Middle East

Shipping data shows that India's diesel exports into Southeast Asia soared in March to the highest level in over seven years. This was due to traders adjusting supply to cover their short positions, and refiners taking advantage of higher profits in Asia as a result of the U.S./Israeli war against Iran. The increase in exports may boost the spot sales margins of Indian refiners, who have bought large volumes Russian crude oil to replace Middle East supplies disrupted by war. According to Kpler, three trade sources and data from the analytics firm, Kpler, around 1 million metric tonnes (7.45 millions...

The oil prices continued to rise on Monday. Brent is on track for a monthly record after the Yemeni Houthis launched their first attack on Israel, escalating the Iran War. Brent futures were up 66?cents (0.6%), or $113.23 per barrel, at 1031 ET (1431 GMT), after closing 4.2% higher Friday. U.S. West Texas Intermediate?futures rose $2.2 or 2.2% to $101.83 following a 5.5% gain in the previous session. Brent's price has risen by 58% in the last month. This is the highest monthly increase since 1988. Brent also outperformed gains during the Gulf War of 1990. U.S. Crude, on the...

President Donald Trump claimed that the U.S. has been meeting with Iran "directly and indirect" and that the new Iranian leaders were "very reasonable". This was as more U.S. troops arrived in the area and Tehran warned they would not accept humiliation. Trump's comments on Sunday come after Pakistan, acting as an intermediary between Tehran, Iran and Washington, announced that it would be hosting "meaningful discussions" in the next few days to end the Iran?war, which has lasted for a month. Trump said to reporters Sunday night as he traveled on Air Force One from New York City to Washington....

Investors' sentiment was affected by the sagging of most Gulf stock markets in early Sunday trading, as concerns about a wider conflict linked to Iran weighed heavily on their minds. This came after Yemen’s Houthis launched the?first? attacks on Israel since the conflict started and the U.S. sent additional forces into the Middle East. The Washington Post reported Saturday that U.S. officials had said that the Pentagon was preparing for a possible multi-week?operation on the ground in Iran. However, it remained unclear whether President Donald Trump would authorize the deployment. The Qatari Index fell by 1.1% as Qatar National Bank,...

The energy minister announced on Friday that Namibia will temporarily lower fuel levies 50% for at least three months, until the end of June. This is to protect consumers from higher prices as the U.S./Israeli war with?Iran continues. Namibia, a southern African nation that is entirely dependent on imported refined petroleum products, has taken this decision to respond to the Middle East Crisis that has stifled around 20% of world oil and LNG exports via the Strait of Hormuz. At a media briefing, Namibian energy minister Modestus Amtse said that the measure was necessary due to the volatility in petroleum...

Valdis Dombrovskis, European Economic Commissar, said that the European Union is at risk of stagflation due to the increase in energy prices caused by 'the U.S. - Israeli 'war on iran. "The outlook is clouded with profound uncertainty. But it's clear that we run the risk of a shock, which is a situation in which a?slower?growth coincides?with a?higher inflation," Dombrovskis said at a?news conference?after a meeting?of EU finance ministers. This is true even if disruptions to energy supply are?relatively brief. Our analysis shows that in such a scenario the EU's growth in 2026 may be around 0.4 points lower than...

Oil prices dropped on Friday, and were on track to have the steepest weekly drop?in the past six months. This was after U.S. president Donald Trump announced that talks with Iran on a 'peaceful end' had been going well and he would pause his attacks on Iran’s energy plants for ten days. Brent futures dropped 84 cents or 0.8% to $107.17 a barrel at 0353 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Futures lost $1.02 or 1.1% to $93.46 a barrel. On a weekly basis, both benchmarks traded 4.6% lower despite Brent increasing 5.7% and WTI gaining 4.6% Thursday due to fears...

The 'State Department' reported that U.S. Secretary Marco?Rubio met with Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) Prime Minister Masrour Barzani on a Thursday. He reportedly expressed "gratitude" for the KRG allowing oil from Iraq to reach international markets, including Kurdistan in Iraq. The State Department issued a statement saying that "the secretary expressed his gratitude to Kurdistan Regional Government, for allowing oil from Iraq to reach the global markets, including the 'Iraq Kurdistan Region. The Iran War has risen oil prices and shook global markets. The State Department said Rubio had "offered his sincere condolences to families of those Peshmerga who were...

The U.N. Mission to Libya (UNSMIL), on Wednesday, called on the?Libyan government to'release political activist Al-Mahdi Abdulati. He said he was arrested and detained last week. UNSMIL reported that Abdulati was arrested on March 18 in Misrata. Misrata is located about 200 km east of Tripoli. It is home to the internationally-recognised Government of National Unity. The U.N. Mission said Abdulati had been?reportedly detained by the Internal Security Agency which operates directly under the GNU. Abdulati has been known to criticize the GNU’s performance in public spending and security issues through his Facebook page, as well as interviews with local...

The markets overshoot and the recent dramatic increase in bets placed on higher interest rates due to the Middle East energy crisis is the latest example: although the move was logical, its magnitude remains questionable. The Iran War shows no signs of stopping and the?markets are still in flux. Rates traders may need to take a break and re-evaluate. The abrupt change in global 'rate outlook' reflects concerns about the short-term impact on inflation of the soaring prices for oil and gas. Federal Reserve now has a higher probability of raising U.S. interest rates in this year rather than cutting...

Confindustria, Italy's leading business lobby, forecast that the economy would grow by 0.5% in this year. This is a reduction from the 0.7% it had predicted in October. It also warned of'strong' 'downside risks' if the Iran conflict continues. The third largest economy in the Eurozone saw its gross domestic product rise by 0.5%, marking the third consecutive year of growth below 1%. Confindustria stated in its bi-annual report that the 0.5% growth scenario for 2026 was based on an "optimistic hypothesis" that?the conflict in Iran would be over by March's end. The business group warned that if the hostilities...

The Iran War and the global energy crisis it unleashed could have "killed" the idea of an asset that fits all. It is not a novel concept given the poor performance of the U.S. Treasuries did well after the Russian invasion of Ukraine four years earlier. The extraordinary fall in gold prices since the U.S. and Israeli strike on Iran, February 28, has brought it into the spotlight. In times of increased economic, geopolitical or financial uncertainty, investors tend to flock to gold, Swiss franc, Treasuries and the dollar. These are the assets that will most likely serve as a...

PetroChina's chairman stated that the company is essentially operating as usual, and about 10% of its crude oil and natural gas supplies are delivered via the Strait of Hormuz. The Strait is responsible for 20% of the world's oil and gas supply. A raging Iran War and an expanding conflict in the Middle East has effectively choked this route, driving oil prices up and forcing refiners, petrochemical manufacturers, and most importantly, petrochemical producers in Asia to reduce their output. Dai Houliang, chairman of PetroChina, told reporters that the company's sales of natural gas and crude oil are largely based on...

The South Korean Industry Ministry confirmed the import of 27,000 tons of Russian naphtha arriving on Monday. The ministry refused to confirm the destination of the shipment or if it was for one South Korean company or multiple firms. Local media reported that this is the first time South Korea imports Russian?naphtha after the beginning of the Iran War. Local media reported that the industry ministry is working with the South Korean Foreign Ministry to secure additional supplies of Russian naphtha. Naphtha, a refined oil-based product, is typically used as a feedstock by petrochemical manufacturers and is also a key...

Analysts do not expect a fuel shortage in Ukraine next month. After Russian missile strikes virtually destroyed Ukraine's refining capability, the country became almost completely dependent on fuel imported from Europe, particularly western, central, and southern Europe. Enkorr fuel consultancy in Kyiv said that the average daily diesel deliveries over a 'four-day period from 23 March 'to 26 March 'were 21,400 metric tonnes, up from 19,400 tons during the same time last week. The consultancy stated that if the current pace is maintained, imports in March could reach 565,000 tons. This would be 9% more than the 522,000 ton estimate...

Portugal announced a temporary subsidy of 10 cents per litre for diesel in key sectors like?agriculture and transportation? on Friday to 'ease fuel costs due to the Iran War. The subsidies, which could amount to up to 450 millions euros (519 million dollars) over three month, will only be paid if the diesel prices are more than 10 cents higher than the average price for the first week of March when the war with Iran intensified. The subsidies will run between April 1 and June 30, and they still need parliamentary approval. They will support sectors such as agriculture, forestry...

Robert Golob, Slovenia's prime minister, launched talks on a broad alliance with political party leaders on Friday following an inconclusive election. He pledged urgent measures to assist the Alpine country's?economy cope with rising energy costs. After the March 22 elections, Golob's Freedom Movement has won 29 parliamentary seats. This is one more than the right leaning Slovenian Democratic Party led by populist former premier Janez Jansa. Either party needs coalition partners in order to achieve a majority of 90 seats, which makes smaller parties potential kingmakers. Golob, the incumbent, has invited all the parties that have won parliamentary seats -...

According to representatives of the industry, at least a half of the Dutch fishing fleet stayed in port during this week due to rising diesel prices. The Netherlands is under the most pressure because it has a large number of beam-trawlers, about 7% of all the beam trawlers that are in the European Union. The ships are designed to catch high-value flatfish in the North Sea, such as soles, turbot, and brill. However, they consume a lot of fuel. VisNed, an industry group, said that 80% to 90 percent of these trawlers "didn't sail out" this week. Durk van Tuinen...

In a recent media interview, Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan stated that Romania's broad coalition could decide to lower excise duty?on fuels temporarily next week to combat the economic repercussions of the Iran war. The government approved the first set of measures on Thursday. These include limiting the exports of gasoline and the amount of biofuel that can be added to it for three months, as well as capping the fuel price increase at the average level of last year. After criticism by employers and unions, the approved measures were 'watered-down' from their initial plans. Leftist Social Democrats, government's biggest party...

As the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran continues, a growing number of governments are scrambling for liquidity and to calm the financial markets. This is due to the pressure that the war on Iran has placed on their currencies, and the volatility in the market. How different countries respond: SOUTH KOREA South Korea is planning to 'buy back emergency bonds worth 5 trillion won ($3.32 billion), to inject liquidity into the local bond market, and to cap rising yields. This comes after three-year treasury yields reached their highest level since mid-2024. The ministry has also extended fuel tax reductions and is...

Oil prices dropped in the early morning trade of Friday, and have been down for a volatile week after U.S. president Donald Trump announced that talks with Iran on ending the war are going "very well", and that he will pause his attacks on Iran's energy facilities for 10 days. Brent futures dropped 90 cents or 0.8% to $107.11 per barrel as of 0024 GMT. U.S. West Texas intermediate futures also fell 83 cents or 0.88% to $93.65 a barrel, reducing gains from a previous bullish session. Brent gained 5.7% on Thursday while WTI gained 4% on fears of a...

White House Press Secretary Karoline L. Leavitt stated that the United States issued a stern warning on Wednesday to Iran, saying President Donald Trump would strike 'harder' if Tehran refused to accept they had been "defeated militaryly". "President Trump is not a bluff, and he's prepared to unleash hell." Leavitt, in a briefing to reporters, said that Iran shouldn't?miscalculate" again. She said that if Iran does not accept the present reality, or if it fails to understand they are militarily defeated and will remain so, President Trump will make sure they get hit harder than they ever have before. The...

U.S. crude oil futures dropped about 4% in early trading on 'Wednesday,' on the prospect that a possible ceasefire would ease?disruption of a global?oil supply. This was after reports that Washington sent Tehran a fifteen-point plan for ending the Middle East war. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI),?futures, dropped as low as $87.80 per barrel at the?open and were down $3.49 or 3.8% at $88.86 per barrel by 2305 GMT. WTI gained 4.8% on the Tuesday before paring its gains in volatile trading after settlement. U.S. President Donald Trump said on Tuesday that the U.S. is making progress in its...

On Tuesday, oil prices soared on fears of a shortage, after Iran denied that it had?talks? with the United States about ending the Gulf War, in contradiction to U.S. president Donald Trump, who claimed a deal would be reached soon. Crude futures dropped by more than 10% after Trump ordered the delay of attacks on Iran's power plants for five days, claiming that he had held talks with Iranian officials who were not named, and they had reached "major agreements". Brent futures were up $1.25 or 1.3% to $101.19 a barrel by 0858 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate rose $2.15...