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Oil prices fall as trade optimism is offset by negative economic news

Oil prices fell on Friday due to negative economic news coming from the United States, China and signs that supply is increasing. This was despite the optimism of U.S. Trade Deals which could boost future global economic growth.

Brent crude futures dropped 32 cents or 0.5% to $68.86 per barrel at 11:02 am EDT (1502 GMT) while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI crude) fell 47 cents or 0.7% to $65.66.

Brent fell about 1% and WTI about 3% for the week.

Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said on Friday that there is a

Chances of 50-50

Or perhaps even less, that the U.S. will reach a trade deal with the European Union (EU), stating that Brussels wants to "make a very bad deal".

euro zone economy

Remain resilient

A slew data on Friday showed the uncertainty that is pervasive due to a global war of trade, while European Central Bank policymakers seemed to temper bets made by market participants on no further rate cuts.

New orders are being placed in the U.S.

Capital goods manufactured in the United States

Unexpectedly, shipments of these products rose moderately in June. This suggests that the business's spending on equipment has slowed down significantly in the second quarter.

Trump said Friday that he also had a successful meeting with

Federal Reserve

Chair Jerome Powell got the impression the U.S. Central Bank's head was ready to lower rates.

Interest rates are used by central banks like the Fed and ECB to control inflation. Lower interest rates can reduce borrowing costs for consumers and boost the economy and oil demand.

The finance ministry reported on Friday that the fiscal revenue of the second largest economy in the world,, fell 0.3% from a previous year. This is the same rate as the decline between January and may.

GROWING SUPPLIES - WHAT IS IT?

Sources said that the U.S. was preparing to limit operations in Venezuela for partners of Venezuelan state-run PDVSA. This would include U.S. oil giant Chevron.

Analysts at ING wrote that this could increase Venezuelan oil exports to the U.S. by a little over 200,000 barrels a day (bpd), easing tightness on the heavy crude market.

Middle East

After "serious and detailed" discussions on Friday, it said that nuclear talks would continue with European powers. This was the first face-to-face discussion since Israel and the U.S. attacked Iran last month.

Venezuela and Iran both belong to the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries. The amount of crude oil available on global markets will increase if a deal is reached that increases the amount of oil each sanctioned country can export.

The Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (OPEC+), which is made up of top ministers representing OPEC, its allies, such as Russia, and other countries, will meet at 1200 GMT, on Monday. Four OPEC+ source said the meeting is unlikely to change the existing policy of the group, which requires eight members to increase output by 548,000 bpd during August.

Russia

Calculations based on two sources indicate that the daily oil exports in August will be 1,77 million barrels per day, down from the 1.93 million barrels per day planned for July, due to the anticipated increase in refinery runs. Reporting by Scott DiSavino, Robert Harvey, in London and Sudarshan Varadhan and Siyi Luu, in Singapore. Kirsty Donovan, Emelia Sithole Matarise and Kirsty Donovan edited the article.

(source: Reuters)