Refined Products








Asia

North America

Energy Markets

HF Sinclair posts highest profit since 2022, plans lubricants separation

HF Sinclair posted its highest quarterly 'profit' since the Russian invasion of Ukraine rocked global oil markets a few years ago. The company also announced that it would'separate" its lubricants & specialties unit into an independent publicly listed company. The U.S. refiner is also beating second-quarter profit expectations. It wants to unlock more value from its specialty products business, which has higher margins, while returning cash to investors. It increased its quarterly dividends by 5%. In premarket trading, shares of the Dallas-based company rose 6.8%. U.S. refining companies have been the most successful in the?war against Iran, as foreign buyers...

Refined Products

Weekend Reads: Jamie Dimon, Jamie Dimon's battery recycling and the Kill Zone

Are you looking for inspiration? Weekend Reads is a weekly feature that highlights what the Open Interest team has been reading, watching and listening to. The Open Interest team shares what they've been watching, listening to and reading. This week's selections include the emergence of drone warfare, Europe's AI ambitions and Jamie Dimon's worries about long-dated bonds at JPMorgan Chase. This weekend we are reading... RON BOUSSO, ROI Energy Columnist. He has produced an amazing, frightening and visually stunning piece on Ukraine's "kill zone" with drones, which has changed the battlefield between Russia and Ukraine. CLYDE RUSSELL is a ROI...

Mineral Resources

Investors monitor Mideast developments as oil prices fall and gold gains.

Gold ticked up a bit?on friday, reversing previous losses, as oil fell below $100?per barrel mark. Investors are watching developments in the Middle East to get a fresh perspective on inflationary risks driven by energy and the outlook for U.S. rates. Spot gold was up 0.2% at $4,055.38 an ounce as of 0925 GMT after falling 2% Thursday to $4.047.26. U.S. gold futures August delivery rose 0.2%, to $4.058.10. "Gold is now slightly positive after moving from a negative position earlier, driven by lower oil prices. This has reduced pressure on the Fed's rate-setting," said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo. He...

Refined Products

Honeywell Technologies increases its 2026 profit forecast for the first time since it split.

Honeywell Technologies increased its full-year profit forecast for 2026 on Thursday, helped in part by the resilient demand for industrial and building automation product, despite a quarterly profit that fell short of analysts' expectations. The shares of Honeywell, which reported its first earnings after Honeywell’s three-way division, rose by more than 5% in morning trading. Honeywell's Building Automation division led the demand, with organic sales up?9%, and orders up 13%. This was driven by double-digit increases in data centers, hospitals, and hospitality. Sales of Industrial Automation products grew?4% organically, and orders increased?10%. This was largely due to the strong demand...

Energy Markets

Albertsons reduces annual forecasts and ramps up investment; shares tumble

Albertsons lowered its annual core sales forecasts and profits on Thursday. It said it would increase investments in its digital business and prices to better compete for cash-strapped consumers. This sent its shares down by 18% just before the bell. The higher gas and food costs have led to a shift in spending habits among U.S. consumers, who are now more selective and prefer private label and discount grocery stores such as Aldi and Walmart. This has hurt sales for companies like Albertsons. Albertsons CEO Susan Morris stated that "core grocery faced increased pressure due to softer industry unit trend...

Refined Products

Dow surpasses its quarterly profit forecasts on the back of higher polyethylene prices and a boost in savings target

Dow Inc. surpassed Wall Street expectations for adjusted second-quarter?profits on Thursday. This was due to higher prices as a result of'supply shocks' from the Middle East conflict, and cost reductions. In premarket trading, shares of the chemical company rose by 2.4%. The tensions around the Strait of Hormuz, following the escalation of U.S.-Iran conflicts have caused disruptions to oil and petrochemical flow. This has led to a tightening of chemical supply globally and a rise in the price of plastics and other polymers. Dow has also been ?reevaluating its ownership of non-product-producing assets across its global portfolio, including power and...

Oil Refineries

Russell: India's rising refined product exports help ease Asia's fuel crisis

Can India do for Asia's refined-fuels market what China did? China drastically cut its crude imports to a decade low in June in response to the U.S. and Israeli war against Iran. This freed up oil for buyers who were struggling to find cargoes due to the 'effective closure of Strait of Hormuz. India has taken a different approach, purchasing Russian crude oil and increasing?exports?of refined products in order to offset the lower shipments of refineries from the Middle East and Russia. According to commodity analysts Kpler, India's light and middle distillates exports are expected to hit 1.55 million barrels...

Energy Markets

Oil prices slightly rise after US announces new strikes against Iran

Early trading on Wednesday saw oil prices rise as concerns about further supply disruptions increased after U.S. forces said they began attacking Iranian military targets for an 11th night in a row and Kuwait reported attacks by Iranian drones. Brent 'crude 'futures increased 0.55% or 50 cents to $91.51 as markets opened on the third day of trading. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude rose 0.36% or 30 cents to $84.64 during low volume trades. The oil price settled at its highest level in five weeks on Tuesday, after U.S. forces struck targets in western and southern Iran. Iran also attacked...

Refined Products

New York Army veteran taken into custody after fire outside ICE offices

Authorities say a man protesting Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) was arrested on Monday, after he set off fireworks and ignited a fire on the steps leading to the ICE office in Lower Manhattan. The suspect was identified as Andrew Arrabaca a 43-year old U.S. Army Veteran living in Harlem. According to local news reports and authorities, on Monday morning a man appeared pour gasoline out of a bucket into the stairwells of 26 Federal Plaza. This office building also houses the FBI New York Field Office. He then lit it ablaze. Authorities said the suspect also ignited fireworks. He...

Refined Products

US consumer sentiment improved in July; renewed Middle East conflict is a downside risk

U.S. consumer confidence increased to a?high of five months in July. However, the 'improvement' is only temporary because the renewed conflict in?the Middle East has raised gasoline prices. The University of Michigan's Surveys of Consumers reported on Friday that its Consumer Sentiment Index had risen to 54.4 in this month. This is the highest reading since last February. It was 49.5 at the end of June. The economists surveyed by? The economists polled by? The survey was conducted between June 23 and July 13 with over?70% completed interviews before the collapse of the U.S.-Iran ceasefire last week which drove oil...

Refined Products

Retail sales in the US are held back by lower gasoline prices, but the underlying momentum is still there

Retail sales in the U.S. increased slightly in June, as lower gasoline prices lowered receipts at service station. However, households increased their purchases of motor vehicles, and they spent more online, confirming economists' view that consumer spending "accelerated" in the second quarter. Other data released on Thursday showed that the labor market was stable, and that first-time claims for unemployment benefits?dropped to a 2-month low. The data had no impact on the near-term outlook for monetary policy. Economists expect that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates at their current level later this month. Ellen Zentner is the chief economist...

Energy Markets

US retail sales increase marginally in June

Retail sales in the United States increased slightly in June, as lower gas prices affected receipts at service stations. However, bargain-hunting shoppers continued to drive spending. The Commerce Department's?Census Bureau reported on Thursday that retail sales increased?0.2% in June after an upwardly-revised 1.0% increase in May. The economists who were surveyed predicted that retail sales - which are mainly goods and not adjusted for inflation - would rise by 0.2% in June after an earlier reported 0.9% increase. Estimates ranged between a 0.4% decline and a 1.0% rise. The average gasoline price dropped to $4.18 per gallon from $4.61 a...

Europe

Energy Markets

Ukrainian miner reduces operations following Russian attacks on ships

The company stated that the Ukrainian Iron Ore Concentrate Producer, Pivdennyi Mining and Processing Plant, has begun to suspend operations due to the disruption caused by Russian attack on civilian ships heading for Ukraine's Black Sea Ports. The company said it hopes to resume production by August. After intensifying Russian strikes, other companies have also reduced their operations. Last week, shipowners stopped vessel arrivals to Ukraine's Black Sea ports in southern Odesa. The ports are responsible for a large part of Ukraine's grain and ore exports, which are the largest source of foreign currency and one of its biggest exports....

Mining

Rio Tinto reports highest first-half profit in four years due to copper strength

Rio Tinto posted on Wednesday its highest underlying half-year earnings in four years. A surge in profits in its copper division, and higher commodity price more than offset the softer earnings of iron ore. The world's biggest iron ore producer announced?underlying earnings? of $6.85billion for the six-month period ended June 30. This is up 43% from $4.81billion a year ago and in line with Visible Alpha's consensus estimate?of $6.80billion. The copper division's EBITDA grew by 84% to $5.7 billion, largely due to a?higher production from its Mongolian operations. Iron ore remains the largest contributor to earnings for the group, generating...

Fossil Fuels

Sources say that OPEC+ is likely to halt oil production increases after September.

On August 2, seven members of OPEC+ will meet. Sources say that the group will increase its output quotas for September by 188,000 bpd. Source: OPEC+ requires the result of the oil capacity review to decide on 2027 quotas By Alex Lawler and Ahmad Ghaddar LONDON, 28 July - OPEC+ will likely pause its 'gradual oil production hikes' after September, for?the rest of the year, according to four sources, because it needs to hold additional discussions before deciding on its output quotas in 2027. The pause will mark the end of several month of production hikes that were mostly on...

Western Europe

Middle East

Refined Products

Sources say that Russia will extend the ban on diesel exports but it could be lifted quickly if conditions improve.

Two sources who are familiar with the discussions on Wednesday said that Russia is planning to extend its diesel export ban by one month. However, the restriction could be lifted mid-August, if domestic supply improves. The ban was introduced by Russia from July 8 until July 31, as part of an overall package of measures designed to support the domestic market for fuel after repeated Ukrainian drone strikes on oil refineries caused fuel shortages and price increases. Moscow has already placed restrictions on the export of jet fuel and gasoline. Alexander Novak, the Deputy Prime Minister, said last week that...

Jet Fuel

IIR note: Saudi Aramco closes Jizan oil refining after attack

Saudi Aramco closed its Jizan oil refinery, which produces 400,000 barrels per day in Saudi Arabia, on July 27, following an attack on the facility by Yemeni Houthi militants. A note seen by revealed that this was due to an attack on Saturday by Yemen's Houthi terrorists. The market is already constrained by the tight fuel supply in the world, as well as disruptions from the Middle East and Russia's ban on diesel exports. The outage has also had a significant impact on the refinery profit margins, which have reached'record highs' in certain regions. The note stated that the attack...

Refined Products

Russell: Crude oil futures prices are a measure of market adaptability and not a sign of Iran peace.

Since the beginning of the Iran War, there has been a debate about whether crude oil futures accurately reflect?the stress in the physical markets for oil and refined products or if the are blindly 'optimistic' that peace is on the horizon. The Iran War between the United States of America and Iran continues on its volatile and unpredictable course, with renewed hope that there is a chance for a new pause in the?reverse strikes. This flicker of optimism led Brent futures to fall in the early Asian trading on Monday. The price fell by nearly 5%, reaching around $92.06. The...

Energy Markets

US imports the first fuel oil cargoes via Syria as Iraq uses a new export route

According to two sources and shipping data, the United States is now importing fuel oil from Iraq via Syria. This comes as Iraq continues to expand its?Mediterranean trade route, which was established following disruptions in Gulf trade routes earlier this summer. This alternative route shows that'shippers are looking for ways to circumnavigate Strait of Hormuz which has been 'effectively closed since several months and hindering Gulf oil imports due to the Iran War. According to Kpler Shipping Data, three Aframax tanks loaded fuel oil in Syria's Mediterranean Port of Baniyas from June to July, for delivery to U.S. Gulf Coast....

Jet Fuel

China's refined oil product exports in June are up from May despite export restrictions

China's refined oil product exports in June improved over May but fell from the same period in last year, amid export restrictions that began in mid-March in order to protect domestic supply after the Iran War. China is Asia's biggest fuel exporter, and the increased export allowance will ease tight supplies because regional refiners have curtailed production due to war-related oil shortages. China's refined product exports to Hong Kong and Macau, including gasoline and diesel, totaled 643,712 tons. This is a slight increase of 4% from last June. Exports of refined oil products from China to other regions than Hong...

Fossil Fuels

US pump prices now exceed $4 on renewed Middle East fighting

As renewed hostilities between?U.S. Iran and the United States have further?disrupted energy flows across the?Strait?of Hormuz. This is a vital route for global oil supply. Since the U.S. and Israel launched their attack on Iran at the beginning of February, the national average retail gas prices have increased by more than 30%. According to AAA data, the average pump price for Monday was $4.0030 per gallon. Last time the $4 mark was reached, it was in late March, when Iran stopped traffic through the Strait. In June, prices fell below this threshold after the U.S. signed an agreement with Iran...

Oil & Gas Refining

Sources say that China refineries are opting for less expensive crude oil in order to reduce their fuel oil consumption.

Industry sources say China's fuel demand will take a long time to recover after its imports hit a record low. Refiners reduced production and opted for cheaper crude as a result of the U.S. - Iran war. China's low demand for high-sulphur oil (HSFO), one of Asia’s largest importers, is expected to limit prices. This is despite the fact that the market has strengthened after Washington and Tehran intensified their attacks on the Middle East disrupting Gulf supply through the Strait of Hormuz. LSEG data show that the Asian refiners' margins for 380 centistoke HSFO rose to a discount of...

Crude Oil

As hostilities in the Middle East worsen, oil prices are rising.

Oil prices rose on Wednesday after?President Donald Trump reimposed his naval blockade against all Iranian ports and Tehran launched attacks on U.S. Infrastructure in the region. Brent futures rose?99 cents or 1.2% to $85.72 per barrel at 0400 GMT. West Texas Intermediate futures rose 64 cents or 0.8% to $79.98 per barrel. Tuesday, oil prices rose 2% to a new one-month high as attacks intensified a supply disruption along the Strait of Hormuz. This is where a fifth of all the world's liquefied gas and oil passed before the U.S./Israeli war on Iran. "While the physical market for oil is...

Oil Refineries

The US pump price may soon return to $4

Americans could soon see gas prices above $4 per gallon as renewed hostilities have led to a rise in energy prices by paralyzing the Strait of Hormuz. This is a vital route for global oil supplies. GasBuddy's fuel price tracking service showed that the national average gasoline price on Tuesday was $3.84 per gallon. This is up 9.8 cents compared to a week earlier. Prices of gasoline are up by 22.2% on an annual basis. The high price of gasoline has become a political headache to President Donald Trump, and the Republican Party. They will be soon campaigning for their...

Oil & Gas Refining

Sources say that Indian naphtha prices are rising as Gulf and Russian supplies become tighter.

Spot premiums for Indian naphtha have risen to levels seen last in late March as tight supplies from the Middle East and Russia, and renewed concerns about U.S.-Iran tensions, drove demand from Far East buyers. Multiple trade sources reported?on Monday that Indian state refiners Bharat Petroleum Corp. and Hindustan Petroleum Corp. sold about '63,000-65,000 tonnes (567,000-585,00 barrels) or naphtha through tenders last week, at prices similar to those seen in late March. BPCL sold a total of 36,000-37,000 tonnes of?naphtha on a 'free-on-board' (FOB basis) to Middle East quotes for loading between July 30 and 31. HPCL sold 27,000-28,000 tons...

Refined Products

Weekend Reads: Drones and Messi

Are you looking for inspiration? Weekend Reads is a weekly roundup of what the Open Interest team was reading, watching, and listening to. This week's picks include the impact of war on?energy security and food, China's ability to leverage critical minerals, and World Cup drama. We'll be reading RON BOUSSO's ROI Energy Columnist's paper, which examines the global impacts of Ukraine's drone attack on Russia's oil refinery infrastructure. The analysis provides great detail about the extent of the damage. CLYDE RUSSELL is a columnist for ROI Asia 'Commodities and Energy. The Iran War threatened to cause a food shortage. The...

Fossil Fuels

The IEA warns that escalation between the US and Iran could threaten oil surpluses in 2027.

The International Energy Agency said that the recent escalation of hostilities between the U.S., and 'Iran, could change its 'forecast of an 'important oi l market surplus next year. The global oil market received some relief last'month, as a peace deal between the U.S.A. and the 'Iran opened the Strait. Its closure had effectively cut off 'as much as 14 million barrels of crude oil per day during the height of the biggest oil supply crisis ever. The agency reported that global oil production rose by 4.1 mbpd in June but was still 9.4 mbpd lower than pre-war levels. The...