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Indonesia nickel smelter forecasts ore demand will reach 350 million tons by 2026

Indonesia nickel smelter forecasts ore demand will reach 350 million tons by 2026
Indonesia nickel smelter forecasts ore demand will reach 350 million tons by 2026

Arif Perdana Kumara, chairman of Indonesia's Nickel Smelter Association?FINI, said that the association expects domestic smelters to demand nickel ore in excess of 350 million metric tonnes next year.

He said that the demand outlook is for an annual growth of between 40 and 50 million tons. New production capacity will be online by next year.

Indonesia, with the largest nickel ore reserves in the world, announced plans to reduce mineral production quotas for next year to boost prices and government revenues. Details are not yet available.

Arif stated that the 'policy' could cause ore shortages in smelting plants and force them to import from elsewhere.

FINI estimates that 15 million tons (ore) of nickel will be imported from the Philippines by 2025. The domestic production of ore has only reached 85% of its approved quota.

Nickel ore imports are expected to be the primary balancing mechanism. He said that imports could increase to around 50 million tons in 2026.

He said that imports from the Philippines, New Caledonia, and the Solomon Islands would likely be the most popular. However, the higher costs of shipping and logistics will not allow all the demand to be met.

Some smelters may be forced to reduce the capacity of their refineries by 15% to 18%.

Expectations that Indonesian ore production could be reduced have boosted global nickel prices.

(source: Reuters)