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Sibanye Stillwater's request for US tariffs on Russian palladium could add to price volatility

Sibanye Stillwater asked the United States for consideration of imposing a tax on Russian imports in order to ensure the viability of U.S. palladium supplies in the long term. This could lead to an increase in the volatility of palladium prices.

The petition filed by Johannesburg's Sibanye Stillwater adds yet another layer of uncertainty for prospects in platinum group metals after a rally that has occurred in prices this year, due to lower production in South Africa in the first half and low liquidity on the spot market.

In a July 31 statement posted on the website of Sibanye Stillwater, Chief Executive Neal Froneman stated that "we believe that Russian imports of palladium are being sold at below market prices because of various factors. This will begin primarily following the Russian invasion in Ukraine in 2022."

"Obtaining relief for dumped and subsided Russian imports will allow Sibanye Stillwater, its employees and the U.S. PGM Industry to compete on more equal terms," he said.

The petition will likely be decided within the next 13 months.

Nornickel of Russia, the largest palladium miner in the world with a 40% market share, declined to make any comment.

Sibanye Stillwater, a South African company with production assets in the United States and South Africa, lost $500 million on its U.S. Palladium assets last year due to low prices.

The palladium spot price is up 31% this year. Analysts predicted in a July poll that palladium would be rising in 2025, for the first time since 2004. This was aided in part by the platinum rally.

Analysts at Heraeus stated that "although placing duties on Russian Metal would not necessarily affect the market balance of Palladium, it may result in a rerouting of physical metal flows around the world, resulting in price volatility."

According to Trade Data Monitor, the United States' top palladium suppliers are Russia and South Africa. China is Russia's second biggest buyer after the United States.

According to Heraeus, Russian palladium exports to the U.S. grew by 42% on an annual basis to reach more than 500,000 ounces between January and May.

PGMs are widely used to clean exhausts on gasoline vehicles. They have avoided the U.S. sanctions against Russian companies for the Ukraine War and any import tariffs announced in recent months by President Donald Trump. Reporting by Polina Devitt. Mark Potter edited the article.

(source: Reuters)