East Asia

By Anna Szymanski February 13th - What Mike Dolan, the ROI team and I are looking forward to reading, watching and listening to this weekend. Editor's Note Hello Morning Bid readers! This week has been a rollercoaster ride. We saw a massive election victory in Japan, the extension of artificial intelligence disruption, a pushback against President Donald Trump’s tariff agenda, and a mixture of U.S. data that roiled rates markets. All of this suggests that market expectations on everything from technology to "Takaichi" are as clear as mud. The Nasdaq Composite dropped 2% on Thursday after Cisco Systems' disappointing earnings....

After a week-long selling spree, global shares fell from their record highs ahead of important U.S. Inflation data. Meanwhile, concerns about shrinking margins and AI disruption remained under the surface. Early trading saw the?MSCI index drop 0.2% while Europe's STOXX was flat. U.S. Futures were flat as well, after steep losses on Friday that saw the Nasdaq Composite, which is heavily weighted towards technology, post its largest daily decline in three weeks. It fell 2%. The selling continued in Asia where Nikkei, the Japanese stock market index, fell by 1.2%. Transportation companies in the United States were the latest to...

Stella Qiu gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. The tech selloff is back with a vengeance. Cisco was the cause of this latest slump, as its margins were squeezed due to the rising?costs for memory chips. This frightened investors who had been expecting booming profits. AI is causing a lot of concern about the future of jobs. Overnight, trucking and logistics companies suffered a sharp drop in stock prices. This was not long after the software sector plummeted as Anthropic released Claude Cowork to fuel job concerns. Apple was not spared. Apple,...

Ankur Banerjee gives us a look at what the European and global markets will be like tomorrow. Investors will be focusing on a slate of European earnings after the U.S. jobs report surprised many with its strength. This has led to expectations that the Federal Reserve would likely keep rates steady at least until the second half. The future of policy is dependent on the labour market and consumer price trends. Investors are reducing their bets on a Fed move in the near future, and the focus is now shifted to Friday's inflation data. The U.S. employment data presented a...

Dollar and Treasury yields increased, but U.S. stock prices lost their early gains, trading nearly flat, on Wednesday, after data showed that the U.S. created "far more jobs" than expected in the month of January. This could make it harder for the Federal Reserve's to continue cutting rates. Labor Department data shows that 130,000 new workers were added to the nonfarm payrolls during January. This is well above the forecast of 70,000. November and December have been revised downwards. The unemployment rate fell to 4.3% in January from 4.4%, which was below the forecast of 4.4%. In an email, Eric...

U.S. stocks futures and the dollar rose on Wednesday after data showed that the U.S. created more jobs in January than expected, making it harder for the Federal Reserve to 'keep cutting rates' this year. Labor Department data revealed that 130,000 new workers were added to the non-farm payrolls during January. This was well above expectations of a rise in 70,000. November and December have been revised downwards a little. The unemployment rate fell to 4.3% in January from 4.4%, which was below expectations for a reading 4.4%. Lindsay James, an investment strategist with Quilter, stated that this will likely...

Bonds rose and stock markets slowed on Wednesday due to softer than expected U.S. retail figures. Meanwhile, the rally in the yen extended and could be signaling a change in investor sentiment since Japan's recent election. A holiday in Japan 'lightened' trade in Asia and Hong Kong and China markets opened at around level. The gold price rose above $5,000 per ounce, and Treasury futures also rose a bit. Cash market was closed. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury rates fell by nearly six basis points over night and reached a low of 4.14%, a month-low. Data showed that core U.S....

Bonds rose and stock markets rebounded on Wednesday, despite softer than expected U.S. retail figures. Meanwhile, the rally in yen extended itself - perhaps signaling a change in investor sentiment since Japan's elections. The morning trade in?Asia remained light due to a holiday in Japan, and investors were waiting for inflation data in China. Gold rose above $5,000 per ounce. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury rates fell by nearly six basis points over night and reached a low of 4.14%, a month-low. Data showed that core U.S. Retail Sales in December were down 0.1% and November and October data had...

Petrobras, the state-owned oil company in Brazil, posted record exports Tuesday of 1.2 million barrels per day?of crude oil and derivatives for its 'fourth quarter. This is an increase of 79% over the same period last year. In a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission, the company said that the record was achieved as oil production in Brazil increased by about 20% during the same time period, to 2.5 million bpd. This allowed the state-run firm to send more oil overseas. The company had announced previously that it had exceeded its own production guidance for the year. Petrobras also...

Asian stocks advanced for a second consecutive day on early Tuesday trading, led by a rally in Tokyo’s benchmark after Prime Minister Sanae Takayichi's decisive victory in the Japanese election over the weekend. The broadest MSCI index of?Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan rose 0.7%. Meanwhile, the Nikkei225 gained 2.8% for a third day in a row, reaching a new high. The yen strengthened for a third day. After a two day rally, U.S. equity e-minis have cooled, with S&P500 e-minis down by 0.1%. This partially reverses overnight gains on Wall Street. S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rose 0.5% on Monday as...

Wayne Cole gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. The markets like it when there is a political event. Sanae Takaichi, Japan's first woman Prime Minister, blew the competition out of the water in the election. This sparked a rally of 4.5% in the Nikkei index to "all-time" highs. The index actually broke 55,000, 56, 000, and 57,000 in a single go. The LDP's best ever result was a resounding victory as it took 316 out of 465 seats at the lower house of parliament. Takaichi, together with its coalition partner Japan Innovation...

The global markets are set to experience their largest decline since mid-November. A stock rout in Wall Street has spread globally, and volatility is gripping precious metals as well as cryptocurrencies. AI concerns also weigh on the equities. The MSCI All-Country World Index rose 0.1% from intra-session lows, but was still on track to fall around 1.6% over the course of the week. Amazon, Microsoft and Meta are expected to spend $600 billion on artificial intelligence this year, fueling fears of its cost. Concerns about disruption in software and data services, as well as other sectors, have also continued. Is...

Iron ore futures fell on Friday, as traders closed out their 'positions' ahead of the Lunar New Year holidays in China. During this time, demand is expected to fall significantly. The most-traded May iron ore contract at China's Dalian Commodity Exchange closed the daytime trading down 2.36% to 746 yuan (107.96 dollars) per metric ton. This contract has fallen 1.44% this week. As of 0715 GMT, the benchmark March iron ore traded on the Singapore Exchange at $97.25 per ton. This is a 2.34% decrease. The contract has fallen 1.76% this week and is on track for its fifth consecutive...

Iron ore futures fell on Friday, as traders 'closed out their positions before a Lunar New Year holiday that will last a full week in China. During this time demand is expected to drop significantly. As of 0322 GMT, the most-traded?iron ore May contract on China's Dalian Commodity Exchange was down 1.5% at 752.5 Yuan ($108.97). This week, the contract has fallen by 1.63%. The benchmark March ore traded on the Singapore Exchange fell 1.24% to $98.35 per ton. This week, the contract has lost 0.7%. If the current momentum continues, it is on course for a fifth weekly?decline. Data...

Data from Benchmark Mineral - Intelligence (BMI), a consultancy, showed that global EV registrations dropped 3% in January due to the introduction of a EV purchase 'tax' and lower EV subsides in China as well as policy alterations in the U.S. Why it's important Global automakers with a large exposure to the U.S. have written down $55 billion over the last year. This is due to their scaling back of electric vehicle ambitions as they face a difficult U.S. marketplace under President Donald Trump. They also faced price wars and more complex vehicle types in Europe. The European Union, as...

Aluminum prices reached a two-week high after Australia's South32 confirmed that it would close a smelter located in Mozambique. However, all metals fell later as investor sentiment soured and financial markets tumbled. Benchmark three-month aluminum on the London Metal Exchange reached its highest since January 30, at $3,163.50 per metric ton. South32 confirmed it would place its Mozambique Aluminium plant on care and maintainance next month due to a power shortage. Aluminum, however, as well as other metals,?moved in the red during European afternoon trading, along with financial markets and was down 0.1% at $3.100 by 1730 GMT. U.S. indexes...

Analysts?and producers say that Paraguay’s soybean crop in 2025/26 is expected to exceed 10 million tons, and could become the biggest ever recorded by the country. StoneX, a South American agricultural?consultancy, revised its estimate of the crop harvested from October to February, increasing it by 500,000 tons. This is a significant increase over the previous estimate, which was 9.65 million tonnes. The crop, according to StoneX, "is among the best recorded ever" in this landlocked South American producer, the report stated. Analysts believe the final production total will depend on the second, smaller crop (or "zafrina") harvested between April-May. StoneX's...

Iron ore futures rose Thursday, as the promise of China's top consumer to lend monetary assistance?to boost a lacklustre demand boosted sentiment. The recent rally in nickel prices also helped. As of 0249 GMT, the most-traded contract for May?iron ore on China's Dalian Commodity Exchange was trading 0.33% higher. It was 766 yuan (US$110.98) per metric ton. The benchmark March ore price on the Singapore Exchange rose by 0.25% to $100.2 per tonne. Investor confidence was raised after China's central bank announced it would lend financial assistance to boost domestic consumption. Industrial overcapitalisation and lacklustre consumer spending are weighing on...

Albemarle is the world's biggest producer of lithium. It posted a?larger-than-expected loss on Wednesday. The company also announced that it would be?idling a major Australian?processing?plant due to its continued?struggle with low prices for battery metal. After-hours trading saw shares of the Charlotte-based company fall 3.1%. Prices of lithium have fallen by more than 90 percent in the last two years, largely due to an oversupply coming from China. This has led to layoffs, buyouts, and project delays at Albemarle, and other companies. Prices have increased in recent months but remain below the all-time highs of 2023. Albemarle announced that it...

China's Zijin Mining plans to start Congo's first lithium production in June at the disputed Manono mine and export it immediately, according to Cominiere, a state-owned mining company. This is a significant step for Beijing in its push to secure critical minerals in Africa. Zijin previously stated a start in the first quarter of 2026, but said on Tuesday that this is now updated planning. After the Democratic?Republic of Congo revoked the permit of Australian miner AVZ, the Manono resource is now at the center of arbitration. Zijin, in a joint venture with Cominiere, reassigned a part of the site....

Nickel rose on Wednesday for the fourth consecutive session after the?world's largest nickel mine, located in Indonesia? received a?dramatically reduced production quota this year. As of 1705 GMT, the benchmark three-month Nickel?on London Metal Exchange?was up by 2.7% to $17.955 per metric ton. The nickel used in the production of stainless steel and rechargeable battery earlier rose as high as 3%, to $18,020. This was its highest price since January 30. French miner Eramet announced on Wednesday that its PT Weda Bay Nickel joint venture with China's?Tsingshan and Indonesia's PT Antam received an initial production allowance for 2026 of 12...

Three sources familiar with the matter have told us that CME Group has been working on a plan to launch the first futures contract for rare earths in the world. This would allow governments, companies, and banks to hedge their exposure to the 'China-controlled sector. Two sources claim that the rival Intercontinental Exchange also plans to offer rare earth futures but it is not as far along in its planning process as CME. CME declined comment, and ICE didn't immediately respond to a comment request. Banks are reluctant to finance Western projects, in an industry where volatile prices can be...

Kraft Heinz halted its plans to split on Wednesday, joining a select group of companies that have retracted major corporate restructurings. It announced plans to split in two, one focusing on sauces and condiments and the other on groceries. Some major companies have cancelled plans to split. DUPONT DuPont, a manufacturer of industrial materials, announced in January 2025 that it would no longer'separate their water business and turn it into a publicly-traded company. Instead, they will'spin off its electronics business. VIRGIN O2 Marc Murtra, the CEO of Telefonica, announced that in July 2025 they had scrapped their plan to spin...

Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission, said that the EU must simplify its regulations to be more competitive with the United States and China. Over the last two decades, EU growth has consistently been lower than that of?the United States, with EU innovation and productivity, especially in fields such as AI, falling behind. "Let's take the U.S. as an example again." Von der Leyen stated on Wednesday that there is only one financial system and capital. "In Europe, we don't only have 27 different systems of financial supervision, each with their own supervisor. More than 300 trading...