North Asia

The Russian Victory Day Parade will be the smallest in recent years due to the threat of an attack by Ukraine. Moscow's forces have been unable to win the war, which has been the deadliest European conflict for more than four years. The parade on Red Square, which takes place May 9, is Russia's most revered national holiday. It's an opportunity to commemorate the Soviet Union's triumph over Nazi Germany, and pay tribute to the 27,000,000 Soviet citizens who died, many of whom were Ukrainians. The parade, which was once used to display Russia's military might, including its intercontinental missiles...

Lanxess predicts that oil prices will remain high for the next few months, and warns that the soaring energy costs are likely to continue to impact the chemical sector after the Middle East conflict disrupted the fuel and feedstock market. CEO Matthias Zachert stated that the company expects oil prices to stay in the $100 to $110 range per barrel for the next few months. He added that Lanxess would pass on the higher costs by increasing the price. He also said that the pressure of Chinese competition in Europe is starting to?ease as higher energy prices?hit Asia more than?Europe....

India's palm oils imports dropped 27% in April to a "one-year low" as refiners slowed purchases due to the sluggishness of demand from institutional buyers, and recent price increases that reduced its discount to competing oils. India's palm oil imports fell 27% to a?one-year low in April, as sluggish demand?from institutional buyers and a recent price rally that eroded?its discount to rival oils prompted refiners to curb purchases, five dealers said. Dealer estimates show that palm oil imports dropped to 505,000 tons in April from 689.462 tons in march. Imports of soyoil rose by 24% in April, compared to March,...

Ukraine's Security Service (SBU) said that its drones struck an oil refinery near the Russian city of Perm on Thursday. This was the second attack in a row on oil facilities around the region as Kyiv tries to reduce the energy revenues Moscow uses to fund war. SBU: The Lukoil-owned refining plant, located over 1,500 km from Ukraine, is one of the largest refineries in Russia, with a capacity of 13 million metric tonnes per year. Lukoil did not respond immediately to a request for comment. The SBU reported that preliminary information indicated that the strike had hit a critical...

The Kremlin announced on Thursday that President Vladimir Putin had scolded the top Russian economic officials for a decline in the economy during the first two month of the year. Since 2023 the Russian war economy has been outperforming the G7 average, even though it slowed last year. Putin announced on Wednesday that Russia's economy contracted between January and February. Putin said the economic trajectory was below expectations at the beginning of a Kremlin meeting with Russia's top economic officials on Wednesday. He asked the officials to provide him with detailed options for how to rectify the situation. Dmitry Peskov,...

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said to reporters that the United States would not be renewing waivers which allowed some Iranian and Russian oil to be purchased without facing U.S. sanctions. Reports on Tuesday stated that Washington will not renew the 30-day waiver for sanctions against 'Iranian Oil at Sea' that expires in this week and that a similar waiver would expire on sanctions against Russian oil over the weekend. We will not renew the general license for?Russian oil and we won't be renewing the?general?license for Iranian oil. This was oil which was in the water before March 11. All of...

On Wednesday, Russian President Vladimir Putin scolded top officials after the economy shrank by 1.8% during the first two months of the year. He asked them to 'come up with new measures that will boost the economic growth. The tight monetary policies of the central bank and Western sanctions that target the oil revenues of the country are the main reasons for the slowdown in Russian growth. The International Monetary Fund has raised its estimate of Russia's GDP growth in 2026 from 0.8% to 1.1% after the Middle East crisis spiked oil prices in March. The government has forecast growth...

Wale Edun is the Nigerian Finance Minister, and the Chair of the G-24 coalition of developing nations. He said that multilateral institutions should do more to help vulnerable countries weather the economic shocks caused by the Middle East war. Edun stated during the briefing for the G-24 at the IMF/World Bank Spring Meetings in Washington that "we would like them do more. We definitely like them provide, especially at this time additional liquidity risk management instruments that lower the cost of funding." The G-24 is a group of countries that coordinates the stances taken by developing nations on issues related...

The Trump administration has extended the waiver that allows Lukoil service stations to operate outside of Russia until late October. This is a small exception to sanctions imposed by the U.S. last year in order to reduce revenues supporting Moscow’s war in Ukraine. Treasury Department announced on its website on Tuesday that the waiver for 2,000 stations in Europe, Central Asia and the Middle East, as well as the Americas, has been extended to October 29. In October, President Donald Trump imposed sanctions on Lukoil and Rosneft - Russia's largest oil companies - causing interest among potential buyers for the...

The Kremlin stated on Tuesday it was pleased that Peter Magyar, the Hungarian prime minister-elect, seemed "ready for a pragmatic dialogue with Russia" and would base its position on specific actions taken by his government Russian hardliners mourned Viktor Orban's defeat, a close ally of Moscow, who lost an election over the weekend to a centre-right upstart rival Magyar. The Kremlin said that it was "ready" to talk with the new government. Dmitry Peskov, Kremlin spokesperson, told reporters: "For the moment, we can note with satisfaction his (Magyar) willingness to engage in pragmatic dialogue." "In this instance, there is a?mutual?willingness...

Holders of bonds issued by Ukraine's Naftogaz, the state energy giant, have hired lawyers to prepare for what appears to be a second debt restructuring since Russia's invasion in 2022. Source familiar with the matter confirmed that the funds hired Cleary Gottlieb Steen & Hamilton - the same firm which represented VR Capital and bondholders when Naftogaz wrote off its debt in?2023. In the face of ongoing Russian attacks, the Ukrainian state energy company, which has recently hired Rothschild to be its debt advisor, is struggling with how to pay a repayment of nearly 700 million euros ($821million) due in...

Leaked recordings purportedly showed Hungary's Foreign Minister offering to send his Russian counterpart an?document on Ukraine's European Union membership, as the latest sign of Budapest's warm relationship with Moscow. The audio 'clips' released by a group of investigative news - outlets, including VSquare.org, were the latest of a series leaked conversations purporting to show that Prime Minister Viktor Orban of Hungary has been working to serve Russian interests while undermining EU efforts to help Ukraine. Orban, who has ordered an investigation after Orban's previous statement that wiretapping his calls was "a huge scandal", was unable independently to verify the authenticity....

The Kremlin said on Saturday that the United States was in a hurry to clinch a peace agreement to end the Ukraine War, but that it would be a long time before they could reach any kind of agreement because the issues are so complex. Russia and Ukraine confirmed that they had agreed on a three-day ceasefire, which will run from May 9 through May 11. U.S. president Donald Trump said he hoped that it would be prolonged. Pavel Zarubin, a reporter for state television, was told by Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov that it is understandable why the Americans are...

The 'foreign minister' of Ukraine said on Friday that the country is considering sending a team to help improve air security in the Baltic States after two drones, allegedly from Ukraine, crashed into Latvia. NATO members Latvia and Lithuania, which border Russia have reported several incidents of this nature in the last few months, as Ukraine intensified its 'long-range attacks' against their enemy. Andrii Sybiha said that if it is confirmed that the drones were Ukrainian and were intentionally knocked from their course by Russia's electronic war, we will sincerely apologize to our Latvian Friends. He said that "we are...

Ukraine has accused Russia of violating the ceasefire that was initiated by President Volodymyr Zelenskiy on Wednesday at midnight. Officials reported one death and three injuries in frontline areas of the north and east. Andrii Sybiha, Ukrainian Foreign Minister, said that Russia violated the ceasefire initiated between midnight on May 5th and 6, when it was announced by Ukraine. Sybiha reported that Russian attacks continued through the night and included morning strikes in Kharkiv, Zaporizhzhia. He said that "this shows that Russia rejects the peace and their fake calls for ceasefire on May 9th has nothing to do diplomacy." Sybiha...

Ukraine has used drones to strike what it claims is an oil pumping facility in Russia, near the Ural Mountains. President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said Kyiv will continue to increase its range. Kyiv has intensified its?attacks in Russia over the past few weeks. It aims to destroy oil refineries and depots, and to cripple Moscow's main source of funding to wage war in Ukraine. Zelenskiy, in a blog post on X, said that Ukraine's security services had reported a success strike deep within Russia. He called it "a new phase in the use Ukrainian weapons to 'limit the potential' of Russia's...

Volodymyr Zelenskiy, the president of Ukraine, said that Ukraine will continue to increase 'the range of its attacks in Russia. He posted a video of an attack he claimed was on a 'target at a distance of more than 1,500 kilometers (930 miles). Ukraine has intensified its attacks in Russia over the past few weeks. It aims to destroy oil refineries and depots, and to cripple Moscow's main source of funding to wage war in Ukraine, as prices have risen due to the Iran War. Zelenskiy stated that the Ukrainian security service reported a successful attack deep within Russia. He...

Sinopec, the Chinese state oil company, has purchased Russian crude to replace Middle Eastern crude after the U.S. temporarily lifted sanctions in order to ease supply shortages?globally. Several trade sources confirmed this. Sinopec purchased between 8 and 10 cargos of ESPO blend oil exported from Kozmino in the east, according to one source. Another estimated that it was about 10 cargos. Each ESPO shipment is 740,000 barrels. Sinopec purchased the cargoes for a premium of $8 - $10 per barrel over ICE Brent. Before the Iran conflict, Russian crude was traded at a discount ranging from?about $10 a barrel. Sources...

The crude oil markets still price in a resolution of the Middle East conflict that will result in the full opening of the Strait of Hormuz. In pricing this outcome, the market actually makes it more likely that the narrow waterway which serves as a channel for as much as 20 percent of the world’s oil supply remains closed. The market still expects U.S. president Donald Trump to deliver TACO - the acronym for Trump always?Chickens out. Trump can continue the conflict by maintaining the price of paper crude oil below the level that would allow for a return to...

The United States issued on Thursday a 'general licence' exempting transactions that involve the 'German unit of Russia’s Rosneft’ from?U.S. sanctions. The U.S. Treasury Department announced that sanctions would be imposed on the Russian company Rosneft. This will provide Berlin with much-needed clarity about the future of the business. The license, which has no expiration date, replaces the one that was set to expire April 29. The extension of the existing U.S. sanction waiver reduces the risks of disruptions to German refining operations, at a moment when the conflict in the Middle East escalates and is unsettling the global energy...

OPEC+'s decision to increase crude oil production by 206,000 barrels a day (bpd), starting in April, is likely?the most unimportant decision that the group has taken during its nearly decade-long existence. Addition of 0.2% to global oil demand in a month is nothing more than a symbol in light of the escalating conflict in the Middle East that is already causing serious disruptions in supply. There was not much the 'eight members' of OPEC+ who are voluntarily cutting production could have done if they had met on Sunday in order to reassure the market that the supply would be secure....

Berlin is seeking to establish a long-term control of the German assets owned by the Russian oil company. The German government placed the German units of Rosneft under a trusteeship. After the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the German government was given a?trusteeship over the assets. This trusteeship must be renewed every six-months to maintain energy security. However, this creates a lot of uncertainty, especially with the PCK Schwedt Refinery that'supplies' most of Berlin's fuel. The latest move is an attempt to find a solution structural. It places Rosneft Germany (RDG), and RN Refining & Marketing, (RNRM), under the control Germany's...

As the recent run of strong crude oil imports continues, Asia is on track to "hit a new record in February". However, the mix of suppliers has begun to change in response to the geopolitical dynamic. In February, Kpler's commodity analysts expect the world's largest import region to have 28.51 million barrels (bpd), which is the highest daily total in their records. Kpler data shows that the strong imports in 'February' follow on from arrivals in December of 27,48 million bpd and in January of 26,22 million bpd. China and India are the two largest crude buyers in the world....

Sources say that security risks have prompted 'India to withdraw 'from a lithium project in Mali, backed by the state nuclear corporation of Russia, Rosatom. New Delhi is trying to protect its investments in this politically unstable West African country. Western nations from Britain to France and the United States have urged their citizens to leave the landlocked country as security concerns 'rise? in its fight against al Qaeda-linked militants who target economic assets and foreign investments. Last year,?Rosatom approached India-backed Khanij Bidesh India Ltd and NLC India Ltd to explore lithium in?Mali. This emerging producer of this metal is...