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Oil prices drop as Ukraine talks increase prospects of sanctions being eased

Oil prices drop as Ukraine talks increase prospects of sanctions being eased

Oil prices dropped on Tuesday, as traders weighed the possibility that talks to end the conflict in Ukraine between Russia, Ukraine, and the U.S. could lead to a lifting of sanctions against Russian crude oil, increasing supply.

Brent crude futures fell 85 cents or 1.3% to $65.75 per barrel at 1315 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude Futures for September Delivery, which expires on Wednesday, are down 95 cents or 1.5% at $62.47 a barrel.

The October WTI contract, which is the more active, was down by 63 cents or 1% at $62.07 per barrel.

After a meeting at the White House on Monday, with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy and European Allies, U.S. president Donald Trump announced via social media that he spoke with Russian President Vladimir Putin.

Trump said that arrangements were being made to meet with Zelenskiy and Putin, which could result in a trilateral meeting involving the three leaders.

After yesterday's meeting, between Trump, Ukrainian president Zelenskiy and several European head of state and governments, it appears that there is movement in the negotiation, which fuels renewed hope for an imminent end to the conflict. Commerzbank analysts wrote in a note that oil prices have fallen again today as a result.

Suvro Sarkar said that Trump's softer stance on secondary sanction targeting importers Russian oil has reduced the risk for global supply disruptions. This has eased geopolitical tensions a little.

Two analysts and a trader reported on Tuesday that Chinese refineries had purchased 15 cargoes for delivery in October and November as Indian demand has declined for Moscow's oil exports.

Zelenskiy called his discussions with Trump "very good", and noted that they discussed potential U.S. guarantees of security for Ukraine. Trump confirmed that the U.S. will provide such guarantees. However, the extent of the support is still unclear.

Trump wants to end Europe's bloodiest war in 80-years quickly, but Kyiv's allies are worried that he may try to force an accord on Russia's terms.

Bart Melek of TD Securities' commodity strategy department said that if tensions were to ease and secondary tariffs or other sanctions removed, oil would drift toward the $58 barrel average for Q4-25/Q1-26. Reporting by Robert Harvey from London, Anjana Anil from Bengaluru and Emily Chow from Singapore. (Editing by Christina Fincher, Mark Potter).

(source: Reuters)