Refined Products

The US factory output unexpectedly dropped in August. Higher oil prices and increasing interest rates may have offset some of the benefits of an artificial intelligence buildout. This will likely keep activity low for the remainder of the year. The Federal Reserve reported on Friday that output had declined after seven consecutive months of growth. US central bank raised interest rates for the first time since three years on Wednesday. It also warned that borrowing costs would continue to rise in the months to come. The oil prices are above $100 per barrel and there is no end to the...

Addie, a farmer of corn, soya beans and cattle, uses two combines, 3 semi-trucks, and several tractors to harvest and move her crops in northeast Missouri from mid-September until late October. She said that with diesel prices at an all-time high and only one combine needing 300 gallons, the best thing she could do was to try to cut back on other expenses. Drew Peterson is a farmer in southeast South Dakota who grows soybeans, corn, and cattle. He expects to pay up to $1,500 a day for fuel to run just one of the combines he uses to harvest...

JP Morgan stated on Thursday that they do not have a baseline view of oil markets for the first time since the US-Israeli War on Iran. Analysts at the bank stated that they "simply do not know how to model endgame." The note noted that JP Morgan assumed at the start of the conflict that there would be a few economic thresholds the U.S. government wouldn't cross. However, six months later, these lines had been crossed and no exit strategy was in sight. The bank stated that gasoline is now $4.37 per gallon, and oil has risen above $100 per...

Retail sales in the U.S. rebounded much more than expected during August, as households stocked up on motor vehicles and restocked for the new school term. This reinforced the economy's resilience at a time when consumers are becoming more concerned about high inflation. The Commerce Department's Census Bureau reported on Wednesday that retail sales rose 1.2% in August after a 0.5% decline in July. This was the first drop in nine months. The economists polled predicted that retail sales (which are mainly?goods, and are not adjusted to inflation) would rebound by 0.8% following a previously reported drop of?0.6% in July....

Three men were chatting in the local United Auto Workers' hall of Lordstown on a Friday afternoon, May. Normaly, they would be working at the battery plant just a few minutes away. They had been unemployed for the entire year. Last fall, the factory owned by General Motors in South Korea and LG Energy Solution announced that it would stop production in January due to slow sales of electric vehicles. Ultium Cells' joint venture let go 480 workers indefinitely and informed the remaining 850 that they would not be needed for several months. This announcement comes just a few short...

U.S. Interior Secretary Doug Burgum stated on Monday that a ban on U.S. fuel or oil exports was unlikely to help lower energy prices for consumers in the midst of the Iran War. Burgum, speaking to reporters at the G20 meeting on energy in Houston, said: "We'd consider an export prohibition if it actually could lower prices. But that's not true." Burgum, a Trump appointee, stated that a ban on the export of oil, gasoline, or diesel could result in retaliatory measures from other countries. This could harm consumers in California, whose energy imports are largely dependent on. Burgum stated,...

U.S. President Donald?Trump called on Ukrainian president Volodymyr?Zelenskiy on Sunday to stop attacking Russian diesel infrastructure. He said the attacks are causing a fuel shortage that "hurts the world". In recent months, long-distance Ukrainian?drone attacks on Russian oil refineries have reduced the country's fuel production. This has led to gasoline shortages in all of Russia. Ukraine, which is regularly attacked by Russia on its own energy infrastructure says that refineries are legitimate targets. According to GasBuddy, the U.S. average price of?diesel - used in trucks, trains and ships, as well as farm equipment - rose above $6 per gallon on...

According to sources familiar with the plans of the administration, the White House is considering?how it can use the Defense Production Act in order to increase U.S. oil refinery capacity. The conflict with Iran has exposed the country's vulnerability due to global crude supply disruptions and price increases. This extraordinary move highlights the growing pressure on the Trump administration to demonstrate that it can control the impact of rising fuel prices for consumers and businesses in advance of the midterm elections scheduled for November. Sources said that the proposal to use the act was brought up at a recent White...

Chevron CEO, Mike 'Wirth' said on Friday that the oil buffers which limited crude prices increases during the Iran War have been exhausted and that the conflict may cause the price to rise further in the coming months. Since the beginning of the war in late February, some countries have released crude stocks to the market. The U.S. has also lifted restrictions on oil that is stored on floating ships from countries subject to?sanctions. Wirth, speaking at the University of Texas?at Austin's energy conference, said that those buffers had now "played themselves out". He said that it was difficult to...

U.S. consumer price increases accelerated in August as gasoline prices rebounded after two consecutive monthly drops. This boosted financial market expectations of a rate hike by the Federal Reserve next week. Bureau of Labor Statistics of the Labor Department announced on Friday that Consumer Price Index rose 0.4% in August after increasing by 0.1% in July. Consumer inflation increased by 3.4% in the 12-month period ending August after increasing by the same amount in July. The economists polled predicted that the CPI would increase by 0.4% in the month of August and 3.4% on an annual basis. The CPI increased...

The International Energy Agency announced on Friday that global oil demand and supply will be lower than originally thought. This is because the Iran War has not been resolved, and the return to 'normal Middle East flows' until 2027 is delayed. Fuel prices are also expected to rise as a result. Crude prices have reached $110 per barrel for the first week since May due to an increase in attacks on oil tankers along Middle East shipping routes. This increase is overshadowed, however, by the record-breaking price of diesel. The IEA has now predicted that the world's oil supply will...

U.S. consumer price increases are likely to accelerate in August, as gasoline prices?rebound after two consecutive monthly declines. This would confirm financial market expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike next week. Labor Department's upcoming Consumer Price Index report will follow the Producer Price Index, which was released on Thursday. The Producer Price Index is the measure of inflation that the U.S. Central Bank uses to track its 2% inflation target. The Fed Governor Christopher Waller said at a NEXT Newsmaker Event that he would be inclined to maintain rates if the data showed that inflation pressures had cooled....

DAMASCUS 17th September - Syria is offering cheaper diesel fuel for heating, agriculture, and industry. Energy Minister Mohammed al-Bashir announced this on 'Thursday. Days after a fuel hike triggered some of the largest protests - since the fall Bashar al-Assad. The government's move is a partial retreat after the increases last weekend sparked protests across the country. Protesters burned tyres and?blocked?roads to demand the increases be reversed. UN estimates say that 90% of Syrians are below the poverty level. Bashir said at a press briefing that diesel will be sold for three different prices, 115,150 and 175 Syrian pounds a...

Naseem al-Akkari has been experiencing power cuts for many years. He owns a restaurant chain in the capital of Libya, Tripoli. It wasn't until the summer heatwaves of this year that his business was put in danger. He lost an estimated $40,000 within a few months. The generator must run in order to keep the goods from spoiling. "You have no other choice than to buy diesel on the black market in order to keep running," he said during an interview where the power had gone out more than ten times. The combination of rising temperatures and global energy disruptions,...

Poland's Orlen announced on Wednesday that it had purchased?16,000,000 barrels of additional oil for its Polish,?Lithuanian, and Czech plants. Traders said the company was rushing to secure crude in order to cover disruptions in Saudi supply until November. Saudi Arabia's petroleum industry is struggling to cope with the effects of a series of attacks from Iran-aligned militias, one of which shut down its East-West Pipeline?on 10 September. Saudi Aramco, the state-owned oil company, has been Orlen’s biggest supplier of oil since 2022. It provides around 40%. Orlen announced in a Wednesday statement that it had contracted for 16 additional deliveries...

Two Asian refiners, according to sources familiar with the matter, have asked Saudi Aramco to switch the benchmark for their long-term crude contracts from Dubai to ICE Brent. Middle Eastern price indicators have surged over Brent since August, due to the increasing tensions between Iran and the United States. The APPEC Conference in Singapore is an annual gathering of Middle Eastern producers and Asian refining companies to discuss long-term contracts. These are usually finalised by the end of the year. Sources said that refiners requested supplies for 2027 during this week's discussions. They cited the increased volatility of the Middle...

Donald Trump has said that he expects the war against Iran to end following the midterm elections in November. He also threatened to 'again' attack a nuclear site linked to the Islamic Republic after both sides launched their 'biggest wave of strikes on shipping since the beginning of the six-month war. Saudi civil defense authorities issued emergency alerts on Thursday in Khamis Mushait, a city in southwest Yemen, for the fourth consecutive day, after clashes with the Houthis, who are backed by Iran. Brent crude prices were above $100 per barrel, as both supply routes through the Strait of Hormuz...

* The global shortage of uranium has been eased by clandestine shipments Oil prices have risen because of the uncertainty over oil volumes * Difference between peak daily flows and the average Dmitry Zhdannikov & Anushree Mukerjee LONDON, September?9, - Estimates of Middle Eastern oil flows have been wildly varying since tankers started "dark crossings", meaning that they sail without transponder signals, to avoid Iranian attacks. The clandestine "shipments" have greatly increased supplies while the incertitude over their scope has added to the premium on international oil prices. Last week, U.S. Diesel prices reached a record high. Last week, the...

Brent crude, the global benchmark for oil prices, has risen this month. However it has remained below $100 per barrel despite the recent escalation of the U.S. - Iran conflict which has caused disruptions in Gulf exports via the Strait of Hormuz or the Red Sea. According to Argus, Crude Oil?shipments are now at 11 million barrels a day (bpd), down from 18 million bpd prior to the Iran War seven months ago. What are the factors that influence oil prices? SIGNIFICANT VOLUMES CAN FLOW?THROUGH HORMIZ Claudio Galimberti, Rystad's Chief Economical Officer, stated that in the week prior to fighting...

The National Oil Corporation (NOC), a state-owned company, said in a press release that a remote-controlled 'drone' attack on a fuel depot in Tripoli, Libya, caused?minor damages. As a precaution, the NOC stated that teams of technical experts had started removing fuel from tanks. No one has claimed responsibility for the attack and the authorities have not revealed who they believe was behind it. The attack caused minor damage to tanks and pipelines no. Ahmed Al-Masallati is the?spokesperson of Brega Petroleum Marketing, who are responsible for Libya's fuel supply. The incident had no impact on supply operations and there were...

Three sources 'close to the issue' told us that OPEC+ will likely keep its oil production?policy for October unchanged at a meeting this Sunday. The producer group has completed the unwinding one layer of cuts in production and is now focusing on 2027 quota negotiation. The Iran War continues to disrupt oil exports via the Strait of Hormuz. This reduces OPEC+’s influence on prices and market share. The group's decisions on supply now have less impact on the market than in the past. The meeting on Sunday will include seven core OPEC+ countries: Saudi Arabia (and Russia), Kuwait, Algeria and...

Energy Secretary Chris Wright of the United States said that after arriving in Venezuela on Tuesday, the oil companies in the U.S. as well as?other countries will sign deals in Caracas tomorrow that will result in a more-than-doubling in crude production over the next few year. Wright is in Venezuela for a day-long visit, his second trip since U.S. troops seized Venezuelan leader Nicolas Maduro's office in January. Venezuelan oil production peaked at over 3 million barrels a day in the late 90s, but then plummeted due to a lack investment, poor management and U.S. sanction. In recent months, it...

Chris Wright, the U.S. Energy Secretary, said that after arriving in Venezuela on Tuesday that the 'deals' that oil companies from the U.S. The oil companies from the United States and other countries will sign deals in Caracas tomorrow that will result in a more-than-doubling of crude oil production over the next few decades. Wright is on a one day trip to Venezuela, the founding OPEC member. This is his second visit since U.S. troops seized Venezuela's Nicolas Maduro as leader in January. Venezuelan oil production peaked at over 3?million barrels a day in the late 1990s, but then?plummeted due...

The Iranian conflict has continued to affect the supply of refined petroleum products in Asia. In August, the region that consumes the most refined fuels saw its imports drop to their lowest level since the start of the war. Asia's imports of light and medium distillates were estimated at 5,10 million barrels a day (bpd), down from 5,61 million bpd during July, according to Kpler data, a commodities analyst. Imports are down by about 2 million bpd, compared to the 7.06 million bpd average in the three months prior to February 28, when Israel and the U.S. launched airstrikes against...