smelter to continue its energy-intensive operations. South32 has been in discussions with Hidroelectrica de Cahora...

Mineral Resources

Harmony announces a double dividend following the gold price rally and lower copper production

South Africa's Harmony Gold reported a 13% increase in its half-year profits on Wednesday as higher gold prices offset lower production and grades. This allowed the miner more than double their dividend. Harmony's headline earning per share, a measure of profit, was 14.31 rand ($0.8827) for the six-month period ending December 31. It had previously been 12.70 rand. The largest gold producer in South Africa announced an interim dividend at 5.30 rands per share. This is up from the previous?2.27, which made a record payment. Gold prices are expected to rise by?60% by 2025 due to geopolitical uncertainty and economic...

Mineral Resources

Congo State Gold Trader Targets Volumes of 15 Tons of Artisanal Bullion in 2026

The state-owned gold trading house of the Democratic Republic of Congo plans to increase the amount of metal it sells from the artisanal mining industry of the country this year. The central bank could be a major buyer. Congo, which is the top gold producer in the world and has vast reserves of untapped gold, established DRC Gold Trading as a joint venture between the United Arab Emirates and Congo on December 20, 2022. It has only bought 10 tons of gold in the last three years. In 2024, the government will take full responsibility for converting artisanal gold into...

Mineral Resources

Guinea dissolves 40 political parties, opposition leader cries foul

Guinea's main opposition leader said "direct resistance" to the ?country's coup leader-turned-president was now the only ?way to bring about change after the government consolidated its ?position by dissolving 40 political ?parties. Mamady Doumbouya is a former special forces commander who seized power from his rivals in December 2021. In the West African country, rich in bauxite ore and iron, legislative elections are scheduled for May. The Ministry of Territorial Administration and Decentralization in Guinea announced late Friday night that the headquarters and local offices of 40 political parties would be closed and that use of their logos, acronyms and...

Mineral Resources

Sources say that Japan and India are in discussions to explore rare earths together.

Two people who are familiar with the discussions say that Japan and India are in talks to explore rare earth deposits together in Rajasthan's arid state. Tokyo is looking to reduce its reliance on China as a source of magnet manufacturing supplies. India's Mines minister G. Kishan Reddy announced last month that three hard rock deposits of rare earth oxides containing 1,29 million metric tonnes had been identified in Rajasthan state and Gujarat in western India. Sources directly involved in decision-making said that Tokyo expressed interest in the Rajasthan deposits, and planned to send experts there. The sources declined to...

Mineral Resources

Trump's war against Iran is a serious risk to US and European aluminum consumers

The war between the U.S. & Iran is likely to cause a prolonged disruption in Middle East aluminium imports, which will hit European and U.S. consumers the hardest. This is because they are heavily reliant on this region for supply. The U.S.,?Israel and other countries attacked Iran on Saturday in a move which could result in the closure of Strait of Hormuz. This important trade route was disrupted due to Iranian attacks against U.S. military base. The impact of sustained disarray will be significant According to BNP Paribas commodities analyst David Wilson, the Arabian Gulf has around 7 million tons...

Mineral Resources

Uganda's Central Bank to Start its Gold Buying Programme This Month

Uganda's central?bank will begin its domestic gold purchase?programme in this month, the?bank said on Monday. It joins other?policymakers?around the globe who are building up their gold stock after the surge in gold's price. Two years ago, the East African nation announced that the plan would boost reserves and cushion its economy from international financial market risks. Adam Mugume is the executive director of research and economics at?the?bank. He said that if all goes according to plan, we will be able?to purchase at least 100kg of gold between March and June 2026. We are working with gold refineries to finalise the...

Mineral Resources

Botswana's interest rate is on hold with inflation within target range

Botswana’s central bank left its monetary policy rate?unchanged?on Thursday.?Saying that inflation was projected to remain within its target range, as a depressed diamond market continues to wreak havoc on the economy. The Bank of Botswana kept the rate at 3.5% for the second time in a row. In January, the annual inflation rate was 4.1%. This is near the middle of the 3-6% target range set by the central bank. According to the latest forecasts of the bank, inflation will average 4.5% in 2026 and 4.7% in 2027. Governor Lesego Moseki has, however, warned of inflationary risks, including the proposed...

Mineral Resources

Zimbabwe bans all raw minerals, including lithium concentrates. It cites abuses

Zimbabwe has suspended exports of raw minerals and lithium concentrates, its mines ministry announced in a Wednesday statement. The government had accused the country of malpractices and leakages. The Ministry said that the export ban would continue until further notice, and apply to all minerals in transit. The statement stated that the government expects the mining industry to cooperate on this measure, which was taken in the interest of the nation. The government said it was committed to "...in-country beneficiation and value addition, compliance?and accountability" in the export of Zimbabwe's minerals resources. The mines ministry, in a letter sent to...

Mineral Resources

Andy Home: Cobalt limits in the Congo expose China's weakness with critical metals

China's dominance in critical mineral supply chain is not as absolute it might appear. Cobalt is a good example. According to the International Energy Agency, China will account for 78% global refined production of battery metal by 2024. It lacks significant mining capacity and is therefore highly dependent on imported raw materials. The export controls of the Democratic Republic of Congo have exposed this vulnerability. This is the biggest source of cobalt products for Chinese processors. Congo suspended exports of cobalt in February and implemented a quota-based system in October. The fourth quarter of the year saw a near-standstill in...

Mineral Resources

Weisfisch to sell Glencore almost $115 Million of cobalt, according to sources

Glencore agreed to buy nearly 2,000 tons of cobalt from Rami Weisfisch, an industry veteran. The deal is a historic one. Two sources confirmed that the material, which is essential for defense and military gear, will be shipped to the United States to be included in its planned stockpile. The U.S. administration of President Donald Trump is actively seeking out critical materials, including cobalt, to reduce its dependence on China. China is the world's dominant supplier and processor for metals and minerals required by strategic industries. China has used its power to impose quotas, new regulations and ban the export...

Environment

Sibanye CEO: Sibanye committed to battery metals even though lithium is impaired

Richard Stewart, CEO of Sibanye Stillwater, said that the company is committed to its 'battery metals' business. This comes after an impairment of another 2.46 billion rand (about $152.6 million) on its Keliber Lithium project in Finland. In recent years, the South African miner has acquired zinc, nickel, and lithium assets as part of a shift to metals that are used in renewable energy technologies. Sibanye recorded a total impairment of 7,8 billion rands at Keliber by 2025. The company cited a "dim outlook for long-term prices of lithium hydroxide". The asset is currently valued at around 9 billion rand...