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The price of oil has risen to its highest level since 2022, at $119 or more per barrel due to the war in Iran

The price of oil soared to $119 a barrel on Monday. This is the highest it has been since mid-2022. Some major producers reduced their supply and there were fears that shipping would be disrupted for a long time due to the U.S./Israeli war against Iran.

Brent crude futures rose $12.77 or 14% to $105.46 per barrel?at 1126 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude Futures (WTI) were up $13.66 or 14% at $103.56.

Brent hit $119.50 per barrel in a whirlwind session, its highest-ever price increase on a single date. WTI also reached $119.48. Brent is up 66%, and WTI by 77% from their last close on February 28, before the U.S. began its attacks.

According to LSEG's data dating back to the 1980s, Monday's price is comparable to all-time prices of $147 a barrel for contracts signed in 2008.

MARKET STRUCTURE INDICATES INTENSE SUPPLY SHORTAGES

Brent front-month loading contracts are more expensive than contracts with delivery dates in six months. According to LSEG data dating back to 2004, the price of gold reached a record high of?almost $36 on Monday.

This was a far cry from its previous peak of $23 in early March 2022, during the first weeks of the Russia/Ukraine War.

This premium is indicative of a "market structure" known as backwardation. It shows traders are experiencing a severe shortage in supply.

The Strait of Hormuz is almost closed, which means that only a fifth of the world's crude oil and natural gas is able to pass through. The?appointment? of Mojtaba Khamenei, to succeed Ali Khamenei in the role of Iran's supreme ruler?also boosted prices. This showed that the hardliners are still in control in Tehran after a week in the conflict with Israel and the U.S.

Even if the war ends quickly, consumers and businesses could face weeks or even months of higher fuel costs as suppliers deal with damaged facilities and logistics, and increased risks in shipping.

U.S. gas contracts have risen to their highest level since 2022, at $3.22 per gallon. This is at a moment when President Donald Trump told U.S. citizens that the impact of this increase on their cost-of-living would be minimal ahead of November's midterm elections. UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said that "alternatives, like tapping strategic oil reserves are limited but they are a small drop in the bucket compared to the magnitude of supply disruption if Strait remains 'closed for longer. Chuck Schumer, the Democratic leader of the U.S. Senate, has asked Trump to release strategic oil reserves. A French government source stated on Monday that he would also bring this up with the Group of Seven.

SOURCES SAY SAUDI ARAMCO HAS STARTED CUTTING PRODUCTION. Saudi Aramco is reducing output at two oilfields. Analysts predicted last week that OPEC's heavyweights, including the United Arab Emirates, would have to reduce production as soon as their oil storage ran out.

Sources claim that the production of Iraqi crude oil from its southern oilfields is down 70% and that storage capacity has reached maximum.

Kuwait Petroleum Corporation (KPC) also cut oil production on Saturday, but did not specify how much it would reduce.

Saudi Aramco has, in rare tenders, offered to divert more than 4,000,000 barrels of Saudi Crude via the Red Sea Port of Yanbu. This is to compensate for the closure of Hormuz. Qatar, a major LNG exporter in the gas market, had already halted production following attacks on key infrastructure. In the UAE's Fujairah Oil Industry Zone, a fire started due to falling debris. No injuries were reported. Fuel supply disruptions are exacerbated by refinery interruptions. Bahrain's BAPCO announced a force majeure after a recent attack against its refinery complex. Saudi Arabia shut down its largest oil refinery. (Additional reporting by Yuka Obayashi, Sudarshan Vadhan, Rae Wee and Tim Gardner; editing by Sam Holmes Jamie Freed, Muralikumar Aantharaman

(source: Reuters)