North Asia

Donald Trump stated on Thursday that, he believes that Russian President Vladimir Putin is willing to make a deal and that sanctions against Russia played a part in Moscow wanting a meeting. Trump is scheduled Meet Putin on Friday in Alaska. The U.S. President said that he was unsure if an immediate ceasefire could be achieved, but expressed his interest in brokering peace agreements. "He really, I think now, is he convinced that he will make a bargain, he will make a bargain." Trump told Fox News Radio that he believes he will, and they would find out. Early in...

Nayara Energy, a Russian-backed Indian refiner, said it was in contact with government officials and partners on Thursday to ensure the operational stability of its 400,000 bar per day refinery. Last month, the EU sanctioned the private refiner owned by Russian companies, including Rosneft. This was part of an EU package that targeted entities associated with Russian oil. In a court filing in Delhi, the private company said that it sold 70% of its refined fuels to Indian consumers through more than 6,600 retail outlets. Nayara said that it supplies fuels through its coastal, rail and road networks to its...

Authorities reported on Wednesday that a small fire started by debris from an abandoned drone at the Slavyansk Oil Refinery in Russia’s Krasnodar region was quickly extinguished. The Russian defence ministry announced on Telegram that 46 Ukrainian drones were destroyed overnight by their air defense units, including five in the Krasnodar area. The ministry only reports drones that were downed and not the number of drones launched by Ukraine. The administration announced on Telegram that there were no reported casualties. The fire was quickly extinguished. "Emergency and special services have arrived at the scene." The regional administration posted that a...

Reliance Industries will likely return to its Middle Eastern oil sources if India succumbs to the pressure of U.S. president Donald Trump, who wants to reduce Russian imports. India is being heavily pressured by Washington to cut off its energy ties with Russia after Moscow invaded Ukraine in 2022. Reliance, India's largest buyer, operates at Jamnagar, Gujarat, the world's most advanced refining facility. It can process 1.4 million barrels of oil per day. Due to their geographic proximity, Reliance will likely switch to Middle Eastern crude suppliers if they stop buying Russian crude. Anh Pham is a senior analyst with...

Local emergency services reported on Thursday that a fire caused by drone debris at the Afipsky refinery, in Russia's Krasnodar Region, had been extinguished. The Russian Defence Ministry reported that air defence systems shot down nine Ukrainian drones overnight over the region. The extent of damage to the Afipsky Refinery was not immediately known. This refinery along with the Krasnodar Refinery processed 7.2 millions metric tons crude oil by 2024. According to market sources, the disruption at Afipsky may result in a lower use of crude oil and could potentially add extra barrels to Russia’s exports for August. Drone attacks...

U.S. president Donald Trump issued an executive directive on Wednesday imposing an extra 25% tariff on Indian products citing New Delhi’s continued imports from Russia. This sharply escalated tensions between both countries after the collapse of trade talks. The new measure increases tariffs on certain Indian goods up to 50%, making it among the highest for any U.S. trade partner. The U.S. and India relations have been deteriorating since Trump took office in January. The announcement comes at the same time that Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is preparing for his first trip to China in more than seven years....

According to LSEG data and market sources, Russia's seaborne gasoil and diesel exports dropped 5% from the previous month to 3.26 million metric tonnes due to lower production during refinery maintenance as well as strong domestic demand. In July, diesel loadings through the Russian Baltic port Primorsk - the country's largest outlet for ultra-low sulphur (ULSD) exports – totaled 1,26 million tonnes, down 11.3% daily from June. Shipping data shows that last month, the two main importers of Russian gasoil and diesel were Turkey and Brazil. The export of diesel and gasoil from Russian ports to Turkey decreased by 14%...

It would have been a bold prediction a couple of months back to claim that OPEC+ could bring back 2,5 million barrels of crude oil production per day and keep the price of oil at $70 a barrel. This is what happened, as the eight producers of the group rolled back their voluntary reductions of 2.2 million bpd by September and allowed a separate rise for the United Arab Emirates. Eight OPEC+ member countries met virtually on Sunday and agreed to increase output by 547,000 bpd in September. This is an addition to the 548,000 bpd increases for August, the...

Veniamin Kodratyev, the regional governor of the Russian city Sochi, said on Telegram early Sunday that more than 120 firefighters are trying to put out a fire at an oil depot which was caused by a drone attack from Ukraine. The Russian news agency RIA reported that a fuel storage tank in the Krasnodar Region, where Sochi is situated, was on fire. Rosaviatsia (Russia's civil aviation authority) said on Telegram flights at Sochi airport were stopped to ensure safety. The reports could not be independently verified. Ukraine has not yet responded. This attack on the infrastructure in Russia, which Kyiv...

Ukraine's Military said Saturday it had hit oil facilities in Russia. This included a major refinery, a drone airfield and an electronics manufacturing factory. Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Forces released a statement via Telegram stating that they had struck the oil refinery at Ryazan (about 180 km southeast of Moscow) and caused a fire in its premises. The USF also said that the Annanefteprodukt storage facility, which borders the northeastern Ukraine, had been hit. The USF is a specialist in drone warfare and long-range attacks. Russia has not yet commented on the reported attack on its infrastructure. Separately the Ukrainian intelligence...

The New York Times reported that Indian officials said they would continue to buy oil from Russia, despite the threats of sanctions that U.S. president Donald Trump had said he would impose. Could not verify immediately the report. Requests for comments were not immediately responded to by the White House, India’s Ministry of External Affairs and Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas. In a Truth Social posting last month, Trump said that India could face additional sanctions for purchasing Russian oil and arms. He later stated that he didn't care what India did with Russia. Trump informed reporters on Friday...

Industry sources claim that Indian state refiners stopped buying Russian crude oil last week, as the discounts have narrowed in this month. Donald Trump has also warned other countries against purchasing oil from Moscow. India, which is the third largest oil importer in the world, is the top buyer of Russian crude by sea. This revenue stream for Russia, as it continues to wage war against Ukraine, has been vital for the country. Four sources familiar with the refiners’ plans to purchase Russian crude have told us that the country's state-owned refiners, Indian Oil Corp., Hindustan Petroleum Corp., Bharat Petroleum...

It would have been a bold prediction a couple of months back to claim that OPEC+ could bring back 2,5 million barrels of crude oil production per day and keep the price of oil at $70 a barrel. This is what happened, as the eight producers of the group rolled back their voluntary reductions of 2.2 million bpd by September and allowed a separate rise for the United Arab Emirates. Eight OPEC+ member countries met virtually on Sunday and agreed to increase output by 547,000 bpd in September. This is an addition to the 548,000 bpd increases for August, the...

Sources said that despite the export ban, Russia may face gasoline shortages this August due to low stocks at home, a peak in seasonal demand, and repairs being done by domestic refineries. The ban was imposed Monday, and is intended to last through August 31. Its purpose is to stabilize the Russian market and avoid socially sensitive increases in motor fuel prices. Traders say that it is unlikely to be enough to bring the market back to equilibrium, since gasoline export volumes are much smaller than the domestic consumption. They also claim that diverting the fuel to the local market...

Trade sources and LSEG data show that at least two ships loaded with Russian crude oil bound for refiners located in India were diverted due to new U.S. Sanctions. This week, the U.S. Treasury Department imposed sanctions against more than 115 Iran linked individuals, entities and ships. Some of these vessels are involved in transporting Russian crude oil. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, has warned that he will impose 100% tariffs on all oil purchases from Moscow unless Russia signs a peace agreement with Ukraine. Trade sources reported that three ships, the Aframaxes Tagor, Guanyin, and Suezmax Tassos were to...

A panel of OPEC+ members on Monday emphasized the importance of full compliance with oil production agreements, in advance of Sunday's separate meeting of eight OPEC+ member countries to decide whether or not to increase oil output for September. Online, the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC), which is composed of top energy ministers of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, as well as their allies, led by Russia convened for a brief discussion. The JMMC is a two-monthly meeting that has the authority to call a full OPEC+ meeting to discuss market developments if necessary. In a press release...

After the latest round European Union sanctions, Indian private refiners who have used cheap Russian crude in order to boost their margins will need to find ways to work around it and depend more on traders for finding new markets for products. In recent years, refiners like Reliance Industries or Nayara Energy have benefitted from the pressure that sanctions imposed on Russia's crude oil prices due to its invasion in Ukraine. Many of these refiners have exported their refined products to European buyers. In its 18th package against Russia, which was approved on Friday by the European Union, it banned...

According to LSEG data and other market sources, the Russian seaborne exports of diesel and gasoline fell by 6% in the first 15 day period of July compared to the same period in 2006. Refinery maintenance and a strong domestic demand affected the supply. According to industry sources, calculations have shown that the offline capacity of Russia's primary oil refineries has increased by 20% to 3.9 millions metric tons in July, which includes maintenance at several large and mid-size refining plants. Refineries use less feedstock when idle capacity increases. In the first 15 days in July, diesel loadings through the...

United Arab Emirates' energy minister stated on Thursday that the country could increase its oil production after 2027, if the market demands it. This move could push the country into the top five oil producing countries in the world. OPEC granted the UAE a larger production quota for this year. The country argued that it was restricting too much its output after investing heavily to increase capacity from 3 million barrels to 4,85 million. Suhail Mohamed al-Mazrouei, Energy Minister of the country, told reporters that capacity could increase further after 2027. He said that if the market demanded it, they...

China's crude oil imports have been positive for the first few months of this year. However, rather than being a sign that fuel demand is improving, the improvement has more to do with rising inventories. Customs data released Friday show that the world's largest crude importer, Saudi Arabia, recorded an average of 11,69 million barrels a day in April. This is down from the 12.1 million bpd it had in March, but up 7.5% from the 10,88 million bpd for the same period last year. The imports in March were the highest since August 2023, and April's relatively strong performance...

Data showed that the price of oil in Russia in roubles had fallen to its lowest level in two years, below the 4,000-rouble mark per barrel, and was 40% less than what the federal budget planned. This increased pressure on the Kremlin which is already struggling with a growing budget deficit. Global oil prices are down over 10% for six sessions in a row, and over 20% in the past year since U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariff shocks in April prompted more bets that global economic growth would slow. The oil prices also fell following the Organization of the Petroleum...

Five sources familiar with the discussions said that Saudi Arabian officials were briefing industry experts and allies to explain the kingdom's unwillingness to support the oil market through further cuts in supply and its ability to handle a long period of low oil prices. Saudi Arabia's possible policy shift could indicate a move to produce more and expand its market share. This would be a major change, after spending five years balancing the oil market by producing a large amount of oil as a member of the OPEC+. These cuts helped to support prices and, as a result, the revenue...

Three sources with knowledge of the situation have confirmed that several OPEC+ member countries will propose a second consecutive month of accelerating oil production increases in June. The oil price fell to a 4-year low in April. This was attributed to a U.S. - China trade war, and an unexpected decision made by OPEC+ (which brings together OPEC, Russia and other major oil producers) to increase production by 411,000 barrels of crude per day in May. This was three times the amount originally planned by the group. On May 5, eight OPEC+ member countries will gather to discuss the output...

Data from industry and trade sources revealed that the share of OPEC crude oil in India's imported oil fell to a new record low during fiscal year 2024-25, as refiners continued to gorge themselves on cheaper Russian oil, which was the number one oil supplier for New Delhi for a third consecutive year. India, which is the third largest oil consumer and importer in the world, has been buying Russian oil at a discounted price after the West imposed sanctions against Moscow due to the Ukraine conflict. In the fiscal year ending March 2025, the South Asian nation imported 4.88...