East Asia

Industry sources report that Russian oil has been trading at the steepest discount to Brent for an entire year in Asia as refiners in India and China reduce their purchases in response to new U.S. sanction against leading Russian producers. According to four sources in the Russian oil supply chain involved in trading and refining, the price gap between Brent for December arrival and Russia's Urals crude has widened from $2 to $4 per barrel, which is the largest discount in a little over a year. These discounts, while less severe than the ones seen in 2022 after the first...

Rae Wee gives us a look at what the European and global markets will be like tomorrow. The Bank of England announced its interest rate decision Thursday. What had seemed to be a simple hold, is now being scrutinized. The markets are now pricing in a nearly one-in-3 chance that the rate will be cut to 3.75%. This is up from one-in-10 a month earlier. The UK's 3.8% inflation rate is the highest of the Group of Seven advanced economies. However, a steady reading, and a cooling labor market, have shown some signs of a easing of inflationary pressures. The...

According to documents and shipping data from the state-owned firm PDVSA, Venezuelan oil exports fell 26% in October to 808,000 barrels a day as its stocks decreased and it imported fewer volumes of diluents for exportable crude grades. Exports from the OPEC nation reached a 5-year high in Septembre, after being boosted in part by a stable crude oil production of around 1.1m bpd. Also, robust imports of naphtha and light crude - mainly from Russia – earlier in the year were made to reduce its heavy oil output. The data and documents revealed that imports dropped to 41,000 bpd...

Ankur Banerjee gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets The markets are still recovering after a week of action packed events that have left the risk momentum intact. This week, the focus has shifted on a few private economic data that could shed light on the state of the U.S. labor market. The U.S. government shutdown is expected to continue, and there will no longer be any economic data from the government. So, no nonfarm payrolls, no JOLTS job openings. Investors will instead analyze private employment data provided by ADP in order to...

The global stock market was poised to post its third consecutive week of gains, and seventh consecutive month of growth on Friday. Earnings from Apple and Amazon eased concerns over lofty valuations. Meanwhile, the dollar rose after comments by some Federal Reserve officials. Amazon's stock soared by more than 10% following the announcement that cloud revenue grew at the fastest rate in almost three years. This helped the company to forecast quarterly sales exceeding estimates. Apple shares fell 0.3%, to $270.52, after hitting an intraday high of $277.32, after the company reported its quarterly earnings. It also forecasted holiday quarter...

What Mike Dolan, the ROI team and I are looking forward to reading, watching and listening to this weekend. Hello Morning Bid readers! Wall Street was spooked Thursday as Microsoft and Meta saw their shares fall due to concerns over the AI capex spree. The big news this week was that chip giant Nvidia became the first company whose market cap exceeded $5 trillion after only hitting $4 trillion three months earlier. It looks like Halloween will be more of a "treat" rather than a "trick," with U.S. equity prices rising before Friday's bell. We began the week with the...

Ankur Banerjee gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets Investors are unsure about the direction of global monetary policy in the near future, but a trade truce reached between the top two economies in the world has calmed nerves. Meanwhile, a mixed bag mega-cap earnings have kept the market in check. As the week began, there were signs that tensions between China and the U.S. had cooled. The Federal Reserve also delivered an expected rate reduction, but Chairman Jerome Powell warned that this could be the last cut in 2025. This helped to...

Ankur Banerjee gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets Investors can only think of a handshake between Donald Trump, Xi Jinping and the Bank of Japan. They also have to consider Jerome Powell of the Federal Reserve's cautious tone. The markets will welcome the optimism expressed by the U.S. President and his counterpart in China. Trump claimed to have struck a deal with China that would reduce tariffs in exchange for Beijing continuing U.S. purchases of soybeans, maintaining rare earth exports and crackingdown on illicit fentanyl trade. China has not yet responded. Trump...

In Asian trading, oil prices maintained their gains from Thursday's previous session as investors awaited for the results of the U.S. China trade talks. They were hoping to see signs that the tensions threatening the global economic outlook would ease. Brent crude futures fell by 4 cents (0.06%) to $64.88 per barrel at 0402 GMT, after rising 52 cents the previous day. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude Futures fell by 9 cents, or 0.15%, to $60.39. They had risen 33 cents the day before. The U.S. president Donald Trump and China’s leader Xi Jinping held a nearly two-hour meeting at...

Asian stocks were up and down early on Thursday, as investors watched to see if U.S. leaders and Chinese leaders would reach a deal. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific index outside Japan traded flat last, while U.S. S&P500 e-minis futures edged up 0.1% after Wall Street stocks posted a small loss to end a four-day streak of gains. As the Trump administration in the United States imposes tariffs on imports from abroad, global markets are undergoing a series of central bank decisions. These will provide clues as to the future path of interest rates. Trump will meet with Chinese leader Xi Jinping...

The oil prices were stable on Wednesday, as investors weighed the optimism surrounding a meeting of the top two consumers in the U.S.A. and China with the expected rise in production quotas at the next OPEC+ summit. Brent crude futures rose 11 cents or 0.2% to $64.51 a barge at 1020 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude futures climbed 6 cents or 0.1% to $60.21. China's Foreign Ministry said Chinese President Xi Jinping will meet U.S. president Donald Trump in Busan, South Korea on Thursday. The statement said that the meeting will "inject new energy into the development U.S. China...

The European stock market hovered around recent highs Wednesday. New AI deals and prospects of improved U.S. China trade relations helped to boost sentiment. Traders waited for the U.S. Federal Reserve's meeting in anticipation of a 25 basis-point rate reduction. Wall Street closed Tuesday at a record-high after Nvidia revealed that it will build a new chip. seven supercomputers Microsoft and the U.S. Department of Energy A deal was reached OpenAI can restructure. During Asian trading, stocks in Japan and South Korea also reached new highs. The MSCI World Equity Index rose by less than 0.1% at 0946 GMT. The...

The U.S. rare-earths company MP Materials reported on Thursday that its third-quarter losses widened due to the suspension of sales to Chinese clients as part an agreement with the U.S. Government, even though the results exceeded Wall Street's expectations. After-hours, shares fell 7.4% to $48,40. The company has shifted its focus from relying on foreign sales, to becoming a major U.S. miner of rare earths. It also focuses on manufacturing magnets from these materials that are widely used in the automotive and electronics industries. MP is the owner of the only U.S. mine for rare earths and has plans to...

Donald Trump, the U.S. president, will host five leaders from Central Asian countries at the White House this Thursday. The U.S. is seeking to gain influence in the region that has been dominated for decades by Russia but increasingly courted and influenced by China. The talks are taking place as the competition for Central Asia’s mineral resources intensifies. Western nations want to diversify their supply chains and move away from Moscow or Beijing. The U.S., in particular, is seeking new partnerships to secure vital minerals, energy supplies and overland trading routes that circumvent geopolitical competitors. The C5+1 platform, which was...

ICL Group, a fertiliser manufacturer, has waived its right of first refusal in order to bid for the concession it holds at the Dead Sea. The Israeli government announced the plan on Thursday. However, if the permit expires and it is not renewed by ICL Group it will still receive $3 billion. ICL has had exclusive rights for minerals at the Dead Sea site since 1950. The permit expires in 2030. Finance Ministry, however, stated that it was preparing a "competitive international and fair tender" to ensure that the public and state receive their rightful share of this unique natural...

The CEO of Solvay, a chemical group, said that the company would be interested to build a processing plant for rare earths in the United States where there is more financial support than in Europe. Solvay is one of only a handful of companies outside China that can perform the difficult rare earths separation. In April, it began processing minerals for permanent magnets in its French facility. However, commercial production will depend on government and customer support. In order to reduce dependence on China, the United States, Europe, and their allies are racing to develop domestic industries that can produce...

Aluminum prices rose Thursday on the back of prospects for improved demand, and limited production growth in China, which is the world's biggest producer. By 1109 GMT, benchmark aluminium at the London Metal Exchange had risen 0.7% to $2 869 per metric tonne. On Monday, the metal reached $2.920 for its highest level since May 2022. Britannia Global Markets' head of metals, Neil Welsh, said that the price of aluminum is around its highs for this year, as tight supply and strong demand are supporting prices. The Chinese market has become tighter. Over the past few months, fund money has...

Donald Trump, the U.S. president, will host five leaders from Central Asian countries at the White House this Thursday. The U.S. is seeking to gain influence in the region that has been dominated for decades by Russia but increasingly courted and influenced by China. The talks are taking place as the competition for Central Asia’s mineral resources intensifies. Western nations want to diversify their supply chains and move away from Moscow or Beijing. The U.S., in particular, is seeking new partnerships to secure vital minerals, energy supplies and overland trading routes that circumvent geopolitical competitors. The C5+1 platform, which was...

Shanghai copper rose Thursday, after hitting a low of more than a week in the previous session. The selling pressure had eased after a four-day drop. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most active copper contract closed the daytime trading at 86320 yuan (12,118.49 USD) per metric tonne, up 1.04%. The benchmark three-month futures on the London Metal Exchange rose 0.75%, to $10,777.50 per ton at 0744 GMT. Analysts at Sucden Financial wrote in a report that copper's consolidation was more likely to be the result of "unwinding overextended positions than a change in fundamental narrative". Analysts see a possible deficit in...

China has not published gold data as usual in late October. This led to speculations that the top producer of precious metals may have stopped publishing altogether. China, the world's biggest consumer of gold, releases data on its website for the first quarter. In 2017, the only time a publication was made in November instead of late October, it was one year. In 2016, the data were first published quarterly. Both the association and China's Ministry of Industry did not respond when contacted for comments. Beijing has stopped disclosing the key indicators of supply for rare earths and industry participants...

Dalian iron ore prices held steady after a four-day decline, but lingering fears about an oversupply weighed on the market sentiment. As of 0318 GMT, the most-traded contract for January iron ore on China's Dalian Commodity Exchange was trading 0.39% higher. It was 775.5 Yuan ($108.87). The benchmark December Iron Ore at the Singapore Exchange fell 0.16% to $103.35 per ton. Atilla WIDNEL, Navigate Commodities' managing director in Singapore, says that the rally and optimism following the Fourth Plenum are now diminishing. The markets have few concrete details about "anti-involutionary" measures or long term steel capacity reforms. The anti-involution campaign...

Shanghai copper prices rose on Thursday, after they had hit a low of more than a week in the previous session. However, weak Chinese demand limited gains. As of 0802 GMT, the most active copper contract traded on the Shanghai Futures Exchange rose 0.97%, trading at 86260 yuan (12,110.07 USD) per metric tonne. The benchmark three-month futures on the London Metal Exchange were also up 0.57%, to $10 758.50 per ton. Analysts at Sucden Financial wrote in a report that copper's consolidation was more likely to be the result of "unwinding overextended positions than a change in fundamental narrative". Analysts...

Torbjorn Tornqvist, CEO of Gunvor Group, said on Wednesday that any potential deal for the purchase of foreign assets from Russia's second largest oil company Lukoil would not include a buyback provision. Lukoil has accepted Gunvor's offer to purchase its foreign assets, after Washington imposed sanctions against it last month. Tornqvist, speaking on the sidelines the ADIPEC Energy Conference in Abu Dhabi Tornqvist has ruled out any possibility of a Buyback Clause that would allow Gunvor the ability to sell back the assets to the Russian Oil Major if sanctions were lifted. When asked by whether such a provision could...

Nippon Steel is Japan's largest steelmaker. It expects to report an annual profit drop of 14% before one-offs in the current fiscal year. However, it did not include its outlook for U.S. Steel due to the significant challenges on the U.S. Market. The Japanese steelmaker is expecting a underlying business gain, or profit adjusted to remove one-offs of 680 billion dollars for the fiscal year ending March. This is down from last year's 793.7 billion dollars. Nippon Steel acquired U.S. Steel for $15 billion in June. The company said that it had excluded the U.S. Steel business from its fiscal...