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Refined Products

Oil prices stable on concerns about geopolitical supply risks

The oil price held steady in the early trading of Tuesday, as participants weighed up risks arising from Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian energy sites and mounting tensions between the United States and Venezuela. They also pondered mixed expectations regarding U.S. gasoline inventories. Brent crude futures increased 7 cents or 0.1% to $63.24 per barrel at 0427 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude gained 10 cents or 0.2% to $59.42 per barrel. Both benchmarks rose more than 1% Monday, with WTI near its two-week high. In a client note, Saxo analysts stated that oil held gains while traders awaited the...

Crude Oil

Oil prices will be under pressure in 2026 due to the soaring supply

A poll on Friday showed that oil prices will remain low in 2026 as a result of soaring supplies and modest growth in demand. Geopolitical risks may also limit further losses. In a survey of 35 economists, analysts and other experts, it was predicted that Brent crude will average $62.23 per barrel by 2026. This is down from the October forecast of $63.15. According to LSEG, the benchmark has averaged 68.80 dollars per barrel in 2025. The average price of U.S. crude oil is expected to be $59.00 per barrel. This is lower than the $60.23 expectation from last month....

Refined Products

J.P. Morgan estimates that tax breaks and rate cuts could boost India's Nifty50 to 30,000 by the end of 2026.

J.P. Morgan reported on Wednesday that India's Nifty 50 benchmark index could reach 30,000 by the end of 2026. This would represent a 15% increase from its current level, thanks to steady fiscal and monetary policies, which are expected to boost demand. The Nifty, and its counterpart Sensex, are currently at 26,205.3, and 85,609.51, respectively, just short of the record highs reached in September 2024. Earnings have improved against a background of steady growth and benign inflation, and robust domestic flow. According to a poll of economists, the Nifty is expected to reach 28,500 by 2026's end and 28,850 in...

Energy Markets

Oil prices drop on concerns about oversupply while investors focus on Ukraine talks

The oil prices fell on Tuesday, as fears that Russian shipments would remain under sanctions despite the inconclusiveness of talks to end Ukraine's war outweighed concerns about supply exceeding demand. Brent futures dropped 27 cents or 0.4% to $63.10 per barrel at 0500 GMT. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI), which is a blend of crude oil from Texas, fell 23 cents or 0.4% to $58.61. The two crude benchmarks both gained 1.3% Monday, as rising doubts over a peace agreement to end the Russia/Ukraine conflict reduced expectations of an unrestricted flow of Russian fuel and crude oil supplies. These are...

Crude Oil

Binh Son refinery in Vietnam increases US oil imports

Two sources familiar with the matter on Tuesday said that Binh Son refinery in Vietnam is expected to purchase 1 million barrels West Texas Intermediate crude oil in January. This will be its second purchase within three months, as it increases imports from the United States. Since Trump threatened to impose tariffs against Vietnamese products in April, Vietnam has sought to purchase more U.S. products to close the trade gap. Vietnam wants to import a variety of U.S. products, including farm produce, liquefied gas, aircraft, and crude oil. Sources said that Swiss trader Mercuria had sold the cargo of 1...

Oil & Gas

Honeywell is chosen by Nigerian Dangote to support ambitious capacity expansion

Honeywell has been contracted by Nigerian oil refinery Dangote to help double the capacity of its refinery to 1.4million barrels per day in 2028. This is the clearest sign yet that the company's plans to become the largest refinery in the world are taking shape. Honeywell's equipment and catalysts will help Dangote process a wider range of crude grades, which is needed to support their planned expansion of output. Dangote also plans to license Honeywell's Oleflex Technology to increase its polypropylene production - a material used in plastic containers and auto parts. The financial terms of the agreement were not...

Energy Markets

Oil prices rise as investors focus on Ukraine and concerns over supply

The oil prices remained unchanged on Tuesday, despite the fact that they had risen in the previous session. This was due to concerns about the supply exceeding demand in 2019. These fears outweighed the worries about Russian shipments remaining under sanctions if the talks to end Ukraine's war are unsuccessful. Brent futures dropped 17 cents or 0.3% to $63.20 per barrel at 0158 GMT. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI), which is a blend of crude oil from Texas, fell 12 cents or 0.2% to $58.71. The two crude benchmarks rose 1.3% each on Monday, as a growing doubt about the...

Energy Markets

Oil extends decline by 1.5% on hopes for Russia-Ukraine peace deal

Oil prices dropped 1.5% on the Friday, continuing a downward trend for the third consecutive session. The United States was pushing for a Russia/Ukraine agreement that could increase global supply while investors were hesitant about its rate reductions. Brent crude futures dropped 93 cents or 1.5% to $62.45 per barrel at 0416 GMT after falling 0.2% the previous session. U.S. West Texas Intermediate fell 1.7% or 98 cents to $58.02 per barrel after ending the previous session down 0.5%. The two contracts will fall by more than 2.5% on the back of concerns about oversupply, wiping out most of last...

Fossil Fuels

Saudi Arabian crude exports reach a seven-month high during September

Saudi Arabian crude oil exports reached a record high of seven months in September, according to data released by the Joint Organizations Data Initiative on Wednesday. The world's biggest oil exporter has increased its crude exports to 6,460 million barrels of oil per day (bpd), a slight increase over August's 6.407 millions bpd and the highest level since February. Saudi Arabian crude production, on the other hand, reached a peak of nearly 2.5 years, 9.966 millions bpd, in September. This was its highest level since April 2023. In August, the output was 9.722 millions bpd. JODI publishes the monthly export...

Refined Products

Exxon to shut down Scottish chemicals plant by 2026 amid uncertainty

Exxon Mobil announced Tuesday that it will close its Fife Ethylene Plant (FEP) located in Scotland by February 2026. The company said the plant is no longer viable due to high supply costs, weak markets and the UK’s economic and political environment. The European Union's fourth largest exporting sector, after machinery, automobiles and pharmaceuticals has been under pressure due to soaring energy prices following Russia's invasion in Ukraine, and an aging infrastructure. This has led them to become more dependent on imports for key feedstocks like ethylene and propylene. Exxon said that the closure would affect 179 employees and 250...

Refined Products

Oil prices drop as Russian hub resumes loading; markets consider sanctions impact

The oil prices fell on Tuesday, as traders assessed the impact of Western sanctions against Russian flows, and supply concerns eased after the loading of cargo at a Russian hub was resumed following a drone strike in Ukraine. Brent crude futures fell 46 cents or 0.72% to $63.74 per barrel as of 0420 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell 45 cents or 0.75% to $59.46 per barrel. According to two industry sources, and LSEG data, the Russian port of Novorossiysk resumed oil loadings Sunday after a two-day interruption caused by a Ukrainian drone and missile attack. In a...

Fossil Fuels

Sources say that Chevron, Phillips66 and Total won India's first bid to purchase US LPG.

Two trade sources familiar with the matter confirmed that Indian state refiners awarded their first long-term joint tenders in 2026 to Chevron Phillips 66, and TotalEnergies Trading SA for the import of U.S. liquefied gas. India is planning to increase energy imports to the U.S. in order to reduce its trade surplus. This is a major irritation for President Donald Trump who imposed a 50% tariff on Indian imports. The three refiners wanted to jointly purchase 48 large gas carriers or 2 million metric tonnes of LPG by 2026. LPG, a mixture of butane and propane, is used to cook....

Europe

Refined Products

Special Report-China floods world with gasoline cars that it cannot sell at home

In just a few short years, China's electric vehicle industry has captured more than half of its domestic market. This has led to a decline in sales for gasoline-powered cars from the once dominant global automakers. Foreign players were not the only losers. Chinese automakers who had been in business for decades also saw their sales plummet and responded by flooding foreign markets with fossil fuel vehicles that they couldn't sell domestically. While Western policymakers focused on the threat posed by China's heavily subsidized EVs and protected their markets with tariffs; U.S., European, and South African automakers are facing greater...

Crude Oil

US Judge authorizes sale to Elliott of Citgo parent shares

The sale of shares of Citgo Petroleum, the Venezuelan-owned parent company of Citgo Petroleum, to Elliott Investment Management was approved by a U.S. Judge on Saturday. This follows his approval this week of the $5.9 billion offer from the company at a court-organized bid to pay Venezuelan-related creditors. The sale order is a major legal step that wraps up a two-year auction to pay 15 or more creditors for defaults on debt and expropriations. Citgo Holding, Citgo's parent company, was found liable by the Delaware court for Venezuela's debt. This opened the door to over a dozen other creditors joining...

Refined Products

Oil prices stabilize after Ukraine peace talks drive them to a one-month low

The oil prices rose slightly on Wednesday after falling to a one-month low in the previous session. This was due to signs that Ukraine and Russia are close to a deal that will likely result in the lifting of the international sanctions against Russian supplies. Brent crude futures increased 19 cents or 0.3% to $62.67 a barrel as of 0114 GMT. U.S. West Texas intermediate crude futures increased 14 cents or 0.24% to $58.09 a barrel. The two contracts were settled at 89 cents each on Tuesday, after Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said in a speech to European leaders that...

Western Europe

Middle East

Energy Markets

Brent prices rise on Ukraine concerns, WTI is disrupted by CME failure

Brent crude oil futures rose Friday, as geopolitical risk remained elevated due to the prolonged Russia-Ukraine talks. Traders also kept an eye on the outcome from Sunday's OPEC+ gathering for any clues on possible output changes. The exchange operator CME group experienced a system failure that resulted in the freezing of U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude Futures. The traders said that they were Inform yourself CME informed Globex just before 0300 GMT that trading on all futures and option contracts was suspended due to an issue with cooling at CyrusOne's data centres. Brent oil is traded on the Intercontinental Exchange...

Refined Products

Oil prices rise as investors wait for peace talks

The oil price steadied Thursday as traders weighed the impact of Western sanctions on Russian supply against the talks to end Ukraine's war. Trading was expected to be thin because of the U.S. holiday Thanksgiving. Brent crude futures increased 9 cents, or 0.1%, to $63.22 a barrel as of 1102 GMT. U.S. West Texas intermediate crude futures increased 19 cents, or 0.3%, to $58.84 a barrel. Steve Witkoff, U.S. ambassador to Russia and other senior U.S. officials will travel to Moscow with Russian leaders next week for discussions on a potential plan to end the nearly 4-year-old conflict in Ukraine....

Oil Storage

Oil prices hold steady after a one-month low due to high supply expectations

Investors assessed the prospects of an oversupply, and the talks about a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine. Brent crude futures fell 5 cents, to $62.43 per barrel at 0904 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude Futures rose 1 cent to $57.96. Priyanka Sahdeva, an analyst at Phillip Nova, said: "The market is fundamentally skewed downwards. Investors are increasingly pricing in a 2026 oversupply and there's no compelling demand catalyst to offset that." Brent crude and WTI both settled down 89 cents on Tuesday, after Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy informed European leaders that the U.S. was willing to support a...

Energy Markets

Iran raises fuel prices in limited circumstances

Iran will increase the price of heavily subsidised fuel in certain circumstances, according to the semi-official Tasnim News Agency on Tuesday. The OPEC member is trying to curb the increasing demand for fuel without provoking public anger. Tasnim reported that "the government has decided, starting in December to charge a rate for refuelling emergency fuel cards at 50,000 Iranian Rials per litre (0.44% of the free market price)" and added that this rate represents 10% of the cost of buying one litre fuel from refineries. Fuel stations accept emergency cards if the driver does not have their smart card. The...

Refined Products

Sources say that India's Russian oil binge will end in December, as sanctions bite.

India's Russian crude oil imports will be at their lowest level in three years by December. They were already higher than they had been for several months in November as refiners sought alternatives to avoid violating Western sanctions. The United States, Britain and the European Union have all tightened sanctions against Moscow in response to the conflict in Ukraine. Washington's most recent measures target top Russian oil producers Rosneft, and Lukoil. The deadline for buyers of Russian oil to end their dealings with these two companies was November 21. Separately the EU set a deadline of 21 January after which...

Crude Oil

Oil prices fall as investors wait for the Ukraine peace talks and U.S. rate cuts

After a drop of around 3% last week, oil prices were a little lower on Monday as investors weighed up the prospects of a U.S. interest rate cut against a Russia-Ukraine agreement that could allow more Russian production through a easing of sanctions. After agreeing to modify an earlier version of the deal that was deemed too favorable to Moscow by critics, the United States and Ukraine are set to resume working on a revised peace plan ahead of a deadline set Thursday by U.S. president Donald Trump. Brent crude futures remained unchanged at $62.56 a barrel at 0458 GMT....

Energy Markets

Oil prices fall on the back of oversupply, but sanctions keep declines in check

The price of oil fell on Wednesday, as a report from the industry showed that crude inventories were higher in the U.S. Brent crude futures fell 11 cents or 0.2% to $64.78 per barrel at 0510 GMT after rising 1.1% the previous session. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude Futures were down by 9 cents or 0.2% at $60.65 per barrel after gaining 1.4% on Tuesday. Market sources reported late Tuesday that U.S. crude oil and fuel stockpiles rose during the past week. They cited American Petroleum Institute data. API, according to sources, reported that crude stocks increased by 4.45 millions...

Refined Products

Oil rises 2% after Ukrainian attack damages Russian oil depot

The oil prices rose by about 2% Friday due to supply concerns after a Ukrainian drone attacked an oil depot at the Russian Black Sea port Novorossiysk. This is a major export center. Brent crude futures increased $1.24 or 1.97% to $64.25 a bar by 0315 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude rose $1.25 or 2.13% to $59.94 a bar. Russian officials reported that the attack occurred early Friday morning and damaged a ship docked in port as well as apartment buildings and a depot of oil in the Russian Black Sea Port of Novorossiysk. Three crew members were injured....

Oil Storage

Oil prices rise by more than 2% following the Ukrainian attack on a Russian oil depot

The oil prices increased by more than 2% after an attack by a Ukrainian drone on a depot of crude oil in the Russian Black Sea Port of Novorossiysk. Brent crude futures increased $1.34 or 2.13% to $64.35 a bar by 0227 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude rose $1.40 or 2.39% to $60.09 a bar. According to a Telegram post by the operational headquarters for Krasnodar Region, drone fragments struck three apartments, an oil depot and coastal structures in a complex of trans-shipment. The benchmarks remained unchanged on Thursday, as fears of looming Russian sanctions countered worries about the...

Refined Products

Oil prices remain unchanged as markets await the reopening of US government

The oil prices are little changed today after they rose in the previous session. This is because of the expectation that the end of the longest U.S. government shut down could increase demand in this country, the world's largest crude consumer. Brent crude futures fell 8 cents or 0.12% to $65.08 per barrel at 0106 GMT, after rising 1.7% on the previous day. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude was down 7 cents or 0.11% to $60.97 per barrel after gaining 1.5% the previous session. The U.S. Republican-controlled House of Representatives is set to vote on Wednesday afternoon on a bill,...

Refined Products

Sources say that Kuwait's KPC has offered more heavy crude in December due to refinery shutdown.

Kuwait Petroleum Corp. has offered heavy crude to be loaded in December through a spot bid, according to sources within the industry and the tender document. This is because it sells extra oil that Al-Zour Refinery cannot process. The producer offered to load 500,000 barrels Kuwait Heavy Crude on December 6 and 7, as well as the same amount of Eocene Crude on December 8 and 9. The bids will be valid until Thursday. KPC now has a total of 3.9 million barrels in heavy crude spot sales. Kuwait Integrated Petroleum Industries Company (KIPIC) has announced that on October 21...

Oil & Gas Refining

Sources say that India's HMEL has issued a prompt tender to supply naphtha as Russian supplies are hit.

Three trade sources reported on Monday that Indian refiner HPCL Mittal Energy Ltd issued a very rare spot tender for two cargoes each of naphtha to be delivered in November after it was unable to obtain supplies from Russia of this petrochemical feedstock. One source said that the tender was extended to November 12th. Two of the sources said that HMEL wants naphtha to have a minimum paraffin content of 60% and a maximum sulphur level of 500 ppm, for delivery in Mundra port on November 9-12 or November 13-18. Part of the naphtha required for the cracker is met...