Middle East

ConocoPhillips CEO Ryan Lance stated on Tuesday that U.S. shale production will plateau if oil prices stay where they are and will begin to decline when oil prices reach $50 per barrel. "The breakeven has probably not moved much." "I think that long-term if oil prices are in a range where they're comfortable - perhaps in the 70s or 65-75 - we will still see modest growth from the U.S.," Lance said, speaking at Qatar Economic Forum. We see a plateauing of production in the U.S. by the end of this year, unless we have a technological breakthrough. Don't bet...

A spokesperson for Mubadala Energy in the United Arab Emirates said that Mubadala Energy had signed an initial contract to supply gas to Indonesia's state fertiliser manufacturer Pupuk Indonesia. Paul Slinger, speaking at an industry conference organized by the Indonesia Petroleum Association, said that Mubadala Energy would supply 115 millions standard cubic feet of methanol per day to Pupuk and 85 mmscfd for its ammonia facility. Slinger stated that the gas will be delivered as soon as production starts at Mubadala Energy South Andaman Block. The Tangkulo-1 well is expected to begin producing by late 2028. Mubadala Energy reported last...

Donald Trump said that he would be meeting with the presidents from Russia and Ukraine to discuss stopping the "bloodbath" in Ukraine. What are the obstacles that the U.S. President faces when he is trying to negotiate a peace agreement with Russia and Ukraine? SECURITY GUARANTEE Ukraine, which has been subjected to a full scale invasion in 2022, and witnessed Russia annex Crimea, needs security guarantees from major powers, primarily the United States. Sources involved in the talks say that the problem is that a security agreement without teeth could leave Ukraine vulnerable. Diplomats talked about a "robust" security guarantee,...

On Friday, hundreds of Libyan demonstrators called for the removal of Abdulhamid Dbeibah as the internationally recognized prime minister. At least three ministers also resigned to show their support. Demonstrators gathered on Martyrs' Square, Tripoli. They chanted slogans like "The nation wants the topple of the government" or "We want elections." The protesters then marched on to the main building of the government in the center of the city. One protester declared, "We will not leave until he leaves." The marchers carried photos of Dbeibah, National Security Advisor Ibrahim Dbeibah and interior minister Emad Tarbulsi in which their faces were...

ADNOC, the state-owned oil company of Abu Dhabi, requested approval from the EU on Thursday under the rules on foreign subsidies for its $16.4 billion acquisition of German chemicals firm Covestro. The request was made on the website of the European Commission. ADNOC's largest acquisition ever, for which it received the green light last week under EU merger regulations, demonstrates the Middle East countries diversification of investments in order to reduce their dependence upon oil. The EU's Foreign Subsidies Regulations (FSR) target unfair foreign aid to companies in order to reduce the competition from non EU companies that are subsidised...

The International Energy Agency (IEA), said Thursday that economic headwinds and record sales of electric cars will reduce global oil consumption growth to 650,000 barrels a day for the rest of 2025. This is a significant drop from the 990 000 bpd that the IEA estimated for the demand growth between January and March. In its oil market report for May, the IEA stated that "increased trade uncertainties are expected to have a negative impact on the global economy, and by extension, the oil demand." IEA expects the global demand to grow by 740,000 bpd this year. This is an...

Mukesh ambani, the Indian billionaire, will meet with Donald Trump, President of the United States, and Qatar's emir in Doha, according to two sources. His company, Reliance Industries, is looking to strengthen ties between authorities in both countries. Qatar's sovereign fund, QIA has invested in Reliance over the years. Ambani is Asia's wealthiest man and has many business relationships with U.S. technology giants like Google and Meta. Ambani is attending a state dinner in Doha for Trump, but he does not intend to have any business or investment discussions. This was confirmed by the first source who has direct knowledge...

Witnesses in Tripoli said that the most intense clashes since years continued through Wednesday morning after Monday's death of a key militia leader sparked fighting between rival groups. The United Nations Libya Mission UNSMIL expressed its "deep alarm" at the violence escalating in Tripoli's densely populated areas and called for an immediate ceasefire. The latest unrests in Libya's capital follow battles that seemed to consolidate Abdulhamid al-Dbeibah's power as prime minister of the divided government of National Unity (GNU), and an ally of Turkey. Any prolonged fighting in Tripoli could attract factions outside of the capital. This could lead to...

Witnesses in Tripoli said that the most intense clashes since years continued through Wednesday morning after Monday's death of a key militia leader sparked fighting between rival groups. The United Nations Libya Mission UNSMIL expressed its "deep alarm" at the violence escalating in Tripoli's densely populated areas and called for an immediate ceasefire. The latest unrests in Libya's capital may consolidate Abdulhamid al-Dbeibah's power. He is the prime minister of the divided Government of National Unity of Libya (GNU), and an ally of Turkey. Libya has seen little stability since an uprising in 2011 backed by NATO ousted Muammar Gadaffi,...

Iraq will export 3.2m barrels of crude oil per day in May and in June, according to an Iraqi official who is familiar with the situation. This would be a substantial reduction compared to previous months. The official, who declined to give his name because the matter was confidential, added that the lower export plan is part Iraq's efforts in order to meet its schedule of compensation reductions pledged to OPEC+. Iraq's oil minister reported a rate of 3.42 million barrels per day in March. This would indicate a lower level of exports. Baghdad is yet to report April exports....

The Gulf stock markets were up early Monday morning, buoyed both by the rising oil price and progress in U.S. China trade negotiations. This was a positive sign as U.S. president Donald Trump prepared to visit this region. On Monday, the United States and China announced that they had reached an agreement to reduce reciprocal tariffs in order to end their trade war which has caused global economic disruption and shaken financial markets. A fragile ceasefire between India and Pakistan also seemed to ease geopolitical tensions. In the meantime, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy declared his willingness to meet Russian president...

Norway's sovereign fund, which is the largest in the world, sold all its shares to Israel's Paz Retail and Energy, because the company owns and runs infrastructure that supplies fuel to Israeli settlements on the West Bank. The Council on Ethics of the fund, which is responsible for overseeing the fund's ethical standards, had adopted a stricter interpretation in August, aimed at businesses that support Israel's activities in the occupied Palestinian Territories. In December, the first divestment took place from Israeli telecoms company Bezeq. The fund operates according to guidelines set forth by the Norwegian parliament. It is regarded as...

Oil prices fell on Thursday, as the unexpected buildup of U.S. crude oil and fuel inventories raised concerns about demand. Investors remained cautious, keeping their eyes on the renewed Iran-U.S. nuclear talks. Brent futures fell 33 cents or 0.5% to $64.58 per barrel at 0038 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude dropped 32 cents or 0.5% to $61.25. Both benchmarks fell by 0.7% on Tuesday. The Energy Information Administration reported on Wednesday that U.S. crude oil and fuel inventories showed a surprise build last week. Crude imports reached a six-week peak and gasoline and distillate demands dropped. The EIA reported...

Four sources with knowledge of the matter have confirmed that Malaysia's Pengerang Refining Company, or Prefchem, has restarted its residue fluid catalytic (RFCC), after it was shut down for repairs in early 2018. One source said that the run rates of the Pengerang complex, in Johor which produces primarily gasoline, are still not at full capacity. They said that the unit had been closed since the end of January because of technical problems. In addition, the crude processing rate at the 300 000 bpd refinery has also fallen to an average of around 50% in the last four months. Prefchem,...

Early Thursday, oil prices fell by nearly $1 on the back of expectations for a possible U.S. Iran nuclear deal. Meanwhile, an unexpected increase in U.S. crude inventories in the past week heightened investor concern about oversupply. Brent crude futures dropped 88 cents or 1.3% to $65.21 per barrel at 0055 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures (WTI), which are based in the United States, fell 92 cents or 1.5% to $62.23. Both benchmarks fell by about 0.8% Wednesday. In an interview with NBC News published on Wednesday, an Iranian official said that Iran would be willing to make...

The oil prices fell on Wednesday, as traders watched for a possible increase in U.S. crude stocks. Prices remained near their two-week highs though amid optimism following the United States' and China's agreement to temporarily lower reciprocal tariffs. Brent crude futures dropped 39 cents or 0.6% to $66.24 per barrel at 0400 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI), which is a benchmark for the U.S., fell 36 cents or 0.6% to $63.31. Both benchmarks rose more than 2.5% the previous session. China and the United States agreed to suspend their trade war at least for 90 days. The United...

China's crude oil imports have been positive for the first few months of this year. However, rather than being a sign that fuel demand is improving, the improvement has more to do with rising inventories. Customs data released Friday show that the world's largest crude importer, Saudi Arabia, recorded an average of 11,69 million barrels a day in April. This is down from the 12.1 million bpd it had in March, but up 7.5% from the 10,88 million bpd for the same period last year. The imports in March were the highest since August 2023, and April's relatively strong performance...

Oil prices rose slightly on Friday after increasing about 3% the previous session as trade tensions between the top oil consumers U.S.A. and China began to ease and Britain announced an "important" trade agreement with the United States. Brent crude rose by 23 cents or 0.37% to $63.07 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas intermediate crude gained 21 cents or 0.35% at $60.12 a barrel as of 0507 GMT. Both contracts closed Thursday with gains of nearly 3%. U.S. Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent and Vice Premier He Lifeng of China will meet in Switzerland on 10 May to resolve trade...

A survey shows that OPEC's oil production fell in April despite a planned increase in output. This was due to a reduction in Venezuelan supplies in response to renewed U.S. efforts to reduce the flow of oil and smaller drops in Iraq, Libya, and Libya. According to a survey released on Thursday, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) produced 26.60 millions barrels of oil per day in March, a decrease of 30,000 barrels per days from the total for the month of March. This was due to a reduction by some producers, which was offset by an increase...

Oil prices rose on Thursday, after dropping more than $1 the previous session. This was due to hopes that a breakthrough would be made in upcoming trade talks between China and the U.S., two of the largest oil consumers in the world. Brent crude futures rose 51 cents or 0.8% to $61.63 per barrel. U.S. West Texas intermediate crude rose 57 Cents or 1%, reaching $58.64 per barrel at 0420 GMT. Tina Teng, an independent analyst, said that optimism around the U.S.-China trade talks at the weekend was a major factor in supporting the recovery of the oil market. "Signs...

Investor sentiment was weighed down by uncertainty about the outcome of the trade talks between China and the U.S., the two world's largest oil consumers. Brent crude futures remained unchanged at $61.12 per barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate oil rose 6 cents or 0.1% at $58.12 per barrel at 0058 GMT. Both contracts fell 1.7% Wednesday, as investors doubted the outcome of upcoming trade negotiations. Scott Bessent, U.S. Treasury secretary, will meet China's top official in the economy on May 10, for talks about a trade conflict that is disrupting global economic growth. These two countries have the largest...

The oil prices rose in the early Asian hours of Friday, after China announced that it was open to talks with the United States. This raised hopes for a deescalation of the bitter trade war between two world's largest economies. Brent crude futures increased 38 cents or 0.6% to $62.51 per barrel at 0136 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude futures also rose 38 cents or 0.6% to $59.62 per barrel. China's Commerce Ministry said on Friday that the United States had recently taken steps to start a dialog with Beijing through information being passed along by relevant parties. Oil...

The oil prices stabilized on Thursday, a day following a sharp decline caused by the signs that Saudi Arabia may increase its output, and data showing the contraction of the U.S. economy, the largest oil consumer in the world. Brent crude futures dropped 6 cents or 0.1% to $61 per barrel at 0730 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude Futures fell 12 Cents, or 0.2% to $58.09. WTI reached its lowest level since March 2021. Sugandha Sasdeva, founder and CEO of SS WealthStreet in New Delhi, said that the "path of least resistance" remains to the downside. Sachdeva stated that...

The oil prices rose slightly on Thursday after sharp drops the day before, driven by signs that Saudi Arabia can produce more and the fact that the U.S. economic contraction in the first quarter. Brent crude futures increased 16 cents OR 0.3% to $61.22 per barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude Futures rose 6 cents, or 0.1% to $58.27. The two contracts closed Wednesday at their lowest levels in four years. Sources say Saudi Arabian officials have informed allies and experts in the industry that the kingdom does not want to support the oil market by cutting further supplies and...