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Oil prices pause as markets consider Trump's ultimatum against Russia

After a spike in the previous session of over 3%, oil prices were down in Asian trade Wednesday as investors waited for developments regarding President Donald Trump's new deadline to Russia to end its war in Ukraine.

Brent crude futures were up 8 cents or 0.12% to $71.81 a barge by 0419 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was also up 8 cents or 0.12% to $69.29 a barge.

Brent crude, the September contract that expires on Wednesday, was up 18 cents to $72.69 per barrel.

The settlements of both contracts on Tuesday were the highest since June 20, 2006.

Trump announced on Tuesday that if Russia did not end the war in 10-12 days, he would begin imposing secondary tariffs on its trading partners of 100%. This is a move from a previous 50-day deadline.

Vandana Insights, the oil market analyst, said that the $4-$5 per barrel premium for supply risk, which was introduced in recent days, can be expected to continue, unless Putin takes a conciliatory step.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said at a Stockholm news conference where the U.S. and EU were holding trade negotiations, that the United States warned China, which is the biggest buyer of Russian oil to stop buying it or face large tariffs.

Analysts at JP Morgan said that India had signaled it would comply with U.S. Sanctions, which could put 2.3 million barrels of Russian oil per day in danger.

The United States, the European Union and other countries have avoided a trade conflict with an agreement for 15% U.S. Tariffs on European Imports. This deal eases concerns over the impact of trade tensions on the economic growth as well as providing support for oil prices.

After talks last week, foreign partners of Venezuela's state oil company PDVSA still await U.S. authorization to operate in the country sanctioned. This could bring some supply back to the market and ease the pressure on prices.

Hari said that the oil market pays attention to the U.S. Trade Deals and Talks and the Fed but these are only marginal influences on sentiment.

The U.S. Federal Reserve, despite President Donald Trump’s objections at the policy meeting on Wednesday evening, is expected to keep interest rates unchanged.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) raised its global growth predictions slightly for 2025-2026 on Tuesday. However, it warned that the world economy was facing major risks such as geopolitical tension, a rise in tariffs, and a larger fiscal deficit. Reporting by Mohi Nairayan in New Delhi; Additional reporting by Colleen Hough in Beijing. Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman, Clarence Fernandez.

(source: Reuters)