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North America

Energy Markets

China auto sales drop again but exports remain strong

In June, car sales in China dropped for the ninth consecutive month as automakers turned to export markets to offset the effects of weak local demand. The China Passenger Car Association reported on Wednesday that domestic passenger vehicle sales dropped 23.4% compared to a year ago, and reached 1.62 million units in June, after a decline of 22.3% in May. Exports of cars jumped by 82.1% last month to 882,000 units. Exports of cars rose by 70.6%, to 4,28 million units, despite a decline in domestic sales of 20.4%. China's sales declines are a reflection of tightening household spending, in...

Refined Products

Mike Dolan's market thoughts for midweek: Russia's Achilles' heel, stockpickers' territory and Europe's issue of self-esteem

Long/short hedge fund results prove that fundamentals are still important, and Europe continues underestimating its global power. In this midweek article, I will highlight some key stories that caught me eye?this week and may have been lost in the daily flood of market news. The pump doesn't work The late U.S. John McCain said in 2014 that "Russia is just a gas station posing as a nation." If that's the case, reports of Russia's people running out of fuel in the 4.5 year long war with Ukraine seem both absurd and very significant. The attacks on Russia's infrastructure have led...

Refined Products

US oil prices rise after US military strikes against Iran

U.S. Oil Prices jumped by?nearly 3 percent in early trade Wednesday, continuing the previous session’s gains. This was after a series of strikes launched by the U.S. Military against Iran. The U.S. military's actions raised concerns about a fragile ceasefire. U.S. Central Command said on Tuesday that the strikes against Iran were a response to Iranian attacks on commercial vessels that were?transiting the Strait of Hormuz?. As of 2215 GMT, U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude was up $1.95 or 2.8% at $72.39 per barrel. WTI closed 2.8% higher on Tuesday, before continuing to rise?in the post-settlement trading after the U.S....

Refined Products

New York Fed: US consumers' expectations of near-term inflation rise in June

?U.S. In June, consumers were less concerned about the near-term inflation rate even though their concerns about gas prices had decreased. They also felt more optimistic about current and future finances. This was revealed in a report by the New York?Federal Reserve on Tuesday. The regional Fed bank stated in its latest Survey of Consumer Expectations that inflation in a year's time was expected to reach 3.7% in the month of June. This would be the highest reading in the last nine years. In May, the figure was 3.5%. Three years hence, inflation was predicted to reach 3.3%. This would...

Energy Markets

NY Fed survey shows rising expectations for inflation in the near future

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York released a report on Tuesday that said 'Americans became more concerned in June about the near-term inflation pressures, even though they predicted a moderated gasoline price increase and an upbeat view?on their current and future finances. The Bank of Canada's latest Survey of Consumer Expectations showed that inflation in a year was 3.7%, up from the 3.5% recorded in May. This is the highest level since September 2023. The June reading was the highest since June 2022. The central bank officials who are most interested in the five-year outlook for inflation expect it...

Refined Products

After Ukrainian drones attacked Russia's largest refinery, motorists queue up for fuel in Omsk

After a drone attack on the largest oil refinery in Russia, motorists in the city of 'Omsk are lining up for fuel. This is one of the most serious attacks by the Ukrainians inside Russia since?the start of the war. Video showed a?but orderly? line of cars waiting at a fuel station on Monday evening, just hours after the terrorist attack. Witnesses in the Siberian City reported that there were longer queues Tuesday, but they were still manageable -- only around 20 minutes. Fuel was also available. Some people on the social network VKontakte complained about drivers who they called...

Oil & Gas

Market monitors US-Iran Talks

The price of oil rose on Tuesday as traders' anxiety over a lack of progress in peace talks between?the United States?and Iran?overrode any price impact of the slight improvement in shipping through Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude futures rose $1.02 or 1.42% to $73.01 per barrel. U.S. West Texas intermediate crude gained 93 cents or 1.36% to $69.48 per barrel at 0748 GMT. Ole Hansen, analyst at Saxo Bank, said: "The deal has not been signed yet. So something could still go wrong. And?any comments by either side can raise concerns which helps to underpin the prices. It's also removing...

Refined Products

Oil prices rise as the focus shifts from supply to demand

The oil prices rose on Tuesday but the gains were modest as traders focused their attention on supply and demand. Brent crude futures rose 28 cents or 0.39 percent to $72.29 and U.S. West Texas?Intermediate crude climbed to $68.84 per barrel at 0046 GMT. This is up 29 cents or 0.26 percent after having settled down on Monday to levels similar to those seen before the Iran war. Tim Waterer is the chief market analyst for KCM Trade. He said that although the steps taken towards recovering supply have reduced the immediate risk premium the market still remains cautious about...

Refined Products

Trump announces Walmart will lower the price of ground beef and other items

After a request by his administration, President Donald 'Trump' said that Walmart will lower the prices of many products including ground beef. Customers will save money on meat, soda and produce at Walmart and Sam's Club this summer. The record-high prices of beef have hurt the wallets and pockets of American consumers, who also had to pay higher gas prices following the U.S.-Israeli attacks on Iran. The price of steaks and hamburgers soared as a result of a prolonged drought that destroyed pasture lands and increased the cost of cattle feed. This forced U.S. ranchers into reducing their herds. Economists...

Oil Storage

Americans still hit the road for July 4th despite high gas prices

The Americans are preparing for the Fourth of July, despite gasoline prices that are still high and well above their historical averages. The ease of tensions between?U.S. The easing of tensions between the?U.S. Despite recent drops, this weekend motorists will pay the second highest Independence Day fuel prices in history. Last week, the price-tracking service GasBuddy predicted that the average gasoline price in the United States would be $3.75 per gallon by July 4. This is behind the record $4.80 per liter set on July 4th 2022. GasBuddy reports that the national average gasoline price was $3.772 per gallon on...

Energy Markets

Americans still hit the road on July 4th despite high gas prices

The Fourth of July holiday is fast approaching and Americans are not deterred by the high gasoline prices. They remain well above historical levels. Fuel prices have been lowered by the easing of tensions in the U.S.-Iran relationship. This is due to fears of disruptions of oil shipments across Strait of Hormuz. The price of gasoline is expected to be the second highest ever for Independence Day this weekend, despite recent drops. GasBuddy, a price-tracking service, predicted last week that the average gasoline price in the United States would be $3.75 per gallons on July 4. This is behind only...

Oil & Gas Refining

US oil companies report big profits jump and prepare for a clash with Trump over pump prices

U.S. Oil Companies are expected to report their highest quarterly profits in recent years. This could lead to a clash with President Donald Trump who has been pressuring his longtime ally Big Oil, to lower gasoline prices in advance of the midterm elections, which will be held in November. Exxon Mobil, Chevron and other oil companies are expected to announce second-quarter earnings that are triple the first-quarter figures in the next few weeks. This comes after months of Americans complaining over the pain they feel at the pump. After the U.S. and Israel's war against Iran began late in February,...

Europe

Crude Oil

As US strikes against Iran fuel fears of a truce unravelling, oil prices are rising.

The price of oil rose by nearly 2% after the U.S. military conducted?airstrikes on Iran and reimposed crude sales sanctions. This sparked fears that their fragile truce could unravel, and Middle East supplies might be disrupted once again. U.S. Central Command announced on Tuesday that the U.S. airstrikes came in response to Iranian attacks against three commercial vessels transiting through the Strait of Hormuz. The Strait of Hormuz is an important waterway used to transport Middle Eastern oil shipments into wider markets. Brent crude futures rose $1.38 or 1.9% to $75.54 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas intermediate crude climbed...

Fossil Fuels

Sources say that Russia's largest refinery has halted processing following a drone attack

Two industry sources said on Tuesday that the largest oil refinery in Russia, Omsk, had halted operations following an attack by a Ukrainian drone. The attack on the refinery in Siberia was the longest-ranged Ukrainian attack of the war, which is now well into its fifth anniversary. Fuel shortages are likely to be worsened by the shutdown of the plant. It is the top petrol producer in Russia. The attack on Monday damaged the facilities at the Omsk refinery. Anatoly Seryshev said that no plant personnel were injured in a Tuesday statement. Seryshev stated that a damage assessment was underway...

Refined Products

Oil prices drop after OPEC+ agrees on raising output targets

The oil prices fell on Monday as OPEC+ agreed that it would?increase the output target for August, while key?producers are recovering their exports via the Strait of Hormuz. This could add to global supplies. Brent crude futures fell 24 cents or 0.33% to $71.88 per barrel by 0010 GMT, after closing 0.45% higher Friday. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude was $68.58 per barrel, down by 11 cents or 0.16%. WTI was not settled on Friday due to the U.S. market being closed for Independence Day on Saturday. The two contracts were largely unchanged last week after falling over the previous...

Western Europe

Alison-Madueke, Nigeria's former oil minister, is cleared of all charges following a UK corruption trial

Diezani Alison Madueke, the former 'Nigerian Oil Minister' was found not guilty on Wednesday by a London Jury of?six charges of bribery?after a rare?corruption?trial?of an high-profile?former energy official. Alison-Madueke was the minister of petroleum resources under Goodluck Jonathan between 2010 and 2015. She faced five charges of accepting bribes, and an additional charge of conspiring to commit?bribery. Both of these she denied. The prosecution alleged that Alison-Madueke 65 was granted "a luxurious life" in London by oil and gas industry leaders seeking lucrative contracts for?Nigeria which has been plagued with corruption and mismanagement. The former minister who was briefly president...

Middle East

Crude Oil

Saudi oil price reduction unlikely to convince Asia buyers who are already satisfied, traders say

Saudi Arabian crude sold to Asia has seen its price drop the most in'more than 20 years, but the grade is still more expensive to lift compared to some Gulf rivals. This reduces the appetite for oil from the OPEC linchpin. On Monday, the world's largest exporter cut the??official selling price (OSP), for its flagship Arab Light oil to $1.50 per barrel below the average Oman and Dubai quotations for Asia. This is a $11 reduction from the previous months. The OSPs of its four other grades were also reduced by $11 per barrel. The sudden shift is due to...

Refined Products

Kuwait's crude oil production surged sharply in June following the US-Iran agreement, a source said

Kuwait's crude production jumped to 1.65m barrels a day in June, from just 580,000 bpd a month earlier, a source with knowledge of the situation said on Thursday. The OPEC member is boosting exports via the Gulf after the?U.S.-Iran peace agreement. Kuwait's surge in crude oil production is a sign that Gulf oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz have recovered rapidly after the disruption caused by the Iran War. Stranded cargoes are slowly clearing the Strait of Hormuz, and exporters are restoring their production. Kuwait produced about 2.5 million barrels of oil per day before Iran effectively closed the...

Oil & Gas Refining

Sources say that Hengli China has cut its oil production and ceased to purchase oil from the Middle East, West Africa, and West African countries.

Five trade sources have confirmed that China's Hengli Petrochemical has cancelled its recent purchases of non-Iranian oil. This forced the company to further cut back on refinery operations as the inventory was running low. The strange cancellations came just a few weeks after reports that the refiner had purchased cargos from West Africa, the Middle East and other parts of the world to avoid Washington's list. Three sources briefed about the issue said that the refiner had cancelled at least six million barrels. They said that 2 million barrels (of West African oil) were delivered last month to storage tanks...

Refined Products

Sources say that OPEC+ is likely to increase oil production targets again in August.

Three sources told Reuters that OPEC+ countries are likely to agree on a 'further increase in their 'output targets for August, when they meet?Sunday. This will add supply at a moment of falling prices, as the Strait of Hormuz slowly reopens. Sources said that the target for August will be the same as it was for June and for July. OPEC didn't immediately respond to a comment request. All sources, who spoke under condition of anonymity, said that 'no decision has been finalized. Seven members of OPEC+ (which groups OPEC, Russia and other producers) have increased their 'output quotas between...

Fossil Fuels

Treasury's Bessent says that "we are watching" as it urges gas retailers in the US to lower prices on their 250th anniversary.

?U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Tuesday urged gasoline retailers to lower their prices in honor of the?U.S. The United States celebrates its 250th birthday. President Donald?Trump reiterates his message that "we are watching." Bessent, in an interview with Fox News, said: "I'd encourage all gasoline retailers. Some of them are owned and operated by Big Oil. Others are independent. And some are international convenience stores." "I'd encourage them to act responsibly, particularly?during the 250th anniversary because we are watching." Bessent reiterated his boss's warning to gas stations Monday that they must lower their prices immediately, or else face "big...

Oil & Gas

Treasury's Bessent says that "we are watching" as it urges gas retailers in the US to lower prices on their 250th anniversary.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Tuesday urged gasoline'retailers' to lower prices in celebration of the U.S.'s 250th birthday, reinforcing 'Trump's message with a warning 'we're monitoring' Bessent, in an interview with Fox News, said: "I'd encourage all gasoline retailers. Some of them are owned and operated by Big Oil. Others are independent. And some are international convenience stores." "I'd encourage them to act responsibly, especially during the 250th anniversary of the?Oil Industry, because we are watching." Bessent repeated his boss's warning to gas stations Monday that they must lower their prices immediately, or else face "big issues." "If Retailers...

Crude Oil

After the US waiver, traders claim that middlemen are offering Iranian oil to Indian refiners.

Indian refining sources claim that several middlemen offered 'discounted Iranian crude oil' to Indian refiners as a way for 'Tehran' to speed up sales following Washington’s temporary waiver of sanctions. After the first round of talks in a new peace agreement, the United States lifted sanctions against Iran for 60-days, which opened a small window for a renewed energy trade. Sources said that the Iranian state oil producer, National Iranian Oil Co. (NIOC), has approached Indian refiners directly and through intermediaries, claiming to have allocated oil. "Apart form NIOC several traders contact us to sell?Iranian Oil. One of the refining...

Refined Products

Qatar offers crude oil via tender for July-August loadout, sources claim

Trade sources reported on Friday that 'QatarEnergy' has released a tender to sell crude oil for loading in July and August. This is believed to be its first tender since the onset of 'the Iran -war. Producer offers Marine Land, Marine Qatar, and al-Shaheen crude. According to a tender document seen by, buyers can load or transfer via ship-to -ship transfer between Fujairah & Sohar. The bid will close on 29 June. The offer is a further boost to the rising supply of Middle Eastern producers. Iraq's SOMO, the state-owned oil marketer in Iraq, issued a tender?Thursday for Basra Heavy...

Energy Markets

Oil extends decline on rising Middle East supply

The oil prices continued to fall on Thursday, dipping near the levels seen just before the Iran War. This was due to a 'rising'?supply expectation from the Middle East that outweighed the demand concerns. Brent crude futures, for delivery in August, fell by $1.22 or 1.65% to $72.52 a barrel as of 0337 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate dropped $1.02 or 1.45% to $69.32 a barrel. Both contracts have reached their lowest levels since February 27, Brent for August was cheaper than September at $73.59, indicating ample supply in the short term. In a recent note, IG analyst Tony Sycamore...

Crude Oil

Sources claim that Indian Oil did not receive any bids for the ships needed to transport Gulf cargoes.

Two sources with knowledge of the issue have confirmed that Indian Oil Corp. has received "no bids" in the tenders for 'charter vessels' to lift crude oil and liquefied petrochemical?gas from ports within the Strait of Hormuz. Last week, India's largest refiner and fuel retailer floated three tenders for chartering a very-large gas carrier (VLGC), an extremely large crude carrier, and a Suezmax. Indian state refiners buy most of their oil and LPG from Middle Eastern producers free-onboard. A VLCC carries about 2 million barrels of oil. And a VLGC holds 45,000 metric tonnes of LPG, a mixture of propane...

Refined Products

Sources say that India's LPG imports to the US will surpass 1 million tonnes in June.

Industry sources say that India's imports from the U.S. of liquefied petrol gas (LPG), a record-breaking amount, will top 1 million metric tons in June. This is because New Delhi has turned to more expensive suppliers to compensate for disruptions from the Middle East. India relied on Middle Eastern LPG producers to provide 90% of its imports of LPG, which totaled about 2 million tonnes per month. Government data revealed that imports of LPG - widely used in Indian homes as a cooking fuel - fell to 696,000 tonnes in April due to 'the strait blocking'. Data showed that imports...

Energy Markets

ADNOC sold at least 18,000,000 barrels of oil in the third tender, traders claim

Sources in the trade said that Abu Dhabi National Oil Company sold "at least 18,000,000 barrels" of crude oil from United Arab Emirates during its third spot tender this month. ADNOC has sold at least 48,000,000 barrels of crude oil in June, according to calculations. ADNOC is also offering more volumes in a 4th?tender due to close this week. Kpler data showed that the UAE exported 101.4 million barrels of oil in January, and 95.2 millions in February before the U.S. - Iran war blocked the Strait of Hormuz. Two trade sources reported that an Indian refiner bought 2 million...