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Oil prices rise on US trade optimism, drop in crude inventories

Oil prices rise on US trade optimism, drop in crude inventories

Oil prices rose on Thursday, buoyed by optimism over U.S. trade negotiations that would ease pressure on the global economy and a sharper-than-expected decline in U.S. crude inventories.

Brent crude futures rose 21 cents or 0.3% to $68.72 per barrel at 0335 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude Futures rose 22 cents or 0.3% to $65.47 a barrel.

Following President Donald Trump’s deal with Japan, the markets closely monitored developments in U.S. - European Union trade negotiations. In exchange for $550 billion in loans and investments destined for the United States, the agreement reduces auto import duties and spares Tokyo new levies.

Hiroyuki Kikakuwa, Chief Strategist of Nissan Securities Investment (a division of Nissan Securities), said that the optimism of progress in tariff talks with the U.S. helped avoid a worst case scenario.

He added that the uncertainty surrounding U.S. China trade talks, and peace negotiations between Ukraine, and Russia, is limiting future gains. WTI, he predicted, will likely stay in a range between $60, and $70.

Two European diplomats stated on Wednesday that both the EU and U.S. were moving towards a trade agreement that could include an U.S. baseline of 15% on EU goods, as well as possible exemptions. This could pave the way for a second major trade deal following the Japan deal.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration reported that U.S. crude oil inventories dropped by 3.2 millions barrels last week to 419,000,000 barrels. This was more than analysts expected in a poll, which predicted a draw of 1.6 million barrels.

Gasoline stockpiles also dropped by 1.7m barrels to reach 231.1m barrels. This is nearly twice the expected draw of 908,000 barrels. Distillate stocks, including heating oil and diesel, increased by 2.9m barrels last week, according to ANZ analysts.

ANZ stated that the demand for summer in the northern hemisphere was relatively high.

Geopolitical tensions were also a major focus.

On Wednesday, Russia and Ukraine discussed further prisoner exchanges in Istanbul, but the two sides are still far apart over ceasefire terms, and even a meeting of their leaders is possible.

Two industry sources reported on Wednesday that foreign oil tankers are temporarily banned from loading in Russia's major Black Sea ports because of new regulations. This effectively stops exports through a consortium owned by U.S. Energy Majors.

On Tuesday, the U.S. Energy Secretary said that sanctions against Russian oil could be considered to end the conflict in Ukraine. The EU agreed on Friday to its 18th package of sanctions against Russia. This included a lower price cap for Russian oil. (Reporting from Yuka Obayashi, Tokyo; Emily Chow, Singapore; editing by Jacqueline Wong.)

(source: Reuters)