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New EU Russia curbs could increase Indian oil refiners’ reliance on traders

New EU Russia curbs could increase Indian oil refiners’ reliance on traders

After the latest round European Union sanctions, Indian private refiners who have used cheap Russian crude in order to boost their margins will need to find ways to work around it and depend more on traders for finding new markets for products.

In recent years, refiners like Reliance Industries or Nayara Energy have benefitted from the pressure that sanctions imposed on Russia's crude oil prices due to its invasion in Ukraine. Many of these refiners have exported their refined products to European buyers.

In its 18th package against Russia, which was approved on Friday by the European Union, it banned imports from third-country refiners of petroleum products derived from Russian crude, except for a few Western nations.

The sanctions also target Nayara Energy (a Russian refinery owned by Rosneft), a major oil company in Russia. The package will be implemented over a six-month period.

In the first seven month of this year, LSEG data on ship tracking showed that Reliance was India's biggest buyer of Russian oil products and refined products. It shipped 2.83 million barrels per month of diesel fuel and 1.5 million barrels per month of jet fuel to Europe.

This accounted for roughly 30% and 60% respectively of its exports of both products.

Nayara Energy exports 4 million barrels of refined products per month including jet fuel, diesel, gasoline, and naphtha, but only jet fuel is typically shipped to European markets.

Sources said that under the sanctions, traders will likely play a larger role in the placement of refined products made with Russian crude. They will likely get creative in their routes due to the long transition period.

Singapore traders have said that traders will likely swap Indian diesel with Middle East cargoes to export to Europe. The traders said that they may also send Indian cargos to floating storage in the Middle East and West Africa for re-export.

They said that Indian refiners could either divert jet fuel cargoes into local markets or ship supplies in Asia.

Reliance and Nayara didn't immediately respond to comments.

A trader in Asia said that the changes would benefit traders, as they will generate more trade, but be costly to producers and consumers. He added that Europe may be forced to pay more for refined fuel as winter approaches.

Nayara condemned in a Monday statement the EU’s “unjust and unilateral” decision to impose sanction on the company. India, on the other hand, said that it did not support "unilateral" sanctions by the EU.

Refining sources say that Indian refiners who also purchase Russian crude are less likely to be affected by sanctions, as they sell the majority of their fuel locally, and export it through tenders to buyers mainly in Asia, such as Singapore.

Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Ltd, an Indian state refinery, said that the latest sanctions would not affect the diesel exports of the company. LSEG reports that traders have sold some of MRPL’s diesel parcels to the UK in recent months.

"We do not directly sell diesel to our end customers." The trader picks it up after a tendering procedure," said M Shyamprasad Kamath, managing director of M Shyamprasad Kamath. He added that he doesn't see any problems with selling refined fuels because of the sanctions.

A tender document obtained by revealed that Nayara Energy, in response to the EU sanctions, amended the terms of the naphtha bid issued on Monday, requiring payment in advance.

(source: Reuters)