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Reliance is likely to return to Middle East oil in the event that Russian supplies dry up

Reliance Industries will likely return to its Middle Eastern oil sources if India succumbs to the pressure of U.S. president Donald Trump, who wants to reduce Russian imports.

India is being heavily pressured by Washington to cut off its energy ties with Russia after Moscow invaded Ukraine in 2022.

Reliance, India's largest buyer, operates at Jamnagar, Gujarat, the world's most advanced refining facility. It can process 1.4 million barrels of oil per day.

Due to their geographic proximity, Reliance will likely switch to Middle Eastern crude suppliers if they stop buying Russian crude. Anh Pham is a senior analyst with LSEG. She said that the good news is OPEC's plan to unwind voluntary cutbacks includes increasing crude production.

"Any damage to Russian supplies (on the spot market), will increase their participation and tighten up spot market, and raise prices. "They are a major player," said Tushar Bansal senior director of oil consultancy Alvarez and Marsal.

"They need to buy more Middle Eastern grades from Saudi Arabia and UAE. They would also look to buy more from Latin America, such as Brazil. Bansal: "They could go back and buy some North Sea stream.

Reliance didn't immediately respond to an 'ask for comments.

Harry Tchilinguirian is the group head of Onyx Capital Group's research. He said that Reliance had the flexibility and trade know-how to go back to pre-Ukraine War procurement.

Reportedly, Indian state refiners stopped buying Russian oil in late July. However, Reliance still buys under the 500,000 barrels per day deal with Rosneft, signed last year.

LSEG data indicates that 22 cargoes are scheduled to arrive from Russia in the port of Sikka, located in western India.

The state refiners responded to Trump's tariff threats.

The United States increased the tariffs on Wednesday by 25%, citing India's continued purchase of Russian oil. This was due to go into effect in 21-days and raise the duties on certain Indian imports up to 50%.

The Indian government has justified its purchases of Russian oil, which made up 35% of the country's supply in the first six months of 2025. It also criticised the United States and the European Union, who singled out New Delhi.

Reliance, controlled by Mukesh Ambani (a billionaire), said in its report for the year on Thursday that tariffs and political uncertainties could affect trade flows and demand-supply balance.

(source: Reuters)