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Gold as a safe-haven reaches a 2-week high on trade tensions and rate cuts

Gold reached a two-week-high on Thursday. The demand for safe havens was boosted by the tariffs imposed by U.S. president Donald Trump, and U.S. job data that added to expectations of rate cuts.

As of 0956 am, spot gold rose 0.6% to $3388.09 an ounce. ET (13.56 GMT) after reaching its highest level in the earlier session. U.S. Gold futures increased by nearly 0.7%, to $3455.60.

"Ongoing trade tensions and increased geopolitical pressures continue to support the market, with the safe-haven interest," said Peter Grant.

Trump's increased tariffs on imports of a number of countries went into effect on Friday, forcing some trade partners, such as Switzerland, Brazil, and India, to scramble for a better deal.

The number of Americans who filed new claims for unemployment benefits reached a month-high last week, indicating a slight easing in the U.S. labour market.

Grant said that the data supports rising expectations of Fed rate cuts. "If (U.S. data) continue to show weakening, we could also see more dovish expectation develop, which is generally supportive for gold."

In a low interest rate environment, gold, which is used to store value in times of economic and geopolitical unrest, tends also to flourish.

FedWatch Tool from CME Group shows that the market is now pricing in a 91% probability of a rate cut by 25 basis points next month.

Three Fed officials sounded the alarm on a weakening U.S. labour market, with Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari on Wednesday saying two quarter-percentage-point rate cuts by year-end is reasonable.

Silver spot rose 1.5%, to $38.40 an ounce. This is its highest price since July 25. Platinum was up 0.2%, at $1,335.60, and palladium rose 2.5%, to $1,159.93. (Reporting by Sarah Qureshi in Bengaluru; Editing by Shailesh Kuber)

(source: Reuters)