North Asia

Robert Fico, the Prime Minister of Slovakia, said that Slovakia will not support any more European Union sanctions towards Russia until it receives EU proposals aligning climate targets to carmakers' and heavy industries' needs. Fico demanded also that measures be taken to reduce electricity prices across the EU. The EU is currently debating the 19th package in its sanctions against Russia for its invasion of Ukraine. EU diplomats said that a new package would likely include additional listings of Chinese companies and Russian banks, as well as vessels from Moscow's "shadow fleet" which evades sanctions. They also predicted a ban...

The International Energy Agency stated on Thursday that the world oil supply would rise faster than expected in 2018, as OPEC+ member countries increase their output and the supply from outside of the group increases. It also suggested that a surplus may grow by 2026. The IEA, a consultancy for industrialised nations, has said that the supply will increase by 2.7 millions barrels per day in 2025. This is up from 2.5million bpd, as previously predicted. And by a further 2.1million bpd in next year. OPEC+ has added more crude oil to the market since the Organization of the Petroleum...

Frederic Lasserre said that new sanctions against buyers of Russian crude oil could disrupt crude flow, according to the global head of research and analyses at energy trader Gunvor, Frederic Lasserre. His comments followed after U.S. president Donald Trump, seeking to broker a resolution to the Ukraine conflict said he was ready to move into a second stage of sanctions against Russia in order to reduce the oil revenues and bring Vladimir Putin to the negotiation table. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated on Sunday that both the U.S. & the European Union can impose "secondary tariffs" on countries that purchase...

Donald Trump, U.S. president, said Sunday that he was ready to move into a second phase in sanctioning Russia. This is the closest he's come to implying he might be about to ramp up sanctions against Moscow and its oil purchasers over the war with Ukraine. Trump has repeatedly warned Moscow of further sanctions, but he withheld them while pursuing peace talks. Trump did not commit to a decision, nor did he specify what the second phase would entail. When asked by a White House reporter if he was ready to move on to the "second phase" of sanctions, Trump...

The Governor of Russia's Sakhalin region in the far east told reporters on Thursday that a possible return of U.S. Energy Major Exxon Mobil could be a boon for local oil and gas businesses. Last month, Russian President Vladimir Putin issued a decree that would allow foreign investors to recover their shares in the Sakhalin-1 project. This includes Exxon Mobil, a major U.S. oil company. The decree was signed on the same day that Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin met in Alaska at a summit, where the agenda included opportunities for business collaboration and investment as well as...

Aleksandar Vucic, the president of Serbia, said that Serbia is hoping for a better cooperation with Russia. Vucic, along with Russian President Vladimir Putin, took part in the regional security summit held in Beijing. The Chinese hope to use this event as a counterweight to Western influence on global affairs. Vucic stated that "cooperation with Russia at the highest levels is very important for Serbia. This is especially true in the areas of energy and Russian supplies of gas," at the beginning of the meeting with Putin. Serbia is aspiring to be a member of the European Union. However, Russia,...

Chinese business centres near traditional Chinese pavilions. Russian adults practicing Kung Fu and learning Mandarin. Sizzling food being served at Chinese restaurants. Signs of Beijing's influence are everywhere in Moscow as President Vladimir Putin prepares to visit China next week. It seems like the contacts with China have intensified. "A mutual interest is increasing," said Natalia Gerasimova. She was a manager of a Russian company, and visited the Chinese landscape park in Moscow. "They are welcoming to us and they treat us well." In Russia, I also do not see resistance to these relationships. "Yes, we may have different mentalities...

Two people with knowledge of the situation said that Berlin was considering extending its trusteeship for the sixth time over the German assets owned by Russian oil producer Rosneft, as the efforts to sell this business continue. The renewed trusteeships put pressure on Berlin to create a more suitable legal structure for Rosneft’s activities in Germany. This situation is emblematic for the challenges Berlin faces when dealing with Russian assets located in Germany, at a moment when efforts are intensifying to end the conflict in Ukraine. In September 2022, the German assets of Rosneft, including the Schwedt refinery, MiRo refinery,...

Ukraine's Prime Minister said that at least 14 people were injured in a Russian attack overnight on the northern Ukrainian region of Sumy. This included a family with 3 children. The strike occurred at a moment when President Donald Trump was making intense efforts to end the Russian war in Ukraine. Local prosecutors reported on Telegram that Russia had launched 15 drones early Wednesday morning in an attack on the Okhtyrka region. Yulia Shvyrydenko, the Prime Minister, wrote on X that the children who were injured in the attack in a residential area of the town were aged 5, 4...

Peter Magyar, the leader of Hungary's opposition party, has asked Russia to refrain from interfering in its politics. He said that there was no way for meaningful co-operation without respecting his country's sovereignty. The Russian Foreign Intelligence Service published a statement earlier this week in which it described Magyars as loyal to the "globalist elites", and claimed that the European Commission is considering "regime changes in Budapest." Magyar's Tisza Party, which is ahead of Prime Minister Viktor Orban’s Fidesz at the polls in the majority of polls before the parliamentary elections next spring, has published an open-letter to Russia's ambassador...

Bartering is returning to Russia for the first since the chaos in the 1990s. Settlement problems caused by the conflict in Ukraine forced one Chinese company, at least, to exchange engines for steel and aluminum alloys. The economic and political chaos that followed the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991, was a result of spiraling inflation and chronic funding shortages. This forced businesses across the country to accept payment in kind. The barter system, however, caused even more economic chaos as a vast network of contingent deals was set up to buy everything from flour and sugar to electricity...

Peter Navarro, White House's trade adviser, said that India's purchases were funding the war in Ukraine by Moscow and must stop. He added that New Delhi is "now cozying up with both Russia and China." Navarro, in a recent opinion piece, wrote: "If India wishes to be treated like a strategic partner by the U.S. it must act as such." Published by: Financial Times. India's Foreign Ministry said that the country was unfairly singled-out for purchasing Russian oil, while the United States continues to buy goods from Russia. U.S. president Donald Trump imposed an additional 25% tariff on Indian products...

A survey released on Thursday found that OPEC oil production increased in August following an OPEC+ production agreement. This was primarily due to the United Arab Emirates' and Saudi Arabia's higher production. According to the survey, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) pumped 27,84 million barrels of oil per day in July, an increase of 360,000 barrels per days over the revised total for the month of July. The United Arab Emirates, and Saudi Arabia, were the countries that saw the biggest increases. OPEC+ - which includes OPEC, its allies, including Russia - is accelerating the plan to...

China's refiners increased their processing rates in the month of July. However, strong crude oil imports from abroad and domestic production meant that there was still an excess of over half a million barrels a day (bpd). Calculations based on data from the official sources show that crude oil surplus in July dropped to 530,000 barrels per day (bpd) from 1.42million bpd. The key is that despite the drop in oil surplus, refiners will likely continue to add to their stockpiles. This will allow them the ability to reduce imports if prices increase to levels they feel are not justified....

It would have been a bold prediction a couple of months back to claim that OPEC+ could bring back 2,5 million barrels of crude oil production per day and keep the price of oil at $70 a barrel. This is what happened, as the eight producers of the group rolled back their voluntary reductions of 2.2 million bpd by September and allowed a separate rise for the United Arab Emirates. Eight OPEC+ member countries met virtually on Sunday and agreed to increase output by 547,000 bpd in September. This is an addition to the 548,000 bpd increases for August, the...

Sources said that despite the export ban, Russia may face gasoline shortages this August due to low stocks at home, a peak in seasonal demand, and repairs being done by domestic refineries. The ban was imposed Monday, and is intended to last through August 31. Its purpose is to stabilize the Russian market and avoid socially sensitive increases in motor fuel prices. Traders say that it is unlikely to be enough to bring the market back to equilibrium, since gasoline export volumes are much smaller than the domestic consumption. They also claim that diverting the fuel to the local market...

Trade sources and LSEG data show that at least two ships loaded with Russian crude oil bound for refiners located in India were diverted due to new U.S. Sanctions. This week, the U.S. Treasury Department imposed sanctions against more than 115 Iran linked individuals, entities and ships. Some of these vessels are involved in transporting Russian crude oil. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, has warned that he will impose 100% tariffs on all oil purchases from Moscow unless Russia signs a peace agreement with Ukraine. Trade sources reported that three ships, the Aframaxes Tagor, Guanyin, and Suezmax Tassos were to...

A panel of OPEC+ members on Monday emphasized the importance of full compliance with oil production agreements, in advance of Sunday's separate meeting of eight OPEC+ member countries to decide whether or not to increase oil output for September. Online, the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC), which is composed of top energy ministers of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, as well as their allies, led by Russia convened for a brief discussion. The JMMC is a two-monthly meeting that has the authority to call a full OPEC+ meeting to discuss market developments if necessary. In a press release...

After the latest round European Union sanctions, Indian private refiners who have used cheap Russian crude in order to boost their margins will need to find ways to work around it and depend more on traders for finding new markets for products. In recent years, refiners like Reliance Industries or Nayara Energy have benefitted from the pressure that sanctions imposed on Russia's crude oil prices due to its invasion in Ukraine. Many of these refiners have exported their refined products to European buyers. In its 18th package against Russia, which was approved on Friday by the European Union, it banned...

According to LSEG data and other market sources, the Russian seaborne exports of diesel and gasoline fell by 6% in the first 15 day period of July compared to the same period in 2006. Refinery maintenance and a strong domestic demand affected the supply. According to industry sources, calculations have shown that the offline capacity of Russia's primary oil refineries has increased by 20% to 3.9 millions metric tons in July, which includes maintenance at several large and mid-size refining plants. Refineries use less feedstock when idle capacity increases. In the first 15 days in July, diesel loadings through the...

United Arab Emirates' energy minister stated on Thursday that the country could increase its oil production after 2027, if the market demands it. This move could push the country into the top five oil producing countries in the world. OPEC granted the UAE a larger production quota for this year. The country argued that it was restricting too much its output after investing heavily to increase capacity from 3 million barrels to 4,85 million. Suhail Mohamed al-Mazrouei, Energy Minister of the country, told reporters that capacity could increase further after 2027. He said that if the market demanded it, they...

China's crude oil imports have been positive for the first few months of this year. However, rather than being a sign that fuel demand is improving, the improvement has more to do with rising inventories. Customs data released Friday show that the world's largest crude importer, Saudi Arabia, recorded an average of 11,69 million barrels a day in April. This is down from the 12.1 million bpd it had in March, but up 7.5% from the 10,88 million bpd for the same period last year. The imports in March were the highest since August 2023, and April's relatively strong performance...

Data showed that the price of oil in Russia in roubles had fallen to its lowest level in two years, below the 4,000-rouble mark per barrel, and was 40% less than what the federal budget planned. This increased pressure on the Kremlin which is already struggling with a growing budget deficit. Global oil prices are down over 10% for six sessions in a row, and over 20% in the past year since U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariff shocks in April prompted more bets that global economic growth would slow. The oil prices also fell following the Organization of the Petroleum...

Five sources familiar with the discussions said that Saudi Arabian officials were briefing industry experts and allies to explain the kingdom's unwillingness to support the oil market through further cuts in supply and its ability to handle a long period of low oil prices. Saudi Arabia's possible policy shift could indicate a move to produce more and expand its market share. This would be a major change, after spending five years balancing the oil market by producing a large amount of oil as a member of the OPEC+. These cuts helped to support prices and, as a result, the revenue...