Middle East








Energy Markets

Oil & Gas

Oil & Gas

WSJ reports that IEA is proposing the largest oil release ever from strategic reserves.

The Wall Street Journal, citing sources familiar with the issue, reported that the 'International Energy Agency' has proposed the 'largest release in oil reserves history to lower a soaring crude price? due to the U.S./Israel war against Iran. WSJ reported that the release of oil would be greater than the 182,000,000 barrels?of crude oil that IEA members countries released in two releases in 2022, when Russia began its full-scale 'invasion' of Ukraine. The Wall Street Journal reported that the IEA will convene an extraordinary meeting with its member states 'on Tuesday. They are expected to 'decide on the proposal -...

Oil & Gas

White House to Americans - Energy prices will rise temporarily due to Iran

Karoline Leavitt, White House Press Secretary, said on Tuesday that the American public would see oil and gas prices fall rapidly once the joint Israeli-U.S. war against Iran is fully accomplished. Leavitt told reporters that the increase in gas and oil prices was temporary and the operation would result in lower prices over the long-term. Prices of oil on Monday soared to $119 per barrel, their highest level?since June 20, 2022. Supply cuts by Saudi Arabia and other producers have stoked concerns about major disruptions in global supply. Leavitt said that Trump's energy team was closely monitoring the markets and...

Mining

Chile's Kast, elected in an economic boom, takes office amid global turmoil

Local markets rallied in December after Chile's far-right president,?Jose Antonio Kast, was elected on promises of economic expansion, deregulation, and cuts to public spending. But the economic tailwinds are now turbulent, as the iran war has sent the global markets into a tailspin. Kast is now responsible for managing the turmoil. A spokesperson from Kast's economic team stated that there were no contingencies planned for the moment, but didn't provide any further details on how recent events would affect their economic agenda. Kenneth Bunker is a political expert and academic from the University of San Sebastian. He said that Kast...

Oil & Gas

Britain and allies support shipping through Strait of Hormuz

'Britain and its allies are working on a variety of options to support commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz despite iranian threats. The spokesman for Prime Minister Keir 'Starmer said that Tuesday, as the U.S. - Israel war against Iran is roiling oil prices. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, has said that the war will end "soon." He also stated that the U.S. would escalate its attack if Iran attempted to block tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz. Downing Street read out a statement after speaking with the leaders of Germany, Italy and France late on Monday. They...

Oil & Gas

Hugo Boss says Middle East conflict has not yet affected its profits, despite exceeding estimates.

The German fashion group Hugo Boss announced a better-than expected annual operating profit on Tuesday, despite a difficult market environment. It also said that it has not yet felt the impact of the Middle East conflict. The company's earnings before interest and tax (EBIT), which were 391 million euro ($455million) in 2025, are up from 361 millions euros a year ago, and well above the average analyst forecast of 379million euros, according to a poll conducted by the company. Early trading saw a 4% rise in shares of the company. The stock has risen 1.3% from the beginning of the...

Oil & Gas

Trump's de-escalation of the Middle East is predicted to bring oil prices down

Oil prices dropped on Tuesday, after hitting a three-year high in the previous session. U.S. president Donald Trump predicted that the Middle East war could be over soon. This eased concerns about disruptions of global oil supply. Brent futures were down $4.17 or 4.2% to $94.79 per barrel at 0345 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI), however, was down $3.81 or 4% to $90.96 per barrel. Both contracts had fallen as much as 11 % earlier, before reversing some of their losses. On Monday, oil prices soared to their highest level since mid-2022 as Saudi Arabia and others cut...

Oil & Gas

Trump considers other measures to cool down oil prices, including easing Russia sanctions

Multiple sources claim that Donald Trump may announce an announcement as early as Monday evening to curb the soaring global oil prices in light of the conflict with Iran. According to multiple sources, the White House is concerned that the spike in oil prices after more than a week of U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran could hurt U.S. consumers and businesses ahead of November's midterm elections when Trump and his fellow Republicans hope they can retain control of Congress. Two sources familiar with the situation said that Trump was in Florida to address congressional Republicans who were gathered at an annual...

Oil & Gas

Back to the 70s? Investors prepare for the return of stagflation

Investors now seriously consider the possibility that a war in the Middle East may create a stagflationary shock, as it did fifty years ago when disruptions to global energy supply sent inflation soaring and harmed growth. Kaspar Hense is the portfolio manager of RBC BlueBay Asset Management. If oil prices continue to rise, the safe-haven status for government bonds, and all other assets, is at risk. Five charts show how stagflation could affect the markets. OIL IS THE KEY Oil prices are at the forefront of the stagflation debate, and now the question is: how long can they continue to...

Oil & Gas

Middle East conflict sticks 2026 consensus trades into reverse

Investors are rethinking popular themes and trades of 2026 due to the escalating conflict in the Middle East. Global equities have plummeted, the dollar has risen and traders have reduced their bets on rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Investors have been preparing for growth this year. "A stagflationary surprise was not part of the plan", said ING's head of global markets Chris Turner. Investors are cautious and still have more to unwind. Here are five popular topics that have been "upended" by the conflict in Middle East. 1/ DOLLAR SHORTS SQUEEZED According to data released by the U.S. regulator...

Oil & Gas

The government's response to the oil price spike and the Middle East conflict escalating

The oil prices are soaring, while the share market is tumbling on the fear that the escalating U.S./Israeli war against Iran will cut energy'supplies and hamstring industry?all over the world. The following?are?actions?that governments are taking, or plan to take?to reduce the impact of war on their economies. SOUTH KOREAN PLANS FUEL CAPITAL South Korean President Lee Jae Myung announced?on?Monday that the authorities will cap domestic fuel prices?for?the first?time in almost 30 years. He said that the country would also "look for energy sources beyond those shipped through the Strait of Hormuz" and a 100 trillion won (67 billion dollars) programme...

Oil & Gas

Saudi index continues to rise as Iran approves a pause in Gulf attacks

The majority of 'Gulf' stock markets were up in the early trade on Sunday. The Saudi index was up for a fifth consecutive session after the?Iranian?temporary governing council agreed to stop attacks on neighboring nations, unless they originated on their own territory. Saudi Arabia told Tehran it supports a diplomatic solution to Iran's conflict with the U.S. but that continued attacks against the kingdom and its energy sector may push Riyadh into a similar response, according to sources. Saudi Arabia's benchmark.TASI index rose 2%. All of its constituents posted?gains led by energy and material stocks. Brent oil prices surged on...

Oil & Gas

Trump says he doesn't need Britain's help to win the Iran war

Donald Trump stated on Saturday that Britain was "seriously considering" sending two aircraft carriers to the Middle East. He added, however, that the United States would not be sending any. The United States does not need these aircraft carriers to win the war against Iran in the latest conflict between military allies. Trump has repeatedly criticized British Prime Minister Keir starmer, suggesting that he "ruined" the historically close relationship between the two countries after London refused to allow the U.S. The initial use of British base to attack Iran was criticised by Trump. Trump wrote on?Truth Social that he would...

Fossil Fuels

Fossil Fuels

The rising gas prices due to the Iran war threaten Trump's Republican majority.

In the minutes following?Donald Trump?s State of the Union Address, in which he argued why voters should vote to keep Republicans in control in the November midterm elections?the president boasted about how falling gasoline prices have solved the "disasters" left by his predecessor. Gas prices are up by almost?60 cents per gallon two weeks after the airstrikes against Iran that were launched on February 28th. This sparked a regional conflict which has spread far beyond Iran's border. Trump's and his Republican colleagues' political headaches are quickly becoming a pain at the gas pump. Their narrow majority in the Congress looks...

Fossil Fuels

Witkoff says that Russia has told Trump they are not sharing US military assets with Iran.

Steve Witkoff, U.S. Special Envoy to CNBC on Tuesday, said that Russia has denied sharing intelligence with Iran about U.S. military assets in the Middle East. Witkoff stated that the denial occurred during a telephone call between?U.S. Donald Trump spoke with?Vladimir Putin, the Russian president on Monday. The Washington Post reported Friday that Russia is providing Iran with information on targeting, including the locations of U.S. warships & aircraft in the Middle East. Witkoff responded that "yesterday, on the call with President Obama, the Russians stated that they had not been sharing" when asked by Washington if it believed Russia...

Fossil Fuels

Exxon CEO: Exxon has evacuated all non-essential Middle East employees as operations are scaled back.

Exxon 'Mobil 'has evacuated non essential employees from its Middle East operations, CEO Darren Woods stated in an interview Tuesday as the U.S. and Israel war against Iran continues. He said that some operations were scaled back in order to maintain oil inventories as the traffic through the Strait of Hormuz was being challenged. Exxon has a minority stake in oil and gas projects?in the UAE, Qatar and Saudi Arabia. Woods stated that "our first priority is to ensure the safety of our people, so we evacuated those who were not critical or essential for?the operations we provided support for."...

Crude Oil

Refined Products

Refined Products

As the war continues, both low and high income US consumers could be hit by higher gasoline prices, volatile stock, and rising stocks.

The U.S. and Israel war against?Iran is likely to hit consumers hard across the United States' economic spectrum. This could undermine a key component of the economy that was?expected? to boom this year due in part because of a hefty income tax refund, low unemployment and rising asset prices. Analysts felt that both "spurs", of the U.S.'so-called K-shaped economic model, could maintain or even increase spending in the upcoming months. Wealth effects would lead better-off families and service industry workers to spend more, while windfall tax refunds due to 'new exemptions on overtime and tip income, helped hourly workers. Both...

Refined Products

Wanhua Chemical, a Chinese company, declares force majeure for Middle East supplies

A?representative of Wanhua Chemical said that the company has declared "force majeure" on its Middle East clients. According to an email sent by Wanhua to its customers and seen here, the 'force majeure' - a clause in a contract which relieves parties of their obligations due to a unforeseen event - took effect on March 7th. The letter said: "We face the'severe disruption of the shipping routes in Strait of Hormuz which makes?delivery unreasonably unsafe or impossible." According to traders, the petrochemical major sells its derivatives like isocyanates - a building block used in polyurethane for furniture, bedding and automobile...

Refined Products

The government's response to the oil price spike and the Middle East conflict escalating

Share markets are down on concerns that a U.S. - Israeli war against Iran is escalating and will lead to a squeeze on energy supplies around the world. Here are some?actions? that governments have taken?or? plan to take in order to lessen the impact the war has on their economies. SOUTH KOREAN PLANS FUEL CAPITAL South Korean President Lee Jae Myung announced on Monday that the government would be capping domestic fuel prices for nearly 30 years. The country will also look for sources ?of energy beyond supplies shipped via the Strait of Hormuz, and a 100 trillion won ($67...

Refined Products

Finmin: Indonesia will absorb the shock of oil price increases using its state budget

Indonesia's Finance Minister?said? on Monday that the country will absorb the shock of a rise in oil prices by increasing the allocation to fuel subsidies and using the state budget. Indonesia has budgeted 381.3 billion rupiah (22.50billion dollars) for energy subsides and to compensate Pertamina, the state energy company and PLN, the utility company for their efforts to maintain some fuel and electricity prices at an affordable level. The budget is based on assumptions that Indonesian crude oil prices will average $70 per barrel in 2026 and the average rupiah rate of exchange for dollars will be 16,500. Oil prices...

Oil Refineries

South Korea will cap fuel prices to protect the economy from an energy shock

South Korean President Lee Jae Myung announced on Monday that the government would cap domestic gasoline prices for the first time in nearly 30 years to contain a price spike after the Middle East conflict sent global crude oil prices sharply higher. At an emergency meeting to discuss the Middle East Crisis, Lee stated that the government would "boldly and swiftly" implement a maximum pricing system on petroleum products which have seen recent price increases. In his opening remarks, Lee stated that the current crisis is "a significant burden" on our economy which is heavily dependent on global trade as...

Refined Products

US oil prices rise on fears of supply amid an expanding U.S./Israeli conflict with Iran

U.S. Crude Futures increased more than 20% during early trading on Monday. They reached their highest level since July 2022, due to the escalating U.S. - Israeli 'war with iran. As of 2220 GMT, U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were up as much as $20.34 per barrel and were $14.83 or 16.31% higher at $105.73. The price of WTI crude futures rose by as much as $22.4%, to $111.24 in the early part of the session. The benchmark contract rose 12% on the Friday, and it has gained 36% in the last week. Iran named Mojtaba Khamenei, the son...

Oil & Gas Refining

Asia refineries and petchem firms reduce runs as Mideast conflict disrupts feedstock supply

The U.S./Israel war on Iran caused a disruption in crude and feedstock imports from the Middle East, forcing several Asian refineries and companies to declare force majeure and cut back production. Asian steam crackers have declared force majeure on petrochemical deliveries to customers, despite sourcing more than 60% of their feedstock for naphtha from the Middle East. Three operators said they were reducing run rates in order to carry over some of the feedstock they have into next month. This will allow them to keep their plants operating and avoid shutting down even if they don't get enough imports. Two...

Oil & Gas Refining

India orders refiners in order to increase LPG production

A government order revealed that India has invoked emergency powers to increase production of LPG in order to prevent a shortage after supply disruptions caused by the Middle East Crisis. Last year, the world's second largest importer of LPG consumed 33.15 millions metric tons of LPG. This is a mixture between propane and butane. About two-thirds (or 85-90%) of LPG is imported, and most of it comes from the Middle East. The order, issued late Thursday night, asked all oil refiners to "maximise their propane and butane supplies and use them for the production of LPG". The government has asked...

Refined Products

Traders say that India's MRPL has declared force majeure for gasoline export cargoes in March and April.

Two traders reported that India's Mangalore Refinery & Petrochemicals declared force majeure for all future gasoline export cargoes due to the Middle East conflict, which has disrupted crude oil shipments from the Gulf. One of the traders stated that the company has already allocated two to three loads via tenders, for loading in early March. It is currently negotiating with buyers about these supplies. The trader said that MRPL has swap agreements with traders for receiving crude cargoes and supplying'refined fuel. The state-run refiner, which runs a 300,000-barrel-per-day refinery in the ?southern state of Karnataka, exports about 40% of its...

Refined Products

Oil prices rise to $1 as Iran crisis disrupts Middle East supplies

The price of oil rose by more than $1 Wednesday, as the U.S. and Israeli war on Iran disrupted Middle East production and stopped exports from the region. Brent rose $1.11 or 1.4% to $82.53 per barrel after Tuesday's closing price at its highest level since January 2025. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude rose by 79 cents or 1.1% to $75.37 after closing at its highest level since June. Israeli and U.S. troops struck targets in Iran on Tuesday. This prompted Iranian strikes against the energy infrastructure of a region which accounts for less than a third global oil production....

Refined Products

Iran's fallout has pushed the market view of the next Fed rate reduction further away

The expectation that the Federal Reserve will resume interest rate 'cuts' before September has eroded on Tuesday as rising oil prices due to the U.S. - Israel air war against Iran have heightened concerns?that inflation would keep the central bank in an hawkish position. After the air strike against Tehran that took out the country's "long-time" leader, interest rate futures and Treasury bonds saw a surge in sales for the second day running. The Strait of Hormuz is closed to all traffic, and the flow of 20 percent of the world's oil has been effectively stopped for an indefinite period...

Refined Products

Rubio: US will act to reduce oil prices for Americans

Rubio, the Secretary of State for the United States, said that the U.S. would 'take action' to tame the rising energy prices caused by a surge in oil prices as a result of the conflict with Iran. Rubio told reporters on Capitol Hill that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Energy secretary Chris Wright will announce the plans Tuesday. Rubio stated that "starting tomorrow, you'll see us roll out those phases in an effort to mitigate against this... We anticipated this could be a problem." According to his itinerary, President Donald Trump will meet Bessent and Wright on Tuesday at 2...