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IGC increases world corn production forecast on bumper US harvest

IGC increases world corn production forecast on bumper US harvest

The International Grains Council raised its forecast of 2025/26 for global corn production. This is largely due to an improved outlook on the U.S. harvest.

In a monthly report, the intergovernmental body projected that global corn production would hit a record of 1.299 billion tonnes, an increase of 23 million tons over its previous estimate.

The IGC stated that "the unusually sharp revision is mainly due to upgraded US maize (corn), area and yield forecasts."

The U.S. corn harvest was projected at 423.5 millions tons, an increase from the previous estimate of 398.9 millions.

The U.S. Department of Agriculture increased its forecast of the crop for the United States to a record breaking 425.3 million tonnes, revising upwards both area and yield estimations.

Chicago corn futures have dropped by about 17% in the last four month due to an improving crop outlook for the United States.

IGC however expected that an increase in the demand would absorb over half of the additional supply. It raised its global consumption prediction by 13 million tonnes to 1.285 millions.

The IGC stated that "global consumption growth will accelerate amid record supply and price pressure,"

The IGC said that it also increased its forecast for the world wheat crop in 2025/26 by 3 million tonnes to 811 millions.

The Russian wheat crop is now expected to reach 83.7 million tonnes, an increase from the previous estimate of 81.7 millions. Meanwhile, the outlook for Europe has been upgraded from 137.2 to 138.8.

Ukraine's population was revised down to 24.5 from 25.1. (Reporting and editing by Jane Merriman; Elaine Hardcastle, Richard Chang, and Nigel Hunt)

(source: Reuters)