Refined Products








Asia

North America

Refined Products

Sources say that the Trump administration could relax US shipping regulations to combat the fuel price spike.

Two sources with knowledge of the discussions said that the Trump administration has told U.S. shipping groups and oil companies to prepare for the 'potential waiver' of the century-old Jones Act governing domestic shipping in order to facilitate the movement of fuel across the country. Sources said that the announcement could be made as soon as Thursday. It would aim to combat the'spiking fuel prices' since the U.S. and Israeli war on Iran. The White House has not yet commented. According to the Jones Act?goods transported between U.S. port must be?carried by vessels?that were built in the U.S., are U.S....

Oil & Gas

McGeever: Higher oil prices cloud Wall Street's optimistic earnings outlook

Even if the Iran War ends soon, U.S. oil prices will be structurally higher this year. Investors may have to reconsider their optimistic 2026 earnings estimates. The consensus oil outlook for 2026 was quite bearish while Wall Street's earnings forecasts were very optimistic. This has not changed. According to LSEG 'data, the full-year earnings growth estimate for 2026 was nearly 16% as of?Friday. This is up from 14% a year ago and 12% a year before. These 'rosy forecasts' assume that oil prices will average $60 per barrel this year, but those expectations have disappeared with the U.S. and Israeli...

Energy Markets

US gasoline prices exceed $3.50 per gallon as the Iran war continues

Gasoline prices in the United States have risen to their highest level since May 2024. This is according to data from AAA and GasBuddy, two price tracking services. The 'Israel-U.S. War with Iran' has stoked supply concerns. Fuel prices have risen across the world due to disruptions in Middle Eastern oil exports via the Strait of Hormuz. This could pinch the wallets of consumers and derail the global economy. This could be the greatest risk to U.S. president Donald Trump and the Republican Party during the November midterm elections. Trump's vow to lower energy prices was a key factor in...

Energy Markets

US gasoline prices exceed $3.50 per gallon as the Iran war continues

Data from AAA and GasBuddy, two price tracking services, showed that the national average retail price for gasoline surpassed $3.50 per gallon last week, its highest level?since May 20, 2024. The Israel-U.S. war with Iran is causing supply concerns. Fuel prices have risen across the world due to disruptions in Middle Eastern oil exports via the Strait of Hormuz. This could pinch the wallets of consumers and derail the global economy. This could be the greatest risk to U.S. president Donald Trump and his Republican Party during the Midterm Elections in November. Geopolitical shockwaves do not take months to affect...

Oil & Gas

McGeever: Higher oil prices cloud Wall Street's optimistic earnings outlook

Investors might need to reconsider their optimistic 2026 earnings estimates for U.S. corporations, even if Iran's war is over soon. The consensus forecast for 2026 for oil was a bit bearish while Wall Street's earnings predictions were surprisingly optimistic. This has not changed. According to LSEG data as of Friday, the full-year earnings growth estimate for 2026 was nearly 16%. This is up from 14% in 2017 and 12% last year. Those rosy forecasts assumed an average 'oil price' this?year of $60 per barrel – an expectation that vanished into thin air when the U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran...

Crude Oil

Trump says a new refinery is planned near the US border.

Donald Trump, the U.S. president, announced plans on Tuesday for a new oil refinery in Brownsville. He thanked Reliance Industries, an Indian energy company, for its contribution to the project. Trump announced the project as U.S. motorists are reacting to the spike in gas prices after the U.S. - Israel war with?Iran. He also made the announcement while Republicans and Democrats prepare for the midterm elections, which could determine the party that controls Congress during the final two years of Trump’s presidency. America First Refining stated in a press release that, once operational, a 168,000 barrel per day (bpd), refinery,...

Refined Products

Sugar prices drop as Trump predicts a de-escalation of the Iran War

Oil prices dropped sharply on Tuesday after U.S. president Donald Trump predicted that the Iran War could be over soon. Dealers stated that the market was focused on the degree to which high energy costs could reduce sugar production in Brazil, where mills are able to adjust their factories to produce more sugar or ethanol depending on the market price for each. The ICE exchange's raw sugar price?futures settled at 14.38 cents per lb after dropping nearly 3% earlier, while the white sugar futures dropped?0.5%, to $418.40 a metric tonne. Petrobras is Brazil's state controlled oil company. It supplies around...

Refined Products

As the war continues, both low and high income US consumers could be hit by higher gasoline prices, volatile stock, and rising stocks.

The U.S. and Israel war against?Iran is likely to hit consumers hard across the United States' economic spectrum. This could undermine a key component of the economy that was?expected? to boom this year due in part because of a hefty income tax refund, low unemployment and rising asset prices. Analysts felt that both "spurs", of the U.S.'so-called K-shaped economic model, could maintain or even increase spending in the upcoming months. Wealth effects would lead better-off families and service industry workers to spend more, while windfall tax refunds due to 'new exemptions on overtime and tip income, helped hourly workers. Both...

Energy Markets

Sugar prices drop as Trump predicts a de-escalation of the Iran War

As U.S. president Donald Trump predicted that the Iran War could end soon, oil prices dropped around 7%. Dealers stated that the market's focus remained on how high energy prices might affect sugar production in Brazil, where mills can adjust their plants so they make more sugar or ethanol depending on the market?prices. Raw sugar futures were down 2% on the ICE exchange at 14.29 cents a lb. They had earlier fallen?nearly 3%. White sugar futures dropped 1.4% to $414.90 a metric tonne. Petrobras, the state-owned oil company in Brazil that supplies about 80% of gasoline to the country, has...

Crude Oil

Mike Dolan explains how oil shocks and financial stress are often mutually reinforcing.

The central banks are watching the Iran oil shock with hawk-like eyes. Even if the main concern is inflation, it is not the only one. The worst case scenario for top policymakers would be that the crude price spike proves to be a breaking point in multiple financial stress fractures. Already, the central banks are being challenged by the surge in oil prices due to supply disruptions caused by more than a week of "war" in the Middle East. It's an age-old debate whether oil price spikes, which raise inflation and inflation expectations, ultimately hurt household and business finances to...

Refined Products

Livestock-CME cattle prices fall amid inflation fears and crude oil surge

Chicago Mercantile Exchange feeder cattle and live cattle futures declined?on Monday, as rising gasoline and a'stock market decline' stoked broader concerns and fueled fears about?consumer expenditure on beef. Managed funds exited their long positions for the?second straight day and technical selling has accelerated the decline of the market as actively traded contracts have fallen below recent lows, and broken through key technical chart resistance levels. The feeder cattle market was further impacted by the high feed corn prices. Since the U.S. President Donald Trump, and his allies in Israel, attacked Iran over a week ago, the markets, including commodities, are...

Crude Oil

How could Trump combat the rise in oil prices?

U.S. president Donald Trump will review a number of options as soon as Monday to tame the oil prices. They have soared since 2022 due to the U.S. and Israel?war against Iran. Some options could spark domestic and international opposition. The stakes are very high. The stakes are high. Here are some options that?Trump? could choose from: SALE OF OIL FROM STRATEGIC OIL RESOURCES Trump can order the sale of oil in the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve, and coordinate with partners and allies on a worldwide release. The goal would be to lower prices by increasing the supply. SPR in...

Europe

Crude Oil

As the Middle East war escalates, oil prices rise as Iraqi tankers are attacked.

The price of oil rose on Thursday, after 'Iraqi officials reported that Iranian explosive-laden ships had 'hit two fuel-oil tankers. Brent futures were up $5.69 or?6.19%?to $97.67 per barrel at 0118 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) was up $5.11 or 5.66%?to $92.36. Farhan al Fartousi, director general of?General Company for Ports', said on Wednesday that two foreign tankers carrying Iraqi oil fuel were struck by unknown attackers and caught fire. Initial investigation by Iraqi security officials revealed that explosive-laden boats from Iran struck the two tankers. Tony Sycamore is an IG analyst. He said: "This seems to be...

Crude Oil

US considers easing Russian oil sanction to cool global prices surge, sources claim

According to sources familiar with Trump's plans, the administration may reduce oil sanctions on Russia in order to cool the surge in global energy prices caused by the U.S. and Israeli war against Iran. An announcement could be made as early as Monday. The U.S. would like to increase world oil supplies amid the'massive disruptions in Middle East shipments due to the expanding conflict. But this could also complicate its efforts to deny Russia revenue from its war in Ukraine. Sources who spoke on condition of anonymity said that the discussions could include a broad relief of sanctions as well...

Fossil Fuels

Serbia suspends exports of energy to protect the market from a surge in crude prices due to the Iran war

Serbia has suspended crude oil and fuel product exports in order to protect 'its' market from price spikes and shortages. The energy minister announced this on Monday as global crude oil prices jumped above $119 per barrel due to supply uncertainty caused by the war in Iran. In a press release, Energy Minister Dubravka Djedovic handanovic stated that the suspension is effective until March 19. It applies to all modes of transport for exporting?diesel and gasoline, as well as crude oil. Due to the uncertainty surrounding global supply in light of the conflict in Iran, crude oil prices on Monday...

East Asia

Middle East

Energy Markets

Oil prices drop after US grants license to countries to purchase Russian oil that has been stranded on sea for 30 Days

The price of oil dropped Friday morning, after the U.S. granted a license to countries for a period of 30 days to purchase Russian oil as well as?petroleum stranded in the sea. This eased supply concerns. Brent futures fell 71 cents or 0.71% to $99.75 per barrel at 0123 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI), was?down 88 cts or 0.92% to $94.85. The license was granted in what Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent described as a move to stabilize global energy markets that were roiled by war in Iran. The license will not resolve the fundamental problem. Yang An,...

Refined Products

The revenue from Russia's biggest oil tax is expected to double in March due to the global price rise

Calculations showed that the proceeds from Russia's mineral extract tax, which is its largest tax item for crude oil production and the country's?largest taxable item, could almost double in March due to the global price rally induced by the conflict in the Middle East. The global oil benchmarks soared to $119 per barrel on Monday, the highest level since June 2022. This was due to supply cuts from Saudi Arabia and others producers, which stoked fears of a major disruption to global supplies. The price increase of crude oil, along with the natural gas that it produces, will benefit Russia's...

Energy Markets

Russell: Crude oil futures are not in line with reality, as the Asia physical market collapses.

Crude oil futures prices'reflect a view of the market that it can successfully navigate through the Iran War, while the prices for physical cargoes or refined products signal an imminent crisis. One of these signals is not the case in the paper oil market. Brent crude futures for the global benchmark ended Wednesday at $91.98 per barrel, an increase of 4.8% over the previous close, but down from the brief spike that occurred on March 9, when they reached $119.50 - the highest price in almost four years. On the physical market, on Wednesday the premium of a physical cargo...

Energy Markets

IEA: Middle East conflict will cause the largest ever oil supply disruption.

The International Energy Agency announced on Thursday that the war in the Middle East has caused the largest oil supply disruption ever. This comes a day after the agency agreed to release record volumes from its strategic stockpiles in order to counter shortages and spikes in prices. The IEA stated in its latest monthly report that global supply is expected to fall by 8 million barrels a day in March due to the blockage of the Strait of Hormuz - a narrow 'channel' along the Iranian coastline - since the U.S. began an airstrike campaign against Iran on February 28,...

Crude Oil

What impact could persistently high oil price have on India's fragile economy?

The external balance of India and its government finances may be affected if oil prices remain high for a long time, according to economists. This is because the Iran War will increase the cost of oil imports and the subsidies required to keep key commodities affordable. India is considered one of the most vulnerable countries to an oil shock because it imports almost 90% of its crude and about 50% of its natural gas. India imports more than?half? of its crude from the Middle East where the U.S./Israeli war against Iran has disrupted export flows. India's oil reserves are currently...

Refined Products

Trump's Kentucky trip aims to alleviate concerns about the cost of living caused by the Iran war

Donald Trump hoped to reassure Americans on a visit to Kentucky and Ohio, Wednesday, that the rising prices of 'gasoline' were temporary. Republican colleagues worried that these increases were causing voter anxiety over the economy. Trump's first campaign trip since the U.S. and Israeli military operation against Iran began on February 28, was a successful one. He could use the trip to hone his economic message, and highlight his achievements ahead of the midterm elections in November. His fellow Republicans are defending a narrow?majority in both chambers of Congress. Trump's first remarks at his stop in Cincinnati, Ohio were centered...

Oil & Gas Refining

Catsimatidis, a billionaire Catsimatidis, says that the pain at the pump will subside in about a month.

In an interview with NBC News on Tuesday, John Catsimatidis said that consumers will be relieved of the steep increases in fuel prices at the pump in the next month or two. Fuel prices have soared due to supply disruptions resulting from the Israel-U.S. conflict with Iran. This poses a serious threat to U.S. president Donald Trump and the Republican Party in advance of November's midterm elections. Catsimatidis said that he believed the worst of the price increases were over. U.S. average gasoline prices have risen by nearly 60 cents in the past month since the joint U.S. and Israeli...

Fossil Fuels

OPEC confirms large Saudi oil production increase ahead of Iran War, but holds forecasts steady

OPEC announced?on?? Wednesday that Saudi Arabia increased its oil production sharply in February, ahead of U.S. & Israeli attacks on Iran. It also maintained its forecasts regarding a relatively strong growth in global oil demand this year. Sources familiar with the plan stated in February that Saudi Arabia increased output and exports in preparation for a possible U.S. strike against Iran, which could disrupt Middle?East supply. The attack occurred on February 28, and the ensuing conflict caused oil exports to be disrupted, production to stop and prices to soar. In a report published on OPEC's website, Saudi Arabia informed the...

Crude Oil

Mike Dolan: The dangers of US oil-driven redistribution

U.S. indexes of the stock market have so far weathered the oil shock this month well because investors are expecting only a slight GDP impact from higher energy prices. This'resilience' masks the fact that income is shifting from households to 'Big Energy, and this could be a very dangerous trend in an election year. As uncertainty continues to rage about the length and extent of the Iran War, the sharp and volatile rises in energy costs have caused oil and natural gas prices to look structurally higher for the coming year. Fertilizer shipments are also being held up in the...

Energy Markets

Egypt increases domestic fuel prices up to 17% amid global oil turmoil

The petroleum ministry announced that Egypt increased prices on a range of fuel products?on Tuesday. This comes as the Middle East continues to be affected by the U.S. and Israeli war?on Iran and the rising price of oil and gas. The ministry released a statement that said, "This is due to the extraordinary situation caused by the geopolitical development in the Middle East and its direct effect on the global energy markets". The decision was made just days after Egyptian Premier Mostafa?Madbouly stated in a presser?on 3rd March that the state could resort to?exceptional measures' if fuel prices rose significantly...

Oil & Gas

Trump considers other measures to cool down oil prices, including easing Russia sanctions

Multiple sources claim that Donald Trump may announce an announcement as early as Monday evening to curb the soaring global oil prices in light of the conflict with Iran. According to multiple sources, the White House is concerned that the spike in oil prices after more than a week of U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran could hurt U.S. consumers and businesses ahead of November's midterm elections when Trump and his fellow Republicans hope they can retain control of Congress. Two sources familiar with the situation said that Trump was in Florida to address congressional Republicans who were gathered at an annual...

Energy Markets

Two sources claim that Saudi Aramco has reduced output at two oilfields.

Two sources reported on Monday that Saudi oil 'giant 'Aramco had begun cutting production at two of its fields, following the U.S. and Israeli war against Iran, which was followed by attacks on the Strait of Hormuz. The fields where production is being cut and how much was not immediately known. Aramco declined to comment on the rerouting of some crude cargoes from its Red Sea port to Yanbu. The world's largest oil exporter has reduced its production to highlight the?severe logistics bottlenecks? in the region. Since the U.S. began attacking Iran, on February 28, and Tehran responded by launching...