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Fossil Fuels

Oil & Gas

Indian shares fall, rupee falls to record low due to high oil prices

On Tuesday, Indian shares dropped and the rupee reached a new low as investors assessed March-quarter earnings. As of 9:56 a.m. IST, the?Nifty 50 index was down 0.45% to 24,010.20 and the BSE Sensex fell 0.41% at 76.954.34. The rupee has reached a new low. Brent crude soared to an intraday peak of $115.3 per barrel on Monday, after Iran intensified?attacks against the UAE and vessels in the Middle East Gulf region, including several in the Strait of Hormuz. Oil prices remain high despite the fact that they have dropped to $113 early on Tuesday due to a'signal the U.S....

Oil & Gas

Indian shares open lower due to rising oil prices; rupee falls to record low

Indian shares opened lower on Tuesday, as investors assessed March quarter corporate earnings and a rise in 'crude oil' prices due to the Middle East conflict. As of 9:15 a.m. IST the Nifty 50 index was down 0.28% to 24,052.60 while the BSE Sensex fell 0.21% to 77,103.72. Brent crude soared to a intraday high of $115.3 per barrel on Monday, after Iran increased its attacks against the UAE and vessels in the Middle East Gulf region, including several in the Strait o'Hormuz. Oil prices remain high despite signs that the U.S. Navy may be easing Iran's strait closure. The...

Oil & Gas

India palm oil imports drop to a one-year low on April weak demand

India's palm oils imports dropped 27% in April to a "one-year low" as refiners slowed purchases due to the sluggishness of demand from institutional buyers, and recent price increases that reduced its discount to competing oils. India's palm oil imports fell 27% to a?one-year low in April, as sluggish demand?from institutional buyers and a recent price rally that eroded?its discount to rival oils prompted refiners to curb purchases, five dealers said. Dealer estimates show that palm oil imports dropped to 505,000 tons in April from 689.462 tons in march. Imports of soyoil rose by 24% in April, compared to March,...

Fossil Fuels

Sources say Indian refiners are limiting the use of a special FX credit facility, causing rupee pressure.

Three sources with knowledge of the situation said that India's state-run oil refineries are using a special FX credit line provided by the largest bank in the country to help ease the pressure on the rupee. This is a sign that the rupee may fall even further. Three sources familiar with the matter said that India's?state-run oil refiners are making limited use of a special FX?credit line offered by the country's largest bank to ease pressure on?the rupee. This is indicating concerns about a further fall in the rupee. Forex traders claim that the currency has been affected by dollar...

Fossil Fuels

Sources say Indian refiners are limiting the use of a special FX credit facility, causing rupee pressure.

Three sources with knowledge of the matter said that India's state oil refineries are only using a limited amount of the "special FX credit lines" offered by India's largest banks to help ease the pressure on the rupee. They expressed concern about the rupee falling further. The rupee is under pressure again, and has dipped near its record low of 95.21. This comes after several steps taken by the Reserve Bank of India to support the currency. According to FX traders, the currency has been affected by dollar purchases related to oil in recent sessions. India's biggest imports are crude?oil,...

Fossil Fuels

Economic strains in emerging markets increase two months after the Iran War

The charts below, two months after the Iran War began, show the impact of the war on the economy in emerging and developing countries. They are facing increasing inflation, fiscal strains, and trade disruptions. 1/DIRECT HITS Middle East countries and their neighbors are the most directly affected. Qatar recorded its first-ever?trade deficit of $1.2 billion after the Strait?of?Hormuz closure slashed imports by half and exports more than 90%. JPMorgan's economists predict that Qatar's economy will shrink by 9% in this year due to damage caused to an LNG facility, which is more than Iran's forecast of minus 6.1%. The Fund...

Oil & Gas

The rupee is almost flat as a result of RBI's presence.

The Indian rupee finished modestly stronger on Monday as the dollar sales made by state-run banks helped to ease the pressure of higher oil prices after the U.S.-Iran negotiations stalled. The rupee closed at 94.19 compared to its previous closing of 94.2475. Traders said that state-run banks, likely acting on behalf of Reserve Bank of India (RBI), offered dollars to limit the fall of the currency early in the session. A trader from a Mumbai bank stated that this was what triggered a broader interest in selling dollars, giving the rupee breathing space. As shipments of oil through the Strait...

Fossil Fuels

Rupee wedged in between dollar sales by state-run banks and US-Iran War uncertainty

The Indian rupee limped in a 'narrow band' on Monday. It was wedged between higher oil prices, demand from importers to hedge their positions and dollar sales by state-run banks. As of 10:30 am IST the rupee was trading at 94.1650 to the dollar, which is a little stronger than it closed at 94.2475 during the previous session. Brent crude oil futures rose to $106.6 during Asia trading, as the hopes for peace talks between Iran and the U.S. dwindled after U.S. president Donald Trump cancelled a trip by his envoys to Islamabad. Iran's foreign minister shuttled between Pakistan and...

Oil & Gas

INDIA RUPEE - Rupee under pressure, high oil prices encourage importer hedging and dampen flows

The Indian rupee will continue to be under pressure on Monday due to importer hedging and a demand spurred by high oil prices. After settling at 94.2475 last Friday, traders expect the rupee to open between 94.26 and 94.30. Last week, the currency fell by 1.42%. This was its worst performance in over three and a half years. The fall was caused by a number of factors including the sharp rise in oil price amid the?absence of any sign of a solution to the disruptions around Strait of Hormuz? and the partial rollback of the central bank's measures that supported...

Fossil Fuels

Ambani's Reliance misses quarterly profit estimates as costs bite

Mukesh Ambani's Reliance Industries posted a 12% drop in its fourth-quarter net profit, falling short of market expectations as rising input costs impacted the core businesses. Reliance's refinery business, which is a major profit generator, had a difficult quarter. Higher crude costs and higher freight rates resulting from the Iran War coincided with operational restrictions and export levies to boost domestic fuel supplies. Mukesh D. Ambani, Chairman and Managing Director, said that the war in West Asia had caused a 'unprecedented disruption in global supply chains. The core earnings of the company's refinery business, which accounts for nearly a third...

Oil & Gas Refining

Indian court extends the detention of Reliance executive and aviation official in bribery cases

A 'Indian court extended Friday the pre-trial detention of an aviation regulator and a 'Reliance Industries executive?until May 6, in connection with a bribery probe relating to drone import approvals. India's top criminal agency announced on Sunday that it had arrested Mudavath devula, deputy director general of Directorate General of Civil Aviation and Bharat mathur, senior vice president of Reliance, for accepting a $16,000 bribe in order to clear drone import requests by Asteria aerospace, an?unit of billionaire Mukesh ambani-led Reliance. The agency didn't disclose the source of the imports. Two men dressed in formal shirts appeared briefly at a...

Oil & Gas Refining

India's Asteria is the Reliance unit that has been at the center of a corruption scandal

India's federal crime fighting agency launched a bribery probe into the drone technology company Asteria Aerospace. It is a lesser-known subsidiary of Mukesh Ambani's Reliance Industries. The Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI) arrested officials of India's aviation watchdog and Reliance Industries this week on allegations of bribery to?secure? approvals for certain drones imports. Reliance previously stated that it had not authorized or been aware of such transactions. However, the lawyer representing the official from the Aviation Watchdog has opposed his custody. DRONES BUSINESS Since Prime Minister NarendraModi's government liberalised drone policy in?2021, India's drone sector has seen a steady growth....

Crude Oil

Crude Oil

Gold recovers from a one-month low, but inflation worries cap gains

Gold prices increased on Tuesday after a session low of more than one month. However, gains were 'limited' by high oil prices, which kept inflation concerns alive and impacted the outlook for U.S. rates. As of 0230 GMT, spot gold was up by 0.5%, at $4,541.39 an ounce. In the previous session, gold fell by more than 2% and reached its lowest level since last March 31. U.S. Gold Futures for June Delivery rose?0.4% at $4,550.70. Ilya Spirak, global macro head at Tastylive said that prices are settling down after the return to the "war trade" across the markets sent...

Oil & Gas Refining

India's Reliance boosts LPG production by cutting alkylate exports

Reliance Industries, India's largest chemical company, is reducing output of alkylates while?diverting the feedstock in order to increase production of liquefied gas (LPG), as India struggles with shortages due to the Iran War. The operator of 'the world's largest refining complex runs its alkylation unit on a minimum rate, reducing exports of gasoline-blending components. Reliance exports alkylates primarily to the U.S., from its export-focused refinery that produces 704,000 barrels per day. The company claimed that LPG production had increased by'more than threefold compared to pre-war levels. The company stated in a press release that the move was made to fill...

Crude Oil

Russell: The UAE dumping OPEC will not have the same effect on crude oil as expected.

It is generally believed that the United Arab Emirates' decision to withdraw from OPEC will weaken the influence of the producer group, and lead to a race for increased production. This could ultimately result in a sharp drop in crude oil prices. The U.S.-Israeli war against Iran has impacted the global crude oil markets in such a way that it is unlikely to produce the results expected. The UAE's decision to leave the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries may have weakened the group. There may also be more crude produced by the UAE once or if the pre-war shipping volume...

Mining

Mineral Resources

Mineral Resources

Gold recovers from a five-week low, but inflation worries cap gains

Gold prices rose on Tuesday, but gains were modest as crude oil prices remained high and inflation fears remained alive. After a drop of more than 2% on Monday, spot gold increased 0.3% by 0417 GMT to $4,533.40 an ounce. U.S. gold futures for delivery in June rose 0.2% to $4,542.50. Ilya Spirak, the head of global macro at Tastylive, said that prices seem to have digested a little after the return of "war trade" across markets on Monday. Gains were however capped by the rise in Treasury "yields" and the dollar as an increase in crude oil stoked inflation...

Environment

Thyssenkrupp and Jindal agree on a halt to the sale of a steel unit

Thyssenkrupp announced on Saturday that it had 'paused' talks with India's Jindal Steel International about a potential'sale' of the 'German industrial group's' steel unit. This is a setback to CEO Miguel Lopez’s restructuring efforts. Reports in March indicated that discussions may be canceled due to disagreements over pension liabilities, investments, and energy costs. Four people who are familiar with the issue were cited. Jindal Steel International made a bid indicative?for Thyssenkrupp Steel Europe in the past year. This led to months of due diligence, and negotiations on a possible purchase of Europe's?second-largest steelmaker. Thyssenkrupp stated that "the?original assumptions, and prerequisites...

Mineral Resources

Gold prices rise, causing gold to fall by a weekly loss

Gold prices dropped more than 1% on Friday, and are expected to drop a similar amount each week as high oil prices continue to fuel inflation fears that could discourage central banks from reducing interest rates. At 1149 GMT spot gold was down by 1.1%, at $4,573.33 an ounce, and is on course for a loss of 2.8% per week. U.S. Gold Futures for June delivery dropped 1% to $4585.20. UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said that gold remains negatively correlated with oil in the short-term, because it impacts interest rate expectations. Iran warned on Thursday that it would respond to...

Mineral Resources

Investors assess Iran tensions as gold climbs from a one-month low; dollar eases.

Gold prices jumped Thursday as the dollar eased, and oil prices fell. Some analysts also cited an increase in demand for safe-haven assets due to growing fears that the U.S. - Iran war could escalate. As of 1158 GMT spot gold rose 1.9%, to $4,629.83 an ounce, after dropping to its lowest level since March 31, in the previous session. Bullion has fallen by about 0.9% this month. U.S. Gold Futures for June Delivery rose by 1.8% to $4642.90. Dollar fell sharply against yen after Bank of Japan officials gave firm signals about possible intervention to help the Japanese currency....

Mineral Resources

ASIA GOLD - India gold demand is declining, while China premiums are rising ahead of the holiday

The demand for gold in India slowed this week due to volatile global prices and the weaker rupee. Meanwhile, premiums from China rose as they stocked up ahead of May Day. Indian dealers quoted discounts This week, premiums up to $9 per ounce, including 6% import duties and 3% sales taxes, are down to as low as $5, compared to the $15 premium last week. Chanda Venkatesh is the managing director of CapsGold, a bullion dealer based in Hyderabad. She said that after Akshaya Tritiya, jewellers have seen a drop in footfall and retail demand. On Thursday, domestic gold prices...

Mineral Resources

Vedanta, an Indian mining company, has seen its quarterly profit almost double on the back of metal prices surging

Vedanta, an Indian conglomerate that converts metals into oil, reported a 92.3% increase in quarterly profit on Tuesday. This was attributed to strong base metal prices which boosted the margins. The Iran War caused a disruption in supply, which led to a spike in prices for 'base metals' during the March quarter. Vedanta is India's largest aluminium producer and its business accounts for nearly 40% of revenue. The conglomerate announced earlier this month that it had approved the demerger of its four listed companies. This will take place on May 1. Its?businesses such as steel and ferrous, oil and aluminum,...

Mineral Resources

Powell's remarks on Iran War impact are expected to be heard soon.

Gold was largely unchanged on Wednesday as investors awaited the comments of U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to assess the economic impact of the Iran War as peace negotiations stall. As of 0611 GMT spot gold was down 0.1%, at $4,590.80 an ounce. It had fallen to its lowest level in April 2 the previous session. U.S. Gold futures for delivery in June?fell by 0.1% to $4604 Investors are expecting the Fed to maintain interest rates at the end its two-day meeting, later that day. War-driven energy shocks have reignited already-high inflation. "Much market resilience since last April's panic-driven...

Mineral Resources

India's gold demand tops jewellery in the March quarter for the first time.

India's gold investment demand surpassed jewellery consumption for the first quarter in history, according to the World Gold Council. Investors turned to the precious metal due to a subdued equity market. The WGC reported that a rise in gold prices had led to a drop in jewellery sales in the second largest consumer of the metal. This helped keep the overall demand steady. Sachin Jain is the chief executive officer of WGC's Indian operations. He said that for the first time, investment demand has surpassed jewellery. Investors will be more interested in gold, both retail and financial. The World Gold...

Mineral Resources

Powell's remarks on Iran War impact are expected to be heard soon.

Investors waited for a U.S. report on gold. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's comments will be used to assess the economic impact of the Iran War as the peace talks stagnate. As of 0439 GMT spot gold rose 0.2% to $4,602.82 an ounce after dropping to its lowest level in April 2 the previous session. U.S. gold futures for June delivery rose 0.2% ?to $4,616.40. Investors anticipate that the Fed will hold interest rates at a steady level after its two-day session later in the day. The market's resilience has been built on the assumption that the Fed will step...

Mineral Resources

Powell's remarks on Iran War impact are expected to be heard soon.

Gold prices were largely stable despite choppy trading on Wednesday, as investors awaited the comments of U.S. Federal Reserve chair?Jerome Powell to assess the economic impact of the Iran War in the face stalled talks. As of 0243 GMT spot gold rose 0.1% to $4,597.07 an ounce after dropping to its lowest level in April 2 the previous session. U.S. Gold Futures for June Delivery were stable?at $4610.20. As markets anticipate the FOMC meeting, gold remained stable. Much of the market's resilience following last April's tariff panic was built on the assumption the Fed would be ready to intervene if...

Mineral Resources

Gold drops as Middle East tensions continue to keep oil prices high. Fed meeting is in focus

On Tuesday, gold fell to a near four-week low, due to persistent inflation fears after U.S. President Donald 'Trump' appeared unsatisfied by Iran's most recent proposal to end war. Investors were also awaiting the Federal Reserve's meeting on monetary policy this week. Gold spot dropped 1.7%, to $4,600.61 an ounce as of 1:42 pm EDT (1742 GMT), having hit its lowest level in April 2. U.S. Gold Futures closed 1.8% lower at $4,608.40. It's rekindled pessimism in the Middle East about peace. "The strait is closed because the Trump administration has rejected Iran's most recent offer," said Peter Grant. Gold...

Mineral Resources

Gold prices rise as traders wait for central bank decisions amid inflation fears

Gold prices were steady on Monday as traders remained 'cautious' ahead of central bank meetings. They were wary that the persistent rise in oil prices might lead to a more hawkish stance. As of 1100 GMT, spot gold was unchanged at $4,707.16 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures for June Delivery fell 0.4% to $ 4,722.60. Fawad Rasaqzada is a market analyst for City Index and FOREX.com. He said that the main message traders are preparing to hear is that central banks would be more hawkish in their approach because oil prices had risen, which has increased inflationary pressures. The (gold)...