South Asia








Energy Markets

Oil & Gas

Crude Oil

The easing cycle of EM central banks is on shakier footing amid escalating Mideast conflict

Analysts say that the Middle East conflict and higher oil prices threaten to shift emerging markets towards a more "hawkish" policy. In the next two weeks, more than a dozen emerging market central banks will be meeting to discuss their monetary policies. Goldman Sachs analysts noted that "markets that have been under the most pressure are those that were owned by investors anticipating rate?cuts in CEEMEA, LatAm and Latin America) and that also tend to be highly sensitive to global supply side shocks." Global financial markets are gripped by fears of an oil price spike due to the U.S. -...

Oil & Gas

Reliance shares lead the rise in Indian stocks after a three-session decline

Indian shares rose in morning trading on Thursday. A rebound in Reliance, and a rally in global stocks helped the market. Risk appetite had improved after the war in the Middle East, which had dragged down shares for the remainder of the week. As of 10:02 a.m. IST, the Nifty 50 index was up 0.61% to 24,631.3, and the BSE Sensex gained 0.54%, reaching 79,530.98. Over the last three sessions, both benchmarks dropped by about 4%. Avinash Gorakshakar is the director of research for Profitmart Securities. He said that while the markets may have staged a partial rebound after the...

Oil & Gas

Indian shares to open lower on Monday as oil prices surge due to conflict in the Middle East

Indian shares will open lower on Tuesday, as escalating U.S. - Israel?clashes? with Iran lifted crude oil to a high of 19 months,?disrupted Middle East shipments? and stoked fear of a long-term conflict?,?intensifying the risk aversion. Gift Nifty futures were trading at 24,442.5 points by 7:52 am IST. This indicates that the benchmark Nifty will open lower than Monday's closing price of 24,865.7. The domestic markets were closed for a holiday in the locality on Tuesday. Wall Street also closed lower over night on fears that a larger Mideast conflict could cause an energy shock, which would increase inflation and...

Oil & Gas

Telegraph: Trump is'very upset' at Starmer's refusal to allow the use of UK air bases

Donald Trump said he was'very disappointed'?with British Premier?Minister Keir Starmer because he refused to allow the U.S. use of the Diego Garcia Air Base to conduct strikes against Iran, according to an interview with the Daily Telegraph. The?U.S. was initially reportedly denied permission to conduct air strikes from its bases. Starmer said he would accept a request to use its bases for air strikes against Iranian targets. In an interview published Monday, Trump said that Starmer's change of heart took "too much time". He told The Telegraph that "that's probably never happened before" between our countries, and added: "It sounded...

Oil Refineries

Asia LPG and naphtha prices jump after Saudi terminal failure

According to trade sources, and LSEG data, the prices of liquefied petrol gas and?naphtha jumped on Thursday in Asia after Saudi Aramco halted the exports from a major terminal. This disrupted supplies to the area, and India is likely to be the worst hit. On Wednesday, Saudi?Aramco announced that it had halted LPG deliveries this week at its eastern terminal in Juaymah. This terminal is one of the largest exporters of butane and propane. It suffered structural damage to its delivery system on February 23, which was a result of a component being damaged. Fuel from the terminal near Aramco’s...

Oil & Gas

Data shows that the share of Russian oil imported by India in January is at its lowest level since late 2022.

According to industry sources, data from January shows that India's oil imports were the lowest since late 2022. Middle Eastern crude supplies rose to their highest level in the same time period. India, which is the third largest oil consumer and importer in the world, has increased its purchases of Russian oil discounted by Western nations following Moscow's invasion of Ukraine in 2022. Volumes have topped 2 million barrels a day in certain months. But Western sanctions on the war, and the pressure to sign a trade agreement with the United States have forced New Delhi to reduce its Russian...

Oil & Gas

Executives at Naturals say that if the Reliance stake talks fall through, they are looking to IPO in 2028.

Naturals, an Indian salon chain, is still 'in talks' with Reliance about a possible?stake-sale, but the discussions have slowed down as both sides are yet to converge on a deal structure. In an interview, Kumaravel stated. Naturals will go public in 2028, if the negotiations with Reliance do not bear fruit. Kumaravel said this on the sidelines of an event organized by Retailers Association of India (RAI) in Mumbai. He said that the talks, which were first announced in 2022, "stalled" after Reliance demanded a 51% share, while Naturals only wanted to sell 49%. This was to maintain control for...

Oil & Gas

Zivame, backed by Reliance, bets India's smaller cities with a fresh store blitz.

Zivame, a lingerie retailer backed by Reliance Industries, plans to open between 60 and 80 franchised stores in the next year. The company is looking to grow its business in 'India's smaller cities. Zivame, founded in 2011, was originally an online-only company. Since then it has expanded to physical stores. It now operates 174 exclusive brand outlets. Reliance Retail acquired a stake of the company in 2021, as part?of its wider push into apparel & innerwear. Zivame's next phase of expansion will be focused on India's Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities, where the demand is "increasingly similar to that of metro...

Oil & Gas

Minister says India will sign a trade agreement with the United States by March

India and the U.S. are expected to sign a "formal" trade agreement in March. After that, New Delhi will lower tariffs on U.S. products, said Trade Minister Piyush Goyal on Thursday. This was the first official timeline of the adoption of the deal. Washington will then reduce the duty on Indian exports from 50% to 18% within a few days. Goyal stated that India will purchase about $500 billion worth of U.S. products over the next five years. This includes $70-80 billion of Boeing aircraft. In the deal announced Monday, U.S. President Donald Trump reduced U.S. Tariffs on Indian Goods...

Crude Oil

India is willing to consider the commercial benefits of Venezuelan crude oil

A spokesperson for the Indian Foreign Ministry said that India would be willing to buy oil from Venezuela and other countries, depending on their commercial viability. "There's a long history of engagement with Venezuela." We have had a longstanding energy partnership, and are open to exploring the availability of crude oil in Venezuela and elsewhere, based on its commercial viability. Last week, U.S. president Donald?Trump agreed to lower tariffs on Indian products to 18% from 50% as part a broader trade deal Narendra Modi, he claimed, 'assured him that South Asia will stop buying Russian oil. Trump said that India...

Oil & Gas

India's markets receive a tariff reduction but no buy yet

Investors say that the U.S. India trade deal will likely be enough to stop foreign stock selling. However, they insist that earnings growth and fundamentals must improve before sustained?buying can occur. The long-awaited agreement sparked an increase in the stock markets and rupee's strongest rally in seven year on?Tuesday as it?signalled improved diplomatic and trade relationships with the U.S. This was only one of many factors that hung over the currency and stock market, which has underperformed by a large margin regional and global counterparts since the start of last year, and seen the foreign allocations shrink to a 2-decade-low....

Oil & Gas

Reliance and financials gain after US trade deal, leading to the best day for Indian shares in nine months

Reliance, heavyweight financials and export-oriented stocks led a broad rally on Tuesday after the India-U.S. trade deal. Trade deal removes key overhang which had been roiling?markets since months. Both benchmarks jumped about 5% at the start of trading. ?At a close, the Nifty50 settled 2.55% higher, at 25,727.55 point, while the BSE Sensex rose 2.54%, to 83739.13 points. This was their biggest single-session gain since May 2025. Donald Trump, the U.S. president announced on Monday a deal with India in which U.S. duties on Indian goods will be reduced to 18% instead of 50%. In exchange, New Delhi must stop...

Fossil Fuels

Fossil Fuels

Sources say Indian refiners are tapping Russian oil that is floating offshore.

Two sources who have direct knowledge of this matter confirmed on Thursday that Indian refiners are now using 'Russian oil' aboard ships?floating just off the coast of India to?make up for? the Middle Eastern crude lost due to the Iran War. India is susceptible to energy supply disruptions. Crude stocks only cover about 25 days' worth of demand. India was the largest buyer of Russian seaborne crude oil after Moscow's invasion of Ukraine in 2022. However, its refiners began to reduce their purchases starting in January, helping New Delhi avoid tariffs from Washington. According to a shipping resource, on Thursday,...

Fossil Fuels

Asia's refining margins soar to the highest level in almost 4 years due to disruption of supply caused by Hormuz

According to data and analysts, Asian refining margins are at their highest level since 2022 due to Iranian threats against shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. These threats have disrupted crude flow and forced refineries to reduce runs. As a result of the U.S. - Iran war, trade has been suspended through the chokepoint which typically handles over 20% of global daily oil supplies. Singapore's complex refinery margins LSEG data shows that the market was roiled on Wednesday by fears of a further reduction in refining runs, which could lead to a tightening of fuel supplies. China and Thailand also...

Fossil Fuels

Indian shares fall as Mideast conflict drives up oil prices and fuels inflation fears

The rupee fell to a new low, and bonds also dropped as oil prices rose due to the Middle East conflict, causing inflation worries and shaking financial markets worldwide. The Nifty 50 fell by 1.55%, to a six-month-low closing price of 24,480.50. And the BSE Sensex dropped 1.4%, to an 11 month-low of 79116.19. The benchmarks each lost around 4% in three sessions. Other Asian markets fell 4.1% with a market crash of record in South Korea. This was due to fears that a larger Middle East conflict could cause an energy shock, which would increase inflation and delay rate...

Oil & Gas Refining

Mining

Mining

Sources say that India's Aditya Birla Group has restarted its iron ore business.

Three'sources' familiar with the matter said that Aditya Birla Global Trading, an Indian commodities trading company, is resuming its iron ore operations as other traders leave the market because of record low volatility. The Singapore-headquartered company, part of India's conglomerate Aditya Birla Group, which also owns aluminium producer Hindalco, trades ?agriculture, energy and metals but not iron ore, according to ?its website. According to two sources, the company has suspended its iron-ore business and will return to the Chinese market in order to diversify their portfolio and reduce the risk. All sources were speaking under condition of anonymity, as they...

Mining

Flacks Group is'ready' to bid for Thyssenkrupp's steel business, if current sales talks fail

Michael Flacks, the CEO of Flacks Group, said that if current attempts to sell Thyssenkrupp's steel division fail, they would be "ready" to bid for it. Thyssenkrupp and Jindal Steel International have been in discussions since the autumn about a possible sale for Thyssenkrupp Steel Europe. However, these discussions are yet to produce a formal bid. Flacks Group was selected by Italy in 'December' to conduct exclusive negotiations on the sale Acciaierie d'Italia, a bailed out steel company. Flacks stated that "our main interest in Italy is now, but we're interested in major companies and, if talks about an acquisition...

Mineral Resources

India's diamond and jewellery imports are disrupted by the Iran conflict

Due to widespread flight cancellations and airspace closures, the Middle East conflict has affected India's exports of gems and jewellery, as well imports of rough diamonds from United Arab Emirates. Dubai, which is a major "global hub" for polished and rough diamonds, and bullion has suspended many cargo and passenger flights. This has affected trade flows, and the shipments of essential raw materials and exports, according to industry officials. Vipul Shah is the managing director of Asian Star, one of the leading diamond exporters. Nearly a quarter of India’s annual gems, jewellery and watches exports totaling around $30 billion come...

Mining

Mike Dolan, CEO of ROI-Gold, fumbles his lines in the Middle East:

In an alarming week dominated by a?Middle East conflict, the gold market made a bizarre move. Investors did not rush to buy gold but instead rushed for dollars, selling anything that had a speculative edge before the attacks last weekend. After the attacks on Iran Saturday, the initial demand for precious metals waned rapidly. On Tuesday there was a dramatic reversal with silver and gold both dropping by as much as 10 percent. One of the main reasons for the gold price's decline was the return of the dollar’s "safety" bid, which had seen the greenback rise this week despite...

Mineral Resources

Sources say that Japan and India are in discussions to explore rare earths together.

Two people who are familiar with the discussions say that Japan and India are in talks to explore rare earth deposits together in Rajasthan's arid state. Tokyo is looking to reduce its reliance on China as a source of magnet manufacturing supplies. India's Mines minister G. Kishan Reddy announced last month that three hard rock deposits of rare earth oxides containing 1,29 million metric tonnes had been identified in Rajasthan state and Gujarat in western India. Sources directly involved in decision-making said that Tokyo expressed interest in the Rajasthan deposits, and planned to send experts there. The sources declined to...

Mining

India and Canada strike uranium agreement by the end of the year, aim to reach a trade pact

India and Canada aim to conclude a free-trade pact before the end of the year, said Prime Minister Mark Carney on Monday, during his 'first visit to New Delhi. The two countries are trying to overcome years of diplomatic friction in order to restore economic ties. Narendra Modi, Indian PM, said during a joint appearance with Carney that he and Ottawa hoped to increase their bilateral trade from $9 billion to $50 billion between 2030. The Indian Foreign Ministry added that the two sides had?agreed on the terms of reference for a comprehensive economic relationship. Both sides confirmed that they...

Mining

INSTANT VIEW: India's GDP growth drops to 7.8% in the third quarter amid data overhaul

The Indian economy grew by 7.8% from October to December compared with the same period one year ago, following an 8.4% increase in the previous quarter. On Friday, it released a revised series national output data. National Statistics Office stated that the government expects South Asia's economy to grow by 7.6% for the entire fiscal year ending March. The National Statistics Office had previously forecast a 7.4% growth under the old data series. COMMENTARY: MADHAVI ARORA CHIEF ECONOMIST, EMKAY GLOBAL FINANCIAL MUMBAI : "The revised series of GDP, which features improved sectoral representation and reduced 'deflator related?distortions', as well as...

Mineral Resources

ASIA GOLD-Gold prices in India are at their highest level for 10 months, while China is increasing its demand.

As prices rebounded, India's gold?discounts widened the most in 10 months. Meanwhile, China's demand increased as its safe-haven appeal was reflected in the rising premiums of the bullion after the markets returned from Lunar New Year. Indian bullion dealers offer a discount This week, you can save up to $65 on official domestic gold prices - including 6% import duties and 3% sales taxes. Last week, the discount was up to $18. Retail buyers are not ready to purchase at these prices. "For many of them, current prices are just too high to afford," said Ashok JAIN,?proprietor at Mumbai-based wholesaler...

Mining

ASIA GOLD-Gold prices in India are at their highest level for 10 months, while China is increasing its demand.

The gold discounts in India reached their largest?in ten months, as a rise in prices?curbed the demand. Meanwhile in China the demand increased as the safe-haven appeal of bullion was reflected in the rising premiums following the return from the Lunar?New?Year holiday. Indian bullion dealers offer a discount This week, you can save up to $65 on official gold prices - including 6% import duties and 3% sales taxes. Last week's savings of up $18 per ounce were included. Retail buyers are simply not ready to purchase at these prices. "For many of them, current prices are just too high...

Mining

Sources say that Vedanta India is set to tap the debt market for a second time in this fiscal year.

Vedanta, an Indian company, is planning to raise 30 billion rupees (about $329.89 million) by selling shorter-duration debt before the end of March, its second bond issue in the current fiscal. Sources who requested anonymity because they were not authorized to speak with the media said that the metals-to oil conglomerate would likely sell bonds for two years or three years, or a combination of the two. One source said that the company had already begun talks with some investors, such as mutual funds. After'receiving board approval today', things would'speed up, and they would ideally aim to complete this round...

Mining

Source: India's Tata sons delays chairman's decision following clash with charity arm

A'source' with knowledge of the situation said that India's Tata Sons postponed its decision to reappoint N Chandrasekaran chairman, after the head of their powerful charity arm opposed the move in a closed-door meeting held on Tuesday. The delay highlights new tensions in the Tata Group's leadership transition. It has also revived fears of a repetition of the 2016 public conflict between Tata Trusts, and Tata Sons which tarnished the reputation of India’s most storied conglomerate. Tata Trusts is the owner of approximately 66% of Tata Sons. This holding company houses 30 companies, including Tata Consultancy Services (TCS), Tata Motors...

Mineral Resources

Modi aims to trade $20 billion in five years with India and Brazil as they sign a mining pact

India has deepened its trade ties with Brazil, signing a pact on Saturday to increase cooperation in mining and minerals. The country is seeking to meet the rising demand for steel at home and to support capacity expansion as a result of a global race to secure raw materials. The agreement was signed by India's PM Narendra Modi, and Brazilian President Luiz inacio Lula Da Silva. Both men arrived in New Delhi this week on a three-day trip. Brazil has large reserves of minerals that are critical for steelmaking. It is one of the top producers of iron ore in...