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Energy Markets

Fossil Fuels

Fossil Fuels

Sources say Indian refiners are limiting the use of a special FX credit facility, causing rupee pressure.

Three sources with knowledge of the situation said that India's state-run oil refineries are using a special FX credit line provided by the largest bank in the country to help ease the pressure on the rupee. This is a sign that the rupee may fall even further. Three sources familiar with the matter said that India's?state-run oil refiners are making limited use of a special FX?credit line offered by the country's largest bank to ease pressure on?the rupee. This is indicating concerns about a further fall in the rupee. Forex traders claim that the currency has been affected by dollar...

Fossil Fuels

Sources say Indian refiners are limiting the use of a special FX credit facility, causing rupee pressure.

Three sources with knowledge of the matter said that India's state oil refineries are only using a limited amount of the "special FX credit lines" offered by India's largest banks to help ease the pressure on the rupee. They expressed concern about the rupee falling further. The rupee is under pressure again, and has dipped near its record low of 95.21. This comes after several steps taken by the Reserve Bank of India to support the currency. According to FX traders, the currency has been affected by dollar purchases related to oil in recent sessions. India's biggest imports are crude?oil,...

Fossil Fuels

Economic strains in emerging markets increase two months after the Iran War

The charts below, two months after the Iran War began, show the impact of the war on the economy in emerging and developing countries. They are facing increasing inflation, fiscal strains, and trade disruptions. 1/DIRECT HITS Middle East countries and their neighbors are the most directly affected. Qatar recorded its first-ever?trade deficit of $1.2 billion after the Strait?of?Hormuz closure slashed imports by half and exports more than 90%. JPMorgan's economists predict that Qatar's economy will shrink by 9% in this year due to damage caused to an LNG facility, which is more than Iran's forecast of minus 6.1%. The Fund...

Oil & Gas

The rupee is almost flat as a result of RBI's presence.

The Indian rupee finished modestly stronger on Monday as the dollar sales made by state-run banks helped to ease the pressure of higher oil prices after the U.S.-Iran negotiations stalled. The rupee closed at 94.19 compared to its previous closing of 94.2475. Traders said that state-run banks, likely acting on behalf of Reserve Bank of India (RBI), offered dollars to limit the fall of the currency early in the session. A trader from a Mumbai bank stated that this was what triggered a broader interest in selling dollars, giving the rupee breathing space. As shipments of oil through the Strait...

Fossil Fuels

Rupee wedged in between dollar sales by state-run banks and US-Iran War uncertainty

The Indian rupee limped in a 'narrow band' on Monday. It was wedged between higher oil prices, demand from importers to hedge their positions and dollar sales by state-run banks. As of 10:30 am IST the rupee was trading at 94.1650 to the dollar, which is a little stronger than it closed at 94.2475 during the previous session. Brent crude oil futures rose to $106.6 during Asia trading, as the hopes for peace talks between Iran and the U.S. dwindled after U.S. president Donald Trump cancelled a trip by his envoys to Islamabad. Iran's foreign minister shuttled between Pakistan and...

Oil & Gas

INDIA RUPEE - Rupee under pressure, high oil prices encourage importer hedging and dampen flows

The Indian rupee will continue to be under pressure on Monday due to importer hedging and a demand spurred by high oil prices. After settling at 94.2475 last Friday, traders expect the rupee to open between 94.26 and 94.30. Last week, the currency fell by 1.42%. This was its worst performance in over three and a half years. The fall was caused by a number of factors including the sharp rise in oil price amid the?absence of any sign of a solution to the disruptions around Strait of Hormuz? and the partial rollback of the central bank's measures that supported...

Fossil Fuels

Ambani's Reliance misses quarterly profit estimates as costs bite

Mukesh Ambani's Reliance Industries posted a 12% drop in its fourth-quarter net profit, falling short of market expectations as rising input costs impacted the core businesses. Reliance's refinery business, which is a major profit generator, had a difficult quarter. Higher crude costs and higher freight rates resulting from the Iran War coincided with operational restrictions and export levies to boost domestic fuel supplies. Mukesh D. Ambani, Chairman and Managing Director, said that the war in West Asia had caused a 'unprecedented disruption in global supply chains. The core earnings of the company's refinery business, which accounts for nearly a third...

Oil & Gas Refining

Indian court extends the detention of Reliance executive and aviation official in bribery cases

A 'Indian court extended Friday the pre-trial detention of an aviation regulator and a 'Reliance Industries executive?until May 6, in connection with a bribery probe relating to drone import approvals. India's top criminal agency announced on Sunday that it had arrested Mudavath devula, deputy director general of Directorate General of Civil Aviation and Bharat mathur, senior vice president of Reliance, for accepting a $16,000 bribe in order to clear drone import requests by Asteria aerospace, an?unit of billionaire Mukesh ambani-led Reliance. The agency didn't disclose the source of the imports. Two men dressed in formal shirts appeared briefly at a...

Oil & Gas Refining

India's Asteria is the Reliance unit that has been at the center of a corruption scandal

India's federal crime fighting agency launched a bribery probe into the drone technology company Asteria Aerospace. It is a lesser-known subsidiary of Mukesh Ambani's Reliance Industries. The Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI) arrested officials of India's aviation watchdog and Reliance Industries this week on allegations of bribery to?secure? approvals for certain drones imports. Reliance previously stated that it had not authorized or been aware of such transactions. However, the lawyer representing the official from the Aviation Watchdog has opposed his custody. DRONES BUSINESS Since Prime Minister NarendraModi's government liberalised drone policy in?2021, India's drone sector has seen a steady growth....

Oil & Gas Refining

Reliance Industries, India reports quarterly loss on the rise in crude prices

Analysts said that Mukesh Ambani's Reliance Industries, led by billionaire Mukesh, is expected to report a decrease in its March-quarter profit on Friday as the Middle East War-driven spike?in crude oil prices weighed down on their mainstay business of oil-to chemicals. According to an average estimate from six brokerages, the consolidated net income of the 'company' is expected to drop 3.7% in comparison to last year during a 'fourth quarter. Meanwhile, revenue is projected to rise 8.1%. Reliance Industries faces pressure because Brent crude has risen more than 40% in the last few months due to the U.S./Israeli conflict with...

Fossil Fuels

Gulf fears US-Iran discussions could cement Tehran's "golden" grip on Hormuz

Former Russian President?Dmitry Medvedev's warning has crystallised Gulf state fears that reopening of the Strait of Hormuz could be all the Iran-U.S. negotiations can achieve and fall short of a?broader deescalation? they consider vital. Analysts and officials expect that the next round, which is due to take place in Islamabad on November 30, will be more focused on the uranium enrichment limit and the way Iran can exert influence over the Strait of Hormuz, the most important oil shipping route on the planet. Gulf?officials warn that the approach could entrench Iran's grip over Middle East energy by managing its leverage...

Oil & Gas

Source: Vance is still in Pakistan for Iran talks, but hasn't left yet.

Sources familiar with the situation say that Vice President JD Vance remains in the United States and has not yet left for Pakistan. The prospects of a second round with Iran are still unclear. Donald 'Trump said that he would be sending a delegation of 'U.S. A delegation will be sent to Pakistan to continue the talks before a ceasefire expires in upcoming days. A senior Iranian official said on Monday that Iran was 'considering' attending the peace negotiations, but there had not been a decision made. Second source said that the U.S. delegation has not yet left, but is...

Crude Oil

Crude Oil

Russell: The UAE dumping OPEC will not have the same effect on crude oil as expected.

It is generally believed that the United Arab Emirates' decision to withdraw from OPEC will lessen the clout and influence of the producer group, as well as?start a race for increased production which could lead to a sharp drop in crude oil prices. The U.S.-Israeli war on?Iran, however, has radically changed the global crude market to the point that predicting what would otherwise appear the most obvious result is probably flawed thinking. The UAE may end up supplying more crude oil if the pre-war shipping volume through the Strait of Hormuz resumes. These two outcomes may not be the only...

Oil & Gas

ADNOC advises its clients to avoid the Hormuz Strait by loading crude oil outside of the Gulf

Abu Dhabi National Oil Company notified customers that two crude grades could be 'loaded outside of the Gulf next month, as the Strait of Hormuz was closed. ADNOC is moving the crude grades Das and Upper Zakum from the terminals on Das Island (and Zirku Island) located in the Gulf, to outside locations for loading. The exports of these terminals are down dramatically as there have been fewer ships willing to cross the strait after the U.S. - Iran?war began in late February. ADNOC informed clients that it would make cargoes available to be loaded outside the Arabian Gulf on...

Crude Oil

Gold to drop by a week as oil prices rise, fueling inflation fears

Gold prices fell on Friday, heading for a weekly decline, as?higher crude oil prices intensified fears of inflation and interest rates that would continue to rise, while U.S.-Iran talks were still stalled. As of 0744 GMT, spot gold was down by 0.2%, at $4,685.23 an ounce. After a four-week streak of gains, the metal is down 3% this week. U.S. Gold Futures for June Delivery fell by 0.5% to $4,700.50. Brent crude prices are up about 17% this week, hovering above $105 per barrel. This is despite the fact that the Strait of Hormuz remains largely closed despite the extension...

Mining

Mineral Resources

Mineral Resources

Investors assess Iran tensions as gold climbs from a one-month low; dollar eases.

Gold prices jumped Thursday as the dollar eased, and oil prices fell. Some analysts also cited an increase in demand for safe-haven assets due to growing fears that the U.S. - Iran war could escalate. As of 1158 GMT spot gold rose 1.9%, to $4,629.83 an ounce, after dropping to its lowest level since March 31, in the previous session. Bullion has fallen by about 0.9% this month. U.S. Gold Futures for June Delivery rose by 1.8% to $4642.90. Dollar fell sharply against yen after Bank of Japan officials gave firm signals about possible intervention to help the Japanese currency....

Mineral Resources

ASIA GOLD - India gold demand is declining, while China premiums are rising ahead of the holiday

The demand for gold in India slowed this week due to volatile global prices and the weaker rupee. Meanwhile, premiums from China rose as they stocked up ahead of May Day. Indian dealers quoted discounts This week, premiums up to $9 per ounce, including 6% import duties and 3% sales taxes, are down to as low as $5, compared to the $15 premium last week. Chanda Venkatesh is the managing director of CapsGold, a bullion dealer based in Hyderabad. She said that after Akshaya Tritiya, jewellers have seen a drop in footfall and retail demand. On Thursday, domestic gold prices...

Mineral Resources

Vedanta, an Indian mining company, has seen its quarterly profit almost double on the back of metal prices surging

Vedanta, an Indian conglomerate that converts metals into oil, reported a 92.3% increase in quarterly profit on Tuesday. This was attributed to strong base metal prices which boosted the margins. The Iran War caused a disruption in supply, which led to a spike in prices for 'base metals' during the March quarter. Vedanta is India's largest aluminium producer and its business accounts for nearly 40% of revenue. The conglomerate announced earlier this month that it had approved the demerger of its four listed companies. This will take place on May 1. Its?businesses such as steel and ferrous, oil and aluminum,...

Mineral Resources

Powell's remarks on Iran War impact are expected to be heard soon.

Gold was largely unchanged on Wednesday as investors awaited the comments of U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to assess the economic impact of the Iran War as peace negotiations stall. As of 0611 GMT spot gold was down 0.1%, at $4,590.80 an ounce. It had fallen to its lowest level in April 2 the previous session. U.S. Gold futures for delivery in June?fell by 0.1% to $4604 Investors are expecting the Fed to maintain interest rates at the end its two-day meeting, later that day. War-driven energy shocks have reignited already-high inflation. "Much market resilience since last April's panic-driven...

Mineral Resources

India's gold demand tops jewellery in the March quarter for the first time.

India's gold investment demand surpassed jewellery consumption for the first quarter in history, according to the World Gold Council. Investors turned to the precious metal due to a subdued equity market. The WGC reported that a rise in gold prices had led to a drop in jewellery sales in the second largest consumer of the metal. This helped keep the overall demand steady. Sachin Jain is the chief executive officer of WGC's Indian operations. He said that for the first time, investment demand has surpassed jewellery. Investors will be more interested in gold, both retail and financial. The World Gold...

Mineral Resources

Powell's remarks on Iran War impact are expected to be heard soon.

Investors waited for a U.S. report on gold. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's comments will be used to assess the economic impact of the Iran War as the peace talks stagnate. As of 0439 GMT spot gold rose 0.2% to $4,602.82 an ounce after dropping to its lowest level in April 2 the previous session. U.S. gold futures for June delivery rose 0.2% ?to $4,616.40. Investors anticipate that the Fed will hold interest rates at a steady level after its two-day session later in the day. The market's resilience has been built on the assumption that the Fed will step...

Mineral Resources

Powell's remarks on Iran War impact are expected to be heard soon.

Gold prices were largely stable despite choppy trading on Wednesday, as investors awaited the comments of U.S. Federal Reserve chair?Jerome Powell to assess the economic impact of the Iran War in the face stalled talks. As of 0243 GMT spot gold rose 0.1% to $4,597.07 an ounce after dropping to its lowest level in April 2 the previous session. U.S. Gold Futures for June Delivery were stable?at $4610.20. As markets anticipate the FOMC meeting, gold remained stable. Much of the market's resilience following last April's tariff panic was built on the assumption the Fed would be ready to intervene if...

Mineral Resources

Gold drops as Middle East tensions continue to keep oil prices high. Fed meeting is in focus

On Tuesday, gold fell to a near four-week low, due to persistent inflation fears after U.S. President Donald 'Trump' appeared unsatisfied by Iran's most recent proposal to end war. Investors were also awaiting the Federal Reserve's meeting on monetary policy this week. Gold spot dropped 1.7%, to $4,600.61 an ounce as of 1:42 pm EDT (1742 GMT), having hit its lowest level in April 2. U.S. Gold Futures closed 1.8% lower at $4,608.40. It's rekindled pessimism in the Middle East about peace. "The strait is closed because the Trump administration has rejected Iran's most recent offer," said Peter Grant. Gold...

Mineral Resources

Gold prices rise as traders wait for central bank decisions amid inflation fears

Gold prices were steady on Monday as traders remained 'cautious' ahead of central bank meetings. They were wary that the persistent rise in oil prices might lead to a more hawkish stance. As of 1100 GMT, spot gold was unchanged at $4,707.16 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures for June Delivery fell 0.4% to $ 4,722.60. Fawad Rasaqzada is a market analyst for City Index and FOREX.com. He said that the main message traders are preparing to hear is that central banks would be more hawkish in their approach because oil prices had risen, which has increased inflationary pressures. The (gold)...

Mineral Resources

Gold prices rise as traders wait for central bank decisions amid inflation fears

Gold prices were largely stable on Monday as traders remained 'cautious' ahead of central bank meetings. They feared that the persistent rise in oil prices would lead to a more hawkish stance. As of 0910 GMT, spot gold was down 0.1% at $4,704.01 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures for June Delivery fell 0.4% to $ 4,719.90. Fawad Rasaqzada is a market analyst for City Index and FOREX.com. He said that the main message traders are preparing to hear 'is that central bankers will be more hawkish in their approach than they previously were because oil prices have increased and inflationary...

Mineral Resources

Investors wait for clarity on US-Iran talks before buying gold

Investors remained largely 'on the sidelines' on Monday as they awaited clarity regarding the stalled talks between Iran and the United States. As of 0728 GMT, spot gold was up by 0.1%, at $4,714.51 an ounce. Last week, gold fell 2.5% and ended a four-week streak of gains. U.S. Gold Futures for June Delivery fell?0.2% at $4,729.40. Kyle Rodda is a senior financial analyst at Capital.com. He said, "We are just watching to see if there is any progress in the U.S.-Iran talks?in the next few days. That's going be the biggest driver of gold." After a report that said...

Mineral Resources

Investors wait for clarity on US-Iran talks before buying gold

Investors remained largely on the sidelines as they awaited clarity regarding the ongoing peace talks between Iran and the United States. As of 0553 GMT, spot gold was unchanged at $4,709.50 an ounce. Last week, gold fell 2.5% and ended a four-week streak of gains. U.S. Gold Futures for June Delivery fell?0.3% at $4,725.10. Kyle Rodda is a senior financial analyst at Capital.com. He said, "We are just watching to see if there is any progress in the U.S.-Iran talks in the next few days. That's what's going be the biggest driver of gold." Dollar eased, lending support to the...